Sie sind auf Seite 1von 70

Ane Processes

Martin Keller-Ressel
TU Berlin
mkeller@math.tu-berlin.de

Workshop on Interest Rates and Credit Risk 2011


TU Chemnitz
23. November 2011

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Outline

Introduction to Ane Processes


Ane Jump-Diusions
The Moment Formula
Bond & Option Pricing in Ane Models
Extensions & Further Topics

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Part I
Introduction to Ane Processes

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Ane Processes
Ane Processes are a class of stochastic processes. . .
with good analytic tractability
(= explicit calculations and/or ecient numerical methods
often available)
that can be found in every corner of finance (stock price
modeling, interest rates, commodities, credit risk, . . . )
ecient methods for pricing bonds, options,. . .
dynamics and (some) distributional properties are
well-understood
They include models with
mean-reversion (important e.g. for interest rates)
jumps in asset prices (may represent shocks, crashes)
correlation and more sophisticated dependency eects
(stochastic volatility, simultaneous jumps, self-excitement . . . )
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

The mathematical tools used are


characteristic functions (Fourier transforms)
stochastic calculus (with jumps)
ordinary dierential equations
Markov processes

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Recommended Literature
Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Ane Jump-Diusions,
Darrell Due, Jun Pan, and Kenneth Singleton, Econometrica,
Vol. 68, No. 6, 2000
Ane Processes and Applications in Finance, Darrell Due, Damir
Filipovic and Walter Schachermayer, The Annals of Applied
Probability, Vol. 13, No. 3, 2003
A didactic note on ane stochastic volatility models, Jan Kallsen,
In: From Stochastic Calculus to Mathematical Finance,
pages 343-368. Springer, Berlin, 2006.
Ane Diusion Processes: Theory and Applications, Damir
Filipovic and Eberhard Mayerhofer, Radon Series Comp. Appl.
Math 8, 1-40, 2009.
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

We start by looking at the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and the


Feller Diusion.
The simplest (continuous-time) stochastic models for
mean-reverting processes
Used for modeling of interest rates, stochastic volatility,
default intensity, commodity (spot) prices, etc.
Also the simplest examples of ane processes!

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and Feller Diusion


Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU)-process
dXt = (Xt ) dt + dWt ,

X0 R

Feller Diusion
dXt = (Xt ) dt +

Xt dWt ,

X0 R0

. . . long-term mean
> 0. . . rate of mean-reversion
0. . . volatility parameter

for the OU-process


We define (Xt ) :=

Xt for the Feller diusion


Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

An important dierence: The OU-process has support R, while


the Feller diusion stays non-negative
What can be said about the distribution of Xt ?
We will try to understand the distribution of Xt through its
characteristic function

Xt (y ) = E e iyXt

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Characteristic Function
Characteristic Function
For y R, the characteristic function X (y ) of a random variable
X is defined as


iyX
X (y ) := E e
=
e iyx dF (x) .

Properties:
X (0) = 1, X (y ) = X (y ), and |X (y )| 1 for all y R.
d

X (y ) = Y (y ) for all y R, if and only if X = Y .

Let X and Y be independent random variables. Then


X +Y (y ) = X (y ) Y (y ) .
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Let k N. If E[|X |k ] < , then


k

E[X ] = i

(y
)
.
X

y k
y =0

If the characteristic function X (y ) of a random variable X


with density f (x) is known, then f (x) can be recovered by an
inverse Fourier transform:

1
f (x) =
e iyx X (y ) dy .
2

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Back to the OU and CIR processes: We write u = iy and make the


ansatz that the characteristic function of Xt is of
exponentially-ane form:
Exponentially-Ane characteristic function

E e iyXt = E e uXt = exp ((t, u) + (t, u)X0 )

More precisely, if we can find functions (t, u), (t, u) with


(t, u) = 0 and (t, u) = u, such that
Mt = f (t, Xt ) = exp((T t, u) + (T t, u)Xt )
is a martingale then we have

E e uXT = E [MT ] = M0 = exp ((T , u) + (T , u)X0 ) ,


and (1) indeed gives the characteristic function.
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

(1)

Assume , are suciently dierentiable and apply the


Ito-formula to
f (t, Xt ) = exp ((T t, u) + Xt (T t, u)) .
The relevant derivatives are

f (t, Xt ) = (T
t, u) + Xt (T
t, u) f (t, Xt )
t

f (t, Xt ) = (T t, u)f (t, Xt )


x
2
f (t, Xt ) = (T t, u)2 f (t, Xt )
x 2

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

We get:

df (t, Xt )
1
= T t + Xt T t dt + T t dXt + T2 t 2 Xt dt =
f (t, Xt )
2

= T t + Xt T t dt + T t (Xt ) dt+
1
+ T t (Xt ) dWt + T2 t (Xt )2 dt
2

f (t, Xt ) is local martingale, if


1
( T t + Xt T t ) = T t (Xt ) + T2 t (Xt )2
2
for all possible states Xt .
Note that both sides are ane in Xt , since

2 for the OU-process


2
(Xt ) =
2 Xt for the CIR process
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

We can collect coecients:


For the OU-process this yields
2
u) = (s, u) + (s, u)
(s,
2
u) = (s, u)
(s,

For the CIR process we get


u) = (s, u)
(s,
2
u) = (s, u) + (s, u)
(s,
2

These are ordinary dierential equations. We also know the


initial conditions
(0, u) = 0,
Martin Keller-Ressel

(0, u) = u .
Ane Processes

If (t, u) and (t, u) solve the ODEs on the preceding slide,


then Mt is a local martingale.
It is easy to check that in both cases M is also bounded,
hence a true martingale.
If Mt is a martingale, then

E e iyXt = exp ((t, iy ) + Xo (t, iy ))


is the characteristic function of Xt .

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

The OU process
For the OU-process we solve
2
u) = (s, u) + (s, u)2 , (0, u) = 0
(s,
2
u) = (s, u), (0, u) = u
(s,

and get
(t, u) = e t u
(t, u) = u(1 e t ) +

Martin Keller-Ressel

2 2
u (1 e 2t )
4

Ane Processes

Thus the characteristic function of the OU-process is given by


y 2 2
iyXt
t
t
2t
E e
= exp iy e
X0 + (1 e
)
(1 e
)
2 2
and we get the following:
Distributional Properties of OU-process
Let X be an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Then Xt is normally
distributed, with
EXt = + e t (X0 ),

Var Xt =

2
1 e 2t ,
2

Q: Can you think of a simpler way to obtain the above result?

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

The CIR process


For the CIR-process we solve
u) = (s, u),
(s,

(0, u) = 0

2
u) = (s, u) + (s, u)2 ,
(s,
2

(0, u) = u .

and get
(t, u) =

ue t
2
2 u(1

e t )

2
2
t
(t, u) = 2 log 1
u(1 e
)

2
1

The dierential equation for is called a Riccati equation.


Q: How was the solution of the Riccati equation determined?
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

(2)
(3)

Thus the characteristic function of the CIR-process is given by

22

2
e t iy
iyXt
t
E e
= 1
(1 e
)iy
exp
2
2
1 (1 e t )iy
2

and we get the following:


Distributional Properties of the Feller Diusion
2

Let X be an Feller-diusion, and define b(t) = 4


(1 e t ). Then
Xt
2
b(t) has non-central -distribution, with parameters

k=

4
,
2

e t
,
b(t)

Q: Does there exist a limiting distribution? What is it?

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Summary
The key assumption was that the characteristic function of Xt
is of exponentially-ane form

E e iyXt = exp ((t, iy ) + X0 (t, iy ))


We derived that (t, u) and (t, u) satisfy ordinary
dierential equations of the form
u) = F ((t, u)),
(t,
u) = R((t, u)),
(t,

(0, u) = 0
(0, u) = u

Solving the dierential equation gave (t, u) and (t, u) in


explicit form.
The same approach works if the coecients of the SDEs are
time-dependent; ODEs become time-dependent too.
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Part II
Ane Jump-Diusions

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Jump Diusions
n
We consider a jump-diusion on D = Rm
0 R

Jump-Diusion
dXt = (Xt ) dt + (Xt ) dWt + dZt

diusion part

where

jump part

Wt is a Brownian motion in Rd ;
: D Rd , : D Rdd , and

Z is a right-continuous pure jump process, whose jump


heights have a fixed distribution (dx) and arrive with
intensity (Xt ), for some : D [0, ).

The Brownian motion W , the jump heights of Z , and the


jump times of Z are assumed to be independent.
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

(4)

Jump Diusions (2)

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Some elementary properties and notation for the jump process Zt :


Zt is RCLL (right continuous with left limits)
Zt := limst,st Zs and Zt := Zt Zt .

Zt = Zt if and only Zt = 0 if and only a jump occurs at


time t.
Let (i) be the time of the i-th jump of Zt . Let f be a
function such that f (0) = 0. Then

f (Zs ) :=
f (Zs )
0st

0 (i)t

is a well-defined sum, that runs only over finitely many values


(a.s.)

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Ito formula for jump-diusions


Ito formula for jump diusions
Let X be a jump-diusion with diusion part Dt and jump part Zt .
Assume that f : Rd R is a C 1,2 -function and that Zt is a pure
jump process of finite variation. Then
t
t
f
f
f (t, Xt ) = f (0, X0 ) +
(s, Xs ) ds +
(s, Xs ) dDs +
t
x
0
0
2

1 t
f

+
tr
(s, Xs )(Xs )(Xs )
ds+
2 0
x 2

+
f (s, Xs ) .
0st

Here
2f
x 2

f
x

f
f
x1 , . . . , xd

2f

xi xj

denotes the gradient of f , and

is the Hessian matrix of the second derivatives of f .


Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Ane Jump-Diusion
Ane Jump-Diusion
We call the jump diusion X (defined in (4)) ane, if the drift
(Xt ), the diusion matrix (Xt )(Xt ) and the jump intensity
(Xt ) are ane functions of Xt .
More precisely, assume that
(x) = b + 1 x1 + + d xd

(x)(x) = a + 1 x1 + + d xd
(x) = m + 1 x1 + d xd

where b, i Rd ; a, i Rdd and m, i [0, ).


Note: (d + 1) 3 parameters for a d-dimensional process.
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

We want to show that an ane jump-diusion has a (conditional)


characteristic function of exponentially-ane form:
Characteristic function of Ane Jump Diusion
n
Let X be an ane jump-diusion on D = Rm
0 R . Then

E e uXT Ft = exp ((T t, u) + Xt (T t, u))

for all u = iz iRd and 0 t T , where and solve the


system of dierential equations
u) = F ((t, u)),
(t,
u) = R((t, u)),
(t,

(0, u) = 0

(5)

(0, u) = u

(6)

with. . .

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

(continued)

(u) = Rd (e ux 1) (dx), and

1
F (u) = b u + u au + m(u)
2
1
R1 (u) = 1 u + u 1 u + 1 (u),
2
..
.

1
Rd (u) = d u + u d u + d (u).
2
The dierential equations satisfied by (t, u) and (t, u) are called
generalized Riccati equations.
The functions F (u), R1 (u), . . . , Rd (u) are of Levy-Khintchine form.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Proof (sketch:)
Show that the generalized Riccati equations have unique
global solutions , (This is the hard part, and here the
n
assumption that D = Rm
0 R enters!)
Fix T 0, define

Mt = f (t, Xt ) = exp((T t, u) + (T t, u) Xt )
and show that Mt remains bounded.
Apply Itos formula to Mt :

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

The relevant quantities for Itos formula are

f (t, Xt ) = (T
t, u) + Xt (T
t, u) f (t, Xt )
t

f (t, Xt ) = (T t, u)f (t, Xt )


x
2
f (t, Xt ) = (T t, u) (T t, u) f (t, Xt )
x 2

f (t, Xt ) = e (T t,u)Xt 1 f (t, Xt )

Also define the cumulant generating function of the jump measure:

(u) =
(e ux 1)(dx).
Rd

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

We can write f (t, Xt ) as...


f (t, Xt ) = local martingale
t

(T
s, u) + Xs (T
s, u) f (s, Xs ) ds+
0 t
+
(T s, u) (Xs )f (s, Xs ) ds+
0
t
1
+
(T s, u) (Xs )(Xs ) (T s, u)f (s, Xs ) ds+
2 0
t

+
(T s, u) (Xs )f (s, Xs ) ds
0

Inserting the definitions of (Xs ), (Xs )(Xs ) and (Xs )


and using the generalized Riccati equations we obtain the local
martingale property of M.
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Since M is bounded it is a true martingale and it holds that

E e


Ft = E [ MT | Ft ] =

uXT

= Mt = exp ((T t, u) + (T t, u) Xt ) ,

showing desired form of the conditional characteristic function.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Example: The Heston model


Heston proposes the following model for a stock St and its
(mean-reverting) stochastic variance Vt (under the risk-neutral
measure Q)1 :
Heston model
dSt =

Vt St dWt1

dVt = (Vt ) dt +


Vt dWt1 + 1 2 dWt2

where Wt = (Wt1 , Wt2 ) is two-dimensional Brownian motion.

We assume here that the interest rate r = 0


Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

The Heston model (2)

The parameters have the following interpretation:


. . . mean-reversion rate of the variance process
. . . long-term average of Vt
. . . vol-of-var: the volatility of the variance process
. . . leverage: correlation bet. moves in stock price and in
variance.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

The Heston model (3)


Transforming to the log-price Lt = log(St ) we get

Vt
dt + Vt dWt1
2


dVt = (Xt ) dt + Vt dWt1 + 1 2 dWt2
dLt =

which is a two dimensional ane diusion!


Writing Xt = (Lt , Vt ) we find

0
1/2
(Xt ) =
+
0 Lt +
Vt

1


b

1
(Xt )(Xt ) =
0 +
0 Lt +
Vt
2
a
1

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

The Heston model (4)

Thus, the characteristic function of log-price Lt and stochastic


variance Vt of the Heston model can be calculated from
u) = 2 (t, u)
(t,

1 2
2
2 (t, u) =
u1 u1 2 (t, u) + 22 (t, u) + u1 2 (t, u)
2
2

with initial conditions (0, u) = 0, 2 (t, u) = u2 .


Note that 1 (t, u) = 0 and thus 1 (t, u) = u1 for all t 0.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Due-Garleanu default intensity process


Due and Garleanu propose to use the following process (taking
values in D = R0 ) as a model for default intensities:
Due-Garleanu model
dXt = (Xt ) dt +

Xt dWt + dZt

where Zt is a pure jump process with constant intensity c, whose


jumps are exponentially distributed with parameter .
The above process is an ane jump diusion, whose characteristic
function can be calculated from the generalized Riccati equations
u) = F ((t, u)),
(t,
where
F (u) = u +

cu
,
u

Martin Keller-Ressel

u) = R((t, u))
(t,

R(u) = u +
Ane Processes

u2 2

Parameter Restrictions
Revisit the Feller Diusion
Feller Diusion
dXt = (Xt ) dt +
Can we allow < 0?

Xt dWt ,

When Xt = 0, then Xt+t < 0 and


well-defined.
= Parameter restrictions are necessary.

X0 R0

Xt+t is not

Ideally, we can find necessary & sucient parameter


restrictions.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Characterization of ane jump-di. on D = Rn Rm


0
Due, Filipovic & Schachermayer (2003) derive the necessary &
sucient parameter restrictions (admissibility conditions) for all
d
ane jump-diusions on the state space D = Rn Rm
0 R . We
write
J := {1, . . . , n} , I := {n + 1, . . . , n + m}
for indices of the real-valued and the non-negative components.
The following holds:
Characterization of an ane jump-diusion on Rn Rm
0

Let X be an ane jump-diusion with state space D = Rn Rm


0 .
Then the parameters a, k , b, k , m, k , (dx) satisfy the following
conditions:

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

(continued)
a, k are positive semi-definite matrices and j = 0 for all
j J.
aek = 0 for all k I

i ek = 0 for all k I and i I \ {k}


j = 0 for all j J
bD

i ek 0 for all k I and i I \ {k}


j ek = 0 for all k I and j J
j = 0 for all j J
supp D .

Conversely, if the parameters a, k , b, k , m, k , (dx) satisfy the


above conditions, then an ane jump-diusion X with state space
D = Rn Rm
0 exists.
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Illustration of the parameter conditions

a=

0
0 0

b=

..
.

...

j
=
(j J)

(j J)

i
=

(i I )

..
.

...

..
.

0
..
.
0

0
0 iii
0
..
.

(i I )

..
.

..
.
where ii R

i
i

...

where iii 0

Stars denote arbitrary real numbers; the small -signs denote non-negative real numbers and the big -sign a
positive semi-definite matrix.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

We sketch a proof of the conditions necessity:


(x)(x) = a + 1 x1 + d xd has to be positive
semidefinite for all x D

= a, ai are positive semidefinite for i I and j = 0 for


j J.
(x) = m + 1 x1 + d xd has to be non-negative for all
x D
= j = 0 for j J.

The process must not move outside D by jumping


= supp D.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Assume that Xt has reached the boundary of D, that is Xt = x


with xk = 0 for some k I . The following conditions have to hold,
such that Xt does not cross the boundary:

inward pointing drift: 0 ek (x) = ek b + i=k i xi

= b D, i ek 0 for all i I \ {i}, and j ek = 0


for all j J.
diusion parallel to the boundary:

0 = ek (x) = ek a + i=k i xi
= aek = 0 and i ek = 0 for all i I \ {k}.
(ek denotes the k-th unit vector.)

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Part III
The Moment Formula

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

The Moment formula

n
Let X be an ane jump-diusion on D = Rm
0 R . We have
shown that

E e uXT Ft = exp ((T t, u) + Xt (T t, u))

for all u iRd where and solve the generalized Riccati


equations.

What can be said about general u Cd and in particular about


the moment generating function E e XT with Rd ?

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

In general we should expect that

The exponential moment E e uXT may be finite or infinite


depending on the value of u Cd and on the distribution of
XT
The generalized Riccati equations no longer have global
solutions for arbitrary starting values u Cd (blow-up of
solutions may appear)

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Moment formula
n

Let X be an ane jump-diusion on D = Rm


0 R with X0 D
d
and assume that dom R is open. Let

(t, u) = F ((t, u)),


t

(t, u) = R((t, u)),


t

(0, u) = 0

(7)

(0, u) = u

(8)

be the associated generalized Riccati equations, with F and R


analytically extended to

S(dom ) := u Cd : Re u dom .
Then the following holds. . . ,

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Moment formula (contd.)

(a) Let u Cd and suppose that E e uXT < . Then


u S(dom ) and there exists unique solutions , of the
gen. Riccati equations such that

E e uXT Ft = exp ((T t, u) + (T t, u) Xt ) (9)


for all t [0, T ].

(b) Let u S(dom ) and suppose that the gen. Riccati equations
have
, that start at u and exist up to T . Then

solutions
E e uXT < and (9) holds for all t [0, T ].
Essentially: Solution to gen. Riccati equation exists
Exponential Moment exists.
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Sketch of the proof of (a) (for real arguments Rd ):

Show by analytic extension that there exist functions (t, )


and (t, ) such that

Mt := E e XT Ft = exp ((T t, ) + (T t, ) Xt ) .
By the assumption of (a) M is a martingale.

Show that and are dierentiable in t (This is the hard


part!)
Use the Ito-formula to show that the martingale property of M
implies that and solve the generalized Riccati equations

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Sketch of the proof of (b):


Let dom . Define
Mt = exp ((T t, ) + (T t, ) Xt )
Use the Ito-formula and the generalized Riccati equations to
show that M is a local martingale
Since M is positive, it is a supermartingale and

E e ,XT = E [MT ] M0 < .

Apply part (a) of the theorem and use that the solutions of
the gen. Riccati equations are unique.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Some consequences (we still assume that dom is open)


Exponential Martingales: t e Xt is a martingale if and only if
dom and F () = R() = 0.

Exponential Measure Change: Let X be an ane jump diusion


and dom . Then there exists a measure P P
such that X is an ane jump-diusion under P with
F (u) = F (u + ) F ()

R (u) = R(u + ) R().


Exponential Family: The measures (P )dom form a curved
exponential family with likelihood process

t
dP

Lt =
= exp Xt F ()t R()
Xs ds .
dP
0
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Proof: Extension of state-space approach


t
Consider the process (Xt , Yt = 0 Xs ). The process (X , Y ) is
again an ane jump-diusion (note: dYt = Xt dt)
Define
Lt = exp ( Xt F ()t R() Yt )
Applying the moment formula to find the exponential moment
of order (, R()) of the extended process (X , Y ) we get

E LT Ft =
= exp (p(T t) + q(T t) Xt )exp (F ()T R() Yt )

where

p(t) = F (q(t)),
p(0) = 0
t

q(t) = R(q(t)) R(),


q(0) = .
t
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

is a stationary point of the second Riccati equation. Hence,


the (global) solutions are q(t) = and p(t) = tF () for all
t0
Inserting the solution yields

E LT Ft = exp ( Xt F ()t R() Yt ) = Lt ,


and hence t Lt is a martingale.
Define the measure P by

dP
= Lt .
dP Ft

A similar calculation yields F (u) and R (u) for the process X


under P .
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Part IV
Bond and Option Pricing in Ane Models

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Pricing of Derivatives
We consider the following setup:
The goal is to price a European claim on some underlying
asset St , which has payo f (ST ) at time T . We denote the
value of the claim at time t by Vt .
As numeraire
asset, we use the money market account
t
Mt = exp 0 R(Xs ) ds determined by the short rate process
R(Xs ).
Under the assumption of no-arbitrage, there exists a
martingale measure Q for the discounted asset price process
Mt1 St , such that

Vt = Mt EQ MT1 f (ST ) Ft .
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

To allow for analytical calculations we make the following


assumption:
Both the short rate process R(Xt ) and the asset St are modelled
under the risk-neutral measure Q through an ane jump-diusion
process Xt in the following way:
R(Xt ) = r + Xt ,

St = e

for some fixed parameters r , 0 and dom .

This setup includes the combination of many important short rate


and stock price models: Vasicek, Cox-Ingersoll-Ross,
Black-Scholes, Heston, Heston with jumps,. . .

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Extension-of-state-space-approach and moment formula yield the


following:
Discounted moment generating function

Let u S(dom ) and (t, u) = Mt EQ MT1 e uXT Ft . Suppose


the dierential equations
(t, u) = F ( (t, u)),
(t, u) = R ( (t, u)),

(0, u) = 0

(0, u) = u

with
F (u) = F (u) r ,

or more precisely . . .

Martin Keller-Ressel

and R (u) = R(u) ,

Ane Processes

(10)
(11)

(continued)
1
F (u) = b u + u au + m(u) r
2
1

R1 (u) = 1 u + u 1 u + 1 (u) 1 ,
2
..
.
1
Rd (u) = d u + u d u + d (u) d .
2
have solutions t (t, u) and t (t, u) up to time T , then
(t, u) = exp ( (T t, u) + (T t, u) Xt )
for all t T .
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Bond Pricing in Ane Jump Diusion models


As an immediate application we derive the following formula for
pricing of zero-coupon bonds:
Bond Pricing
Suppose the gen. Riccati equations for the discounted mgf have
solutions up to time T for the initial value u = 0. Then the price
at time t of a (unit-notional) zero-coupon bond Pt (T ) maturing at
time T is given by
Pt (T ) = exp ( (T t, 0) + Xt (T t, 0)) .
Yields the well-known pricing formulas for the Vasicek and the
CIR-Model as special cases.

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

No-arbitrage constraints on F and R :

The martingale assumption


EQ MT1 ST Ft = Mt1 St

leads to the following no-arbitrage constraints on F and R :


No-arbitrage constraints
F () = F () r = 0

R () = R() = 0 .

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Pricing of European Options

A European call option with strike K and time-to-maturity T


pays (ST K )+ at time T . We will parameterize the option
by the log-strike y = log K and denote its value at time t by
Ct (y , T ).
The goal is to derive a pricing formula based on our
knowledge of the discounted moment generating function

(t, u) = Mt EQ MT1 e uXT Ft

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Idea: Calculate the Fourier transform of Ct (y , T ) (regarded


as a function of y ), and hope that it is a nice
expression involving (T t, u).

Problem: Ct (y , T ) may not be integrable, and thus may have


no Fourier transform.
Solution 1: Use the exponentially dampened call price
t (y , T ) = e y Ct (y , T ) where > 0.
C

Solution 2: Replace the call option by a covered call with payo


ST (ST K )+ = min(ST , K ).
Several other (related) solutions can be found in the literature. . .

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Fourier pricing formula for European call options:


Let Ct (y , T ) be the price of a European call option with log-strike
y and maturity T . Then Ct (y , T ) is given by the inverse Fourier
transform

e y iy (T t, ( + 1 + i))
Ct (y , T ) =
e
d (12)
2
( + i)( + 1 + i)
where is chosen such that > 0 and the generalized Riccati
equations starting at ( + 1) have solutions up to time T .
(This formula is obtained by exponential dampening)
Note: the required can always be found, since dom is open and
contains 0 and .

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Fourier pricing formula for European put options:


Let Pt (y , T ) be the price of a European put option with log-strike
y and maturity T . Then Pt (y , T ) is given by the inverse Fourier
transform

e y iy (T t, ( + 1 + i))
Pt (y , T ) =
e
d (13)
2
( + i)( + 1 + i)
where is chosen such that > 1 and the generalized Riccati
equations starting at ( + 1) have solutions up to time T .
(This formula is obtained by exponential dampening)
Note: the required can always be found, since dom is open and
contains 0 and .

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Part V
Extensions and further topics

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Extensions

Allow jumps with infinite activity, superpositions of d + 1


dierent jump measures and killing.
These are the ane processes in the sense of Due, Filipovic
and Schachermayer (2003))
This definition includes all Levy process and all so-called
continuous-state branching processes with immigration.

Consider other state spaces:


Positive semidefinite matrices: Wishart process, etc.
Polyhedral and symmetric cones
Quadratic state spaces (level sets of quadratic polynomials)

Time-inhomogeneous processes

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Further Topics/Current Research


Utility maximization and variance-optimal hedging in ane
models (Jan Kallsen, Johannes Muhle-Karbe et al.)
Distributional Properties of ane processes: (non-central)
Wishart distributions, infinite divisibility of marginal laws
(Eberhard Mayerhofer et al.)
Feller property, path regularity, regularity of the characteristic
function (Christa Cuchiero, Josef Teichmann et al.)
Relation to branching processes and superprocesses,
infinite-dimensional generalizations
Large-deviations and stationary distributions of ane
processes
Interaction between state-space geometry and distributionalor path-properties
Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Further Topics/Current Research

Statistical estimation, density approximations, spectral


approximations
State-space-independent classification and/or characterization
results
Ane processes as finite-dimensional realizations of HJM-type
models
Applications, applications, applications:
Ane term structure models (ATSMs)
Ane stochastic volatility models (ASVMs)
Credit risk models, . . .

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Thank you for your attention!

Martin Keller-Ressel

Ane Processes

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen