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INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

SECTOR REPORT

Transmission Line EPC


21 Mar, 2011

We believe investments in Transmission and Distribution (T&D) infrastructure will drive growth for companies with a strong
presence in these segments. We initiate coverage on KEC International Limited (KEC) and Jyoti Structures Limited (JSL). We
recommend a BUY on KEC with a price target of ` 89 and BUY on JSL with a price target of ` 110.

Investment Thesis
Power Demand is estimated to grow at 7.8% between 2010 and 2015 on back of GDP growth of 8% to 8.5% over next five
years. In line with the power requirement of the country, 95 GW of power capacity is expected to be added in the next five years,
considering only 33 GW additions over the previous five years.
As sequential transmission lines addition is required in line with the generation capacity additions, significant transmission lines
and substations addition are expected over the next five years. In addition, lower investments in T&D infrastructure over the years,
has necessitated strengthening of the existing networks.
Thus to strengthen the existing system and evacuation of power from new power plants, target of 95,283 circuit kms (ckm) of
transmission lines is planned for the 11th plan and 155,000 ckm to 180,000 ckm during the 12th plan. Growth in transmission
systems will include not just the physical growth in the transmission network but also the introduction of higher transmission
voltages for bulk power transmission, with the aim of limiting transmission losses.
Over the next five years (2010-15E), investments worth ` 3.4 trillion are expected to be made in T&D as compared to ` 1.64
trillion made during 2005-10. This presents significant opportunity for players in transmission line EPC segment.
We initiate coverage on KEC International Limited (KEC) and Jyoti Structures Limited (JSL).
KEC: At CMP of ` 72, KEC is trading at a P/E of 8.6x its FY11E earnings, 7.8x its FY12E and 7.3 its FY13E earnings. Considering
GOI focus on T&D, KECs strong presence in domestic market, robust order backlog and acquisition of SAE towers which allow
KEC to tap US market, we assign a P/E multiple of 9x to its FY13E earnings and recommend a BUY on the stock with a price
target of ` 89.
JSL: At CMP of `78, JSL is trading at a P/E of 7.9x its FY11E earnings, 6.9x its FY12E and 6.4 its FY13E earnings. Considering
GOI focus on T&D, JSLs presence in domestic market and strong order backlog, we assign a P/E multiple of 9x to its FY13E
earnings and recommend a BUY on the stock with a price target of ` 110.

Analyst
Chinmay S. Gandre
research@acm.co.in
Tel: (022) 2858 3407
Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Transmission Industry
A T&D system comprises transmission lines, substations, switching stations,
transformers and distribution lines. The transmission segment plays a key role in
transmitting power to various distribution entities across the country. A T&D system is
organized in a grid, which interconnects various generating stations and load centers.
This ensures uninterrupted power supply to a load center, even if there is a failure at
the local generating station or a maintenance shutdown.
In India, the T&D system is a three-tier structure comprising distribution networks,
state grids and regional grids. Distribution networks and state grids are primarily
owned and operated by the respective SEBs. Most inter-state transmission links are
owned and operated by PGCIL, with some jointly owned by the SEBs concerned. In
addition, PGCIL owns and operates a number of inter-regional transmission lines to
facilitate the transfer of power from a surplus region to one with deficit.
The transmission system in India operates at several voltage levels:
Extra high voltage (EHV): 765 Kv, 400 Kv and 220 Kv
High voltage: 132 Kv and 66 Kv
Medium voltage: 33 Kv, 11 Kv, 6.6 Kv and 3.3 Kv
Low voltage: 1.1 Kv, 220 volts and below
The total length of transmission lines in the country has increased to 7.28 million
ckm in 2007-08 vs 3.6 million ckm in 1998-99.
Transmission Lines (ckm)
Year

HVDC

800 Kv

400 Kv

230/220
Kv

132/110/90
Kv

78/66 Kv

33/22/20
Kv

15/11 Kv

6.6/3.3/2.2
Kv

Distribution
lines

Total

1998-99

1,672

36,122

85,141

105,744

41,044

263,165

1,634,840

4,494

3,568,189

5,710,411

1999-00

1,672

37,636

86,963

107,522

41,646

269,963

1,660,453

4,431

3,525,121

5,735,407

2000-01

3,176

38,004

92,470

110,110

43,169

274,103

1,711,619

4,562

3,570,347

5,847,560

2001-02

4,104

40,887

97,238

118,180

43,849

288,226

1,753,331

4,737

3,679,596

6,030,148

2002-03

5,876

51,785

99,779

120,958

43,202

302,981

1,936,689

4,558

3,985,909

6,551,737

2003-04

5,876

53,616

101,667

121,925

43,297

283,240

1,869,371

6,362

3,859,504

6,344,858

2004-05

6,841

563

57,185

104,758

124,344

45,884

299,639

1,971,722

6,431

3,953,456

6,570,823

2005-06

6,841

563

57,840

108,261

129,465

47,231

309,708

2,047,460

6,474

4,064,516

6,778,359

2006-07

6,841

563

58,018

111,572

132,124

49,462

314,538

2,085,897

6,431

4,149,923

6,939,529

2007-08

6,428

1,692

65,175

115,452

138,137

49,945

335,351

2,231,698

6,519

4,328,549

7,278,946

Source: CEA, CRISIL

GOI thrust on power sector


Power Demand is estimated to grow at 7.8% between 2010 and 2015 on back of GDP
growth of 8% to 8.5% over next five years. In line with the power requirement of
the country 95 GW of power capacity is expected to be added in the next five years,
considering only 33 GW additions over the previous five years.
Capacity additions forecast
MW
Central

2010-11 P

2011-12 P

2012-13 P

2013-14 P

2014-15 P

3,690

5,736

5,262

3,021

3,705

Total
21,414

State

3,112

2,800

3,510

3,103

2,648

15,173

Private

4,285

6,397

7,620

12,675

14,545

45,522

11,087

14,933

16,392

18,799

20,898

82,109

2,362

2,722

2,351

2,673

2,865

12,973

13,449

17,655

18,743

21,472

23,763

95,082

Total
Captive
Total (including
captive)
Source: CRISIL

Transmission Line EPC

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SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


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Capacity addition is expected to translate to an investment of ` 9.3 trillion in power


sector. Sequential transmission lines addition is required in line with the generation
capacity additions to enable seamless flow of power. With Government focus on
reducing T&D losses, investments in T&D are expected to be significantly higher
compared to the previous outlays. Investments worth ` 3.4 trillion are expected over
the next 5 years vs 1.64 trillion made during 2005-10.
Capacity additions forecast
` billion

200910 E

Generation-Utilities

201011 P

647.7

201112 P

201213 P

767.4

884.5

993.6

201314 P

201415 P

1,131.2

1,290.8

Total (2010-11
to 2014-15)
5,067.4

Generation-Captives

100.2

112.2

124.9

145.4

169.3

197.1

749.0

Total T&D

431.0

499.5

579.4

672.7

781.6

908.8

3,442.0

1,178.9

1,379.1

1,588.8

1,811.7

2,082.1

2,396.7

9,258.5

2010 to 15P

CAGR growth

Total Investments
Source: CRISIL
Investments in

2000 to 05

2005 to 10

CAGR growth
2005 to10

T&D ` Bn

814

1,638

2010 to15

15%

3,442

16%

Source: CRISIL

Significant transmission lines addition & Up gradation of existing lines


Traditionally, the government has focus on investments in power generation to
alleviate the power shortage in the country. In the process, the T&D segment has
remained neglected and attracted significantly less investments in the comparison to
generation. Investments ratio between generation and T&D in India has historically
been 2:1 against an ideal investment ratio of 1:1. To strengthen the existing system
and evacuation of power from new power plants expected during the 11th and the
12th plan, significant transmission lines and substation additions is planned. Target
of 95,283 circuit kms (ckm) of transmission lines is planned for the 11th plan and
155,000 to 180,000 ckm during the 12th plan.
Transmission
lines (ckm)

Existing by
10th plan

Target Additions
for the 11thplan

Existing capacity
as of Sept 2010

Total by
March 2012

Target additions
in12thplan

765 kV

2,184

5,428

3,829

7,612

25,000 to
30,000

HVDC 500 kV

5,872

1,606

NA

7,478

30,000

3,600

NA

3,600

5,000

400 kV

75,722

49,278

100,910

125,000

50,000

220 kV

114,629

35,371

130,788

150,000

40,000

Total

198,407

95,283

NA

293,690

150,000
to155,000

HVDC 800/600
kV

Source: CEA
Substation MVA/MW
HVDC terminal capacity
765 kV
400 kV

Existing by
10thplan

Additions
11thplan

Total by March
2012

Estimated additions
in12th plan

8,200

6,000

14,200

16,000 to 22,000

53,000

53,000

1,10,000

92,942

52,058

145,000

80,000

230/220 kV

156,497

73,503

230,000

95,000

Total

257,639

184,561

442,200

301,000 to 307,000

Source: CEA

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Growth in transmission systems will include not just the physical growth in the
transmission network but also the introduction of higher transmission voltages for bulk
power transmission, with the aim of limiting transmission losses. The up gradation
and replacement of existing transmission lines to higher voltage would increase the
demand for transmission towers.
Development of inter-regional transmission corridors
To facilitate transfer of power from surplus regions to deficit regions and evacuation
of power from central sector generation projects and Ultra Mega Power projects
(UMPPs), both 11th and 12th plan are focused on strengthening and developing the
national and inter-regional transmission corridors. In line Power Grid Corporation
of India Limited (PGCIL) has invested ` 254.4 billion till FY10 and has planned
capital outlay of ` 295.6 billion for FY11 and FY12. On May 31st 2010 the Central
electricity regulatory commission (CERC) approved PGCIL to proceed with the
execution of 9 high capacity power transmission corridors (HCPTCs) that will help
transport electricity to the main load centers from 48 new IPP plants located in
coal belt, coastal areas or hydroelectricity-rich areas in the Northeast region. The
government has approved ` 580 billion for the same. Thus, inter-regional transmission
capacity is expected to increase from 13,450 MW to 38,050 MW by 2012 and to
75,150 MW by 2017
Inter-Regional

By 10th plan

Capacity - MW
East South

Additions 11th

By 11th Plan

plan
3,130

Additions in

By 12th Plan

12th Plan
500

3,630

4,200

7,830

East North

3,430

8,700

12,130

5,900

18,030

East West

1,790

4,700

6,490

10,500

16,990

East-North East

1,260

1,600

2,860

2,860

North West

2,120

2,100

4,220

10,200

14,420

West-South

1,720

1,000

2,720

6,300

9,020

6,000

6,000

6,000

13,450

24,600

38,050

37,100

75,150

North East /East


North/West
TOTAL
Source: CEA

Key policies like Accelerated Power Development Reform Programme & Rajiv
Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY) to encourage investments in T&D.
GOI formulated the Accelerated Power Development Reform Programme (APDRP)
under which states are given loans, grants and incentives for upgrading and
modernizing their sub-transmission and distribution (below 33 Kv or 66 Kv networks).
The union government in April 2005 with the objective to provide electricity to all
villages and habitations initiated the Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana
(RGGVY). On a countrywide basis, about 67 per cent of the total project cost of
RGGVY schemes amounting to ` 154 billion has been released till December 2009.
Both these initiatives are expected to encourage investments in the transmission sector.

Opportunities in Global markets


Significant investments in T&D are expected to be made over 2010-15 across the
globe. Total Investments worth USD 158 billion are expected made in Middle East,
Africa and North America.

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Source: Source: ABS Energy research, Accenture research, Company

Peer Analysis
Capacities
Jyoti Structures Ltd, KEC International and Kalpataru Power are dominant players
in the industry. KEC is the largest player with an annual capacity of 1.51 million MT
followed by Jyoti Structures and Kalpataru. Apart from their own capacities, these
players also outsource towers from qualified vendors.
In 000 MT
Jyoti

KEC

Kalpataru

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

Capacity

76

96

110

110

Production

61

74

85

119

Capacity

58

113

151

151

Production

51

93

107

109

Third party outsourced

36

34

32

32

Purchased

10

24

39

35

Capacity

84

108

108

108

Production

78

80

80

102

NA

13

20

Third party outsourced

Note: For JSL production numbers includes production outsourced to various parties.Source: ACMIIL Research

Geographical presence
JSL is predominantly a domestic player, with ~78% of the revenues coming from
domestic market. On the other hand, KEC and Kalpataru are diversified with greater
presence in the international markets. Approximately 56% of KECs revenue comes
from international market like Africa, Middle East and Central Asia, while exports
constitute ~43% of Kalpatarus sales.
Particulars
Exports as a % of total sales (FY10)

KEC

Jyoti
55.8%

Kalpataru
22.1%

43.2%

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Transmission Line EPC

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SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Financial analysis
` Mn

Jyoti

Net Sales - FY10

KEC

Kalpataru

21,297.7

39,063.9

25,960.4

Sales CAGR FY07-10

29.9%

24.2%

19.4%

OPM - FY10

10.7

10.4

12.8

NPM - FY10

3.9

4.8

6.6

PAT CAGR FY07-10


Capital Employed - FY10

14.9%

21.7%

2.2%

8,778.6

16,199.5

16,064.6

0.8

1.0

0.6

RONW - FY10

D/E - FY10

17.0

24.0

17.3

ROCE - FY10

24.7

23.4

20.5

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Players have registered healthy sales growth on back of investments in


the T&D segment.

Players enjoys operating margins in the range of 10% to 12%

Being a working capital intensive business, players are leveraged with


D/E up to 1x.

In general, players enjoy healthy return ratios of 17% and above.

Order backlog
Players have strong order backlog giving revenue visibility for next 18 to 22 months

Order backlog
2.5

100
1.9

2.0
1.6

1.8

1.5

80

` Bn

60

1.0

41

0.5
0.0

40

80

KEC
Order back log Q3 FY11( RHS)

Jyoti

50

Kalpataru

20
0

Order book to TTM sales (LHS)

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

BUY
Key Data

(`)

CMP

72

Target Price

89

Key Data
Bloomberg Code

KECI IN

Reuters Code

KECL.BO

BSE Code

532714

NSE Code

KEC

Face Value (`)

Market Cap. (` mn)


52 Week Low (`)
Avg. Daily Volume (6m)

KEC International Limited (KEC), incorporated in 1945 is one of the leading players
in the power transmission EPC business in India and international markets. KEC
undertakes designing, manufacturing and construction of turnkey high-voltage power
transmission line projects. It also engages in projects related to power distribution
network, railway electrification, sub-stations and optical fiber cable installations. The
company has presence across geographies, with revenues from international market
constituting 55% of the total revenues in FY10. In the international markets, KEC is
primarily present in the Middle East, Africa and Central Asia.

123

KECs business can be broadly divided into transmission, distribution, cables and
railways.

71

9M FY11 - Sales Break up

18120

52 Week High (`)

KEC International Limited

154,870

Shareholding Pattern (%)


Promoters

41.7

FII

5.0

DII

38.1

Others

15.2

Total
(` mn)
Revenues
Operating Profits
OPM (%)

100.0
FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

47,067.7

54,236.0

58,578.3

4,824.4

5,553.2

5,922.3

10.3

10.2

10.1

2,151.3

2,379.2

2,533.5

PAT Margin (%)

4.6

4.4

4.3

EPS (`)

8.4

9.3

9.9

PAT

SAE Towers
6%

Cables
10%
Distribution
10%
Telecom and
railway
3%

Transmission
71%
Source: Company

Power Transmission segment


KEC has over 60 years of experience in executing turnkey transmission lines projects.
It offers complete solutions that include tower design, tower testing, manufacturing
and onsite construction up to capacity of 800 Kv transmissions lines. The company
has three manufacturing facilities located in India at Jaipur, Nagpur and Jabalpur
having a total capacity of 151,000 MT. It also has close association with five value
added partners manufacturing facilities who provide exclusive capacity to KEC of
more than 60,000 MTs per annum.
In `000 MT
Sales

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

103.3

160.0

182.6

186.9

50.8

92.8

107.1

108.8

Purchases

9.8

23.6

39.0

35.3

Outsourced

35.6

34.1

31.8

32.3

58

113

151

151

Production

Capacity
Source: Company

The company also has 4 tower testing stations, capable of testing towers of up to
1200 Kv transmission line.

Transmission Line EPC

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Power Distribution segment


KEC has successfully executed substation, distribution and rural electrification
projects in India and overseas. For substations it has a strategic alliance with Power
Engineers Inc., USA. The company is pre qualified for all the types of substations up
to 400 kV. The rural electrification business has electrified 7,500 Villages.

Cables segment RPG Cables


RPG Cables merged with KEC from March 2010. The segment manufactures a range
of control & power cables that are critical to the distribution network of power utilities
and for industrial expansion. (Annexure: Product & service range)

Railways segment
The segment undertakes civil infrastructure including earthwork, bridges, tunnels
and station building along with track laying and signaling work. It has electrified
5,000 track kms. The company is pre-qualified for all the railway construction related
activities

SAE Towers (Wholly owned subsidiary w.e.f Sept 2010)


KEC acquired 100% stake in SAE Towers for a total consideration of USD 95 million.
Headquartered in Texas, SAE Towers manufactures of steel lattice transmission
towers. SAE has a total annual production capacity of 100,000 MT located at
Monterrey, Mexico (35,000 MT) and Belo Horizonte, Brazil (65,000 MT). SAE
supplies towers to United States, Canada, Brazil, Mexico and the rest of Latin America.
Currently, SAE is operating at 65%to 70% utilizations levels. The company has an
annual turnover of USD 137 million (2010). Order backlog as of Q3 FY11 stands
at ` 7.2billion.

Order book
As of Q3 FY11 KECs standalone order backlog stands at ` 73 billion, which is1.8x
TTM sales. International orders constitute 49% of the total order book, while the rest
51% constitute of domestic orders. International orders primarily constitute of orders
from Middle East, Africa, Central Asia and America.
Particulars - ` Mn

Middle East
and Africa

Transmission

11,910.0

Distribution

Central

America

Asia
7,740.0

Asia

Domestic

Total

23,280.0

50,790.0

69.9

Pacific
7,620.0

240.0

7,400.0

15,370.0

21.2

Cables

7,970.0

1,830.0

1,830.0

2.5

E-BOP

400.0

400.0

0.6

Telecom

380.0

380.0

0.5

Railways
Total
%

3,900.0

3,900.0

5.4

11,910.0

15,710.0

7,620.0

240.0

37,190.0

72,670.0

100.0

16.4

21.6

10.5

0.3

51.2

100.0

Source: Company

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Key Positives
KECs Strong presence in Indian markets
Although KEC has presence in various regions across the globe the company is a
dominant player in the Indian markets also with a market share of ~18% to 19%.
The company has a strong track record and has expertise in 765 Kv, 500 Kv and
400Kv transmission lines. KEC also has the capability to construct substations of
up to 400 kV, making it a total turnkey EPC contractor for power transmission lines.
Domestic Market Share
Kalpataru
16% to 17%

Others
47% to 48%

Jyoti Structures
17% to 18 %

KEC
18% to 19%

Source: ACMIIL Research

Acquisition of SAE Towers to increase presence in the US markets and to


drive revenues and profitability
SAE Towers is the market leader in the US, Mexico and Brazil with a market
share of over 40%. With acquisition of SAE, KEC can leverage on SAE to build
relationship with power utilities in these regions and also use its (SAEs) facilities
as back up facilities to expand its presence in these markets. Post acquisition, KEC
(India) exposure to these markets has increased to ~11%, which earlier used be less
than 2%. Recently, KEC (India) won a major order ` 7.35 billion from Canada; for
this order majority of the supplies would be made from India. However, incase of
any logistical related issue, SAE Tower facility would serve as a back up.
SAE Towers also earns higher operating margins in range of 13% to 14%, which
is expected to drive profitability.
Strong Order backlog
Current stand alone order backlog stands at ` 73 billion. In addition SAE Towers
has an order backlog of ` 7 billion, which takes the total consolidated order backlog
to ` 80 billion. Order inflows have been strong in recent quarters, the company
received order in excess of ` 40 billion during 9 M FY11. Both domestic as well
as international market has contributed to the growth in the companys order book.
Order backlog sandalone

Consolidatd order book break up

75

73

70

70.00
60.00

64.63

65

` Bn

80.00

50.00
40.00

60.51

60

57.07

55.43

55

51.63

30.00

56.5

20.00

51.55

10.00

50

0.00
45

Q4 FY09

Q1 FY10

Q2 FY10

Q3 FY10

Q4 FY10

Q1 FY11

Q2 FY11

Q3 FY11

Q4 FY10
Transmission Line

Q1 FY11

Q2 FY11

Railway and Telecom

Cables

Q3 FY11
SAE Tower

Source: Company

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Key Concerns
Working capital intensive business
The T&D business is working capital intensive in nature and the requirement is
primarily funded through short-term loans. Working capital loans required stood
at ~30% of sales. Thus, working capital management is crucial and increase in
working capital requirement has a direct impact on interest cost and thereby the
profitability of the company.
Uncovered risk related to raw material prices
Domestic transmission line EPC contracts include a price variation clause for
adjusting changes in raw material prices. However international contracts are
based on fixed price. Steel, aluminum and zinc are the main raw materials for
construction of a transmission line. Steel and aluminum, constitute about 15 %
of the operational costs each, and zinc constitutes around 2-3%. To neutralize the
effect of fluctuations in raw material prices KEC generally enters into hedging
of aluminum through forward contracts. For supply of steel, KEC enters into
advance contracts with vendors for 5-6 months, for reducing risks involved with
its price changes. However, steel is not fully covered, keeping the risk open for
the company to that extent. Currently ~ 35% of the total order backlog (primarily
export orders) is not subject to price variation clause.
Foreign currency risk:
KEC has presence in more than 40 countries. Revenues from international markets
constitute approximately 55% of total revenues. The company tries to match
receipts with payments. However, foreign exchange risk is not fully covered.
Competition
Apart from the established dominant player approximately 45 others EPC
contractors participated in PGCIL tenders in 2010. Participation by such players
has significantly increased competition and has resulted in increased pricing
pressure in the industry.

Operating profit margins


16.0

14.8

14.0

12.5

12.0

12.8
11.8

12.6

11.6

11.4

10.0
8.0

10.4

8.8

6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0

FY08

FY09
KEC

Jyoti

FY10
Kalpataru

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Operating margins of all the three major players have dropped in range of 100 to 200
bps as compared to FY08.

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

10

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

SECTOR REPORT

BOOT
The company is participating in the bids for BOOT projects. These projects
requiring high investments would be developed in 70:30 debt/equity ratio. In
case the company emerges as a successful bidder for the project, it will convert
the company from current pure product & solutions provider (EPC contractor) to
services-cum-solutions provider (Owner cum EPC contractor). The clear picture
related to financial requirements, profitability in view of SEBs being the client
and augmented man power requirements can emerge only after winning of a
particular project.
Foray into new verticals
KEC is foraying into new verticals like railway infrastructure. Indian Railways
(IR) is a monopsony market, which limit bargaining power of KEC. In addition,
as company is trying to create its space in this vertical, margins are also expected
to be subdued, which will have an impact on consolidated margins.
SWOT Analysis
Strength

Weakness

KECs strong track record and execution

Working capital intensive business

capabilities.
Strong presence in domestic market with market

Foreign currency Risk


Uncovered risk related to raw material prices

share of 18% to 19%


Strong order backlog of ` 80 billion, gives revenue
visibility for next 18 to 22 months.
Opportunity

Threats

Capacity addition planned for the 11th and Competition from domestic EPC contractors has
12th plan would lead to significant addition of
transmission lines.

led to increased pricing pressure in the industry.


Unrest in middle East

Up gradation of existing T&D network


Policies like RGGVY and APDRP to encourage
investment in T&D.
Acquisition of SAE towers provides opportunities
to tap US markets

Financials
KECs net sales have increased at a CAGR of 24% from ` 20,406.3 million in FY07
to ` 39,072.3 million in FY10 on back of investments in T&D. We expect net sales
to grow at CAGR of 15% to ` 58,578.3 million in FY13E.
Operating margins dropped from 12% in FY07 to 10.4% in FY10 on account of
increased pricing pressure in the industry. We expect marginal fall in operating profits
margins as we expect SAE towers which earns operating margins in range of 13%
to 14% to partly arrest fall in margins on account of increased pricing pressure in
domestic industry. We expect the company to register OPM of 10.3%, 10.2% and
10.1% in FY11E, FY12E and FY13E respectively.

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

11

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Valuation and Recommendation


At CMP of ` 72, KEC is trading at a P/E of 8.6x its FY11E earnings, 7.8x its FY12E
and 7.3 its FY13E earnings. Considering GOI focus on T&D, KECs strong presence
in domestic market, robust order backlog and acquisition of SAE towers which allow
KEC to tap US market, we assign a P/E multiple of 9x to its FY13E earnings and
recommend a BUY on the stock with a price target of ` 89.

15 PE

Close Price

12 PE

10 PE

10/3/2011

10/3/2010

7/3/2010

1/3/2009

4/3/2010

7/3/2009

10/3/2009

1/3/2009

4/3/2009

10/3/2008

4/3/2008

7/3/2008

1/3/2008

10/3/2007

4/3/2007

7/3/2007

1/3/2007

7/3/2006

10/3/2006

200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

4/3/2006

One year forward P/E Chart

8 PE

Source: ACMIIL Research

Jyoti Strcutures

10/3/2010

7/3/2010

4/3/2010

1/3/2009

10/3/2009

4/3/2009

KEC International

7/3/2009

1/3/2009

10/3/2008

7/3/2008

4/3/2008

1/3/2008

10/3/2007

4/3/2007

7/3/2007

1/3/2007

7/3/2006

10/3/2006

4/3/2006

45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0

10/3/2011

Peer Valuation One year forward PE Chart

Kalapatau Power

Source: ACMIIL Research

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

12

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Financials
Profit & Loss Account
Particulars

` Mn
FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

Net Sales

20,406.3

28,144.7

34,273.9

39,063.9

47,067.7

54,236.0

58,578.3

Total Expenditure

17,887.8

24,601.5

31,278.1

35,013.7

42,243.2

48,682.8

52,656.0

Operating Profit

2,518.5

3,543.2

3,010.3

4,058.6

4,824.4

5,553.2

5,922.3

6.9

2.5

5.9

9.9

10.0

10.0

10.0

2,525.4

3,545.7

3,016.2

4,068.5

4,834.4

5,563.2

5,932.3

334.4

250.7

230.0

270.2

403.6

483.1

508.3

2,191.1

3,295.1

2,786.2

3,798.3

4,430.8

5,080.1

5,424.0

592.5

676.5

999.7

864.7

1,121.2

1,419.8

1,526.3

1,598.6

2,618.5

1,786.5

2,933.6

3,309.6

3,660.3

3,897.7

552.2

896.9

618.4

1,037.0

1,158.4

1,281.1

1,364.2

1,046.4

Other Income
EBIDTA
Depreciation
EBIT
Interest
PBT
Taxes
PAT

1,721.6

1,168.1

1,896.6

2,151.3

2,379.2

2,533.5

Growth in sales (%)

37.9

21.8

14.0

20.5

15.2

8.0

Growth in Operating profits (%)

40.7

-15.0

34.8

18.9

15.1

6.6

Growth in PAT (%)

64.5

-32.2

61.6

14.0

10.6

6.5

12.3

12.6

8.8

10.4

10.3

10.2

10.1

5.1

6.1

3.4

4.8

4.6

4.4

4.3

OPM (%)
Net Profit Margin (%)
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Balance Sheet
Particulars

` Mn
FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

Sources of Funds
Share Capital

376.9

493.4

493.4

514.2

514.2

514.2

514.2

Reserves and Surplus

2,343.1

4,458.3

5,087.4

7,356.8

8,911.6

10,694.3

12,631.4

Total Shareholders Funds

2,719.9

4,951.7

5,580.9

7,870.9

9,425.7

11,208.5

13,145.5

Total Loan Funds

3,864.2

5,917.7

6,218.2

7,867.4

14,185.5

15,020.2

15,963.7

334.8

446.8

298.2

461.1

461.1

461.1

461.1

6,918.9

11,316.2

12,097.3

16,199.5

24,072.3

26,689.7

29,570.3

4,676.3

5,213.0

6,319.6

8,357.4

11,370.3

13,420.3

14,120.3

600.0

898.5

1,247.8

1,570.1

1,973.7

2,456.8

2,965.2

4,076.2

4,314.4

5,071.8

6,787.4

9,396.5

10,963.4

11,155.1

22.9

189.0

543.3

412.8

450.0

100.0

100.0

Net Deferred Tax Liability


Total Capital Employed
Application of Funds
Gross Block
Less: Accumulated Depreciation
Net Block
Capital Work in Progress
Goodwill on consolidation
Investments
Net Current Assets
Deferred Tax Assets
Total Assets

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2,756.6

2,756.6

2,756.6

205.9

4.6

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2,569.4

6,561.8

6,482.2

8,999.3

11,469.2

12,869.7

15,558.6

44.5

246.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

6,918.9

11,316.2

12,097.3

16,199.5

24,072.3

26,689.7

29,570.3

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

13

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Cash flow Statement

` Mn

Particulars

FY07

PBT

FY08

FY09

1,598.6

2,618.5

Depreciation

334.4

Interest

603.2

FY10

FY11E

FY12E

3,309.6

FY13E

1,786.5

2,933.6

3,660.3

3,897.7

250.7

230.0

270.2

403.6

483.1

508.3

680.6

1,016.7

944.7

1,121.2

1,419.8

1,526.3

Add

Profit before working capital changes

2,389.4

3,618.1

3,396.7

3,644.2

4,834.4

5,563.2

5,932.3

-2,213.4

-2,669.4

1,010.0

-2,519.4

-2,442.4

-1,626.6

-2,071.9

Less Taxes

-394.6

-905.4

-624.5

-778.2

-1,158.4

-1,281.1

-1,364.2

Net Cash flow from operating activities

-218.5

43.4

3,767.2

346.6

1,233.7

2,655.5

2,496.2

Net Cash flow in investment activities

-98.2

-317.8

-1,380.6

-508.5

-5,806.6

-1,700.0

-700.0

Net Cash flow from financing activities

-99.2

556.4

-1,687.4

-678.3

4,600.4

-1,181.6

-1,179.2

-416.0

282.0

699.1

-840.2

27.5

-226.1

617.0

629.9

213.9

689.9

1,409.9

699.3

726.8

500.7

Working capital changes

Net increase /(decrease) in cash


Op. balance of cash and cash equivalents
Add: cash balance of jointly controlled operation

0.0

0.0

20.8

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Add: cash balance acquired under the scheme

0.0

184.5

0.0

129.6

0.0

0.0

0.0

213.9

680.4

1,409.9

699.3

726.8

500.7

1,117.7

Cl. balance of cash and cash equivalents


Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Ratios
Particulars

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

Profitability Ratios
OPM (%)

12.3

12.6

8.8

10.4

10.3

10.2

10.1

5.1

6.1

3.4

4.8

4.6

4.4

4.3

RONW (%)

38.5

34.8

20.9

24.0

22.8

21.2

19.3

ROCE (%)

31.7

29.1

23.0

23.4

18.4

19.0

18.3

5.6

7.0

4.7

7.3

8.4

9.3

9.9

PAT Margin (%)

Per Share Ratios


EPS (Rs.)
CEPS (Rs.)

5.4

7.7

5.4

8.4

9.9

11.1

11.8

14.4

20.1

22.6

30.6

25.9

32.9

40.4

P/E (x)

9.8

8.6

7.8

7.3

P/CEPS (x)

8.5

7.2

6.5

6.1

P/BV (x)

2.4

2.8

2.2

1.8

Debt/Equity

1.4

1.2

1.1

1.0

1.5

1.3

1.2

Current Ratio

1.3

1.5

1.3

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.6

Adj BV Per Share (`)


Valuation Ratios

Capital Structure Ratios

Turnover Ratios
Debtors turnover ratio

2.3

2.0

1.8

2.0

1.9

1.9

1.9

Inventory turnover ratio

13.6

13.7

15.2

15.6

15.2

15.2

15.2

5.0

6.5

6.8

5.8

5.0

4.9

5.3

Fixed Asset Turnover


Source: ACMIIL Research,

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

14

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

BUY
Key Data

(`)

CMP

78

Target Price

110

Key Data
Bloomberg Code

JYS IN

Reuters Code

JYTS.BO

BSE Code

513250

NSE Code

JYOTISTRUC

Face Value (`)

Jyoti Structures Limited


Jyoti Structures Limited (JSL), incorporated in 1974, is a turnkey solutions provider
in transmission & distribution segment. Over the past 3 decades it has successfully
executed over 600 projects. The company is primarily focused on domestic market,
with revenues from domestic market constituting 78% of total revenues.
JSLs business can be broadly divided into transmission lines, substation and rural
electrification projects.

Market Cap. (` mn)

6390

52 Week High (`)

178

52 Week Low (`)

77

Avg. Daily Volume (6m)

Power
Geneation
Station

377,835
High Voltage Transmission Line

Shareholding Pattern (%)


27.61

FII

11.01

DII

29.88

Others

31.5

Total
(` mn)
Operating Profits
OPM (%)

100.0
FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

24,211.9

26,456.0

29,117.1

2,552.1

2,683.7

2,976.4

10.5

10.1

10.2

992.4

1,141.8

1,229.7

PAT Margin (%)

4.1

4.3

4.2

EPS (`)

9.9

11.3

12.2

PAT

Distribution Line

Transfer of Power from Generating Station to Cinsumer

Transmission lines
JSL has over 30 years of experience in executing turnkey projects in the field of extra
high voltage (EHV) transmission lines. It offers complete solutions that include tower
design, tower testing, manufacturing and onsite construction up to capacity of 800
Kv HVAC or 500 Kv HVDC. The company also has its own testing facilities that
can test towers up to 1,200 Kv. It has its manufacturing facilities located in Nasik
(Annual Capacity: 68,000 MT) and Raipur (Annual Capacity: 42,000 MT). In FY10,
transmission lines contributed 70% to its total revenues.

Transmission Towers
140

120

120

100

100

000 MT

Promoters

Revenues

Consumer

Substation

JSL: EPC Contractor for Transmission


Distribution Lines and Substation

80

80
60

60

40

40

20

20
0

FY06

FY07

FY08

Capacity

Production

FY09

FY10

Utilisation

Source: Company

Substations
JSL has undertaken projects ranging from the augmentation of existing substations
to development of new substations. It has capabilities to construct substations up to
400 Kv and has successfully completed 559 bays. Substations contributed 15% to
total revenues in FY10.
Distributions/ Rural electrification
JSL has electrified over 2,361 villages and provides connections to over 450,000
households. Currently electrification of 4,447 villages is in progress. This segment
contributed 15% to total revenues in FY10.

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

15

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Order book
As of Q3FY11 JSLs order backlog stands at ` 41 billion (~200,000 MT), which is
2x TTM sales. Domestic orders constitute 82% of the total order book, while exports
constitute the remaining 18%. Clients wise, SEBs together constitute 58% of the total
order book followed by PGCIL (26%) and private players constituting the remaining
16%. Segment wise transmission line constitutes 80% of the total order backlog
followed by rural electrification (15%) and substations (5%).
Order Book Break Up

Order Book Break Up

5%

18%
15%
82%

80%

Transmission

Rural

Substation

Domestic

Export

Source: Company

Foreign Operations
To expand its presence in the Gulf, JSL has a formed joint venture company named
Gulf Jyoti International LLC (GJIL) with Gulf Investment Corporation. JSL stake
in the JV is 30%. GJIL has its facilities located in Dubai with an annual capacity of
50,000 MT. As of Q3 FY11, GJILs order book stands at ~` 10 billion. JSL has also
formed a subsidiary, Jyoti Structures Africa (Pty) Ltd. in South Africa, in 2007 to
participate in local transmission markets.
Apart from Gulf and African region the company also plans to foray in the US
market. It is planning to set up a facility in USA that will manufacture steel towers.
The company plans to invest USD 12 million for the same.

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

16

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Key Positives
JSLs strong presence in domestic T&D segment
JSL is one of the dominant player in the industry with a domestic market share of
~17 to 18%. The company has a strong track record having successfully completed
24,568 ckm transmission line and designed/tested towers up to a capacity of 800
kV HVAC or 500 kV HVDC for various utilities. JSL also has the capability to
construct substations of up to 400 kV, making it a total turnkey EPC contractor for
power transmission lines.

Domestic Market Share

Kalpataru
16% to 17%
Others
47% to 48%

Jyoti Structures
17% to 18 %
KEC
18% to 19%

Source: ACMIIL Research

Strong Order backlog


JSL order backlog has increased from ` 36.06 billion in FY09 to ` 41 billion in Q3
FY11. Current order backlog is 1.9x TTM sales and gives revenue visibility till FY13.
Order inflows have improved in last four quarters, with company registering order
inflows worth ` 7,000 million in Q3 FY11.
Order Inflow
9000
39.59
35.1

40.3

41.5

41.06

42.5

8000

41.5

7000

38.69

6000

36.06

` Mn

36.16

5000
4000
3000
2000
1000

11
FY
Q3

Y1

10

Y1

Q2
F

Q1
F

10
FY

10
FY

FY
Q4

Q3

10

09

09

FY

Q2

Q1

FY
Q4

09
FY

09
FY

FY
Q3

Q2

Q1

11

11
FY
Q3

11

FY
Q2

FY

10

Q1

10

FY
Q4

0
Y1

FY
Q3

10
FY

09
FY

09
FY

Q2
F

Q1

Q4

FY

09

Q3

Q1

FY

09

45
43
41
39
37 35.6
35
33
31
29
27
25

Q2

` Bn

Order Back Log

Source: Company

Margins immune from fluctuations in raw material prices


Most of the domestic projects have a variable price clause, which provides cushion
against fluctuations in the prices of major raw materials such as steel and zinc. With
the domestic business accounting ~ 81% of the companys order book, margins are
largely immune to fluctuations in raw material prices.

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

17

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Key Concerns
Working capital intensive business
The T&D business is working capital intensive in nature and the requirement is
primarily funded through short-term loans. In FY10, working capital loans required
stood at 28% to 30% of sales. Thus, working capital management is crucial and
increase in working capital requirement has a direct impact on interest cost and
thereby the profitability of the company.
Competition
Apart from the established dominant player approximately 45 others EPC contractors
participated in PGCIL tenders. Participation by such players has significantly increased
competition and has resulted in increased pricing pressure in the industry.

Operating profit margins


16.0

14.8

14.0
12.0
10.0

12.8

11.8

12.5

11.6

12.6

11.4
10.4

8.0

8.8

6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0

FY08

FY09
KEC

FY10

Jyoti

Kalpataru

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Operating margins of all the three major players have dropped in range of 100 to 200
bps as compared to FY08.
BOOT
The company is participating in the bids for BOOT projects. These projects requiring
high investments would be developed in 70:30 debt/equity ratio. In case the company
emerges as a successful bidder for the project, it will convert the company from current
pure solutions provider (EPC contractor) to services-cum-solutions provider (Owner
cum EPC contractor). The clear picture related to financial requirements, profitability
in view of SEBs being the client and augmented man power requirements can emerge
only after winning of a particular project.
SWOT Analysis
Strength

Weakness

JSLs strong track record and execution capabilities.

Working capital intensive business

Strong presence in domestic market with market share of


17% to 18%
Strong order backlog of ` 41 billion, gives revenue visibility
for next 18 to 22months.
Opportunity

Threats

Capacity addition planned for the 11th and 12th plan would

Competition from domestic EPC


contractors has led to increased

lead to significant addition of transmission lines.

pricing pressure in the industry.

Up gradation of existing T&D network


Policies like RGGVY and APDRP to encourage investment
in T&D.

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

18

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Financials
JSLs net sales have increased at a CAGR of ~30% from ` 9,724 million in FY07 to
` 21,297.7 million in FY10 on back of investments in T&D. We expect net sales to
grow at CAGR of 11% to ` 29,117.1 million in FY13E.
Operating margins dropped from 13% in FY07 to 10.7% in FY10 on account of
increased pricing pressure in the industry. We expect OPM to further drop to 10.2%
in FY13E.
Rights Issue
The company issued Non Convertible Debentures (NCDs) with Detachable Warrants
on rights basis.
Details of the issue
Issue:

10,261,243, 7% NCD of face value `120 each with 20,522,486 detachable


warrants

Size of the issue

` 1231.4 million (excluding conversion of warrants)

Total Issue Size

` 3,694.05 million (assuming full conversion of warrants)

Issue Price/ Face value per ` 120


NCD
Warrant Exercise Price

` 120

Rights Entitlement

1 NCD with 2 detachable warrants for every 8 equity shares held

Redemption period for NCDs

NCD shall be redeem after 15 months

Warrant Exercise Period

Warrants can be exercised within 18 months from the Date of Allotment during
the periods set out below:
August 15, 2011 to September 15, 2011 (both days inclusive),
February 15, 2012 to March 15, 2012 (both days inclusive),
June 15, 2012 to end of 18th month from the Date ofAllotment.

Additional Subscription by the

Promoter and Promoter Group have right to subscribe to their entitlement

Promoter

in this Issue, including by subscribing for renunciation, if any, made by


any other Shareholder. The Promoter and the Promoter Group may apply
for additional NCDs with detachable Warrants in the Issue, to the extent of
any unsubscribe portion of the Issue, such that the total subscription by our
Promoter and Promoter Group (including their Rights Entitlement) shall not
exceed 90% of the Issue size.

NCD Allotted

9,346, 310 ( ` 1121.56 million)

Warrants Allotted

18,692,620 ( 2 warrants for every 1 NCD issued)

Source: Company

We have considered conversion of allotted warrants into equity shares in our financials.
Hence, we have increased share capital to ` 201.4 million.

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

19

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Valuation and Recommendation


At CMP of `78, JSL is trading at a P/E of 7.9x its FY11E earnings, 6.9x its FY12E
and 6.4 its FY13E earnings. Considering GOI focus on T&D, JSLs presence in
domestic market and strong order backlog, we assign a P/E multiple of 9x to its
FY13E earnings and recommend a BUY on the stock with a price target of ` 110.

One year forward P/E Chart


350
300
250

200
150
100

12 PE

12/1/10

8/1/10

4/1/10

12/1/09

8/1/09

4/1/09

12/1/08

8/1/08

15 PE

8 PE

Close Price

4/1/08

12/1/07

8/1/07

4/1/07

12/1/06

8/1/06

4/1/06

12/1/05

8/1/05

4/1/05

50

10 PE

Source: ACMIIL Research

Jyoti Strcutures

10/3/2010

7/3/2010

4/3/2010

1/3/2009

10/3/2009

4/3/2009

KEC International

7/3/2009

1/3/2009

10/3/2008

7/3/2008

4/3/2008

1/3/2008

10/3/2007

7/3/2007

4/3/2007

1/3/2007

10/3/2006

7/3/2006

4/3/2006

45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0

10/3/2011

Peer Valuation One year forward PE Chart

Kalapatau Power

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

20

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Financials
Profit & Loss Account
Particulars

` Mn
FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

Net Sales

9,723.8

13,738.3

18,393.6

21,297.7

24,211.9

26,456.0

29,117.1

Total Expenditure

8,460.8

11,980.3

16,318.4

19,011.1

21,659.8

23,772.3

26,140.8

Operating Profit

1,263.0

1,758.0

2,075.2

2,286.6

2,552.1

2,683.7

2,976.4

8.2

15.2

56.4

63.5

60.0

60.0

60.0

1,271.2

1,773.2

2,131.6

2,350.0

2,612.1

2,743.7

3,036.4

59.4

72.0

99.4

178.4

201.4

220.2

269.0

Other Income
EBIDTA
Depreciation
EBIT

1,211.8

1,701.2

2,032.3

2,171.7

2,410.7

2,523.5

2,767.4

Interest

329.3

467.3

687.8

795.7

835.5

711.2

815.6

PBT

882.5

1,233.9

1,344.5

1,376.0

1,575.3

1,812.3

1,951.9

Taxes

327.9

488.7

493.4

533.0

582.8

670.6

722.2

PAT

554.7

745.2

851.1

843.0

992.4

1,141.8

1,229.7

4.7

45.6

0.2

9.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

549.9

Less: Excess / (Short) Provision of Taxes for earlier years


PAT

699.6

851.0

833.9

992.4

1,141.8

1,229.7

Growth in sales (%)

41.3

33.9

15.8

13.7

9.3

10.1

Growth in Operating profits (%)

39.2

18.0

10.2

11.6

5.2

10.9

Growth in PAT (%)

27.2

21.6

-2.0

19.0

15.1

7.7

OPM (%)

13.0

12.8

11.3

10.7

10.5

10.1

10.2

NPM (%)

5.7

5.1

4.6

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.2

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Balance Sheet
Particulars

` Mn
FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

Sources of Funds
Share Capital

161.4

162.4

163.3

164.0

201.4

201.4

201.4

Reserves and Surplus

2,543.7

3,217.5

4,024.8

4,747.3

5,506.1

8,620.0

9,616.0

Total Shareholders Funds

2,705.1

3,379.8

4,188.1

4,911.3

5,707.5

8,821.4

9,817.4

Total Loan Funds

1,607.5

2,249.0

3,125.1

3,689.7

3,947.0

1,659.3

2,026.1

55.1

67.9

91.0

177.5

177.5

177.5

177.5

Net Deferred Tax Liability


Miority interest

0.0

0.0

0.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

4,367.8

5,696.7

7,404.7

8,778.6

9,832.1

10,658.2

12,021.1

Gross Block

979.8

1,140.6

1,901.1

2,438.1

2,685.4

2,935.4

3,735.4

Less: Accumulated Depreciation

385.6

456.2

550.5

687.8

889.2

1,109.3

1,378.3

Net Block

594.1

684.4

1,350.6

1,750.4

1,796.3

1,826.1

2,357.2

Total Capital Employed


Application of Funds

Capital Work in Progress


Investments
Net Current Assets
Misc Exp
Total Assets

11.2

15.0

51.8

27.3

30.0

380.0

30.0

121.0

95.6

166.6

166.6

166.6

166.6

166.6

3,617.6

4,884.1

5,823.6

6,834.3

7,839.2

8,285.5

9,467.3

23.9

17.5

12.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

4,367.8

5,696.7

7,404.7

8,778.6

9,832.1

10,658.2

12,021.1

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

21

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Cash flow Statement


Particulars
PBT

` Mn
FY07

FY08

882.5

FY09

1,233.9

FY10

FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

1,344.5

1,376.0

1,575.3

1,812.3

1,951.9

Add
Depreciation
Interest
Profit before working capital changes

59.4

72.0

99.6

178.6

201.4

220.2

269.0

329.3

467.3

687.7

795.7

835.5

711.2

815.6

1,354.3

1,824.5

2,167.6

2,299.8

2,612.1

2,743.7

3,036.4

-1,399.0

-1,198.1

-1,005.8

-81.5

-1,068.8

-651.5

-825.0

Less Taxes

-334.8

-487.0

-653.3

-489.7

-582.8

-670.6

-722.2

Net Cash flow from operating activities

-384.2

93.9

508.5

1,728.6

960.4

1,421.6

1,489.2

Net Cash flow in investment activities

-173.0

-164.3

-378.8

-1,265.9

-250.0

-600.0

-450.0

Net Cash flow from financing activities

611.1

117.2

121.2

-311.4

-811.8

-989.4

-682.4

Net increase /(decrease) in cash

53.9

46.8

250.9

151.3

-101.3

-167.8

356.9

Op. balance of cash and cash equivalents

39.3

93.2

140.0

390.9

542.2

440.9

273.1

Cl. balance of cash and cash equivalents

93.2

140.0

390.9

542.2

440.9

273.1

629.9

Working capital changes

Source: ACMIIL Research, Company

Ratios
Particulars

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11E

FY12E

FY13E

Profitability Ratios
OPM (%)

13.0

12.8

11.3

10.7

10.5

10.1

10.2

5.7

5.1

4.6

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.2

RONW (%)

20.3

20.7

20.3

17.0

17.4

12.9

12.5

ROCE (%)

27.7

29.9

27.4

24.7

24.5

23.7

23.0

6.7

8.5

10.4

10.2

9.9

11.3

12.2

PAT Margin (%)

Per Share Ratios


EPS (`.)
CEPS (`.)

7.5

10.0

11.6

12.5

11.9

13.5

14.9

33.5

41.6

51.3

59.9

56.7

87.6

97.5

P/E (x)

7.7

7.9

6.9

6.4

P/CEPS (x)

6.3

6.6

5.8

5.2

P/BV (x)

1.3

1.4

0.9

0.8

Debt/Equity

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.7

0.2

0.2

Current Ratio

2.3

2.5

2.1

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

BV Per Share (`)


Valuation Ratios

Capital Structure Ratios

Turnover Ratios
Debtors turnover ratio

2.1

2.2

2.6

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.5

Inventory turnover ratio

11.9

17.3

12.0

8.6

8.5

8.5

8.5

Fixed Asset Turnover

16.4

20.1

13.6

12.2

13.5

14.5

12.4

Source: ACMIIL Research

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

22

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Annexure KECs product range power cables


Products
LV : up to 1.1 kV
MV : 3.3 kV to 33 kV.
EHV: 45 kV to 132 kV
LT & HT Aerial Bunched Cables
TELECOM CABLES -PIJF Copper Cables
Optic Fiber Cables
SPECIALITY CABLES - Fire Survival Cables
Instrumentation Cables
Signaling Cables
House Wires
Turnkey contracts
Total Cabling Solutions
Turnkey Installation Services
Jointing, Testing and Commissioning
Technical Services for Cable Selection

Annexure KECs Order details


Date

INR Mn

20/01/2011

3,390

20/01/2011

400

3/1/2011

9,420

3/1/2011

380

Order type

Country

765 Kv line -PGCIL

India

BOP - NMDC

India

Substations order

Kazakhstan

PGCIL - Substation order

India
India

27/12/2010

3,130

765 Kv line -RRVPN

27/12/2011

2460

Transmission Tower order (received by SAE Towers)

27/12/2011

1,300

27/12/2011

970

765 Kv Line - PGCIL

India

765 Kv Line

SA

27/12/2011

970

Railway

India

27/12/2011

1,350

Telecom cables order

India

3/10/2010

7,350

High voltage transmission line towers

Canada

3/10/2010

1,580

Transmission Line

Nigeria

3/10/2010

1,350

3/10/2010

950

Transmission Line - PGCIL

India

Transmission Line

India

3/10/2010

1,120

Railway

India

3/10/2010

1,760

LT, HT, EHV Cables order

India

5/8/2010

920

400 Kv - Substation - PGCIL

India

5/8/2010

620

220 kV substation

5/8/2010

510

400 kV transmission line - Bina Power supply

5/8/2010

450

Transmission line

UAE

30/07/2010

570

Railways - civil construction, signaling, track laying and electrification

India

30/07/2010

300

Bhutan
India

Railways - electrification

Malaysia

Transmission Line - 400 /500 Kv

Georgia

8/7/2010

3,260

8/7/2010

660

Transmission Line

Zambia

8/7/2010

420

Transmission Line

Philippines

8/7/2010

1,230

LT, HT, EHV Cables order

India

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

23

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

SECTOR REPORT

Annexure Jyotis : projects under execution

Transmission Lines
Name of the Projects
North EastNorth/Western Interconnector-I 800kV HVDC Tangla-Kokrajhar-Barabisa section of Biswanath Chariyali-

Expected Datesof Completion


Feb-13

Agra transmission line for Power Grid Corporation of India Limited, India. Total length of the line is 211 Kms.
Mundra-Mohindergarh Transmission Line 500kV HVDC Mundra-Mohindergarh transmission line for Adani Power

Feb-11

Limited, India. Total length of all the lines is 1,000 Kms.


Western Region Strengthening Scheme-II 400kV transmission lines project in Maharashtra and Gujarat for Reliance

Jul-11

Energy Limited, India. Total length of all the lines is 1,500 Kms.
400kV Alamathy-Sunguvarchatram Transmission Line 400 kV multi circuit transmission line from Alamathy

Apr-11

substation to Sunguvarchatram substation for Tamil Nadu Electricity Board, India. Total length of all the line is 49 Kms.
`North East-Northern/Western InterconnectorI 400kV double circuit lower Subhansiri-Biswanath Chariyali

Oct-11

transmission line for Power Grid Corporation of India Limited, India. Total length of the line is 170 Kms.
U P Power Transmission Corporation Ltd. 765kV single circuit Anpara D-Jhusi, 765kV single circuit Anpara C-Anpara

Feb-12

D Interconnector and shifting of 765kV single circuit Anpara B-Unnao to Anpara C for U P Power Transmission
Corporation Limited, India. Total length of the line is 202 Kms.
Bhutan Power Corporation Ltd. 400kV double circuit Punatsangchhu I to Sunkosh transmission line under (Package-A

Jul-14

& B) for Bhutan Power Corporation Limited, Bhutan. Total length of the line is 210 Kms.

Substations
Name of the Projects
Amargarh & Alusteng Substations at Jammu 220/132kV substations at Amargarh & Alusteng for Jammu Kashmir

Expected Datesof Completion


Mar-11

Power Development Department, India.


Switchyard Package for Bongaigaon Thermal Power Project 400kV Switchyard Package for Bongaigaon Thermal

Dec-11

Power Project in Assam for National Thermal Power Corporation Limited, India.
Substation Package S1 for Wanpoh Substation under NRSS-XVI 400/220kV Wanpoh (New) Substation and

Dec-12

Extension of 400kV Kishenpur Substation under Northern Region System Strengthening Scheme-XVI for Power
Grid Corporation of India Limited, India.

Rural Electrification
Name of the Projects
Nashik & Pune District Rural electrification works under Infrastructure Plan (Phase-II) in Nashik and Pune Zones

Expected Datesof Completion


May-11

for Maharashtra State Electricity Transmission Company Limited, India.


Pali, Barmer, Malkangiri, Balasore and Sarguja Districts Rural electrification works in Pali, Barmer and Sarguja

Apr-11

districts (Chhattisgarh) for Power Grid Corporation of India Limited, India.


Gumla, Simdega and Chatra Districts Rural electrification works in Jharkhand for Damodar Valley Corporation, India.

20-Mar

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

24

SECTOR REPORT

INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.


An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

Notes:

Institutional Sales:
Ravindra Nath, Tel: +91 22 2858 3400
Kirti Bagri, Tel: +91 22 2858 3731
K.Subramanyam, Tel: +91 22 2858 3739
Email: instsales@acm.co.in
Institutional Dealing:
Email: instdealing@acm.co.in

Disclaimer:
This report is based on information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon such. ACMIIL or
any of its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information
contained in the report. ACMIIL and/or Promoters of ACMIIL and/or the relatives of promoters and/or employees of ACMIIL may have interest/position, financial or
otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. To enhance transparency we have incorporated a Disclosure of Interest Statement in this document. This should
however not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report
Disclosure of Interest

KEC International Limited

Jyoti Structures Limited

1. Analyst ownership of the stock

NO

NO

2. Broking Relationship with the company covered

NO

NO

3. Investment Banking relationship with the company covered

NO

NO

4. Discretionary Portfolio Management Services

NO

NO

This document has been prepared by the Research Desk of Asit C Mehta Investment Interrmediates Ltd. and is meant for use of the recipient only and is not for
circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others. It should not be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security.
The information contained herein is from sources believed reliable. We do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. We
may from time to time have positions in and buy and sell securities referred to herein.
SEBI Regn No: BSE INB 010607233 (Cash); INF 010607233 (F&O), NSE INB 230607239 (Cash); INF 230607239 (F&O)

Transmission Line EPC

ACMIIL

25

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