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provide retrospective verbal reports prior to testing (see Ericsson and Simon,
1993). Each individual training and test session was completed in around 60 min.
2.3 Data analysis
Experiment 1
Anticipation accuracy was defined as whether or not the participant correctly
verbalised the next action of the player in possession of the ball. Decision making
accuracy was defined as whether or not the participant decided on/executed and
verbalised the most appropriate action, which was pre-determined by a panel of
UEFA qualified soccer coaches. Both anticipation and decision making accuracy
were calculated as the mean number of trials (%) in which the participant selected
the correct response. The two measures were analysed separately using
independent t tests.
Two visual search measures were recorded. Search rate data included the
mean fixation duration (in milliseconds), the mean number of fixations, and the
mean number of fixation locations per trial, which were analysed separately using
independent t tests. Percentage viewing time data were analysed using a Group
(skilled, less skilled) x Fixation Location (player in possession of the ball x ball x
opponent x teammate x space) ANOVA. This latter measure was the percentage of
total viewing time spent fixating each of the various areas of the display. Tukeys
post-hoc tests were applied to explore significant interaction effects and a level of
P<.05 was set for statistical significance.
Experiment 2
The measures of anticipation and decision making accuracy were the same as in
Experiment 1. Verbal reports were classified according to a structure adapted from
Ericsson and Simon (1993) and further developed by Ward et al. (2003). Four
types of verbal statement categories were coded: monitoring; evaluations;
predictions; and planning. The mean number of statements per trial in each
category was calculated for both groups. Verbal report data were analysed using a
Group (skilled, less skilled) x Type of Verbal Statement ANOVA. Statistical
significance was set at P<.05.
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3. RESULTS
3.1 Experiment 1
Skilled players were more accurate than less skilled in anticipating the actions of
opponents (68.3 7.2 vs. 37.5 6.5%), t22 = 10.98, P<.001, and in selecting an
appropriate action to execute (80.6 5.2 vs. 49.2 9.6%), t16.71 = 9.96, P<.001.
There were significant skill-based differences in the mean fixation duration,
t22 = -8.24, P<.001, the mean number of fixations, t22 = 9.31, P<.001, and the mean
number of fixation locations per trial, t22 = 9.27, P<.001. Skilled players employed
a more exhaustive search strategy than less skilled counterparts involving more
fixations (12.33 1.79 vs. 6.86 0.97 fixations) of shorter duration (394 83 vs.
766 131 ms) and on significantly more areas of the display (6.67 1.08 vs. 3.47
0.50 fixation locations).
The mean data for percentage viewing time are presented in Figure 1.1. There
was a significant Group x Fixation Location interaction, F2.10,46.29 = 18.90, P<.001.
Post-hoc testing revealed that skilled players spent significantly more time fixating
on the opponents movements and areas of free space in comparison with their
less skilled counterparts. In contrast, less skilled players spent significantly more
time fixating the player in possession of the ball and ball itself compared with the
skilled players.
Space
Less skilled
Skilled
Fixation Location
Teammate
Opponent
Ball
PiP
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
% Viewing Time
Figure 1 Mean
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3.2 Experiment 2
Skilled players were more accurate than less skilled counterparts in anticipating the
actions of opponents (69.2 7.7 vs. 34.9 9.0%), t22 = 10.02, P<.001, and in
selecting and executing appropriate tactical decisions (83.0 8.9 vs. 50.6 6.2%),
t22 = 10.32, P<.001.
There was a significant skill-based difference for the total number of verbal
statements generated per trial, F1,22 = 23.18, P<.001. Skilled players (7.58 1.25
statements) verbalised significantly more statements than the less skilled players
(5.25 1.12 statements). The Group x Type of Thought Statement interaction was
not significant, F2.16,47.43 = 1.81, P = .17. The greater number of statements
generated by skilled players compared with the less skilled may have affected this
interaction. Thus, frequency scores were subsequently normalised into proportional
data. Less skilled players were found to make a higher percentage of monitoring
statements compared with the skilled players (67.4 9.8 vs. 47.3 8.4%). In
contrast, skilled players made a higher proportion of evaluation, prediction, and
planning statements than their less skilled peers (52.7 8.4 vs. 32.6 9.8%).
4. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION
The skill-based differences in anticipation and decision making judgments were
underpinned by quantitatively different underlying perceptual and cognitive
processes. Skilled players made a greater number of fixations for shorter duration
and towards more informative areas of the display, most likely increasing their
awareness of the positions and movements of opponents/teammates and any
potential areas of free space that may be uncovered or exploited. In contrast, less
skilled players spent longer periods of time watching the ball or the player in
possession of the ball. These data suggest that a more exhaustive search strategy
and analysis of the display appears to be crucial for facilitating superior
anticipation and decision making performance in soccer. Findings support previous
research showing skill-based differences in visual search strategy (Williams et al.,
1994).
Furthermore, when compared with their less skilled counterparts, skilled
players engaged in a greater proportion of evaluation, prediction, and planning
thoughts, suggesting they employed more advanced soccer-specific memory
representations to solve the task-situations. As predicted by Ericsson and Kitschs
(1995) LTWM theory, skilled players likely possess and activate more complex
and superior task-specific memory representations permitting them to easily access
and retrieve specific information of current scenarios and, therefore, facilitate
better anticipation and decision making compared with less skilled peers.
Our findings support and extend previous work (e.g., Williams et al., 2011)
and highlight the perceptual-cognitive processes underpinning superior anticipation
and decision making performance in soccer. The development of these game
intelligence skills may be facilitated through relevant practice and training
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