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AVG. RISE
AVG.
%
FAILURES %
LIKELY
RISE %
6%
41%
30%
19%
27%
25%
25%
33%
25%
6%
37%
25%
11%
5%
3%
2%
2%
17%
37%
38%
40%
43%
52%
63%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
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PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#1 Bullish! One of
the most bullish and
dependable chart
pattern with only a
6% failure rate and
an average positive
rise of 41%. The
average rise was
30%. These pattern
chart formations are
often long enough to
appear on the
weekly charts and
daily charts.
Trading Tactics The average trade
for entry should
occur on the right
side of the dome
when the price
closes above the
dome or at crest for
the more aggressive
investors.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#2 Bullish! Contrary
to popular belief,
more chart pattersn
with right-angled
descending
broadening
formations break out
upwards than
downwards.
Trading Tactics The upper price
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PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#4 Bullish! This
formation had only a
6% failure rate which
is outstanding. When
the neckline slopes
downward at
indicated, the stock
performes better.
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PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#5 Bullish! Great
CCing pattern for
stock price rise
when the horn
lengths are at least
twice as long than
most spikes over
the prior year.
Trading Tactics The left spike
shows higher than
average volume
and thus more
volatility. Some
horns appear near
the end of
uptrends, so watch
for the trend to
change!
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#7 Bullish! A
Pattern Shape double bottom
Shaped like a big
occurs after a
upper case W that
downward price
usually takes
trend. High volume approxiately 4
commonly occurs months worth of
on the first bottom. time to complete the
formation pattern.
Trading Tactics - WINs - Bottoms
2/3s of the double humps that are closer
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together usually
show larger price
gains and breakouts.
It is suggested that
you average down or
leg into positions
with sideshows.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#8 Bullish! The
Pattern Shape failure rate for
Two drawn
falling wedges is
downward-sloping
very low at 10%
to the right side
while the average trendlines that
rise of 43% for this eventually must
indicator suggest a intersect. Use the
profitable formation trendline feature to
to trade. The highest draw the lines. Most
price after the
formations have at
breakout is approx. least five touches. 3
the beginning of the on one side and 2
trendlines.
on the other side.
Trading Tactics - WINs - Be ready
Most falling wedges to cover when the
has a mininum
falling wedges
duration of 3-wks or come to an
more. Anything less intersect. It may be
possible to buy
is most likely a
pennant. Formations PUTs as side shows
for the more
rarely exceed 4
aggressive
months long.
investors.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
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#10 Bullish! The price Pattern Shape gaps upward after a During a flag
consolidation region phase, prices can
of several days to
slowly drift
several weeks long. downward as
This occurs after the much as -20%.
stock doubles in price. Prices move
sideways for 3 to
5 weeks.
Trading Tactics WINs - You
Buy after the breakout can buy and hold
is the safest course of or average down
action. Wait for prices your position. Let
to rise above the
the trend be your
highest high in the
friend.
flag.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#1 Bearish! This Pattern Shape patters fools many There are two
investors. Prices
patterns which are
usually go against related. Flags:price
the prevailing trend. action bounded by
In other words, the two parallel
price will
trendlines.
eventually fall as
Pennants:the two
the smart money
trendlines converge
exists.
to a point.
Trading Tactics - WINs - This kind
These formations of pattern last a total
usually form near of 3-weeks max.
the midpoint of a Volume usually
steep, quick price trends downward
trend. If you do not throughout the
have a strong
formation. "Volume
advance or decline precedes price!"
leading to the chart
pattern, ignore the
formation.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
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#3 Bearish! One Pattern Shape of the most easy H&S tops have
patterns to spot and multiple heads,
shoulders, or both.
one of the most
profitable! Takes
as long as three
months to form.
Trading Tactics - WINs - When
Pull-backs average prices closes below
64% and
the neckline, a
formations with
breakout occurs. For
downword sloping those cases with a
necklines or higher steep, down-sloping
left shoulders
neckline, use the
perform better.
lowest trough price
as the breakout point.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
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PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#5 Bearish!
Descending
broadening
wedges act as a
consolidation of
the prevailing
trend. The volume
tends to increase
over time.
Trading Tactics This formation
acts as a
consolidation of
the trend. If prices
are moving down,
prices usually
continue down
after a downside
breakout.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#7 Bearish! The
Pattern Shape price trend begins as Looks like a bulla negative downtrend horn and usually
that leads to a bounce takes less than
forming a
three months to
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megaphone
appearance with
higher highs and
lower lows that
widends over time.
Then, the breakout is
upward usually off
the moving average
line.
Trading Tactics Partial rise at the end
of the formation
predicts a downside
breakout 67% of the
time and partial
declines predicts an
upside breakout 80%
of the time.
form. Volume
usually follows
price; rises as price
rises, falls when
prices fall.
WINs - Once
recognizing a
broadening
formation, go long
at the low and buy
after the stock
makes its turn at
the low. Likewise,
go short at the high
prices start heading
down at the top.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#8 Bearish! Prices
rise steadily along a
trendline, bump up,
round over, then
declines through the
trendline and
continues downward.
Pattern Shape - If
the trendline is flat
or nearly so, it is
not a good bumpand-rund reversal
candidate. The
typical trendline
was a 30-degree
angled line.
Trading Tactics WINs - When
Waiting for the
prices rises to the
breakout improves
old high, consider
investment
selling it if the the
performance. The
stock shows
close should be above weakness.
the down-sloping
trendline before you
buy the stock.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#9 Bearish! The
price trend begins as
a positive uptrend
that leads to a pullback forming a
megaphone
appearance with
higher highs and
lower lows that
widends over time.
Then, the breakout is
upward usually off
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WINs - The
breakout can occur
in either direction
and, in several
cases, prices move
horizontally for
several months
before staging a
definitive
breakout.
PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS
#10 Bearish! Prices Pattern Shape trend downward then Prices trend
form lower highs
downward then
and higher lows
form lower highs
following two
and higher lows
sloping trendlines
following two
that eventually
sloping tredlines
intersect. The
that eventually
breakout is
intersect. Looks
downward with a
like a triangle on its
57% average
side.
pullback.
Trading Tactics - WINs - Unknows
Triangles with high ahead of time. You
volume breakouts
must wait for the
show larger losses. breakout before
Pullbacks are more investing.
likely to occur after
a high volume
breakout.
TECHNICAL TERMS DEFINED:
Percentage of formations that do not work as expected.
FAILURE RATE: The numbers apply to formations once they stage a
breakout (confirming the formation).
The letter R appears if the majority of formations act as
REVERSAL
reversals of the price trend and the letter C appears for
OR
consolidations. If both R and C appear in an entry, then the
CONSOLIDATION:
chart pattern has no overriding majority of either type.
A throwback is an upside breakout that returns price to the
THROWBACK, top of the formation or trendline boundary. A pullback is a
downside breakside breakout that returns prices to the
PULLBACK:
bottom of the formation or trendline boundary
Computed by measuring the individual percentage rise or
decline for each formation and tabulating a frequency
LIKELY RISE
distribution of the results. The most likely rise or decline is
OR
the range with the highest frequency and usually excludes
DECLINE
the rightmost column.
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11/15/2004