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Po

JANUARY 2015
Independent Electricity
System Operator Merges with
Ontario Power Authority

Platts Introduces New


LNG FOB Marker for the
East Atlantic

CME Group Launches


Suite of European
Natural Gas Contracts

Thomson Reuters Appointed


to Administer Canadas Two
Key Interest Rate Benchmarks

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fT

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e
n

O
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Pa

The Seven Ages of Oil:


Boom and Bust, War and Peace,
Growth and Decline
By Aiman El-Ramly
Powered by
New products and
data sources

Delisting of products
and datasources

Potential impact
on data

Changes to data attributes,


replacement of products

Editorial 5
State of the Union Address: Dominating the World Energy Markets and Losing to Congress
5
Power 7
IESO Merges with OPA
7
PEGAS Markets Operated by Powernext are Merged with EEX
8

Power
Petroleum

Petroleum 9
Platts to Launch FOB Arab Gulf Gasoil Assessment
9
Platts to Launch Spot Metallocene Assessments
9
Platts Adds Gasoil Derivatives Content to Platts Forward Curve Asia
10
Platts Assesses European East-West Fuel Oil Spreads
11
Platts Introduces Daily European Orthoxylene Assessments
11
Platts Adds Fuel Oil Derivatives Page to Platts Forward Curve Europe
11
Platts Launches US Sulfur Bunker Fuel Assessments
12
Platts Introduces New Cut-off Time for Fuel Oil Market
12
Platts Introduces New US Shale Crude Commentary
13
Argus Introduces Argus Americas Asphalt and Argus Bitumen Publications
13
Argus Introduces New Russian Sulfur Bunker Assessments
14
NYMEX Lists Freight Route Liquid Petroleum Gas Futures Contract
14
ICE Futures Europe Completes Transition to Low Sulfur Gasoil Contract
15
MCX Begins Futures Trading in Crude Mini
16
Platts to Discontinue Falmouth Ex-Wharf Bunker Assessments
16
Platts to Discontinue Current Palm Oil/Gasoil Spread Assessment
16
Platts Stops Publishing US Gulf Coast Premium CBOB Gasoline Assessments
17
Platts Discontinues Russia Light Ends Export Duty
17
Platts Stops Publishing ARPEL Consumer Price Postings
17
Argus Discontinues US and European Asphalt Assessments
18
Argus Discontinues Marine Fuels Assessments
18
Argus Discontinues European Fuel Oil Bunker Assessments
20
Argus Stops Publishing Russian Fuel Oil Bunker Assessments
20
Argus Discontinues Select Afghanistan Petroleum Assessments
22
NYMEX Delists Gasoil Related Futures and Options Contracts
22
Platts to Amend FOB Singapore Assessments for Fuel Oil, Middle Distillates, and Gasoline
23
Platts Changes Name of its Canadian Syncrude Sweet Assessment
23
Argus Makes Changes to US Petroleum Product Codes
24
Argus Modifies Publishing Frequency of Fuel Oil and Gasoil Bunker Assessments
25
Argus Changes Code Description for US Gulf Petroleum Freight
25
Argus Updates Code Descriptions for Latin American Petroleum Freight
26
CME Modifies Gasoil Futures and Options Product Names
26

Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial

Summary

Contents

Power
Petroleum

Coal 37
Argus Adds New European Coal Assessments
37

Nat Gas

Softs and Metals


38
SOFTS 38
CME Lists Cocoa Futures
38
ICE Futures Europe to Introduce New Euro Cocoa Contract
39
MGEX Launches Wheat Calendar Spread Options
39
Platts Discontinues Northwest European DOP Assessments
39
TOCOM and Nikkei Discontinue Raw Sugar Futures
39
METALS 40
COMEX Lists Gold Kilo Futures Contract
40
Platts to Discontinue East Asian Wire Rod Price Assessments
41
Platts Discontinues Publication of Daily Kuala Lumpur Tin Price
41
Platts Discontinues Quarterly Ore Lump Contract Price
41
Platts Discontinues Weekly CIF Japan Indium Assessments
41
Platts Stops Publishing Weekly FOB China Antimony Price
41
Platts Discontinues Weekly FOB China Tungsten Prices
42
Argus Renames Flotta Gold Codes
42

Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions

Finance 43
CBOE Begins Distributing Volatility Index Values on FX Options Contracts
43
ICE Futures US Launches Five New Forex Contracts
43
ICE Launches Clearing for Additional European Sovereign CDS Instruments
44
Thomson Reuters Appointed to Administer Canadas Two Key Interest Rate Benchmarks
44
Bloomberg and SSGA Introduce Fixed Income ETF Basket Tool
45
Deutsche-Brse Launches New X-Trackers Bond Index ETFs
46
NYSE Group and MYRA Capital Launch NYSE Dynamic Index Family
47
First Trust Value Line Equity Allocation Index Fund Now Listed on Nasdaq
47
EBS Market Launches End of Month Indian Rupee Forward
48
Swedbank Robur Starts Clearing Interest Rate Swaps through Nasdaq
49
ICAPs EBS Collaborates with SGX on Asian Foreign Exchange Initiatives
49

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial

31
31
32
33
33
34
34
35
36

Summary

Natural Gas
Platts Launches LNG Atlantic FOB Marker
Platts Launches Transco Zone 5 Listing
Platts Introduces Transco Zone 6 Listing
Platts Launches New Columbia Gas and Appalachia Listings
Argus Adds Midpoints to Existing Propane Swaps Series
CME Group Launches Suite of European Natural Gas Contracts
Argus to Discontinue European Propane Swap Assessments
NYMEX Delists Four Natural Gas Futures Contracts

Monthly Market Analysis


Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Prompt-Month Contract (NYMEX)
Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Forward Curve (NYMEX)
North American Natural Gas Spot Prices (NYMEX)
Henry Hub Natural Gas Forward Curve (NYMEX)
Actual Weather (Accuweather)
Electricity: Day-Ahead Prices (ICE)

61
61
62
63
64
65
66

In Depth
Part 1 of 2: The Seven Ages of Oil: Boom and Bust, War and Peace, Growth and Decline
Dateline January 2015: The Perilous Plummet
Boom Goes the Machine-Drilled Well
The Seven Ages
1859-1870: Illumination Births an Industry
1870-1911: Rockefeller Creates the Multinational Oil Standard
1911-1921 A Pax on You
1921-1973 Texas Oil Boom in the Gusher Age
To be continued.

67
67
67
68
68
69
70
72
74
76

Petroleum

52
52
53
54
55
56
57
57
58

Power

News from Data Vendors


ZEMA Adds Numerous Electricity Reports to Its New January Data Sources
ZE and Interactive Data Co-Host Integration Lunch and Learn in Houston, TX
Harmonization of PEGAS Markets Successfully Completed
Argus Acquires MetalPrices.com, Expands Metals Coverage
Colombia Adopts Argus Coking Coal and Freight Assessments in Volatile Market
Carbon Market Data launches the South Korea ETS Database
Transmission System Operators Elia, RTE and Tennet Jointly take 36.7% Share in EPEX SPOT
French-German Office for Renewable Energies and EPEX SPOT Issue Joint
Paper on Direct Marketing of Renewable Energy
Speedwell Weather Announces an Expansion of South American Coffee
Monitoring in its Commodity Product

Editorial

50
50
51

Summary

Weather and Emissions


Platts Begins Publishing Cross-State Air Pollution Rule Allowance Assessments for 2015, 2016
AccuWeather Releases New Android Wear App with MinuteCast

Nat Gas

59

Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Editorial

Power

State of the
Union Address:
Dominating
the World
Energy Markets
and Losing to
Congress

Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Market
Analysis
In Depth

Data
Vendors

January 2015

Weather and
Emissions

But lets begin with some context. The 2009 speech cleared the way for clean energy
technologies and suggested that the United States would double the nations supply of
renewable energy in the next three years. A year later, a new comprehensive energy and climate
bill was promised to US citizens. In 2011, the address confirmed the chosen direction by voicing
the Presidents pledge to have 80% of the nations electricity coming from clean resources by
2035, while also promising to bring 1 million electric vehicles to the road by 2015. The 2012
speech altered this direction the new all of the above strategy invited fossil fuels back into
the circle with the honorable mentioning of hydraulic fracturing technology designed to enhance
the recovery of shale deposits. In the 2013 speech, the President proposed the creation of an
Energy Security Trust dedicated to shifting cars and trucks off petroleum, the development of

Finance

The last five years could be called anything but boring for those who paid close attention to the
sections of the Presidents addresses related to energy: at first the direction was chosen, then
it was altered, then the originally chosen direction was re-stated, and so on. The 2015 speech,
however, brought an even bigger surprise.

Softs and
Metals

The State of the Union Address, the speech delivered by the US President at a joint session of the
US Congress, is the most highly anticipated public announcement of the year for many
industries, including energy. But the state of the union per se is only part of the speech; the
address also puts forward strategic directions that crystalize into various legislations, policies,
programs, and initiatives throughout the year and afterward. The latter portion is perceived as
being the most valuable, mainly because it provides an indication of future government funding.

Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions

The Excelerate Energys LNG terminal in


Lavaca Bay, Texas, the first floating export
facility in the United States, was put on
hold in December 2014 due to uncertainty
in its economic success.

Petroleum

According to the EIA petroleum report, the


US crude oil imports have been declining
since 2013.

Data
Vendors

In Depth

ConocoPhillips, Shell, Hess, Occidental


Petroleum, and Marathon Oil reduced their
capital expenditures for 2015 due to
deferrals of the US drilling and exploration
plans, the decline in shale wells return, and
dropping oil prices.c

Market
Analysis

January 2015

than the rest of the world in preventing the


President from achieving his goals and
objectives, I am more interested in the
nations world-domination stance itself. And I
wonder how the following facts fit into it:

Power

While I find it very curious that the US


Congress has proved to be more powerful

Advertising & Vendor Relationships


Bruce Colquhoun
Phone: (604) 790-3299
Email: bruce.c@ze.com
Have an idea for an article or would like to
contribute to an upcoming issue? Write to us
at datawatch@ze.com
To get real-time data updates, follow
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To access previous issues of ZE DataWatch,
go to datawatch.ze.com
ZEMA Inquiries
Bruce Colquhoun
Phone: (604) 790-3299
Email: bruce.c@ze.com

Editorial

What a wonderful birthday present that


speech was a vague reference to the US
energy policy framed with a lei of slogans.
The US President elevated the nation to the
position of the world leader in many different
areas, including the energy industry: And
today, America is number one in oil and gas.
America is number one in wind power. Every
three weeks, we bring online as much solar
power as we did in all of 2008. Impressive.
The US President seemed to have conquered
the world energy markets, but admittedly
could not persuade Congress to develop the
climate change legislation promised in 2013:
over the past six years, weve done more
than ever before to combat climate change,
from the way we produce energy, to the way
we use it. [T]hats why I will not let this
Congress endanger the health of our children
by turning back the clock on our efforts.

Editor
Olga Gorstenko
Phone: 778-296-4183
Email: olga@ze.com

Summary

I choose to refrain from commenting on the


implementation success of all those
pledges and promises. So by the day of the
2015 address, I had built up more hopes
and aspirations that the time had come for a
breakthrough program. My hopes were so high
for this speech that I was compelled to turn
on the TV while on my vacation in Hawaii, on
my birthday.

Olga Gorstenko

Editorial

new alternative energy hubs, and the


promise of executive action if Congress failed
to develop a market-based solution to climate
change. The 2014 speech re-emphasized
what was said the year before: a dj vu
discussion of an all of the above energy
strategy that supported the development of
all domestic energy sources, including natural
gas and crude oil. The natural gas was called
the bridge fuel that can power our economy
and the United States was identified as a
global leader in solar power generation.

Summary

Power

Editorial
Power
Petroleum

IESO Merges with OPA

See the original announcement.

Softs and
Metals

The graph below shows the demand, supply, and price data for power in Ontario according to
IESO between June 2014 February 2015, before and after the merger. Upon inspection we
can see that the supply through 2014 steadily surpassed demand. The price, however,
peaked in the third week of July 2014 at around 750,000 CAD/MWh and was at its lowest
point in the first week of October at around 300, 000 CAD/MWh. This kind of analysis for
comparing regional power data is very simple to perform in ZEMA. To learn more, book a
complimentary ZEMA demonstration.

Coal

This new organization is responsible for the real-time operation of the Ontario
electricity system and market, long-term energy planning, procurement, and the promotion of
a conservation culture in the province. Amalgamation will achieve efficiencies going forward
by reducing overlap, reducing costs, and streamlining electricity sector planning.

Nat Gas

On January 2, 2015, the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO)


announced its merger with the Ontario Power Authority (OPA). The two bodies are
now operating as one organization.

Finance
Weather and
Emissions

Graph created with ZEMA

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

In Depth

January 2015

Summary

Power

Editorial
Power
Petroleum

PEGAS Markets Operated by Powernext are Merged with EEX

Nat Gas

Effective January 1, 2015, The European Energy Exchange (EEX) and Powernext
have successfully migrated all active EEX gas market members representing
100 percent of the NCG and GASPOOL Open Interest to Powernext. As of now, all natural gas
activities of the EEX Group are operated by Powernext under the brand PEGAS. In total,
154 participants are now admitted to trading natural gas products on PEGAS. The formal
transfer of the majority shares in Powernext to EEX has been completed.

Coal
Softs and
Metals

The change in Powernexts shareholding structure has been formally validated by its General
Assembly. Therefore, EEX is now majority shareholder of Powernext holding 55.8 percent of
the shares.
See the original announcement.

Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Petroleum

Power
Petroleum

Platts to Launch FOB Arab Gulf Gasoil Assessment

Nat Gas

Effective April 1, 2015, Platts will introduce a new FOB Arab Gulf assessment
for 10 ppm gasoil.

The new assessments will be published in Platts Asia Pacific Arab Gulf Marketscan, on
Platts Global Alert pages 2404 and 2420, and in the Platts price database.

Softs and
Metals

In addition, Platts will publish a cash differential for the 10 ppm gasoil grade representing the
price buyers are willing to pay over and above the benchmark FOB Arab Gulf Gasoil
assessment around loading dates.

Coal

In line with Platts existing FOB AG gasoil assessments, this new assessment will be based on
adding an assessed sulfur differential to Platts outright FOB Arab Gulf Gasoil assessment,
which is a freight netback from Platts outright FOB Singapore Gasoil assessment, both of
which represent 500 ppm sulfur gasoil.

See the original announcement.


Finance

ZEMA, ZEs data management solution, collects over 300 Platts records on petroleum and other liquids,
several of them from the Middle East region. To learn more about ZEMAs vast data library, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.

Weather and
Emissions

Platts to Launch Spot Metallocene Assessments

Data
Vendors

On March 6, 2015, Platts intends to assess FD NWE metallocene and


standard linear low density polyethylene C6 spot prices, which are spot cargo size
of minimum 100-300 mt lots for domestic business.
Specifications for standard LLDPE C6 are: 1-Hexene comonomer based on the Ziegler Natta
catalyst, with density between 917-922 kg/m3 for both cast and blown film, and a melt flow
index of around 0.85.

Market
Analysis

Specifications for metallocene C6 are: 1-Hexene comonomer based on the metallocene


Ziegler Natta catalyst with a density of 912-940 kg/m3 for bothcast and blown film, and a
melt flow index of between 0.5-4.5.
January 2015

In Depth

See the original announcement.

Content
Platts ICE Gasoil EFS at 16:30 Singapore
Platts ICE Gasoil ESS at 16:30 Singapore
Platts ICE Gasoil Futures & Time Spreads at 16:30 SG
Platts ICE Gasoil Frontline & Time Spreads at 16:30 SG
Platts Gasoil at 16:30 Singapore

Petroleum

Status
New page
New page
New page
New page
Updated page

Power

Page
PPA 2664
PPA 2668
PPA 2670
PPA 2672
PPA 2634

Editorial

On February 2, 2015, Platts extended its forward gasoil derivatives coverage


in Asia. As a result, Platts added and updated the following pages to Platts Forward
Curve Asia to host its assessments for EFS, ESS, and ICE Gasoil futures at the close of trade
in Asia:

Summary

Petroleum

Platts Adds Gasoil Derivatives Content to Platts Forward Curve Asia

Nat Gas

The new assessments were launched under the names Gasoil EFS, Gasoil ESS, and
Gasoil Frontlines spanning 12 calendar months and three quarters. This is a slight delay
from the previously announced launch date of January 2.
The assessed derivatives are differentials between FOB Singapore 500 ppm paper and ICE
gasoil futures (EFS) and the ICE gasoil frontline swap (ESS).

Coal

See the original announcement.


ZEMA excels at displaying time-series data in charts, graphs, forward curves, and more. ZEMA also collects petroleum
data from a wide range of sources. For further information, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/.

Softs and
Metals
Finance

The ZEMA graph below shows the settlement for December 2014 gasoil future contracts
expiring in fourth quarter of 2015 (ICE data). As shown, the December 2014 settlement
follows a downward trend with a slight increase on December 23. With ZEMA, similar
graphs can be created for a longer date range and data series can be easily separated
by selecting the preferred contract month and year. To learn more, book a complimentary
ZEMA demonstration.

Weather and
Emissions

Graph created with ZEMA

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

10

In Depth

January 2015

Nat Gas

Platts Introduces Daily European Orthoxylene Assessments

Petroleum

See the original announcement.

Power

Platts will publish assessments for three full calendar months ahead of the date of
publication. Platts will publish bids, offers, and interest to trade the East-West Fuel oil Spread
in the Platts Market on Close assessment process.

Editorial

Platts added these assessments to its existing fuel oil derivative suite in order to enhance its
coverage of the fuel oil market and better represent the key high sulfur fuel oil arbitrage route
between Europe and Asia.

Summary

Effective February 2, 2015, Platts launched assessments for the value of


East-West fuel oil swap spreads. These East-West fuel oil spreads represent the
difference between the comparable months 180 CST Singapore Fuel Oil and FOB Rotterdam
3.5% Fuel Oil Barge swaps, at 16:30 London time.

Petroleum

Platts Assesses European East-West Fuel Oil Spreads

On February 2, 2015, Platts began publishing FOB ARA orthoxylene assessments


on a daily basis to capture intra-week liquidity. Platts previously published weekly
assessment for orthoxylene (PHABK00) on Fridays.

Coal

This assessment can be found on Platts Petrochemical Alert on page PCA 332 and
in the Europe and Americas Petrochemicalscan.
See the original announcement.

Finance

Platts Adds Fuel Oil Derivatives Page to Platts Forward


Curve Europe

Content

PPE 1690

New page

Platts FO 180 CST SG vs FOB Rdam 3.5% FO at London MOC

Data
Vendors

Status

Weather and
Emissions

On February 2, 2015, Platts added a new page to host new East-West spread
assessments for fuel oil derivatives. Platts is launching this page as part of its preparations to
expand the content and coverage offered on Platts Forward Curve Europe, its real-time
information service for the European derivatives markets.
Page

Softs and
Metals

ZEMA collects many petroleum market records from Platts. ZEMA collects market data as soon as it is released, ensuring
that ZEMA users have up-to-date US and European market data. To learn more about ZEMAs advanced data collection
functionalities, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data/.

See the original announcement.

Market
Analysis

11

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial
Power

Feedback has strongly suggested that fuel supplied with new sulfur standards in mind
is likely to conform more closely to standard RMG 380 specifications, with the low sulfur cap.
Therefore Platts assessments at both ports reflect bunker fuel that meets or is better than
RMG 380, with a maximum sulfur content of 0.1%. The assessments will be published
in dollars per metric ton.

Summary

Effective January 5, 2015, Platts launched new assessments for maximum


0.1% sulfur bunker fuel in Houston and New York.

Petroleum

Platts Launches US Sulfur Bunker Fuel Assessments

A new market for 0.1% sulfur bunkers is expected to emerge as the industry adapts to
International Maritime Organization rules, coming into effect on January 1, 2015, which limit
the sulfur content for marine fuel used by ships within 200 miles of shore in the
North American Emissions Control Area to 0.1%, down from a current maximum of 1%.

Petroleum

For the 0.1% bunker fuel assessment in Houston, Platts will use the existing assessments for
Straight Run LS Dlvd USGC vs. WTI Mo01 (AALFS00), front month NYMEX WTI at 3:15 p.m.
Eastern Time (NYCRM01) and ULS Heating Oil USGC Prompt Pipeline (AAXFD00).

Nat Gas

For the 0.1% bunker fuel assessment in New York Harbor, Platts will use the existing
assessments for Straight Run LS Dlvd USAC vs. WTI Mo01 (AALFU00), front month NYMEX WTI
at 3:15 p.m. Eastern Time (NYCRM01) and ULS Heating Oil barge FOB NYH (AAXPX00).

Coal

The new assessments will reflect fuel loading three to seven days forward from the date of
assessment. The minimum stem size will be 200 mt and the maximum 1,000 mt.
Softs and
Metals

This product is intended for use in ships and should follow normal market conventions around
what is and is not acceptable in its makeup.
See the original announcement.

Weather and
Emissions

Platts Introduces New Cut-off Time for Fuel Oil Market

Finance

ZEMA collects several Platts data reports specifically on petroleum bunker assessments. To book a complimentary ZEMA
demonstration, visit http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.

Data
Vendors

Effective January 5, 2015, Platts confirmed the new cut-off time for providing
bids and offers for publication in the US Atlantic Coast physical residual fuel oil
Market On Close assessment process as 1:45 p.m. Central time, 15 minutes later than the
previous cut-off time of 1:30 p.m. Central time.
The change follows a reduction in April 2014 in the volume size assessed by Platts in the
USAC market to 50,000 barrels from the previous 120,000 barrels.
See the original announcement.

Market
Analysis

12

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Petroleum

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas

Platts Introduces New US Shale Crude Commentary


On December 28, 2014, Platts added a new page to Platts Global Alert
and commentary section to Crude Oil Marketwire, and North American Crude and Products
Scan to host its coverage of daily market activity in US shale crudes.

Softs and
Metals

See the original announcement.

Coal

The new page, PGA 295, will appear in the daily newsletters from the same day. Platts will
provide daily analysis of Bakken, Eagle Ford, and other shale markets on this page. Coverage
of events in conventional crude in the USGC market will continue to be published on 290.
ZEMA collects over 100 Platts reports on crude, more than 40 of which are from North America. To learn more about
ZEMA, book a free demonstration today at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.

Finance

Argus Introduces Argus Americas Asphalt and Argus


Bitumen Publications

Weather and
Emissions

On January 23, 2015, Argus launched the Argus Americas Asphalt publication and
data file. This data can be found in the damasph.csv data file in the /DAmAsphalt folder of
ftp.argusmedia.com and also via the Argus API.

The codes are to be published weekly and include mainly asphalt, freight, crude, and fuel oil.
The regions covered in these publications are the US Gulf Coast, the US West Coast, the
Rocky Mountains, the US Midwest, the US Midcontinent, Canada, and Latin America.

Data
Vendors

As well, also on January 23, Argus introduced the Argus Bitumen publication and data file.
This data now appears in the dbitumen.csv data file in the /DBitumen folder of
ftp.argusmedia.com server and also be available via the Argus API.

Market
Analysis

Many of the codes from both of these publications have been carried over from the Argus
Asphalt Report module.
See the original announcement.

13

In Depth

January 2015

Time Price
stamp type

PA0015492 26

Daily

1, 2, 8 0

Fuel oil bunker HS


>Products->
180cst dob
RUB/t Fuel oil>RussiaArkhangelsk RUB/t
Caspian

Daily

1, 2, 8 0

Gasoil bunker MGO


>Products->
0.1% dob
RUB/t Fuel oil>RussiaArkhangelsk RUB/t
Caspian

Daily

1, 2, 8 0

Fuel oil bunker HS


380cst dob
Arkhangelsk $/t

>Products->
USD/t Fuel oil>RussiaCaspian

Daily

1, 2, 8 0

Fuel oil bunker HS


180cst dob
Arkhangelsk $/t

>Products->
USD/t Fuel oil>RussiaCaspian

Daily

1, 2, 8 0

Gasoil bunker MGO


>Products->
0.1% dob
USD/t Fuel oil>RussiaArkhangelsk $/t
Caspian

Daily

Softs and
Metals

PA0015493 26

1, 2, 8 0

Fuel oil bunker HS


>Products->
380cst dob
RUB/t Fuel oil>RussiaArkhangelsk RUB/t
Caspian

Coal

PA0015491 26

Frequency

Nat Gas

PA0015490 26

Category

Petroleum

PA0015489 26

Unit

Power

PA0015488 26

Continuous
Description
forward

ZEMA collects data from Arguss FMB Weekly Sulphur record. To gain a wider perspective of the fossil fuels market and to
learn how ZEMA can enhance your business processes, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.

Finance

See the original announcement.

Weather and
Emissions

NYMEX Lists Freight Route Liquid Petroleum Gas


Futures Contract

Contract

Code

Rule Chapter

Freight Route Liquid Petroleum Gas (Baltic) Futures Contract

FLP

679

Data
Vendors

Effective January 25, 2015, the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) listed
the following dry bulk freight futures contract.

In Depth

14

Market
Analysis

The Freight Route Liquid Petroleum Gas (Baltic) Futures contract has been listed for trading on
CME Globex, the NYMEX trading floor, and for submission for clearing through CME ClearPort.
January 2015

Editorial

PA-code

Summary

Effective January 12, 2015, Argus introduced new assessments for high sulfur
bunker DOB Arkhangelsk in rubles per ton and dollars per ton. The following series will appear
in DARM data module in /DARM folder of ftp.argusmedia.com:

Petroleum

Argus Introduces New Russian Sulfur Bunker Assessments

Contract Unit

1,000 metric ton

Price Quotation

US Dollars and cents per metric ton

Minimum Price Tick

$0.001

Minimum Price Tick for


Final Settlement Price

$0.001

Final Listed Month

February 2015

Listing Period

CME Globex: 1 month


NYMEX Trading Floor and CME ClearPort: every month for
current year plus next two calendar years
For contract months January to November inclusive: the last
business day of the calendar month.
For December contract months: the 24th calendar day of the
month, or if this is not a business day, the first preceding
business day.

Trading Hours: CME Globex and CME


ClearPort

Sunday Friday 6:00 p.m. 5:15 p.m. ET (5:00 p.m.


4:15 p.m. CT) with a 45-minute break each day beginning at
5:15 p.m. ET (4:15 p.m. CT)

Finance

Monday Friday 9:00 a.m. to 2:30 p.m. Eastern Time/ET


(8:00 a.m. to 1:30 p.m. Central Time/CT)

Softs and
Metals

Trading Hours: Open Outcry

Coal

Termination of trading

Nat Gas

FLP

Petroleum

Commodity Code

Power

Freight Route Liquid Petroleum Gas (Baltic)


Futures Contract

Weather and
Emissions

See the original announcement.

ICE Futures Europe Completes Transition to Low Sulfur


Gasoil Contract

Market
Analysis

The re-specified ICE low sulfur gasoil futures contract retains the contract code G and runs
from the February 2015 contract month onward to the December 2021 contract.

Data
Vendors

On January 12, 2015, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) announced that


ICE Futures Europe has successfully completed its transition of the ICE gasoil futures contract
with a low sulfur specification beyond January 2015 contract months.

The revised specification reflects a parallel move in underlying physical European


gasoil markets toward low sulfur grades in recent years. The previous contract specification
15

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial

Contract

Summary

The contract specifications are as follows:

Petroleum

Block trades are permitted for this contract, with a minimum transaction size of two contracts,
consistent with similar liquid petroleum gas futures contracts.

Editorial

Open interest in the ICE Low Sulfur Gasoil futures contract (ULS) beyond February 2015
was transitioned to the G equivalently-specified contract, and that contract code has also
ceased trading with the January 2015 expiry.

Summary

Natural Gas
Petroleum

was based on a maximum sulfur content of 0.1% (1,000ppm) and has ceased trading, with
the expiry of the January 2015 contract month.

See the original announcement.


Power

ZEMA collects over 130 ICE records, nearly 30 of which are about the fossil fuels market. To learn more about how
ZEMA can collect, aggregate, and analyze data, book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration now at
http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.

Petroleum

MCX Begins Futures Trading in Crude Mini

Nat Gas

On January 6, 2015, Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (MCX)


commenced futures trading in crude oil mini. The commodity markets regulator,
Forward Markets Commission (FMC), has given the MCX approval to offer trading in
crude oil mini January 2015, February 2015, March 2015, April 2015, May 2015, and
June 2015 contracts.

Coal

The contract specification of crude oil mini is similar to the existing crude oil contract on MCX.
The lot size of crude oil mini is 10 barrels. MCX crude oil futures are traded in Indian Rupee,
mitigating the currency risk of the trade circuit.
See the original announcement.

Softs and
Metals

Platts to Discontinue Falmouth Ex-Wharf Bunker Assessments

Finance

Effective July 1, 2015, Platts will discontinue its Falmouth ex-wharf bunker
fuel assessments of high and low sulfur 380 and 180 CST and marine gasoil
(3.5% sulfur IFO 380 CST, 3.5% sulfur IFO 180 CST, 1% sulfur IFO 380 CST, 1%sulfur
IFO 180 CST, MGO DMA 0.1%).

Weather and
Emissions

The discontinuation reflects changing market conditions within the Northwest European
bunker market where Platts has observed diminished market liquidity at Falmouth.
These assessments were published on Platts Marine Alert, Platts Bunkerwire and the Platts
price assessment database under the codes of PUAFC00, PUACW00, AASUK00, AASUL00,
and POACU00 respectively.

Data
Vendors

See the original announcement.

Platts to Discontinue Current Palm Oil/Gasoil Spread Assessment

Market
Analysis

Effective May 15, 2015, Platts intends to discontinue its current assessment
for the palm oil/gasoil spread (PO-GO), as Platts is also proposing to launch a new PO-GO
spread that is more representative of current market activity.
The current POGO spread, under the code BMAAA00, reflects the value of first -month gasoil
futures traded on the Intercontinental Exchange, or ICE, against first-month crude palm
16

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial

The current POGO assessment is published in the Platts database under the code BMAAA00
and in the PBF publication Biofuelscan.

Summary

Platts is proposing to assess a new POGO spread that reflects the value of the first forward
month contract for BMD palm oil futures against front-month ICE gasoil futures.

Petroleum

oil futures listed on Bursa Malaysia, or BMD, traded at 4:30 p.m. Singapore time (0830 GMT).

See the original announcement.


Power

Platts Stops Publishing US Gulf Coast Premium


CBOB Gasoline Assessments

Petroleum

Effective January 2, 2015, Platts discontinued assessments for US Gulf Coast Premium
CBOB (D-Grade) gasoline. Platts initially proposed suspending this assessment in a
note published September 19, 2013.

Coal

The seasonal supplemental assessment for Premium CBOB appeared on PGA page 332
under the symbol AASOC00.

Nat Gas

Colonial Pipeline no longer ships this grade with regularity and, as a result, Platts has
observed substantially diminished market liquidity. These assessments were published on
Platts Global Alert page 330, and in the Platts assessment database under code AARQV00 for
pipeline Premium CBOB, and AAWET00 for waterborne Premium CBOB.

See the original announcement.

Softs and
Metals

Platts Discontinues Russia Light Ends Export Duty


As of January 2, 2015, Platts stopped publishing its Russian light ends export
duty. This follows a proposal published on June 17 to discontinue the value.

Finance

This export duty represents an average, calculated by Platts, of Russias individual


naphtha and gasoline export duties. The duties for both products will continue to be published
on their own.
See the original announcement.

Weather and
Emissions

Platts Stops Publishing ARPEL Consumer Price Postings

The ARPEL postings had been published in full each day on Platts Global Alert page 474, with
a smaller selection published daily in Platts Latin American Wire. All of the postings were also
in the Platts price database under data codes beginning ARP.

Market
Analysis

See the original announcement.

17

In Depth

January 2015

Data
Vendors

On January 2, 2015, Platts stopped publishing consumer price postings in


Latin America as gathered by the Asociacion Regional de Empresas del Sector
Petroleo (ARPEL).

PA-code

Time Price Continuous


Description
stamp type forward

->Asphalt->
USD/st Americas->
US Gulf coast

Weekly

1, 2 0

Asphalt
(bitumen) rack
North Dakota

->Asphalt->
USD/st Americas->
US Midwest

Weekly

1, 2 0

Asphalt
(bitumen) fob
western
US Gulf

->Asphalt->
USD/st Americas->
US Gulf coast

Weekly

1, 2 0

VGO 0.5% NWE


USD/t
barge week range

->Products->
VGO->Northwest
Europe

Weekly

Coal

PA0015089 6

1, 2 0

Asphalt
(bitumen) fob
USGC east

Nat Gas

PA0000725 0

Frequency

Petroleum

PA0000648 0

Category

Power

PA0000614 0

Unit

Editorial

On January 16, 2015, Argus made changes to data in the dia.csv files in the
\DASPH folder of ftp.argusmedia.com. The following assessments in Argus Asphalt Report
have been stopped:

Summary

Petroleum

Argus Discontinues US and European Asphalt Assessments

See the original announcement.


Softs and
Metals

Argus Discontinues Marine Fuels Assessments

PA-code

Continuous
Description
forward

PA0008294 26

1, 2, 8 0

PA0011516 2

1, 2, 8 0

PA0011519 2

1, 2, 8 0

USD/t
USD/t
USD/t

Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily

18

In Depth

January 2015

USD/t

>Products->
Fuel oil->
Russia-Caspian
>Products->
Fuel oil->
Russia-Caspian
>Products->
Fuel oil->
Latin America
>Products->
Fuel oil->
Latin America

Frequency

Market
Analysis

1, 2, 8 0

Category

Data
Vendors

PA0004738 26

Fuel oil bunker LS


380cst dob St.
Pete $/t
Fuel oil bunker LS
380cst dob
Murmansk $/t
Fuel oil bunker LS
380 cst Quintero
Valparaiso
Fuel oil bunker LS
380 cst
San Antonio

Unit

Weather and
Emissions

Time Price
stamp type

Finance

Effective January 12, 2015, Argus stopped publishing the following marine
fuels assessments found in the damrinef files in the /DAMARINEF folder of
ftp.argusmedia.com:

Continuous
Description
forward

PA0011568 2

1, 2, 8 0

PA0011569 2

1, 2, 8 0

PA0011574 2

1, 2, 8 0

PA0011575 2

1, 2, 8 0

PA0011576 2

1, 2, 8 0

PA0011578 2

1, 2, 8 0

PA0011579 2

1, 2, 8 0

Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily

Weather and
Emissions

1, 2, 8 0

Daily

Finance

PA0011573 2

Daily

Softs and
Metals

1, 2, 8 0

Daily

Coal

PA0011571 2

Fuel oil bunker LS


>Products->
380 cst
USD/t Fuel oil->
New Orleans
US Gulf coast
>Products->
Fuel oil bunker LS
USD/t Fuel oil->
380 cst New York
US east coast
Fuel oil bunker LS
>Products->
380 cst Panama USD/t Fuel oil->
Canal
Latin America
Fuel oil bunker LS
>Products->
380 cst
USD/t Fuel oil->
Philadelphia
US east coast
>Products->
Fuel oil bunker LS
USD/t Fuel oil->
380 cst Portland
US west coast
Fuel oil bunker LS
>Products->
380 cst
USD/t Fuel oil->
San Francisco
US west coast
>Products->
Fuel oil bunker LS
USD/t Fuel oil->
380 cst Seattle
US west coast
Fuel oil bunker LS
>Products->
380 cst
USD/t
Fuel oil->Canada
Vancouver

Daily

Nat Gas

1, 2, 8 0

Fuel oil bunker LS


>Products->
USD/t
380 cst Montreal
Fuel oil->Canada

Daily

Petroleum

PA0011570 2

->Products->
Fuel oil bunker LS
USD/t Fuel oil->
380 cst Houston
US Gulf coast
Fuel oil bunker LS
>Products->
380 cst
USD/t Fuel oil->
Los Angeles
US west coast

Frequency

Power

1, 2, 8 0

Category

Editorial

PA0011567 2

Unit

Summary

Time Price
stamp type

Petroleum

PA-code

Daily

See the original announcement.

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

19

In Depth

January 2015

PA Code

Time Price Continuous


Description
Stamp Type Forward
1, 2 0

Fuel oil bunker low


sulphur 180 cst
Antwerp

>Products>
Fuel oil>
Northwest Europe

Daily

1, 2 0

Fuel oil bunker low


sulphur 180 cst
Rotterdam

>Products>
Fuel oil>
Northwest Europe

Daily

Petroleum

PA0004109 6

Frequency

Power

PA0004108 6

Category

See the original announcement.

Nat Gas

Argus Stops Publishing Russian Fuel Oil Bunker Assessments


Effective December 30, 2014, Argus discontinued codes for low sulfur fuel oil
bunker assessments and also all Ust-Luga (anchorage) assessments. The following
series has been stopped in DARM data module in /DARM folder of ftp.argusmedia.com:
Time Price
stamp type

Continuous
Description
forward

1,2

PA0004739 26

1, 2

PA0008291 26

1, 2, 8 0

PA0008292 26

1, 2, 8 0

PA0008294 26

1, 2

USD/t
RUB/t
RUB/t
USD/t

Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily

20

In Depth

January 2015

USD/t

Daily

Market
Analysis

PA0004738 26

RUB/t

Daily

Data
Vendors

1, 2, 8 0

>Products>
Fuel oil>
RussiaCaspian
>Products>
Fuel oil>
RussiaCaspian
>Products>
Fuel oil>
RussiaCaspian
>Products>
Fuel oil>
RussiaCaspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian

Frequency

Weather and
Emissions

PA0004732 26

RUB/t

Category

Finance

1, 2, 8 0

Unit

Softs and
Metals

PA0004731 26

Fuel oil bunker LS


380cst dob
St. Pete RUB/t
Fuel oil bunker LS
180cst dob
St. Pete RUB/t
Fuel oil bunker LS
380cst dob
St. Pete $/t
Fuel oil bunker LS
180cst dob
St. Pete $/t
Fuel oil bunker LS
380cst dob Murmansk RUB/t
Fuel oil bunker LS
180cst dob Murmansk RUB/t
Fuel oil bunker LS
380cst dob Murmansk $/t

Coal

PA-code

Editorial

Effective January 2, 2015, Argus stopped publishing the series below. These
series are in the DLP files in the DEURO folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.

Summary

Petroleum

Argus Discontinues European Fuel Oil Bunker Assessments

Continuous
Description
forward
0

1, 2, 8 0

PA0013985 26

1, 2, 8 0

PA0013990 26

1, 2, 8 0

PA0013991 26

1, 2, 8 0

PA0013992 26

1, 2, 8 0

PA0013988 26

1, 2, 8 0

PA0013989 26

1, 2, 8 0

USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t

Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily

Finance

PA0013984 26

USD/t

Softs and
Metals

1, 2, 8 0

Daily

Coal

PA0013983 26

USD/t

Nat Gas

1, 2, 8 0

Daily

Petroleum

PA0013982 26

USD/t

>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian

Frequency

Power

1, 2

Category

Editorial

PA0008295 26

Fuel oil bunker LS


180cst dob Murmansk $/t
Fuel oil bunker HS
380cst dob Ust-Luga
(anchorage)
Fuel oil bunker HS
180cst dob Ust-Luga
(anchorage)
Fuel oil bunker LS
380cst dob Ust-Luga
(anchorage)
Fuel oil bunker LS
180cst dob Ust-Luga
(anchorage)
Fuel oil bunker LS
380cst dob
Novorossiysk
Fuel oil bunker LS
180cst dob
Novorossiysk
Gasoil bunker MGO
dob Ust-Luga
(anchorage)
Fuel oil bunker LS
380cst dob Ust-Luga
(berth)
Fuel oil bunker LS
180cst dob Ust-Luga
(berth)

Unit

Summary

Time Price
stamp type

Petroleum

PA-code

Daily

Weather and
Emissions

See the original announcement.

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

21

In Depth

January 2015

PA-code

Time Price Continuous


Description
stamp type forward

1, 2 0

Gasoline A80 daf


Ghalaba/Khairatan
Afghanistan no tax

->Products->
Gasoline->
Central Asia

Weekly

1, 2 0

Gasoil diesel summer


0.2pc daf Ghalaba/
Khairatan Afghanistan
no tax

->Products->
Gasoil/Diesel/
Heating oil->
Central Asia

Weekly

Petroleum

PA0011665 0

Frequency
Power

PA0011664 0

Category

Nat Gas

The code will be stopped in the DARK file of the /DARK folder and DARKEN file of the
/DARKEN folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.

Coal

See the original announcement.

NYMEX Delists Gasoil Related Futures and Options Contracts

Commodity Codes Rulebook Chapter


CPC/NX Pit HA
Globex: HAB

725

Low Sulphur Gasoil (100mt) Calendar Month Futures

LSM

309

Low Sulphur Gasoil (100mt) Penultimate Day Futures

LSP

362

Singapore Gasoil (Platts) vs. Low Sulphur Gasoil Futures

LSS

295

ULSD 10ppm Cargoes CIF Med (Platts) vs.


Low Sulphur Gasoil Futures

LSL

372

Low Sulphur Gasoil Crack Spread Financial Future

LSC

363

Market
Analysis

252

Data
Vendors

LSO

Weather and
Emissions

Low Sulphur Gasoil Average Price Options

22

In Depth

January 2015

Finance

NY Harbor ULSD vs. Gasoil Futures

Softs and
Metals

As of January 5, 2015, the NYMEX has delisted a series of Gasoil and Low Sulfur Gasoil
related futures and options contracts as shown in the table below:
Contract title

Editorial

Effective December 8, 2014, Argus stopped publishing daf Afghanistan


assessments due to a lack of liquidity. The following assessments were removed from
Argus Caspian Market:

Summary

Petroleum

Argus Discontinues Select Afghanistan Petroleum Assessments

LSU

361

European Diesel 10ppm Barges FOB Rdam (Platts) vs.


Low Sulphur Gasoil Futures

LSE

858

Power

See the original announcement.

Editorial

ULSD 10ppm Cargoes CIF NWE (Platts) vs.


Low Sulphur Gasoil Futures

Summary

Commodity Codes Rulebook Chapter

Petroleum

Contract title

Petroleum

Platts to Amend FOB Singapore Assessments for Fuel Oil,


Middle Distillates, and Gasoline
Effective July 1, 2015, Platts will amend the loadpoints reflected in its FOB
Singapore assessments for fuel oil, middle distillates, and gasoline.

Finance

This proposed change in methodology reflects the fact that the Singapore refined oil products
markets have grown significantly in the last several years. The associated spot markets now
regularly include trades for commodities loading close to, but beyond the geographic borders
of, Singapore.

Softs and
Metals

Under this revised approach, Platts will no longer publish FOB Singapore or FOB Malaysia
bids, offers, or transactions in its Market on Close assessment process. Platts will only publish
bids and offers and transactions as FOB Straits.

Coal

For FOB Straits transactions, sellers should nominate an approved loadpoint ten days prior to
loading for all products. Such approved loadpoints may include approved terminals in
Singapore or southern Malaysia.

Nat Gas

From July onward, Platts FOB Singapore assessments will reflect FOB Straits bids, offers and
transactions. Platts has no plans to amend the nomenclature of its published FOB Singapore
assessments and plans to continue to reference these assessments in all publications under
the name of FOB Singapore.

See the original announcement.


Weather and
Emissions

Platts Changes Name of its Canadian Syncrude


Sweet Assessment

Data
Vendors

On January 15, 2015, Platts changed the name of its Canadian Syncrude Sweet crude
assessment to Syncrude Sweet Premium. The change, which was proposed on
October 29, reflects changes on Enbridges grouping system for crudes shipped through its
pipeline network.

23

In Depth

January 2015

Market
Analysis

The methodology used to assess the value of this crude, including its specifications, did not
change as a result of this name change.

Argus Makes Changes to US Petroleum Product Codes

Power

Effective January 16, 2015, Argus made changes to the Argus US Products
publication. These changes apply to data in the dhp and dhps .csv files in the
DUSPR folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.

New Description

PA0015303

Heating oil 500ppm Colonial


75 pipe fob cycle

Heating oil 500ppm NYH offline Colonial


75 pipe del cycle

Nat Gas

Old Description

Petroleum

The following code description will be updated:


PA-code

And the category path will be changing for the following codes:
Old Category

New Category

PA0014710

->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/
Heating oil->US Colonial pipeline

->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/Heating oil->
US east coast
->Products->Jet->US east coast

->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/
Heating oil->US Colonial pipeline

->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/Heating oil->
US east coast

PA0015177

->Products->Gasoline->
US Colonial pipeline

->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/Heating oil->
US Colonial pipeline

Finance

PA0014712

Softs and
Metals

PA0014711 ->Products->Jet->US Colonial pipeline

Coal

PA-code

Editorial

See the original announcement.

Summary

Petroleum

This assessment appears on Platts Global Alert page 230, in the Crude Oil Marketwire,
the North American Crude and Products Scan, and in the Platts price database under the
code AASOK00.

See the original announcement.


Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

24

In Depth

January 2015

Price Continuous
Description
type forward

PA0008541 1

PA0008541 2

PA0008542 1

PA0008542 2

Fuel oil bunker


30cst fob Baku
Marine gasoil
bunker 0.2pc fob
Baku
Marine gasoil
bunker 0.2pc fob
Baku
Marine gasoil
bunker 0.2pc fob
Aktau
Marine gasoil
bunker 0.2pc fob
Aktau

>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia-Caspian

Fortnightly

USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t

>Products>Fuel
oil->Russia-Caspian
>Products>Gasoil/
Diesel/Heating
oil>Central Asia
>Products>Gasoil/
Diesel/Heating
oil>Central Asia
>Product>Gasoil/
Diesel/Heating
oil>Central Asia
>Products>Gasoil/
Diesel/Heating
oil>Central Asia

Fortnightly
Fortnightly
Fortnightly
Fortnightly

Coal

USD/t

Nat Gas

PA0008540 2

Fuel oil bunker


30cst fob Baku

New Frequency

Petroleum

Category

Power

PA0008540 1

Unit

Fortnightly
Softs and
Metals

See the original announcement.

Argus Changes Code Description for US Gulf Petroleum Freight

PA0002720 Freight dirty Covenas - US Gulf 135kt

Corrected description

Weather and
Emissions

Old description

Finance

Effective January 9, 2015, Argus corrected the code description for the
following assessment in Argus Petroleum Transportation North America. This series
is found in the dptr data file in the \DPTR folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.
PA-code

Editorial

PA-code

Summary

As of January 12, 2015, Argus changed the publishing frequency for the bunker assessments
below from weekly to fortnightly. These changes are reflected in Argus Caspian Market.

Petroleum

Argus Modifies Publishing Frequency of Fuel Oil and Gasoil


Bunker Assessments

Freight dirty Covenas - US Gulf 70kt

See the original announcement.

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

25

In Depth

January 2015

PA-code

Old description

New description

PA0002071 Dirty Ecuador - Chile

Dirty Ecuador - Chile 50kt

PA0002079 Dirty Venezuela - USGC

Dirty Venezuela - USGC Venezuela 70kt

Petroleum

Dirty Ecuador - Peru 50kt

Power

PA0002070 Dirty Ecuador - Peru

See the original announcement.

Nat Gas

CME Modifies Gasoil Futures and Options Product Names


Effective January 4, 2015, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) modified
the following gasoil futures and options product names:

New Product Name

FIX/FAST and iLink: tag


FIX/FAST and iLink: tag
1151-Security Group MDP 55-Symbol MDP 3.0 tag
3.0: tag 6937-Asset
1151 - Security Group

Softs and
Metals

RF
Finance

CP

RF

Mini ULSD 10ppm


Mini ULSD 10ppm
Cargoes CIF NWE
MGN
Cargoes CIF NWE (Platts)
(Platts) vs. Low
vs. Gasoil Futures
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

CP

January 2015

26

In Depth

Mini European Jet Kero


Barges FOB Rdam
MJB
(Platts) vs. Low
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

Mini European Jet Kero


Barges FOB Rdam
(Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures

Market
Analysis

RF

Data
Vendors

Mini European Jet


Mini European Jet Kero
Kero Cargoes CIF NWE
MJC
Cargoes CIF NWE (Platts)
(Platts) vs. Low
vs. Gasoil Futures
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

Weather and
Emissions

Low Sulphur Gasoil


Crack Spread
GOC
(1000mt)
Financial Futures
Mini ULSD 10ppm
Mini ULSD 10ppm CarCargoes CIF MED
goes CIF MED (Platts) vs.
UCM
(Platts) vs. Low
Gasoil Futures
Sulphur Gasoil Futures
Gasoil Crack Spread
(1000mt) Financial
Futures

Coal

Current Product Name

Editorial

Effective January 9, 2015, Argus updated code descriptions for the following
assessment in Argus Latin Markets. These series are found in the dlm data file in the
\DALM folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.

Summary

Petroleum

Argus Updates Code Descriptions for Latin American


Petroleum Freight

CP

Gasoil 0.1 Barges FOB


Gasoil 0.1 Barges FOB
Rdam (Platts) vs. Low
Rdam (Platts) vs. Gasoil
6V
Sulphur Gasoil BALMO
BALMO Futures
Futures

CP

Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes CIF


NWE (Platts) vs. Gasoil
BALMO
Futures

Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes CIF


NWE (Platts) vs. Low
4V
Sulphur Gasoil BALMO
Futures

CP

ULSD 10ppm Cargoes


CIF NWE (Platts) vs.
Gasoil BALMO Futures

ULSD 10ppm Cargoes


CIF NWE (Platts) vs.
3V
Low Sulphur Gasoil
BALMO Futures

CP

Diesel 10ppm Barges


FOB Rdam (Platts) vs.
Gasoil BALMO Futures

Diesel 10ppm Barges


FOB Rdam (Platts) vs.
7X
Low Sulphur Gasoil
BALMO Futures

CP

Jet Fuel Cargoes CIF


NWE (Platts) vs. Gasoil
BALMO Futures

Jet Fuel Cargoes CIF


NWE (Platts) vs. Low
A6X
Sulphur Gasoil BALMO
Futures

CP

27

In Depth

January 2015

Market
Analysis

ULSD 10ppm CIF MED


(Platts) vs. Low
7V
Sulphur Gasoil BALMO
Futures

Data
Vendors

ULSD 10ppm CIF MED


(Platts) vs. Gasoil
BALMO Futures

Weather and
Emissions

CP

Finance

Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes CIF


MED (Platts) vs. Low
8W
Sulphur Gasoil BALMO
Futures

Softs and
Metals

Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes CIF


MED (Platts) vs. Gasoil
BALMO Futures

Coal

RF

Nat Gas

Jet Aviation Fuel


Cargoes FOB MED
A1V
(Platts) vs. Low
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

Petroleum

Jet Aviation Fuel Cargoes FOB MED (Platts)


vs. Gasoil Futures

Power

CP

Editorial

Mini Gasoil 0.1


Mini Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes
Cargoes CIF NWE
CIF NWE (Platts) vs.
MGF
(Platts) vs. Low
Gasoil Futures
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

Summary

New Product Name

Petroleum

Current Product Name

FIX/FAST and iLink: tag


FIX/FAST and iLink: tag
1151-Security Group MDP 55-Symbol MDP 3.0 tag
3.0: tag 6937-Asset
1151 - Security Group

Gasoil BALMO Futures

Low Sulphur Gasoil


BALMO Futures

Gasoil Mini Financial


Futures

Low Sulphur Gasoil


AQA
Mini Financial Futures

RF

Gasoil 0.1 Barges FOB Gasoil 0.1 Barges FOB


Rdam (Platts) vs. Gasoil Rdam (Platts) vs. Low AWQ
Futures
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

RF

Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes CIF


NWE (Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures

Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes CIF


NWE (Platts) vs. Low ATU
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

RF

ULSD 10ppm Cargoes


CIF NWE (Platts) vs.
Gasoil Futures

ULSD 10ppm Cargoes


CIF NWE (Platts) vs.
ATP
Low Sulphur GasoRFil
Futures

RF

Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes CIF


MED (Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures

Gasoil 0.1 Cargoes CIF


MED (Platts) vs. Low AZ5
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

RF

ULSD 10ppm CIF MED


(Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures

ULSD 10ppm CIF MED


(Platts) vs. Low
AZ7
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

RF

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

PC

Weather and
Emissions

GXB

Finance

PC

Softs and
Metals

GXA

Coal

28

In Depth

January 2015

Nat Gas

European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options

European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option
European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option

CP

Petroleum

European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options

U9

Power

CP

Editorial

Jet Fuel Barges FOB


Jet Fuel Barges FOB
Rdam (Platts) vs. Low
Rdam (Platts) vs. Gasoil
9Q
Sulphur Gasoil BALMO
BALMO Futures
Futures

Summary

New Product Name

Petroleum

Current Product Name

FIX/FAST and iLink: tag


FIX/FAST and iLink: tag
1151-Security Group MDP 55-Symbol MDP 3.0 tag
3.0: tag 6937-Asset
1151 - Security Group

PC

GXZ

PC

RF

European Gasoil Brent


Crack Spread Futures

European Low Sulphur


Gasoil Brent Crack
GZ
Spread Futures

PT

European Gasoil Brent


Crack Spread Average
Price Option

European Low Sulphur


Gasoil Brent Average A3U
Price Option

EF

European Gasoil
(100mt) Bullet Futures

European Low Sulphur


Gasoil (100mt) Bullet GLI
Futures

CM

European Diesel
10 ppm Barges FOB
Rdam (Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures

European Diesel
10 ppm Barges FOB
AET
Rdam (Platts) vs. Low
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

EE

Jet Cargoes CIF NWE


(Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures

Jet Cargoes CIF NWE


(Platts) vs. Low
HJC
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

RF

Jet Barges FOB Rdam


(Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures

Jet Barges FOB Rdam


(Platts) vs. Low
AJR
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

RF

Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

29

In Depth

January 2015

Coal

European Low Sulphur


European Gasoil
Gasoil (1000mt)
BG
(1000mt) Bullet Futures
Bullet Futures

Nat Gas

GXM

Petroleum

PC

Power

European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options

GXC

Editorial

European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options

European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option
European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option
European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option

Summary

European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options

New Product Name

Petroleum

Current Product Name

FIX/FAST and iLink: tag


FIX/FAST and iLink: tag
1151-Security Group MDP 55-Symbol MDP 3.0 tag
3.0: tag 6937-Asset
1151 - Security Group

RF

Mini European Diesel


10 ppm Barges FOB
Rdam (Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures

CP
Nat Gas

Mini Gasoil 0.1 Barges


FOB Rdam (Platts) vs.
Gasoil Futures

Mini European Diesel


10 ppm Barges FOB
MUD
Rdam (Platts) vs. Low
Sulphur Gasoil Futures
Mini Gasoil 0.1 Barges
FOB Rdam (Platts) vs.
MGB
Low Sulphur Gasoil
Futures

Petroleum

European Low Sulphur


European Gasoil FinanGasoil Financial
AGX
cial Futures
Futures

CP
Coal

PC

Gasoil Average Price


Options

Low Sulphur Gasoil


Average Price Option

EF

FAME 0 Biodiesel FOB


Rdam (Argus) (RED
Compliant) vs. Gasoil
Futures
RME Biodiesel FOB
Rdam (Argus) (RED
Compliant) vs. Gasoil
Futures

FAME 0 Biodiesel FOB


Rdam (Argus) (RED
FBT
Compliant) vs. Low
Sulphur Gasoil Futures
RME Biodiesel FOB
Rdam (Argus) (RED
BFR
Compliant) vs. Low
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

Finance

European-Style Low
F8
Sulphur Gasoil Option

Softs and
Metals

European-Style Gasoil
Options

AF7

Power

RF

Editorial

Singapore Gasoil
Singapore Gasoil (Platts)
(Platts) vs. Low
AGA
vs. Gasoil Futures
Sulphur Gasoil Futures

Summary

New Product Name

Petroleum

Current Product Name

FIX/FAST and iLink: tag


FIX/FAST and iLink: tag
1151-Security Group MDP 55-Symbol MDP 3.0 tag
3.0: tag 6937-Asset
1151 - Security Group

CP

Weather and
Emissions

RF

Data
Vendors

See the original announcement.

Market
Analysis

30

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Natural Gas

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas

Platts Launches LNG Atlantic FOB Marker


Coal

On January 2, 2015, Platts launched an additional marker to reflect the


FOB value of LNG cargoes originating from the East Atlantic.

Softs and
Metals

Platts has noted that, with growing demand from markets in South America and increased
European re-export activity to optimize cargoes arriving in both Southwest and Northwest
Europe, the region has become a balancing point for cargoes destined for both the Atlantic
and Pacific basins.

Finance

The new assessment is called the East Atlantic Market (EAM) published under the
code/symbol LEAMM01.

Weather and
Emissions

The EAM reflects a transactable value of spot LNG cargoes, freight normalized to a
Huelva/Gibraltar loading with a laycan corresponding to the current and front month in
half-month increments drawing on volumes originating from the following primary and
re-export locations in both Northwest and Southwest Europe, including the Mediterranean
and FOB cargoes sold on a ship-to-ship transfer basis.
Production regions are also included, such as Nigeria, Angola, Algeria, and Norway.

Market
Analysis

See the original announcement.


ZEMA presently collects more than 700 reports on the natural gas market and is always adding more. To learn more
about how ZEMAs extensive data library, powerful analytics, and versatile forward curves can enhance your business
processes, book a demo by visiting http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.
31

In Depth

January 2015

Data
Vendors

LNG DES spot transactions, traded in other regions including Middle East and Asia, along with
Atlantic delivery to Brazil and Argentina, may be considered in the assessment process when
and where appropriate.

Coal

The new monthly location can be found in the Northeast section of the Market Center Spot
Gas Prices table in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report, and Platts Natural Gas Alert
pages 433 and 495. Additionally, the new listing appears in the Northeast section of the
Market Center Bidweek Physical Basis Prices table in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report.

Nat Gas

Deliveries from Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line on the 30-inch, 36-inch, and 42-inch lines
from the Georgia/South Carolina border to the Virginia/Maryland border. Deliveries into
Transco at the Pleasant Valley receipt point near Fairfax, Virginia, from Dominions Cove Point
LNG terminal are not included.

Petroleum

Transco, zone 5 delivered

Power

The description for the daily spot-gas point as published in the Platts methodology and
specifications guide is as follows:

Editorial

Trading in the delivered monthly market in Transcos zone 5, which extends from the
Georgia/South Carolina border to the Virginia/Maryland border, has demonstrated a level
that supports a robust pricing location. Platts previously published only daily spot-gas prices
for this location.

Summary

On January 2, 2015, Platts launched a monthly bidweek listing for


Transcontinental Gas Pipeline Corp., zone 5.

Natural Gas

Platts Launches Transco Zone 5 Listing

See the original announcement.


Softs and
Metals
Finance

The ZEMA graph below shows the natural gas price trend for Transco Zone 2 in comparison to
its annual average price between January 2013 January 2015 (NYMEX data). Prices peaked
at a little over $5 USD/MMBtu in February 2014 before eventually dipping to a low of around
$3 USD/MMBtu in January 2015. Similar analyses can be easily performed with ZEMA
through advanced built-in formulas. To learn more, book a complimentary ZEMA demo.

Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors

Graph created with ZEMA

Market
Analysis

32

In Depth

January 2015

Power

To bring more transparency to the pricing region, Platts is adding a listing for the northern
portion of Transcos zone 6 non-NY, which will be composed of only transactions delivered
from Transco to markets and interconnects north of Station 195 in York, Pennsylvania,
excluding deliveries in the Leidy Hub area and to New York citygates downstream of Linden,
New Jersey.

Editorial

Effective January 2, 2015, Platts launched daily and monthly bidweek


price survey sub-listings for Transco zone 6, non-New York North.

Summary

Natural Gas

Platts Introduces Transco Zone 6 Listing

Petroleum

There has been no change to the existing Platts listing for Transco, zone 6 non-NY, which is
composed of all non-NY delivered transactions both north and south of Station 195.
The description for the new location will be:
Transco, zone 6 non-NY North (daily and monthly survey)

Nat Gas
Coal

The Transco, zone 6 non-NY North listings can be found in the Northeast section of the
Market Center Spot Gas Prices table in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report, Energy Trader,
and Gas Daily Price Guide, in the Citygates section of Gas Dailys Daily price survey table,
and Platts Natural Gas Alert pages 433, 495 and 516. Additionally, the new listings will
appear in the Northeast section of the Market Center Bidweek Physical Basis Prices table
in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report.
See the original announcement.

Platts Launches New Columbia Gas and Appalachia Listings

Finance

Effective January 2, 2015, Platts launched daily and monthly bidweek price
survey sub-listings for Columbia Gas, Appalachia (Non-IPP) deliveries.

The description for the new location is:


Columbia Gas, Appalachia (Non-IPP)

Data
Vendors

Deliveries to Columbia Gas Transmission from on-system production locations are restricted
from Columbias IPP pool (TCO pool). This pricing location does not include transactions for
gas delivered to Columbia from interconnects with other interstate pipeline systems.

Weather and
Emissions

Prices in the Columbia Gas Transmission system have bifurcated between those that are part
of the Columbia Gas Interruptible Paper Pool (IPP) and those that are not (Non-IPP).

Market
Analysis

The Columbia Gas, Appalachia (Non-IPP) listings will appear in the Columbia Gas
Transmission Corp. section of the Prices of Spot Gas Delivered to Pipelines table in Inside
FERCs Gas Market Report, Energy Trader and Gas Daily Price Guide, in the Appalachia
section of Gas Dailys Daily price survey table, and Platts Natural Gas Alert
pages 403, 482 and 511. Additionally, the new listings will appear in the Columbia Gas
33

In Depth

January 2015

Softs and
Metals

ZEMA collects more than 100 natural gas records from Platts alone. To learn more about the records ZEMA collects, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.

See the original announcement.

Editorial

ZEMA collects natural gas records from all over the world and from dozens of different data sources. To receive
a complimentary ZEMA demonstration, visit http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.

Summary

Natural Gas

Transmission Corp. section of the Bidweek Physical Basis Prices Delivered to Pipelines
table in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report.

Argus Adds Midpoints to Existing Propane Swaps Series

Time Price Continuous


stamp type forward

Category

Frequency

Propane
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 Swaps NWE
month

USD/t

->LPG->Northwest
Europe->Propane

Daily

PA0002721 6

1, 2, 3

Propane
Swaps NWE
quarter

USD/t

->LPG->Northwest
Europe->Propane

Daily

PA0002722 6

1, 2, 3

Propane CP
swap month

USD/t

->LPG->Mideast
Gulf->Propane

Daily

1, 2, 3

Propane Far
East Index
swap month

USD/t

->LPG->AsiaPacific->Propane

Daily

Softs and
Metals
Finance

Coal

PA0002723 6

Nat Gas

Unit

PA0002720 6

Description

Weather and
Emissions

See the original announcement.

CME Group Launches Suite of European Natural Gas Contracts

Data
Vendors

Effective January 19, 2015, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group
launched the first suite of physically and financially settled European natural gas
cleared futures contracts. The contracts are now listed on CME Groups European exchange,
CME Europe, and are authorized and approved by the United Financial Conduct Authority.

In Depth

34

Market
Analysis

The new suite of physically and financially settled European natural gas contracts are the first
to be introduced on CME Europe since its launch in April with foreign exchange and biofuel
contracts. There will be four physically delivered and eight financially settled exchange-traded
natural gas futures on CME Europe. The physically delivered futures contracts are in the two
major natural gas hubs in Europe: the UK National Balancing Point (NBP) and the Dutch Title
Transfer Facility (TTF). The financially settled futures will be based on the ICIS Heren Natural
January 2015

Petroleum

PA-code

Power

Effective January 5, 2015, Argus added the midpoints (price type 8) to the
data feed for the propane swaps series below. These midpoints will exist in parallel with the
existing high/low price types (1 & 2) until the end of March 2015. The high low price types will
stop for these series after March 31, 2015. These series will be found in the dpgeurope and
dpg data file in the \DLPG folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.

Power

Argus to Discontinue European Propane Swap Assessments

Frequency

1, 2 1, 2, 3

Propane Swaps
>LPG>Northwest
USD/t
NWE month
Europe>Propane

Daily

1, 2 1, 2, 3

Propane Swaps
>LPG>Northwest
USD/t
NWE month
Europe>Propane

Daily

1, 2 1, 2, 3

Propane Far
>LPG>Northwest
East Index swap USD/t
Europe>Propane
month

Daily

PA0002722 6

Softs and
Metals

PA0002721 6

Coal

Daily

1, 2

Finance

PA0002723 6

Category

Propane Swaps
>LPG>Northwest
USD/t
NWE month
Europe>Propane

PA0002720 6

1, 2, 3, 4,
5, 6

Unit

Nat Gas

Time Price Continuous


Description
stamp type forward

Petroleum

Effective March 31, 2015, Argus will stop the following price types (high and low).
These will stop for these series but the midpoints introduced in January 2015 will
continue beyond March 31. These series will be found in the dpgeurope and dpg data file in
the \DLPG folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.
PA-code

Editorial

ZEMA collects more than a dozen natural gas reports from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. For further information, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/.

Summary

See the original announcement.

Natural Gas

Gas Indexes for UK, Dutch, Austrian, and German natural gas hubs. The natural gas contracts
will be available on Clearport and Globex and distributed via the Trayport platform alongside
other exchange products.

Weather and
Emissions

See the original announcement.

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

35

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Natural Gas

Power
Petroleum

NYMEX Delists Four Natural Gas Futures Contracts

Code

Rule
Chapter

Transco Zone 2 Natural Gas (Platts IFERC) Basis Futures

8F

436

Transco Zone 2 Natural Gas (Platts Gas Daily/Platts IFERC) Index Futures

L7

443

Transco Zone 2 Natural Gas (Platts Gas Daily) Swing Futures

X3

648

MISO Indiana Hub Day-Ahead Off-Peak Calendar-Month 5 MW Futures

FDM

1072

Coal

Contract

Nat Gas

On January 5, 2015, the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) delisted


four energy futures contracts, as set out in the table below. The contracts were listed
for trading on the NYMEX trading floor, CME Globex, and for submission for clearing through
CME ClearPort. There was no open interest in these contracts.

Softs and
Metals
Finance

See the original announcement.

Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

36

In Depth

January 2015

Summary

Coal

Editorial

Argus Adds New European Coal Assessments

PA0015601

PA0015602

PA0015603

Unit

Category

Frequency

USD/t ->Coal->Baltic

Weekly

USD/t ->Coal->Baltic

Weekly

USD/t ->Coal->Europe Weekly


Coal

PA0015600

Continuous
Description
forward
Coal PCI low-vol
0
fob Baltic
Coal PCI mid-vol
0
fob Baltic
Coal PCI low-vol
0
cif ARA
Coal PCI mid-vol
0
cif ARA

Nat Gas

Time Price
stamp type

Petroleum

PA-code

Power

Effective January 14, 2015, Argus introduced the following new series to the
Argus Steel Feedstocks publication and data module. The following PA codes details
now appear in the DSteelFeedstocks module in the DSteelFeedstocks folder
on ftp.argusmedia.com.

USD/t ->Coal->Europe Weekly

See the original announcement.


Softs and
Metals
Finance

ZEMA graph below shows the weekly coal production rate in United States between January
2012 and January 2015 (EIA data). In 2012 and 2013, the production of coal shows high
volatility in months of April-May and August-September, as compared to same months in
2014. In 2014, net coal production is less volatile as compared to average coal production.
Easily customizable graphs like this can be built in ZEMA, to create simple or complex
analyses and make effective decisions. To learn more, book a complimentary demonstration.

Weather and
Emissions

Graph created with ZEMA

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

37

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Softs and Metals

Power

SOFTS
CME Lists Cocoa Futures

Cocoa future

CCP

JX

Cocoa NY (ICE) future

CCC

JX

Coal

FIX/FAST and iLink: tag 1151-Security FIX/FAST and iLink: tag 55-Symbol
Group MDP 3.0: tag 6937-Asset
MDP 3.0 tag 1151 - Security Group

Nat Gas

Product

Petroleum

In the first quarter of 2015, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Europe
has listed the following Cocoa futures for trading on CME Globex and for clearing
submission via CME ClearPort:

See the original announcement.

Finance

The ZEMA graph below shows historical NYMEX cocoa future settlement prices
(NYMEX Code: CJ) on a weekly basis from January 19, 2014 January19, 2015. The data
is represented in $USD/ton and ranges from a high of just over $3,200 USD/ton in the third
week of September 2014 to a low of around $2,725 USD/ton in the third week of January
2015. The prices in the third week of January 2015 were the lowest point of the previous
365 days.

Softs and
Metals

ZEMA regularly collects more than 100 data reports on softs. To learn more about ZEMAs extensive data coverage, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.

Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

Graph created with ZEMA

38

In Depth

January 2015

Nat Gas

See the original announcement.

Petroleum

ICE Futures US also lists a US-based cocoa contract, which will continue to trade unchanged.

Power

For customers wishing to transfer existing London cocoa open interest positions, ICE Futures
Europe will facilitate transfers of open interest between the contracts via a block trading
facility. For contract months with both pound sterling and euro contracts listed, ICE Futures
Europe will apply accountability levels and delivery limits across the two contracts on a
combined basis. The physical terms of the contract will remain identical in all delivery months,
with the only difference being currency.

Editorial

Effective April 2015, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Futures Europe will


introduce a new euro currency cocoa contract, which will operate in parallel with
the existing London cocoa contract, which is denominated in pound sterling. The
euro-denominated cocoa futures and options contracts are expected to be launched in
April 2015, with a first maturity of December 2015, subject to completion of relevant
regulatory processes.

Summary

Softs and Metals

ICE Futures Europe to Introduce New Euro Cocoa Contract

MGEX Launches Wheat Calendar Spread Options


Coal

On February 2, 2015, Minneapolis Grain Exchange (MGEX) launched


calendar spread options (CSOs) for the North American Hard Red Spring Wheat
(HRSW) contract. MGEX HRSW CSOs will be available for trade on CME Globex.

Softs and
Metals

See the original announcement.


ZEMA collects 15 data reports specifically on grain. To learn more about ZEMAs vast data library,
visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.

Finance

Platts Discontinues Northwest European DOP Assessments

DOP FOB Rdam

PHAPQ00

Monthly average: PHAPR03

DOP FD NWE

HPAPS00

Monthly average: HPAPT03

Weather and
Emissions

On January 2, 2015, Platts discontinued its Northwest European dioctyl


phthalate assessments. These assessments used to be published on page
PCA160 and were found under the following codes in the Platts price database:

See the original announcement.


Data
Vendors

TOCOM and Nikkei Discontinue Raw Sugar Futures

TOCOM and Nikkei have removed Raw Sugar Futures as a component of the Nikkei-TOCOM
Commodity Index, the Nikkei-TOCOM Nearby Month Commodity Index, and the Nikkei-TOCOM
39

In Depth

January 2015

Market
Analysis

On February 2, 2015, The Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) and Nikkei


removed raw sugar futures as a component of the jointly published Nikkei-TOCOM
Commodity Index.

See the original announcement.

Power

Effective January 26, 2015, Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX) listed a


new physically-delivered Gold Kilo Futures contract. The delivery points for this
contract are located in Hong Kong. This contract is now available for trading on the COMEX
trading floor and CME Globex and for submission for clearing through CME ClearPort.

One kilogram (32.15 troy ounces)

Listing Schedule

Trading in Gold Kilo futures is regularly conducted in the following


months: (1) the current calendar month; (2) the next two calendar
months; and (3) each February, April, June, August, October, and
December falling within a 12- month period beginning with the current contract month.

Termination of Trading

Three business days prior to the delivery day. Business days are
based on the US and Hong Kong public holiday calendars.

Delivery Day

Third Wednesday of the delivery month

Minimum Price Fluctuation

$0.10

Value per Tick

$3.215

First Listed and Delivery

April 2015

Block Trade Minimum Threshold

10 contracts

Data
Vendors

Contract Size

Weather and
Emissions

114

Finance

Rulebook Chapter

Softs and
Metals

GCK

Coal

Commodity Code

Nat Gas

Gold Kilo Futures

Petroleum

The contract specifications are provided below:


Contract Name

Market
Analysis

See the original announcement.


ZEMA collects more than 200 metals records, many of which contain futures data. To receive a complimentary ZEMA
demonstration, visit http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.

40

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial

METALS
COMEX Lists Gold Kilo Futures Contract

Summary

Softs and Metals

Agricultural Product & Sugar Index and revised the respective component weightings. The
Nikkei-TOCOM Raw Sugar Index has also been discontinued.

See the original announcement.

Editorial

China has emerged as a major exporter wire rod to the region in recent years. Platts is seeking
to refocus its market reporting on FOB China price assessments for this steel product.

Summary

Effective February 27, 2015, Platts will discontinue publication of the monthly
price assessment of Wire Rod Mesh Quality CFR East Asia (SB01245).

Softs and Metals

Platts to Discontinue East Asian Wire Rod Price Assessments

Power

Platts Discontinues Publication of Daily Kuala Lumpur Tin Price

Petroleum

As of December 31, 2014, Platts has ceased to publish the daily Kuala Lumpur
tin price (MMAAY10). This price, published in US cents/lb, is a converted number
from the actual KLTM price (MMAYA00) published in US $/mt, using the daily
Malaysian Ringgit exchange rate (MCAAG00).

Nat Gas

As such, please note that Platts has ceased to publish all three codes that are linked to the
same KLTM price.
As Platts has reported, this is not a Platts assessment, but a third-party exchange
price obtained from the Kuala Lumpur Tin Market that can now be obtained from the KLTM
official website.

Coal

See the original announcement.

Platts Discontinues Quarterly Ore Lump Contract Price


Softs and
Metals

Effective December 31, 2014, Platts discontinued publication of the


quarterly Australia Lump Premium Contract Price (IOPLC00).

Finance

The discontinuation reflects the shift in lump term contracts between Chinese mills
and Australian producers to being priced-based on the average of the Platts Spot Lump
Premium (IOCLP00), rather than being negotiated on a quarterly basis.
See the original announcement.

Weather and
Emissions

Platts Discontinues Weekly CIF Japan Indium Assessments


As of December 23, 2014, Platts no longer publishes the weekly spot CIF
Japan indium import price assessment (AAVSH00).
See the original announcement.

Data
Vendors

Platts Stops Publishing Weekly FOB China Antimony Price


Effective December 18, 2014, Platts no longer assesses and publishes
the weekly FOB Antimony Price (MMACZ00).

Market
Analysis

See the original announcement.

41

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Softs and Metals

Power
Petroleum

Platts Discontinues Weekly FOB China Tungsten Prices

Nat Gas

Effective December 18, 2014, Platts no longer publishes the weekly FOB
China ferrotungsten price assessment (MMAHL00) or the weekly FOB China
tungsten APT price assessment (MMAHF00).
See the original announcement.

Argus Renames Flotta Gold Codes

New Description

PA5000019

Flotta monthly avg

Flotta Gold monthly avg

PA5000144

Flotta quarterly avg

Flotta Gold quarterly avg

PA5000282

Flotta snapshot

Flotta Gold snapshot

PA5000450

Flotta weekly avg

Flotta Gold weekly avg

Finance

Old Description

Softs and
Metals

PA Code

Coal

Effective January 9, 2015, Argus renamed the following crude codes to


follow a similar name change by the field operator:

Weather and
Emissions

See the original announcement.

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

42

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Finance

Power
Petroleum

CBOE Begins Distributing Volatility Index Values


on FX Options Contracts

Nat Gas

On January 13, 2015, the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) announced
that it began disseminating values for three new volatility indexes that CBOE
calculates using the prices of CME Dollar/Euro, Dollar/British Pound, and Dollar/Japanese
Yen futures options.

Coal

The CBOE/CME FX Euro Volatility IndexSM (symbol: EUVIX), the CBOE/CME FX British Pound
Volatility IndexSM (symbol: BPVIX), and the CBOE/CME FX Yen Volatility IndexSM (symbol:
JYVIX) are the first benchmarks to track the volatility of foreign exchange (FX) futures options.
The underlying options are the most liquid FX options traded at the CME, and in 2014,
accounted for a combined 80% of the over 15 million total currency options traded at CME.

Softs and
Metals

The value of each Index is derived from applying the proprietary CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)
methodology to the CME Groups FX options on Dollar/Euro, Dollar/BP, and
Dollar/Yen futures.

ICE Futures US Launches Five New Forex Contracts

Code

Israeli shekel / US dollar

ILS

Polish zloty / Euro

PLE

Polish zloty / U.S. dollar

PLN

Turkish lira / Euro

ETR

Turkish lira / US dollar

TRM
43

In Depth

January 2015

Market
Analysis

Contract

Data
Vendors

Effective January 12, 2015, ICE added five new currency pairs to its lineup
of forex contracts. The following contracts are being traded on ICE Futures US:

Weather and
Emissions

ZEMA collects many records from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange regarding Chicago Board of Trade financial
information, including the CBOT Futures daily price record. To learn more about how to transform this collected data into
useful market intelligence, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/market-analyzer/.

Finance

See the original announcement.

Editorial
Power

The ZEMA graph below demonstrates how five foreign exchanges have behaved over the past
five years. The red line represents the Israeli ILS; the two blue lines represent the Polish zloty
over the Euro and US dollar; the two gray lines represent the Turkish Iira over the Euro and US
dollar. In each case, the exchange with the US dollar is always valued beneath the Euro. This
is a straight exchange conversion using data from Bank of Canada.

Summary

See the original announcement.

Finance

These contracts will trade alongside the ICE US Dollar Index (USDX) future, the most widely
recognized US dollar benchmark and ICEs offering of nearly 60 currency contracts. They also
join ICEs offering of emerging market currency contracts, which include the Brazilian real,
Colombian peso, Indian rupee, Mexican peso, and Russian ruble.

Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal

Graph created with ZEMA


Softs and
Metals
Finance

ICE Launches Clearing for Additional European


Sovereign CDS Instruments

Weather and
Emissions

Effective January 5, 2015, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Clear Credit


and ICE Clear Europe introduced credit default swap (CDS) clearing for additional sovereign
single names. ICE Clear Credit has added Portugal, Ireland, Italy, and Spain to its suite
of sovereign single names, and ICE Clear Europe has added Austria and Belgium.
See the original announcement.

Data
Vendors

ZEMA collects 130 ICE records. To learn more about how ZEMA can collect, aggregate, and analyze data,
book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration now at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.

Market
Analysis

Thomson Reuters Appointed to Administer Canadas


Two Key Interest Rate Benchmarks
On January 6, 2015, Thomson Reuters announced its appointment to
administer Canadas two key interest rate benchmarks: the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate
(CDOR) and Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average (CORRA).
44

In Depth

January 2015

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas

CORRA is a measure of the average cost of overnight collateralized funding, and is widely
used as the reference for overnight indexed swaps and related futures. CORRA is set as the
volume weighted average rate of overnight repo transactions, conducted on-screen through
designated inter-dealer brokers, which involve general (non-specific) Government of
Canada collateral.

Editorial

CDOR is determined daily from a survey of bid-side rates provided by seven principal
market-makers, including the major Canadian banks. CDOR is also used to determine
interest payments on approximately USD$9 trillion of interest rate swaps, CAD$750 billion in
exchange traded derivatives, and CAD$130 billion in floating-rate notes (FRNs).

Summary

CDOR is the recognized financial benchmark in Canada for bankers acceptances (BAs) with a
term of maturity of one year or less, and represents the rate at which banks are willing to lend
to companies against primary BA issuance to clients with existing credit facilities that
reference CDOR.

Finance

Thomson Reuters was appointed as the administrator for both of these benchmarks following
a tender process that was announced by the Canadian Bankers Association and the
Investment Industry Association of Canada on June 2, 2014.

Coal

Thomson Reuters currently calculates and distributes CDOR; it assumed the role of
CDOR administrator on December 31, 2014 and is working to assume the role of CORRA
administrator, calculation agent and publication agent by March 31, 2015.
See the original announcement.

Softs and
Metals

Bloomberg and SSGA Introduce Fixed Income


ETF Basket Tool

Finance

On December 19, 2014, Bloomberg introduced the Bloomberg Fixed Income


ETF Basket Tool in order to further automate the workflow and construction of fixed income
exchange traded funds (ETFs). The new offering provides the first comprehensive solution for
clients of State Street Global Advisors (SSGA) to automate the process of creating and
redeeming baskets of fixed income ETFs.
The Bloomberg Fixed Income ETF Basket Tool incorporates the SSGA criteria into functionality
from across the Bloomberg terminal, including Bloombergs Trading Solutions Order Execution
(TSOX), Portfolio Analytics and Risk (PORT), and Fixed Income Trading (FIT) solutions.
The result is the first comprehensive solution for the primary market of fixed income ETFs.

Weather and
Emissions

See the original announcement.

Data
Vendors

ZEMA collects more than 300 financial records from many different sources including several from Bloomberg. To stay
informed on the latest financial developments, try ZEMA now by booking a free demonstration:
http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.

Market
Analysis

45

In Depth

January 2015

bond index ETF

ISIN

LU1109942653

Total expense ratio

0.35 percent

Distribution policy

non-distributing

Benchmark

Markit iBoxx EUR Liquid High Yield Index

Coal

Asset class

Nat Gas

db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield Bond UCITS ETF

ISIN

LU1109939865

Total expense ratio

0.35 percent

Distribution policy

non-distributing

Benchmark

Markit iBoxx EUR Liquid High Yield 1-3 Index

Data
Vendors

bond index ETF

Weather and
Emissions

Asset class

Finance

db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield 1-3 Bond UCITS ETF

Softs and
Metals

The db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield 1-3 Bond UCITS ETF is available for investors who
prefer corporate bonds with a remaining maturity of one to three years.
ETF name

Market
Analysis

The db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield Bond Short Daily UCITS ETF enables
investors to participate in the inverse performance of the Markit iBoxx EUR Liquid
High Yield reference index.
46

In Depth

January 2015

Petroleum

ETF name

Power

The db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield Bond UCITS ETF tracks the performance of the largest
and most liquid corporate bonds denominated in euros. Bonds from euro-zone and
non-euro-zone companies with an outstanding minimum volume of 250 million plus a
remaining time to maturity of between two and 10.5 years are admitted to the reference
index. All the corporate bonds have sub-investment grade ratings with a fixed or
variable interest rate.

Editorial

As of January 12, 2015, Deutsche-Brse launched three new db x-trackers


from the ETF section of Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management, which are now tradable
in the XTF segment on Xetra.

Summary

Finance

Deutsche-Brse Launches New X-Trackers Bond Index ETFs

LU1109944352

Total expense ratio

0.35 percent

Distribution policy

non-distributing

Benchmark

Markit Short iBoxx EUR Liquid High Yield Total Return Index

Petroleum

ISIN

Power

bond index ETF

Editorial

Asset class

Summary

db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield Bond Short Daily UCITS ETF

Finance

ETF name

See the original announcement.

Nat Gas

NYSE Group and MYRA Capital Launch NYSE Dynamic


Index Family

Coal

Effective January 12, 2015, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and
MYRA Capital announced the launch of the new NYSE Dynamic Allocation Indices family to
fulfill the increasing demand for innovative index solutions combined with an intelligent risk
management and dynamic beta-management.

Softs and
Metals

The new NYSE Dynamic Allocation Index strategies are designed for a variety of investment
vehicles, including separately managed accounts, mutual funds and ETFs. The first index is
dedicated to the US market and will combine a dynamic allocation to either the NYSE US
Large Cap Equal Weight Index or the NYSE Current 10 Year US Treasury Index.

Finance

The new index is currently being calculated and published in real-time through the
NYSE Global Index Feed (GIF), available on all major market data platforms.
See the original announcement.

Weather and
Emissions

ZEMA currently collects commodity futures data from NYSE. To learn about how to leverage ZEMAs power to collect,
aggregate, and transform stock market data using ZEMA, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.

Market
Analysis

On January 9, 2015, Nasdaq announced that First Trust will transfer the
First Trust Value Line Equity Allocation Index Fund (Symbol: FVI) from NYSE Arca is now listed
on The Nasdaq Stock Market. The funds new investment objective will seek investment
results that correspond generally to the price and yield (before the funds fees and expenses)
of the Nasdaq AlphaDEX Total US Market Index. The new fund is now referred to as the First
Trust Total US Market AlphaDEX ETF (Symbol: TUSA).

Data
Vendors

First Trust Value Line Equity Allocation Index Fund Now


Listed on Nasdaq

See the original announcement.


47

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Finance

Power
Petroleum

EBS Market Launches End of Month Indian Rupee Forward

Nat Gas

On January 5, 2015, EBS, ICAPs market-leading electronic FX business,


announced that it completed a pilot and will launch the first purely electronic
over-the-counter, end of month (EOM) non-deliverable forward (NDF) contract on the EBS
Market platform.

Finance

See the original announcement.

Softs and
Metals

EBS will offer two fixed date EOM contracts at any time, with settlement dates set for the last
business day of that month and the following month respectively.

Coal

The Indian rupee (INR) contract, which is initially being launched off-SEF will be a liquid fixed
date contract which replicates the structure of a futures contract and aligns with INR futures
dates. The liquidity and tenor will be particularly appealing to customers that do not have
access to a futures exchange for executing orders and hedging. The EOM INR NDF offers open
access to all EBS participants that are able to trade off- SEF and will complement the existing
one month O/R.

Weather and
Emissions

ZEMA regularly collects more than 50 data reports from ICAP which can be incorporated into powerful
analyses and forward curves before being pushed to downstream systems. For further information, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/.

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

48

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial

Finance

Power

See the original announcement.

Softs and
Metals

ICAPs EBS Collaborates with SGX on Asian Foreign


Exchange Initiatives

Coal

Nasdaq plans to expand the service to also include Danish Krona, Norwegian Krona, and Euro
denominated instruments during 2015. Buy-side firms can access the OTC clearing service
through approved OTC clearing members.

Nat Gas

On December 19, 2014, Nasdaq Clearing announced that Swedbank Robur, the largest
Swedish fund manager, has started clearing of Interest Rate Swaps through the clearing broker Swedbank. The OTC instruments available for clearing are Swedish Krona denominated
Interest Rate Swaps, Overnight Index Swaps and Forward Rate Agreements.

Petroleum

Swedbank Robur Starts Clearing Interest Rate Swaps


through Nasdaq

On January 14, 2015, ICAP and Singapore Exchange (SGX) announced a


strategic partnership to boost the growing Asian currency market. EBS, ICAPs
market-leading electronic FX business, and SGX will collaborate and develop a new range of
Asian currency products and services that complement the FX OTC and futures markets
in Asia.

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

EBS and SGX will initially offer customers access to SGX listed currency derivatives via the EBS
platforms, to be cleared by SGX. Through this collaboration, customers will be able to execute
and clear selected SGX Asian FX Futures contracts in specific large sizes called Negotiated
Large Trades. Subject to respective regulatory approvals, EBS and SGX plan to implement this
initiative in the third quarter of 2015. EBS is also exploring the opportunity to establish an
additional matching engine in Singapore, to be located in an SGX hosted facility, which would
facilitate the execution of joint business opportunities and product offerings.

Weather and
Emissions

The collaboration between SGX and EBS will strengthen the liquidity in both the FX OTC and
futures markets in Asia. Together EBS and SGX will develop new business opportunities and
product offerings leveraging each of their unique assets, market presence, and relationships
throughout Asia.

See the original announcement.


49

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial
Power

Weather and Emissions

Petroleum
Nat Gas

Platts Begins Publishing Cross-State Air Pollution Rule


Allowance Assessments for 2015, 2016

Coal

As of January 5, 2015, Platts has started publishing daily assessments for eight
types and vintages of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides emission allowances for each year
2015 and 2016 created by the US Environmental Protection Agencys Cross-State Air
Pollution Rule (CSAPR).

Softs and
Metals

The assessments, which replaced those for 2012 and 2013, respectively, follow a return to
relevancy of the federal emissions program due to the lifting of a stay by the US Court of
Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit for the EPAs CSAPR program in October.

Finance

The new assessments appear daily in Coal Trader and Megawatt Daily.
For 2015, Group 1 SO2 allowances will be listed under the code ESO2115; Group 2 SO2
allowances will be listed under the code ESO2215; Seasonal NOx allowances will be
listed under the code ENOXS15; and Annual NOx allowances will be listed under the code
ENOXA15.

Data
Vendors

For 2016, the codes will be the same except the final digit will be 6. Platts will expire its daily
assessments for its Year 1 CSAPR allowances on the last business day of February of the
following year. For example, CSAPR allowances for 2015 and 2016 will be assessed up to
and including February 29, 2016. On March 1, 2016, CSAPR allowances for 2016 and 2017
will be assessed daily by Platts.
See the original announcement.

Market
Analysis

ZEMA collects over 200 weather market records containing information about hydrology, actual and
forecast weather data, and more. To learn more about ZEMAs data coverage,
visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.

50

In Depth

January 2015

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas

AccuWeather MinuteCast is currently available for the contiguous United States, Canada,
Japan, Ireland, France, Germany, Belgium, Switzerland, Netherlands, Luxembourg, the United
Kingdom, and parts of the Czech Republic, with additional locations to come. AccuWeather
for Android Wear, and for Android smartphones and tablets, is available from Google Play.

Editorial

AccuWeathers app for Android Wear features AccuWeather MinuteCast, the only
global minute-by-minute precipitation forecast for a persons exact street address or GPS
location. AccuWeather MinuteCast includes precipitation type and intensity, as well as start
and end times for precipitation, and gives users by-the-minute precipitation forecasts for the
next two hours.

Summary

On January 6, 2015, AccuWeather announced that the AccuWeather app for


Android is available for Android Wear, providing users with all the weather information they
need wherever they go. Android Wear brings you useful information when you need it most, at
a glance on your wrist.

Weather and Emissions

AccuWeather Releases New Android Wear App


with MinuteCast

See the original announcement.

Coal
Softs and
Metals

The ZEMA graph below shows an annual comparison between January 2014 vs. January 2015
of the total precipitation across British Columbia (Environment Canada data). Precipitation
levels reached a high of 23mm for January 2015, as opposed to a high of 19mm for 2014.
For values after January 26, 2015, a trend line was created using data from the same time
period. To learn more, book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration.

Graph created with ZEMA


Finance
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

51

In Depth

January 2015

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals

For further information on these reports, visit:

Editorial

Since the last issue of ZE DataWatch, ZE has added numerous data reports published by
NEISO, CAISO MRTU, OMIP, OMIClear, EPEX, ERCOT Nodal, SPP IMT, RBC, RTE France, the
Federal Reserve, and Gaspoint Nordic. The 42 NEISO reports span a wide range of electricity
data including real-time and day-ahead NCPC payment, settlement, and generator posturing
reports. The four CAISO MRTU reports concern scheduling point/tie combination LMP data.
And the OMIP reports include MIBEL futures and options as well as daily and hourly spot
prices and volumes. These expansions of ZEs data collection targets have been implemented
in response to a need for more varied and timely electricity-related data. As well, additional
currency-based reports are now being collected in the form of benchmark CAD CMS rates
from RBC and St. Louis ICE Libor rates from the Federal Reserve.

Summary

For 20 years, ZE PowerGroup Inc. (ZE) has consistently kept up to date on the latest in energy
and commodity data changes. ZE collects data from vendors spanning the weather, oil,
natural gas, electricity, agriculture, and finance industries, including Platts, Argus, the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the New York Mercantile Exchange, the Intercontinental
Exchange, and OPEC. ZE then provides its clients with access to both public (free subscription)
and private data reports, including reports that are collected based on clients specific needs.

News from Data Vendors

ZEMA Adds Numerous Electricity Reports to Its


New January Data Sources

http://www.iso-ne.com/markets-operations
Finance

http://www.caiso.com/1798/1798ea1b23080.html
http://www.omip.pt/OMIP/tabid/62/language/en-GB/Default.aspx

Weather and
Emissions

http://www.epexspot.com/en/market-data
http://www.ercot.com/mktinfo
http://www.spp.org/section.asp?pageid=3
https://www.rbccm.com/fixedincomenotes/cmsbenchmarkrates/
http://www.rte-france.com/en/accueil
http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/default.htm

Market
Analysis

http://www.gaspointnordic.com/market-data
To see the full list of ZEMA data providers, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.

52

In Depth

January 2015

Summary
Editorial
Power

News from Data Vendors

Petroleum
Softs and
Metals

At the event, attendees will discover how the advanced visualization functionalities of the
ZEMA-FutureSource solution empower front-, middle-, and back-office personnel to quickly
respond to rapid changes in markets and conditions. Additionally, IDCO provides users with
the enhanced ability to chart and analyze market content, display powerful forward curves
built with ZEMA, and easily export this information to Excel for further analysis.

Coal

On February 19, 2015, ZE will co-host a Lunch and Learn with partner Interactive Data
Corporation (IDCO), a provider of financial information services, from 10:30 a.m. - 2:00 p.m.
at Willie Gs Seafood and Steaks in Houston, TX. At the event, ZE and IDCO will demonstrate
the benefits of the integrated ZEMA-FutureSource solution, which enables clients to access
ZEMAs data collection and curve management tools within FutureSource terminals.

Nat Gas

ZE and Interactive Data Co-Host Integration Lunch and Learn


in Houston, TX

Weather and
Emissions

Click here to register for this upcoming Lunch and Learn. To find out more about the ZEMAFutureSource solution, watch the recentwebinar video.

Finance

Waleed El-Ramly, Chief Product Officer at ZE, will be present at the Lunch and Learn to
demonstrate to attendees the advantages and functionalities of an integrated ZEMAFutureSource solution. As well, Jim Ekstrand, IDCOs Senior Product Manager, will be assisting
with the product demonstration at the event.

Market
Analysis

53

In Depth

January 2015

Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Weather and
Emissions
Market
Analysis

About Powernext:
Powernext is a regulated market operating under AMF supervision. Powernext manages the
natural gas activities of the EEX Group under the PEGAS brand throughout Europe, and
operates the National Registry for electricity guarantees of origin in France. Powernext owns
50% in EPEX SPOT, 20% in EEX Power Derivatives and 1.5% in ECC. For more information:
www.powernext.com

Finance

About EEX:
EEX Group provides the central market platform for energy, energy related and commodity
products and enables access to a network of over 350 trading participants. The offering of the
group comprises contracts for Energy, Environmentals, Freight, Metals and Agriculturals listed
at the European Energy Exchange, EPEX SPOT, Powernext, Cleartrade and Gaspoint Nordic.
Clearing and settlement of transactions concluded or registered on the exchanges is provided
by the central clearing house European Commodity Clearing. EEX is part of Deutsche-Brse
Group. For more information: www.eex.com

54

In Depth

About PEGAS:
PEGAS is the central gas trading platform of EEX Group, operated by Powernext. PEGAS
provides its members with access to all products on one single platform and allows them to
January 2015

Petroleum

The change in Powernexts shareholding structure has been formally validated by its General
Assembly. Therefore, with effect from January 1, 2015, EEX is majority shareholder of
Powernext holding 55.8 percent of the shares.

Power

Dr. Egbert Laege, the newly appointed Executive Director Gas Markets of EEX Group, adds:
The successful migration shows the high level of commitment of our members. Harmonizing
the offering is an important step and a perfect launch pad for future developments of PEGAS.

Editorial

Peter Reitz, Chief Executive Officer of EEX, and Jean-Franois Conil-Lacoste, Chief Executive
Officer of Powernext, comment: With this step, EEX Group facilitates access to all natural gas
products available on PEGAS and provides trading for major European gas hubs on one
platform with only one Powernext membership. This development serves our vision of a
pan-European natural gas offering.

Summary

Leipzig, Paris, January 6, 2015 The European Energy Exchange (EEX) and Powernext have
successfully migrated all active EEX gas market members representing 100 percent of the
NCG and GASPOOL Open Interest to Powernext on January 1, 2015. As of now, all natural gas
activities of the EEX Group are operated by Powernext under the brand PEGAS. In total,
154 participants are now admitted to trading natural gas products on PEGAS. The formal
transfer of the majority shares in Powernext to EEX has been completed.

News from Data Vendors

Harmonization of PEGAS Markets Successfully Completed

Editorial
Power
Petroleum

Argus Acquires MetalPrices.com, Expands Metals Coverage

Summary

News from Data Vendors

trade natural gas contracts in the Belgian, Dutch, French and German market areas. The
product range of PEGAS covers spot and derivatives contracts for the major European gas
hubs as well as trading in location spread products between these market areas. This setup
enables market harmonization and forms the leading pan-European natural gas market. For
more information: www.pegas-trading.com

Nat Gas

Houston, January 12, 2015 Global energy and commodity price reporting agency Argus
has bought MetalPrices.com, one of the worlds largest providers of metals market
information. The acquired online service includes proprietary price assessments, futures
prices and other exchange data, and third-party assessments of market prices around the
world. The acquisition will further increase the range of Argus information available to the
metals sector.

Coal

Founded in 1995, MetalPrices main focus is price assessments for open-market or


over-the-counter (OTC) metal products reporting the prices of metals that are not listed on
the major exchanges, but which are essential to global trade. The company publishes
nearly 300 metals price assessments each week. These proprietary assessments are
trusted for indexation and market analysis especially in North American ferrous and
non-ferrous secondary metal markets. The data are available through the MetalPrices.com
website and through weekly publications, Ferrous Scrap Price Index Daily and Marleys
Heavy Melt Weekly and News Flash.

Softs and
Metals
Finance

Argus Media chairman and chief executive Adrian Binks said: MetalPrices is a natural fit for
Argus expanding energy and commodities portfolio. In recent years we have increased our
metals coverage to include iron ore, coking coal and metallurgical coke services as well as
coverage of the ferro-alloy, minor metals and rare earth markets through our purchase of
Metal-Pages in May 2014. This acquisition complements this and extends Argus global
coverage of metals markets.

Weather and
Emissions

MetalPrices.com president Marc Dulin said: We are delighted to become part of Argus as it
deepens its metals coverage. The MetalPrices service will go from strength to strength with the
benefit of Argus international reputation, technical resources and global editorial team, which
we are all excited to join.
Terms of the acquisition were not disclosed.
Market
Analysis

Houston Gabriela Alcocer


+ 1 713 968 0000
gabriela.alcocer@argusmedia.com
55

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial
Power
Petroleum

Bogota, January 20, 2015 Colombias mining regulatory agency ANM has started pricing
coking coal for royalty calculations using price assessments published by global energy and
commodity news and price reporting agency Argus. This expands Colombias innovative use
of market-based tax calculations to the coking coal sector and is joined by enhanced use of
Argus indexation in the thermal coal tax formula.

Summary

News from Data Vendors

Colombia Adopts Argus Coking Coal and Freight


Assessments in Volatile Market

Softs and
Metals
Finance

Argus freight assessments have also been incorporated into Colombias coal royalties for
thermal coal produced in the central region of the country, joining the Argus/IHS McCloskey
API 2 index for this calculation. Argus assessment of Panamax rates from Colombia to
Rotterdam will be used to calculate a netback price from the northwest Europe trading hub.
These freight assessments are available in Argus Coal Daily International and Argus Freight.

Coal

Argus exclusively publishes these fob Colombia coking coal price assessments, which Latin
Americas coal markets have rapidly adopted for robust, reliable price indexation. The
assessments are published in Argus Steel Feedstocks, a service covering coking coal, iron ore
and ferrous scrap markets around the world.

Nat Gas

Colombian authorities will begin using Argus fob Colombia coking coal price assessments to
calculate market values for export shipments from the countrys coal mines. Colombias
market-based pricing will benefit all stakeholders in the countrys coal industry during a
period of historically low prices. The Colombian program will provide relief for producers while
coal prices are low, keeping these industries competitive in international markets. And it will
ensure that the Colombian sector benefits when coking coal prices recover.

Weather and
Emissions

Argus price assessments are used extensively by governments as independent references for
taxation and other purposes, Argus Media chairman and chief executive Adrian Binks said.
We fully expect other growing and liberalising economies in Latin America to take similar
steps in the near future.
Colombia is one of the top coal exporters in the world, and is the third-biggest exporter of
coking coal in the Americas. Coking coal is used to make metallurgical coke, which is a
feedstock in primary steel production.

56

In Depth

January 2015

Market
Analysis

Argus coal price assessments are widely used in physical and derivative contracts around the
world. Its transparent price assessment methodology has been increasingly adopted
throughout the Americas and globally. Argus price assessments are used by major energy
producers and consumers as price references in long-term supply contracts, and by market

Power

Houston Gabriela Alcocer


+ 1 713 968 0000
gabriela.alcocer@argusmedia.com

Editorial

Request more information on Argus fob Colombia coking coal, freight rates and other Argus
price assessments.

Summary

News from Data Vendors

participants for portfolio mark-to-market, counterparty exposure management, derivatives


and a wide range of investment and market analysis purposes.

Petroleum

Carbon Market Data launches the South Korea ETS Database

The Korean emissions trading scheme currently includes 525 companies, accounting for 68%
of the countrys total greenhouse gas emissions.

Softs and
Metals

More info at http://www.carbonmarketdata.com

Coal

The South Koreas cap-and-trade system started on January 1, 2015, and is part of the countrys goal to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 30 per cent to 2020 compared to business-as-usual levels. This objective equates to a 4% reduction below 2005 emissions levels.

Nat Gas

On January 19, 2015, Carbon Market Data announced the launch of the South Korea Emissions Trading Scheme Database.

Finance

57

In Depth

January 2015

Market
Analysis

The direct shareholdership of Electricity Transmission System Operators (TSOs) pooled in


HGRT marks a new chapter for the European Power Exchange. TSOs are most welcome as

Data
Vendors

Paris / Leipzig / Bern / Vienna, January 19, 2015 The shareholder structure of the
European Power Exchange EPEX SPOT SE has changed: The holding HGRT of European
Transmission System Operators Elia (Belgium), RTE (France) and Tennet (Netherlands) has
taken a 36.7% share in EPEX SPOT. The shares originate from EEX which now holds 13.3%
(formerly 50%). In exchange, EEX Group has received the 53% stake of HGRT in French Energy
Exchange Powernext. The share of Powernext in EPEX SPOT remains unchanged at 50%;
EEX is indirect majority shareholder of EPEX SPOT. The change has become effective on
January 1, 2015.

Weather and
Emissions

Transmission System Operators Elia, RTE and Tennet Jointly take 36.7%
Share in EPEX SPOT

Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas

The European Power Exchange EPEX SPOT SE operates the power spot markets for Germany,
France, Austria and Switzerland (Day-Ahead and Intraday). Together these countries account
for more than one third of the European power consumption. EPEX SPOT also acts as market
operating service provider for the Hungarian Power Exchange HUPX and operates the coupling
between the Czech, the Slovak, the Hungarian and the Romanian markets on behalf of the
local Exchanges. It is a European company (Societas Europaea) based in Paris with branches
in Leipzig, Bern and Vienna. Over 220 companies from Europe are active on EPEX SPOT. 382
TWh have been traded on EPEX SPOTs markets in 2014.

Summary

The deeper integration with TSOs supports EPEX SPOT in the coupling of the European power
market. After the launch of the respective national Power Exchanges in France and Germany
and the creation of the first transnational Power Exchange in continental Europe EPEX SPOT in
2008, the new shareholder structure sets the foundations for further growth of EPEX SPOT.

News from Data Vendors

direct shareholders of EPEX SPOT, with six seats out of the twelve Supervisory Board
members, as they play a key role in integrating the European power market, underlines
Jean-Franois Conil-Lacoste, Chairman of the Management Board of EPEX SPOT and
Executive Director Power Spot Markets of EEX. At the same time, we reinforce our roots as an
Exchange and become part of the EEX Group.

Coal
Softs and
Metals

French-German Office for Renewable Energies and EPEX SPOT Issue


Joint Paper on Direct Marketing of Renewable Energy

With increasing intermittent production from RES, power markets in Europe are in need for
flexibility. As a result, Intraday trading volumes have multiplied tenfold in the past five years.
58

In Depth

January 2015

Market
Analysis

In parallel to this development of RES, the European energy sector undergoes a fundamental
transformation, with the ongoing liberalization of national power markets and the creation of
an internal energy market. Against this background, EPEX SPOT discusses the following
topics, amongst other things:

Weather and
Emissions

The support scheme via direct marketing in Germany exists since the amendment of the
EEG Law (Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz) in 2012 and is a central element of the 2014 EEG
amendment. It is also one of the key elements of the French energy transition act which will be
discussed in the Senate from February on.

Finance

Paris / Berlin, January 20, 2015 The French-German Office for Renewable Energies
(DFBEE/OFAEnR), in cooperation with the European Power Exchange EPEX SPOT, has issued a
background paper on direct marketing of renewable energy sources (RES). The paper analyzes
market-based support schemes of renewable energy in France and Germany. It is available in
German and in French.

Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance

Since its creation in 2006 by the governments of Germany and France, the French-German
Office for Renewable Energies (DFBEE / OFAEnR) has continuously developed in order
to facilitate the exchange of information and proven methods between its members and to
build bridges between the stakeholders from industry and politics of both countries. Today,
the Office focuses on the RES with all their potential wind, solar and biogas as well as on
many topics close to the energy transition such as electricity grids, energy storage, security of
supply and RES market integration. The work of the DFBEE / OFAEnR is supported by companies, industry associations and the governments of both countries. The offices in Berlin and
Paris are integrated in the Bundesministerium fr Wirtschaft und Energie and the Ministre de
lcologie, du Dveloppement durable et de lnergie which facilitates a close connection with
political stakeholders.

Power

The European Power Exchange EPEX SPOT SE operates the power spot markets for Germany, France, Austria and Switzerland (Day-Ahead and Intraday). Together these countries
account for more than one third of the European power consumption. EPEX SPOT also acts as
market operating service provider for the Hungarian Power Exchange HUPX and operates the
coupling between the Czech, the Slovak, the Hungarian and the Romanian markets on behalf
of the local Exchanges. It is a European company (Societas Europaea) based in Paris with
branches in Leipzig, Bern and Vienna. Over 220 companies from Europe are active on EPEX
SPOT. 382 TWh have been traded on EPEX SPOTs markets in 2014.

Editorial

On January 29, the German-French Office for Renewable Energies organizes a conference on
the Development of support schemes and market integration of renewable energy sources in
France and Germany (program available in German and in French). It will take place in Berlin
in the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy. EPEX SPOT will speak about the role of
the Exchange for market integration of renewables.

Summary

Market coupling in Europe smoothens prices and stabilizes costs.

News from Data Vendors

Direct marketing improves the market integration of RES. It delivers an incentive for an
optimized production forecast and for load-based injection, being beneficial for the system.

Weather and
Emissions

Speedwell Weather Announces an Expansion of South American Coffee


Monitoring in its Commodity Product

59

In Depth

January 2015

Market
Analysis

Charleston, January 27, 2015 Speedwell Weather is pleased to announce the continued
expansion of the Speedwell Commodity Product. The latest addition focuses on increasing
surface observation density in the important coffee producing regions of Brazil and Columbia.
By expanding our access to surface observations in the key growing regions we are better able
to understand the weather conditions impacting the crop. For each new observation point we
are offering the standard suite of services including historical cleaned observations, ongoing
cleaned observations, and Speedwell downscaled forecasts.

Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas

The Speedwell Commodity Product uniquely combines a highly quantitative approach to


understanding historic and forecast weather in crop areas through the Commodity Product
Desktop with comment and alerts via email. Based on our archive of tens of thousands of
world-wide weather data sets, no other provider is able to match the density and quality of
surface observations.

Summary

Daniel Greenstein, Meteorological Analyst at Speedwell Weather says, After a significant


drought affected Brazilian coffee production last year, 2015 has started off dry. Speedwells
enhanced Brazilian coffee index will give users a better idea if more trouble is on the horizon.
Access to the Speedwell Commodity Product statistical analysis and daily commentary
reports provide traders with a unique perspective on the weather impacting the health
of the crop.

News from Data Vendors

Accounting for about 33% of global coffee production the importance of the Brazilian coffee
crop is undeniable. The latest additions focus mainly on southern Minas Gerias and the
surrounding areas where 60% of the Brazilian Arabica is grown as well as the important
Medillin, Armenia and Manizales (MAM) region in Colombia which is where the famed soft
Arabica beans are grown.

To learn more about this product please visit: http://www.speedwellweather.com for


additional information and a free trial.

Coal

About Speedwell Weather:

Softs and
Metals

Founded in 1999, Speedwell Weather provides quality weather data, weather forecasts,
software, and consultancy. From offices in the UK and the USA we serve clients world-wide
in sectors including weather-risk management, energy, Insurance, and agriculture. Our data
products include SuperPack, which provides unlimited access to our thousands of high
quality world-wide weather data sets. Speedwell Weather is the dominant settlement agent
for parametric weather risk contracts world-wide.

Finance

For further information please seewww.SpeedwellWeather.comor contact:

Weather and
Emissions

Stephen Doherty (Europe)


stephen.doherty@SpeedwellWeather.com
David Whitehead (USA)
david.whitehead@SpeedwellWeather.com
Nick Hammond (Media Contact)
nick.hammond@speedwellweather.com

Market
Analysis

60

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial
Power

Graph created with ZEMA

Summary

Monthly Market Analysis

Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Prompt-Month Contract (NYMEX)

Petroleum
Nat Gas

The price of oil continues to drop, despite reassurances from OPEC that the oil market may
have finally found its bottom and should be on its way back up. Both Brent and WTI fell to a
six-year low on Friday, January 23, 2015, at $50 USD/bbl and $48 USD/bbl, respectively.
The spread between WTI and Brent futures is also getting smaller, decreasing by over 80%
from $12 USD/bbl at the beginning of 2014 to $2 USD/bbl in January 2015. (Reuters)

Softs and
Metals
Finance

Brent oil prices are already down 17% for the year, as global supply growth continues to
outpace demand. OPEC decided not to lower its production quota in November, placing more
pressure on non-OPEC producers, such as the United States and Canada, to reduce output.

Coal

In January 2015, data from NYMEX prompt-month future settlements showed that Brent
and WTI oil prices traded near four-year lowsBrent and WTI traded at $43 USD/Bbl and
$37 USD/Bbl below the last 12-month average. Furthermore, the last 12-month averages
for Brent and WTI on NYMEX dropped to $96 USD/Bbl and $90 USD/Bbl, respectively. The
Brent-WTI spread (represented by the purple area in the graph above) sat at $2 USD/Bbl this
month, which was $4 USD/Bbl below the last 12-month average of $6 USD/Bbl.

Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors

61

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial
Power

Graph created with ZEMA

Summary

Monthly Market Analysis

Crude Oil Brent vs. WTI: Forward Curve (NYMEX)

Petroleum
Coal
Softs and
Metals

Oil has declined rapidly since mid-June, as persistent output growth from the United States,
along with sustained OPEC production, have overlapped with a decrease in global demand.
Despite plunging oil prices, OPEC defended its November decision to maintain its official
crude petroleum ceiling of 30 million barrels per day rather than cut production to cushion
prices. By keeping the production at the current level, there wont be enough push to bring
down the prices when considering global demand.

Nat Gas

The prices of crude for delivery over the next two years are falling as the price of oil continues
to slide, with January 2015s average forward prices for both Brent and WTI around $10 to
$15 USD/bbl cheaper than forward prices in December 2014. The price of WTI for delivery
in February 2015 dropped from $59 USD/bbl to $48 USD/bbl this month, while the price of
Brent dropped from $63 USD/bbl to $50 USD/bbl.

Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

62

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial

Graph created with ZEMA

Summary
Power

Monthly Market Analysis

North American Natural Gas Spot Prices (NYMEX)

Petroleum
Nat Gas
Softs and
Metals
Finance

When compared to the first 23 days of December 2014, the average prices decreased as
temperatures warmed and demand declined. Prices fell from $4.20 USD/MMBtu in Chicago
to $3.17 USD/MMBtu, from $3.65 USD/MMBtu in Henry Hub to $2.96 USD/MMBtu, and
from $3.65 USD/MMBtu in Californias PG&E Citygate to $2.96 USD/MMBtu. Comparing
January 2015 prices to last years prices, monthly average gas prices decreased in New Yorks
Z6, Chicago Citygates, Henry Hub, and PG&E by 27%, 27%, 32%, and 28%, respectively. In
the first three weeks of January 2015, Transco Zone 6 was the most volatile hub with prices
ranging from $6.4 USD/MMBtu on January 12 to $8.5 USD/MMBtu on January 23.

Coal

On the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), prices remained at the consistently low level
across Henry Hub, PG&E Citygate, and Chicago Citygate. Northeastern Gas, as represented by
Transco Zone 6, was $8.41 USD/bbl as of January 23, 2015, where (EIA) prices rose in
anticipation of a blizzard.

Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors

63

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial

Graph created with ZEMA

Summary
Power

Monthly Market Analysis

Henry Hub Natural Gas Forward Curve (NYMEX)

Petroleum
Nat Gas

In line with EIAs short-term forecast that Henry Hub natural gas prices would be around
$3.52 USD/MMBtu this winter and $3.44 USD/MMBtu in 2015, Henry Hub natural gas
futures for the next 12 delivery periods traded at almost 20 to 30 cents lower this month
compared to December 2014. (EIA)

Coal

Data from NYMEX suggests the spread between January 2015 and January 2016 contracts
(represented by the purple bar) will average at $0.23 USD/MMbtu for the next 12 months. As
the purple bars show, the spread has a trend of slowly dwindling for the next two years.

Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors

64

In Depth

January 2015

Editorial
Power

Graph created with ZEMA

Summary

Monthly Market Analysis

Actual Weather (Accuweather)

Petroleum
Coal
Softs and
Metals

Notably, the average temperature in San Antonio, Texas, this month was nearly 30% colder
compared to last year, dropping from 9.9 degrees Celsius last January to 6.3 degrees Celsius
this January. Meanwhile, temperatures in Chicago and New York have recovered to warmer
levels after a cold snap at the beginning of 2015. In stark contrast, temperatures in San Diego, California, have remained consistently above 10 degrees Celsius throughout the month.

Nat Gas

Even with the onslaught of winter storms, average monthly temperatures across the continental United States have been slightly warmer in comparison to January temperatures of last
year. The average in New York is about 1 degree Celsius higher this January compared to January 2014, and Chicago is 5 degrees Celsius higher.

Finance
Weather and
Emissions

Graph created with ZEMA

Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

65

In Depth

January 2015

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal

On the ICE, day-ahead peak electricity prices have remained flat in January 2015 in ERCOT
North 345 kV and SP15, with the exception of NYISO, as represented by Zone A prices.
Eastern power prices rose as the temperature dropped. While ERCOT North prices have
dropped from $30.27 USD/MWh at the beginning of the month to $28.24 USD/MWh on
January 23, NYISO Zone F peak power rose from $41.6 USD/MWh at the beginning of the
month to $76.33 USD/MWh on January 23, with prices peaking at $83.64 in the middle of
the month. A sharp decrease in temperature in New York and Chicago between January 6 and
January 20 could be responsible for the spike in prices compared to the other observed cities.

Editorial

Graph created with ZEMA

Summary

Monthly Market Analysis

Electricity: Day-Ahead Prices (ICE)

Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis

66

In Depth

January 2015

o
e
n

Editorial

O
t
r
Pa

Summary

In Depth

o
w
T
f

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal

The Seven Ages of Oil:

Softs and
Metals

Boom and Bust, War and Peace,


Growth and Decline

Finance

By Aiman El-Ramly

In Depth

67

Market
Analysis

January 2015

Data
Vendors

The week of January 26, 2015, saw the price of a barrel of oil drop below $45. It has been a
perilous plummet from a high of $100.52 just six months ago. If you ask a Goldman Sachs
trader, they may tell you the price will probably continue to decline to as low as $30. If you ask
an Iranian oil minister, he may tell you the industry might endure a further slump toward $25.
Funny thing if you had asked a trader at Goldman Sachs or an Iranian oil minister the same
question 17 years ago in 1998, they may have had the same negative sentiment: The price
of oil is going down, and it is going to stay that way for a while. So just you tighten your belt!

Weather and
Emissions

Dateline January 2015: The Perilous Plummet

Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal

1. 1859-1870: Illumination Births an Industry

Power

For clarity, we will define the seven ages of oil as those periods in time that saw oil price
growth followed by periods of accumulated average price decline of greater than 30%
(all prices adjusted for inflation to 2014 dollars). These price climbs and subsequent
descents can be extremely dramatic in the short term, as demonstrated by the current 55%
drop over the past six months. Or, it can be more gradual as with the multi-year decline from
a high of $110 in 1979 to less than $25 in 1994. Similarly, oil prices reached an astonishing
near all-time low in 1998 at just over $17 before reaching an all-time high of $140 in June
2008, only to fall once again below $40 by the end of the year. Clearly, oil trading is a high
stakes endeavor not fit for the faint of heart. Let us then describe the seven ages of oil in an
attempt to discern some measure of commonality or predictability.

Editorial

The Seven Ages

Summary

If we pinpoint the beginning of the commercial oil industry as Edwin Drakes


1859 machine-drilled well near Titusville, Pennsylvania, then we can say with confidence that
oil prices have always known dramatic growth and decline. Mr. Drake did indeed touch off
the first major boom, soon to be followed by the first major shock a few years later due to the
US Civil War. Indeed, technical innovation, commercial interests, geo-politics, and war have
always driven the booms and busts of the oil industry.

In Depth

Boom Goes the Machine-Drilled Well

2. 1870-1911: Rockefeller Creates the Multinational Oil Standard


Softs and
Metals

3. 1911-1921: A Pax on Arabia


4. 1921-1973: Texas Oil Boom in the Gusher Age
5. 1973-1994: The Middle East Shrugs its Shackles

Finance

6. 1994 -2008: Deregulation, Speculation, Manipulation, and Detonation


7. 2008-2015: All Fracked Up

Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors

Graph created with ZEMA

Market
Analysis

January 2015

68

In Depth

Figure 1: US oil price fluctuations throughout the Seven Ages of Oil (1859-2015)

Editorial
Power
Petroleum

Figure 2: Percentage fluctuations throughout the Seven Ages of Oil (1859-2015)

Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
In Depth

69

Finance

It should be noted that wars are expensive, resource-hungry endeavors. In the 1850s,
US federal expenditures were $1 million a week. By the start of the war it had reached
$1.5 million a day. By the end of the war it had rocketed to $3.5 million a day. The United
States was the first country to spend $1 billion in a single year. To finance the war, the North
and the South each taxed its citizens, borrowed money, and printed new dollars. The result
was hyper-inflation of up to 9,000% by the end of the war. The North was more effective in its

Softs and
Metals

The first yields of 25 barrels per day fetched a pretty premium at the equivalent of $2,000 per
barrel not so surprising given the expensive process of making oil and the high
consumer demand for this new luxury product. Production grew sharply in Pennsylvania, and
prices dropped nearly tenfold in a single year. In 1859, two thousand barrels were produced.
In 1860, half a million barrels were produced, quadrupling by 1861 to more than two million
barrels. Correspondingly, prices dropped into the teens before the US Civil War (1962-1964)
and brought on the first oil shock. Subsequently, with a massive surge in demand for all
commodities generated by the war effort, constriction in oil supply, blockages of turpentine
from the south, and a larger tax on alcohol (then a competing illuminant), prices escalated
well north of $120 per barrel the following year.

Coal

When Robert Edwin Dietz produced a modern kerosene lamp in 1853, thousands of whales
breathed a short sigh of relief. Illuminants, lubricants, and solvents prior to the commercial
introduction of oil were obtained from a variety of natural sources including the much
persecuted whale and sometimes exploited plant resources. There was limited production of
petroleum or gas from coal, asphalt, coal-tars, and shale. It was another Edwin, not Dietz, but
Drake who ushered in the Age of Illumination by oil. Edwin would drill the first commercially
owned well in Titusville, Pennsylvania, in the year 1859. The 69-foot (21 m) well was drilled
for the Seneca Oil Company.

Nat Gas

1859-1870: Illumination Births an Industry

January 2015

Summary

In Depth

Graph created with ZEMA

Editorial

1. Oil production is technically driven

Summary

While the war and the shock may have been relatively short lived, many things were firmly
established in those early years:

In Depth

financing, which may have helped them win the war and recover faster in the post-war period.
The oil price curve mimics that of inflation during this time.

2. Oil is big business


Power

3. Oil helps win wars


4. Oil and fiscal policy are closely tied

Petroleum

5. Oil has no borders


6. Oil pricing is volatile
7. Oil can change the shape of the world

Nat Gas

Naturally, once the North won the war, tensions settled, markets regained their composure,
and the floor on oil prices dropped away before they started to climb again. In that brief
decade, the fledgling industry witnessed the two largest boom and bust cycles the industry
would ever face, but also primed the energy industry for what would be ongoing, highly
dramatized, and world-changing cycles. The first age was over, and Rockefeller was set to
make an entrance on the world stage.

Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance

we can say with confidence that


oil prices have always known dramatic growth
and decline.
1870-1911: Rockefeller Creates the Multinational Oil Standard

Market
Analysis
In Depth

70

Data
Vendors

January 2015

Weather and
Emissions

Born July 8, 1939, John D. Rockefeller is arguably the most notorious business magnate
and philanthropist the world has ever known. The first American billionaire, at the
pinnacle of his power he controlled 90% of all US oil. In 1865, Rockefeller bought out
Clark & Company at auction for $72,500 to establish the firm of Rockefeller & Andrews.
He thereafter quickly manoeuvered to take advantage of the post-war posterity and
followed the trains westward to build a national oil business. The next five years saw an
expansion in scope as he built business ties and alliances as quickly as he built his oil
business. Pivotally, in June of 1870, Rockefeller formed Standard Oil of Ohio. Standard
Oil became essentially the one and only oil standard taking over Ohio and then the
nation. In the age of cartels and unrestricted monopolies, the oil men and the railroad
men (a.k.a. the Robber Barons) became the richest and most powerful people in the
world. Rockefeller ate up his competition until, by the end of the 1870s, Standard Oil was

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions

Thus the 1880s saw the irrevocable and


enduring connection among energy
(oil and electricity), geopolitics, and finance.

Market
Analysis
In Depth

71

Data
Vendors

But getting back to Rockefeller, we can observe that nothing lasts forever: not
monopolies, not civil wars, not world wars, not cold wars, not empires, not political
regimes, and not the national or geopolitical status quo. Rockefellers use of market
power to bust railroads and undermine competition finally led to charges of monopolizing
the oil trade in 1879. The scale had tipped as the business practices of Standard Oil
became a national talking point and a source of shame. It took another 22 years, but
eventually in 1911 the US Supreme Court found Standard Oil to be in violation of the
Sherman Antitrust Act. Standard Oil was broken up into 34 separate new companies. It
has been more than 100 years, but many of these companies remain, although often
January 2015

Editorial

Following Newberrys ominous predictions, two major technological advancements would


impact oil prices into the turn of the twentieth century. In 1878, the pivotal pioneer of the
electric industry, Thomas Edison, would invent the light bulb and essentially eliminate
demand for kerosene as an illuminant, sending the oil industry into a brief recession.
However, automotive pioneers on either side of the Atlantic would soon help them out of this
recession. In 1886, Karl Benz and Wilhelm Daimler introduced gasoline-powered
automobiles to Europe and fueled them with California oil. Following in the tracks of the
Germans, Henry Ford and his Ford Motor Company began producing the Model T (Tin Lizzie) in
1908. The oil industry would thereafter ride the coattails of automotive industrialists and their
fuel-ravenous consumers. Before the automobile, gasoline was simply a solvent produced
from kerosene distillation; in other words, it was a cheap way to strip paint.

Summary

Notably, Rockefeller was not the architect behind the doubling of oil prices in 1875, but
rather it was the US Government. In what would be the oft-called peak oil cry of the wolf (as
the regulator warned of the wolf amongst the flock, the sky falling, the end being nigh),
John Strong Newberry, the chief geologist of the state of Ohio, declared that oil supplies would
soon dry up. Obviously, this was no truer in 1875 than it was in 1973 when the Nixon declared
the Oil Crisis, or in 1979 when Jimmy Carter implemented subsidies to derive fuel from corn,
or in 2005 when George W. Bushs Energy Policy was developed to combat growing energy
concerns (partially arising from the war on Iraq) with tax incentives for alternative energy,
or during the Obama Administration when he dithered in his policies on energy
independence, $800 billion for clean energy investment, and the ever-pending approval of
the Keystone Pipeline.

In Depth

refining more than 90% of US oil. As the price setter, Rockefeller would even sell at a loss to
gain market share. And for the most part, prices were in decline for the greater part of the Age
of Standard Oil.

Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals

Exiting the Gilded Age of the Robber Baron, of larger than life magnates, of industrialists and
financiers we approach the staging for world war. Eventually, the culmination of World War I
would end the European pastime of Empire building and put in place hegemonic practice of
Pax. Prior to the war, there was very little separation between building political influence, empire
building, and the building of personal wealth. Financiers and businessmen in Europe and
America were constantly conniving to establish their power, national empires, and personal
wealth by any means. Just because one oil magnates monopoly and aspirations were corralled,
it did not mean that the rest of the world was neutered.

Editorial

1911-1921 A Pax on You

Summary

There were other important developments in the Age of Standard Oil. Rockefeller actually
quintupled his wealth, as the assets broken up were worth significantly more than under the
monopoly. He essentially traded his monopoly power for wealth. Although 85% of global oil
production was coming from Pennsylvania in the 1880s, Russia and Asia notably joined the
fray during the 1880s, introducing pipelines and tankers to the technology mix. Further, the
Rothschilds of Paris were providing the financing. It was the age of power and dominium on a
global scale. As Mark Twain so aptly put it, it was the Gilded Age. Everything was shiny, new,
and exciting on the outside; however, on the inside, greed was insidious, ruthless speculators
abounded, scandal was rampant, and politicians were easily corrupted. Thus the 1880s saw the
irrevocable and enduring connection among energy (oil and electricity), geopolitics, and finance.
The stage was unknowingly set for the conflicts that would define the twentieth century as the
Age of the Pax and World Wars.

In Depth

transformed. Continental Oil became Conoco / ConocoPhillips. Amoco became part of BP.
Esso became Exxon and is now part of ExxonMobil. Mobil is now part of ExxonMobil. Pennzoil
and Chevron have remained largely the same.

Finance
In Depth

72

Market
Analysis

January 2015

Data
Vendors

While history may rightly denote the assassination of the Archduke Francis Ferdinand, the
heir to the Habsburg throne, on June 28, 1914, as the spark that set the world aflame,
the predisposition to war was already well established. Similarly, the sinking of the
Lusitania on May 7, 2015 may have been used as a ruse to draw the United States into
the war formally. However, the United States was already financially invested through
deals between the financial houses of the French Rothschilds and the American
Morgans as well as myriad other overseas industrialist ventures. As noted, the ties
among war, commodities, finance, politics, and social change were well established. But
it is important to note that, by the turn of twentieth century, London remained the
undisputed financier of the world. But soon, British industrial excellence would succumb

Weather and
Emissions

one must keep in mind that oil and industry


are inseparable.

Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
In Depth

73

Weather and
Emissions

Arab land and control the Middle East the so called Sykes-Picot Agreement. And here
we have it, the Age of the Pax peace through might. By 1923, Britain had leveraged
Iraqs fear of invasion by the Turks to force the complete concession of all rights in the Iraq
Petroleum Company (the former Turkish Petroleum Company) for 75 years, despite
national sentiments opposing absolute concession. For the balance of the century, the
western hegemony would prevail with primarily Britain and the United States neck-deep in
Arab Oil in their quest for global dominance. The friction and uncertainty around oil supply
post war continued to push prices upwards; but oil prices basically stabilized for almost
half a century, until conflict in the Middle East started to come to head and Pax began
to unravel.
January 2015

Power

The Wild West was quickly transformed, as the


advent of Texas oil pushed the United States
ahead of the Russian Empire as the worlds
largest oil producer.

Editorial

An underappreciated outcome of World War I was the subsequent Arab Revolt (1916-1918).
Sherif Hussein bin Ali incited revolt to gain independence for the various Arab states from the
ruling Ottoman Turks. The desire was to create a single, unified Arab state from Syria to Yemen. At the time, the British controlled the Turkish Petroleum Company and thus held some
concessionary rights to oil. As far as Britain was concerned, it and France would divide up the

Summary

Of course, one must keep in mind that oil and industry are inseparable. Germany needed
resources and German industrialists and financiers made it so. Indeed, it was Deutsche
Bank that financed the Berlin-to-Baghdad railway project. Yes, long before the United States
stepped into what would later become Iraq, Germany had laid claim to the oil their geologists
had discovered in Mosul, Kirkuk, and Basra. Britain, however, was under the assumption that
Persian oil had been conceded to them. Churchill had converted the English naval fleet to oil
from coal and was desperate for fuel. He thus formed secret alliances with France and Russia
to encircle Germany in order to restrict its movements and incite political unrest throughout
Imperial Germany. Who really started World War I is immaterial; blame Serbia, blame
Austria-Hungary, blame Russia, blame Germany, and blame Britain. And if you decide not to
blame any country, you could certainly blame any number of financiers or industrialists.
Because, in the end, the war was about access to commodities. Although World War I was
epic, the resolution for ultimate global control would not be resolved at the wars end, nor
even in the sequel in 1939.

In Depth

to the natural resource strength of America and, more importantly, Imperial Germany (unified
in 1871). During its brief 47 years, Imperial Germany was an industrial and technological
force, achieving more Nobel Prizes in science than their soon-to-be adversaries in war (Britain,
France, Russia, and the United States) combined. The envy and fear of German might was
palpable. Germany had to be controlled at any cost!

Nat Gas
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But it was not only the Arabs who were feeling slighted. Germany also felt the weight of
oppression. Found guilty alongside Austria-Hungary for World War I, the wrath of the victors
imposed on them crippling financial sanctions and a disembodied empire. Germany was
totally demilitarized. It was not enough that they were faced with insurmountable debt, but
when the stock market collapsed on Wall Street on October 29, 1929, it sent financial
markets worldwide into a tailspin with disastrous effects. With huge debt, American loans
coming due, and the market for exports shrivelling, Germany was in desperate straits. With
people out of work, banks failing, savings evaporated, and subsequent hyperinflation, the

Market
Analysis

74

In Depth

January 2015

Petroleum

The Shaw in Persia abruptly cancelled Britains prized Anglo-Persian oil concessions in
November 1932. He rightly wanted a share of the profits to support building his countrys
infrastructure. Although Britain toyed with the idea of war, a compromise was reached after
the president of Anglo-Persia threatened to abandon the negotiations. Perhaps even more
staggering was Saudi Arabias King Abdulaziz bargain basement sale of oil rights for an
upfront payment of $250,000 by Standard Oil and a royalty of about $1.60 per barrel. The
Middle East would never truly find its footing, fighting amongst each other over borders and
rights, trying to manage the baffling effects of Pax.

Power

Actually, oil prices rode out the Great Depression and WWII with considerably less drama than
in any other period. That said, there was a momentary squeeze on oil in 1933 during the Great
Depression. With growing Texas supply and a decline in prices, the price per barrel reached a
low of around $12. Globally, other nations were upset with the United States, blaming them
for overproduction and illegal production. Although there was not the monopolistic Standard
Oil of old, the Standard Oil of post-1911 did exist within an oligarchic regime. Takeovers and
acquisitions were rampant, locally and globally. It was a period of global unrest, and the
Middle East was still in significant turmoil as they tried to throw off their western oppressors
and establish independence.

Editorial

In 1894, in Navarro County near Corsicana in East Texas, the American Well and Prospecting
Company discovered oil by accident while looking for water. By 1898, the Corsicana oilfield
was in production. The pivotal event, though, was the Spindletop strike in 1901. At that time,
it was the worlds most productive well. Texas and the world were never the same again. The
Wild West was quickly transformed as the advent of Texas oil pushed the United States ahead
of the Russian Empire as the worlds largest oil producer. The state came fully into its own by
1940 as the undeniable leader in the global oil economy just in time for World War II.

Summary

In the meantime, the Texas cowboys would have their day. It is not unfair to say that the oil
industry matured in Texas. Indeed, Texas, and specifically Houston, would grow to become
the energy capital of the world. As the state grew in wealth, so did its stature and influence.
The power and might of the United States, as well as its global aims, developed alongside the
oil industry. In fact, the United States would later produce father and son US presidents who
called Texas their home state and who would take the United States back into Iraq.
Gradually, the Pax Britainica would succumb to Pax Americana until the falsely perpetrated
Iraq War (a.k.a. the War on Terror).

In Depth

1921-1973 Texas Oil Boom in the Gusher Age

Editorial
Power
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In Depth

75

Finance

The United States exited the war liberalized and empowered, entering a period of fabulous
growth. It was the post-war golden age of capitalism that would end in crisis in the 1970s.
This extended period of time was also called the long boom. Until 1973, the hegemonic
control by the United States of most of the worlds oil continued largely unabated. Both
the State and the major integrated oil companies were in charge. In July 1944, the Bretton
Woods System was put in place to manage the financial relations amongst the first-world
nations and established the gold standard, due to requirements to tie currency to gold.

Softs and
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depression through relief, recovery, and reform. He changed fiscal policy and reformed
banking; but critically, he literally energized the nation by building massive electricity
plants and put people to work building physical facilities as well as in the war effort.

Coal

The armaments and nuclear bombs served as


a deterrent to another World War, but came at a
heavy economic cost.

Nat Gas

Going back to Texas, despite the war raging on, by the 1940s, the Texas Railroad Commission
had taken regulatory control of the Texas oil industry and managed to stabilize oil production
thus eliminating most of the wild price swings that were common during the earlier years of
the Texas boom. This basically meant that, from an oil standpoint, the United States entered
the war in a composed state. Pivotally, the Great Depression led US President
Franklin D. Roosevelt to develop the New Deal. The New Deal was a series of domestic
programs enacted between 1933 and 1938 designed to extract the United States from

Petroleum

But of course, this is the story of oil. Germanys heavy reliance on oil to power its immense war
machine was identified before the conflict. The British RAF and American USAAF conducted
a strategic bombing campaign to target facilities supplying oil no target in any enemy
country was spared. No oil, no war. At the close of World War II, with Hitler defeated and Japan
staggering from two atomic blasts, three things were firmly established: he who controls the
energy controls the world, an atomic age had been ushered in, and America was undoubtedly
the worlds superpower.

January 2015

Summary

Much of the 1930s saw war and strife in Europe: the Spanish Civil War, the annexation of
Austria, and the invasion of Czechoslovakia. However, it was the German invasion of Poland
on September 1, 1939, that set the world to full-scale war once again. On September 3,
Britain and France declared war on Germany but left their ally Poland to fall.

In Depth

German people were cast into ruin. The Germans were not alone, and many people across the
world turned to Fascism to save their economies. As history has shown, when times are tough
and changes need to be made, societies go to war. It seemed that Hitler was the man for the
job. He seized the opportunity, appealed to his disenfranchised countrymen, and built a
massive armed force.

Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
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Finance

About ZE PowerGroup Inc.:


ZE is an experienced software and strategic consulting firm that combines energy industry expertise with advanced
software development capabilities. ZE is the developer of ZEMA, a sophisticated enterprise data management and
analysis solution built to meet the challenges of participants in energy and commodities markets.

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About ZEMA:
ZEMA is an enterprise data management software designed for collecting data and performing complex analysis.
ZEMA replaces fragmented data management processes with a sophisticated, unified, and automated system. Each
ZEMA component is modular and scalable, giving clients greater flexibility when integrating it into their organizations.
The solution is easy to use and backed by ZEs support team around the clock. It has been ranked first in the Energy
Risk Awards Data Management House of the Year category for five years in a row. In Energy Risks annual software
survey and rankings, it is also consistently rated by end users as first in the Preferred System, Ease of System
Integration, and Customer Service categories.

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In Depth

76

Market
Analysis

Disclaimer:
ZE DataWatch is a report comprised of data updates and expectations for energy and commodities markets, powered
by ZEMA. The news contained in ZE DataWatch is for information purposes only. Although ZE PowerGroup believes
the information in this report to be correct, the organization does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of it.
Information in this report is not intended to provide financial, legal, accounting, or tax advice and should not be relied
upon in that regard. ZE PowerGroup is not responsible in any manner whatsoever for direct, indirect, special, or
consequential damages, howsoever caused, arising out of the use of this report.
January 2015

Power

In part two, we will discuss the three remaining ages of oil, draw some conclusions, and
consider the future of oil.

Editorial

To be continued.

Summary

As previously mentioned, nothing lasts forever. The Bretton Woods system collapsed in 1971
when Nixon unilaterally severed the agreement, leaving the world to flounder. The Nixon shock
sent the world into a tailspin and was to be followed soon by the OPEC shock. Nixon
disconnected the link between the dollar and gold, making the US dollar a fully floating fiat
currency. Nixon was prepared to print as much money as necessary to cover the costs of the
Cold War. Still, he worried about the long-term strength of the US dollar. Brilliantly, recognizing
the world was more hungry for oil now than ever (remember the cries of wolf about oil supply),
he simply swapped gold for black gold. Recognizing that Saudi Arabia would love to have the
United States as its ready market for oil, Nixon derived an agreement whereby Saudi oil could
only be purchased in US dollars. Problem solved everyone wanted US dollars. But lets not
celebrate too soon

In Depth

The United States was engaged in a cold war almost before World War II was over. The Cold
War was largely bloodless, save for excursions into Korea and Vietnam starting from 1950.
The Cold War served to bolster the US industrial complex and war machine. The armaments
and nuclear bombs served as a deterrent to another World War, but came at a heavy
economic cost. The benefits, though, were highly attractive. Being a central player in global
markets gave the United States ultimate freedom in deployment and foreign relations. The
United States was the go-to trade partner for all commodities. The United States intervened
where it wanted, when it wanted, with virtual impunity. Pax Americana was at its height prior to
the 1970s.

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