Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
JANUARY 2015
Independent Electricity
System Operator Merges with
Ontario Power Authority
o
w
fT
o
e
n
O
t
r
Pa
Delisting of products
and datasources
Potential impact
on data
Editorial 5
State of the Union Address: Dominating the World Energy Markets and Losing to Congress
5
Power 7
IESO Merges with OPA
7
PEGAS Markets Operated by Powernext are Merged with EEX
8
Power
Petroleum
Petroleum 9
Platts to Launch FOB Arab Gulf Gasoil Assessment
9
Platts to Launch Spot Metallocene Assessments
9
Platts Adds Gasoil Derivatives Content to Platts Forward Curve Asia
10
Platts Assesses European East-West Fuel Oil Spreads
11
Platts Introduces Daily European Orthoxylene Assessments
11
Platts Adds Fuel Oil Derivatives Page to Platts Forward Curve Europe
11
Platts Launches US Sulfur Bunker Fuel Assessments
12
Platts Introduces New Cut-off Time for Fuel Oil Market
12
Platts Introduces New US Shale Crude Commentary
13
Argus Introduces Argus Americas Asphalt and Argus Bitumen Publications
13
Argus Introduces New Russian Sulfur Bunker Assessments
14
NYMEX Lists Freight Route Liquid Petroleum Gas Futures Contract
14
ICE Futures Europe Completes Transition to Low Sulfur Gasoil Contract
15
MCX Begins Futures Trading in Crude Mini
16
Platts to Discontinue Falmouth Ex-Wharf Bunker Assessments
16
Platts to Discontinue Current Palm Oil/Gasoil Spread Assessment
16
Platts Stops Publishing US Gulf Coast Premium CBOB Gasoline Assessments
17
Platts Discontinues Russia Light Ends Export Duty
17
Platts Stops Publishing ARPEL Consumer Price Postings
17
Argus Discontinues US and European Asphalt Assessments
18
Argus Discontinues Marine Fuels Assessments
18
Argus Discontinues European Fuel Oil Bunker Assessments
20
Argus Stops Publishing Russian Fuel Oil Bunker Assessments
20
Argus Discontinues Select Afghanistan Petroleum Assessments
22
NYMEX Delists Gasoil Related Futures and Options Contracts
22
Platts to Amend FOB Singapore Assessments for Fuel Oil, Middle Distillates, and Gasoline
23
Platts Changes Name of its Canadian Syncrude Sweet Assessment
23
Argus Makes Changes to US Petroleum Product Codes
24
Argus Modifies Publishing Frequency of Fuel Oil and Gasoil Bunker Assessments
25
Argus Changes Code Description for US Gulf Petroleum Freight
25
Argus Updates Code Descriptions for Latin American Petroleum Freight
26
CME Modifies Gasoil Futures and Options Product Names
26
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
Summary
Contents
Power
Petroleum
Coal 37
Argus Adds New European Coal Assessments
37
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Finance 43
CBOE Begins Distributing Volatility Index Values on FX Options Contracts
43
ICE Futures US Launches Five New Forex Contracts
43
ICE Launches Clearing for Additional European Sovereign CDS Instruments
44
Thomson Reuters Appointed to Administer Canadas Two Key Interest Rate Benchmarks
44
Bloomberg and SSGA Introduce Fixed Income ETF Basket Tool
45
Deutsche-Brse Launches New X-Trackers Bond Index ETFs
46
NYSE Group and MYRA Capital Launch NYSE Dynamic Index Family
47
First Trust Value Line Equity Allocation Index Fund Now Listed on Nasdaq
47
EBS Market Launches End of Month Indian Rupee Forward
48
Swedbank Robur Starts Clearing Interest Rate Swaps through Nasdaq
49
ICAPs EBS Collaborates with SGX on Asian Foreign Exchange Initiatives
49
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
31
31
32
33
33
34
34
35
36
Summary
Natural Gas
Platts Launches LNG Atlantic FOB Marker
Platts Launches Transco Zone 5 Listing
Platts Introduces Transco Zone 6 Listing
Platts Launches New Columbia Gas and Appalachia Listings
Argus Adds Midpoints to Existing Propane Swaps Series
CME Group Launches Suite of European Natural Gas Contracts
Argus to Discontinue European Propane Swap Assessments
NYMEX Delists Four Natural Gas Futures Contracts
61
61
62
63
64
65
66
In Depth
Part 1 of 2: The Seven Ages of Oil: Boom and Bust, War and Peace, Growth and Decline
Dateline January 2015: The Perilous Plummet
Boom Goes the Machine-Drilled Well
The Seven Ages
1859-1870: Illumination Births an Industry
1870-1911: Rockefeller Creates the Multinational Oil Standard
1911-1921 A Pax on You
1921-1973 Texas Oil Boom in the Gusher Age
To be continued.
67
67
67
68
68
69
70
72
74
76
Petroleum
52
52
53
54
55
56
57
57
58
Power
Editorial
50
50
51
Summary
Nat Gas
59
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Editorial
Power
State of the
Union Address:
Dominating
the World
Energy Markets
and Losing to
Congress
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Market
Analysis
In Depth
Data
Vendors
January 2015
Weather and
Emissions
But lets begin with some context. The 2009 speech cleared the way for clean energy
technologies and suggested that the United States would double the nations supply of
renewable energy in the next three years. A year later, a new comprehensive energy and climate
bill was promised to US citizens. In 2011, the address confirmed the chosen direction by voicing
the Presidents pledge to have 80% of the nations electricity coming from clean resources by
2035, while also promising to bring 1 million electric vehicles to the road by 2015. The 2012
speech altered this direction the new all of the above strategy invited fossil fuels back into
the circle with the honorable mentioning of hydraulic fracturing technology designed to enhance
the recovery of shale deposits. In the 2013 speech, the President proposed the creation of an
Energy Security Trust dedicated to shifting cars and trucks off petroleum, the development of
Finance
The last five years could be called anything but boring for those who paid close attention to the
sections of the Presidents addresses related to energy: at first the direction was chosen, then
it was altered, then the originally chosen direction was re-stated, and so on. The 2015 speech,
however, brought an even bigger surprise.
Softs and
Metals
The State of the Union Address, the speech delivered by the US President at a joint session of the
US Congress, is the most highly anticipated public announcement of the year for many
industries, including energy. But the state of the union per se is only part of the speech; the
address also puts forward strategic directions that crystalize into various legislations, policies,
programs, and initiatives throughout the year and afterward. The latter portion is perceived as
being the most valuable, mainly because it provides an indication of future government funding.
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Petroleum
Data
Vendors
In Depth
Market
Analysis
January 2015
Power
Editorial
Editor
Olga Gorstenko
Phone: 778-296-4183
Email: olga@ze.com
Summary
Olga Gorstenko
Editorial
Summary
Power
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Softs and
Metals
The graph below shows the demand, supply, and price data for power in Ontario according to
IESO between June 2014 February 2015, before and after the merger. Upon inspection we
can see that the supply through 2014 steadily surpassed demand. The price, however,
peaked in the third week of July 2014 at around 750,000 CAD/MWh and was at its lowest
point in the first week of October at around 300, 000 CAD/MWh. This kind of analysis for
comparing regional power data is very simple to perform in ZEMA. To learn more, book a
complimentary ZEMA demonstration.
Coal
This new organization is responsible for the real-time operation of the Ontario
electricity system and market, long-term energy planning, procurement, and the promotion of
a conservation culture in the province. Amalgamation will achieve efficiencies going forward
by reducing overlap, reducing costs, and streamlining electricity sector planning.
Nat Gas
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Power
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Effective January 1, 2015, The European Energy Exchange (EEX) and Powernext
have successfully migrated all active EEX gas market members representing
100 percent of the NCG and GASPOOL Open Interest to Powernext. As of now, all natural gas
activities of the EEX Group are operated by Powernext under the brand PEGAS. In total,
154 participants are now admitted to trading natural gas products on PEGAS. The formal
transfer of the majority shares in Powernext to EEX has been completed.
Coal
Softs and
Metals
The change in Powernexts shareholding structure has been formally validated by its General
Assembly. Therefore, EEX is now majority shareholder of Powernext holding 55.8 percent of
the shares.
See the original announcement.
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Petroleum
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Effective April 1, 2015, Platts will introduce a new FOB Arab Gulf assessment
for 10 ppm gasoil.
The new assessments will be published in Platts Asia Pacific Arab Gulf Marketscan, on
Platts Global Alert pages 2404 and 2420, and in the Platts price database.
Softs and
Metals
In addition, Platts will publish a cash differential for the 10 ppm gasoil grade representing the
price buyers are willing to pay over and above the benchmark FOB Arab Gulf Gasoil
assessment around loading dates.
Coal
In line with Platts existing FOB AG gasoil assessments, this new assessment will be based on
adding an assessed sulfur differential to Platts outright FOB Arab Gulf Gasoil assessment,
which is a freight netback from Platts outright FOB Singapore Gasoil assessment, both of
which represent 500 ppm sulfur gasoil.
ZEMA, ZEs data management solution, collects over 300 Platts records on petroleum and other liquids,
several of them from the Middle East region. To learn more about ZEMAs vast data library, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
In Depth
Content
Platts ICE Gasoil EFS at 16:30 Singapore
Platts ICE Gasoil ESS at 16:30 Singapore
Platts ICE Gasoil Futures & Time Spreads at 16:30 SG
Platts ICE Gasoil Frontline & Time Spreads at 16:30 SG
Platts Gasoil at 16:30 Singapore
Petroleum
Status
New page
New page
New page
New page
Updated page
Power
Page
PPA 2664
PPA 2668
PPA 2670
PPA 2672
PPA 2634
Editorial
Summary
Petroleum
Nat Gas
The new assessments were launched under the names Gasoil EFS, Gasoil ESS, and
Gasoil Frontlines spanning 12 calendar months and three quarters. This is a slight delay
from the previously announced launch date of January 2.
The assessed derivatives are differentials between FOB Singapore 500 ppm paper and ICE
gasoil futures (EFS) and the ICE gasoil frontline swap (ESS).
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
The ZEMA graph below shows the settlement for December 2014 gasoil future contracts
expiring in fourth quarter of 2015 (ICE data). As shown, the December 2014 settlement
follows a downward trend with a slight increase on December 23. With ZEMA, similar
graphs can be created for a longer date range and data series can be easily separated
by selecting the preferred contract month and year. To learn more, book a complimentary
ZEMA demonstration.
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
10
In Depth
January 2015
Nat Gas
Petroleum
Power
Platts will publish assessments for three full calendar months ahead of the date of
publication. Platts will publish bids, offers, and interest to trade the East-West Fuel oil Spread
in the Platts Market on Close assessment process.
Editorial
Platts added these assessments to its existing fuel oil derivative suite in order to enhance its
coverage of the fuel oil market and better represent the key high sulfur fuel oil arbitrage route
between Europe and Asia.
Summary
Petroleum
Coal
This assessment can be found on Platts Petrochemical Alert on page PCA 332 and
in the Europe and Americas Petrochemicalscan.
See the original announcement.
Finance
Content
PPE 1690
New page
Data
Vendors
Status
Weather and
Emissions
On February 2, 2015, Platts added a new page to host new East-West spread
assessments for fuel oil derivatives. Platts is launching this page as part of its preparations to
expand the content and coverage offered on Platts Forward Curve Europe, its real-time
information service for the European derivatives markets.
Page
Softs and
Metals
ZEMA collects many petroleum market records from Platts. ZEMA collects market data as soon as it is released, ensuring
that ZEMA users have up-to-date US and European market data. To learn more about ZEMAs advanced data collection
functionalities, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data/.
Market
Analysis
11
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
Power
Feedback has strongly suggested that fuel supplied with new sulfur standards in mind
is likely to conform more closely to standard RMG 380 specifications, with the low sulfur cap.
Therefore Platts assessments at both ports reflect bunker fuel that meets or is better than
RMG 380, with a maximum sulfur content of 0.1%. The assessments will be published
in dollars per metric ton.
Summary
Petroleum
A new market for 0.1% sulfur bunkers is expected to emerge as the industry adapts to
International Maritime Organization rules, coming into effect on January 1, 2015, which limit
the sulfur content for marine fuel used by ships within 200 miles of shore in the
North American Emissions Control Area to 0.1%, down from a current maximum of 1%.
Petroleum
For the 0.1% bunker fuel assessment in Houston, Platts will use the existing assessments for
Straight Run LS Dlvd USGC vs. WTI Mo01 (AALFS00), front month NYMEX WTI at 3:15 p.m.
Eastern Time (NYCRM01) and ULS Heating Oil USGC Prompt Pipeline (AAXFD00).
Nat Gas
For the 0.1% bunker fuel assessment in New York Harbor, Platts will use the existing
assessments for Straight Run LS Dlvd USAC vs. WTI Mo01 (AALFU00), front month NYMEX WTI
at 3:15 p.m. Eastern Time (NYCRM01) and ULS Heating Oil barge FOB NYH (AAXPX00).
Coal
The new assessments will reflect fuel loading three to seven days forward from the date of
assessment. The minimum stem size will be 200 mt and the maximum 1,000 mt.
Softs and
Metals
This product is intended for use in ships and should follow normal market conventions around
what is and is not acceptable in its makeup.
See the original announcement.
Weather and
Emissions
Finance
ZEMA collects several Platts data reports specifically on petroleum bunker assessments. To book a complimentary ZEMA
demonstration, visit http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.
Data
Vendors
Effective January 5, 2015, Platts confirmed the new cut-off time for providing
bids and offers for publication in the US Atlantic Coast physical residual fuel oil
Market On Close assessment process as 1:45 p.m. Central time, 15 minutes later than the
previous cut-off time of 1:30 p.m. Central time.
The change follows a reduction in April 2014 in the volume size assessed by Platts in the
USAC market to 50,000 barrels from the previous 120,000 barrels.
See the original announcement.
Market
Analysis
12
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Petroleum
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Softs and
Metals
Coal
The new page, PGA 295, will appear in the daily newsletters from the same day. Platts will
provide daily analysis of Bakken, Eagle Ford, and other shale markets on this page. Coverage
of events in conventional crude in the USGC market will continue to be published on 290.
ZEMA collects over 100 Platts reports on crude, more than 40 of which are from North America. To learn more about
ZEMA, book a free demonstration today at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
On January 23, 2015, Argus launched the Argus Americas Asphalt publication and
data file. This data can be found in the damasph.csv data file in the /DAmAsphalt folder of
ftp.argusmedia.com and also via the Argus API.
The codes are to be published weekly and include mainly asphalt, freight, crude, and fuel oil.
The regions covered in these publications are the US Gulf Coast, the US West Coast, the
Rocky Mountains, the US Midwest, the US Midcontinent, Canada, and Latin America.
Data
Vendors
As well, also on January 23, Argus introduced the Argus Bitumen publication and data file.
This data now appears in the dbitumen.csv data file in the /DBitumen folder of
ftp.argusmedia.com server and also be available via the Argus API.
Market
Analysis
Many of the codes from both of these publications have been carried over from the Argus
Asphalt Report module.
See the original announcement.
13
In Depth
January 2015
Time Price
stamp type
PA0015492 26
Daily
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
1, 2, 8 0
>Products->
USD/t Fuel oil>RussiaCaspian
Daily
1, 2, 8 0
>Products->
USD/t Fuel oil>RussiaCaspian
Daily
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
Softs and
Metals
PA0015493 26
1, 2, 8 0
Coal
PA0015491 26
Frequency
Nat Gas
PA0015490 26
Category
Petroleum
PA0015489 26
Unit
Power
PA0015488 26
Continuous
Description
forward
ZEMA collects data from Arguss FMB Weekly Sulphur record. To gain a wider perspective of the fossil fuels market and to
learn how ZEMA can enhance your business processes, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Contract
Code
Rule Chapter
FLP
679
Data
Vendors
Effective January 25, 2015, the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) listed
the following dry bulk freight futures contract.
In Depth
14
Market
Analysis
The Freight Route Liquid Petroleum Gas (Baltic) Futures contract has been listed for trading on
CME Globex, the NYMEX trading floor, and for submission for clearing through CME ClearPort.
January 2015
Editorial
PA-code
Summary
Effective January 12, 2015, Argus introduced new assessments for high sulfur
bunker DOB Arkhangelsk in rubles per ton and dollars per ton. The following series will appear
in DARM data module in /DARM folder of ftp.argusmedia.com:
Petroleum
Contract Unit
Price Quotation
$0.001
$0.001
February 2015
Listing Period
Finance
Softs and
Metals
Coal
Termination of trading
Nat Gas
FLP
Petroleum
Commodity Code
Power
Weather and
Emissions
Market
Analysis
The re-specified ICE low sulfur gasoil futures contract retains the contract code G and runs
from the February 2015 contract month onward to the December 2021 contract.
Data
Vendors
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
Contract
Summary
Petroleum
Block trades are permitted for this contract, with a minimum transaction size of two contracts,
consistent with similar liquid petroleum gas futures contracts.
Editorial
Open interest in the ICE Low Sulfur Gasoil futures contract (ULS) beyond February 2015
was transitioned to the G equivalently-specified contract, and that contract code has also
ceased trading with the January 2015 expiry.
Summary
Natural Gas
Petroleum
was based on a maximum sulfur content of 0.1% (1,000ppm) and has ceased trading, with
the expiry of the January 2015 contract month.
ZEMA collects over 130 ICE records, nearly 30 of which are about the fossil fuels market. To learn more about how
ZEMA can collect, aggregate, and analyze data, book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration now at
http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
The contract specification of crude oil mini is similar to the existing crude oil contract on MCX.
The lot size of crude oil mini is 10 barrels. MCX crude oil futures are traded in Indian Rupee,
mitigating the currency risk of the trade circuit.
See the original announcement.
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Effective July 1, 2015, Platts will discontinue its Falmouth ex-wharf bunker
fuel assessments of high and low sulfur 380 and 180 CST and marine gasoil
(3.5% sulfur IFO 380 CST, 3.5% sulfur IFO 180 CST, 1% sulfur IFO 380 CST, 1%sulfur
IFO 180 CST, MGO DMA 0.1%).
Weather and
Emissions
The discontinuation reflects changing market conditions within the Northwest European
bunker market where Platts has observed diminished market liquidity at Falmouth.
These assessments were published on Platts Marine Alert, Platts Bunkerwire and the Platts
price assessment database under the codes of PUAFC00, PUACW00, AASUK00, AASUL00,
and POACU00 respectively.
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
Effective May 15, 2015, Platts intends to discontinue its current assessment
for the palm oil/gasoil spread (PO-GO), as Platts is also proposing to launch a new PO-GO
spread that is more representative of current market activity.
The current POGO spread, under the code BMAAA00, reflects the value of first -month gasoil
futures traded on the Intercontinental Exchange, or ICE, against first-month crude palm
16
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
The current POGO assessment is published in the Platts database under the code BMAAA00
and in the PBF publication Biofuelscan.
Summary
Platts is proposing to assess a new POGO spread that reflects the value of the first forward
month contract for BMD palm oil futures against front-month ICE gasoil futures.
Petroleum
oil futures listed on Bursa Malaysia, or BMD, traded at 4:30 p.m. Singapore time (0830 GMT).
Petroleum
Effective January 2, 2015, Platts discontinued assessments for US Gulf Coast Premium
CBOB (D-Grade) gasoline. Platts initially proposed suspending this assessment in a
note published September 19, 2013.
Coal
The seasonal supplemental assessment for Premium CBOB appeared on PGA page 332
under the symbol AASOC00.
Nat Gas
Colonial Pipeline no longer ships this grade with regularity and, as a result, Platts has
observed substantially diminished market liquidity. These assessments were published on
Platts Global Alert page 330, and in the Platts assessment database under code AARQV00 for
pipeline Premium CBOB, and AAWET00 for waterborne Premium CBOB.
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
The ARPEL postings had been published in full each day on Platts Global Alert page 474, with
a smaller selection published daily in Platts Latin American Wire. All of the postings were also
in the Platts price database under data codes beginning ARP.
Market
Analysis
17
In Depth
January 2015
Data
Vendors
PA-code
->Asphalt->
USD/st Americas->
US Gulf coast
Weekly
1, 2 0
Asphalt
(bitumen) rack
North Dakota
->Asphalt->
USD/st Americas->
US Midwest
Weekly
1, 2 0
Asphalt
(bitumen) fob
western
US Gulf
->Asphalt->
USD/st Americas->
US Gulf coast
Weekly
1, 2 0
->Products->
VGO->Northwest
Europe
Weekly
Coal
PA0015089 6
1, 2 0
Asphalt
(bitumen) fob
USGC east
Nat Gas
PA0000725 0
Frequency
Petroleum
PA0000648 0
Category
Power
PA0000614 0
Unit
Editorial
On January 16, 2015, Argus made changes to data in the dia.csv files in the
\DASPH folder of ftp.argusmedia.com. The following assessments in Argus Asphalt Report
have been stopped:
Summary
Petroleum
PA-code
Continuous
Description
forward
PA0008294 26
1, 2, 8 0
PA0011516 2
1, 2, 8 0
PA0011519 2
1, 2, 8 0
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
18
In Depth
January 2015
USD/t
>Products->
Fuel oil->
Russia-Caspian
>Products->
Fuel oil->
Russia-Caspian
>Products->
Fuel oil->
Latin America
>Products->
Fuel oil->
Latin America
Frequency
Market
Analysis
1, 2, 8 0
Category
Data
Vendors
PA0004738 26
Unit
Weather and
Emissions
Time Price
stamp type
Finance
Effective January 12, 2015, Argus stopped publishing the following marine
fuels assessments found in the damrinef files in the /DAMARINEF folder of
ftp.argusmedia.com:
Continuous
Description
forward
PA0011568 2
1, 2, 8 0
PA0011569 2
1, 2, 8 0
PA0011574 2
1, 2, 8 0
PA0011575 2
1, 2, 8 0
PA0011576 2
1, 2, 8 0
PA0011578 2
1, 2, 8 0
PA0011579 2
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Weather and
Emissions
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
Finance
PA0011573 2
Daily
Softs and
Metals
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
Coal
PA0011571 2
Daily
Nat Gas
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
Petroleum
PA0011570 2
->Products->
Fuel oil bunker LS
USD/t Fuel oil->
380 cst Houston
US Gulf coast
Fuel oil bunker LS
>Products->
380 cst
USD/t Fuel oil->
Los Angeles
US west coast
Frequency
Power
1, 2, 8 0
Category
Editorial
PA0011567 2
Unit
Summary
Time Price
stamp type
Petroleum
PA-code
Daily
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
19
In Depth
January 2015
PA Code
>Products>
Fuel oil>
Northwest Europe
Daily
1, 2 0
>Products>
Fuel oil>
Northwest Europe
Daily
Petroleum
PA0004109 6
Frequency
Power
PA0004108 6
Category
Nat Gas
Continuous
Description
forward
1,2
PA0004739 26
1, 2
PA0008291 26
1, 2, 8 0
PA0008292 26
1, 2, 8 0
PA0008294 26
1, 2
USD/t
RUB/t
RUB/t
USD/t
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
20
In Depth
January 2015
USD/t
Daily
Market
Analysis
PA0004738 26
RUB/t
Daily
Data
Vendors
1, 2, 8 0
>Products>
Fuel oil>
RussiaCaspian
>Products>
Fuel oil>
RussiaCaspian
>Products>
Fuel oil>
RussiaCaspian
>Products>
Fuel oil>
RussiaCaspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
Frequency
Weather and
Emissions
PA0004732 26
RUB/t
Category
Finance
1, 2, 8 0
Unit
Softs and
Metals
PA0004731 26
Coal
PA-code
Editorial
Effective January 2, 2015, Argus stopped publishing the series below. These
series are in the DLP files in the DEURO folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.
Summary
Petroleum
Continuous
Description
forward
0
1, 2, 8 0
PA0013985 26
1, 2, 8 0
PA0013990 26
1, 2, 8 0
PA0013991 26
1, 2, 8 0
PA0013992 26
1, 2, 8 0
PA0013988 26
1, 2, 8 0
PA0013989 26
1, 2, 8 0
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Daily
Finance
PA0013984 26
USD/t
Softs and
Metals
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
Coal
PA0013983 26
USD/t
Nat Gas
1, 2, 8 0
Daily
Petroleum
PA0013982 26
USD/t
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia
Caspian
Frequency
Power
1, 2
Category
Editorial
PA0008295 26
Unit
Summary
Time Price
stamp type
Petroleum
PA-code
Daily
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
21
In Depth
January 2015
PA-code
1, 2 0
->Products->
Gasoline->
Central Asia
Weekly
1, 2 0
->Products->
Gasoil/Diesel/
Heating oil->
Central Asia
Weekly
Petroleum
PA0011665 0
Frequency
Power
PA0011664 0
Category
Nat Gas
The code will be stopped in the DARK file of the /DARK folder and DARKEN file of the
/DARKEN folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.
Coal
725
LSM
309
LSP
362
LSS
295
LSL
372
LSC
363
Market
Analysis
252
Data
Vendors
LSO
Weather and
Emissions
22
In Depth
January 2015
Finance
Softs and
Metals
As of January 5, 2015, the NYMEX has delisted a series of Gasoil and Low Sulfur Gasoil
related futures and options contracts as shown in the table below:
Contract title
Editorial
Summary
Petroleum
LSU
361
LSE
858
Power
Editorial
Summary
Petroleum
Contract title
Petroleum
Finance
This proposed change in methodology reflects the fact that the Singapore refined oil products
markets have grown significantly in the last several years. The associated spot markets now
regularly include trades for commodities loading close to, but beyond the geographic borders
of, Singapore.
Softs and
Metals
Under this revised approach, Platts will no longer publish FOB Singapore or FOB Malaysia
bids, offers, or transactions in its Market on Close assessment process. Platts will only publish
bids and offers and transactions as FOB Straits.
Coal
For FOB Straits transactions, sellers should nominate an approved loadpoint ten days prior to
loading for all products. Such approved loadpoints may include approved terminals in
Singapore or southern Malaysia.
Nat Gas
From July onward, Platts FOB Singapore assessments will reflect FOB Straits bids, offers and
transactions. Platts has no plans to amend the nomenclature of its published FOB Singapore
assessments and plans to continue to reference these assessments in all publications under
the name of FOB Singapore.
Data
Vendors
On January 15, 2015, Platts changed the name of its Canadian Syncrude Sweet crude
assessment to Syncrude Sweet Premium. The change, which was proposed on
October 29, reflects changes on Enbridges grouping system for crudes shipped through its
pipeline network.
23
In Depth
January 2015
Market
Analysis
The methodology used to assess the value of this crude, including its specifications, did not
change as a result of this name change.
Power
Effective January 16, 2015, Argus made changes to the Argus US Products
publication. These changes apply to data in the dhp and dhps .csv files in the
DUSPR folder on ftp.argusmedia.com.
New Description
PA0015303
Nat Gas
Old Description
Petroleum
And the category path will be changing for the following codes:
Old Category
New Category
PA0014710
->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/
Heating oil->US Colonial pipeline
->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/Heating oil->
US east coast
->Products->Jet->US east coast
->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/
Heating oil->US Colonial pipeline
->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/Heating oil->
US east coast
PA0015177
->Products->Gasoline->
US Colonial pipeline
->Products->Gasoil/Diesel/Heating oil->
US Colonial pipeline
Finance
PA0014712
Softs and
Metals
Coal
PA-code
Editorial
Summary
Petroleum
This assessment appears on Platts Global Alert page 230, in the Crude Oil Marketwire,
the North American Crude and Products Scan, and in the Platts price database under the
code AASOK00.
24
In Depth
January 2015
Price Continuous
Description
type forward
PA0008541 1
PA0008541 2
PA0008542 1
PA0008542 2
>Products>Fuel
oil>Russia-Caspian
Fortnightly
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
USD/t
>Products>Fuel
oil->Russia-Caspian
>Products>Gasoil/
Diesel/Heating
oil>Central Asia
>Products>Gasoil/
Diesel/Heating
oil>Central Asia
>Product>Gasoil/
Diesel/Heating
oil>Central Asia
>Products>Gasoil/
Diesel/Heating
oil>Central Asia
Fortnightly
Fortnightly
Fortnightly
Fortnightly
Coal
USD/t
Nat Gas
PA0008540 2
New Frequency
Petroleum
Category
Power
PA0008540 1
Unit
Fortnightly
Softs and
Metals
Corrected description
Weather and
Emissions
Old description
Finance
Effective January 9, 2015, Argus corrected the code description for the
following assessment in Argus Petroleum Transportation North America. This series
is found in the dptr data file in the \DPTR folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.
PA-code
Editorial
PA-code
Summary
As of January 12, 2015, Argus changed the publishing frequency for the bunker assessments
below from weekly to fortnightly. These changes are reflected in Argus Caspian Market.
Petroleum
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
25
In Depth
January 2015
PA-code
Old description
New description
Petroleum
Power
Nat Gas
Softs and
Metals
RF
Finance
CP
RF
CP
January 2015
26
In Depth
Market
Analysis
RF
Data
Vendors
Weather and
Emissions
Coal
Editorial
Effective January 9, 2015, Argus updated code descriptions for the following
assessment in Argus Latin Markets. These series are found in the dlm data file in the
\DALM folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.
Summary
Petroleum
CP
CP
CP
CP
CP
CP
27
In Depth
January 2015
Market
Analysis
Data
Vendors
Weather and
Emissions
CP
Finance
Softs and
Metals
Coal
RF
Nat Gas
Petroleum
Power
CP
Editorial
Summary
Petroleum
RF
RF
RF
RF
RF
RF
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
PC
Weather and
Emissions
GXB
Finance
PC
Softs and
Metals
GXA
Coal
28
In Depth
January 2015
Nat Gas
European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options
European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option
European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option
CP
Petroleum
European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options
U9
Power
CP
Editorial
Summary
Petroleum
PC
GXZ
PC
RF
PT
EF
European Gasoil
(100mt) Bullet Futures
CM
European Diesel
10 ppm Barges FOB
Rdam (Platts) vs. Gasoil
Futures
European Diesel
10 ppm Barges FOB
AET
Rdam (Platts) vs. Low
Sulphur Gasoil Futures
EE
RF
RF
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
29
In Depth
January 2015
Coal
Nat Gas
GXM
Petroleum
PC
Power
European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options
GXC
Editorial
European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options
European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option
European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option
European Low
Sulphur Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Option
Summary
European Gasoil
Calendar Spread
Options
Petroleum
RF
CP
Nat Gas
Petroleum
CP
Coal
PC
EF
Finance
European-Style Low
F8
Sulphur Gasoil Option
Softs and
Metals
European-Style Gasoil
Options
AF7
Power
RF
Editorial
Singapore Gasoil
Singapore Gasoil (Platts)
(Platts) vs. Low
AGA
vs. Gasoil Futures
Sulphur Gasoil Futures
Summary
Petroleum
CP
Weather and
Emissions
RF
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
30
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Natural Gas
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Softs and
Metals
Platts has noted that, with growing demand from markets in South America and increased
European re-export activity to optimize cargoes arriving in both Southwest and Northwest
Europe, the region has become a balancing point for cargoes destined for both the Atlantic
and Pacific basins.
Finance
The new assessment is called the East Atlantic Market (EAM) published under the
code/symbol LEAMM01.
Weather and
Emissions
The EAM reflects a transactable value of spot LNG cargoes, freight normalized to a
Huelva/Gibraltar loading with a laycan corresponding to the current and front month in
half-month increments drawing on volumes originating from the following primary and
re-export locations in both Northwest and Southwest Europe, including the Mediterranean
and FOB cargoes sold on a ship-to-ship transfer basis.
Production regions are also included, such as Nigeria, Angola, Algeria, and Norway.
Market
Analysis
In Depth
January 2015
Data
Vendors
LNG DES spot transactions, traded in other regions including Middle East and Asia, along with
Atlantic delivery to Brazil and Argentina, may be considered in the assessment process when
and where appropriate.
Coal
The new monthly location can be found in the Northeast section of the Market Center Spot
Gas Prices table in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report, and Platts Natural Gas Alert
pages 433 and 495. Additionally, the new listing appears in the Northeast section of the
Market Center Bidweek Physical Basis Prices table in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report.
Nat Gas
Deliveries from Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line on the 30-inch, 36-inch, and 42-inch lines
from the Georgia/South Carolina border to the Virginia/Maryland border. Deliveries into
Transco at the Pleasant Valley receipt point near Fairfax, Virginia, from Dominions Cove Point
LNG terminal are not included.
Petroleum
Power
The description for the daily spot-gas point as published in the Platts methodology and
specifications guide is as follows:
Editorial
Trading in the delivered monthly market in Transcos zone 5, which extends from the
Georgia/South Carolina border to the Virginia/Maryland border, has demonstrated a level
that supports a robust pricing location. Platts previously published only daily spot-gas prices
for this location.
Summary
Natural Gas
The ZEMA graph below shows the natural gas price trend for Transco Zone 2 in comparison to
its annual average price between January 2013 January 2015 (NYMEX data). Prices peaked
at a little over $5 USD/MMBtu in February 2014 before eventually dipping to a low of around
$3 USD/MMBtu in January 2015. Similar analyses can be easily performed with ZEMA
through advanced built-in formulas. To learn more, book a complimentary ZEMA demo.
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
32
In Depth
January 2015
Power
To bring more transparency to the pricing region, Platts is adding a listing for the northern
portion of Transcos zone 6 non-NY, which will be composed of only transactions delivered
from Transco to markets and interconnects north of Station 195 in York, Pennsylvania,
excluding deliveries in the Leidy Hub area and to New York citygates downstream of Linden,
New Jersey.
Editorial
Summary
Natural Gas
Petroleum
There has been no change to the existing Platts listing for Transco, zone 6 non-NY, which is
composed of all non-NY delivered transactions both north and south of Station 195.
The description for the new location will be:
Transco, zone 6 non-NY North (daily and monthly survey)
Nat Gas
Coal
The Transco, zone 6 non-NY North listings can be found in the Northeast section of the
Market Center Spot Gas Prices table in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report, Energy Trader,
and Gas Daily Price Guide, in the Citygates section of Gas Dailys Daily price survey table,
and Platts Natural Gas Alert pages 433, 495 and 516. Additionally, the new listings will
appear in the Northeast section of the Market Center Bidweek Physical Basis Prices table
in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report.
See the original announcement.
Finance
Effective January 2, 2015, Platts launched daily and monthly bidweek price
survey sub-listings for Columbia Gas, Appalachia (Non-IPP) deliveries.
Data
Vendors
Deliveries to Columbia Gas Transmission from on-system production locations are restricted
from Columbias IPP pool (TCO pool). This pricing location does not include transactions for
gas delivered to Columbia from interconnects with other interstate pipeline systems.
Weather and
Emissions
Prices in the Columbia Gas Transmission system have bifurcated between those that are part
of the Columbia Gas Interruptible Paper Pool (IPP) and those that are not (Non-IPP).
Market
Analysis
The Columbia Gas, Appalachia (Non-IPP) listings will appear in the Columbia Gas
Transmission Corp. section of the Prices of Spot Gas Delivered to Pipelines table in Inside
FERCs Gas Market Report, Energy Trader and Gas Daily Price Guide, in the Appalachia
section of Gas Dailys Daily price survey table, and Platts Natural Gas Alert
pages 403, 482 and 511. Additionally, the new listings will appear in the Columbia Gas
33
In Depth
January 2015
Softs and
Metals
ZEMA collects more than 100 natural gas records from Platts alone. To learn more about the records ZEMA collects, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.
Editorial
ZEMA collects natural gas records from all over the world and from dozens of different data sources. To receive
a complimentary ZEMA demonstration, visit http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.
Summary
Natural Gas
Transmission Corp. section of the Bidweek Physical Basis Prices Delivered to Pipelines
table in Inside FERCs Gas Market Report.
Category
Frequency
Propane
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 Swaps NWE
month
USD/t
->LPG->Northwest
Europe->Propane
Daily
PA0002721 6
1, 2, 3
Propane
Swaps NWE
quarter
USD/t
->LPG->Northwest
Europe->Propane
Daily
PA0002722 6
1, 2, 3
Propane CP
swap month
USD/t
->LPG->Mideast
Gulf->Propane
Daily
1, 2, 3
Propane Far
East Index
swap month
USD/t
->LPG->AsiaPacific->Propane
Daily
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Coal
PA0002723 6
Nat Gas
Unit
PA0002720 6
Description
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Effective January 19, 2015, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group
launched the first suite of physically and financially settled European natural gas
cleared futures contracts. The contracts are now listed on CME Groups European exchange,
CME Europe, and are authorized and approved by the United Financial Conduct Authority.
In Depth
34
Market
Analysis
The new suite of physically and financially settled European natural gas contracts are the first
to be introduced on CME Europe since its launch in April with foreign exchange and biofuel
contracts. There will be four physically delivered and eight financially settled exchange-traded
natural gas futures on CME Europe. The physically delivered futures contracts are in the two
major natural gas hubs in Europe: the UK National Balancing Point (NBP) and the Dutch Title
Transfer Facility (TTF). The financially settled futures will be based on the ICIS Heren Natural
January 2015
Petroleum
PA-code
Power
Effective January 5, 2015, Argus added the midpoints (price type 8) to the
data feed for the propane swaps series below. These midpoints will exist in parallel with the
existing high/low price types (1 & 2) until the end of March 2015. The high low price types will
stop for these series after March 31, 2015. These series will be found in the dpgeurope and
dpg data file in the \DLPG folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.
Power
Frequency
1, 2 1, 2, 3
Propane Swaps
>LPG>Northwest
USD/t
NWE month
Europe>Propane
Daily
1, 2 1, 2, 3
Propane Swaps
>LPG>Northwest
USD/t
NWE month
Europe>Propane
Daily
1, 2 1, 2, 3
Propane Far
>LPG>Northwest
East Index swap USD/t
Europe>Propane
month
Daily
PA0002722 6
Softs and
Metals
PA0002721 6
Coal
Daily
1, 2
Finance
PA0002723 6
Category
Propane Swaps
>LPG>Northwest
USD/t
NWE month
Europe>Propane
PA0002720 6
1, 2, 3, 4,
5, 6
Unit
Nat Gas
Petroleum
Effective March 31, 2015, Argus will stop the following price types (high and low).
These will stop for these series but the midpoints introduced in January 2015 will
continue beyond March 31. These series will be found in the dpgeurope and dpg data file in
the \DLPG folder of ftp.argusmedia.com.
PA-code
Editorial
ZEMA collects more than a dozen natural gas reports from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. For further information, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/.
Summary
Natural Gas
Gas Indexes for UK, Dutch, Austrian, and German natural gas hubs. The natural gas contracts
will be available on Clearport and Globex and distributed via the Trayport platform alongside
other exchange products.
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
35
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Natural Gas
Power
Petroleum
Code
Rule
Chapter
8F
436
Transco Zone 2 Natural Gas (Platts Gas Daily/Platts IFERC) Index Futures
L7
443
X3
648
FDM
1072
Coal
Contract
Nat Gas
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
36
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Coal
Editorial
PA0015601
PA0015602
PA0015603
Unit
Category
Frequency
USD/t ->Coal->Baltic
Weekly
USD/t ->Coal->Baltic
Weekly
PA0015600
Continuous
Description
forward
Coal PCI low-vol
0
fob Baltic
Coal PCI mid-vol
0
fob Baltic
Coal PCI low-vol
0
cif ARA
Coal PCI mid-vol
0
cif ARA
Nat Gas
Time Price
stamp type
Petroleum
PA-code
Power
Effective January 14, 2015, Argus introduced the following new series to the
Argus Steel Feedstocks publication and data module. The following PA codes details
now appear in the DSteelFeedstocks module in the DSteelFeedstocks folder
on ftp.argusmedia.com.
ZEMA graph below shows the weekly coal production rate in United States between January
2012 and January 2015 (EIA data). In 2012 and 2013, the production of coal shows high
volatility in months of April-May and August-September, as compared to same months in
2014. In 2014, net coal production is less volatile as compared to average coal production.
Easily customizable graphs like this can be built in ZEMA, to create simple or complex
analyses and make effective decisions. To learn more, book a complimentary demonstration.
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
37
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Power
SOFTS
CME Lists Cocoa Futures
Cocoa future
CCP
JX
CCC
JX
Coal
FIX/FAST and iLink: tag 1151-Security FIX/FAST and iLink: tag 55-Symbol
Group MDP 3.0: tag 6937-Asset
MDP 3.0 tag 1151 - Security Group
Nat Gas
Product
Petroleum
In the first quarter of 2015, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Europe
has listed the following Cocoa futures for trading on CME Globex and for clearing
submission via CME ClearPort:
Finance
The ZEMA graph below shows historical NYMEX cocoa future settlement prices
(NYMEX Code: CJ) on a weekly basis from January 19, 2014 January19, 2015. The data
is represented in $USD/ton and ranges from a high of just over $3,200 USD/ton in the third
week of September 2014 to a low of around $2,725 USD/ton in the third week of January
2015. The prices in the third week of January 2015 were the lowest point of the previous
365 days.
Softs and
Metals
ZEMA regularly collects more than 100 data reports on softs. To learn more about ZEMAs extensive data coverage, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
38
In Depth
January 2015
Nat Gas
Petroleum
ICE Futures US also lists a US-based cocoa contract, which will continue to trade unchanged.
Power
For customers wishing to transfer existing London cocoa open interest positions, ICE Futures
Europe will facilitate transfers of open interest between the contracts via a block trading
facility. For contract months with both pound sterling and euro contracts listed, ICE Futures
Europe will apply accountability levels and delivery limits across the two contracts on a
combined basis. The physical terms of the contract will remain identical in all delivery months,
with the only difference being currency.
Editorial
Summary
Softs and
Metals
Finance
PHAPQ00
DOP FD NWE
HPAPS00
Weather and
Emissions
TOCOM and Nikkei have removed Raw Sugar Futures as a component of the Nikkei-TOCOM
Commodity Index, the Nikkei-TOCOM Nearby Month Commodity Index, and the Nikkei-TOCOM
39
In Depth
January 2015
Market
Analysis
Power
Listing Schedule
Termination of Trading
Three business days prior to the delivery day. Business days are
based on the US and Hong Kong public holiday calendars.
Delivery Day
$0.10
$3.215
April 2015
10 contracts
Data
Vendors
Contract Size
Weather and
Emissions
114
Finance
Rulebook Chapter
Softs and
Metals
GCK
Coal
Commodity Code
Nat Gas
Petroleum
Market
Analysis
40
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
METALS
COMEX Lists Gold Kilo Futures Contract
Summary
Agricultural Product & Sugar Index and revised the respective component weightings. The
Nikkei-TOCOM Raw Sugar Index has also been discontinued.
Editorial
China has emerged as a major exporter wire rod to the region in recent years. Platts is seeking
to refocus its market reporting on FOB China price assessments for this steel product.
Summary
Effective February 27, 2015, Platts will discontinue publication of the monthly
price assessment of Wire Rod Mesh Quality CFR East Asia (SB01245).
Power
Petroleum
As of December 31, 2014, Platts has ceased to publish the daily Kuala Lumpur
tin price (MMAAY10). This price, published in US cents/lb, is a converted number
from the actual KLTM price (MMAYA00) published in US $/mt, using the daily
Malaysian Ringgit exchange rate (MCAAG00).
Nat Gas
As such, please note that Platts has ceased to publish all three codes that are linked to the
same KLTM price.
As Platts has reported, this is not a Platts assessment, but a third-party exchange
price obtained from the Kuala Lumpur Tin Market that can now be obtained from the KLTM
official website.
Coal
Finance
The discontinuation reflects the shift in lump term contracts between Chinese mills
and Australian producers to being priced-based on the average of the Platts Spot Lump
Premium (IOCLP00), rather than being negotiated on a quarterly basis.
See the original announcement.
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
41
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Effective December 18, 2014, Platts no longer publishes the weekly FOB
China ferrotungsten price assessment (MMAHL00) or the weekly FOB China
tungsten APT price assessment (MMAHF00).
See the original announcement.
New Description
PA5000019
PA5000144
PA5000282
Flotta snapshot
PA5000450
Finance
Old Description
Softs and
Metals
PA Code
Coal
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
42
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Finance
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
On January 13, 2015, the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) announced
that it began disseminating values for three new volatility indexes that CBOE
calculates using the prices of CME Dollar/Euro, Dollar/British Pound, and Dollar/Japanese
Yen futures options.
Coal
The CBOE/CME FX Euro Volatility IndexSM (symbol: EUVIX), the CBOE/CME FX British Pound
Volatility IndexSM (symbol: BPVIX), and the CBOE/CME FX Yen Volatility IndexSM (symbol:
JYVIX) are the first benchmarks to track the volatility of foreign exchange (FX) futures options.
The underlying options are the most liquid FX options traded at the CME, and in 2014,
accounted for a combined 80% of the over 15 million total currency options traded at CME.
Softs and
Metals
The value of each Index is derived from applying the proprietary CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)
methodology to the CME Groups FX options on Dollar/Euro, Dollar/BP, and
Dollar/Yen futures.
Code
ILS
PLE
PLN
ETR
TRM
43
In Depth
January 2015
Market
Analysis
Contract
Data
Vendors
Effective January 12, 2015, ICE added five new currency pairs to its lineup
of forex contracts. The following contracts are being traded on ICE Futures US:
Weather and
Emissions
ZEMA collects many records from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange regarding Chicago Board of Trade financial
information, including the CBOT Futures daily price record. To learn more about how to transform this collected data into
useful market intelligence, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/market-analyzer/.
Finance
Editorial
Power
The ZEMA graph below demonstrates how five foreign exchanges have behaved over the past
five years. The red line represents the Israeli ILS; the two blue lines represent the Polish zloty
over the Euro and US dollar; the two gray lines represent the Turkish Iira over the Euro and US
dollar. In each case, the exchange with the US dollar is always valued beneath the Euro. This
is a straight exchange conversion using data from Bank of Canada.
Summary
Finance
These contracts will trade alongside the ICE US Dollar Index (USDX) future, the most widely
recognized US dollar benchmark and ICEs offering of nearly 60 currency contracts. They also
join ICEs offering of emerging market currency contracts, which include the Brazilian real,
Colombian peso, Indian rupee, Mexican peso, and Russian ruble.
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
ZEMA collects 130 ICE records. To learn more about how ZEMA can collect, aggregate, and analyze data,
book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration now at http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.
Market
Analysis
In Depth
January 2015
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
CORRA is a measure of the average cost of overnight collateralized funding, and is widely
used as the reference for overnight indexed swaps and related futures. CORRA is set as the
volume weighted average rate of overnight repo transactions, conducted on-screen through
designated inter-dealer brokers, which involve general (non-specific) Government of
Canada collateral.
Editorial
CDOR is determined daily from a survey of bid-side rates provided by seven principal
market-makers, including the major Canadian banks. CDOR is also used to determine
interest payments on approximately USD$9 trillion of interest rate swaps, CAD$750 billion in
exchange traded derivatives, and CAD$130 billion in floating-rate notes (FRNs).
Summary
CDOR is the recognized financial benchmark in Canada for bankers acceptances (BAs) with a
term of maturity of one year or less, and represents the rate at which banks are willing to lend
to companies against primary BA issuance to clients with existing credit facilities that
reference CDOR.
Finance
Thomson Reuters was appointed as the administrator for both of these benchmarks following
a tender process that was announced by the Canadian Bankers Association and the
Investment Industry Association of Canada on June 2, 2014.
Coal
Thomson Reuters currently calculates and distributes CDOR; it assumed the role of
CDOR administrator on December 31, 2014 and is working to assume the role of CORRA
administrator, calculation agent and publication agent by March 31, 2015.
See the original announcement.
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
ZEMA collects more than 300 financial records from many different sources including several from Bloomberg. To stay
informed on the latest financial developments, try ZEMA now by booking a free demonstration:
http://www.ze.com/book-a-demo/.
Market
Analysis
45
In Depth
January 2015
ISIN
LU1109942653
0.35 percent
Distribution policy
non-distributing
Benchmark
Coal
Asset class
Nat Gas
ISIN
LU1109939865
0.35 percent
Distribution policy
non-distributing
Benchmark
Data
Vendors
Weather and
Emissions
Asset class
Finance
Softs and
Metals
The db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield 1-3 Bond UCITS ETF is available for investors who
prefer corporate bonds with a remaining maturity of one to three years.
ETF name
Market
Analysis
The db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield Bond Short Daily UCITS ETF enables
investors to participate in the inverse performance of the Markit iBoxx EUR Liquid
High Yield reference index.
46
In Depth
January 2015
Petroleum
ETF name
Power
The db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield Bond UCITS ETF tracks the performance of the largest
and most liquid corporate bonds denominated in euros. Bonds from euro-zone and
non-euro-zone companies with an outstanding minimum volume of 250 million plus a
remaining time to maturity of between two and 10.5 years are admitted to the reference
index. All the corporate bonds have sub-investment grade ratings with a fixed or
variable interest rate.
Editorial
Summary
Finance
LU1109944352
0.35 percent
Distribution policy
non-distributing
Benchmark
Markit Short iBoxx EUR Liquid High Yield Total Return Index
Petroleum
ISIN
Power
Editorial
Asset class
Summary
db x-trackers II iBoxx EUR High Yield Bond Short Daily UCITS ETF
Finance
ETF name
Nat Gas
Coal
Effective January 12, 2015, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and
MYRA Capital announced the launch of the new NYSE Dynamic Allocation Indices family to
fulfill the increasing demand for innovative index solutions combined with an intelligent risk
management and dynamic beta-management.
Softs and
Metals
The new NYSE Dynamic Allocation Index strategies are designed for a variety of investment
vehicles, including separately managed accounts, mutual funds and ETFs. The first index is
dedicated to the US market and will combine a dynamic allocation to either the NYSE US
Large Cap Equal Weight Index or the NYSE Current 10 Year US Treasury Index.
Finance
The new index is currently being calculated and published in real-time through the
NYSE Global Index Feed (GIF), available on all major market data platforms.
See the original announcement.
Weather and
Emissions
ZEMA currently collects commodity futures data from NYSE. To learn about how to leverage ZEMAs power to collect,
aggregate, and transform stock market data using ZEMA, visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/.
Market
Analysis
On January 9, 2015, Nasdaq announced that First Trust will transfer the
First Trust Value Line Equity Allocation Index Fund (Symbol: FVI) from NYSE Arca is now listed
on The Nasdaq Stock Market. The funds new investment objective will seek investment
results that correspond generally to the price and yield (before the funds fees and expenses)
of the Nasdaq AlphaDEX Total US Market Index. The new fund is now referred to as the First
Trust Total US Market AlphaDEX ETF (Symbol: TUSA).
Data
Vendors
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Finance
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Finance
Softs and
Metals
EBS will offer two fixed date EOM contracts at any time, with settlement dates set for the last
business day of that month and the following month respectively.
Coal
The Indian rupee (INR) contract, which is initially being launched off-SEF will be a liquid fixed
date contract which replicates the structure of a futures contract and aligns with INR futures
dates. The liquidity and tenor will be particularly appealing to customers that do not have
access to a futures exchange for executing orders and hedging. The EOM INR NDF offers open
access to all EBS participants that are able to trade off- SEF and will complement the existing
one month O/R.
Weather and
Emissions
ZEMA regularly collects more than 50 data reports from ICAP which can be incorporated into powerful
analyses and forward curves before being pushed to downstream systems. For further information, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-suite/.
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
48
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Finance
Power
Softs and
Metals
Coal
Nasdaq plans to expand the service to also include Danish Krona, Norwegian Krona, and Euro
denominated instruments during 2015. Buy-side firms can access the OTC clearing service
through approved OTC clearing members.
Nat Gas
On December 19, 2014, Nasdaq Clearing announced that Swedbank Robur, the largest
Swedish fund manager, has started clearing of Interest Rate Swaps through the clearing broker Swedbank. The OTC instruments available for clearing are Swedish Krona denominated
Interest Rate Swaps, Overnight Index Swaps and Forward Rate Agreements.
Petroleum
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
EBS and SGX will initially offer customers access to SGX listed currency derivatives via the EBS
platforms, to be cleared by SGX. Through this collaboration, customers will be able to execute
and clear selected SGX Asian FX Futures contracts in specific large sizes called Negotiated
Large Trades. Subject to respective regulatory approvals, EBS and SGX plan to implement this
initiative in the third quarter of 2015. EBS is also exploring the opportunity to establish an
additional matching engine in Singapore, to be located in an SGX hosted facility, which would
facilitate the execution of joint business opportunities and product offerings.
Weather and
Emissions
The collaboration between SGX and EBS will strengthen the liquidity in both the FX OTC and
futures markets in Asia. Together EBS and SGX will develop new business opportunities and
product offerings leveraging each of their unique assets, market presence, and relationships
throughout Asia.
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
As of January 5, 2015, Platts has started publishing daily assessments for eight
types and vintages of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides emission allowances for each year
2015 and 2016 created by the US Environmental Protection Agencys Cross-State Air
Pollution Rule (CSAPR).
Softs and
Metals
The assessments, which replaced those for 2012 and 2013, respectively, follow a return to
relevancy of the federal emissions program due to the lifting of a stay by the US Court of
Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit for the EPAs CSAPR program in October.
Finance
The new assessments appear daily in Coal Trader and Megawatt Daily.
For 2015, Group 1 SO2 allowances will be listed under the code ESO2115; Group 2 SO2
allowances will be listed under the code ESO2215; Seasonal NOx allowances will be
listed under the code ENOXS15; and Annual NOx allowances will be listed under the code
ENOXA15.
Data
Vendors
For 2016, the codes will be the same except the final digit will be 6. Platts will expire its daily
assessments for its Year 1 CSAPR allowances on the last business day of February of the
following year. For example, CSAPR allowances for 2015 and 2016 will be assessed up to
and including February 29, 2016. On March 1, 2016, CSAPR allowances for 2016 and 2017
will be assessed daily by Platts.
See the original announcement.
Market
Analysis
ZEMA collects over 200 weather market records containing information about hydrology, actual and
forecast weather data, and more. To learn more about ZEMAs data coverage,
visit http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.
50
In Depth
January 2015
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
AccuWeather MinuteCast is currently available for the contiguous United States, Canada,
Japan, Ireland, France, Germany, Belgium, Switzerland, Netherlands, Luxembourg, the United
Kingdom, and parts of the Czech Republic, with additional locations to come. AccuWeather
for Android Wear, and for Android smartphones and tablets, is available from Google Play.
Editorial
AccuWeathers app for Android Wear features AccuWeather MinuteCast, the only
global minute-by-minute precipitation forecast for a persons exact street address or GPS
location. AccuWeather MinuteCast includes precipitation type and intensity, as well as start
and end times for precipitation, and gives users by-the-minute precipitation forecasts for the
next two hours.
Summary
Coal
Softs and
Metals
The ZEMA graph below shows an annual comparison between January 2014 vs. January 2015
of the total precipitation across British Columbia (Environment Canada data). Precipitation
levels reached a high of 23mm for January 2015, as opposed to a high of 19mm for 2014.
For values after January 26, 2015, a trend line was created using data from the same time
period. To learn more, book a complimentary ZEMA demonstration.
51
In Depth
January 2015
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Editorial
Since the last issue of ZE DataWatch, ZE has added numerous data reports published by
NEISO, CAISO MRTU, OMIP, OMIClear, EPEX, ERCOT Nodal, SPP IMT, RBC, RTE France, the
Federal Reserve, and Gaspoint Nordic. The 42 NEISO reports span a wide range of electricity
data including real-time and day-ahead NCPC payment, settlement, and generator posturing
reports. The four CAISO MRTU reports concern scheduling point/tie combination LMP data.
And the OMIP reports include MIBEL futures and options as well as daily and hourly spot
prices and volumes. These expansions of ZEs data collection targets have been implemented
in response to a need for more varied and timely electricity-related data. As well, additional
currency-based reports are now being collected in the form of benchmark CAD CMS rates
from RBC and St. Louis ICE Libor rates from the Federal Reserve.
Summary
For 20 years, ZE PowerGroup Inc. (ZE) has consistently kept up to date on the latest in energy
and commodity data changes. ZE collects data from vendors spanning the weather, oil,
natural gas, electricity, agriculture, and finance industries, including Platts, Argus, the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the New York Mercantile Exchange, the Intercontinental
Exchange, and OPEC. ZE then provides its clients with access to both public (free subscription)
and private data reports, including reports that are collected based on clients specific needs.
http://www.iso-ne.com/markets-operations
Finance
http://www.caiso.com/1798/1798ea1b23080.html
http://www.omip.pt/OMIP/tabid/62/language/en-GB/Default.aspx
Weather and
Emissions
http://www.epexspot.com/en/market-data
http://www.ercot.com/mktinfo
http://www.spp.org/section.asp?pageid=3
https://www.rbccm.com/fixedincomenotes/cmsbenchmarkrates/
http://www.rte-france.com/en/accueil
http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/default.htm
Market
Analysis
http://www.gaspointnordic.com/market-data
To see the full list of ZEMA data providers, visit
http://www.ze.com/the-zema-solutions/data-coverage/.
52
In Depth
January 2015
Summary
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Softs and
Metals
At the event, attendees will discover how the advanced visualization functionalities of the
ZEMA-FutureSource solution empower front-, middle-, and back-office personnel to quickly
respond to rapid changes in markets and conditions. Additionally, IDCO provides users with
the enhanced ability to chart and analyze market content, display powerful forward curves
built with ZEMA, and easily export this information to Excel for further analysis.
Coal
On February 19, 2015, ZE will co-host a Lunch and Learn with partner Interactive Data
Corporation (IDCO), a provider of financial information services, from 10:30 a.m. - 2:00 p.m.
at Willie Gs Seafood and Steaks in Houston, TX. At the event, ZE and IDCO will demonstrate
the benefits of the integrated ZEMA-FutureSource solution, which enables clients to access
ZEMAs data collection and curve management tools within FutureSource terminals.
Nat Gas
Weather and
Emissions
Click here to register for this upcoming Lunch and Learn. To find out more about the ZEMAFutureSource solution, watch the recentwebinar video.
Finance
Waleed El-Ramly, Chief Product Officer at ZE, will be present at the Lunch and Learn to
demonstrate to attendees the advantages and functionalities of an integrated ZEMAFutureSource solution. As well, Jim Ekstrand, IDCOs Senior Product Manager, will be assisting
with the product demonstration at the event.
Market
Analysis
53
In Depth
January 2015
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Weather and
Emissions
Market
Analysis
About Powernext:
Powernext is a regulated market operating under AMF supervision. Powernext manages the
natural gas activities of the EEX Group under the PEGAS brand throughout Europe, and
operates the National Registry for electricity guarantees of origin in France. Powernext owns
50% in EPEX SPOT, 20% in EEX Power Derivatives and 1.5% in ECC. For more information:
www.powernext.com
Finance
About EEX:
EEX Group provides the central market platform for energy, energy related and commodity
products and enables access to a network of over 350 trading participants. The offering of the
group comprises contracts for Energy, Environmentals, Freight, Metals and Agriculturals listed
at the European Energy Exchange, EPEX SPOT, Powernext, Cleartrade and Gaspoint Nordic.
Clearing and settlement of transactions concluded or registered on the exchanges is provided
by the central clearing house European Commodity Clearing. EEX is part of Deutsche-Brse
Group. For more information: www.eex.com
54
In Depth
About PEGAS:
PEGAS is the central gas trading platform of EEX Group, operated by Powernext. PEGAS
provides its members with access to all products on one single platform and allows them to
January 2015
Petroleum
The change in Powernexts shareholding structure has been formally validated by its General
Assembly. Therefore, with effect from January 1, 2015, EEX is majority shareholder of
Powernext holding 55.8 percent of the shares.
Power
Dr. Egbert Laege, the newly appointed Executive Director Gas Markets of EEX Group, adds:
The successful migration shows the high level of commitment of our members. Harmonizing
the offering is an important step and a perfect launch pad for future developments of PEGAS.
Editorial
Peter Reitz, Chief Executive Officer of EEX, and Jean-Franois Conil-Lacoste, Chief Executive
Officer of Powernext, comment: With this step, EEX Group facilitates access to all natural gas
products available on PEGAS and provides trading for major European gas hubs on one
platform with only one Powernext membership. This development serves our vision of a
pan-European natural gas offering.
Summary
Leipzig, Paris, January 6, 2015 The European Energy Exchange (EEX) and Powernext have
successfully migrated all active EEX gas market members representing 100 percent of the
NCG and GASPOOL Open Interest to Powernext on January 1, 2015. As of now, all natural gas
activities of the EEX Group are operated by Powernext under the brand PEGAS. In total,
154 participants are now admitted to trading natural gas products on PEGAS. The formal
transfer of the majority shares in Powernext to EEX has been completed.
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Summary
trade natural gas contracts in the Belgian, Dutch, French and German market areas. The
product range of PEGAS covers spot and derivatives contracts for the major European gas
hubs as well as trading in location spread products between these market areas. This setup
enables market harmonization and forms the leading pan-European natural gas market. For
more information: www.pegas-trading.com
Nat Gas
Houston, January 12, 2015 Global energy and commodity price reporting agency Argus
has bought MetalPrices.com, one of the worlds largest providers of metals market
information. The acquired online service includes proprietary price assessments, futures
prices and other exchange data, and third-party assessments of market prices around the
world. The acquisition will further increase the range of Argus information available to the
metals sector.
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Argus Media chairman and chief executive Adrian Binks said: MetalPrices is a natural fit for
Argus expanding energy and commodities portfolio. In recent years we have increased our
metals coverage to include iron ore, coking coal and metallurgical coke services as well as
coverage of the ferro-alloy, minor metals and rare earth markets through our purchase of
Metal-Pages in May 2014. This acquisition complements this and extends Argus global
coverage of metals markets.
Weather and
Emissions
MetalPrices.com president Marc Dulin said: We are delighted to become part of Argus as it
deepens its metals coverage. The MetalPrices service will go from strength to strength with the
benefit of Argus international reputation, technical resources and global editorial team, which
we are all excited to join.
Terms of the acquisition were not disclosed.
Market
Analysis
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Bogota, January 20, 2015 Colombias mining regulatory agency ANM has started pricing
coking coal for royalty calculations using price assessments published by global energy and
commodity news and price reporting agency Argus. This expands Colombias innovative use
of market-based tax calculations to the coking coal sector and is joined by enhanced use of
Argus indexation in the thermal coal tax formula.
Summary
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Argus freight assessments have also been incorporated into Colombias coal royalties for
thermal coal produced in the central region of the country, joining the Argus/IHS McCloskey
API 2 index for this calculation. Argus assessment of Panamax rates from Colombia to
Rotterdam will be used to calculate a netback price from the northwest Europe trading hub.
These freight assessments are available in Argus Coal Daily International and Argus Freight.
Coal
Argus exclusively publishes these fob Colombia coking coal price assessments, which Latin
Americas coal markets have rapidly adopted for robust, reliable price indexation. The
assessments are published in Argus Steel Feedstocks, a service covering coking coal, iron ore
and ferrous scrap markets around the world.
Nat Gas
Colombian authorities will begin using Argus fob Colombia coking coal price assessments to
calculate market values for export shipments from the countrys coal mines. Colombias
market-based pricing will benefit all stakeholders in the countrys coal industry during a
period of historically low prices. The Colombian program will provide relief for producers while
coal prices are low, keeping these industries competitive in international markets. And it will
ensure that the Colombian sector benefits when coking coal prices recover.
Weather and
Emissions
Argus price assessments are used extensively by governments as independent references for
taxation and other purposes, Argus Media chairman and chief executive Adrian Binks said.
We fully expect other growing and liberalising economies in Latin America to take similar
steps in the near future.
Colombia is one of the top coal exporters in the world, and is the third-biggest exporter of
coking coal in the Americas. Coking coal is used to make metallurgical coke, which is a
feedstock in primary steel production.
56
In Depth
January 2015
Market
Analysis
Argus coal price assessments are widely used in physical and derivative contracts around the
world. Its transparent price assessment methodology has been increasingly adopted
throughout the Americas and globally. Argus price assessments are used by major energy
producers and consumers as price references in long-term supply contracts, and by market
Power
Editorial
Request more information on Argus fob Colombia coking coal, freight rates and other Argus
price assessments.
Summary
Petroleum
The Korean emissions trading scheme currently includes 525 companies, accounting for 68%
of the countrys total greenhouse gas emissions.
Softs and
Metals
Coal
The South Koreas cap-and-trade system started on January 1, 2015, and is part of the countrys goal to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 30 per cent to 2020 compared to business-as-usual levels. This objective equates to a 4% reduction below 2005 emissions levels.
Nat Gas
On January 19, 2015, Carbon Market Data announced the launch of the South Korea Emissions Trading Scheme Database.
Finance
57
In Depth
January 2015
Market
Analysis
Data
Vendors
Paris / Leipzig / Bern / Vienna, January 19, 2015 The shareholder structure of the
European Power Exchange EPEX SPOT SE has changed: The holding HGRT of European
Transmission System Operators Elia (Belgium), RTE (France) and Tennet (Netherlands) has
taken a 36.7% share in EPEX SPOT. The shares originate from EEX which now holds 13.3%
(formerly 50%). In exchange, EEX Group has received the 53% stake of HGRT in French Energy
Exchange Powernext. The share of Powernext in EPEX SPOT remains unchanged at 50%;
EEX is indirect majority shareholder of EPEX SPOT. The change has become effective on
January 1, 2015.
Weather and
Emissions
Transmission System Operators Elia, RTE and Tennet Jointly take 36.7%
Share in EPEX SPOT
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
The European Power Exchange EPEX SPOT SE operates the power spot markets for Germany,
France, Austria and Switzerland (Day-Ahead and Intraday). Together these countries account
for more than one third of the European power consumption. EPEX SPOT also acts as market
operating service provider for the Hungarian Power Exchange HUPX and operates the coupling
between the Czech, the Slovak, the Hungarian and the Romanian markets on behalf of the
local Exchanges. It is a European company (Societas Europaea) based in Paris with branches
in Leipzig, Bern and Vienna. Over 220 companies from Europe are active on EPEX SPOT. 382
TWh have been traded on EPEX SPOTs markets in 2014.
Summary
The deeper integration with TSOs supports EPEX SPOT in the coupling of the European power
market. After the launch of the respective national Power Exchanges in France and Germany
and the creation of the first transnational Power Exchange in continental Europe EPEX SPOT in
2008, the new shareholder structure sets the foundations for further growth of EPEX SPOT.
direct shareholders of EPEX SPOT, with six seats out of the twelve Supervisory Board
members, as they play a key role in integrating the European power market, underlines
Jean-Franois Conil-Lacoste, Chairman of the Management Board of EPEX SPOT and
Executive Director Power Spot Markets of EEX. At the same time, we reinforce our roots as an
Exchange and become part of the EEX Group.
Coal
Softs and
Metals
With increasing intermittent production from RES, power markets in Europe are in need for
flexibility. As a result, Intraday trading volumes have multiplied tenfold in the past five years.
58
In Depth
January 2015
Market
Analysis
In parallel to this development of RES, the European energy sector undergoes a fundamental
transformation, with the ongoing liberalization of national power markets and the creation of
an internal energy market. Against this background, EPEX SPOT discusses the following
topics, amongst other things:
Weather and
Emissions
The support scheme via direct marketing in Germany exists since the amendment of the
EEG Law (Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz) in 2012 and is a central element of the 2014 EEG
amendment. It is also one of the key elements of the French energy transition act which will be
discussed in the Senate from February on.
Finance
Paris / Berlin, January 20, 2015 The French-German Office for Renewable Energies
(DFBEE/OFAEnR), in cooperation with the European Power Exchange EPEX SPOT, has issued a
background paper on direct marketing of renewable energy sources (RES). The paper analyzes
market-based support schemes of renewable energy in France and Germany. It is available in
German and in French.
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Since its creation in 2006 by the governments of Germany and France, the French-German
Office for Renewable Energies (DFBEE / OFAEnR) has continuously developed in order
to facilitate the exchange of information and proven methods between its members and to
build bridges between the stakeholders from industry and politics of both countries. Today,
the Office focuses on the RES with all their potential wind, solar and biogas as well as on
many topics close to the energy transition such as electricity grids, energy storage, security of
supply and RES market integration. The work of the DFBEE / OFAEnR is supported by companies, industry associations and the governments of both countries. The offices in Berlin and
Paris are integrated in the Bundesministerium fr Wirtschaft und Energie and the Ministre de
lcologie, du Dveloppement durable et de lnergie which facilitates a close connection with
political stakeholders.
Power
The European Power Exchange EPEX SPOT SE operates the power spot markets for Germany, France, Austria and Switzerland (Day-Ahead and Intraday). Together these countries
account for more than one third of the European power consumption. EPEX SPOT also acts as
market operating service provider for the Hungarian Power Exchange HUPX and operates the
coupling between the Czech, the Slovak, the Hungarian and the Romanian markets on behalf
of the local Exchanges. It is a European company (Societas Europaea) based in Paris with
branches in Leipzig, Bern and Vienna. Over 220 companies from Europe are active on EPEX
SPOT. 382 TWh have been traded on EPEX SPOTs markets in 2014.
Editorial
On January 29, the German-French Office for Renewable Energies organizes a conference on
the Development of support schemes and market integration of renewable energy sources in
France and Germany (program available in German and in French). It will take place in Berlin
in the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy. EPEX SPOT will speak about the role of
the Exchange for market integration of renewables.
Summary
Direct marketing improves the market integration of RES. It delivers an incentive for an
optimized production forecast and for load-based injection, being beneficial for the system.
Weather and
Emissions
59
In Depth
January 2015
Market
Analysis
Charleston, January 27, 2015 Speedwell Weather is pleased to announce the continued
expansion of the Speedwell Commodity Product. The latest addition focuses on increasing
surface observation density in the important coffee producing regions of Brazil and Columbia.
By expanding our access to surface observations in the key growing regions we are better able
to understand the weather conditions impacting the crop. For each new observation point we
are offering the standard suite of services including historical cleaned observations, ongoing
cleaned observations, and Speedwell downscaled forecasts.
Editorial
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Summary
Accounting for about 33% of global coffee production the importance of the Brazilian coffee
crop is undeniable. The latest additions focus mainly on southern Minas Gerias and the
surrounding areas where 60% of the Brazilian Arabica is grown as well as the important
Medillin, Armenia and Manizales (MAM) region in Colombia which is where the famed soft
Arabica beans are grown.
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Founded in 1999, Speedwell Weather provides quality weather data, weather forecasts,
software, and consultancy. From offices in the UK and the USA we serve clients world-wide
in sectors including weather-risk management, energy, Insurance, and agriculture. Our data
products include SuperPack, which provides unlimited access to our thousands of high
quality world-wide weather data sets. Speedwell Weather is the dominant settlement agent
for parametric weather risk contracts world-wide.
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Market
Analysis
60
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
Power
Summary
Petroleum
Nat Gas
The price of oil continues to drop, despite reassurances from OPEC that the oil market may
have finally found its bottom and should be on its way back up. Both Brent and WTI fell to a
six-year low on Friday, January 23, 2015, at $50 USD/bbl and $48 USD/bbl, respectively.
The spread between WTI and Brent futures is also getting smaller, decreasing by over 80%
from $12 USD/bbl at the beginning of 2014 to $2 USD/bbl in January 2015. (Reuters)
Softs and
Metals
Finance
Brent oil prices are already down 17% for the year, as global supply growth continues to
outpace demand. OPEC decided not to lower its production quota in November, placing more
pressure on non-OPEC producers, such as the United States and Canada, to reduce output.
Coal
In January 2015, data from NYMEX prompt-month future settlements showed that Brent
and WTI oil prices traded near four-year lowsBrent and WTI traded at $43 USD/Bbl and
$37 USD/Bbl below the last 12-month average. Furthermore, the last 12-month averages
for Brent and WTI on NYMEX dropped to $96 USD/Bbl and $90 USD/Bbl, respectively. The
Brent-WTI spread (represented by the purple area in the graph above) sat at $2 USD/Bbl this
month, which was $4 USD/Bbl below the last 12-month average of $6 USD/Bbl.
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
61
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
Power
Summary
Petroleum
Coal
Softs and
Metals
Oil has declined rapidly since mid-June, as persistent output growth from the United States,
along with sustained OPEC production, have overlapped with a decrease in global demand.
Despite plunging oil prices, OPEC defended its November decision to maintain its official
crude petroleum ceiling of 30 million barrels per day rather than cut production to cushion
prices. By keeping the production at the current level, there wont be enough push to bring
down the prices when considering global demand.
Nat Gas
The prices of crude for delivery over the next two years are falling as the price of oil continues
to slide, with January 2015s average forward prices for both Brent and WTI around $10 to
$15 USD/bbl cheaper than forward prices in December 2014. The price of WTI for delivery
in February 2015 dropped from $59 USD/bbl to $48 USD/bbl this month, while the price of
Brent dropped from $63 USD/bbl to $50 USD/bbl.
Finance
Weather and
Emissions
Data
Vendors
Market
Analysis
62
In Depth
January 2015
Editorial
Summary
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Softs and
Metals
Finance
When compared to the first 23 days of December 2014, the average prices decreased as
temperatures warmed and demand declined. Prices fell from $4.20 USD/MMBtu in Chicago
to $3.17 USD/MMBtu, from $3.65 USD/MMBtu in Henry Hub to $2.96 USD/MMBtu, and
from $3.65 USD/MMBtu in Californias PG&E Citygate to $2.96 USD/MMBtu. Comparing
January 2015 prices to last years prices, monthly average gas prices decreased in New Yorks
Z6, Chicago Citygates, Henry Hub, and PG&E by 27%, 27%, 32%, and 28%, respectively. In
the first three weeks of January 2015, Transco Zone 6 was the most volatile hub with prices
ranging from $6.4 USD/MMBtu on January 12 to $8.5 USD/MMBtu on January 23.
Coal
On the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), prices remained at the consistently low level
across Henry Hub, PG&E Citygate, and Chicago Citygate. Northeastern Gas, as represented by
Transco Zone 6, was $8.41 USD/bbl as of January 23, 2015, where (EIA) prices rose in
anticipation of a blizzard.
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January 2015
Editorial
Summary
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
In line with EIAs short-term forecast that Henry Hub natural gas prices would be around
$3.52 USD/MMBtu this winter and $3.44 USD/MMBtu in 2015, Henry Hub natural gas
futures for the next 12 delivery periods traded at almost 20 to 30 cents lower this month
compared to December 2014. (EIA)
Coal
Data from NYMEX suggests the spread between January 2015 and January 2016 contracts
(represented by the purple bar) will average at $0.23 USD/MMbtu for the next 12 months. As
the purple bars show, the spread has a trend of slowly dwindling for the next two years.
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January 2015
Editorial
Power
Summary
Petroleum
Coal
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Notably, the average temperature in San Antonio, Texas, this month was nearly 30% colder
compared to last year, dropping from 9.9 degrees Celsius last January to 6.3 degrees Celsius
this January. Meanwhile, temperatures in Chicago and New York have recovered to warmer
levels after a cold snap at the beginning of 2015. In stark contrast, temperatures in San Diego, California, have remained consistently above 10 degrees Celsius throughout the month.
Nat Gas
Even with the onslaught of winter storms, average monthly temperatures across the continental United States have been slightly warmer in comparison to January temperatures of last
year. The average in New York is about 1 degree Celsius higher this January compared to January 2014, and Chicago is 5 degrees Celsius higher.
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In Depth
January 2015
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
On the ICE, day-ahead peak electricity prices have remained flat in January 2015 in ERCOT
North 345 kV and SP15, with the exception of NYISO, as represented by Zone A prices.
Eastern power prices rose as the temperature dropped. While ERCOT North prices have
dropped from $30.27 USD/MWh at the beginning of the month to $28.24 USD/MWh on
January 23, NYISO Zone F peak power rose from $41.6 USD/MWh at the beginning of the
month to $76.33 USD/MWh on January 23, with prices peaking at $83.64 in the middle of
the month. A sharp decrease in temperature in New York and Chicago between January 6 and
January 20 could be responsible for the spike in prices compared to the other observed cities.
Editorial
Summary
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January 2015
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By Aiman El-Ramly
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The week of January 26, 2015, saw the price of a barrel of oil drop below $45. It has been a
perilous plummet from a high of $100.52 just six months ago. If you ask a Goldman Sachs
trader, they may tell you the price will probably continue to decline to as low as $30. If you ask
an Iranian oil minister, he may tell you the industry might endure a further slump toward $25.
Funny thing if you had asked a trader at Goldman Sachs or an Iranian oil minister the same
question 17 years ago in 1998, they may have had the same negative sentiment: The price
of oil is going down, and it is going to stay that way for a while. So just you tighten your belt!
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Power
For clarity, we will define the seven ages of oil as those periods in time that saw oil price
growth followed by periods of accumulated average price decline of greater than 30%
(all prices adjusted for inflation to 2014 dollars). These price climbs and subsequent
descents can be extremely dramatic in the short term, as demonstrated by the current 55%
drop over the past six months. Or, it can be more gradual as with the multi-year decline from
a high of $110 in 1979 to less than $25 in 1994. Similarly, oil prices reached an astonishing
near all-time low in 1998 at just over $17 before reaching an all-time high of $140 in June
2008, only to fall once again below $40 by the end of the year. Clearly, oil trading is a high
stakes endeavor not fit for the faint of heart. Let us then describe the seven ages of oil in an
attempt to discern some measure of commonality or predictability.
Editorial
Summary
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Figure 1: US oil price fluctuations throughout the Seven Ages of Oil (1859-2015)
Editorial
Power
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Finance
It should be noted that wars are expensive, resource-hungry endeavors. In the 1850s,
US federal expenditures were $1 million a week. By the start of the war it had reached
$1.5 million a day. By the end of the war it had rocketed to $3.5 million a day. The United
States was the first country to spend $1 billion in a single year. To finance the war, the North
and the South each taxed its citizens, borrowed money, and printed new dollars. The result
was hyper-inflation of up to 9,000% by the end of the war. The North was more effective in its
Softs and
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The first yields of 25 barrels per day fetched a pretty premium at the equivalent of $2,000 per
barrel not so surprising given the expensive process of making oil and the high
consumer demand for this new luxury product. Production grew sharply in Pennsylvania, and
prices dropped nearly tenfold in a single year. In 1859, two thousand barrels were produced.
In 1860, half a million barrels were produced, quadrupling by 1861 to more than two million
barrels. Correspondingly, prices dropped into the teens before the US Civil War (1962-1964)
and brought on the first oil shock. Subsequently, with a massive surge in demand for all
commodities generated by the war effort, constriction in oil supply, blockages of turpentine
from the south, and a larger tax on alcohol (then a competing illuminant), prices escalated
well north of $120 per barrel the following year.
Coal
When Robert Edwin Dietz produced a modern kerosene lamp in 1853, thousands of whales
breathed a short sigh of relief. Illuminants, lubricants, and solvents prior to the commercial
introduction of oil were obtained from a variety of natural sources including the much
persecuted whale and sometimes exploited plant resources. There was limited production of
petroleum or gas from coal, asphalt, coal-tars, and shale. It was another Edwin, not Dietz, but
Drake who ushered in the Age of Illumination by oil. Edwin would drill the first commercially
owned well in Titusville, Pennsylvania, in the year 1859. The 69-foot (21 m) well was drilled
for the Seneca Oil Company.
Nat Gas
January 2015
Summary
In Depth
Editorial
Summary
While the war and the shock may have been relatively short lived, many things were firmly
established in those early years:
In Depth
financing, which may have helped them win the war and recover faster in the post-war period.
The oil price curve mimics that of inflation during this time.
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Naturally, once the North won the war, tensions settled, markets regained their composure,
and the floor on oil prices dropped away before they started to climb again. In that brief
decade, the fledgling industry witnessed the two largest boom and bust cycles the industry
would ever face, but also primed the energy industry for what would be ongoing, highly
dramatized, and world-changing cycles. The first age was over, and Rockefeller was set to
make an entrance on the world stage.
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Born July 8, 1939, John D. Rockefeller is arguably the most notorious business magnate
and philanthropist the world has ever known. The first American billionaire, at the
pinnacle of his power he controlled 90% of all US oil. In 1865, Rockefeller bought out
Clark & Company at auction for $72,500 to establish the firm of Rockefeller & Andrews.
He thereafter quickly manoeuvered to take advantage of the post-war posterity and
followed the trains westward to build a national oil business. The next five years saw an
expansion in scope as he built business ties and alliances as quickly as he built his oil
business. Pivotally, in June of 1870, Rockefeller formed Standard Oil of Ohio. Standard
Oil became essentially the one and only oil standard taking over Ohio and then the
nation. In the age of cartels and unrestricted monopolies, the oil men and the railroad
men (a.k.a. the Robber Barons) became the richest and most powerful people in the
world. Rockefeller ate up his competition until, by the end of the 1870s, Standard Oil was
Power
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But getting back to Rockefeller, we can observe that nothing lasts forever: not
monopolies, not civil wars, not world wars, not cold wars, not empires, not political
regimes, and not the national or geopolitical status quo. Rockefellers use of market
power to bust railroads and undermine competition finally led to charges of monopolizing
the oil trade in 1879. The scale had tipped as the business practices of Standard Oil
became a national talking point and a source of shame. It took another 22 years, but
eventually in 1911 the US Supreme Court found Standard Oil to be in violation of the
Sherman Antitrust Act. Standard Oil was broken up into 34 separate new companies. It
has been more than 100 years, but many of these companies remain, although often
January 2015
Editorial
Summary
Notably, Rockefeller was not the architect behind the doubling of oil prices in 1875, but
rather it was the US Government. In what would be the oft-called peak oil cry of the wolf (as
the regulator warned of the wolf amongst the flock, the sky falling, the end being nigh),
John Strong Newberry, the chief geologist of the state of Ohio, declared that oil supplies would
soon dry up. Obviously, this was no truer in 1875 than it was in 1973 when the Nixon declared
the Oil Crisis, or in 1979 when Jimmy Carter implemented subsidies to derive fuel from corn,
or in 2005 when George W. Bushs Energy Policy was developed to combat growing energy
concerns (partially arising from the war on Iraq) with tax incentives for alternative energy,
or during the Obama Administration when he dithered in his policies on energy
independence, $800 billion for clean energy investment, and the ever-pending approval of
the Keystone Pipeline.
In Depth
refining more than 90% of US oil. As the price setter, Rockefeller would even sell at a loss to
gain market share. And for the most part, prices were in decline for the greater part of the Age
of Standard Oil.
Power
Petroleum
Nat Gas
Coal
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Exiting the Gilded Age of the Robber Baron, of larger than life magnates, of industrialists and
financiers we approach the staging for world war. Eventually, the culmination of World War I
would end the European pastime of Empire building and put in place hegemonic practice of
Pax. Prior to the war, there was very little separation between building political influence, empire
building, and the building of personal wealth. Financiers and businessmen in Europe and
America were constantly conniving to establish their power, national empires, and personal
wealth by any means. Just because one oil magnates monopoly and aspirations were corralled,
it did not mean that the rest of the world was neutered.
Editorial
Summary
There were other important developments in the Age of Standard Oil. Rockefeller actually
quintupled his wealth, as the assets broken up were worth significantly more than under the
monopoly. He essentially traded his monopoly power for wealth. Although 85% of global oil
production was coming from Pennsylvania in the 1880s, Russia and Asia notably joined the
fray during the 1880s, introducing pipelines and tankers to the technology mix. Further, the
Rothschilds of Paris were providing the financing. It was the age of power and dominium on a
global scale. As Mark Twain so aptly put it, it was the Gilded Age. Everything was shiny, new,
and exciting on the outside; however, on the inside, greed was insidious, ruthless speculators
abounded, scandal was rampant, and politicians were easily corrupted. Thus the 1880s saw the
irrevocable and enduring connection among energy (oil and electricity), geopolitics, and finance.
The stage was unknowingly set for the conflicts that would define the twentieth century as the
Age of the Pax and World Wars.
In Depth
transformed. Continental Oil became Conoco / ConocoPhillips. Amoco became part of BP.
Esso became Exxon and is now part of ExxonMobil. Mobil is now part of ExxonMobil. Pennzoil
and Chevron have remained largely the same.
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While history may rightly denote the assassination of the Archduke Francis Ferdinand, the
heir to the Habsburg throne, on June 28, 1914, as the spark that set the world aflame,
the predisposition to war was already well established. Similarly, the sinking of the
Lusitania on May 7, 2015 may have been used as a ruse to draw the United States into
the war formally. However, the United States was already financially invested through
deals between the financial houses of the French Rothschilds and the American
Morgans as well as myriad other overseas industrialist ventures. As noted, the ties
among war, commodities, finance, politics, and social change were well established. But
it is important to note that, by the turn of twentieth century, London remained the
undisputed financier of the world. But soon, British industrial excellence would succumb
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Arab land and control the Middle East the so called Sykes-Picot Agreement. And here
we have it, the Age of the Pax peace through might. By 1923, Britain had leveraged
Iraqs fear of invasion by the Turks to force the complete concession of all rights in the Iraq
Petroleum Company (the former Turkish Petroleum Company) for 75 years, despite
national sentiments opposing absolute concession. For the balance of the century, the
western hegemony would prevail with primarily Britain and the United States neck-deep in
Arab Oil in their quest for global dominance. The friction and uncertainty around oil supply
post war continued to push prices upwards; but oil prices basically stabilized for almost
half a century, until conflict in the Middle East started to come to head and Pax began
to unravel.
January 2015
Power
Editorial
An underappreciated outcome of World War I was the subsequent Arab Revolt (1916-1918).
Sherif Hussein bin Ali incited revolt to gain independence for the various Arab states from the
ruling Ottoman Turks. The desire was to create a single, unified Arab state from Syria to Yemen. At the time, the British controlled the Turkish Petroleum Company and thus held some
concessionary rights to oil. As far as Britain was concerned, it and France would divide up the
Summary
Of course, one must keep in mind that oil and industry are inseparable. Germany needed
resources and German industrialists and financiers made it so. Indeed, it was Deutsche
Bank that financed the Berlin-to-Baghdad railway project. Yes, long before the United States
stepped into what would later become Iraq, Germany had laid claim to the oil their geologists
had discovered in Mosul, Kirkuk, and Basra. Britain, however, was under the assumption that
Persian oil had been conceded to them. Churchill had converted the English naval fleet to oil
from coal and was desperate for fuel. He thus formed secret alliances with France and Russia
to encircle Germany in order to restrict its movements and incite political unrest throughout
Imperial Germany. Who really started World War I is immaterial; blame Serbia, blame
Austria-Hungary, blame Russia, blame Germany, and blame Britain. And if you decide not to
blame any country, you could certainly blame any number of financiers or industrialists.
Because, in the end, the war was about access to commodities. Although World War I was
epic, the resolution for ultimate global control would not be resolved at the wars end, nor
even in the sequel in 1939.
In Depth
to the natural resource strength of America and, more importantly, Imperial Germany (unified
in 1871). During its brief 47 years, Imperial Germany was an industrial and technological
force, achieving more Nobel Prizes in science than their soon-to-be adversaries in war (Britain,
France, Russia, and the United States) combined. The envy and fear of German might was
palpable. Germany had to be controlled at any cost!
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But it was not only the Arabs who were feeling slighted. Germany also felt the weight of
oppression. Found guilty alongside Austria-Hungary for World War I, the wrath of the victors
imposed on them crippling financial sanctions and a disembodied empire. Germany was
totally demilitarized. It was not enough that they were faced with insurmountable debt, but
when the stock market collapsed on Wall Street on October 29, 1929, it sent financial
markets worldwide into a tailspin with disastrous effects. With huge debt, American loans
coming due, and the market for exports shrivelling, Germany was in desperate straits. With
people out of work, banks failing, savings evaporated, and subsequent hyperinflation, the
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January 2015
Petroleum
The Shaw in Persia abruptly cancelled Britains prized Anglo-Persian oil concessions in
November 1932. He rightly wanted a share of the profits to support building his countrys
infrastructure. Although Britain toyed with the idea of war, a compromise was reached after
the president of Anglo-Persia threatened to abandon the negotiations. Perhaps even more
staggering was Saudi Arabias King Abdulaziz bargain basement sale of oil rights for an
upfront payment of $250,000 by Standard Oil and a royalty of about $1.60 per barrel. The
Middle East would never truly find its footing, fighting amongst each other over borders and
rights, trying to manage the baffling effects of Pax.
Power
Actually, oil prices rode out the Great Depression and WWII with considerably less drama than
in any other period. That said, there was a momentary squeeze on oil in 1933 during the Great
Depression. With growing Texas supply and a decline in prices, the price per barrel reached a
low of around $12. Globally, other nations were upset with the United States, blaming them
for overproduction and illegal production. Although there was not the monopolistic Standard
Oil of old, the Standard Oil of post-1911 did exist within an oligarchic regime. Takeovers and
acquisitions were rampant, locally and globally. It was a period of global unrest, and the
Middle East was still in significant turmoil as they tried to throw off their western oppressors
and establish independence.
Editorial
In 1894, in Navarro County near Corsicana in East Texas, the American Well and Prospecting
Company discovered oil by accident while looking for water. By 1898, the Corsicana oilfield
was in production. The pivotal event, though, was the Spindletop strike in 1901. At that time,
it was the worlds most productive well. Texas and the world were never the same again. The
Wild West was quickly transformed as the advent of Texas oil pushed the United States ahead
of the Russian Empire as the worlds largest oil producer. The state came fully into its own by
1940 as the undeniable leader in the global oil economy just in time for World War II.
Summary
In the meantime, the Texas cowboys would have their day. It is not unfair to say that the oil
industry matured in Texas. Indeed, Texas, and specifically Houston, would grow to become
the energy capital of the world. As the state grew in wealth, so did its stature and influence.
The power and might of the United States, as well as its global aims, developed alongside the
oil industry. In fact, the United States would later produce father and son US presidents who
called Texas their home state and who would take the United States back into Iraq.
Gradually, the Pax Britainica would succumb to Pax Americana until the falsely perpetrated
Iraq War (a.k.a. the War on Terror).
In Depth
Editorial
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The United States exited the war liberalized and empowered, entering a period of fabulous
growth. It was the post-war golden age of capitalism that would end in crisis in the 1970s.
This extended period of time was also called the long boom. Until 1973, the hegemonic
control by the United States of most of the worlds oil continued largely unabated. Both
the State and the major integrated oil companies were in charge. In July 1944, the Bretton
Woods System was put in place to manage the financial relations amongst the first-world
nations and established the gold standard, due to requirements to tie currency to gold.
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depression through relief, recovery, and reform. He changed fiscal policy and reformed
banking; but critically, he literally energized the nation by building massive electricity
plants and put people to work building physical facilities as well as in the war effort.
Coal
Nat Gas
Going back to Texas, despite the war raging on, by the 1940s, the Texas Railroad Commission
had taken regulatory control of the Texas oil industry and managed to stabilize oil production
thus eliminating most of the wild price swings that were common during the earlier years of
the Texas boom. This basically meant that, from an oil standpoint, the United States entered
the war in a composed state. Pivotally, the Great Depression led US President
Franklin D. Roosevelt to develop the New Deal. The New Deal was a series of domestic
programs enacted between 1933 and 1938 designed to extract the United States from
Petroleum
But of course, this is the story of oil. Germanys heavy reliance on oil to power its immense war
machine was identified before the conflict. The British RAF and American USAAF conducted
a strategic bombing campaign to target facilities supplying oil no target in any enemy
country was spared. No oil, no war. At the close of World War II, with Hitler defeated and Japan
staggering from two atomic blasts, three things were firmly established: he who controls the
energy controls the world, an atomic age had been ushered in, and America was undoubtedly
the worlds superpower.
January 2015
Summary
Much of the 1930s saw war and strife in Europe: the Spanish Civil War, the annexation of
Austria, and the invasion of Czechoslovakia. However, it was the German invasion of Poland
on September 1, 1939, that set the world to full-scale war once again. On September 3,
Britain and France declared war on Germany but left their ally Poland to fall.
In Depth
German people were cast into ruin. The Germans were not alone, and many people across the
world turned to Fascism to save their economies. As history has shown, when times are tough
and changes need to be made, societies go to war. It seemed that Hitler was the man for the
job. He seized the opportunity, appealed to his disenfranchised countrymen, and built a
massive armed force.
Petroleum
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About ZEMA:
ZEMA is an enterprise data management software designed for collecting data and performing complex analysis.
ZEMA replaces fragmented data management processes with a sophisticated, unified, and automated system. Each
ZEMA component is modular and scalable, giving clients greater flexibility when integrating it into their organizations.
The solution is easy to use and backed by ZEs support team around the clock. It has been ranked first in the Energy
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Disclaimer:
ZE DataWatch is a report comprised of data updates and expectations for energy and commodities markets, powered
by ZEMA. The news contained in ZE DataWatch is for information purposes only. Although ZE PowerGroup believes
the information in this report to be correct, the organization does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of it.
Information in this report is not intended to provide financial, legal, accounting, or tax advice and should not be relied
upon in that regard. ZE PowerGroup is not responsible in any manner whatsoever for direct, indirect, special, or
consequential damages, howsoever caused, arising out of the use of this report.
January 2015
Power
In part two, we will discuss the three remaining ages of oil, draw some conclusions, and
consider the future of oil.
Editorial
To be continued.
Summary
As previously mentioned, nothing lasts forever. The Bretton Woods system collapsed in 1971
when Nixon unilaterally severed the agreement, leaving the world to flounder. The Nixon shock
sent the world into a tailspin and was to be followed soon by the OPEC shock. Nixon
disconnected the link between the dollar and gold, making the US dollar a fully floating fiat
currency. Nixon was prepared to print as much money as necessary to cover the costs of the
Cold War. Still, he worried about the long-term strength of the US dollar. Brilliantly, recognizing
the world was more hungry for oil now than ever (remember the cries of wolf about oil supply),
he simply swapped gold for black gold. Recognizing that Saudi Arabia would love to have the
United States as its ready market for oil, Nixon derived an agreement whereby Saudi oil could
only be purchased in US dollars. Problem solved everyone wanted US dollars. But lets not
celebrate too soon
In Depth
The United States was engaged in a cold war almost before World War II was over. The Cold
War was largely bloodless, save for excursions into Korea and Vietnam starting from 1950.
The Cold War served to bolster the US industrial complex and war machine. The armaments
and nuclear bombs served as a deterrent to another World War, but came at a heavy
economic cost. The benefits, though, were highly attractive. Being a central player in global
markets gave the United States ultimate freedom in deployment and foreign relations. The
United States was the go-to trade partner for all commodities. The United States intervened
where it wanted, when it wanted, with virtual impunity. Pax Americana was at its height prior to
the 1970s.