Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
exam
III
Fall,
2014
1.
The number of television sets produced from an assembly line each day is known to
have a standard deviation of 17.4 sets per day. The production line averaged 452.3 sets
per day for 20 randomly selected days. Which of the following represents a 95%
confidence interval for the population mean number of sets per hour?
A) 452.3 9.4
B) 452.3 11.3
C) 452.3 13.8
D) 452.3 7.63
2.
Which of the following statements is true regarding the width of a confidence interval
for a population proportion?
A) It
is
narrower
for
95%
confidence
than
for
90%
confidence.
B) It
is
wider
for
a
sample
of
size
80
than
for
a
sample
of
size
40.
C) It
is
wider
for
95%
confidence
than
for
99%
confidence.
D) It
is
wider
when
the
sample
proportion
is
0.50
than
when
the
sample
proportion
is
0.20.
3. In a survey of 472 personnel directors, 63% thought that they would be hiring new
personnel over the next three months. Which of the following represents a 98%
confidence interval for the proportion of all personnel directors planning to hire personnel
over the next three months?
A) 0.63 0.057
B) 0.63 0.052
C) 0.63 0.042
D) 0.63 0.022
4. An unbiased estimator is:
A) a
sample
statistic,
which
has
an
expected
value
equal
to
the
value
of
the
population
parameter
B) any
sample
statistic
used
to
approximate
a
population
parameter
C) a
sample
statistic,
which
is
usually
less
than
the
population
parameter
D) any
standard
error
of
the
sample
mean
5.
A 95% confidence interval estimate for a population mean is determined to be 65.48
to 76.52. If a 90% confidence interval for is constructed, it must be:
A) wider
than
the
95%
confidence
interval
B) the
same
as
the
95%
confidence
interval
C) narrower
than
the
95%
confidence
interval
D) There
is
not
enough
information
to
answer
this
question
6.
The lower limit of a confidence interval at the 95% level of confidence for the
population proportion if a sample of size 200 had 40 successes is:
A)
B)
C)
D)
0.2554
0.1446
0.2465
0.1535
7.
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion P given a sample size n =
2200 and sample proportion P = .214 is computed as
A) 0.214
1.96
x
(0.00874)
B) 0.214
1.645
x
(0.00874)
C) 0.214
1.96
x
(0.000076)
D) 0.214
1.645
x
(0.000076)
8. A husband and wife, both are statisticians, decided to construct a 90% confidence
intervals for an unknown population mean. The husband selected a random sample of 50
observations while his wife's sample size was 30 observations. Which of the following is
true?
A)
The
wife's
confidence
interval
has
a
greater
degree
of
confidence.
B)
The
husbands
confidence
interval
has
a
greater
degree
of
confidence.
C)
The
husbands
confidence
interval
is
narrower.
D)
The
husbands
confidence
interval
is
wider.
9. If a sample has 20 observations and a 90% confidence estimate for is needed, the
appropriate t-score is:
A) 2.12
B) 1.746
C) 2.131
D) 1.729
10. If a sample of size 121 is selected, the value of A for the probability P(-A t A) =
0.98 is:
A) 1.96
B) 2.576
C) 2.358
D) 2.326
11. For a sample of size 20 taken from a normally distributed population with standard
deviation equal to 7.2, a 90% confidence interval for the population mean would require
the use of:
A) t
=
1.328
B) t
=
1.729
C) z
=
1.96
D) z
=
1.645
12.
You
are
interested
in
determining
the
average
cost
of
a
3-minute
telephone
call
to
locations
within
the
continental
U.S.
What
sample
size
must
you
take
to
be
96%
confident
that
the
results
will
be
within
$.75
of
the
true
mean
cost
per
call
given
that
= 7.71 ?
A) 185
B) 445
C) 406
D) 574
13.
A
local
company
makes
a
candy
that
is
supposed
to
weigh
1.00
ounces.
A
random
sample
of
25
pieces
of
candy
produces
a
mean
of
0.996
ounces
with
a
standard
deviation
of
0.004
ounces.
Construct
a
98
percent
confidence
interval
for
the
mean
weight
of
all
such
candy.
A)
[0.9645,
1.0275]
B)
[0.9860,
1.0060]
C)
[0.9940,
0.9980]
D)
[0.9956,
0.9964]
14.
A
local
company
makes
a
candy
that
is
supposed
to
weigh
1.00
ounces.
A
random
sample
of
25
pieces
of
candy
produces
a
mean
of
0.996
ounces
with
a
standard
deviation
of
0.004
ounces.
How
many
pieces
of
candy
must
we
sample
if
we
want
to
be
99
percent
confident
that
the
sample
mean
is
within
0.001
ounces
of
the
true
mean?
A)
126
B)
124
C)
107
D)
12
15.
A
manufacturer
of
dodge
balls
uses
a
machine
to
inflate
its
new
balls
to
a
pressure
of
13.5
pounds
(
=
0.1).
When
the
machine
is
properly
calibrated,
the
mean
inflation
pressure
is
13.5
pounds,
but
uncontrollable
factors
can
cause
the
pressure
of
individual
dodge
balls
to
vary.
For
quality
control
purposes,
the
manufacturer
wishes
to
estimate
the
mean
inflation
pressure
to
within
0.025
pounds
of
its
true
value
with
99
percent
confidence.
What
sample
size
should
be
used?
A)
677
B)
107
C)
35
D)
27
16.
The
Ohio
Department
of
Agriculture
tested
203
fuel
samples
across
the
state
in
1999
for
accuracy
of
the
reported
octane
level.
For
premium
grade,
14
out
of
105
samples
failed.
(They
did
not
meet
the
ASTM
specification
and
the
FTC
octane
posting
rule.)
How
many
samples
would
be
needed
to
create
a
99
percent
confidence
interval
that
is
within
0.02
of
the
true
proportion
of
premium
grade
fuel-
quality
failures?
A)
4148
B)
2838
C)
1916
D)
744
17.
You
want
to
estimate
the
proportion
of
customers
who
are
satisfied
with
their
supermarket
at
=
.10
and
within
.025
of
the
true
value.
It
has
been
estimated
that
p
=
.85.
How
large
of
a
sample
is
needed?
A)
1083
B)
553
C)
336
D)
71
18. A professor of statistics wants to test that the average amount of money a typical
college student spends per day during spring break is over $70. Based upon previous
research, the population standard deviation is estimated to be $17.32. The professor
surveys 35 students and finds that the mean spending is $72.43. Which of the following
statements is most accurate?
A) Unable to reject the null hypothesis at 0.10
B) Reject the null hypothesis at = 0.10
C) Reject the null hypothesis at = 0.05
D) Reject the null hypothesis at = 0.01
THE NEXT FOUR QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
The sales representative for a manufacturer of a new product claims that the product will
increase output per machine by at least 29 units per hour. A line manager installs the
product on 15 of the machines, and finds that the average increase was only 26 with a
standard deviation of 6.2.
19. What are the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses?
A) H 0 :
=
29
Ha:
29
B) H 0 :
29
Ha:
<
29
C) H 0 :
=
29
Ha:
>
29
D) H 0 :
>
29
Ha:
29
20. Using a 5% significance level, which of the following statements is true?
A) Reject H 0 if t statistic < 1.761
B) Reject H 0 if t statistic > 2.16
C) Reject H 0 if t statistic < -1.761
D) Reject H 0 if t statistic < -2.16
21. The value of the test statistic is
A) 1.240
B) 1.874
C) -1.240
D) -1.874
The U.S. Postal Service advertises that at least 63.4% of all third class mail is read by the
recipients. An environmental group, concerned about waste and protecting the Northern
Spotted Owl habitat, wants to test this assertion. They take a sample of 220 households
and find that only 58.7% read their third class mail.
23. What are the null and alternative hypotheses for the environmental groups test?
A) H 0 :
P
=
0.634
and
Ha:
P
>
0.634
B) H 0 :
P
=
0.634
and
Ha:
P
0.634
C) H 0 :
P
0.634
and
Ha:
P
<
0.634
D) H 0 :
P
>
0.634
and
Ha:
P
0.634
24. What would the environmental groups decision rule be?
A) Reject H 0 if ( P P0 ) / P (1 P ) / n < - z / 2 .
B) Reject H 0 if ( P P0 ) / P0 (1 P0 ) / n < - z .
C) Reject H 0 if ( P P0 ) / P0 (1 P0 ) / n > - z / 2 .
D)
Reject H 0 if ( P P0 ) / P0 (1 P0 ) / n > - z
THE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
A dean of college of business in the Midwest claims that he can correctly identify
whether a student is finance major or a music industry management major by the way the
student dresses. Suppose in actuality that he can correctly identify finance major 84% of
the time, while 16% of the time he mistakenly identifies music industry management
major as finance major. Presented with one student and asked to identify the major of this
student (who is either a finance or music industry management major), the dean considers
this to be a hypothesis test with the null hypothesis being that the student is finance major
and the alternative that the student is a music industry management major.
25. Which of the following statements illustrates a Type I error?
A) Saying that the student is music industry management major when in fact the
student is finance major.
B) Saying that the student is finance major when in fact the student is finance
major.
C) Saying that the student is finance major when in fact the student is music
industry management major
D) Saying that the student is music industry management major when in fact the
student is music industry management major.
An accountant claims to be able to complete a standard tax return in under an hour. For a
random sample of 24 tax returns, the accountant averaged 63.2 minutes with a standard
deviation of 7.7 minutes.
28. What is the test statistic for this test?
A) Z = 2.04
B) t = 1.79
C) t = 2.04
D) Z = 1.79
29. What are the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses?
A) H 0 :
=
60
and
Ha:
60
B) H 0 :
60
and
Ha:
>
60
C) H 0 :
=
60
and
Ha:
<
60
D) H 0 :
>
60
and
Ha:
60
THE NEXT THREE QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
An exit poll research firm claims that the proportion of Democratic voters in Salt Lake
City is at most 40 percent. A random sample of 175 voters was selected and found to
consist of 35 percent Democrats.
30. What is the value of test statistic for this sample?
A) +2.70
B) -0.85
C) -1.35
D) -1.96
B) Reject H 0 if ( X 0 ) / / n < za
C) Reject H 0 if ( X 0 ) / / n < z
( )
D) Reject H 0 if ( X ! 0 ) / ! n > z! /2
34. Assume the following null and alternative hypotheses: H 0 : = 277 and H1 : 277,
and you know that = 13.5. Take a random sample of 20 observations and let = 0.05.
For what values of sample mean will you reject the null hypothesis?
A) Sample mean > 282.9.
B) Sample mean = 271.1.
C) Sample mean < 282.9.
D) Sample mean > 271.1.
35. Suppose that we wish to test Ho: 20 versus Ha: < 20, where the population
standard deviation is known to equal 7. Also, suppose that a sample of 49 measurements
randomly selected from the population, and we adopt a 5% significance level. For what
values of the sample mean will we reject the null hypothesis?
A) 19
B) 18.6
C) 18
D) 19.4
Answer
Key:
1.
D
2.
D
3.
B
4.
A
5.
C
6.
B
7.
A
8.
C
9.
D
10.
C
11.
D
12.B
13.
C
14.
A
15.
B
16.
C
17.
B
18.
A
19.
B
20.
C
21.
D
22.
A
23.
C
24.
B
25.
A
26.
C
27.
B
28.
C
29.
B
30.
C
31.
D
32.
B
33.
A
34.
A
35.
C