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OPTION 1

Operating Revenue
COGS

Year 0

2008

2,000,000

Gross Margin
Expenses
SDA
Marketing
Depreciation
Development Cost

4,000,000
1,500,000

EBIT
tax (40%)
Net earnings

###

Cannibilization

44,000,000
24,000,000

44,000,000
24,000,000

20,000,000

20,000,000

1,000,000
2,000,000
800,000

###
###
1,280,000
-

16,200,000
6,480,000

15,720,000
6,288,000

9,720,000

9,432,000

23,700,000

Net working Capital


Rev/NWC=8
change

5,500,000
5,500,000

FCF
NPV
IRR

2009

(5,500,000)
3,301,624
0.2363

(18,680,000)

5,500,000
10,712,000

2010

2011

2012
4,000,000

44,000,000
24,000,000

44,000,000
24,000,000

44,000,000
24,000,000

20,000,000

20,000,000

20,000,000

1,000,000
2,000,000
768,000
-

1,000,000
2,000,000
460,800
-

1,000,000
2,000,000
460,800
-

16,232,000
6,492,800

16,539,200
6,615,680

16,539,200
6,615,680

9,739,200

9,923,520

9,923,520

5,500,000
-

5,500,000
-

5,500,000
-

10,507,200

10,384,320

10,384,320

Depreciation
0.20

0.32

0.19

0.12

0.12

OPTION 2
Operating Revenue
COGS

Year 0

2008

3,250,000

Gross Margin
Expenses
SDA
Marketing
Depreciation
Development Cost

4,000,000
1,500,000

EBIT
tax (40%)
Net earnings

###

Cannibilization

68,250,000
39,000,000

68,250,000
39,000,000

29,250,000

29,250,000

1,000,000
3,500,000
800,000

###
###
1,280,000
-

23,950,000
9,580,000

23,470,000
9,388,000

14,370,000

14,082,000

38,512,500

Net working Capital


Rev/NWC=8
change

8,531,250
5,500,000

FCF
NPV
IRR

2009

(5,500,000)
5,441,948
0.2519

(28,842,500)

8,531,250
15,362,000

2010

2011

2012
4,000,000

68,250,000
39,000,000

68,250,000
39,000,000

68,250,000
39,000,000

29,250,000

29,250,000

29,250,000

1,000,000
3,500,000
768,000
-

1,000,000
3,500,000
460,800
-

1,000,000
3,500,000
460,800
-

23,982,000
9,592,800

24,289,200
9,715,680

24,289,200
9,715,680

14,389,200

14,573,520

14,573,520

8,531,250
-

8,531,250
-

8,531,250
-

15,157,200

15,034,320

15,034,320

Depreciation
0.20

0.32

0.19

0.12

0.12

OPTION 3
Operating Revenue
COGS

Year 0

2008

1,000,000

Gross Margin
Expenses
SDA
Marketing
Depreciation
Development Cost

4,000,000
1,500,000

EBIT
tax (40%)
Net earnings

###

Cannibilization

23,000,000
12,000,000

23,000,000
12,000,000

11,000,000

11,000,000

1,000,000
1,000,000
800,000

###
###
1,280,000
-

8,200,000
3,280,000

7,720,000
3,088,000

4,920,000

4,632,000

10,050,000

Net working Capital


Rev/NWC=8
change
FCF
NPV
IRR

2009

(5,500,000)
(128,875)
0.1544

2,875,000
5,500,000

2,875,000
-

(9,830,000)

5,912,000

2010

2011

2012
4,000,000

23,000,000
12,000,000

23,000,000
12,000,000

23,000,000
12,000,000

11,000,000

11,000,000

11,000,000

1,000,000
1,000,000
768,000
-

1,000,000
1,000,000
460,800
-

1,000,000
1,000,000
460,800
-

8,232,000
3,292,800

8,539,200
3,415,680

8,539,200
3,415,680

4,939,200

5,123,520

5,123,520

2,875,000
-

2,875,000
-

2,875,000
-

5,707,200

5,584,320

5,584,320

Depreciation
0.20

0.32

0.19

0.12

0.12

OPTION 1
NPV
IRR

OPTION 2

3,301,623.58
24%

5,441,947.96
25%

OPTION 3
(128,874.90)
15%

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