Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
for 2001) to nearly $4.00 per share in 2008 (compared to $1.38 in 1999) as
did the dividend payment. The dividend yield remained relatively constant
over the past years and is below the industrial average. A more detailed
fundamental analysis of the development of EPS and Dividends is shown in
the Calculated Ratios section below.
P/E ratio
20
Industry Average
15
10
5
0
36312
36678
37043
37408
37773
38139
38504
38869
39234
39600
The Price to earnings (P/E) ratio has dropped steadily since 2001
indicating the decreasing growth potential of the company. By 2008 P&Gs
P/E ratio was very close to the current industry average. While one might
expect a very large company like P&G to have a lower P/E ratio than the
industry average (given a counterbalancing effect of small firms in the
industry), the fact that its P/E ratio is at the average indicates a potential
nimbleness that will allow the company greater future growth than might be
expected for a company of its size.
36312 36678 37043 37408 37773 38139 38504 38869 39234 39600
P&G was able to increase its sales over the last ten years, which is a
very positive signal to the market. Whereas between 1999 and 2002, the
sales were rather constant ($40 bn.), they increased to over $80 bn. by
2008. Increasing sales by 100% within six years is quite impressive,
especially given the magnitude of the sales (growing from $40 bn. to $80
bn).
Change in Sales and Inflation Source: Mergent Online, Bureau of Labor Statistics
25
20
Sales change (%)
15
Change CPI
10
5
0
36678
37043 37408
37773
38139
38504
38869
39234
39600
-5
Over its recent period of steady sales growth, P&G was not simply
increasing its prices. The growth rate of its sales is much higher than the
inflation (change in the consumer price index). P&G was therefore really able
to expand its business. The significant increase in sales in 2006 can be
contributed to the acquisition of Gillette in late 2005.
30
20
10
0
36312 36678 37043 37408 37773 38139 38504 38869 39234 39600
The Book Value per share was quite constant at about $5 between
1999 and 2005 and increased to $23 per share in 2008. This development is
rather surprising since the plowback ratio was quite constant over the 10
year period. The development is however favorable in the eyes of an investor
if a company has a very high Book Value per share (compared to the price
per share), the risk for the investor to lose money may be considered lower
(since it is backed by real value). In this case, however, the reason for
the increased Book Value is a significant increase in Goodwill (from $24bn.
to $89 bn.). The acquisition of the Gillette company in 2005 was the reason
for this significant change ($34.95 billion). Whether the shareholders are
exposed to less risk due to the higher Book Value per share may be
questioned.