Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
MechanicsofOptionsMarkets
Chapter9
Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright John C. Hull 2013
ConfusionofConfusions.
JosedelaVega,Amsterdam(1688)
LlamronlelosFlamencosOpsie,derivadodelverbo
latino Optio Optionis, que significa eleccin, por
latinoOptioOptionis,quesignificaeleccin,por
quedaraeleccindelquelodaelpoderpediro
entregarlapartidaalquelorecibe...puesdeseaelque
desembolsaelpremioelegirloquemsconvenga,yen
faltasiemprepuededejardeelegirloquedesea
Hayamarrasqueaseguranlosestragosyncoras
queresistenlasborrascas.Dadopsies ysabrisel
lmitedelaprdida,pudiendoexcederlagananciaala
fantasaysermayoranelaumentoquela
esperanza
29/09/2013
CallOption
Isacontractthatgivestheholdertheright,
butnottheobligation,tobuyacertainasset
at a fixed price (Strike, K) up to a specified
atafixedprice(Strike,K)uptoaspecified
timeindependentlyoftheassetprice(S).
LongCall
(Figure9.1,Page212)
ProfitfrombuyingoneEuropeancalloption:optionprice=
$5 strike price $100
$5,strikeprice=$100.
30 Profit($)
20
10
70
0
5
80
90
Terminal
stockprice($)
100
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ShortCall
(Figure9.3,page213)
ProfitfromwritingoneEuropeancalloption:optionprice=$5,
strike price $100
strikeprice=$100
Profit($)
5
0
80
90
100
10
Terminal
stockprice($)
20
30
Fundamentals of Futures and Options
Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright
John C. Hull 2013
PutOption
Isacontractthatgivestheholdertheright,
butnottheobligation,tosellacertainassetat
a fixed price (Strike K) up to a specified time
afixedprice(Strike,K)uptoaspecifiedtime
independentlyoftheassetprice(S).
29/09/2013
LongPut
(Figure9.2,page213)
ProfitfrombuyingaEuropeanputoption:optionprice=$7,
strikeprice=$70
30 Profit($)
20
10
0
7
Terminal
stockprice($)
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
ShortPut
(Figure9.4,page214)
ProfitfromwritingaEuropeanputoption:optionprice=$7,
strike price $70
strikeprice=$70
Profit($)
7
0
40
50
Terminal
stockprice($)
60
70
80
90
100
10
10
20
30
Fundamentals of Futures and Options
Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright
John C. Hull 2013
29/09/2013
Europeanvs.AmericanOptions
Europeanoptionscanonlybeexercisedatthe
maturityofthecontract.
t it f th
t t
Americanoptionscanbeexercisedatanytime
untilthematurityofthecontract.
Out,AtandIntheMoneyOptions
AcalloptionisOut ofthemoneyifthepriceof
theasset(S)isbelowthestrike(K)priceofthe
option.Ifweexercisetheoptionwewillincurina
p
p
loss.
I.e.:S=100;K=120.(S K)= 20
AcalloptionisAt themoneyifthepriceofthe
assetisequaltothestrikeprice.Thegainof
exercisingtheoptionis0.
I.e.:S=120;K=120.(S
I e : S = 120; K = 120 (S K)=0
K) = 0
AcalloptionisIn themoneyifthepriceofthe
assetisgreaterthanthestrikeprice.Ifwe
exercisetheoptionwewillhaveagain.
I.e.:S=140;K=120.(S K)=20
29/09/2013
OptionsValue
Callvalueatexpiration
Putvalue atexpiration
Long
Max (SK;0)
Max (KS;0)
Long
Callvaluetoday ertMax (SK;0)
Putvalue today ertMax (KS;0)
CallFinancialOption,
Intrinsicvs.Temporalvalue
St k
Stock
Price
$190
$10
TemporalValue
Premium=Temporal+IntrinsicValue
Premium=$10+$20
IBM
Price
$20
$
IntrinsicValue
=SK
$170
Strike
Price
29/09/2013
CallOption,
Intrinsicvs.Temporalvalue
WhenS
TimeValue IntrinsicValue0
Option
Price
TimeValue, value.
ValueofOptionality
MAXIMUM
VALUE
IntrinsicValue
K(Strike)
O
Outofthemoney
ST(UnderlyingAsset)
Inthemoney
Atthemoney
TimeValueoftheOption
ThetwomostimportantfactorsinTimeValue:
Timetoexpiration,thebiggerthetimethebigger
thevalue.
Volatility,thebiggerthevolatilitythebiggerthe
value.
Price of a call option vs. volatility
4.5
4
35
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
10
20
30
40
Volatility in %
50
60
70
29/09/2013
OptionsValue:BlackScholesMerton
(BSM)Formula(Calloption)
C SN d1 Ke rT N d 2
log
d1
S 2
r
T
K
2
T
log
d2
S 2
r
T
K
2
T
Where:
S:Underlyingassetprice(HowdowecalculateSofastock?)
K:Strikeprice
p
T:Timetomaturity(expiration)oftheoption
r:Riskfreerate
s:Volatilityofreturnsoftheunderlyingasset
N():CumulativedistributionfunctionoftheN(0,1)distribution.
UnderstandingBSMFormula
(CallOption)
Roughlyspeaking,youcanthinkofN(d2)astheprobabilityof
exercisingtheoption,timesthepresentvalueofthestrikeprice
(KertN(d2))
AndN(d
And N(d1)ameasurehowfarinthemoneytheoptionisexpected
) a measure how far in the money the option is expected
tobeifitdoesexpireinthemoneytimesthestockprice(SN(d1))
In the Money
S
K
r
T = 50 days
At the Money
100
60
5%
0,13 yrs.
25%
d1
d2
5,78
5,69
SN(d1)
100,00
59,61
-rT
Ke N(d2)
Option Price
40,39
S
K
r
T = 50 days
N()
1,00
1,00
d1
d2
0,12
0,03
SN(d1)
32,80
30,45
2,35
-rT
Ke N(d2)
Option Price
S
K
r
T = 50 days
N()
0,55
0,51
40
60
5%
0,13 yrs.
25%
d1
d2
-4,38
-4,47
SN(d1)
Ke N(d2)
0,00
0,00
Option Price
0,00
-rT
N()
0,00
0,00
29/09/2013
UnderstandingBSMFormula
(CallOption)Increasein.
In the Money
S
K
r
T = 50 days
At the Money
100
60
5%
0,13 yrs.
50%
d1
d2
2,96
2,78
SN(d1)
99,85
59,45
-rT
Ke N(d2)
Option Price
S
K
r
T = 50 days
N()
1,00
1,00
60
60
5%
0,13 yrs.
50%
d1
d2
0,13
-0,05
SN(d1)
33,01
28,52
4,49
-rT
Ke N(d2)
40,40
Option Price
S
K
r
T = 50 days
N()
0,55
0,48
40
60
5%
0,13 yrs.
50%
d1
d2
-2,12
-2,30
SN(d1)
Ke N(d2)
0,68
0,63
Option Price
0,04
-rT
N()
0,02
0,01
UnderstandingBSMFormula
(CallOption)IncreaseinT.
In the Money
S
K
r
T = 50 days
At the Money
100
60
5%
1 yrs.
25%
d1
d2
2,37
2,12
SN(d1)
99,11
56,10
-rT
Ke N(d2)
Option Price
43,01
S
K
r
T = 50 days
N()
0,99
0,98
d1
d2
0,33
0,08
SN(d1)
37,64
30,24
7,40
-rT
Ke N(d2)
Option Price
S
K
r
T = 50 days
N()
0,63
0,53
40
60
5%
1 yrs.
25%
d1
d2
-1,30
-1,55
SN(d1)
Ke N(d2)
3,89
3,48
Option Price
0,42
-rT
N()
0,10
0,06
29/09/2013
Othervaluationmethods
ApartfromBSMthereexistsomeother
alternative methods of valuation
alternativemethodsofvaluation:
BinomialmethodCox,RossandRubinstein(1979).
Themethodisverytransparentandcanbebetter
understandandexplainedthanBSM.
MonteCarlosimulation,veryusefulbecausewedont
need to estimate the volatility () of the project
needtoestimatethevolatility()oftheproject.
LongstaffandSchwartz(2001)forthevaluationof
americanoptions.Speciallyusedinthevaluationof
abandonoptions.
IsthereanOptimalValuationMethod?
Theanswerisyes,anddependsonlyonthe
projectweareanalyzing,andtheavailable
j t
l i
d th
il bl
informationthatwehave.
Donotdependsontheexpectedresultofthe
calculationmethod.Because
10
29/09/2013
ExistConvergenceinthedifferent
valuationmethods
OntheleftwecanseetheconvergencebetweenBSMandMonte
Carlomethods.
g
p
(
)
OntherightitscomparedtheBSMandBinomialmethods(Hull).
Convergencedemonstrationbetweenbinomialandregressionis
doneinSmith(2005)andBrandao,Dyer,Hahn(2005)
(25,00)
24,00
(0,80)
((1,80))
No Ejerce
(0,80)
(25,00)
25,00
(0,80)
((0,80))
No Ejerce
(0,80)
Long Position
Beneficio
Beneficio
Outofthe
money
Athte
money
Inthe
money
Repsol a 26
(25,00)
25,80
(0,80)
0,00
Ejerce
0,00
(25,00)
26,00
(0,80)
0,20
Ejerce
0,20
Short Position
0,80
25
25,80
,
25
25,80
,
0,80
CotizacindelSubyacente(S)
CotizacindelSubyacente(S)
11
29/09/2013
(23,00)
25,00
(1,20)
0,80
Ejerce
0 80
0,80
(23,80)
25,00
(1,20)
0,00
Ejerce
0 00
0,00
Long Position
Beneficio
Beneficio
Inthe
money
Athte
money
Repsol a 26
(25,00)
25,00
(1,20)
(1,20)
No Ejerce
(1 20)
(1,20)
(26,00)
25,00
(1,20)
(2,20)
No Ejerce
(1 20)
(1,20)
Short Position
1,20
Outofthe
money
23,80
25
25
23,80
1,20
CotizacindelSubyacente(S)
CotizacindelSubyacente(S)
Resultsofthecombinationofthe
underlyingassetandanoption
Long Stock + Long Put
Compra de 1.000 Acciones de BBVA a 17 y 10 Put (1/100) @ 18 . Prima 1,50
+
S
K
Resultado Acciones
(1.000)
1.000
Prima Opcin
(1.500)
(1.500)
(1.500)
(1.500)
(1.500)
Decisin
Ejerce
Ejerce
Ejerce
No Ejerce
2.000
No Ejerce
3.000
Resultado Put
2.000
1.000
0,00
0,00
0,00
Resultado Final
(500)
(500)
(500)
500
1.500
+
Compra de 1.000 Acciones de SAN a 12 y Venta de 10 Call (1/100) @ 13 . Prima 0,30
SAN a 11
Resultado Acciones
Prima Opcin
Resultado Call
Resultado Final
SAN a 12
SAN a 13
SAN a 14
2.000
SAN a 15
(1.000)
1.000
(300)
(300)
(300)
(300)
(300)
(1.000)
(2.000)
3.000
(1.300)
(300)
700
700
700
12
29/09/2013
Resultsofthecombinationoftheunderlying
assetandanoption.Summary
Short Stock + Long Call
K
S
S
K
AssetsUnderlying
ExchangeTradedOptions
Page215216
Stocks
ForeignCurrency
StockIndices
Futures
26
13
29/09/2013
Specificationof
ExchangeTradedOptions
Expirationdate
Expiration
date
Strikeprice
EuropeanorAmerican
CallorPut(optionclass)
27
MarketMakers
Mostexchangesusemarketmakersto
f ilit t
facilitateoptionstrading
ti
t di
Amarketmakerquotesbothbidandask
priceswhenrequested
Themarketmakerdoesnotknowwhetherthe
individual requesting the quotes wants to buy
individualrequestingthequoteswantstobuy
orsell
28
14
29/09/2013
Margin(Page222224)
Marginisrequiredwhenoptionsaresold
Forexample,whenanakedcalloptioniswritteninthe
US,themarginisthegreaterof:
1 Atotalof100%oftheproceedsofthesaleplus20%
oftheunderlyingsharepricelesstheamount(ifany)
bywhichtheoptionisoutofthemoney
2 Atotalof100%oftheproceedsofthesaleplus10%
oftheunderlyingshareprice
29
Warrants
Warrantsareoptionsthatareissuedby
a corporationorafinancialinstitution
Thenumberofwarrantsoutstandingis
determinedbythesizeoftheoriginal
issueand changesonlywhentheyare
exercised or when they expire
exercisedorwhentheyexpire
30
15
29/09/2013
Warrants
(continued)
Theissuersettlesupwiththeholder
whenawarrantisexercised
h
i
i d
Whencallwarrantsareissuedbya
corporationonitsownstock,exercise
willusuallyleadtonewtreasurystock
being issued
beingissued
31
EmployeeStockOptions
(seealsoChapter14)
Employeestockoptionsareaformofremuneration
i
issuedbyacompanytoitsexecutives
db
i
i
Theyareusuallyatthemoneywhenissued
Whenoptions are exercisedthecompanyissues
morestockandsellsittotheoptionholderforthe
strikeprice
Expensedontheincomestatement
32
16
29/09/2013
ConvertibleBonds
Convertiblebondsareregularbondsthat
can be exchanged for equity at certain
canbeexchangedforequityatcertain
timesinthefutureaccordingtoa
predeterminedexchangeratio
Usuallyaconvertibleiscallable
Thecallprovisionisawayinwhichthe
i
issuercanforceconversionatatimeearlier
f
i
i
li
thantheholdermightotherwisechoose
Fundamentals of Futures and Options
Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright
John C. Hull 2013
33
Warrants
W
Warrantsareoptionsthatareissued(or
t
ti
th t
i
d(
written)bya corporationorafinancial
institution
Thenumberofwarrantsoutstandingis
determinedbythesizeoftheoriginalissue&
y
g
changesonlywhentheyareexercisedor
whentheyexpire
Fundamentals of Futures and Options
Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright
John C. Hull 2013
34
17
29/09/2013
Warrants
(continued)
Warrantsaretradedinthesamewayas
y
stocks
Theissuersettlesupwiththeholderwhen
awarrantisexercised
Whencallwarrantsareissuedbya
corporation on its own stock exercise will
corporationonitsownstock,exercisewill
leadtonewtreasurystockbeingissued
35
ExecutiveStockOptions
Optionissuedbyacompanytoexecutives
Whentheoptionisexercisedthecompany
issuesmorestock
Usuallyatthemoneywhenissued
36
18
29/09/2013
ConvertibleBonds
Convertiblebondsareregularbondsthat
canbeexchangedforequityatcertain
timesinthefutureaccordingtoa
predeterminedexchangeratio
37
ConvertibleBonds
(continued)
Very
Veryoftenaconvertibleiscallable
often a convertible is callable
Thecallprovisionisawayinwhichthe
issuercanforceconversionatatimeearlier
thantheholdermightotherwisechoose
38
19