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VOL ANS
The Business of Social Innovation
Contents
Executive Summary 4
1.0 Introduction 8
1.1 Entering the Discontinuity 10
1.2 The Surveys 11
5.0 Pioneers 42
The Phoenix 50 List 44
Notes 48
Volans Foreword 1
Darwin lives, in the sense that natural selection In this report, we aim to show that a new
pressures are working across global markets Phoenix Economy is, nonetheless, self-
in powerful new ways. In 2009, we seem to be assembling—focused on providing social and
at one of those infrequent economic tipping environmental solutions, where markets and
points, also experienced in years like 1919, governments have failed. If the pioneers of the
1929, 1939 and 1989. Among other things, Phoenix Economy are to succeed, they will still
the current economic discontinuity is forcing need substantial assistance from governments,
a profound reassessment of public and foundations, investors and businesses, and
private sector investment in areas such as we identify urgent opportunities for facilitation,
corporate responsibility and sustainable collaboration and support. We also celebrate
development—all at a time when climate a roll call of the Phoenix 50 pioneers in the
change and global inequalities are reaching business of social innovation, nominated by
critical limits and demanding urgent attention. entrepreneurs and other stakeholders.
The uncomfortable reality is that we still
have a great deal to do if the new century’s Please note that this is a report to—not by—
challenges are to be addressed effectively, the Skoll Foundation. We are profoundly
in time and at the necessary scale. grateful to the Skoll team for their support,
but underscore the fact that they only saw
It may be understandable, but disproportionate the text of the report at a very late stage.
effort continues to be lavished on shoring up In future years, we plan to broaden out our
the dinosaurs of the old order, rather than coverage to a Phoenix 500, with change-
investing in the new pioneers, who are working makers themselves driving the selection and
hard—and often against the odds—to assessment processes. Please help us
incubate and scale market solutions essential towards that goal by commenting on our
for a sustainable future. version 1.0. E-mail us at phoenix@volans.com
John Elkington
Co-founder of SustainAbility (1987) and
Co-founder of Volans (2008)
Alejandro Litovsky
Head, Pathways to Scale Program, Volans
Charmian Love
Chief Operating Officer, Volans
Seismic change is clearly underway, with the In our 20 years experience of analysing
collapse of global financial markets threatening and advising companies on sustainable
to make already critical challenges—climate development, SustainAbility has found that a
change, water scarcity, geopolitical instability— ‘burning platform’ is often a prerequisite for
much worse. But times of upheaval are also radical action. Be it Shell’s Brent Spar or BP’s
times of opportunity, as this latest report from Colombia experience, it took an unwelcome—
our partners at Volans and SustainAbility and unexpected—shock to the corporate
makes clear. system to lead to an overhaul of business as
usual. In this seminal year we see burning
A new generation of entrepreneurs, together platforms everywhere.
with old warriors fighting the good fight,
is coming up with big, bold ideas and Throughout the economy—from high finance
exceptional innovations that light the way to manufacturing—companies are fighting for
forward. Growing Opportunity (2007), the first survival. What their leaders decide now will
report in this series for Skoll, charted the rise determine not only their organisation’s fate,
of an emerging breed of social and environ- but that of the market system as a whole.
mental entrepreneurs. The second report, The stakes are high and leaders across
The Social Intrapraneur (2008), revealed the government and business face an opportunity
inside story of transformative practices to re-frame the terms of the debate. Winner-
underway in mainstream corporations. takes-all business models—concentrating
Against the backdrop of a global economy wealth in the hands of a few or depleting
in crisis, The Phoenix Economy breaks our natural resources in the pursuit of profits—
important ground once again, identifying the no longer hold credibility.
entrepreneurial organizations whose work
speaks to a new order emerging from the But, what will take their place? The Phoenix
ashes. Economy introduces us to an inspiring group
of changemakers whose bravery and vision
The report you hold in your hands also makes may just be sufficient to blaze sustainable
clear how tackling the Bull and Bear markets— pathways out of the economic maelstrom.
that have dominated our ideas of value This compelling report highlights opportunities
creation in recent decades—demands that that—if sufficiently supported and scaled—
we slay the dragon of fear and convention. could contribute to economic re-birth.
Once again, John Elkington and his team give We look forward to continued work with
us good reason to hope. The Skoll Foundation Volans and the Skoll Foundation to support
is proud to support this pioneering research promising innovators and entrepreneurs
and trusts you will find the achievements and wherever they may be found.
ambitions of ‘The Phoenix 50’ both
provocative and inspiring. Maggie Brenneke
Mark Lee
Sally Osberg Sophia Tickell
President, Skoll Foundation SustainAbility
Many Net Impact members may be Recent work by UNEP on sustainable ventures
experiencing market conditions that are and entrepreneurial partnerships in developing
unique in their (often short) working lifetimes, countries has highlighted the need to have a
but The Phoenix Economy underscores the good understanding of market conditions.
fact that times of crisis are also times of This is all the more critical today, as market
opportunity. Net Impact is pleased to have conditions are changing rapidly. It is both a
been involved in selecting the first round of time of crisis and opportunity, as we work
the Phoenix 50—and we look forward to with governments, business and others on
continuing the conversation on how we can the greening of economic bailouts and ‘New
extend the discussion and the joint working, Deal’ packages.
to build a new order from the ashes of
the old. The Phoenix Economy is a useful reminder
that this is a multi-dimensional challenge.
Liz Maw It helpfully spotlights some of the market
Executive Director, Net Impact pioneers now developing the entrepreneurial
mindsets, technologies and business models
needed to drive the necessary scale of
change.
Sylvie Lemmet
Director, United Nations Environment
Programme (UNEP) Division of Technology,
Industry and Economics
00 10 20 30 40 50
The Phoenix Economy 5
The Phoenix Economy, subtitled 50 Pioneers —Entrepreneurs, like all businesses, face
in the Business of Social Innovation, is the first increasingly tough financial challenges, but
Volans market intelligence report. It reveals there is evidence that this is helping drive
how leading entrepreneurs, investors and necessary adaption. Many of our survey
businesses are thinking as they develop and respondents anticipate new funding flowing
scale market solutions to a broad array of into key sustainability ventures from a variety
economic, social, environmental and of sources, including ‘green new deal’
governance challenges. investment programs launched by
governments. But these same entrepreneurs
The report draws on new surveys of experts must now also develop the political ‘voice’
and entrepreneurs to identify trends and and presence to ensure their views and
examples of how respondents are dealing proposed solutions carry weight and build
with the current economic discontinuity, and— the necessary momentum to achieve
uniquely—spotlights 50 pioneers driving the scale and impact.
development of a new, more equitable and
more sustainable Phoenix Economy. —Strikingly, in spite of the anticipated growth
Key findings include: in markets for social and environmental
solutions, timely, reliable and affordable
—The economic crisis has shaken confidence market research is still generally lacking,
in old priorities, mindsets, incentives and particularly in emerging economies, leaving
investments, which are seen as increasingly many entrepreneurs ill-served when it
bankrupt. This has helped to create growing comes to building their business case.
public and political appetite for an alternative
paradigm, driven by a very different set of The report concludes with a ‘Phoenix Agenda’
sustainable values, priorities and targets. for enabling a paradigm shift, which sets
To date, however, most initiatives have been out how governments, investors, businesses
driven by short-term panic rather than by and business schools can best support
any clear-sighted, long-term vision of how new market pioneers in achieving the scale
our economic priorities must evolve. essential for more sustainable markets—and
more equitable societies.
—Any market transformation must be based
on scalable solutions that bridge the micro-
macro divide. This will require entrepreneurial
successes at five key stages of business and
market development: (1) breakthrough
insight; (2) experimentation; (3) enterprise
development; (4) creation of alliances and
replication of success, and ultimately (5),
mass market infiltration, involving economic
and institutional transformations.
Organisation Pages
Inner Feathers
3.6º
The Phoenix Economy 9
Commentators have struggled with what Good news, as far as it goes, but likely only the
to call the current downturn—a recession, beginning of a transformative process that will
a slump or a depression? We call it a take decades to work through—a point long
‘discontinuity’. Early on, politicians and made by Lester Brown of the Earth Policy
business leaders predicted that the recovery Institute in his inspirational work on Plan B,2
would come within months or, at most, a few addressing the challenges of ‘rescuing a planet
quarters. Soon, however, the sense grew that under stress and a civilisation in trouble’.
something different was afoot—and parallels
were drawn with the onset of the Great Meanwhile, although blame is being heaped
Depression of the 1930s. on the governance and management of the
financial sector for the failure of the banks
As a result, 2009 started with a flurry of to count, manage and hedge their risks, we
bailouts and talk of Keynesian ‘New Deals’.1 must look deeper for the true culprits. The
Much of this effort, however, was reactive and root cause ultimately tracks back to a flawed
poorly coordinated. Huge amounts of money mindset—part of our prevailing paradigm—
went to prop up iconic giants of the old that both permitted and drove high-risk
economy, money that might have been better appetites and behaviours with consequences
invested in the new market solutions and far beyond the world’s financial system.
infrastructures necessary to meet twenty-first
century needs: the proposed Phoenix As James Lovelock recently observed at the
Economy of this report. launch of his book—The Vanishing Face of
Gaia: A Final Warning—our ecological debt far
Still, the economic discontinuity is engendering outweighs our financial debt and the ensuing
a radical economic clear-out that is likely to ecological crunch will be severe. This
open out new opportunity spaces for scalable sentiment was echoed by our survey
entrepreneurial solutions to many of the world’s respondents and interviewees who stressed
critical economic, social, environmental and that the world now faces multiple crunches in
governance challenges. Indeed, as The areas such as energy security, food,
Phoenix Economy report raced towards the biodiversity, pandemic risks and climate
finish line, Van Jones of Green for All—one of instability, amongst others.
our Phoenix 50 pioneers—wrote to say that
$500 million had gone into the US economic
recovery bill for green jobs training.
In discussing the potential of the current Our respondents believe that the prospect
economic discontinuity to drive change in of a true paradigm shift has never been
desirable directions, we acknowledge that greater—in the original sense of the term
such turbulent periods also tend to trigger ‘paradigm’: a prevailing worldview and what
reactive measures and behaviours, such is taken for normality. The implications for
as protectionism, xenophobic sentiment, their organizations and agendas are
extremist politics and intergenerational tension profound—indeed a number of respondents
and conflict, particularly where inequities requested anonymity on the basis that
are severe and mechanisms of governance their projections could raise real question
and justice are weak. In short, a positive marks over their prospects. Most, however,
outcome to our current crisis is by no means remain upbeat.
guaranteed, which places a premium on
bold, far-sighted and effective leadership
in the public, private and citizen sectors.
Success will depend crucially on the initiative
and achievement of many of the innovators
and entrepreneurs covered in our 2009
survey—the third in a series carried out
with the help of the Skoll Foundation and
other partners.
Since the late 1990s, members of the Volans —The second, in December 2008 and
team have been spurred by the conviction January 2009, tested practitioner views
that the early decades of the twenty-first on the implications of the current economic
century would indeed see a true paradigm discontinuity via a survey of social and
shift, accelerated by the end of one long-wave environmental entrepreneurs, with 114
economic cycle and the beginning of another.4 responses.
The market leaders highlighted during our
Skoll Foundation-funded work, we believe, —The third, in February 2009, explored wider
provide important early clues as to where professional views via a survey of experts
mainstream enterprise, business, financial and opinion-formers, receiving responses
institutions and governments will need to from 391 members of the Volans and Net
head in the coming years. Impact networks and 36 members of the
SustainAbility Faculty.
While our initial 2007 Skoll Survey (conducted
by SustainAbility) investigated the business Net Impact is a leading global network of
implications of the work pursued by social students and alumni committed to having
and environmental entrepreneurs 5 and the a positive impact on society. They represent
second—carried out by SustainAbility in the sort of thinkers and leaders who will
2008—focused on the work of social and help drive the development of the Phoenix
environmental intrapreneurs working in Economy over the next decade. The thinking
mainstream corporations like Accenture, and priorities of their members are threaded
Banco Real, Coca-Cola and Morgan- through what follows, including their
Stanley,6 our aim in The Phoenix Economy suggestions on the organizations that should
is to begin an exploration of how we can be listed in our first Phoenix 50 (Chapter 5).
harness today’s economic turmoil to spur
the long-term transformation of capitalism In this report, we look at the growing need
and markets. for transformational change (Chapter 2),
introducing the need for a greater focus on
To gauge the impact of ongoing market entrepreneurial ‘pathways to scale’. Then
trends on leading social and environmental we explore five trends that emerged from
entrepreneurs, Volans conducted several our analysis of the surveys (Chapter 3).
linked surveys in 2008 and 2009: Finally, we lay out an agenda for: political
leaders and governments; business leaders
—The first, in June 2008, explored the interest, and financial institutions; and business
and experience, of over 50 entrepreneurs educators (Chapter 4).
in working with mainstream business.
2.0 Paradigm Shift 12
Outer Feathers
7.2º
The Phoenix Economy 13
The thing about paradigms is that they persist By extension, the ‘Phoenix Economy’
for what seems like an eternity—and then turn symbolizes the various strands of social
inside-out in what seems disconcertingly like and environmental innovation and enterprise
an instant. As the older economic order begins that will help create a more equitable
to implode, the potential for a shift towards a and sustainable future. At a time when
more equitable and sustainable Phoenix governments are attempting to ‘green’ the
Economy is emerging from conversations with growing number of bailouts and ‘New Deals’,
leading innovators and entrepreneurs around the Phoenix Agenda is a reminder that there
the world. While our survey respondents and is a wider spectrum of challenges that will
interviewees accept that the near-term future need to be tackled in the coming decades.
may seem dark, they also recognize that the
resulting shake-out of the older order promises Some leaders in the field are bullish. “I am
to create the conditions for the emergence of convinced we are about to go over the
new thinking, new models, and a new awareness tipping zone,” says Bill Drayton
landscape of opportunity—much of which of Ashoka, “to an ‘everyone a changemaker’
underlies our framing of the Phoenix Economy. world. Over the last summer, we studied the
patterns of transformation (as in the civil rights
Turn to Wikipedia and you find that the phoenix and women’s movements) and found they
is a mythical bird with many-hued plumage. It all followed the same pattern. We are now
symbolizes longevity—sustainability—with a life moving into a time when the public at large
expectancy of at least 500 years. At the end of engages—and the small pioneer islands
its life cycle it is consumed by flames, and a swallow the whole.”
new bird rises from its ashes. Even today, the
phoenix is understood in many countries as a Paradoxically, however, at precisely the
symbol of regeneration. moment when awareness of, and need for,
the services these entrepreneurs provide is
skyrocketing, their funding—particularly the
financing needed to replicate and scale their
impact—is coming under growing pressure.
And, with few exceptions, they believe things
will get worse.
So what exactly are these pioneers trying to Ultimately, if anything like a truly sustainable
achieve? Drawing on survey responses and and equitable future is to be achieved,
interviews, we evolved a simple, 5-stage entrepreneurial initiatives will need to scale
‘Pathways to Scale’ model of change (Figure up further to Stage 5 system change—typified
2.1). Each new business model will typically by broad-based market and societal adoption
begin at Stage 1, with the early recognition of of new mindsets, models and technologies.
an opportunity for a new solution: the ‘Eureka!’ Success in moving from Stages 4 to 5 will
moment. In Stage 2, that initial idea is put to involve the transformation of political priorities,
the test, with prototypes and experimentation. governance process, market rules and
Over time, successful experiments evolve into cultures. The Phoenix 50 pioneers, spotlighted
solutions around which new, Stage 3 business in this report, are helping to catalyze such
models and enterprises are created. Stage 4 changes, though their ability to replicate and
sees the focus shift to the evolution of broader scale their successes—to reach critical mass.
ecosystems of change agents—involving a Their longevity and impact will depend on
growing number of public, private and citizen their ability to respond in good order to the
sector partnerships, followed by secondary challenges identified in Chapter 3, including
waves of imitation. coping with the evolving funding crisis.
Figure 2.1
A key element of our work on the Phoenix —Nick Sireau, Executive Director of Solar Aid,
Economy has been our Pathways to Scale and Jeremy Leggett, founder and Chairman
Program, headed by Alejandro Litovsky. This of Solarcentury and Solar Aid, explain how
action-research program builds on earlier work to scale up markets for solar businesses in
reported in The Power of Unreasonable East Africa and South America.
People7 and is building the methodologies,
tools and activities based on the Pathways to —Charlotte Opal, Coordinator of the
Scale 5-stage model, to help leaders scale up Roundtable of Sustainable Biofuels,
the impact of their initiatives. This work is reflects on how to scale up market rules
featured on the Volans website—and includes for the sustainable production and trade
‘market intelligence’ briefs on Phoenix markets of biofuels, as they launch the first version
and ‘ecosystem’ briefs on how trailblazers are of the voluntary standard.
working together to shape tomorrow’s markets
in areas such as solar power and sustainable —Nancy Kete, Director of EMBARQ, the
mobility. Our series of ‘Conversations on Scale’ Center for Sustainable Transport of the
profile the thinking and strategies of leaders for World Resources Institute (WRI), reflects
growing their impact. Early postings include: on the success of transport partnerships
in Istanbul and Mexico City, and the
—Jonathan Kua, Director of International strategies for reaching the world’s most
Organisations Programme Office (IOPO) at populated cities.
the Singapore Economic Development
Board (EDB), explains how the city state The Pathways to Scale team is taking this
plans to grow the social enterprise sector work forward in a number of ways, including:
by being home to international social a session on scaling up sustainable mobility
enterprise enablers as well as regional solutions at the 2009 Skoll World Forum at
social enterprises. the Säid Oxford Business School in the UK;
an action-research project conducted with
—Mathis Wackernagel, Executive Director Harvard Kennedy School of Government
of the Global Footprint Network (GFN) graduate students; and a project with the
explains how Footprint metrics work for Rework! initiative, a global partnership between
companies and countries, and how the Tällberg Foundation in Sweden and
GFN intends to go to scale. Youth Entrepreneurship and Sustainability
(YES Inc.).
Stage 4 Stage 5
Ecosystem Economy
Critical mass is achieved The economic system flips to
through alliances and a more sustainable state—
imitation driving market and institutional
www.volans.com/pathways transformation
The Phoenix Economy 16
Figure 2.2
Fear Hope
Dragon Phoenix
Decade 2
2010–2020
Bear Bull
Decade 1
2000–2010
2.2 The Phoenix Paradigm 17
Twentieth century capitalism was driven by The Phoenix Economy, by contrast, blurs
alternating ‘Bull’ and ‘Bear’ markets, and the across national borders and works to integrate
twenty-first century’s first decade (2000-2009) the triple bottom line of economic, social and
has seen the collapse of the greatest Bull environmental value added into its DNA—as a
market in history. By contrast, a very different triple helix of change and new growth.
oscillation is now emerging as a driver of
political, economic and business priorities. This involves what Thomas Kuhn—author
We expect the coming decades to see of The Structure of Scientific Revolutions—
growing competition between ‘Dragon’ called a paradigm shift in the way we think
and ‘Phoenix’ models of wealth creation, about the future and about value. As the
superimposed upon—not replacing— Phoenix paradigm evolves, inevitably,
traditional Bull and Bear dynamics extraordinary new market opportunities
(Figure 2.2). will be created. One way to grasp and map
the new opportunity spaces is to think in
The Bull and Bear fight it out in a single bottom terms of a spectrum of value (Figure 2.3).
line world. Both tend to be short term in focus. Biotechnologists label application areas
By contrast, Dragon and Phoenix mindsets by color, with ‘red’ standing for health
tend to be longer term in orientation. Dragon applications, for example, and ‘green’
markets, particularly China’s (until-recently- for environmental applications.8
booming) economy, are often based on longish
term planning, but are powered by business Innovators like the Phoenix 50 operate freely
models and value chains that largely follow the across that spectrum of value creation,
path of Western industrialization, and—as a delivering new or improved ‘value blends’.
result—are likely to be increasingly taxed by Growing effort is being devoted to
environmental and natural resource understanding their dynamics and pathways
constraints. to scale, as in the work of the United Nations
Development Programme 9 and the
To date, Dragon economies have focused, Cleantech Group. But given that the problem
at best, on a double bottom line of economic is often market failure, no amount of market
growth and the maintenance of sufficient research can bridge the gaps. That’s why
social cohesion to keep the national the market-shaping policies of the Obama
locomotive on the rails. In hard times, Presidency—which recently recruited another
Dragon mindsets are likely to default to of our Phoenix 50 pioneers, Van Jones of
economic nationalism. Green for All—are so extraordinary. They
speak of a new paradigm, of a fledgling
Phoenix Economy.
Figure 2.3
General Electric (GE) Market demand for Revenues from GE’s range of energy efficient
‘Ecomagination’ solutions is growing and environmentally targeted products and
Initiative fast services surged to $17 billion in 2008, with
a projection of $25 billion by 2010.10
GlaxoSmithKline The ‘access’ agenda, GSK cut its prices for all drugs in the 50 least
(GSK) in such areas as drugs, developed countries to no more than 25%
energy and water, is of the levels in the UK and US—and less if
a real pain for main- possible—and pledged to make drugs more
stream companies, affordable in middle-income countries such
but also signposts as Brazil and India.11
future markets
Global Impact Even the biggest Over the next 5–10 years, social impact
Investing Network animals and markets investing could grow to represent about 1% of
(GIIN) start with small seeds estimated current assets under management—
about $500 billion.12
Participant Media Culture change must The producers of films like An Inconvenient
involve the media Truth have developed active working
industry relationships with over 80 non-profits in
mainstream media projects, focused on
sustainability issues and reaching over
20 million people.
Singapore Economic Don’t just focus on EDB has announced a S$350 million fund to
Development Board green jobs, focus on support the development of the cleantech
(EDB) clusters industry in Singapore, estimating the sector
will generate S$1.7 billion in value-added
business, creating 7,000 jobs by 2015.13
Stern Review on A new paradigm In 2006, the Stern Review of the Economics
the Economics of means new ways of of Climate Change, produced for the UK
Climate Change looking at our world government, argued that the benefits of taking
and at markets action to stabilise greenhouse gases by 2050
(minus the costs) would amount to a ‘profit’ of
$2.5 trillion (£1.32 trillion).14 Lord Stern now
warns governments need to prepare for
temperature rises of 4–6 ºC.
United Nations United action is The UN already argues that ‘one third of the
crucial for global around $2.5 trillion-worth of planned stimulus
change packages should be invested on 'greening' the
world economy. The estimated $750 billion of
green investment, equal to about 1% of current
global GDP, could trigger significant, multiple
and potentially transformational returns.’ 15
US Green Deal Government policy $43 billion out of a $787 billion spending bill
and spending is earmarked for renewable energy.
central
2.3 Surprises 19
There were a number of surprises in the survey We were also struck by the way that the
results. We were forcefully struck, for example, United States—and the Obama Presidency
by the number of mainstream companies that in particular—dominated the nominations.
made it into the final list—when we had started But if any one organization summed up the
out thinking mainly in terms of social and Phoenix mindset and approach for us, it was
environmental enterprises. Shai Agassi’s Better Place. Based in the
USA, it is increasingly global in its operations.
They included General Electric (GE), with
its ‘Ecomagination’ Initiative,16 Google.org Agassi, formerly a top executive at German
for its focus on renewable energy and other software company SAP, has developed a
sustainability issues, GSK for its industry- business model that treats cars as if they
consensus-shattering announcement that it were mobile phones, with drivers able to pay
would radically cut the cost of its drugs to the a monthly fee to charge their vehicles at
world’s poorest countries, Novo Nordisk for easy-to-use battery stations. The aim is to
its work with the Oxford Health Alliance convert cities and ultimately countries to
(which is about preventing and reducing the electric vehicles. Already countries like
global impact of chronic disease, around three Australia, Denmark and Israel have signed
risk factors—tobacco use, physical inactivity up, together with states like California and
and poor diet) and TNT for its work on Hawaii, and cities like Toronto. Their
providing the logistics for disaster relief and approach—which involves mobilizing all
other large-scale initiatives, including tree levels of government, major companies
planting in East Africa. (like Renault-Nissan) and investors—is a
prototypical example of what expect to see as
the Phoenix paradigm takes hold and the
relevant forms of innovation and
entrepreneurship takes flight.
000º
270º
The Phoenix Economy 21
Figure 3.0
Weathering to Delivering
Five trends that will shape the agenda
1 2 3 4 5
Weathering Rebooting the Evolving the Bridging the Delivering
the Storm Business Case ‘Ecosystem’ Micro-Macro Government-
Divide as-Unusual
3.1 Weathering the Storm 22
Most entrepreneurs say the downturn In fact, SEWA’s members have been
has already hit funding—but even as the experiencing financial crises for the last three
shakeout builds and cost efficiency years. Bhat continues: “SEWA was in a
measures are put into effect, necessity situation where it could have succumbed to
will be the mother of profound reinvention. this crisis. However, our members turned this
around as an opportunity to revise our strategy
As the downturn began to bite in earnest, and achieve financial self-reliance. As a result,
entrepreneurs found themselves—and their members’ economic organizations have been
beneficiaries—caught in a tightening vise. able to achieve 70% financial self-reliance.
50% of respondents had already been This has reinforced our confidence of
affected (Figure 3.1). reaching our impact.”
From India, Self-Employed Women’s Less positively, the global situation is likely
Association (SEWA) founder Ela Bhat to worsen as capital flows to emerging
reported that, “SEWA’s members in the markets are choked off by the financial crisis
informal sector specifically construction in the advanced economies.19 The credit
workers, rag pickers and garment stitchers, crisis is also squeezing funding to leading
have been adversely affected because of the social and environmental entrepreneurs,
economic crises. They have lost their work impacting the value of foundation
and employment. As a result children are endowments—and thus the disposable funds.
being withdrawn from the school and joining Although some entrepreneurs report increasing
their mothers in work, particularly girls— support and growing confidence, a clear
and there is widespread starvation.” majority notes a deteriorating prospect for
future funding. One consequence will be
growing interest in the diversification of
revenue streams.
Impacted Adapting
To what extent have you been affected What level of adaptation is the global
by the global economic crisis? economic crisis demanding of you
% and your work?
%
50 50
40 40 40
37
35
30 30 31
20 20
15 14
10 10 11
8
5 4
Not at all
Marginally
Affected
Seriously
Badly
Very low
Low
Medium
High
Very high
Necessity Mothers Reinvention 23
Rather than a profound process of adaptation, Further south, Fernando Nilo of Recycla
what we see to date from our survey is mainly Chile noted that the smelters they sell metals
a process of cost reduction—hardly surprising, to held payment for 60 days—and were only
given that less than a fifth of our respondents persuaded to pay with the support of lawyers.
said the pressure to adapt was already ‘high’
or ‘very high’ (Figure 3.1). Significantly, Adaptation is well under way in many
however, 40% said the pressure was organizations. “We have shifted staff
‘medium’—although the comments made it substantially towards our revenue engine,
clear that many respondents expect the The First Book Marketplace,” explained
pressures to grow. Asked how long they Kyle Zimmer of First Book. Kiva co-founder
expect the downturn to last, 45% of our and CEO Matt Flannery replied that the
respondents thought 1.5 to 3 years (Figure micro-lending organization planned to
3.3), though there were outliers expecting a “return to a scrappy attitude,” emphasizing
more protracted crisis. Our own assumptions the opportunistic, irrepressible and determined
skew strongly to the right hand side of the mindset and behaviors of a start-up.
time-line. Once again, however, there is a sense
that whilst the funding crisis is profoundly
Respondents were eloquent on the scale of unwelcome, coming at a time when many
the impact to date: “Our microfinance program entrepreneurs are under pressure to replicate
is suffering because local banks are not and scale their operations, there could
lending us money,” said one prominent Latin be significant upsides. “New ideas and
American entrepreneur, who asked to remain approaches will spring forth,” noted Kristine
anonymous. “When they do, they have short- Pearson of the Freeplay Foundation
ened the term to 3 months and doubled the “necessity, once again, will be the mother
interest rate, from 10% to 20%.” From Peru, of invention.”
Albina Ruiz Ríos reported that the price of the
PET plastic that Ciudad Saludable recycles The key challenge for many, as Benetech’s
had dropped from $500 to $150 a ton. Jim Fruchterman put it, is to get through
“the valley of death”. For that to happen,
respondents see an urgent need for key
Figure 3.3 actors to adopt elements of the agenda
outlined on pages 35–40.
Assumptions
How long do you think the global economic
crisis is likely to continue?
%
50
45
40
30 31
20 19
10
4 1
0–1 Years
1–1.5 Years
1.5–3 Years
3–5 Years
5+ Years
How Entrepreneurs are 24
Responding to Downturn
When it came to future funding, the sources All sectors and pretty much
seen as most attractive are shown in Figure all geographies will be
3.4. The interest in relatively ‘soft’ money is impacted by the economic
notable. Foundations (72%) lead by a wide discontinuity. Some Phoenix
margin, followed by government grants and 50 organizations will go
loans (56%). Moving to the harder end, we under, others will be sorely
come to making sales/charging fees (49%), squeezed—and a proportion will emerge
attracting help in kind (42%) and public fund- transformed. As the pressures build, some
raising (40%), with joint venturing (33%) and Phoenix 50 pioneers are moving deftly into
venture capital (28%) perceived as relatively the political game—among them Green
less forth-coming sources of finance. For All. Others are redoubling their efforts
to create new funding sources for
It is clear, however, that even in tough times entrepreneurs, including MyC4. As the
the optimism of entrepreneurs is unabated. social fall-out grows, there will be growing
A significant majority (60%) remain confident need for the services offered by such
that they will continue to achieve real impact. Phoenix 50 organizations as the Business
& Human Rights Resource Centre,
Mothers2Mothers, PDA and the World
Toilet Organization (WTO). They will
increasingly need the support of
organizations like Ashoka. The parallel
energy crisis will create new opportunities
for such trailblazers as E+Co, Econcern
and Solarcentury. And, in the background,
some of our wild card listings continue
to explore less obvious aspects of the
Phoenix Economy, in the case of the
J Craig Venter Institute focusing on
synthetic biology and potential new
routes to sustainable energy.
Figure 3.4
56
50 49
42
40 40
33
30 28
24
20
14
10 8
6
Public shares
Unsure
Franchising
Own pockets
Venture capital
Joint venturing
Public funds
Help-in-kind
Sales / Fees
Government
Foundations
3.2 Upgrading the Business Case 26
The closer the entrepreneurs are to viable The new economic reality
business models, the greater their appetite will force many actors to
for market research. In particular there is an upgrade—and in many cases
appetite for targeted, reliable, affordable reboot—the business case
research—though in many cases the likelihood arguments they use to sell
for many respondents is that free sources will what they do. Anyone
win out over paid-for services for some time to wanting persuasive input to their business
come. When we asked entrepreneurs what case would be well advised to take a
questions they would want asked if market look at the work of Sustainable Asset
research capacity were to be available, the Management (SAM), particularly its 2009
replies were predictably broad ranging, Sustainability Yearbook.26 Among the
spotlighting the potential of well-targeted trailblazers rebooting health sector
market intelligence to help them frame their business cases generally are the Aravind
thinking, priorities and business cases: Eye Care System, Health Care Without
Harm, the Institute for One World Health
—A focused analysis of fair trade and organic and, perhaps most strikingly, GSK.
product market trends and opportunities.21 In the area of sustainability policy, the
World Resources Institute (WRI) and the
—How will climate change investments be World Business Council for Sustainable
impacted by the financial crisis?22 Development (WBCSD) stand out.
In the energy sector, the Phoenix 50
—How do Chinese companies and includes AMEE, Climate Change Capital
multinationals operating in China apply and, most powerfully, GE’s Ecomagination
CSR programs in China?23 Initiative. In the automotive sector, we
spotlight BYD Auto, which is morphing
—What do companies most want in from a battery-maker to a producer of
partnerships with social entrepreneurs?24 electric cars. In the wider field of
innovation, we see Innocentive as a
—Where are there untapped sources pioneer, with its focus on “sustainable
of funding?25 breakthrough innovation”.
Entrepreneurs are increasingly aware As the Stage 4 opportunity space opens out
of the need to build ‘ecosystems of in the form of new markets, there has been
change’—and to mobilize strategic growing interest in its development from
alliances in pursuit of ‘pathways to scale’. financial institutions, with Generation
Investment Management and venture
It takes an ecosystem approach to drive capital pioneers Kleiner Perkins Caufield
true system change. Once basic survival is & Byers among the Phoenix 50—and
ensured, the focus of most respondents and Khosla Ventures among those nominated.
interviewees turns to questions of scaling The still-emerging Global Impact Investing
their impact. Building critical mass through Network (GIIN) is a gamble in the Phoenix
partnerships and alliances with other sectors 50 listing, but significant because it is
is seen as a critical condition for moving up catalyzing new ways of blending private
to Stages 4 (Ecosystem) and, ultimately, and philanthropic capital to help social and
Stage 5 (Economy) (Figure 2.1, page 14–15). environmental entrepreneurs. Other 2009
This is the focus of our ‘Pathways to Scale’ Phoenix 50 organizations that demonstrate
work, which has found that the key aspirations the importance of building ecosystems
of entrepreneurs currently moving towards include Aflatoun, the C40 initiative and the
Stage 4 include: Marine Stewardship Council.
—Consolidating their business models and It is striking that social entrepreneurs evaluate
financing mechanisms (Solar Aid). the ‘financial community’ as way below other
sectors in terms of current importance in their
—Evolving alliances to increase their access work. Generally this is because entrepreneurs
channels and market share (Global address areas of market failure, where
Footprint Network). investors tend to venture timidly, if at all.
Cleantech entrepreneurs are an exception
—Improving market regulation through here, because they address markets that are
standards and better governance closer to market take-off. For example, Shai
(Roundtable on Sustainable Biofuels). Agassi’s Better Place aims to create the
system conditions for the roll-out of electric
—Assembling the infrastructures required to vehicles on a large scale—and is unusual
bring their solutions to scale (Movimento among the entrepreneurs covered here in
Nacional dos Catadores de Materiais that they are venture-funded. The interface
Recicláveis). between entrepreneurs and financial markets
clearly merits further work.
—Lobbying governments for new market-
shaping rules that get the incentives right Although international government agencies
(CERES Investor Network on Climate Risk). scored lowest in terms of their significance
for our entrepreneurs, they too can play a key
Most of the entrepreneurs interviewed see role. Consider India’s Solar Loan Programme,
their initiatives and solutions as located led by the United Nations Environment
somewhere between Stage 2 (Experiment) Programme (UNEP) from 2003 to 2007,
and Stage 3 (Enterprise). The growing which created the necessary conditions for
concerns about survival shown by Indian banks to support the scaling up of
respondents underscore the difficulties of lending for solar home systems.27 That said,
sustaining enterprises in Stages 2 and 3, the low score achieved by this sector suggests
let alone moving on to Stage 4. Those we that the relevant institutions and agencies
polled reported that their highest priority is need to rethink their role if they are to spur
to find ways to influence the private sector. the rise of a truly global Phoenix Economy.
But also seen as ‘very important’ is their ability
to influence regulation and public support by
engaging with national governments and by
mobilizing grassroots and broader cultural
change through engagement with the media
in its many forms.
How The Phoenix 50 are 29
Evolving Ecosystems
Figure 3.5
Stakeholder importance
What sectors do you need to work with Irrelevant
to scale your impact? Not very important
Number of votes Important
Very important
100
90 10
12 5 6
10 10
80 34 16 29
32
20 32 34
70
33
60
International Governemnt Agencies
30
50 51
46 46
42
40 40
National Governements
32
30
23
Foundations
20
Business
Media
10
3.4 Bridging the Macro-Micro Divide 30
California was also popular in our nomination The nature, scale and
process, despite its financial problems, effectiveness of government
because of the growing number of initiatives it involvement will be critically
has been taking to address issues like climate important in determining the
change—and the investment now being success of the Phoenix
directed by California-based venture capital Economy. New alliances like
funds (like Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers) ACORE will be needed to steer policy in
and technology companies (like Google) into the direction of the Phoenix Economy.
areas like cleantech, renewable energy and the New networks of public sector actors are
development of ‘smart grid’ technologies. forming, like the C40 alliance of cities.
The lead taken by the Obama Presidency
Several Phoenix 50 organizations are is likely to be crucial, as will be the role of
dedicated to shifting government thinking ‘test bed’ cities and regions, among them
and policy on key issues, including ACORE, the State of California. Although currently
founded in 2001 to bring together leading financially troubled, California is likely
proponents and innovators in all facets of the to resume its role as a leading edge
renewable energy sector to move renewable experimenter with Phoenix-type policies.
energy into the mainstream of America’s And into all of this, catalytic trailblazers
economy. ACORE started out small, but with like the Global Footprint Network will play,
an ambitious goal: to create a membership- among other things through their evolving
based organization for the renewable energy relationship with another Phoenix 50
community—and to give members a common organization, the World Business Council
platform for communicating and lobbying. for Sustainable Development (WBCSD).
As government leaders are required to save Partnerships, once again, will be crucial to help
ailing parts of the economy at ever-increasing governments to understand which targets to
cost, entrepreneurs who are helping the set. The Global Footprint Network is now
Phoenix Economy take flight want to see much working with governments around the world to
expanded support for enterprises that create build dashboards of metrics and management
new forms of value, new forms of employment systems; and the governments of Ireland and
and, ultimately, new landscapes of market the UK are working with AMEE, which
opportunity. Among other things, they want to calculates carbon footprints, enabling
see governments: aggregated statistics to be reported.
Take the lead and lobby for change Another model is the United Nations
Business has an increasing awareness of the Environment Programme’s ‘Indian Solar
risks that lie ahead and is quickly developing Loan Programme’, which generated a
an interest in supporting change. It has a 15-fold increase in the purchasing of home
central role to play in building understanding solar systems in south India, by supporting
of the need for new models and frameworks— mainstream banks in lowering the costs to
and the related market opportunities. The work customers of financing solar home systems.
of the CERES Investor Network on Climate In Tunisia, a similar UNEP program has led
Risk underscores the potential. In January to over 20,000 families buying solar water
2009, this group of 44 investors, managing heaters—and to Tunisian banks providing
over $1.7 trillion in assets, called on US loans totaling $12 million. This has doubled
Congressional leaders to include significant the number of solar water heater suppliers,
funding for energy efficiency, clean energy and while the number of installers quadrupled
clean transportation in the economic stimulus over four years.
package being debated in Congress.35 The US
Climate Action Partnership is another Adopt new metrics
example, as is the UK’s Corporate Leaders There is a need to support and adopt
Group on Climate Change. Other major investment metrics that align financial
players experimenting in related areas include investment more closely with long-term
ACORE and Goldman Sachs, with its societal goals, following leaders such as
‘Sustain’ initiative.36 Generation Investment Management’s
model of equity management and the potential
Our entrepreneurs also say that they want of the Global Impact Investing Network
financial institutions to: (GIIN), which aims to pull together blends
of private, public and philanthropic funding
Invest in Phoenix pioneers seeking to mainstream social impact
An obvious one this, but the stinger is that investment.
respondents also want to see the banks get
back to sustainable models of lending and
then to maintain and build credit lines for
social enterprises, following the lead of banks
like Shorebank and Triodos.
Entrepreneurs see business schools and The coverage of Aravind Eye Care Hospitals
educators as important drivers of change in a recent Harvard Business School case
and want them to: study should be emulated.New ‘living’ case
studies need to be developed, which explore
Rethink the curriculum and different types of solutions across a broader
research agenda spectrum of organizational and sectoral
The growing impact of the economic models. One key area of focus should be on
discontinuity suggests that it is time to strategies, alliances and pathways to scale.
question the very principles on which business The Phoenix 50 list may provide a useful
educators base their curricula, where areas provocation.
like financial modeling, strategy and marketing,
show little evidence of the integration of Unleash students
ethical, social and environmental Student groups focused on social
considerations. entrepreneurship have been remarkably
successful and active in places like the Haas
Mainstream social innovation Business School at Berkeley, the Fuqua
Most leading business schools have started School of Management at Duke University,
to look at social entrepreneurship, but this has Harvard University’s Kennedy School of
tended to be a marginal activity, with teaching Government, INSEAD and the Skoll Centre
and research kept in ‘social’ silos within the for Social Entrepreneurship at Oxford
schools. Now is the time to bring this teaching University. The same is true for a growing
and research agenda closer to mainstream number of emerging economy and developing
business education, looking beyond social country business schools.
enterprises to what Volans calls the ‘business
of social innovation’. The responses from our panel of Net
Impact members underscore the huge
Reboot case studies appetite among young people to get
There is a need to develop and adopt new involved in initiatives that help make the
metrics in business research and education world a better place. Interestingly, Harvard
(think triple bottom line or blended value). Business School has launched a Social
Universities and research institutions have an Entrepreneurship Fellowship that grants a
important role to play here, especially through student $25,000 to start a social enterprise
the development of case studies with a focus upon graduation. In many cases all business
on emerging Phoenix models. educators will need to do is unleash this pent-
up interest and talent. In the process, they also
need to think how they can best enable the
next generation of decision-takers, policy-
makers and managers to get the Phoenix
Economy airborne.
The Phoenix 50
5.0 Pioneers 42
Figure 5.1
60 50
166
427
The Phoenix Economy 43
“The future is already here,” science fiction’s For nominations of potential Phoenix 50
William Gibson noted, “it’s just unevenly organizations, we polled several hundred
distributed.” Also unevenly distributed is entrepreneurs, members of the SustainAbility
the early evidence of an emerging Phoenix Faculty and the Volans Ecosystem, and a
Economy. Yes, there is now a Green Rich panel of Net Impact members. A total of 610
List,37 but what about pioneers who are total nominations and 427 unique nominations
creating value in multiple dimensions? Where were received, subsequently boiled down to
in the world should we look for evidence that, 166 nominations—at which point a small
as the World Social Forum 38 puts it, another, advisory panel picked the finalists.39 We make
better world is possible? This first round of the no claims to statistical validity. But as the
Phoenix 50 is drawn from a first-cut selection panel debated the issues and the nominees,
of pioneering organizations that are modelling the final short-list emerged fairly quickly—
at least some aspects of the Phoenix agenda. and with a remarkable degree of consensus.
The Phoenix 50 are rare birds in that they This consensus will now be tested as the
meet some or all of the following criteria: report is circulated.
1
Our own thinking has been powerfully 16
An interesting comment from a major
shaped by the thinking of other economists, financial institution on GE was that
among them Nikolai Kondratiev and their greening initiative is confined to
Joseph Schumpeter. Ecomagination, whereas a company like
2
www.earth-policy.org ABB increasingly applies its greening
See also visualization by Visible Strategies: strategy to all of its projects.
http://epi.visiblestrategies.com 17
Growing Opportunity: Entrepreneurial
3
Thomas S. Kuhn, The Structure of Scientific Solutions to Insoluble Problems,
Revolutions, The University of Chicago SustainAbility for the Skoll Foundation, 2007.
Press, 1962. See also: 18
www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2025_project.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/paradigm_shift 19
Peter Thai Larsen, Developing world faces
4
John Elkington, The Chrysalis Economy, massive fall in capital flows, Financial Times,
Capstone / John Wiley & Sons, 2001. January 28, 2009.
5
Growing Opportunity: Entrepreneurial 20
Global Trends 2025, see:
Solutions to Impossible Problems, www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2025_project.html
SustainAbility for the Skoll Foundation, 2007. 21
Steve Londner, TechnoServe, USA.
6
The Social Intrapreneur: A Field Guide for 22
Fabio Rosa, IDEAAS, Brazil.
Corporate Changemakers, SustainAbility 23
Elizabeth Hausler, Build Change, USA.
for the Skoll Foundation, 2008. 24
MAARDEC, Nigeria and others.
7
John Elkington and Pamela Hartigan, 25
Namrita Kapur, Root Capital, USA
The Power of Unreasonable People, and many others.
Harvard Business Press, 2009. 26
www.sam-group.com/yearbook/download/
8
www.sustainability.com/researchand yearbook_current.pdf
advocacy/radar_article.asp?id=322 27
www.unep.fr/energy/finance/activities
9
Creating Value for All: Strategies for Doing 28
www.changemakers.net/node/6722
Business with the Poor, United Nations 29
Chris Baker, Live Free or Drown, Wired,
Development Programme, New York, February 2009.
June 2008. 30
http://my.barackobama.com/page/
10
GE announced in October 2008 that, amidst content/newenergy
global economic turbulence, revenues from 31
Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein,
its range of energy efficient and environment- Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health,
ally advantageous products and services Wealth and Happiness, Yale University
would surge 21% to $17 billion in 2008, see: Press, 2008.
http://ge.ecomagination.com 32
A draft of the Agenda was tested with a
11
‘Drug giant GlaxoSmithKline pledges cheap brains trust of entrepreneurs.
medicine for world’s poor’, The Guardian, 33
www.ageofstupid.net
February 13, 2009. 34
www.london-accord.co.uk
www.guardian.co.uk/business/2009/feb/13/ 35
‘Nation’s Largest Investors Call for “Green
glaxo-smith-kline-cheap-medicine Recovery”: Urge Congress to Support
12
The Monitor Institute ‘Investing for Social Energy Efficiency and Clean Energy in
and Environmental Impact’. Economic Stimulus Bill’, January 26, 2009.
www.monitorinstitute.com/impactinvesting www.incr.com
13
CEPO launches Solar Capability Scheme to 36
www2.goldmansachs.com/ideas/
boost the use of solar technologies in new environment-and-energy/
buildings, press release, May 8, 2008. gs-sustain/index.html
www.sedb.com/edb/sg/en_uk/index/news/ 37
www.timesonline.co.uk/richlist
articles/cepo_launches_solar.html 38
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
14
BBC News ‘Report’s Stark Warning on world_social_forum
Climate’ October 29, 2006. 39
The selection panel was made up of John
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/ Elkington, Alejandro Litovsky, Charmian Love
6096594.stm and Smita Sircar from Volans; Alexa Clay
15
UNEP Press Release ‘Realizing a Green and Patrin Watanatada of SustainAbility;
Deal’, February 16, 2009. Sam Gray of Apposite Capital; and Molly
www.unep.org/documents.multilingual/ Webb of The Climate Group.
default.asp?documentid=562&articleid= 40
Finalists did not need to meet all the criteria
6079&l=en to be included in the Phoenix 50
Acknowledgements Publication Details