Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
RETAIL RESEARCH
Industry
CMP (Rs.)
Recommended Action
Target (Rs.)
Time Horizon
CYIENTEQNR
IT
368.1
309326
395
1 quarter
In our stock note dated May 30, 2014, we recommended investors to buy Cyient Ltd. (earlier Infotech Enterprises Ltd.) at the then CMP of Rs. 298.7 and to average it on
dips to Rs. 255270 for a price target of Rs. 350 over the next quarter. Thereafter the stock met our target on June 19, 2014. Currently it is quoting at Rs. 368.7.
Cyient delivered robust set of numbers for Q1FY15. While revenue growth was in line, PAT was above our estimates, aided by lower tax rate & higher other income.
However the company disappointed on the margin front which was impacted by wage hike and rupee appreciation. We present an update on the stock.
Consolidated revenues for the quarter increased by 28.5% YoY and by 4.5% QoQ to Rs. 6217 mn. USD revenues increased by 7.8% QoQ to USD 104 mn (up 7.2% Q
oQ in Constant Currency CC). Excluding Softential acquisition, company grew 4.2% QoQ and 16.8% YoY. Growth was broad based across geographies & operating
units. Engineering (including Aero and HTH) grew by 4.6% QoQ in USD terms (62% of the revenues) and Data Transformation, Network and Operations (DNO) [UT &
DA business units] increased by 14.1% QoQ (37% of revenues), aided by Softential acquisition.
EBITDA increased by 9.3% YoY and declined 18.5% QoQ. EBITDA margins fell by 247 bps YoY & 397 bps QoQ to 14.1%. The sequential fall in margins was on
account of the appreciation of the rupee (impact of ~297 bps) and wage hike (impact of 100 bps). The offshoring and utilizations were the lower than expected during
the quarter.
PAT grew at a relatively better rate by 27.1% YoY, supported by decline in the effective tax rate (down 1433 bps YoY) and lower depreciation cost (down 4.4% Yo
Y). Sequentially, degrowth in PAT was 3.2%, much lower than degrowth in EBITDA, aided by higher other income (due to higher treasury income, lower forward cover
losses and translation gains during the quarter) and lower effective tax rate (down 186 bps QoQ). PAT margins fell by 11 bps YoY & 82 bps QoQ to 10.3%.
EPS for the quarter stood at Rs. 6.1 vs. Rs. 4.9 in Q1FY14 & Rs. 6.2 in Q4FY14.
RETAIL RESEARCH
Q1FY15
Q1FY14
VAR [%]
Q4FY14
VAR [%]
6217
4839.3
28.5
5948.0
4.5
3860.6
2356.4
1479.7
876.7
172.9
3085.6
1753.7
951.8
801.9
180.8
25.1
34.4
55.5
9.3
4.4
3493.1
2454.9
1379.8
1075.1
174.0
10.5
4.0
7.2
18.5
0.6
Remarks
USD revenues increased by 7.8% QoQ to USD 104 mn (up 7.2% QoQ in Constant
Currency CC). Excluding Softential acquisition, company grew 4.2% QoQ and 16.8% Yo
Y. Growth was broad based across geographies (APAC reported higher QoQ growth in
USD terms) & operating units (DNO reported higher growth).
Wage hikes of 8% for offshore & 2% for onsite employees resulted in higher employee cost.
Page | 1
EBIT
703.8
621.1
13.3
901.1
21.9
Other Income
131.5
182.1
27.8
20.4
744.6
Interest
PBT
11
824.3
6.9
796.3
59.4
3.5
8.3
872.4
32.5
5.5
Tax
186.7
294.5
36.6
213.8
12.7
PAT
Profit / Loss from Associates
637.6
47.5
501.8
41.3
27.1
15.0
658.6
39.8
3.2
19.3
Reported PAT
685.1
543.1
26.1
698.4
1.9
EPS
Equity
FV
Gross Profit Margin (%)
6.1
558.2
5.0
37.9
4.9
558.2
5.0
36.2
26.1
0.0
0.0
6.2
559.8
5.0
41.3
1.6
0.3
0.0
EBITDAM (%)
14.1
16.6
18.1
EBITM (%)
PATM (%)
11.3
10.3
12.8
10.4
15.1
11.1
Sequential sharp rise in other income was due to lower forward cover losses (loss of Rs.
38.8 mn compared to loss of Rs. 112.1 mn in Q4FY14 and translation gains (Rs. 43.5 mn
compared to translation loss of Rs. 35.4 mn in Q4FY14).
Effective tax rate on PBT declined by 1433 bps YoY & 186 bps QoQ to 22.6%. Lower tax
rate was due to ramp up in SEZ business and a oneoff benefit of 1.4%, towards deferred
tax & other onetime benefits. The company had earlier guided for lower tax rates in FY15
(expected t o go down by 2% over FY15).
Sequential PAT degrowth was better than expectations aided by higher other income and
lower effective tax rate.
QoQ fall in margins was due to INR appreciation (impact of ~297 bps) and wage hike
(impact of 100 bps).
Geographically, the growth was led by APAC (up 12.3% QoQ) and Americas (up 4.7% QoQ Excluding Softential revenue of USD 3.56 mn). Europe, Middle East,
Africa and India [EMEA] grew marginally by 0.6% QoQ. North America growth was led by ramp up in key clients in Semiconductor, aerospace, Energy,
Communications and Utilities industries. Increased revenues in APAC were due to growth in existing customers in Energy and communication industries. Growth in
EMEA was driven by Aero, Content and Navigation industries.
RETAIL RESEARCH
Q1FY15
60.9%
29.3%
9.8%
Q4FY14
59.2%
31.4%
9.4%
Q1FY14
58.4%
28.8%
12.8%
Page | 2
Employee Metrics
Q1FY15
12539
Q4FY14
12094
Q1FY14
10815
1014
786
763
445
15.3%
74.3
236
15.5%
76.2
298
12.2%
74.2
Remarks
Good employee addition continued. There was an increase is in support function staff due to the Softential,
Inc and restructuring as well.
Net addition remained steady aided by hiring in UT&DA division
Attrition rate decreased by 20 bps QoQ, but increased by 290 bps YoY.
Utilisation levels declined during the quarter due to Softential acquisition & use of subcontractors for a
North American utility company.
Other highlights
Client metric trends were encouraging. The company shifted focus to mining top 20 customers. Both top 5 and 10 customer revenues grew above company average by
8.7% & 9.2% QoQ respectively. The company added 9 customers (6 in ENGG and 3 in DNO) during the quarter.
The OnsiteOffshore mix is at 52.9:47.1 as on 30th June 2014 compared to 50.7:49.3 as on 31st March 2014. The onsite offshore split of revenue is 57:43 for ENGG
Page | 3
improve the same over the course of the year, starting in Q2. The management expects utilisation rate to improve going forward as subcontractors will be replaced by in
house staff by end of Q2 or early Q3.
We feel Cyient is on track to achieve our FY15 revenue estimates. Hence we are keeping the same unchanged. However, we feel the company could disappoint at the
operating level on the back of wage hikes & rupee appreciation. Hence we are downgrading the operating profit estimates by 8.8%. But we feel the company would be
able to perform better than our projections at the net level, aided by higher other income & lower than expected tax rates. Hence we are enhancing our PAT estimates by
2.6%. Accordingly revised EPS for FY15 is estimated at Rs. 29.9 (vs Rs. 29.2 originally estimated). We have incorporated FY16 projections, wherein we expect Cyients net
sales, operating profit & PAT to grow by 13%, 17% & 14.7% respectively. EPS is projected at Rs. 34.4. While we expect the operating margins to fall in FY15, we expect an
improvement in FY16, as we expect the negative impact of salary hikes & rupee volatility (if rupee appreciates in FY16) to be offset by improvement in offshore mix &
utilisation. Lower tax rate on the back of higher profits expected from SEZ operations would boost the net profits & NPM over the next two years.
At CMP, the stock trades at 10.7x FY16E EPS. Cyients niche expertise and presence in less crowded verticals (limited competition), its higher cash to market cap
compared to peers, higher margins gives the company an edge over its peers. Consistent improvement in revenue visibility could result in improved financial performance
and the stock could continue to be rerated gradually. Valuing the stock at 11.5xFY16E EPS, we arrive at a price target of Rs. 395. We feel investors could buy the stock at
CMP and add it on dips to Rs. 309326 (99.5xFY16E EPS) for our price target over the next quarter.
FY12
15531.4
2704.5
1624.1
14.5
17.4
10.5
25.4
FY13
18730.7
3415.7
2323.1
20.7
18.2
12.4
17.7
FY14
22064.3
4100.9
2660.1
23.8
18.6
12.1
15.5
FY15 (OE)*
25594.6
4773.4
3266.4
29.2
18.7
12.8
12.6
FY15 (RE)*
25594.6
4351.1
3352.9
29.9
17.0
13.1
12.3
FY16 (E)
28921.9
5090.3
3846.6
34.4
17.6
13.3
10.7
Analyst: Mehernosh K. Panthaki IT, FMCG & Midcaps; Email ID: mehernosh.panthaki@hdfcsec.com
RETAIL RESEARCH Tel: (022) 3075 3400 Fax: (022) 2496 5066 Corporate Office
HDFC securities Limited, I Think Techno Campus, Building - B, "Alpha", Office Floor 8, Near Kanjurmarg Station, Opp. Crompton Greaves, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai 400 042 Phone: (022) 3075 3400 Fax: (022)
2496 5066 Website: www.hdfcsec.com Email: hdfcsecretailresearch@hdfcsec.com
Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by HDFC Securities Limited and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to
others. It should not be considered to be taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. The information contained herein is from sources believed reliable. We do not represent that it is accurate or
complete and it should not be relied upon as such. We may have from time to time positions or options on, and buy and sell securities referred to herein. We may from time to time solicit from, or perform investment
banking, or other services for, any company mentioned in this document. This report is intended for non-Institutional Clients
RETAIL RESEARCH
Page | 4