Winter Storm Saturday afternoon into Sunday

February 21-22, 2015

Briefing #4, prepared 430 PM EST
Friday, February 20, 2015 by
Meteorologists at NWS - WFO
Mount Holly, NJ
To promote situational
awareness for the emergency
management community and for
other partners.
To provide guidance for planning
efforts.
The briefing applies to the WFO
Mount Holly service area which is
shaded in green on the map.

National Weather Service

Philadelphia/Mt. Holly

Executive Summary

Very cold temperatures are expected again tonight, with lows ranging from 5
degrees below zero in the Poconos and northwest New Jersey to around 5 degrees
elsewhere. However, there wont be much wind, so it wont feel quite as bad as last
night.
Then another storm will approach from the west on Saturday. Very cold
temperatures in the morning will slowly warm through the day, but precipitation is
expected to begin as snow Saturday afternoon across our entire County Warning
Area (CWA). Then, as warmer air moves north, snow will change briefly to sleet,
then rain, from south to north. By evening, rain or rain/snow/sleet mixture is
expected in Philadelphia and points south, but with so much entrenched cold air,
the transition will take longer further north. For instance, the Lehigh Valley and
central New Jersey may not transition to rain until Sunday morning. Please see
attached maps for snowfall forecasts.
Where rain makes contact with very cold surfaces, ice buildup could occur.
However, right now we dont see this as a widespread problem.
Precipitation will end from west to east on Sunday as another arctic cold front
moves in, bringing below normal temperatures to the region for the beginning of the
new week.
Northwest winds will bring low-water conditions on the ocean front, as well as both
the Chesapeake and Delaware Bays (including tidal Delaware River), at the time of
low tide tonight, and perhaps again at the time of low tide on Saturday.
National Weather Service
Philadelphia/Mt. Holly

Snow Potential Saturday Afternoon into Sunday (February 21-22)

Most Likely

Minimum

Expect at least this much

Official NWS Forecast

Maximum

Potential for this much

Snowfall maps available at weather.gov/phi/winter/

National Weather Service

Philadelphia/Mt. Holly

Questions?
For the latest information, visit our website at:
www.weather.gov/phi

Our latest briefing package is available from our website at:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf

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Philadelphia/Mount Holly
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Please contact us if you have any questions.
Gary.Szatkowski@noaa.gov
Office 609-261-6602 x222

Joseph.Miketta@noaa.gov
Office 609-261-6602 x223
National Weather Service
Philadelphia/Mt. Holly