Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Insurance Sector
April 2013
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Snapshot
Life Insurance Key concepts
Global Scenario of life Sector
Life Sector Highlights in selected regions
Sector Profile
Competitive Analysis
Performance Analysis of life Sector
Profitability
Assets Allocation and Investment Strategy
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis prfitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Insurance of
agricultural
Assets
(e.g. livestock)
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis prfitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Products
Risk of a Life
Insurance
Company
Term Assurance
Group Life
Disability
Long term Care
Critical illness
Payout Annuities
Whole Life
Universal Life
Variable Life
Endowment Insurance
Combined Life Annuity
Mortality
Morbidity
Longevity
Lapse
Mortality
Morbidity
Longevity
Lapse
Interest Rate
Equity Market
Lapse
Interest Rate
Equity Market
Underwriting result
Investment Income
Investment Income
Fee Income
Savings
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis prfitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Global Scenario of
Life Insurance Sector
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Regions
Premium
(USD bln)
Market
Share
Premium
% of GDP
25%
36%
35%
2%
2%
3.0%
4.0%
4.2%
2.5%
2.8%
3.8%
Africa
Oceania
WORLD
661
940
924
47
47
2,619
Premium
Per Capita
(USD)
704
1,082
224
45
1,298
376
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Demographics compared
Population
Mix
World
Pakistan
India
US
Germany
7,016,238,890
190,291,129
(ranked 7th)
1,205,073,612
(ranked 2nd)
313,847,465
(ranked 3rd)
81,147,265
(ranked 16th)
1.01 male(s)/female
Population growth
Death rate
1.1%
1.55%
1.31%
0.9%
-0.2%
7.99 deaths/1,000
6.8/ 1,000
7.4/ 1,000
8.4/ 1,000
11.0/ 1,000
52%
38%
32%
84%
74%
n.a
20%
34%
12%
24%
Urbanization
Savings as %GDP 5
Germany
13%
11%
20%
World
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
55-64
65 and above
42%
14%
29%
13%
Competitive
Analysis
41%
21%
12%
18%
35%
Pakistan
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
25-54
34%
US
India
Life
Insurance
Concepts
15-24
14%
40%
22%
7%
35%
6%
5% 4%
9%
26%
17%
Performance
Analysis profitability
41%
Performance
Analysis - Assets
8%
8%
Strengths
and Risk
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
US - Claims Experience
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
26%
2%
Matured endowments
24%
Policyholder dividends
1%
36%
70%
49%
Surrenders
41%
Payment to
beneficiaries
22%
Life
Life
Insurance
Concepts
0%
0%
Commission
Ratio: 8%
Home- and
field-office
expenses :
9%
0%
10%
Voluntary
termination
Rate: 6.1%
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Non-invested assets
1%
Government securities
3%
Other
14%
Stocks
79%
Corporate securities
6%
Mortgage-backed
securities
5%
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Channels
Largest
Bancassurance
Malta (92%)
Poland
Brokers
UK (78%)
Croatia
39% Direct
Agents
Slovakia (60%)
Direct Selling
Croatia (39%)
Lex
Other intermediaries
Sweden (44%)
46% Agents
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Product
Changes in
performance personal
circumstances
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Changes in
product
design
Performance
Analysis profitability
Sales
Channel
Economic
environment
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Company representatives
1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years
Regular premium
Endowment
92.2
86.1
80.2
73.7
95.1
90.0
84.4
78.6
93.9
88.7
83.8
79.1
Whole life
90.9
82.5
74.5
67.6
94.2
89.0
83.8
79.4
88.3
83.7
80.8
78.6
Other Life
87.1
74.8
62.6
53.1
91.4
82.6
74.6
67.5
98.1
94.8
90.6
85.9
98.4
95.9
92.5
88.1
Single premium
All others
56%
50%
41%
Other Operating
Expenses
ratio: 2.4%
Commission
Ratio: 10%
40%
30%
21%
20%
20%
10%
16%
14%
4%
4%
0%
2010
Dea th
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
2011
ma turity
surrender
Others
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Liberalized in early 2000s | one state owned Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) still dominates the market
LIC dominates the market with ~70% market share | top five private sector market share 50%
Product mix shifting to non-linked plans as indicated by first year premium
Private sector makes use of relatively diverse mix of distribution channels
Premium (%)
12
Distribution Channels
individual
agents
LIC
banks
corporate
agents
brokers
direct
selling
97
44
39
Private sector
100%
90%
Group, 17%
36%
80%
59%
70%
60%
72%
76%
50%
45%
40%
30%
20%
16%
10%
0%
8%
Linked
18%
24%
20%
Non-Linked
Linked
Non-Linked
Private Sector
Individuals,
83%
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Single Premium
Competitive
Analysis
21%
3%
Performance
Analysis profitability
LIC
First Year
Renewal
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
FY12
Tota l
LIC
-1%
-3%
-31%
-42%
Priva te sector
FY11
Tota l
54%
59%
-6%
-2%
LIC -2%
Priva te sector
-50%
-41%
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
5% 18%
-1% -28%
35%
0%
25%
31%
6% 18%
Competitive
Analysis
93%
96%
72%
96%
75%
66%
75%
Commission Ra tio
Investment Income
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
94%
3%
7%8%
50%
94%
65%
6%11%
55%
Benefit ra tio
Reserve ra tio
Life
Insurance
Concepts
42%
55%
7%7%
49%
-47%
-25%
6%10%
Operating
Ratio
96%
100%
125%
150%
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
4%
6%
100%
90%
32%
80%
70%
8%
60%
18%
94%
50%
40%
30%
39%
20%
10%
0%
ULIPs Funds*
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
50%
Number of partcipants
90,000
45%
3%
80,000
40%
2%
70,000
33%
35%
6
PKR bln
30%
1%
50,000
25%
0%
33%
31%
40,000
20%
0%
2
30,000
32%
15%
34%
63%
31%
20,000
0
CY06
CY07
CY08
CY09
CY10
CY11
Private Non-takaful*
CY12
Private Takaful
-
Private Non-takaful
Public (SLIC)
Nominal GPW Growth
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
72%
69%
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
66%
5%
CY06
CY07
CY08
130
516
1,532
2,523
6,149
8,389
11,505
13,227
16,589
22,497
30,439
15,992
18,717
22,695
28,367
35,639
44,812
55,733
20%
22%
27%
23%
28%
29%
28%
Private Takaful
Life
Insurance
Concepts
10%
68%
68%
10,000
Public (SLIC)
65%
28%
Performance
Analysis profitability
CY09
CY10
Performance
Analysis - Assets
CY11
CY12E
0%
Strengths
and Risk
GPW Growth
60,000
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Group
14%
Individuals Conventional
83%
Private Sector
Individuals Health and
Pension
0%
Individuals Conventional
3%
Group
13%
Individuals Investment
Linked
84%
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
License
Product design approval
Moderate Power
Moderate Power
Low Power
Low dependence of life insurer |
low cession level
Distribution Channel
Agents
Banca
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Individuals
Accepts premium rates quoted by
Actuary/ company
Can substitute life schemes with
those of other saving schemes
offered by banks and mutual
funds, etc
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Moderate
Operational
Moderate
Low
Legal
Regulatory
Low
9-10yrs break even
Strong IT infrastructure
requirements
SECP puts limit on expenses
High capital injections in
initial years
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
CY07
CY08
Private sector
2%
37%
1%
1%
47%
56%
26%
21%
5%
9%
38%
37%
14%
35%
22%
20%
19%
36%
34%
31%
CY10
CY11
CY12
20%
35%
31%
CY10
CY11
24%
CY12
Conventional
First Year Premium
Life
Insurance
Concepts
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Global
General
Insurance
Subsequent renewals
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Public sector
CY11
CY12E
50%
53%
19%
21%
16%
30%
30%
31%
CY10
CY11
9M12 E
Subsequent Renewals
Single
Competitive
Analysis
CY10
Conventional
Unit-linked
Second Year Premium
CY09
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
120%
70%
100%
60%
22%
50%
26%
27%
60%
30%
40%
44%
10%
0%
12%
2%
5%
12%
2%
8%
14%
1%
5%
19%
CY10
CY11
CY12
16%
2%
10%
5%
2%
CY10
CY11
CY12
Conventional
Unit-linked
Global
General
Insurance
40%
20%
0%
2%
CY10
CY11
CY12
11%
25%
6%
12%
20%
5%
CY10
CY11
94%
86%
CY10
CY11
Group
Life
Insurance
Concepts
42%
4%
80%
40%
20%
6%
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
* includes experience
refund
Competitive
Analysis
Conventional
Group
Death Maturity Surrenders Others
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
CY12
Statutory Funds
Private sector
-31%
CY11
Total
-54%
SLIC
-60%
SLIC
41%
-77%
Private sector
48%
-21% 26%
0%
25%
73%
25% 14%
24% 12%
92%
70%
25% 14%
43%
-20% 23%
Total
CY10
37%
-69%
Private sector
Life
Insurance
Concepts
96%
83%
92%
53%
26% 14%
75%
26% 15%
26% 13%
50%
95%
97%
99%
87%
93%
49%
75%
Claims ratio
Commission Ratio
Reserve ratio
Investment Income
Global
General
Insurance
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
8%
10%
6%
29%
9%
1%
2%
65%
PKR mln
Investments
Shareholders Funds
Statutory Funds
69%
Total Assets
Shareholders Funds
Statutory Funds
72%
69%
22%
1%
9%
15%
Shareholders Fund
Statutory fund
Shareholders Fund
Private Sector
Equities
Real estate
Liquid Assets/
policyholders
liabilities
Statutory fund
Government securities
Security
4,752
323,802
328,554
5,145
396,656
401,801
6,616
413,593
420,209
6,425
339,072
345,497
1.0 times
1.0 times
loans
Private Sector
CY11
Gov Sec
Life
Insurance
Concepts
CY12
SLIC
Public Sector
Weighted
Average
Maturity
CY11
CY12E
14.2years
Mix
CY11
12.8years
CY12
1.7years
Mix
Mix
0.6years
Mix
PIBS
96%
14.2yrs
97%
12.8yrs
41%
3.3yrs
8%
0.8yrs
T-bills
4%
0.0yrs
3%
0.0yrs
59%
0.5yrs
92%
0.6yrs
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Life
Insurance
Concepts
CY11
CY12
11.9%
12.6%
10.0%
14.0%
Comparison
CY11
CY12
12.1%
10.3%
-2.2%
24.5%
-5.5%
22.9%
5%
6%
KSE-100 Index
-4%
49%
Discount Rate
13.1%
11.0%
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Strengths
Tremendous Growth
Robust profitability
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Risk Analysis
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Risks
Persistency
Less efficiency with higher acquisition cost
Solvency requirements
catastrophic cover
Transparency limited disclosures of assets under
management. Takaful firms are better off.
Competition with substitutes | mutual funds
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Bibliography
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
Insurance Ordinance section 3 (Division of insurance business into life and non-life) and section 4 (Classes of life and
non-life business)
Swiss Re Sigma no. 1/2012: understanding profitability in life insurance | Figure 16 | Page 21
Analysis based on data published by Swiss Re in Sigma 3/12 titled world insurance 2011 | statistical appendix updated
Jan 2013
Demographic Analysis based on data extracted from 2012 estimates of The Center of Intelligence, United States of
America [https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uk.html]
The World Bank: Gross savings are calculated as gross national income less total consumption, plus net transfers
Analysis of American Life sector is based upon figures and information extracted from US Factbook 2012, issued by
American Council of Life Insurers
CEA Statistics N 46 European Insurance in Figures January 2013 | Table 20 Table 20: Breakdown of life insurance
premiums by distribution channel 2010 | Page 63
Financial Services Authority 2011 Survey of the persistency of Life and Pensions policies | Section 3: Reasons why
consumers let their policies lapse | Page 8,9,10
Financial Services Authority 2011 Survey of the persistency of Life and Pensions policies | Annexures | Page 13-16
Statistical Yearbook of German Insurance 2012
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority, India | Annual Report 2001-2012
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority, India | Annual Report 2001-2012 | Table 11.3 | Page 11
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority, India | Annual Report 2001-2012 | Statement 21 | Page 162
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority, India | Annual Report 2001-2012 | table 1.43 | Page 60
Analysis based on PACRAs inhouse research | figures compiled from annual financial statements of industry participants
Life
Insurance
Concepts
Global
Scenario of
life Sector
Pakistans
Sector
Profile
Competitive
Analysis
Performance
Analysis Profitability
Performance
Analysis - Assets
Strengths
and Risk
Analysts
Amara S. Gondal
amara.gondal@pacra.com
Jhangeer Hanif
jhangeer@pacra.com
Abdul Hayee
Abdul.hayee@pacra.com
Anam Pirzada
anam@pacra.com
Noman Umar
Noman.umar@pacra.com
DISCLAIMER
PACRA has used due care in preparation of this document. Our information has been obtained from sources
we consider to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. The information in this
document may be copied or otherwise reproduced, in whole or in part, provided the source is duly
acknowledged. The presentation should not be relied upon as professional advice.