DIANE-CM

Decentralised Integrated ANalysis and

Enhancement of Awareness through
Collaborative Modelling and Management of
Flood Risk
By:
Prof. edo Maksimovi, PhD
Susana Ochoa
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Project Partners

Leuphana University of Lneburg

(Germany)

Imperial College London

(United Kingdom)

UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water

Education, Delft (Netherlands)
The DIANE-CM project is part of the European
CRUE ERA-NET program
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Local Redbridge Stakeholders working with us:

London Borough of Redbridge: Emergency Planning

Department, Highways and Engineering Services, Planning
Department, and Local Councillors

Fire Brigade

Thames Water

Environment Agency
Management Teams)

and

Incident

Local community associations, for example:

Community Association and Broadmead Baptist Church

Maybank

(Flood

Forecasting

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Main Objectives of the DIANE-CM Project:

To enhance flood risk awareness and capacity through
collaborative modelling and social learning.
To develop and test an advanced methodology for improving
preparedness and mitigation of fluvial and pluvial floods.

Enhance
resilience of local
communities to
flooding
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Numerical Weather Prediction: UM/MM5

NOWCASTING
Meteorological Radar
10 km

C-Band

Goals and Working Steps

1 km

1 km

1. Improvement of flood hazard and

risk maps and Near-Real-Time
1 km
STATISTICALLYflood
forecast
DOWNSCALING
i

T = Current

X-Band
100 m

Spatial

CALIBRATION

t
Temporal
2. Analysis of local stakeholders and

T = Future

development of organi-sociogram in order

Ground
Raingauge Network
to illustrate vertical and
horizontal
interactions between stakeholders for
better interactions
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Goals and Working Steps

3.

Increase participation and shared decision making

of local communities and stakeholders through
collaborative modelling, supported by a
collaborative platform and e-learning platform

4.

Testing the developments in 2 selected case studies (one in

Germany and one in the UK)

5.

Evaluation of what the local communities can learn from improved

understanding of risk and identification of barriers for enhancing
flood resilience.

6.

Training, awareness raising and dissemination of the results.

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UK Case Study: Cranbrook catchment

Area: aprox. 910 ha
Located within the London Borough of Redbridge (NE of London)
Sub catchment of Roding River catchment
Has experienced severe fluvial and surface flooding in the past
Legend

#
*

Redbridge

River flow gauging stations

Cran Brook catchment
Seven Kings catchment
Roding catchment
3.75

7.5

15
Kilometers

High Ongar

#
*

London
Redbridge

#
*

(
!

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German Case Study: Alster river catchment

River Alster (Hamburg/Germany)
Length 56 km
Drainage basin of about 587
km2.
Tributary of Elbe river
High damage potential
Natural and canalised parts,
dammed lakes

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- Focus on fluvial flooding

Focus on surface flooding

- Focus on flood risk and event

management
- Planning issues with GE
support

- Surface flooding with UK

support

Focus on planning issues

Supported by web-based tools (UNESCO-IHE) and experiences of

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Dutch experts in planning and
floodFlood
riskRisk
management
European
Management Research

Flood Modelling and

Forecasting in the Cranbrook
Catchment
(UK Case Study):
Focus on Pluvial/Surface
Flooding
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Surface water (or pluvial) flooding:

Flooding caused by intense rainfall, which
exceeds the capacity of the installed drainage
system. This type of flooding is typically localised
and happens very quickly after the rain has fallen,
making it difficult to give any warning.
Predicting and pinpointing this type of
flooding is much more difficult than doing so
for river or coastal flooding.
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Pluvial Flooding Dual Drainage Concept

Effective rainfall
Bi-directional
interaction

Surface
component

Sub-surface
component
Sewer flow
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Dual-drainage concept:
Sewer Network + Overland Network

Sewer system (manholes and pipes): one-dimensional model (1D)

Overland system (depressions and flow paths): can be modelled

in 1D or 2D:
2D overland flow modelling: Surface divided into small
elements (squares or irregular triangles). Long computational
time, not suitable for real time forecasting.
1D overland flow modelling: Overland system consists of
nodes (ponds) and links (flow paths). It is generated with
AOFD tool using DEM (Digital Elevation Model). Fast, suitable
for real time applications.
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Automatic Overland Flow Delineation

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AOFD Methodology
Tool for analysis and generation of
overland network and automatically
quantifying hydraulic parameters for
simulation model of pluvial urban
flooding
Based on Digital Elevation Model
information
Nodes: ponds and associated storage
capacity
Links: pathways + computed
geometry
Interactions between the overland flow
and sewer systems occur at manholes

DEM +
Building layer

Overland Network
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Overland Network of Cranbrook Catchment

The ponds identified by the AOFD tool coincide with known depressions and storage
areas within the Cranbrook Catchment and also with areas which have experienced
surface flooding in the past
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1D-1D Dual Drainage Model

OVERLAND AND SEWER NETWORK MODEL - INFOWORKS CS

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1D-2D Dual
Drainage Model
(for visualisation
of results)

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Rainfall forecasting and downscaling:

Rainfall is the main input for flood models

Forecasting techniques:
Based on radar data (STEPS model)
Based on network of rain gauges only (Support Vector
Machine + Singular Spectrum Analysis)

Downscaling techniques: for obtaining finer spatial and

temporal resolution (i.e. more detailed information), which
is essential for surface flood forecasting. A new cascade
method for downscaling is being developed.
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Monitoring System
3 tipping bucket rain gauges, with 1-2 min data sampling.

1 pressure sensor for Roding River level monitoring.

Real time frequency: 5/10 min.
2 sensors for water depth measurement in sewers. Real
time frequency: 5/10 min.

1 sensor for water depth measurement in open channels

(downstream boundary condition).

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Stakeholder Analysis in Redbridge

Main stakeholders were
identified
Structured interviews were
conducted during June, July
and August 2010
Stakeholders were categorised
Organi-sociogram was
developed

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STAKEHOLDERS ORGANI SOCIOGRAM

UK CASE STUDY (LONDON BOROUGH OF REDBRIDGE)
Youth
Groups

Canoe Club
Schools
and
Daycares

Tertiary
Stakeholders

Flood
Wardens

Broadmed
Road
Baptist
Church

Redbridge
Flood
Forum

Maybank
Association
Redbridge
Council for
Voluntary
Services

Residents
Businesses

Insurance
Companies
?

Utilities- gas,
electricity,
water

Riverside
Concern

Redbridge
NHS

Local
Coucillors

Secondary
Stakeholders

Transport
for London

Redbridge
Planning
Department

Redbridge
Highways
and
Engineering

National
Express
(Railway
Operator)

MEDIA
(Redbridge
Life, Ilford
Recorder,
Redbridge I,
radio)

Fire Brigade

Metropolitan
Police
Service

Thames
Water
Primary
Stakeholders

Local Council

Flood
Forecasting
Centre

Environment
Agency

Redbridge
Emergency
Planning
Department

Local
Champions

Ofwat

Defra

Highways
Agency

Met Office

GLA

Regional and National Level Institutions

Flow of information (1-way or 2-way, according to arrows)

Potential flow of information

Flow of information + close cooperation

Potential cooperation

Flow of information + potential conflicts

Multipliers

Strong cooperation for

flood forecasting

Strong cooperation
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COLLABORATIVE PLATFORM:

We want to know what you know and what you think

about flood risk in Redbridge to enhance improvements

The Collaborative Platform enables interaction between

local stakeholders and joint analysis of flood scenarios
and alternatives for dealing with flooding in Redbridge

Purpose: to jointly identify appropriate measures for

better dealing with surface flooding in Redbridge
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Tasks supported by the Collaborative

Platform
Development of shared understanding of current flood risk
Development and evaluation of alternatives (sets of
measures) for flood risk reduction or (re)distribution
Flood risk alternatives testing under different scenarios
Support for negotiation and selection of commonly agreed
alternatives

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Conceptual framework and general

workflow on the platform
Front-end: web-based user
interfaces for different
stakeholders
(somewhat customisable)

Client side
SH1

SH2

SH3

Internet

Server side
Web platform functions:
1. Current flood
risk
representation
(maps / graphs /
text)

Back-end
server side
support for
all functions

2. External
scenarios for
flood risk

3. Measures /
alternatives /
strategies for
FRM:
development
and evaluation

Modelling support
Hazard /
vulnerability
/ risk
data

Scenarios
data

General usage flow

4. Negotiation /
collaboration on
group-preferred
alternatives

Users managm. tools

Measures /
alternatives /
strategies
data

Users
evaluation /
preferences
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From individual to collaborative modelling

Individual stakeholder

STEP 1

STEP 2

STEP 3

COLLABORATION /
NEGOTIATION

Collaborative workspace

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Scenario: set of conditions that are out of the

decision maker choice
SCENARIOS THAT WILL BE ANALYSED:
Combination of:

Return periods of 30 and 200 years

Low and high levels at the River Roding

Summer rainfall profile will be used for all scenarios

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Alternative: action that can be implemented for managing

flood hazard and risk

ALTERNATIVES THAT WILL BE ANALYSED AND

EVALUATED:

Rainwater harvesting (mitigation measure source level)

Improved and targeted maintenance regimes (mitigation measure

pathway level)

Improved rainfall and flood forecasting and warning (mitigation

measure receptor level)

Improved resistance (mitigation measure receptor level)

Social change, education and awareness (mitigation measure

receptor level)
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Timeline for collaborative modelling exercises

(Redbridge/UK)
EVENT

PURPOSE / ACTIVITIES

Brainstorming / Informative
Session

-Information about DIANE-CM project and methodology

(Jun 2010)

-Brainstorming (new ideas for the project)

2nd Meeting:
Information/Discussion

-Discussion of first draft of collaborative platform and

methodology for collaborative modelling exercise

(Jan 2011)

-Discussion about scenarios to be analysed

-Motivation

-Clarification of terms and official framework

3rd Meeting:

- Exercise using collaborative platform

Collaborative Modeling Exercise

(Feb 2011)

- Analysis and discussion of scenarios and measures to be

implemented for effectively dealing with flood risk.

4th Meeting:

Conclusion on measures and implementations

Conclusion Wrap-up
(March 2011)
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Enhancing Resilience through

Training, Awareness Raising and
Dissemination:

E-Learning Platform
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E-LEARNING PLATFORM
PURPOSE: TRANSFER KNOWLEDGE
Different short courses will be produced for each of the
following target groups:
1. General public
2. Planners
3. Emergency managers
4. Flood management professionals
(consultants, modellers)
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 Audiencespecific
courses
Forums for
interaction
between
trainers and
trainees
Tagging of
resources
within and
outside the
platform:
content cogeneration!

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PLANNED COURSES
Introductory Module: I.1. Introduction to urban water cycle and system I.2 Why and how are
urban areas flooded types of flooding I.3. Flood mapping, vulnerability and resilience I.4.
DIANE_CM project outputs and how to use them (Platform, Guidelines)
Group 1 Planners: P1. The role of planning in flood vulnerability reduction P2. Data, models and
planning tools, quantification of vulnerability P3. Means of flood reduction (structural and non
structural measures, SUDS, WSUD) for greenfield and retrofit applications. P4. Simple demo
training tools for planners (SimCity) with example exercises
Group 2 Flood modellers: FM1. Advanced data sets for modelling of different types of flooding
FM2. Models and pluvial food modelling enhancement tools (incl. AOFD) FM3. Rainfall and urban
flood prediction and quantification of uncertainty. FM4. Vulnerability quantification, mapping and
risk assessment FM5. Demo site Redbridge with example exercises
Group 3 Real time Operators and Emergency Managers: RT1. Rainfall and urban flood prediction
(data, models, mapping, critical time assessment and management) RT2. Methods and tools for RT
operation of flood management systems (centralised vs decentralised approach) RT3. Methods
and tools for emergency management RT4. Demo site Redbridge with example exercises
Group 4 Vulnerable population: Pop1. Prior to Floods: Use of vulnerability maps, Managing
property flood vulnerability Pop2. During Floods: Community organisation and interactions with
flood emergency managers and access to electronic media information Pop3. After Floods:
Recovery and Rehabilitation

THANK YOU FOR

Thank you for your attention!

YOUR ATTENTION
AND SUPPORT!
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