Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Transformer Monitoring:
How Moving forward from Monitoring to
Diagnostics can Positively Impact Indian
Business and Industry
Brian Sparling, SMIEEE
GridTech 2007, Delhi
February 5-6, 2007
The Transformer
A complex system
Bushings
Tap changer
Cooling
System
Coils
Control
Cabinet
Oil
Tank
Core
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Transformer
Maintenance &
Repair
Diagnostic
No 10%
Is it Serious ?
Yes
No
90%
8%
Yes 2%
Do
nothing
Do
something
else
else
Broadband technique
applied routinely
Focused technique
applied as required
Cigre Report No. 227, Life Management Techniques for Power Transformers. WG A2.18
GE Proprietary and Confidential
Maintenance &
Repair Shop
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Failure Avoidance
When the insulation system
is stressed,
KEY fault gases are produced
and they will dissolve in the oil
Hydrogen from oil
Carbon Monoxide from paper
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40
35
30
Transformer fault
25
20
15
10
5
0
1-Dec
15-Dec
29-Dec
12-Jan
26-Jan
9-Feb
23-Feb
Date
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z
z
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in g
Oi
Wi
nd
1.2
1.7 2.2
Temperature (oC)
76
rier
b ar
64
in
Th
56
tion
sula
g in
44
din
Win
3.3
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Predictive Modeling:
Anomaly Detection
Premise:
By modeling the steady-state behavior of the transformer using
multivariate analysis, we can deduce an impending fault in that same
transformer as its behavior changes over time.
This analysis will generate an alarm before a univariable control limit
would be exceeded
Application:
Turn forced outages into planned outages
Typical Detectable Faults:
Incipient Fault Detection of Insulation System Failure
Loss of Cooling Efficiency
Degradation of Tap Changer moving parts (gear slop)
Any class of fault that occurs over time (non-instantaneous)
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Predictive Modeling:
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Predictive Modeling:
PCA
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Predictive Modeling:
Model Error Contributions
Tap Changer Position & Temperature profile
Differs from what model is accustomed
to seeing
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Diagnostic Modeling:
Bayesian Belief Networks
Premise:
The failure modes of transformer components are well known.
The relative failure probabilities are also known. It should be
possible to build a model that will link failure modes and
effects to the underlying damaged component. By adding test
results (findings) to the model, the model diagnostics can be
refined until the faulted component can be inferred with a high
probability of accuracy.
> Approach:
FMEA process employed to enumerate transformer failure
types (faults) and their relative frequencies
Assist Maintenance personnel to quickly isolate transformer
faults
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Diagnostic Modeling:
Bayesian Belief Networks
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Summary
Benefits of a combined early fault detection and
diagnostic system
Better knowledge of the operating condition of the fleet
Early warning of incipient faults on any of the 5 components of
the transformer
Better management of capital and allocating resources to
improve the network development
Improved predictability of network performance
Early detection & correct diagnosis of a problem, saves money
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Summary
Every transformer has its own normal behavior,
in operation, and very different behavior when
failing.
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