Lovely Professional University, Punjab

Course Code

Course Title

Course Planner

MTH302

PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

15890::Pratiksha

Course Category

Courses with Numerical focus

Lectures

Tutorials Practicals Credits

3.0

TextBooks
Sr No

Title

Author

Edition

Year

Publisher Name

T-1

FUNDAMENTALS OF
MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS

S.C.GUPTA AND
V.K.KAPOOR

2nd

2007

SULTAN CHAND & SONS

Reference Books
Sr No

Title

Author

Edition

Year

Publisher Name

R-1

PROBABILITY STATISTICS AND

RANDAM PROCESSES

T VEERARAJAN

3rd

2011

MC GRAW HILL

Other Reading
Sr No

Journals articles as Compulsary reading (specific articles, complete reference)

OR-1

http://www.stat.yale.edu/~jtc5/251/stochastic-processes.pdf ,

Relevant Websites
Sr No

(Web address) (only if relevant to the course)

Salient Features

RW-1

http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/mathematics/18-05-introduction-to-probability-andstatistics-spring-2005/lecture-notes/

Lecture Notes .

Audio Visual Aids

Sr No

(AV aids) (only if relevant to the course)

Salient Features

AV-1

http://nptel.iitm.ac.in/courses/111105041/

Video lecture on Probability and Statistics

AV-2

https://www.khanacademy.org/math/probability/independent-dependentprobability/basic_probability/e/dice_probability

Video Lectures (Small)

AV-3

http://www.math.uah.edu/stat/prob/index.html

Virtual Laboratories

LTP week distribution: (LTP Weeks)

Detailed Plan For Lectures

Weeks before MTE

Weeks After MTE

Spill Over

0.0

0.0

3.0

Week
Lecture
Number Number

Broad Topic(Sub Topic)

Chapters/Sections of Other Readings,

Text/reference
Relevant Websites,
books
Audio Visual Aids,
software and Virtual
Labs

Lecture Description

Week 1

Lecture 1

Basics of Probability
(Sample Space and Events)

T-1:Ch 3- Section 3.1

-3.5

AV-2

Lecture 0 will be
Student will be made Discussion
introduction to course
familiar
Lecture1 Basic
with the basic terms .
Terminology and
definition of Probability

Tossing of a
coin

Lecture 2

Basics of Probability
(Sample Space and Events)

T-1:Ch 3- Section 3.1

-3.5

AV-2

Lecture 0 will be
Student will be made Discussion
introduction to course
familiar
Lecture1 Basic
with the basic terms .
Terminology and
definition of Probability

Tossing of a
coin

Lecture 3

Basics of Probability
(Probability of an Event)

T-1:Ch 3- Section 3.8

AV-2

Axiomatic Approach to Student will learn the Discussion

Probability .
algebra of Events .

Deck of playing
cards.

Lecture 4

Basics of Probability(Rules
of Probability)

T-1:Ch 3- Section
3.9.1

Lecture 5

Basics of Probability
(Conditional Probability and
Independent Events)

T-1:Ch 3- Section
3.10-3.13

AV-1

Conditional Probability Student will learn the Discussion

and Independent Events multiplication
theorem of
independent events .

Lecture 6

Random variables and its

Characterization(Random
Variable ( Discrete and
Continuous ))

T-1:Ch 5 - Section
5.3-5.4 ( 5.4.15.4.3)

AV-2

Discrete and Continuous Student will learn the Discussion

Random Variable
various functions of
Random
Variable.

Week 2

Week 3

Week 4

Addition Theorem of
probability

Lecture 7

Learning Outcomes Pedagogical Tool Live Examples

Demonstration/
Case Study /
Images /
animation / ppt
etc. Planned

Student will
understand the
addition theorem

Peer learning

Number of Calls
per minute

Test1

Lecture 8

Random variables and its

Characterization
(Expectation and Variance
of a Random Variable)

T-1:Ch 6 - Section
6.2-6.5

RW-1

Lecture 8: Expectation
Lecture9: Variance of
Single
Random Variable

Student will learn

about expectation
and variance

Discussion

Test scores

Lecture 9

Random variables and its

Characterization
(Expectation and Variance
of a Random Variable)

T-1:Ch 6 - Section
6.2-6.5

RW-1

Lecture 8: Expectation
Lecture9: Variance of
Single
Random Variable

Student will learn

about expectation
and variance

Discussion

Test scores

Lecture 10 Random variables and its

Characterization(Moments
and Moment generating
functions)

T-1:Ch 7 - Section
7.1
R-1:Page 112

Lecture 10: Definition

of MGF
Lecture 11:
An alternate procedure
to find moments

Student will learn the Discussion

concept of MGF and
another procedure to
find
the moments will be
understood.

Week 4

Week 5

Week 6

Week 7

Lecture 11 Random variables and its

Characterization(Moments
and Moment generating
functions)

T-1:Ch 7 - Section
7.1
R-1:Page 112

Lecture 10: Definition

of MGF
Lecture 11:
An alternate procedure
to find moments

Student will learn the Discussion

concept of MGF and
another procedure to
find
the moments will be
understood.

Lecture 12 Random variables and its

Characterization
(Characteristic functions)

T-1:Ch 7 - Section
7.3-7.3.1

Characteristic
function and its
properties

Student will able to Discussion

apply this function in
finding various
characteristics of
random variable.

Lecture 13 Probability Distributions and

Regression(Binomial
Distribution)

T-1:Ch 8 - Section
8.4

AV-2

Lecture 13: Binomial

Distribution and its
parameters
Lecture 14: Problem
solving

Student will learn the Discussion

concept and will be
able to apply
binomial theorem on
problems.

Lecture 14 Probability Distributions and

Regression(Binomial
Distribution)

T-1:Ch 8 - Section
8.4

AV-2

Lecture 13: Binomial

Distribution and its
parameters
Lecture 14: Problem
solving

Student will learn the Discussion

concept and will be
able to apply
binomial theorem on
problems.

Lecture 15 Probability Distributions and

Regression(Poisson
Distribution)

T-1:Ch 8 - Section
8.5

AV-1

Poisson
Distribution , Its
parameters

Student will learn

Poisson
distribution and its
applications.

Discussion

Lecture 16

Test2

Lecture 17 Probability Distributions and

Regression(Normal
Distribution)

T-1:Ch 9 - Section
9.2

AV-1

Lecture 17: Normal

Distribution , Its
parameters
Lecture 18: Problem
solving

Student will learn

the applicability of
Normal distribution

Peer learning

Lecture 18 Probability Distributions and

Regression(Normal
Distribution)

T-1:Ch 9 - Section
9.2

AV-1

Lecture 17: Normal

Distribution , Its
parameters
Lecture 18: Problem
solving

Student will learn

the applicability of
Normal distribution

Peer learning

Lecture 19 Probability Distributions and

Regression(Regression (
Linear and Multiple ))

T-1:Section 11.2
Section 12.4

Linear Regression and

Defining of Multiple
Regression .

Student will able to

predict one quantity
in
terms of others

Peer learning

SPILL OVER
Week 7

No. of misprints
in an
international
book.

Lecture 20

Spill Over

Lecture 21

Spill Over

MID-TERM

Score card of
students for past
five years

Week 8

Lecture 22 Point Estimation(Definition T-1:Section 14.2-14.3

,Unbiased Estimators)
and 17.1-17.2

Parameter
Statistic and Estimator.

Student will learn to

use the statistic to
estimate the
population
parameter .

Lecture 23 Point Estimation(Consistent

Estimators)

T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.2.2

Consistency Definition

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

one of the important
properties of
Estimator

Lecture 24 Point Estimation(Sufficient

Estimator)

T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.2.4

Sufficient estimator

Student will learn

another important
properties of
Estimator

Lecture 25 Point Estimation(MLE (

Method of Maximum
Liklihood ))

T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.6.1

RW-1

Lecture 25: Likelihood

Function
Lecture 26:
Properties of MLE

Student will learn the Lecture Delivery

method of Maximum
Likelihood
Estimation

Lecture 26 Point Estimation(MLE (

Method of Maximum
Liklihood ))

T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.6.1

RW-1

Lecture 25: Likelihood

Function
Lecture 26:
Properties of MLE

Student will learn the Lecture Delivery

method of Maximum
Likelihood
Estimation

T-1:Chapter 9/
Section 9.13
R-1:Page 194

AV-3

Limit Theorems

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

applications of Limit
Theorem

Week 10 Lecture 28 Limit Theorem ,

T-1:Ch 7- Section 7.6
Convergence and Stochastic
-7.7
Process(Convergence of
Random Variables)

AV-3

Lecture 28:
Convergence in
Probability
Lecture 29: Law of
Large Numbers.

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

convergence of
Random Variables

Lecture 29 Limit Theorem ,

T-1:Ch 7- Section 7.6
Convergence and Stochastic
-7.7
Process(Convergence of
Random Variables)

AV-3

Lecture 28:
Convergence in
Probability
Lecture 29: Law of
Large Numbers.

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

convergence of
Random Variables

Lecture 30 Limit Theorem ,

Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Stochastic
processes)

R-1:Ch-7 - Page 397

OR-1

Special model of
random
or Stochastic process

Student will learn

the type of models
having
applications in
Engineering.

Week 11 Lecture 31 Limit Theorem ,

Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Elementary concept
related to Markov chains)

T-1:Ch-7 - Page 397

Lecture 31: Concept of

Markov Chains
Lecture 32: Properties
Lecture 33: Problem
Solving

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

scope and
and peer learning
applicability of
Markov Chain

Week 9

Lecture 27 Limit Theorem ,

Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Limit Theorems)

Lecture delivery

Lecture delivery

Discussion

Week 11 Lecture 32 Limit Theorem ,

Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Elementary concept
related to Markov chains)

T-1:Ch-7 - Page 397

Lecture 31: Concept of

Markov Chains
Lecture 32: Properties
Lecture 33: Problem
Solving

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

scope and
and peer learning
applicability of
Markov Chain

Lecture 33 Limit Theorem ,

Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Elementary concept
related to Markov chains)

T-1:Ch-7 - Page 397

Lecture 31: Concept of

Markov Chains
Lecture 32: Properties
Lecture 33: Problem
Solving

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

scope and
and peer learning
applicability of
Markov Chain

Week 12 Lecture 34

Test3

Lecture 35 Hypothesis Testing(Types of T-1:Ch 14 - Section

Error)
14.4
Lecture 36 Hypothesis Testing(Student
t-test)

Type-I and Type-II

error.

Student will learn the Peer learning

relevance of errors in
testing of hypothesis

T-1:Ch 16 - Section
16.3

AV-1

Test Concerning the

mean of a population

Student will able to

test
the hypothesis

Week 13 Lecture 37 Hypothesis Testing(ChiSquare Test)

T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6

RW-1

Lecture 37: Concept of

Chi square test
Lecture 38:
Applicability of the test

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

method and
applicability of chi
square test

Observed and
theoretical data
regarding the No
of accidents in a
week.

Lecture 38 Hypothesis Testing(ChiSquare Test)

T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6

RW-1

Lecture 37: Concept of

Chi square test
Lecture 38:
Applicability of the test

Student will learn the Lecture delivery

method and
applicability of chi
square test

Observed and
theoretical data
regarding the No
of accidents in a
week.

Lecture 39 Hypothesis Testing

(Goodness of a Fit)

T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6

RW-1

Lecture 39: Concept of

goodness of fit
Lecture 40: Problem
solving

Student will be able

to fit a distribution
into a given data

Peer learning

Data of marks

Week 14 Lecture 40 Hypothesis Testing

(Goodness of a Fit)

T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6

RW-1

Lecture 39: Concept of

goodness of fit
Lecture 40: Problem
solving

Student will be able

to fit a distribution
into a given data

Peer learning

Data of marks

SPILL OVER
Week 14 Lecture 41

Spill Over

Lecture 42

Spill Over

Week 15 Lecture 43

Spill Over

Lecture 44

Spill Over

Lecture 45

Spill Over

Scheme for CA:

Discussion

Component

Frequency

Test

Out Of
2

Each Marks Total Marks

3

Total :-

10

20

10

20

Details of Academic Task(s)

AT No.

Objective

Topic of the Academic Task

Nature of Academic Task

(group/individuals/field
work

Evaluation Mode

Allottment /
submission Week

Test1

To Test the
Basics of Probability : Sample Space and Events, Probability of
understanding level an Event, Rules of
of students .
Probability, Conditional Probability and Independent Events.

Individual

A test of 30 marks
consisting of 4
questions ( 2 of 5
marks , 2 of 10
marks )

2/3

Test2

Observe the
performance of
students .

Random Variable ( Discrete and Continuous ), Expectation and

variance of a Random Variable , Moments and Moment
generating functions ,Characteristic functions .

Individual

A test of 30 marks
consisting of 4
questions ( 2 of 5
marks , 2 of 10
marks )

5/6

Test3

Observe the
performance of
students .

Point Estimation , Unbiased Estimator , Consistent Estimator ,

Sufficient Estimator ,MLE ( Method of Maximum Liklihood ) .
Limit Theorems.
Convergence of Random Variables,

Individual

A test of 30 marks
consisting of 4
questions ( 2 of 5
marks , 2 of 10
marks )

10 / 11