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cradle of resistance and a central melting pot for the June 16 1976
resistance.
So the student who was expelled from the old Turfloop University in
1973, was later to become a catalyst for further change when his
students played a central role in the June 16 1976 uprising three
years later.
This is just one legacy that has placed this university right at the
centre of this countrys political history particularly the transformation
that started with the 1994 democratic elections.
Apart from the political disenfranchisement of Blacks, economically
the country was leading to 1994, isolated and the economy in crisis.
Growth had declined to below 1% per annum in the decade before
1994 and by the early 1990s had come to a standstill. Public sector
debt was ballooning out of control.
The police and justice system violated most human and civil rights
and the SA Defence Force was fighting a low-intensity war against
the liberation movement. Parts of the country lived under a state of
war, and assassinations and bombings of political opponents were
rife.
A national security doctrine with little respect for the rule of law
determined governance. The state had become more isolated, more
corrupt and more dependent on extra-judicial measures to sustain
itself.
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The question facing all of us today, especially the students who are
graduating on this campus is whether there is any reason to be
hopeful about this country. This is an important issue because
through getting the correct response to this question, we would be on
our way towards unleashing our own potential in the development of
this country and ultimately the region.
To be able to answer the question of whether those who have hope
are justified or not, we must first locate as we have briefly done
above, the challenges facing this country within the relevant albeit
well known context of our apartheid past. Set against the
impediments placed by the apartheid legacy, the challenges may
seem more daunting, yet they will also serve to illustrate the extent to
which we may yet have to go to achieve our full potential.
In this context, it must be said that one of the roles that academic
institutions is to produce graduates who are able to interrogate what
may have been established as conventional truths for years and
reexamine their veracity in the context of the present.
Because of this ability, graduates must increase the pool of patriots,
becoming on their own part of patriotic graduates whose mission is
not to spread propaganda on behalf of South Africa but who are
equipped to provide objective truths to the world about their country.
We have also identified the challenges that we face over the next
Decade which include the delivery by all three spheres of
government requires improvement and progress in economic areas
under new agencies or partnerships for example in small business,
Human Resource Development, restructuring of State Owned
Enterprises, equity and empowerment.
Significantly, since 1993 governments social spending has shifted to
the poor. Between 1993 and 1997 social spending increased for the
poorest 60% of households especially the poorest 20% - and
decreased for the 40% who are better off. It increased for Africans
and decreased for others. It increased in rural areas three times more
than metropolitan areas and double other urban areas.
In the past 10 years four social trends shape the challenges ahead.
These are the following:
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From 1996 to 2001 the South African population grew 11% from
40.4 million to 44.8 million. But the number of households grew by
30% from 9.7 million to 11.8 million, as households became
smaller.
The number of jobs grew 12% but the economically active
population grew 35% between 1995 and 2002. The new job
seekers are not only young adults but also older people who in the
old order did not consider themselves part of the labour market,
many of them African women from rural areas.
Thirdly, while all main sectors grew between 1995 and 2002, there
was a shift from public services, construction and mining to
financial and technological services.
As President Thabo Mbeki has said, the above is creating two
economies in one country with one that is advanced and skilled,
becoming more globally competitive. The second on the other is
mainly informal, marginalised and unskilled. Despite impressive
gains in the first economy, the benefits have yet to reach the
second economy.
There has also been a shift from rural to big urban areas. 20% of
people in the main urban areas are new migrants. This adds
pressure on urban service delivery and economic opportunities
and causes loss of people and opportunities in rural areas
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Africa'
s economies grew by more than 5 percent last year - their
biggest expansion in eight years. Central Africa'
s oil boom spurred
14.4 percent growth for that region.
Ghana'
s stock exchange is regularly one of the highest-performing
markets in the world; in 2003, it was No. 1, gaining 144 percent,
according to one analysis.
Exports to the US from 37 African nations jumped 88 percent last
year, to $26.6 billion. Jeans made in Lesotho are sold in US stores.
Also, flowers from Kenya and vegetables from Senegal are regularly
available in European shops.
Use of cell-phones and the Internet is growing faster in Africa than
anywhere else, according to the United Nations.
Rwandan president Paul Kagame told the media this year that
negative reporting had cost Africa in terms of Foreign Direct
Investment.
He further argued that the negative portrayal hurts Africa'
s efforts to
fix its problems. "One of the reasons why Africa has not been able to
attract enough foreign direct investment, which we need for our
development, is the constant negative reporting," he added. I totally
agree.
We also agree with Carol Pineau a longtime reporter on Africa
who says that "Africa has other things going on besides wars and
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14.1 million of these lived in severe poverty. The poverty rate among
African Americans was almost 1 to 4, and 1 to 5 among Hispanics.
In 2002, 34.9 million Americans did not have enough food for basic
nourishment, compared to 31 million in 1999. In the same year, 2002,
the working poor were poorer than this section of the population was
in 1979.
A 1990 study of 20 countries showed that Russia, the US and the UK
were the worst in terms of the proportions of poor households, their
respective figures in the above order being 34.3, 23.5 and 23.0
percent respectively. The Nordic countries stood at 8.2 percent each
for Denmark and Norway and 9.1 percent for Sweden.
With regard to South Africas bugbear, crime, in the UK, between
1991 and 2000/1, murder, attempted murder and threat or conspiracy
to murder increased by 160 percent. Various crimes resulting in
wounding increased in the same period by 860 percent!
It may also come as a surprise to some that Washington DC, the
capital of the US, has one of the highest crime rates in the country.
The 2001 national average for violent crimes per 100,000 people was
506.
We have no business denying poverty and crime in this country which
are a reality and we have no intention of minimizing their impact or of
celebrating that which should be condemned equally by all societies.
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different little clans under one strong rule. Shaka protected and fed all
the clans that came to pledge allegiance to him. Even the Whites
went to Shaka for protection and hospitality. By the time the White
man came to them, the Zulus were ready for them. Shaka had a plan
that he was working towards - every battle he fought was for a bigger
purpose.
Be Strong and Courageous- Shaka was tormented by bullies during
his exile. He realised that the only way to fight his lowly and
humiliating status was to win extra-ordinary victories. He knew that
claiming lineage to the Zulu throne would not get him anywhere. He
realised that his only salvation lay in being noticed and liked by
Dingiswayo the Great. The first obstacle on his way to greatness was
fear. He had to conquer fear.
Know the Terrain- Shaka would win a battle because he understood
the battlefield better than the enemy. He was the first leader in the
land to use spies. In this way, he knew almost everything about his
enemies: how people felt about their leader'
; the leader'
s strengths
and weaknesses; the exact number of warriors in each of the
enemies regiments; and their battle plans.
These are some of the lessons we can take with us as we prepare to
face the world. For us to be successful, we will require strategy,
planning, vision, creativity, knowing the terrain and be prepared to
challenge conventional wisdom in order to develop new solutions for
ourselves, our country and continent.
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And then as Tiro said in this very hall in 1972, when that day shall
come, no man, no matter how many tanks he has, shall reverse the
course of our freedom.
I thank you
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