Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Team #smooth
Aili Huang
Chris Ng
Jessica Yuan
Lily Peng
Overview
Rapid growth in certain cities in China has led to social and wealth imbalance between urban and
rural areas
The Chinese Insurance Regulatory Committee (CIRC) encourages insurers to offer microinsurance products to the poor
China Life is both a state-owned enterprise (SOE) and a publicly traded company
Issue
Decision criteria
Social responsibility
Profitability
Accident Insurance
Background
Recommendation
46%
60%
64%
56%
64%
Rural Population
68%
Life
Non-life
GDP
60%
Urban Population
Micro-Insurance Overview
Definition
Micro-Insurance
Clients
Low risk
High insurance literacy
Middle to high income
High risk
Low insurance literacy
Low income
Policies
Complex products
Many exclusions
Risk-adjusted pricing
Distribution
Non-traditional intermediaries
Premiums
Received regularly
Monetary values
Received infrequently
Lower premiums
Not necessarily monetary
Flexible and faster claim process
Social Benefits
Profitability
About 80% of
claims and
operational costs
are covered by
premiums
Stimulates core
business operations
through
differentiation and
innovation
Evolution of Life
Micro-Insurance Products
Increases awareness of
risk management and
savings instruments
Reduces vulnerability
of the poor to damages
and losses due to
unforeseen events
Fiduciary Duty
As an SOE, carries
out the interest of
the government.
Industry Overview
Porters Five Forces
Industry Prospects**
Threat to
New
Entrants
Availability
of
Substitutes
Competitive
Rivalry
Bargaining
Power of
Suppliers
Bargaining
Power of
Buyers
Major Competitors*
Industry Characteristics
Xinhua
Life
7%
Pacific
Life
10%
China
Life
40%
Ping An
Life
16%
Growing demand
Low market
penetration in rural
areas
Coexistence of SOEs
and private players
CIRC supports
participating
companies in the pilot
program
3
*Source: http://www.chinaknowledge.com/Business/CBGdetails
**Source: http://www.microensure.com/images/library/files/Resources/MicroinsurancePoV_01.12.pdf
Projected Profitability
Maximize shareholder value by pursuing profitable projects;
Project Profit = Product Profit + Synergy
Goal
Premium Revenue
Rural
23%
Urban
77%
Premium
Payment
1.37%
Target
Provinces
36%
Others
64%
China GDP
Others
98.63%
Rural GDP
China
Life
Unpenetrated
Market Size
Expenses: Assumptions
Benefits & claims
Decrease to 0
Projected Profitability
Goal
(RMB MM)
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
Product Profit/(Loss)
5,155
Revenue
(5,603)
Expenses
(448)
EBIT
(360)
(Net loss)
-6.99%
NI margin
7,051
(7,664)
(613)
(493)
-6.99%
9,115
(9,907)
(792)
(637)
-6.99%
11,287
(12,267)
(981)
(789)
-6.99%
13,523
(14,698)
(1,175)
(945)
-6.99%
43,900
54,751
67,318
82,806
101,906
Synergy
1,536
1,916
2,356
2,898
3,567
Project Profit
1,176
1,423
1,719
2,109
2,622
Synergy
Synergy
NI - Traditional
5.5%
4.5%
3.5%
2.5%
1.5%
0.5%
-0.5%
20%
2292
1853
1414
975
536
97
-342
30%
2213
1774
1335
896
457
18
-421
Costs
50%
2054
1615
1176
737
298
-141
-580
40%
2133
1694
1255
816
377
-62
-501
Synergy
Investment
professionals believe
corporate social
responsibilities increase
shareholder value by an
average of 2-5%*
Assume synergy of 3.5%
60%
1975
1536
1097
658
219
-220
-659
*Source: S. Bonini, N. Brun, and M. Rosenthal, Valuing corporate social responsibility, The McKinsey Quarterly, February 2008
70%
1896
1457
1018
579
140
-299
-738
80%
1816
1377
938
499
60
-379
-818
Decision Matrix
Goal
Criteria
Criteria Weight
Term Insurance
Accident
Insurance
Micro-credit
Endowment
Insurance
Disability
Income
To develop profitable products that the low-income market would be interested in buying.
Product Social Risk
Value Protection
Rate of
Renewal
Ease of
Affordability Understandability
Distribution
Total
18%
6
18%
7
16%
8
13%
9
13%
6
11%
8
11%
8
100%
7.33
7.38
6.01
5.65
5.01
Conclusion
o
o
Next Step
Promptness of
Claims
Settlement
Top products:
Term Insurance
Accident Insurance
Design the chosen products to make it
competitive and profitable.
Premium
Payment
Individual
Insurance
Group
Insurance
Suggested Products
- If monetary payments are
difficult, potential other
payment methods include:
- Harvest payments
- Paying by trading cell
phone air time
Products
Features
Premiums
Benefit
Advantages
Renewable &
Convertible
Term 5
- Life Insurance
- Allows policyholder at the end
of the term to:
renew for an additional term
or
convert the policy to a
permanent one
Level premium
for each term
with a premium
increase for each
new term
Lump
sum
Regular
Lump
sum
- Affordable
- Financial protection for
the breadwinner of the
household
- Targeting those
working under high
risks
Accidental Death
&
Dismemberment
Insurance
Implementation Strategies
Increasing Penetration Rate *
Agents
Intermediaries
Family
marketing
Shorter term/
commitment
Group policy
village leaders
Education
China Life
Customers
Low product
development costs:
simple product
Savings from
government support
program
Minimizing fraud
costs: adequate
monitoring
young generation
Regulations &
Legislations
Pilot Project
Technology
Customized
Solutions
(timely
application
processing)
Savings Life
Gradually
increase
customization
of product
offerings
Partnerships
Monitoring
(minimize
fraud costs)
Flexibility &
Scalability
Mobility
Property Insurance
Endowment Life
Agriculture
Health Insurance
Distribution
Lack of Awareness
Solutions:
Build positive relationships
with village leaders
Recruit agents originating
from target counties
Solutions:
Start the pilot in nearby and
populated rural areas
Send agents on voluntary
and missionary tours
Solutions:
Develop products based on
familiar commodities, e.g.
crops and farm produces
Simple paperwork
Claims Settlement
Solutions:
Start at populated rural
areas to gather information
as the base line
Gradually build up database
Solutions:
Provide initial payment right
after claims have been filed
Provide final settlements
within 30 days
9
Recommendations
Entrance to the
micro-insurance
market in China
Objectives
accomplished
2008
Finalize product
offerings
Obtain policy
approval from
government
Recruit agents
Incorporate
technology to
facilitate
increasing client
base
Remind clients to
renew or switch
to permanent
policies
Recommendations
Timeline
10
To prioritize maximizing shareholders interest while maintaining certain levels of social responsibilities.
Privately-Owned:
State-Owned:
Criteria
Criteria Weight
Weight Change
Term Insurance
Accident
Insurance
Micro-credit
Endowment
Insurance
Disability
Income
Rate of
Renewal
Ease of
Affordability Understandability
Distribution
Promptness of
Claims
Settlement
Total
25%
+7%
6
13%
-3%
7
16%
+3%
8
15%
+2%
9
10%
-1%
6
11%
0%
8
10%
-1%
8
100%
7.31
6.08
5.72
5.01
11
7.32
Projected Profitability
Premium Revenue
Expenses: Assumptions
Benefits & claims
Decrease to 0
China
Life
Unpenetrated
Market Size
Cost
50.00%
1015
1078
1142
1205
1268
1332
1395
52.00%
994
1060
1126
1192
1257
1323
1389
54.00%
973
1042
1110
1178
1247
1315
1384
Market share
56.00%
952
1023
1094
1165
1236
1307
1378
12
58.00%
931
1005
1078
1152
1225
1299
1372
60.00%
911
987
1063
1139
1215
1291
1367
62.00%
890
968
1047
1125
1204
1282
1361
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Established extensive
sales force
Large market share in
existing insurance
market; strong brand
BOD consisting of
former government
officials
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Lack of government
involvement may
disadvantage the
company
Shareholders may
differ in opinions in
terms of CSR choices
Threats
13
2004A
2005A
2006A
2007A
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
69,334
66,257
81,022
99,417
(1,571)
(1,182)
(769)
(140)
(85)
67,763
65,075
80,253
99,277
(547)
(67)
(215)
(430)
(397)
67,216
65,008
80,038
98,847
11,667
11,798
18,174
48,464
79,968
Total Revenues
78,883
76,806
98,212
(8,570)
(6,816)
(8,311)
(4,882)
(6,418)
(6,847)
(6,999)
REVENUES
(508)
(458)
86,061
(579)
(522)
(660)
(596)
(751)
(678)
(854)
(771)
(971)
(876)
(6,343)
(7,385)
(8,418)
(9,603)
(39,966) (25,361) (33,977) (44,238) (45,334) (58,682) (66,890) (76,299) (86,813) (98,680) (112,169)
(6,811)
(3,704)
(4,894)
(6,386)
(7,181)
(8,361)
(9,531)
(449)
(616)
(973)
(996)
(1,138)
(3,081)
(3,938)
(4,953)
(7,793)
(8,521)
(11,607) (9,859)
(2,048)
(5,359)
A-1
(6,131)
(7,590)
(9,396)
(5,023)
(6,263)
(7,766)
(1,294)
(1,472)
(1,845)
(2,415)
(2,725)
Administrative expenses
(6,862)
(6,585)
(7,237)
(9,339)
(872)
(131)
(798)
(859)
(1,651)
(1,525)
(1,823)
(2,170)
(2,567)
(3,040)
(3,608)
(7)
(85)
(96)
(174)
(194)
(219)
(221)
(252)
(288)
(327)
(372)
(423)
(3,173)
(3,617)
(4,125)
(4,694)
(5,335)
(6,065)
(81,970) (67,303) (86,702) (121,706) (146,390) (172,595) (203,259) (238,930) (279,457) (327,173) (383,675)
409
(3,087)
9,503
11,510
25,605
45,391
43,183
54,579
68,070
83,694
102,950 126,696
(1,180)
(2,280)
(2,145)
(5,554)
(6,331)
(8,449)
(4,267)
7,223
9,365
20,051
39,060
34,733
43,900
54,751
67,318
82,806
101,906
(4,252)
7,171
9,306
19,956
38,879
34,572
43,696
54,497
67,006
82,422
101,434
minority interest
(15)
52
59
95
181
161
203
254
312
384
472
1,536
1,916
2,356
2,898
3,567
1,529
1,907
2,345
2,885
3,550
minority interest
11
13
17
Synergy
Synergy attributable to:
A-2
2004A
-4.44%
1.78%
2005A
22.28%
0.95%
2006A
22.70%
0.14%
2007A
12.54%
0.08%
2008E
16.80%
0.39%
2009E
13.99%
0.39%
2010E
14.07%
0.39%
2011E
13.78%
0.39%
2012E
13.67%
0.39%
2013E
13.67%
0.39%
0.10%
0.27%
0.43%
0.36%
0.35%
0.35%
0.35%
0.35%
0.35%
0.35%
A-3
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
REVENUES
Net premium revenue
Net investment and other income
5,155
-
7,051
-
9,115
-
11,287
-
13,523
-
Total Revenues
5,155
7,051
9,115
11,287
13,523
(4,124)
(5,641)
(7,292)
(9,029)
(10,818)
(759)
(188)
(477)
(55)
-
(1,038)
(258)
(652)
(75)
-
(1,342)
(333)
(843)
(97)
-
(1,662)
(413)
(1,044)
(120)
-
(1,991)
(494)
(1,251)
(143)
-
(5,603)
(7,664)
(9,907)
A-4
(12,267) (14,698)
A-5
(448)
(88)
(613)
(120)
(792)
(155)
(981)
(192)
(1,175)
(230)
(360)
-6.99%
(493)
-6.99%
(637)
-6.99%
(789)
-6.99%
(945)
-6.99%
(359)
(2)
(491)
(2)
(634)
(3)
(785)
(4)
(941)
(4)
29143.3
30%
6725.38
1.37%
35.75%
25%
62.62%
5154.9
33219.6
30%
7666.06
1.37%
35.75%
30%
62.62%
7051.11
-80.00%
-80.00%
-80.00%
-80.00%
-80.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
-14.73%
-3.66%
0.00%
-14.73%
-3.66%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
-9.25%
-1.06%
0.00%
-9.25%
-1.06%
0.00%
-9.25%
-1.06%
0.00%
-9.25%
-1.06%
0.00%
-9.25%
-1.06%
50.00%
19.57%
99.54%
99.54%
99.54%
99.54%
99.54%
A-6
Real-time connectivity
Mobility
(2008) Tata-AIG and ICICI-Lombard use vans to
roam the rural areas of India, educating consumers
by showing videos that explain the benefits and
workings of micro-insurance.
*Source: http://www.microensure.com/images/library/files/Resources/MicroinsurancePoV_01.12.pdf
A-7