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This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934, as amended that represent the company's current expectations and beliefs. All statements other than statements of historical fact are "forward-looking statements" for purposes
of federal and state securities laws and include, but are not limited to, statements of management's expectations regarding the company's performance, opportunities, risks, initiatives,
growth, strategies, product offerings, sales force, consumers and new product development; statements regarding shareholder value and projections regarding our 2015-2016
business cycle, future sales, expenses, earnings per share, sources and uses of cash, foreign currency fluctuations, inventory and other financial items; statements of management's
expectations and beliefs regarding China and other markets; statements of belief; and statements of assumptions underlying any of the foregoing. In some cases, you can identify
these statements by forward-looking words such as "believe," "expect," "project," "anticipate," "estimate," "intend," "plan," "targets," "likely," "will," "would," "could," "may," "might," the
negative of these words and other similar words.
The forward-looking statements and related assumptions involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and outcomes to differ materially from any forward-looking
statements or views expressed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following:
risk that continuing media and regulatory scrutiny and investigations in China, and any actions taken by the company or by regulators, could cause unanticipated complications
or other difficulties, make it more difficult to forecast results for future periods, and could negatively impact the company's revenue, sales force and business in this market,
including the interruption of sales activities, loss of licenses, and the imposition of fines, and any other adverse actions or events;
risks related to negative publicity regarding recent media allegations and subsequent regulatory investigations and fines;
risk that direct selling regulations in China may be modified, interpreted or enforced in a manner that results in negative changes to the company's business model or the
imposition of a range of potential penalties;
any failure of current or planned initiatives or products to generate interest among the company's sales force and customers and generate sponsoring and selling activities on a
sustained basis;
risks related to accurately predicting, delivering or maintaining sufficient quantities of products to support the company's planned initiatives or launch strategies, and increased
risk of inventory write-offs if the company over-forecasts demand for a product, changes its planned initiatives or launch strategies, or does not achieve expected sales levels;
risk of foreign currency fluctuations and the currency translation impact on the company's business associated with these fluctuations;
regulatory risks associated with the company's products, which could require the company to modify its claims or inhibit the company's ability to import or continue selling a
product in a market if it is determined to be a medical device or if it is unable to register the product in a timely manner under applicable regulatory requirements;
adverse publicity related to the company's business, products, industry or any legal actions or complaints by the company's sales force or others;
any prospective or retrospective increases in duties on the company's products imported into the company's markets outside of the United States and any adverse results of tax
audits or unfavorable changes to tax laws in the company's various markets; and
10
11
Beat Guidance
Within Range
Missed Guidance
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
projected
12
13
14
*
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
*projected
15
2014
projected
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
16
2014
projected
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
17
18
ANTI-AGING PRODUCTS AND SERVICES: THE GLOBAL MARKET, BCC RESEARCH, AUGUST 2013
19
A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE ON DIRECT SELLING, BEAUTY & PERSONAL CARE AND CONSUMER HEALTH, EUROMONITOR INTERNATIONAL, MARCH 2014
20
A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE ON DIRECT SELLING, BEAUTY & PERSONAL CARE AND CONSUMER HEALTH, EUROMONITOR INTERNATIONAL, MARCH 2014
21
22
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
PRODUCT FORMULATION
INGREDIENT LIBRARY
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
87
88
89
90
91
92
Millions USD
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
Millions USD
107
Millions USD
108
Millions USD
109
1,200,000
1,600,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
Thousands USD
Thousands USD
1,400,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
400,000
200,000
200,000
0
0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
110
Thousands Won
500,000,000
400,000,000
300,000,000
200,000,000
50,000,000
45,000,000
40,000,000
Thousands Yen
600,000,000
35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
5,000,000
0
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
111
$400
$350
16%
19%
27%
8%
Millions USD
9%
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
21%
$50
$0
Singapore
Thailand
Indonesia
Malaysia
Australia/New Zealand
Philippines & Other
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
112
$70
$350
$300
Millions USD
$60
Millions USD
5 Yr. CAGR = 3%
3 Yr. CAGR = 6%
$50
$40
$30
$250
$200
$150
$20
$100
$10
$50
$0
$0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
113
$250
5 Yr. CAGR = 6%
3 Yr. CAGR = 4%
12%
40%
18%
Millions USD
$200
$150
$100
30%
$50
West Europe
East Europe
North Europe
Russia/Other
$0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
projected
114
AMERICAS
+7 - 10%
EMEA
(3 5)%
GREATER
CHINA
+2 - 5%
NORTH
ASIA
+5 - 8%
SOUTH ASIA /
PACIFIC
+8 - 10%
Global Local-Currency Growth
4 - 6%
-6%
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
$1.38
$1.20
$0.80
$0.59
$0.20
$0.24
$0.28
$0.32
$0.36
$0.40
$0.42
$0.44
$0.46
$0.50
130
131
132
133
134
GAAP Reconciliation
81.9%
0.0%
0.0%
81.5%
0.0%
0.0%
81.2%
1.9%
0.0%
Projected
2014
81.4%
0.0%
2.0%
81.9%
81.5%
83.1%
83.4%
6.1%
1.7%
0.0%
11.2%
0.8%
0.0%
13.6%
0.0%
1.9%
13.4%
0.0%
0.0%
2.0%
7.8%
12.0%
15.5%
15.4%
2007
Gross Margin
Percentage impact of Japan customs ruling
Percentage impact of inventory reserve
Gross Margin excluding Japan customs ruling and inventory
reserve
Operating Margin
Percentage impact of restructuring
Percentage impact of Japan customs ruling
Percentage impact of inventory reserve
Operating Margin excluding restructuring, Japan customs ruling and
inventory reserve
Earnings per share
Impact of restructuring
Impact of Japan customs ruling
Impact of inventory reserve
Impact of Venezuela Highly Inflationary accounting
Earnings per share excluding restructuring, Japan customs ruling,
inventory reserve and Venezuela highly inflationary accounting.
-2.0% to 0.0%
-6.0%
4.0% to 6.0%
2011
0.67
0.17
-
1.40
0.11
-
2.38
0.31
-
3.06 - 3.11
0.52
0.48
0.84
1.51
2.69
4.06 - 4.11
2009
2009
1,297
17
1,314
-
2010
1,463
55
1,518
(69)
2011
1,610
110
1,720
(155)
1,314
1,449
1,565
1,832
300
2,132
(154)
2013
2,627
550
3,177
(127)
Projected
2014
2,350
210
2,560
81
1,978
3,050
2,641
2012