Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
October 2013
TALISMAN OVERVIEW
Asia-Pacific
Growing free cash flow,
near-term exploration potential
$600 million free cash flow in
2012
Algeria Pertamina relationship
Ongoing rationalization within
Asia-Pacific
Americas
Resource plays provide
long-term growth
38 tcfe contingent resource
Colombia exploration,
development and
rationalization underway
In addition:
6,700 mmboe contingent resource*
3,100 mmboe unrisked prospective resource*
~85% of 2P
reserves
~90% of
COGEH 2P value
~95% of contingent
resource
~85% of unrisked
prospective
resource
2013 production
~375 mboe/d
2012 2P reserves
1.7 billion boe
RLI ~ 12 years
2012 COGEH
2P value
~ $14 billion
2012 contingent
resource
6.7 billion boe
2012 unrisked
prospective resource
3.1 billion boe
October 2013
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 1
October 2013
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 2
Continue to high-grade current portfolio to focus on the best assets (ONWJ sold in Q2)
150
Corridor
PM-3 CAA
Talisman
Kitan
Jambi Merang
18%
compound
annual growth
120
December, 1992
At midnight, Talisman Energy comes
Into being.
February, 1997
Full construction
commences on Corridor
gas project
90
Production (mboe/d)
60
May, 1993
Entry into Indonesia
through Encor Inc.
acquisition
1994
Acquired interests in
OK Block, Corridor,
and Jambi in
Sumatra through
Bow Valley
acquisition
30
August, 2001
Acquired block PM-3
CAA and a gas
discovery in PNG from
Lundin
November, 2003
Offshore Vietnam gas discovery
in Block 46-Cai Nuoc, adjacent to
the Talisman-operated PM-3 CAA.
1999
Major gas discoveries
at Suban (Suban-3
27mmcf/d of low CO2
gas) and Durian
Mabok-2 (Suban,
58mmcf/d
1998
Corridor Gas Project
commissioned in
October, on budget
averaging 53mmcf/d
in Q4
April, 2011
Jambi Merang
first gas
2H 2010
Joint Timor
Leste/Australia
authorities
approves Kitan
field development
October, 2005
Acquired interests
in Indonesia, in
Australia through
Paladin acquisition,
including Southeast
Sumatra, ONWJ,
Laminaria,
Corallina and Kitan
September, 2003
PM-3 CAA project
completed on schedule
and budget, producing
over 19 mboe/d in Q4
January, 1999
Discovery in Corridor
proves long-term potential
to increase gas sales.
2006
Suban Phase 2
completed,
including two
trains, additional
pipelines and
infrastructure
2009
Executed PNG
gas aggregation
strategy including
acquisitions and
farm-ins to various
licenses
2010
Acquired 25%
interest in
onshore Jambi
Merang PSC
December, 2012
Awarded US$1 billion
production-sharing
contract to develop
and recover oil from
the Kinabalu fields
(offshore Malaysia)
by PETRONAS.
October 2011
First oil from
Kitan in
Australia.
2013
First oil from
HST/HSD
ahead of
schedule and
under budget .
0
1992
October 2013
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
2002 03
04
05
06
07
08
09
www.talisman-energy.com
10
11
12
2013
Page 3
HST/HSD
on production
2012
2013
Development
362
505
Exploration/Appraisal
151
145
Total
513
650
($ million)
Tangguh
Progressing train three
sanction
TLM block
Core area
Kitan
Upcoming appraisal well
Other
mboe/d
$ million
Liquid
200
2,000
Oil-linked gas
Cash flow
Exploration capex
Development capex
~8% p.a
150
1,500
Corridor
developments
100
1,000
PM-3 CAA
Jambi Merang
HST/HSD
Kinabalu
PNG early
liquids
50
500
2016
* Excludes Algeria
October 2013
2016
* Excludes Algeria
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 4
$ billion
bcf/d
800
2012
6% p.a.
15
2020
600
10
9 bcf/d
400
4% p.a.
4% p.a.
5
6% p.a.
200
0
Vietnam
Singapore
Malaysia
Indonesia
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: Wood Mackenzie
LNG Demand
Committed LNG (Europe)
40
30
20
16%
JKT*
China
10
9%
Indonesia
Thailand
50%
7%
Others
Singapore
7%
2010
2015
2020
2025
October 2013
5%
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Malaysia
6%
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 5
Long-term LNG contract price equivalent from $80-120/bbl Brent crude in real 2013 terms
15
13.5
10
8.5
9.6
8.5
12.1
11.5
12.7
10.2
4.1
0
2000-2010*
Ichthys
Exxon
PNG LNG
Gladstone
Sabine Pass
Upstream
Liquefaction
Shipping to region
Pipeline
Cost range
W. Canada
Mozambique
Area 4
Roughly $46 billion (nominal) of cost increase announced across 7 projects since 2010
(average 20%) per annum
Applying a weighted average of latest cost estimates yields $3,000/tonne of greenfield capacity,
representing a four fold increase and making legacy LNG contract pricing unsustainable
Project economics for new LNG supply will therefore establish a headroom price for domestic gas in
range of $10-12/mmbtu or higher
Sources: Talisman internal analysis, Wood Mackenzie, PFC Energy. *Weighted average break-even costs of 10 LNG projects started up in 2000-2010 period
**Assumes 10% discount rate. North America costs based on Talisman internal price/cost views.
$/tonne
2,700
2,600
Australia
2,500
Non-Australia
2,400
Pluto
2,300
Gorgon
2,200
2,100
2,000
Angola
Ichthys
1,900
1,800
Snohvit
1,700
1,600
Wheatstone
1,500
DS LNG
1,400
PNG LNG
1,300
GLNG
1,200
1,100
QCLNG
1,000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
APLNG
Peru
Darwin
Atlantic LNG 1
MLNG Tiga
Damietta
OLNG
100
Yemen
Qatargas-4
EG LNG
Sakhalin 2
Tangguh
2000
October 2013
2005
2010
2015
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 6
($ Millions)
(mboepd)
Vietnam - HST/HSD
Vietnam - HST/HSD
Other NonOp
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
1H 2013 Netbacks
($/boe)
Indonesia
Malaysia
Vietnam*
Australia
$0
$20
$40
$60
80
ANDAMAN III
JAMBI MERANG
(JM) JOB
Exploration
SOUTH EAST
SUMATRA (SES)
OGAN KOMERING
(OK) JOB
October 2013
SOUTH
SUMATRA
CORRIDOR
Indonesia Highlights
Tangguh
Offshore gas production delivered into LNG plant
(3.1% working interest) producing 160 mboe/d
gross
Accessing price upside through delivery
substitution and potential renegotiations
Third train development progressing towards
sanction
~190
75-77
~500
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 7
TLM block
Oil field
Jambi Merang
Gas field
Corridor
Near-term
Ogan Komering
The future
Southeast
Sumatra
Production outlook(1)
mmcfe/d
Gas sales
pipeline
to Singapore
500
Base
Development
400
Gelam plant
85 mmcf/d*
300
Dayung plant
300 mmcf/d*
200
Grissik plant
2012: 310 mmcf/d*
2013: 460 mmcf/d*
100
Sumpal
LTRO
Suban
Dayung
0
2013
Suban plant
780 mmcf/d**
Rawa station
2012: 0 mmcf/d*
2013: 45 mmcf/d*
0
* Gross raw non-cumulative facility capacity
2016
50
75
Km
100
$ million
750
Development capex
Cash flow
500
$/mcf
3.51
0.81
250
11.30
6.68
0
Realized price
Royalties
Opex/trans.
2013
Netback
(1)
October 2013
2014
2015
2016
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 8
JAMBI MERANG
TLM block
Other block
Oil pipeline
Gas pipeline
Prospect
Phase 1
Jabung PSC
Phase 2 Expansion
Jambi Merang PSC
Pre-sanction phase
Corridor PSC
October 2013
FEED underway
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 9
TANGGUH LNG
TLM block
Muturi block
Muturi Area 5
LNG plant
Berau A
Wiriagar
Muturi Area 4
Berau B
Malaysia Highlights
Oil field
MALAY BASIN
Exploration
(PM-3 CAA, VN
46/2 & 7, VN 45)
Gas field
Development
Malay Basin
Exploration
PM-3 CAA
Malaysia
Peninsular
Malaysia
SABAH
Exploration
Sabah
KINABALU
Development
PM-3 CAA
Development
Sarawak
Sabah
Kinabalu
October 2013
~240
~41
300-350
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 10
Gas field
Block 45
Near-term
Block
46/07
Vietnam
Malaysia
PM3CAA
30
60
The future
Km
120
90
Block 46-02
Production outlook
Oil field
mboe/d
Gas field
50
Vietnam
Base
Development
40
30
FSO
Block 46
Cai Nuoc
Northern
Fields
Complex
PM-3 CAA
Southern
Fields
Complex
20
10
FSO
Gas Export
to Vietnam
Malaysia
0
2013
Gas Export
to Malaysia
0
12
18
Km
24
Cashflow
Development capex
Exploration capex
400
300
0
2013
October 2013
2014
2015
2016
2016
200
100
2015
2014
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 11
Core focus
Oil field
Gas field
SSGP pipeline
Proposed plant
SB309
Near-term
Production growth through infill drilling and
facility upgrades at Kinabalu
SB310
Kinabalu
The future
GIS confirming
Malaysia
where pipeline
starts
0
20
October 2013
40
60
Km
80
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 12
30
20
10
2013
Kinabalu platform
2014
2015
2016
300
250
Cash flow
Development capex
200
150
100
50
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
SABAH EXPLORATION
Exploration program underway
TLM block
Oil field
Gas field
Gas pipeline
Oil pipeline
Proposed plant
October 2013
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 13
Blocks 07/03
Blocks 135 &
136/03
Block 46/02
Song Doc
~140
~9
180-220
HSD
HST
15
12
9
6
FPSO
3
0
May
TGT
June
July
Vietnam
15-2/01
Km
12 16
$ million
Cash flow
300
Development capex
October 2013
200
100
2013
2014
www.talisman-energy.com
2015
2016
Page 14
TLM block
Oil field
Gas field
Pipeline
Oil discovery
133
5.2/10
134
135
De-risk prospects in Block 05-2/10 with adjacent Block 133 & 134
drilling
Red Emperor
07/03
136
RE2-N
CRD-4X
Red Emperor
RE2
RE1
RE3
RE4
REA
RE5
Block136
Tingu-1
Ketu
Stanley
Elevala
Ubuntu
Kupio
Weimang
Puk Puk
Kimu
Langia
Near-term
Douglas
The future
October 2013
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 15
200
10
Liquids - upside
Liquids
150
Gas - LNG
6
100
4
50
Discovered - Stanley,
Elevala/Ketu
2013-2015
Discovered
2013-2015
mboe/d
$ million
Liquid
200
2,000
Oil-linked gas
Cash flow
Exploration capex
Development capex
~8% p.a
150
1,500
Corridor
developments
100
1,000
PM-3 CAA
Jambi Merang
HST/HSD
Kinabalu
PNG early
liquids
50
500
2016
* Excludes Algeria
October 2013
2016
* Excludes Algeria
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 16
Continue to high-grade current portfolio to focus on the best assets (ONWJ sold in Q2)
October 2013
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 17
Advisories
Forward-Looking Information
This presentation contains information that constitutes forward-looking information or forward-looking
statements (collectively forward-looking information) within the meaning of applicable securities
legislation. This forward-looking information includes, among others, statements regarding: business
strategy, priorities and plans; expected production, regionally and by asset; expected cash flow, regionally
and by asset; expected capital spending; expected netbacks; expected free cash flow; expected drilling;
expected Southeast Asia GDP growth, gas supply-demand balance and LNG demand and supply;
expected upgrades at Corridor; expectation of Phase 2 at Jambi Merang; expected expansion at
Tangguh; expected exploration and development activities in Talismans Asia-Pacific region; expected
extension of the PM-3 license and related development activities; expected exploration upside in the
Sabah basin; potential or planned gas aggregation and targeted liquids and local gas sales in PNG;
targeted gas monetization options in PNG; potential project NPV and cash flow in PNG; and other
expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible
future events, conditions, results of operations or performance. The company priorities disclosed in this
presentation are objectives only and their achievement cannot be guaranteed.
The factors or assumptions on which the forward-looking information is based include: assumptions
inherent in current guidance; projected capital investment levels; the flexibility of capital spending plans
and the associated sources of funding; the successful and timely implementation of capital projects; the
continuation of tax, royalty and regulatory regimes; ability to obtain regulatory and partner approval;
commodity price and cost assumptions; and other risks and uncertainties described in the filings made by
the Company with securities regulatory authorities. The Company believes the material factors,
expectations and assumptions reflected in the forward-looking information are reasonable but no
assurance can be given that these factors, expectations and assumptions will prove to be correct.
Forward-looking information for periods past 2013 assumes escalating commodity prices. Closing of any
transactions will be subject to receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals and completion of definitive
agreements.
Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information. Forward-looking information is
based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks which could
cause actual results to vary and in some instances to differ materially from those anticipated by Talisman
and described in the forward-looking information contained in this presentation. The material risk factors
include, but are not limited to: the risks of the oil and gas industry, such as operational risks in exploring
for, developing and producing crude oil and natural gas; risks and uncertainties involving geology of oil
and gas deposits; risks associated with project management, project delays and/or cost overruns;
uncertainty related to securing sufficient egress and access to markets; the uncertainty of reserves and
resources estimates, reserves life and underlying reservoir risk; the uncertainty of estimates and
projections relating to production, costs and expenses, including decommissioning liabilities; risks related
to strategic and capital allocation decisions, including potential delays or changes in plans with respect to
exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; fluctuations in oil and gas prices, foreign
currency exchange rates, interest rates and tax or royalty rates; the outcome and effects of any future
acquisitions and dispositions; health, safety, security and environmental risks, including risks related to
the possibility of major accidents; environmental regulatory and compliance risks, including with respect
to greenhouse gases and hydraulic fracturing; uncertainties as to the availability and cost of credit and
other financing and changes in capital markets; risks in conducting foreign operations (for example, civil,
political and fiscal instability and corruption); risks related to the attraction, retention and development of
personnel; changes in general economic and business conditions; the possibility that government
October 2013
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Page 18
policies, regulations or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or withheld; and
results of the Company's risk mitigation strategies, including insurance and any hedging activities.
The foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors which
could affect the Companys operations or financial results or strategy are included in Talismans most
recent Annual Information Form. In addition, information is available in the Companys other reports on
file with Canadian securities regulatory authorities and the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission. Forward-looking information is based on the estimates and opinions of the Companys
management at the time the information is presented. The Company assumes no obligation to update
forward-looking information should circumstances or managements estimates or opinions change, except
as required by law.
Oil and Gas Information
Reserves
National Instrument 51-101 ("NI 51-101") of the Canadian Securities Administrators imposes oil and gas
disclosure standards for Canadian public companies engaged in oil and gas activities. Talisman has
obtained an exemption from Canadian securities regulatory authorities to permit it to provide certain
disclosures in accordance with the US disclosure standards, in addition to the disclosure mandated by NI
51-101, in order to provide for comparability of oil and gas disclosure with that provided by US and other
international issuers. Accordingly, in addition to the reserves data and certain other oil and gas
information included in this presentation which is provided in accordance with NI 51-101, there is data
and information provided in accordance with US disclosure standards.
A separate exemption granted to Talisman also permits it to disclose internally evaluated reserves data.
Any reserves and resources data contained in this presentation reflects Talismans estimates of its
reserves and resources. While Talisman annually obtains an independent audit of a portion of its proved
and probable reserves, no independent qualified reserves evaluator or auditor was involved in the
preparation of the reserves and resources data disclosed in this presentation.In this presentation, the
estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same
confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of
aggregation.
October 2013
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Page 19
contingencies that prevent the resources from being classified as reserves are: lack of gas sales contract;
additional testing; production and performance appraisal activities; development time frame too far in the
future; demonstration of economic viability; facilities and egress; access to equipment and services;
hydraulic fracturing technology; commodity prices and regulatory approvals. There is no certainty that it
will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. In addition to these contingencies
and uncertainties the development of commerciality of resources is also subject to a number of risk
factors, as discussed more fully above.
Prospective resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially
recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective
resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of development. There is no
certainty that any portion of the resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will
be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. Unrisked prospective resources are not
risked for change of development or chance of discovery. If a discovery is made, there is no certainty
that it will be developed or, if it is developed, there is no certainty as to the timing of such development.
In this presentation risked prospective resources have been risked for chance of discovery but have not
been risked for chance of development. If a discovery is made, there is no certainty that it will be
developed or, if it is developed, there is no certainty as to the timing of such development. Estimated
ultimate recovery (EUR) is a term commonly used in the oil and gas industry. EUR is an estimate, on a
given date, of the quantity of oil and gas that is potentially recoverable, plus those quantities already
produced. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the EUR
amount that is contained herein. PIIP is defined as petroleum initially in place and is that quantity of
petroleum that is estimated to exist originally in naturally occurring accumulations. It is the total quantity of
petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations, prior to
production. PIIP estimates may contain all resource classifications, both discovered and undiscovered.
There is no certainty that any portion of the resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no
certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources.
Non-Core Assets
In this presentation, all references to core and non-core assets and properties align with the
companys current public disclosure regarding its assets and properties.
BOE Conversion
Throughout this presentation, barrels of oil equivalent (boe) are calculated at a conversion rate of six
thousand cubic feet (mcf) of natural gas for one barrel of oil (bbl). This presentation also includes
references to mcf equivalents (mcfes) which are calculated at a conversion rate of one barrel of oil to six
thousand cubic feet of gas. Boes and Mcfes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe
conversion ratio of 6mcf:1bbl and an mcfe conversion ratio of 1bbl:6mcf are based on an energy
equivalence conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and do not represent a value
equivalency at the well head.
Netbacks
Talisman also discloses netbacks in this presentation. Netbacks per boe are calculated by deducting from
the sales price associated royalties, operating and transportation costs.
US Dollars and IFRS
Dollar amounts are presented in US dollars, except where otherwise indicated. Financial information prior
to January 1, 2011 was prepared in accordance with Canadian generally accepted accounting principles
(CGAAP) then applicable to publically accountable enterprises. The financial information for 2011, 2012
October 2013
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Page 20
and 2013 is presented in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Both IFRS
and CGAAP may differ from generally accepted accounting principles in the US.
Forecasted Cash Flow and Forecasted Free Cash Flow:
This presentation also contains discussions of anticipated cash flow and anticipated free cash flow both
on an aggregate and per share basis. The material assumptions used in determining estimates of cash
flow are: the anticipated production volumes; estimates of realized sales prices, which are in turn driven
by benchmark prices, quality differentials and the impact of exchange rates; estimated royalty rates;
estimated operating expenses; estimated transportation expenses; estimated general and administrative
expenses; estimated interest expense, including the level of capitalized interest; and the anticipated
amount of cash income tax and petroleum revenue tax. The amount of is inherently difficult to predict.
Anticipated production volumes are, in turn, based on the midpoint of the estimated production range and
do not reflect the impact of any potential asset dispositions or acquisitions. The completion of any
contemplated asset acquisitions or dispositions is contingent on various factors including favourable
market conditions, the ability of the Company to negotiate acceptable terms of sale and receipt of any
required approvals for such acquisitions or dispositions.
In addition to the assumptions that underpin forecasted cash flow, forecasted free cash flow also includes
assumptions around capital investments and financing activities.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Included in this presentation are references to financial measures used in the oil and gas industry such as
free cash flow, cash flow and capital expenditure. These terms are not defined by IFRS. Consequently,
these are referred to as non-GAAP measures. Talismans reported results of such measures may not be
comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Free Cash Flow is used by
management to assess the amount of funds available for reinvestment or to reduce debt levels or return
to shareholders. Free cash flow is the net of cash provided by operating, investing and financing
activities before the repayment or issuance of long-term debt. Cash Flow represents net income before
exploration costs, DD&A, impairment, deferred taxes and other non-cash expenses. Cash flow is used by
the Company to assess operating results between years and between peer companies using different
accounting policies. Cash flow should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash
provided by operating, investing and financing activities or net income as determined in accordance with
IFRS as an indicator of the Companys performance or liquidity. Capital expenditure (or capex or cash
capital spend) is calculated by adjusting the capital expenditure per the financial statements for
exploration costs that were expensed as incurred. Exploration capex is the combined total of exploration
expenditures capitalized as part of the exploration and evaluations assets in the Consolidated Balance
Sheet plus the exploration expenses on a before-tax basis from the Consolidated Statement of
Income.Development capex is the costs incurred in the development and producing phase and recorded
as part of property, plant and equipment in the Consolidated Financial statements.
October 2013
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Page 21
Notes
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