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Executive Summary
The importance of
monitoring hedge fund
leverage and asset liquidity
Contributors:
Douglas Smith, CFA
212-648-2622
douglas.x.smith@jpmorgan.com
Andreas Deutschmann
212-648-2338
andreas.deutschmann@
jpmorgan.com
Additional contacts:
Sara Dan
(Hong Kong)
852 28 00 2060
sara.dan@jpmorgan.com
Pascal Bougiatiotis
(London)
44 0-207 742 22 74
pascal.bougiatiotis@jpmorgan.com
For further information,
please contact your JPMorgan
representative.
Collateral and
haircuts
Triggers
Cure periods
Duration and
Maturity
Trading limits and
trade cancellations
Cash management
Introduction
In December of 2007 the Wall Street Journal reported
that Investment banks are cutting back on loans to
hedge funds, eliminating some clients and raising
borrowing fees for others. The lenders are slimming
their balance sheets after heavy losses in the debt
markets in recent months. And, after taking multibillion-dollar write-downs, they also are becoming
more cautious as the economy slows. The article mentioned that banks are often turning away new hedge
funds clients, and charging financing spreads that are as
much as 5x 10x higher than they were at the beginning of 2007 for existing clients.1
With the continued market volatility and dampening
liquidity, it is critical that hedge fund investors understand the financing arrangements of the managers with
whom they invest. While negotiating with counterparties for the most favorable financing rates can help
reduce financing costs, there are many other aspects
that managers need to address. As we have written
about previously, if hedge fund managers receive margin or capital calls from their prime brokers or capital
providers, it can have a detrimental (sometimes spiraling ) effect, since they may be forced to liquidate positions at inopportune times. This is particularly important today, since capital markets are witnessing a period
where liquidity is much lower than over the past few
years, which can make it difficult for hedge fund managers to sell their positions quickly at reasonable valuations when capital is needed.
While there were several significant hedge fund implosions prior to the Wall Street Journal article, the frequency of such implosions increased significantly during the first quarter of 2008. Understanding how managers obtain financing and negotiate counterparty
agreements has always been part of J.P. Morgan
Alternative Asset Managements (JPMAAM) due diligence process, but it took on an extra level of importance in the summer of 2007 as the credit environment
began to significantly deteriorate. After conducting a
focused review of each of our underlying managers at
that time, we were able to help underlying managers
who we determined were the most vulnerable, and to
redeem from those who did not take action.
Leverage, Financial
Intermediaries, and Hedge
Funds
As hedge funds continue to become more dominant
capital market participants, as well as important customers of financial intermediaries such as broker/dealers and investment banks, their impact on the capital
markets has become much more amplified. In turn, the
impact of an increase or decrease in risk appetite
among financial intermediaries is also having a more
pronounced impact on the capital markets, since these
same intermediaries lend capital to hedge funds for use
in managing their portfolios.
In a recent paper by the Federal Reserve Bank of New
York2, the authors outline the growth of securities broker/dealers and investment banks assets and leverage,
and point to the fact that the relationship between the
two is positive and pro-cyclical (see exhibit 1 on the following page). Essentially, as the value of their assets
increase, investment banks take on more leverage by
borrowing more (i.e. increasing their liabilities) and
investing in additional assets, including making loans
to hedge funds. The key is that the amount borrowed
by financial intermediaries in a positive environment
tends to be greater than what is necessary to simply
scale their leverage ratios back to where they started; in
other words the financial intermediaries borrow even
more and increase their leverage ratios to higher levels
as assets increase. The same works in reverse, whereby
broker/dealers and investment banks tend to reduce the
value of their liabilities by selling or calling in assets in
negative environments. The reduction in assets is
amplified in times when asset values are declining, as
these financial intermediaries seek to reduce leverage
ratios to levels that are lower than where they started.
The overall result can be an amplification of volatility
and the overall cycle, where price changes and leverage
adjustments reinforce each other.
2
2007:Q3
0
-5
-10
1998:Q4
-15
-20
-20
-15
-5
0
10
5
-10
Quarterly asset growth (percent)
15
20
Sources: Federal Reserve Bank of New York; U.S. Flow of Funds Accounts2
The authors of the paper describe this circular or spiraling effect as feedback. In the charts in exhibit 2
below, one can optically see the spiraling nature of
leverage, or this feedback effect.
Given the pro-cyclical nature of asset and leverage
growth for broker/dealers and investment banks, and
the fact that hedge funds continue to play a more
active role as their customers, hedge fund managers
need to ensure that their financing agreements are structured to mitigate the impact that any cyclical reductions
in risk by financial institutions have on their ability to
manage assets.
Liquidity
It is important to monitor the redemption liquidity
that managers offer their investors vis--vis the
Exhibit 2.
Leverage management during an asset price boom
Balance sheets
contract
Balance sheets
expand
Balance sheets
weaken
Balance sheets
strenghthen
150
150
Days to Liquidate
Days to Liquidate
(i.e. notice period)
15
45
Coverage Multiple
3.00x
Exhibit 4. Hedge Fund balance sheet 3x levered portfolio, quarterly liquidity with 45 days notice
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
$0
Value of Assets (securities)
Hedge fund balance sheet 3x levered portfolio, quarterly liquidity with 45 days notice
Value of Assets (securities)
$450
$150
$300
45
2
Coverage Multiples
3.00x
0.13x
hedge fund manager has $150mm in assets under management. If the manager were to short $100mm of stock
alongside the $150mm of long positions, the manager
would have levered up the portfolio, but at the same time
reduced his or her systematic exposure to equity markets.
Gross leverage would be 167% (250/150 = 1.67), but the
net exposure or leverage would be 33% ((150-100)/150)
(see exhibits 5a and 5b on the following page).
Although equity long/short managers are leveraged,
the lower net exposure to equities generates a more
consistent return profile and a lower level of volatility
than the broader markets. Through the application of
leverage, and by being long and short the markets,
their returns are often smoother and less volatile.
3) Magnification of low-risk returns for strategies
that seek to capture spreads or returns that are thought
to be lower in risk, managers often will lever up the
exposure to magnify returns that otherwise would not
be compelling. Although similar in concept to above
point #1, the level of leverage used and the motive is
slightly different, often because such low risk returns
are typically completely hedged and far less directional.
$160
$140
$250
$120
$200
$100
$80
$150
$60
$100
$40
$50
$20
$0
$0
$150
Unlevered
portfolio
Leveraged
portfolio
150
150
100
150
250
100%
167%
Leveraged Portfolio
Unlevered portfolio
Leveraged Portfolio
Unlevered portfolio
$150
Unlevered
portfolio
150
Leveraged
portfolio
150
-100
150
50
100%
33%
Leverage by Strategy
While any hedge fund strategy can employ leverage,
certain strategies tend to employ higher levels of leverage than others. Generally, strategies that are more directional in nature, or in other words exhibit some net
Long Target
Company Shareholders
One for One share exchange. Assume $100 of capital. Assume deal closes in four months. Aside from short sale, no additional
leverage employed. Purchase one share of target, short one share of acquirer.
Acquirer Stock Price After
Deal Announcement
$100
Difference / Spread
$98
$2
2.00%
6.00%
One for One share exchange. Assume $100 of capital, with leverage of 3x. Assume deal closes in four months. Purchase three
shares of target, short three shares of acquirer. Assume annual financing cost of capital borrowed is 5%.
Acquirer Stock Price After
Deal Announcement
$100
Difference / Spread
$2
Leveraged Spread
$6
6.00%
18.00%
-3.33%
14.67%
* This is a simple example. Merger arbitrage manager would also receive a short interest rebate on short sale proceeds, incure a cost for stock
borrowed, and owe any dividends paid on the short stock position to the lender.
Directional Strategies
Long/Short Equities:
0.0x to 2.0x
Distressed Securities:
0.0x to 1.3x
Opportunistic/Macro:
1.0x to 2.5x
Below is a summary of the leverage levels typically utilized for several of the strategies mentioned above. The
figures represent gross leverage.
Arbitrage Strategies
Merger Arbitrage:
0.8x to 2.5x
Relative Value:
1.0x to 20.0x
Event Driven:
0.8x to 2.5x
3.0x to 7.0x
5.0x to 20.0x
Statistical Arbitrage:
2.0x to 4.0x
1.0x to 2.0x
Repurchase
Agreements
(Repos)
OTC Derivatives
and
Swaps
Rating
Yield
Senior Tranche
85%
AAA
6%
Mezzanine Tranche
10%
BBB
6.50%
Equity Tranche
5%
NR
15%
8%
5.10%
0.65%
0.75%
6.50%
1.50%
either receive or provide the returns of specific securities, indices, currencies, commodities, etc., in exchange
for the returns of other securities or a financing rate
(typically LIBOR + a spread). The manager can gain
exposure to the returns of a large dollar value of securities, and typically only must deposit an initial margin
of 5%-15% in the form of cash or equivalent securities.
If the return of the reference asset is positive then the
manager receives a payment from the counterparty, but
if the return of the reference asset is negative then the
manager will owe the counterparty a payment. ISDAs
cover swap transactions and other derivative transactions (e.g. options) that are executed in the over-thecounter (OTC) market directly between parties, versus
on an exchange. Following is a diagram outlining the
exchange of returns from a simple total return swap
agreement.
Return of S&P 500
Counterparty
Hedge Fund
Financing charge
(e.g. LIBOR + Dealer Spread)
Margin Posted*
Investors
Prime Brokerage
Borrowing Facility
Term Financing
Bonds
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under the parent company umbrella, under what circumstances this would occur, and the status of these
alternate entities with regard to capital structure, ratings, guarantees, etc.
13. Cash managers will often have unencumbered
cash that has not been posted as margin or invested in
securities. If this cash is held at the same prime broker
that the manager trades with, and the prime broker
defaults on its obligations, there is the risk that access
to the cash may become restricted. Managers may benefit by instructing their prime broker to transfer any
unencumbered cash to other subsidiaries of the same
bank such as the asset management division, so that it
is not commingled with the assets held at the prime
brokerage entity, or even to have the cash managed by
a completely different bank.
Larger Funds vs. Smaller Funds
As the hedge fund industry has grown rapidly, it has
also evolved. Generally hedge funds are far more
sophisticated in how they structure their agreements
with counterparties compared to a decade ago.
However, larger firms have a distinct advantage due to
their scale. There is a disproportionate amount of capital being managed by the largest hedge fund firms,
with some studies suggesting that more than half of
hedge fund AUM is being managed by less than 5% of
hedge fund organizations these organizations are
much better postioned to negotiate for the best commercial terms. Smaller firms may lack the scale and
resources to do as thorough a job at negotiating, and
may also be at a bit of a disadvantage since they generate lower trading volumes. Therefore, the initial agreements they strike, typically with fewer counterparties
or perhaps just one, must be as tight as possible given
the higher counterparty concentration risk. We at
JPMAAM recognize that smaller managers are often
the most able to effectively exploit opportunities in
niche strategies. We attempt to partner with our underlying manager when possible in order to facilitate the
advancement of their businesses. As an example, if we
believe that a manager needs to devote more time to
negotiating with counterparties, we will often recommend a consultant that specializes in reviewing and
negotiating such agreements for hedge fund managers.
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Conclusion
In todays environment of declining liquidity and significant bank subprime losses, it is particularly important for hedge fund managers to obtain financing from
the strongest counterparties. In addition, their agreements with these counterparties should offer competitive economic terms, should provide sufficient time and
flexibility to manage through difficult periods, and
should not place the fund and fund investors at undue
risk. Managers who are proactive in negotiating for the
best terms will often have an advantage, especially during the tougher times. They will have time to unwind
certain positions if necessary, or equally as important,
to take advantage of mispricings that surface in the
capital markets by leveraging liquidity they have available that others may not.
References
1) The Wall Street Journal. December 28, 2007. Page
C1. Hedge Funds Feeling the Pinch on Credit, Too.
By Gregory Zuckerman and Alistair MacDonald.
2) Liquidity, Monetary Policy, and Financial
Cycles. Federal Reserve Bank of New York research
publication. Authors: Tobias Adrian and Hyun Song
Shin. January/February 2008 Volume 14, Number 1.
Website: http://www.ny.frb.org/research/current_
issues/ci14-1/ci14-1.html
Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends,
which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. References to specific securities,
asset classes, and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations.
These materials have been provided to you for information purposes only and may not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in
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available for actual investment. Indices presented, if any, are representative of various broad base asset classes. They are unmanaged and shown
for illustrative purposes only.
This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal
or tax advice. You should consult your tax or legal advisor regarding such matters.
JPMorgan Asset Management is the marketing name for the asset management businesses of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates worldwide
which includes but is not limited to J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc., JPMorgan Investment Advisors, Inc., Security Capital Research & Management Incorporated, J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc.
www.jpmorgan.com/insight
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