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1.
2.
A, B and C are events. Express the following events in A, B and C using union, intersection and
complement of these events (First draw a general Venn-diagram for A, B and C).
a. A and B, but not C. b. All three
c. At least out of three d. At least two
e. None
f. Exactly one of three g. Not more than 1
We define for a collection of 1200 screws the following events:
A = the set of screws having a length of (at least) 10 cm.
B = the set of screws having a weight of (at least) 10 g.
C = the set of screws having a diameter of (at least) 10 mm.
400 screws have a length of 10 cm and a weight of 10 g.
400 screws have a length of 10 cm and a diameter of 10 mm.
400 screws have a diameter of 10 mm and a weight of 10 g.
300 screws have a length of 10 cm, a weight of 10 g and a diameter of 10 mm.
Compute the probability that an arbitrarily chosen screw is an element of at least 2 of the 3 events A, B , C.
3.
If P(A)= ,
4.
Compute
= and
if
= 0.8,
).
= 0.35.
5.
A cupboard has 3 drawers: in the first there are two golden coins, in the second one golden and one silver
coin and in the third two silver coins. Somebody opens an arbitrary drawer and chooses an arbitrary coin: it
is a golden coin. What is the probability that the second coin from this drawer is golden too?
6. A car driver has caused an accident and has to take an alcohol test. Research has shown that 75% of the
persons who had (too much) alcohol shows a positive test result. However, 2% of the persons who did not
drink also show a positive test result. Assume that in case of accidents 5% of the car drivers have been
drinking alcohol. What is the probability that such a driver has a positive test result? (First define events!)
7. We throw a dice nine times. Determine the probability that: a. the first three results are all 5 and the rest
different from 5 and
b. at most 2 throws result in 5 or 6.
8. A student is working at an exam with Multiple Choice Items. Each question has two possible answers (a, b),
one of which is correct. If he does not know the answer, he flips a coin (Tail = a, Head = b). Suppose that he
does not know the answer on 3/5th of the items.
a. What is the probability that he knew the answer to a question that he answered correct?
b. If there are 25 items, what is the probability of at least 23 correct answers?
9. We throw a dice twice (an unbiased dice, independent throws)
a. Give the sample space of this experiment and the probability of every outcome.
b. If Zij X = the sum of both results, determine the outcomes in in the event { X= 7}.
c. Determine the distribution of X.
d. Compute E(X) and X.
10. The life expectancy of a machine (in years) can be modelled with the following distribution:
x
P(X= x)
0
0.05
1
0.25
2
0.30
3
0.20
4
0.10
5
0.05
6
0.05
a.
Compute the
probability that the machine will not break down during at least 5 years under the condition
that it has survived 3 years
b. Compute the expected value of the life expectancy
c. Compute the standard deviation of the life expectancy.
11. Which of the following problems can be modelled with the binomial distribution? If so, which parameters?
a. X is the number of defective machines if we buy 4 arbitrary machines of a manufacturer who has three
defective and 7 good machines in stock.
b. Compute the probability that at least 9 out of 40 persons respond to a mailing if usually about 15% respond
c. A machine is subject to wear so that at the end of the day it produces more failures. We want to compute the
probability of at least one failure if we choose 10 products from a day`s production.
d. Data from the past that 10% of the clients of car insurance company claim money in a year. A random
sample of 200 clients is sent a questionnaire. X is the number of claims these clients submitted last year.
12. X has a B(25, 0.2)-distribution.
Compute a. E(X2)
b. P(X > 2)
y
x
2
5
6
0
0.2
0
0.1
0
0.2
0.1
0
0.1
0
0
0.3