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Urban global population will grow to 4.9 billion by 2030, while rural
population is expected to only increase by around 28 million.
Urban population of Africa and Asia expected to double from 2000 to
2030
1. Natural growth
More births than deaths
- Lower mortality, however this is dependent on the location, ex. Harlem
has lower mortality rates than Bangladesh on average
- Over the last 30 years, natural growth has seen to be responsible for 60%
of the urban growth
- Rural fertility leads to urban migration
2. Migration
Long term relocation of people to a location outside of the
community of origin. (International migration includes
labour, refugees and undocumented)
- May be confused by temporary migration
- How did it start? New job opporutnities motivated mass movements,
providing cheap labour for factories. Currently, due to globalisation,
circumstances are similar in developing countries
o Concentration of investment in city -> attracks migrants -> surplus
labour force -> low wages
o Urban poverty serves benefit of global capital
- Consider the push and pull factors living in rural areas, esp. on small
farm, it is difficult to improve standard of living beyond basic sustenance
as living id dependent on unpredictable environmental conditions;
whereas in cities, money and services are centralised so social mobility is
possible
- A pull factor is employment: people seek jobs, but often in the informal
sector
- A pull factor are the plethora of health services and amenities, like better
education: yet favelas/shanty towns/ barrios have situations
- A push factor is the industrialisation of the rural community
o Developing nations are industrialising right now, so growth rate of
urban population is very high
o In industrialised countries, 80% of population already live in
urban areas
o Unemployment/ lack of need for labour
- A push factor is political persecution
- More women tend to migrate often ending up with low skill domestic
work.
o In South East Asia and Latin America, women cite economic
opportunity as the main reason for migrating 68% in Bangkok,
70% in the Philippines, 56% in Malaysia and over 50% in Costa
Rica, Mexico, Guatemala and Haiti
o May be a survival method of large families to send daughters away
who will probably send money back home
POSITIVES TO GROWTH
Economic production
Opportunities for underemployed and unemployed
Better lifestyles
Extend better basic services (trasnporation, sewer and water) and other
specialist services (health and education) when controlled
Solutions to issues caused by growth