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1. Profitability Analysis
1.1 Rate of Return (ROR)/Return of Investment (ROI)
Rate of Return (ROI) is the annual profit generated by one unit of capital
invested. The formula for calculating ROI is as follows
The numerator of ROI equation is the annual net profit (NP) and
denominator component is fixed capital investment (FC). From our economical
analysis of our product, we can insert our NP and FC into this equation which our
data that inserted into the equation is in the fifth year after tax cash flow.
The calculated ROI is about 33%. Thus it can be concluded that our PLA
plant will yield good enough profits. Based on this ROI our product will attract
some investors in good way.
1.2 Payback Period
Payback Period is the duration (in years) of an investment will be returned.
Here is the formula for calculating payback period taking into account the Time
Value of Money:
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Rp5,000,000
Rp4,000,000
Cumulative Cash Flow
Thousand
Rp3,000,000
Rp2,000,000
Rp1,000,000
Payback Period
Rp0
-Rp1,000,000
8
10
Beginning of year
12
14
16
-Rp2,000,000
Figure 3.1 Payback Period Curves Based on Cumulative Cash Flow
(source : own calculation)
Based on this cumulative cash flow above, we know that our products payback
period is 5 years. This payback period time is acceptable because it is less than
predetermined period.
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Using MS. Excel, our IRR value is determined with 19 %. Which is quite large
but attractive enough for IRR. If we related to the value of Minimum Attractive
Rate of Return (MARR), our IRR value has bigger percentage (19%>11.78%).
Based on this relation, we can conclude that our product investment has profitable
value.
1.5 Net Present Value (NPV)
Net Present Value (NPV) shows the net benefits received by a project over
the life of the project at a certain interest rate. NPV can also be interpreted as the
present value of the cash flows generated by the investment. In calculating the
NPV is necessary to determine the relevant interest rate. In this calculation, the
interest rate used is the interest rate on the bank loan for start-up capital,
amounting to 10%. A project as feasible if the NPV> 0, which means the project
is profitable or provide benefits if implemented. If NPV <0, the project is not
eligible to run because it does not generate profit.
Cash flow in year n drawn into present value with a reasonable interest rate
by using the following formula:
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Profit values obtained can be seen from Table in the appendices. After
pulling the value of profit each year to present value, all the values are summed
and the profit rate of 11.70% MARR obtained NPV of Rp1.024.132.380.053,00
Because our project result the NPV>0 and if related our NPV to our CAPEX
value, our NPV value has bigger number (Rp1trillion > Rp822billion), so we can
conclude that our product has good enough profitabiliy.
1.6 Break Even Point (BEP)
According to bussinessdictionary.com, Break Even Point (BEP) is the
point in time (or in number of units sold) when forecasted revenue exactly equals
the estimated total costs; where loss ends and profit begins to accumulate. This is
the point at which a business, product, or project becomes financially viable. Also,
the BEP value is the representative of payback period (our payback period is four
years).
Our lifetime production is 15 years and in each year we produce the value
of production capacity based on table below.
Percentage of PLA Production Capacity
Year
Percentage of Production
Capacity (%)
30
50
70
90
100
100
100
100
100
10
100
11
100
12
100
13
100
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14
100
15
100
Year
Production
Capacity (ton)
1500
2500
3500
Total
7500
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