RICE AND WHEAT BUDGET

Wheat

Estimated Central Pool Wheat Budget for 2014-15

01.01.15)

(as on

(in lakh tonnes)

Opening balance as on 1st January 20151

251.13

Actual procurement during RMS 2014-152

280.23

Total availability
Estimated offtake under TPDS from January 2015 to March,
20153
Estimated offtake under OWS from January 2015 to March,
20154

251.13

4
5

48.81
3.13

Expected additional festival/flood/drought/special allocations

(January 2015 to March, 2015)5
Estimated release under OMSS from January 2015 to
March, 20156

Estimated export from Central Pool7

0.00

Total Offtake [ (4)+(5)+(6)+(7)+(8) ]

80.51

10
11

Estimated opening balance as on 1st April, 2015 [ (3) - (9) ]

Minimum Buffer norms + strategic reserve, as on 1st April

3.57
25.00

170.62
70.00

Note
s
1. Based on stock position given by FCI.
2. Wheat procurement during RMS 2014-15 has been reported to be 280.23 lakh tonnes.
3. TPDS offtake has been assumed @ 100% of allocation for AAY, Priority and BPL and
80% of allocation for APL/tide over allocation. Monthly allocations assumed for the year
are as follows; AAY 0.883 lakh tons , BPL 1.976 lakh tons, Priority 9.77 lakh tonnes, APL
4.27 lakh tons, Tide over 0.28 lakh tonnes. Estimated monthly lifting (0.883+1.97+80%
of 4.27+0.28 lakh tonnes) is 16.277 lakh tonnes.
4. Offtake of allocation of 15.63 lakh tons under OWS has been assumed at 80% of
allocation i.e.@ 1.042 lakh tons/month.
5. Offtake against the additional allocation of 17.85 lakh tonnes has been assumed to be
80%. The monthly offtake will be 1.19 lakh tonnes.
6. For 2014-15 allocation of 100 lakh tonnes has been approved by CCEA for tender sale.
The approved tender quantity upto 4th tender in February, 15 is 39.64 LMT. Upto
December 2014, 16.45 lakh tonnes of wheat was sold under the scheme and 25.00 lakh
tonnes is assumed to be sold upto 31.3.2015.
7. Out of the export of 20 lakh tonnes wheat allowed from the Central pool, 3.27 lakh
tonnes has been exported after 1st April 2014. The export from the central pool has been
closed now.

Country Budget for wheat for 2014-15

( in lakh tons)

Total production (As per Fourth Advance estimate of DAC for

2013-14)
Availability of wheat for food use (less 12.5% seed, feed and
wastage)

Opening balance in Central Pool as on 1st April, 2014

Imports

Exports from Central Pool

Export by private traders

Total available [ (2) + (3) + (4) (5) - (6) ]

993.76

818.50

Consumption (food use) 2

Year ending stocks in Central Pool on 1 st April, 2015
(estimated)

10

Minimum Buffer norms + strategic reserve, as on 1st April

11

Addition to private stock [ (7) - (8) - (9) ]

958.50
838.69
178.34
0.00

3.27
20.00

170.62
70.00
4.63

Note
s
1. Export for the current year has been assumed to be 20 lakh tons by private traders.
2. Consumption as per NCAER for 2012-13 was 818.5 lakh tons. Consumption demand for
the year has been assumed to be the same.

RICE

Estimated Central Pool Rice Budget (Oct,2014 Sept,2015)

( As on 01.1.2015)
( in lakh tons)
1

Opening balance as on 1st Jan, 2015 1

231.30

351.50

Estimate of total procurement in KMS 2014-152

Actual Procurement during KMS 2014-15 (as on 1 st Jan
2015)

Total availability [ (1) + (2) - (3) ]

433.63

Expected offtake under TPDS

2015 3

203.58

Expected offtake under OWS during Jan 2015 - Sept,

2015 4

20.49

Expected
additional
allocations5

36.86

Expected releases under OMSS

Total Offtake [ ( 5) + (6) + (7) + (8) ]

280.94

10

Estimated balance as on 1st Oct, 2015 [ (4) - (9) ]

152.69

11

Minimum Buffer norms + strategic reserve, as on 1st Oct

149.17

during Jan 2015 - Sept,

festival/flood/drought/

special

20.00

72.00

Note
s
1.
Figure given by FCI. This includes the rice equivalent to unmilled paddy of
48.66 lakh tonnes lying with State Agencies and FCI.
2.

As per the State Food Secretaries meeting held in August 2014, the procurement
from Kharif crop only is estimated to be 301.50 lakh tons. As per the Food
Secretaries meeting held in February, 2015, the procurement against the rabi
crop has been estimated to be 50 lakh tonnes. Thus the total procurement during
KMS 2014-15 has been taken to be 351.50 lakh tonnes.

3. TPDS offtake has been assumed @ 100% of allocation for AAY, Priority and BPL
allocations and 90% of allocation for APL/ tide over allocation. Monthly allocations
assumed for the year are as follows; AAY 4.054 lakh tons , BPL 6.767 lakh tons,
Priority - 7.999 lakh tonnes, APL 4.12 lakh tons, Tide over - 0.165 lakh tonnes.
Estimated monthly lifting (4.054 + 6.76 + 7.925 + 90%of 4.12+ 0.165 lakh
tonnes) is 22.604 lakh tonnes.
4. Off take under OWS has been assumed at 100 % of allocation @ (34.16/12=
2.277 lakh tons per month.
5. Offtake against the additional allocation of 61.44 lakh tonnes has been assumed
to be 80%. The monthly offtake will be 4.096 lakh tonnes.
6. Proposal is under submission for approval of allocation of rice. It is expected that
20 LMT of rice will be sold upto Sept, 15.

Estimated Country Budget for Rice (Oct,2014-Sept,2015)

( in lakh tons)

Estimated production KMS 2014-15 (Oct 14 -Sep 15) 1

Availability of rice for food use (less 7.6% seed, feed and
wastage)

Opening balance in Central Pool as on 1.10.2014

Exports of basmati rice

Non-Basmati Exports (on diplomatic basis and on

account ) 2

1020.20
942.66
183.41
35.00

private
70.00

Total available [ (2) + (3) (4) (5) ]

Consumption (food use) as per NSSO estimates 64th Round
(ref. CACP report for KMS 2011-12 )

1021.07

Year ending stocks in Central Pool on 1.10.2015 (est)

Minimum Buffer norms + strategic reserve, as on 1st October

72.00

10

Addition to private stock [ (6) - (7) - (8) ]

-0.12

868.50
152.69

Notes
1. As per the 1st advance estimates of D/o Agri & Coop, rice production during
KMS 203-14 is as follows: kharif crop- estimate 880.2 lakh tonnes estimate, rabi crop
target 140 lakh tonnes , total production estimate - 1020.2 lakh tonnes.
2. During KMS 2014-15 export of non-basmati rice has been assumed to be 70.0 lakh
tons. Similarly, export of basmati rice has been assumed to be 35 lakh tonnes.