Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
13
Laudo de Avaliao dos Ativos Petra
56
Eneva
Valuation
Analysis MEMORANDUM
PROJECT
36 INFORMATION
PREPARED
[INVESTOR]
March
31,TO:
2015
DATE: [X]
Table of Contents
Section I.
Executive Summary
Section II.
Appendix I.
Multiple Database
Appendix II.
Contacts
I
Executive Summary
Executive Summary
Introduction (1/2)
Eneva S.A
Praia do Flamengo, 66 9th floor
22210030 Rio de Janeiro RJ Brazil
Dear Sirs,
We understand that Eneva S.A. (Company or Eneva) is entertaining the possibility of acquiring the stake currently owned directly and/or indirectly
by Petra Energia S.A. (Petra) in UTE Parnaba I, UTE Parnaba III and UTE Parnaba IV (collectively referred to herein as UTEs), equivalent to
30% of the capital stock in each of such UTEs (Petra UTE Shares).
For the purposes of the foregoing, Eneva have asked G5 Consultoria e Assessoria Ltda. (G5 Evercore) to provide the Company with a valuation of
Petra UTE Shares.
In connection with the required analysis by G5 Evercore, please be advised that we have based our work on the information provided by or on
behalf of the Company and also endeavored the following specific reviews and discussions:
I.
Reviewed certain non-public internal financial statements, other non-public financial and operating data relating to Parnaba I, III and IV,
that were prepared and provided to us by the management of the Company;
II.
Reviewed certain financial projections relating to Parnaba I, III and IV, that were provided to us by the management of the Company;
III.
Discussed the past and current operations, financial projections, current financial condition and prospects of Parnaba I, III and IV with
certain members of senior management of the Company;
IV. Reviewed existing agreement between Petra and Eneva related to Parnaba I, III and IV, including existing shareholders agreements
and capital increase operations that occurred in the past;
V.
Reviewed the financial terms of certain publicly available transactions that we deemed to be relevant; and
VI. Discussed with management of the Company, but have not discussed with legal advisors of the Company, the potential impact of
certain ongoing litigations.
With respect to the financial projections of Parnaba I, III and IV which were provided to us, we have assumed that such financial projections have
been reasonably prepared by the Company on bases reflecting the best currently available estimates and good faith judgments of the future
competitive, operating and regulatory environments and related financial performance of Parnaba I, III and IV.
Furthermore, we were informed by the Company that Petra failed to contribute its share on capital increases of UTE Parnaba I, UTE Parnaba III
and UTE Parnaba IV duly approved in the past years. The amount due by Petra, sums R$ 70,9 MM, however, with penalties and interests applied,
the current total amount outstanding is R$ 93,0 MM.
Executive Summary
Introduction (2/2)
Notwithstanding our review of certain set of information provided by or on behalf of the Company, we have not made, nor assumed any
responsibility for making, any technical audit of the Companys operation nor carried out any independent valuation or appraisal of specific assets or
liabilities (contingent or otherwise) of the UTEs, nor have we been provided with any such appraisals, nor have we evaluated the solvency or fair
value of each of the UTEs under any state or federal laws relating to bankruptcy, insolvency or similar matters. Our valuation analysis is necessarily
based on economic, market and other conditions as in effect on, and the information made available to us as of, the date hereof. It is understood
that subsequent developments may affect this analysis and that we do not have any obligation to update, revise or reaffirm this assessment.
Likewise, we have not been asked to pass upon, nor express opinion with respect to any matter other than the valuation of the UTEs as of the date
hereof, to the holders of the Company. Our valuation analysis does not address the relative merits of the acquisition of Petra UTE Shares as
compared to other business or financial strategies that might be available to the Company, nor does it address the underlying business decision of
the Company to engage in such a transaction. We are not legal, regulatory, accounting or tax experts and have assumed the accuracy and
completeness of assessments by the Company and its advisors with respect to legal, regulatory, accounting and tax matters.
Furthermore, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is hereby made by G5 Evercore and/or its affiliates, managers, employees,
consultants, agents or representatives, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided to G5 Evercore and nothing contained herein
is, or shall be relied upon as, a representation, whether as to the past, the present or the future.
Finally, please be also advised that we have been engaged as financial advisor to the Company solely for the purpose of performing this valuation
analysis and will receive a fee in connection with the delivery of this analysis. In addition, the Company has agreed to reimburse certain of our
expenses and to indemnify us against certain liabilities arising out of our engagement. In addition, we and our affiliates may have in the past
provided, may be currently providing and in the future may provide, financial advisory services to the Company, or their respective affiliates, for
which we have received, and would expect to receive, compensation.
Based upon and subject to the foregoing, as of the date hereof, we present in this presentation a summary of the valuation analysis of Petra UTE
Shares.
Executive Summary
Parnaba I, Parnaba III e Parnaba IV Valuation Summary
Petras stake in Parnaba I, Parnaba III and Parnaba IV equity were valued by G5 Evercore according to different methodologies, detailed
below.
Valuation Methodologies
Methodology
Range
-15% / +15%
489
Cost of Capital:
Parnaba I
13,08%
Parnaba III
11,61%
Parnaba IV
28,10%
361
485
Trading EV/EBITDA Multiples
2015
396
8,0x 9,0x
326
6,5x 7,5x
Transaction EV/EBITDA
Multiples
8,0x 10,0x
Note [1]: Discounted by R$ 93 MM owed by Petra under the shareholders agreement regulation, due
to failure in contribution its share in capital increases occurred in the past
240
574
396
II
Valuation - Parnaba I, III and IV
E.ON
Petra
42,9%
Parnaba I
Parnaba III
Parnaba IV
50,0%
ENEVA / E.ON
Joint Venture (JV)
Parnaba I
70% Eneva
30% Petra
35% Eneva
Parnaba III
35% JV
30% Petra
35% Eneva
Parnaba IV
35% JV
30% Petra
Base Date
Source: Eneva
50,0%
Valuation - Eneva
Cost of Equity Calculation Methodology
CAPM Model
Cost of Equity
(Nominal R$)
Cost of Equity
Cost of Equity
Risk Free Rate
Inflation
Differential
(Nominal USD)
Levered Beta
Market Risk Premium
Country Risk
Unlevered Beta
Levered Beta
Risk Premium
Debt to Equity
Ratio
Country Risk
Long-Term
Long-Term
US Inflation
Brazil Inflation
Overview
Energy Source
Gas
675,2 MW
feb-13
Capacity Declared
660,0 MW
450 MWm
PPA Length
15 years
Inflexibility
0%
112,50 R$/MWh
Fuel Consumption
10,89 MMBtu/MWh
Fuel Costs
PPA Renovation
Economic Life
30 years
Financing Assumptions
Debt Amount (as of December, 2014)
Interest
Amortization Period
Amortization Start Year
Source: Eneva
6,10 R$/MMBtu
10
R$720MM
69% of Debt: TJLP + 2%
31% of Debt : IPCA + 5%
13 years
2015
Unit
R$/MWh
R$/KW - year
R$/KW - year
R$/KW - month
R$ MM
R$/MWh
R$ MM
R$/MWh
US$/MMBtu
R$/MWh
R$/MWh
R$/MMBtu
R$ MM
R$ MM
R$ MM
R$/MWh
2015
44,39
1,95
0,11
3,31
48,82
5,55
12,47
121,13
3,93
10,97
20,00
6,49
169,86
220,41
9,89
333,39
2016
47,47
2,09
0,12
3,54
47,72
5,99
12,91
130,06
4,41
11,77
21,58
7,01
183,31
233,95
10,52
305,51
2017
50,36
2,21
0,12
3,75
50,41
6,32
183,50
137,71
4,76
12,47
22,80
7,40
193,63
220,59
11,11
285,89
2018
53,01
2,33
0,13
3,95
53,03
6,65
13,74
144,92
5,27
13,12
23,98
7,79
203,70
176,91
11,69
258,05
2019
55,71
2,45
0,14
4,15
55,72
6,99
14,45
152,30
5,19
13,79
25,20
8,18
214,03
100,99
12,28
258,60
2020
58,54
2,57
0,14
4,36
58,55
7,35
15,19
160,02
4,96
14,49
26,48
8,60
224,88
91,87
12,91
274,07
2021
61,51
2,70
0,15
4,58
61,51
7,72
15,96
168,13
5,37
15,22
27,82
9,03
236,28
161,63
13,56
260,22
2022
64,63
2,84
0,16
4,81
64,63
8,11
16,76
176,65
5,64
15,99
29,23
9,49
248,26
217,91
14,25
299,96
2023
67,90
2,98
0,17
5,06
67,91
8,52
17,61
185,61
5,90
16,80
30,71
9,97
260,85
238,04
14,97
319,89
2024
71,34
3,13
0,17
5,31
71,35
8,95
39,92
195,02
6,20
17,65
32,27
10,48
274,07
239,58
15,73
343,79
2025
74,96
3,29
0,18
5,58
74,97
9,41
19,45
204,91
6,45
18,55
33,91
11,01
287,97
303,29
16,53
339,32
2026
78,76
3,46
0,19
5,87
78,77
9,88
20,43
215,30
6,72
19,49
35,63
11,57
302,57
339,06
17,36
352,93
2027
82,76
3,64
0,20
6,16
82,77
10,38
21,47
226,21
7,00
20,48
37,43
12,16
317,91
339,10
18,25
410,62
2028
86,95
3,82
0,21
6,48
86,96
10,91
22,56
237,68
7,26
21,52
39,33
12,77
334,03
343,18
19,17
425,90
2029
91,36
4,01
0,22
6,81
91,37
11,46
23,70
249,73
7,63
22,61
41,32
13,42
350,96
404,50
20,14
455,78
2030
95,99
4,22
0,23
7,15
96,00
12,04
24,90
262,39
8,12
23,75
43,42
14,10
368,76
446,75
21,16
472,56
2029
12
675,20
94%
1%
3%
1%
96%
45%
466,60
449,79
6,86
450,00
-7,07
100%
2.519.274
2.428.536
(61.891)
2.442.286
2030
12
675,20
94%
1%
3%
1%
97%
44%
466,60
449,79
1,69
450,00
-1,90
100%
2.449.088
2.360.878
(16.628)
2.376.948
Months in Operation
Avg. Installed Capacity
Availability
Real Internal Consumption
Grid Losses
Average Internal Consumption
Average Availability
Expected Dispatch
Physical Guarantee
Net Physical Guarantee
Net FID
Energy Traded in ACR
Energy Traded in ACL
Spot energy sold in ACR
Total Energy Dispatch
Energy Demanded in ACR
Energy sold/(bought) in ACL
ADOMP
Unit
2015
months
12
MWm
675,20
%
88%
%
1%
%
3%
% - 60 months
1%
% - 60 months
97%
%
100%
MWm
466,60
MWm
451,67
MWm
0,00
MWm
450,00
MWm
1,67
%
100%
MWh
5.231.601
MWh
5.024.485
MWh
14.661
MWh
5.387.239
2016
12
675,20
90%
1%
3%
1%
92%
100%
466,60
451,28
21,48
450,00
-20,21
100%
5.316.456
5.110.490
(177.497)
5.406.770
2017
12
675,20
95%
1%
3%
1%
91%
69%
466,60
450,94
28,84
450,00
-27,90
100%
3.863.196
3.716.285
(244.373)
3.711.995
2018
12
675,20
95%
1%
3%
1%
91%
46%
466,60
450,37
29,26
450,00
-28,89
100%
2.585.286
2.490.137
(253.115)
2.489.819
2019
12
675,20
95%
1%
3%
1%
91%
28%
466,60
449,79
26,71
450,00
-26,92
100%
1.591.026
1.533.721
(235.807)
1.534.314
2020
12
675,20
91%
1%
3%
1%
94%
30%
466,60
449,79
13,32
450,00
-13,53
100%
1.629.928
1.571.222
(118.504)
1.635.701
2021
12
675,20
95%
1%
3%
1%
95%
40%
466,60
449,79
7,56
450,00
-7,77
100%
2.260.623
2.179.201
(68.051)
2.183.187
11
2022
12
675,20
95%
1%
3%
1%
97%
48%
466,60
449,79
-0,05
450,00
-0,16
100%
2.676.014
2.579.630
(1.399)
2.586.480
2023
12
675,20
94%
1%
3%
1%
97%
47%
466,60
449,79
-0,87
450,00
0,66
100%
2.635.725
2.540.793
5.804
2.550.431
2024
12
675,20
89%
1%
3%
1%
97%
45%
466,60
449,79
-0,65
450,00
0,45
100%
2.385.555
2.299.633
3.931
2.451.298
2025
12
675,20
94%
1%
3%
1%
96%
49%
466,60
449,79
5,53
450,00
-5,74
100%
2.738.302
2.639.675
(50.250)
2.654.071
2026
12
675,20
95%
1%
3%
1%
96%
50%
466,60
449,79
3,14
450,00
-3,34
100%
2.783.776
2.683.512
(29.284)
2.687.866
2027
12
675,20
95%
1%
3%
1%
96%
46%
466,60
449,79
3,59
450,00
-3,80
100%
2.553.484
2.461.514
(33.252)
2.469.322
2028
12
675,20
91%
1%
3%
1%
96%
44%
466,60
449,79
3,50
450,00
-3,71
100%
2.387.363
2.301.376
(32.479)
2.403.984
1.479
1.095
2015
1.221
2016
1.126
2017
989
2018
1.065
849
881
2019
2020
2021
1.219
1.286
1.311
2022
2023
2024
2025
1.582
1.610
1.652
2026
2027
2028
1.806
2029
1.910
2030
356
211
236
245
261
2018
2019
2020
283
305
322
317
2022
2023
2024
377
394
413
436
463
199
62
2015
Source: Eneva
2016
2017
2021
12
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
EBT
Income Tax Paid
Depreciation and Amortization
Changes in Working Capital
Other Non-Cash Items
Capex
Debt Raised
Debt Paid
Total
2015
99
(2)
46
(4)
0
(13)
0
(57)
70
2016
97
(2)
46
3
0
(2)
0
(57)
86
Discount Rate
Cost of Equity
Risk Free Rate
Unlevered Beta
Levered Beta
Risk Premium
Country Risk
Debt (Target)
Equity / (Debt + Equity)
Debt / (Debt + Equity)
Inflation
Brazil
USA
Cost of Capital
Ke - US$
Ke - R$ Nominal
Source: Eneva
2017
(34)
0
46
17
0
(1)
0
(57)
-28
2018
145
(5)
46
(26)
0
(0)
0
(57)
103
2019
158
(6)
47
(3)
0
(0)
0
(57)
138
2020
179
(7)
47
(2)
0
0
0
(57)
159
2021
206
(9)
47
(1)
0
0
0
(57)
186
2022
232
(14)
47
(1)
0
0
0
(57)
207
2023
254
(17)
47
(1)
0
0
0
(57)
225
2024
254
(102)
47
1
0
0
0
(57)
143
2025
297
(117)
47
(3)
0
0
0
(57)
167
Source
9,76%
2,37%
0,33x
0,72x
6,96%
2,38%
2026
323
(126)
47
(2)
0
0
0
(57)
185
2027
345
(133)
47
(2)
0
0
0
(33)
223
2028
366
(140)
47
(2)
0
0
0
0
270
Date
12/03/2015
15/03/2015
15/03/2015
04/03/2015
9,76%
13,08%
13
16/03/2015
16/03/2015
2029
389
(148)
47
(1)
0
0
0
0
286
2030
417
(158)
47
(2)
0
0
0
0
303
Sources
Energy Source
Gas
176,0 MW
out-13
Capacity Declared
176,0 MW
98 MWm
PPA Length
15 years
Inflexibility
0%
114,71 R$/MWh
Fuel Consumption
8,84 MMBtu/MWh
Fuel Costs
Economic Life
R$122MM
Interest
CDI + 3%
Amortization Period
10 years
Net Intercompany Credit, as of December 2014, of R$ 34MM is not considered in the total
debt amount
30 years
Financing Assumptions
PPA Renovation
Source: Eneva
6,10 R$/MMBtu
14
2015
Unit
R$/MWh
R$/KW - year
R$/KW - year
R$/KW - month
R$ MM
R$/MWh
R$ MM
R$/MWh
US$/MMBtu
R$/MWh
R$/MWh
R$/MMBtu
R$ MM
R$ MM
R$ MM
R$/MWh
2015
63,06
1,95
0,11
4,60
2,88
5,38
3,45
123,50
3,93
172,96
20,00
6,48
20,91
123,18
2,45
346,32
2016
67,45
2,09
0,12
4,92
3,05
5,81
3,57
132,61
4,41
185,71
21,58
6,87
22,57
137,80
2,61
325,59
2017
71,54
2,21
0,12
5,21
3,22
6,14
3,64
140,40
4,76
196,63
22,80
7,40
23,84
73,71
2,76
315,02
2018
75,31
2,33
0,13
5,49
3,39
6,46
3,80
147,76
5,27
206,94
23,98
7,79
25,08
45,37
2,90
297,91
2019
79,15
2,45
0,14
5,77
3,56
6,78
3,99
155,28
5,19
217,47
25,20
8,18
26,35
26,05
3,05
305,16
2020
83,17
2,57
0,14
6,06
3,75
7,13
4,20
163,15
4,96
228,49
26,48
8,60
27,69
27,02
3,20
340,09
2021
87,38
2,70
0,15
6,37
3,93
7,49
16,78
171,42
5,37
240,08
27,82
9,03
29,09
36,91
3,37
307,78
2022
91,81
2,84
0,16
6,69
4,13
7,87
4,63
180,11
5,64
252,25
29,23
9,49
30,57
56,91
3,54
340,61
2023
96,47
2,98
0,17
7,03
4,34
8,27
4,87
189,24
5,90
265,04
30,71
9,97
32,12
54,94
3,72
373,10
2024
101,36
3,13
0,17
7,39
4,56
8,69
5,12
198,84
6,20
278,47
32,27
10,48
33,74
55,41
3,90
396,20
2025
106,50
3,29
0,18
7,76
4,80
9,13
5,37
208,92
6,45
292,59
33,91
11,01
35,46
53,54
4,10
410,84
2026
111,90
3,46
0,19
8,16
5,04
9,59
5,65
219,51
6,72
307,43
35,63
11,57
37,25
63,74
4,31
408,40
2027
117,57
3,64
0,20
8,57
5,29
10,08
5,93
230,64
7,00
323,01
37,43
12,16
39,14
70,90
4,53
463,75
2028
123,53
3,82
0,21
9,00
5,56
10,59
6,23
242,34
7,26
339,39
39,33
12,77
41,13
69,65
4,76
492,84
2029
129,80
4,01
0,22
9,46
5,84
11,13
6,55
254,62
7,63
356,60
41,32
13,42
43,21
77,15
5,00
522,52
2030
136,38
4,22
0,23
9,94
6,14
11,69
6,88
267,53
8,12
374,68
43,42
14,10
45,40
67,74
5,25
551,63
Months in Operation
Avg. Installed Capacity
Availability
Real Internal Consumption
Grid Losses
Average Internal Consumption
Average Availability
Expected Dispatch
Physical Guarantee
Net Physical Guarantee
Net FID
Energy Traded in ACR
Energy Traded in ACL
Spot energy sold in ACR
Total Energy Dispatch
Energy Demanded in ACR
Energy sold/(bought) in ACL
ADOMP
Unit
2015
months
12
MWm
176,00
%
92%
%
1%
%
3%
% - 60 months
1%
% - 60 months
96%
%
100%
MWm
101,80
MWm
98,70
MWm
1,53
MWm
98,00
MWm
-0,83
%
99%
MWh
1.414.045
MWh
1.355.167
MWh
(7.236)
MWh
1.433.533
2016
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
91%
100%
101,80
98,46
6,47
98,00
-6,02
100%
1.470.405
1.412.728
(52.854)
1.441.079
2017
12
176,00
90%
1%
3%
1%
90%
56%
101,80
98,26
7,21
98,00
-6,94
100%
767.882
739.218
(60.821)
800.989
2018
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
89%
32%
101,80
98,26
8,30
98,00
-8,04
100%
461.012
443.804
(70.390)
453.594
2019
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
89%
18%
101,80
98,26
8,12
98,00
-7,86
100%
264.519
254.645
(68.820)
260.396
2020
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
95%
18%
101,80
98,26
1,86
98,00
-1,59
100%
261.391
251.634
(13.972)
257.396
2021
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
97%
23%
101,80
98,26
0,37
98,00
-0,10
100%
331.900
319.511
(907)
326.995
15
2022
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
97%
32%
101,80
98,26
-0,39
98,00
0,65
100%
474.062
456.366
5.672
467.393
2023
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
99%
30%
101,80
98,26
-1,73
98,00
2,00
100%
437.842
421.498
17.494
431.994
2024
12
176,00
91%
1%
3%
1%
99%
30%
101,80
98,26
-1,73
98,00
2,00
100%
421.459
405.727
17.489
432.594
2025
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
98%
27%
101,80
98,26
-0,83
98,00
1,09
100%
389.967
375.410
9.571
385.195
2026
12
176,00
95%
1%
3%
1%
98%
30%
101,80
98,26
-0,72
98,00
0,98
100%
438.380
422.016
8.620
433.194
2027
12
176,00
94%
1%
3%
1%
98%
32%
101,80
98,26
-0,63
98,00
0,89
100%
462.380
445.120
7.789
457.194
2028
12
176,00
94%
1%
3%
1%
98%
30%
101,80
98,26
-0,62
98,00
0,88
100%
434.198
417.991
7.701
429.594
2029
12
176,00
94%
1%
3%
1%
98%
31%
101,80
98,26
-0,60
98,00
0,87
100%
456.353
439.318
7.578
451.794
2030
12
176,00
89%
1%
3%
1%
98%
28%
101,80
98,26
-1,33
98,00
1,60
100%
385.957
371.550
13.989
405.594
360
327
301
253
2016
2017
2018
260
2022
2023
2024
274
2025
331
2027
2028
356
349
2029
2030
213
207
2015
256
269
324
178
186
2019
2020
2021
2026
71
70
71
74
77
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Source: Eneva
83
2020
95
100
105
109
2022
2023
2024
2025
115
122
127
134
140
78
2021
16
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
EBT
Income Tax Paid
Depreciation and Amortization
Changes in Working Capital
Other Non-Cash Items
Capex
Debt Raised
Debt Paid
Total
2015
50
(3)
6
8
0
(6)
0
(3)
53
2016
51
(3)
6
1
0
(0)
0
(14)
41
Discount Rate
Cost of Equity
Risk Free Rate
Unlevered Beta
Levered Beta
Risk Premium
Country Risk
Debt (Target)
Equity / (Debt + Equity)
Debt / (Debt + Equity)
Inflation
Brazil
USA
Cost of Capital
Ke - US$
Ke - R$ Nominal
Source: Eneva
2017
55
(3)
6
(2)
0
(0)
0
(14)
43
2018
60
(4)
6
(1)
0
0
0
4
65
2019
62
(6)
6
(1)
0
0
0
3
64
2020
69
(7)
6
(1)
0
0
0
(14)
53
2021
65
(7)
6
1
0
0
0
(14)
52
2022
84
(10)
6
(2)
0
0
0
(14)
65
2023
91
(11)
6
(1)
0
0
0
(14)
72
2024
97
(35)
6
(1)
0
0
0
(10)
58
2025
103
(37)
6
(1)
0
0
0
0
72
Source
8,34%
2,37%
0,33x
0,51x
6,96%
2,38%
2026
109
(39)
6
(0)
0
0
0
0
76
2027
116
(41)
6
(1)
0
0
0
0
80
2028
121
(43)
6
(1)
0
0
0
0
83
Date
12/03/2015
15/03/2015
15/03/2015
04/03/2015
8,34%
11,61%
17
16/03/2015
16/03/2015
2029
128
(46)
6
(1)
0
0
0
0
88
2030
134
(48)
6
(1)
0
0
0
0
92
Sources
Energy Source
Gas
56,3 MW
jan-14
Capacity Declared
53,4 MW
0 MWm
PPA Length
NA
Inflexibility
NA
NA
Fuel Consumption
7,57 MMBtu/MWh
Fuel Costs
7,52 R$/MMBtu
Yes same conditions
PPA Renovation
Economic Life
30 years
Financing Assumptions
Debt Amount (as of December, 2014)
R$153MM
Interest
104% CDI
Amortization Period
Amortization Start Year
Source: Eneva
Note[1]: Intercompany Debt
18
8 years
2018
2015
38,95
2,24
0,12
4,94
4,10
4,39
7,71
0,00
3,93
10,27
148,06
8,61
0,00
0,00
1,32
314,07
2016
42,03
2,42
0,13
5,33
4,30
4,71
7,72
0,00
4,41
11,08
159,79
9,23
0,00
0,00
1,40
275,47
2017
44,40
2,56
0,14
5,63
4,55
4,99
4,95
0,00
4,76
11,70
168,79
9,78
0,00
0,00
1,48
260,43
2018
46,71
2,69
0,15
5,92
4,79
5,25
5,49
0,00
5,27
12,31
177,56
10,30
0,00
0,00
1,56
218,07
2019
49,07
2,83
0,16
6,22
5,03
5,52
5,08
0,00
5,19
12,94
186,57
10,82
0,00
0,00
1,64
201,63
2020
51,56
2,97
0,16
6,54
5,29
5,80
5,36
0,00
4,96
13,59
196,02
11,37
0,00
0,00
1,72
217,72
2021
54,18
3,12
0,17
6,87
5,56
6,09
6,05
0,00
5,37
14,28
205,96
11,95
0,00
0,00
1,81
223,05
2022
56,92
3,28
0,18
7,22
5,84
6,40
6,67
0,00
5,64
15,01
216,41
12,55
0,00
0,00
1,90
257,22
2023
59,81
3,44
0,19
7,58
6,14
6,72
6,95
0,00
5,90
15,77
227,38
13,19
0,00
0,00
2,00
275,91
2024
62,84
3,62
0,20
7,97
6,45
7,07
7,34
0,00
6,20
16,57
238,90
13,86
0,00
0,00
2,10
291,03
2025
66,03
3,80
0,21
8,37
6,77
7,42
7,72
0,00
6,45
17,41
251,02
14,56
0,00
0,00
2,21
296,68
2026
69,37
4,00
0,22
8,80
7,12
7,80
8,17
0,00
6,72
18,29
263,74
15,30
0,00
0,00
2,32
312,73
2027
72,89
4,20
0,23
9,24
7,48
8,20
8,63
0,00
7,00
19,22
277,12
16,07
0,00
0,00
2,44
340,10
2028
76,59
4,41
0,24
9,71
7,86
8,61
8,97
0,00
7,26
20,19
291,17
16,89
0,00
0,00
2,56
354,20
2029
80,47
4,63
0,26
10,20
8,26
9,05
9,35
0,00
7,63
21,22
305,93
17,75
0,00
0,00
2,69
381,83
2030
84,55
4,87
0,27
10,72
8,67
9,51
9,68
0,00
8,12
22,29
321,44
18,65
0,00
0,00
2,83
398,29
2023
12
56,28
87%
3%
3%
3%
88%
66%
51,78
45,48
-0,52
46,00
-1%
280.447
(4.545)
402.960
(3.080)
2024
12
56,28
89%
3%
3%
3%
87%
65%
51,78
45,21
-0,79
46,00
-2%
283.629
(6.940)
402.960
(4.644)
2025
12
56,28
85%
3%
3%
3%
87%
68%
51,78
45,16
-0,84
46,00
-2%
283.546
(7.329)
402.960
(5.108)
2026
12
56,28
87%
3%
3%
3%
86%
67%
51,78
44,87
-1,13
46,00
-2%
287.834
(9.895)
402.960
(6.850)
2027
12
56,28
87%
3%
3%
3%
87%
68%
51,78
44,90
-1,10
46,00
-2%
291.284
(9.666)
402.960
(6.778)
2028
12
56,28
87%
3%
3%
3%
87%
67%
51,78
45,05
-0,95
46,00
-2%
285.097
(8.312)
402.960
(5.707)
2029
12
56,28
87%
3%
3%
3%
87%
66%
51,78
45,08
-0,92
46,00
-2%
280.259
(8.058)
402.960
(5.447)
2030
12
56,28
87%
3%
3%
3%
87%
64%
51,78
44,88
-1,12
46,00
-2%
271.368
(9.826)
402.960
(6.439)
Months in Operation
Avg. Installed Capacity
Availability
Real Internal Consumption
Grid Losses
Average Internal Consumption
Average Availability
Expected Dispatch
Physical Guarantee
Net Physical Guarantee
Net FID
Energy Traded in ACL
Spot energy sold in ACR
Total Energy Dispatch
Energy Demanded in ACR
Energy sold/(bought) in ACL
ADOMP
Unit
months
MWm
%
%
%
% - 60 months
% - 60 months
%
MWm
MWm
MWm
MWm
%
MWh
MWh
MWh
MWh
2015
12
56,28
87%
3%
3%
3%
91%
100%
51,78
47,07
1,07
46,00
2%
428.489
9.345
402.960
9.637
2016
12
56,28
88%
3%
3%
3%
90%
100%
51,78
46,57
0,57
46,00
1%
432.762
5.011
402.960
5.168
2017
12
56,28
89%
3%
3%
3%
89%
81%
51,78
46,37
0,37
46,00
1%
355.301
3.198
402.960
2.676
2018
12
56,28
89%
3%
3%
3%
88%
65%
51,78
45,74
-0,26
46,00
-1%
287.336
(2.296)
402.960
(1.547)
2019
12
56,28
89%
3%
3%
3%
87%
49%
51,78
45,15
-0,85
46,00
-2%
216.722
(7.453)
402.960
(3.792)
2020
12
56,28
88%
3%
3%
3%
88%
50%
51,78
45,84
-0,16
46,00
0%
218.179
(1.378)
402.960
(715)
2021
12
56,28
87%
3%
3%
3%
89%
60%
51,78
45,95
-0,05
46,00
0%
257.247
(460)
402.960
(285)
19
2022
12
56,28
85%
3%
3%
3%
88%
68%
51,78
45,84
-0,16
46,00
0%
285.412
(1.419)
402.960
(992)
63
2015
72
74
77
68
2016
2017
2018
2019
91
95
99
82
87
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
104
2025
109
2026
115
2027
121
2028
127
2029
133
2030
15
2015
Source: Eneva
23
24
2017
2018
27
29
29
30
31
32
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
34
35
37
2025
2026
2027
39
41
44
17
2016
2019
20
2028
2029
2030
EBT
Income Tax Paid
Depreciation and Amortization
Changes in Working Capital
Other Non-Cash Items
Capex
Debt Raised
Debt Paid
Total
2015
(12)
0
7
6
0
(2)
0
0
-1
2017
(1)
0
7
(1)
0
(0)
0
(0)
5
2018
2
0
7
(0)
0
0
0
(18)
-10
2019
6
0
7
(0)
0
0
0
(18)
-6
2020
10
(0)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(16)
0
2021
12
(0)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(19)
0
2022
15
(0)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(21)
0
Discount Rate
Cost of Equity
Risk Free Rate
Unlevered Beta
Levered Beta
Risk Premium
Country Risk
24,34%
2,37%
0,33x
2,81x
6,96%
2,38%
Debt (Target)
Equity / (Debt + Equity)
Debt / (Debt + Equity)
Inflation
Brazil
USA
Cost of Capital
Ke - US$
Ke - R$ Nominal
Source: Eneva
2016
(7)
0
7
(0)
0
(0)
0
0
-1
2023
18
(1)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(24)
0
2024
22
(3)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(25)
0
2025
26
(8)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(12)
13
Source
US Treasury - 10 Years, Avg. Last Twelve Months
Comparables 2 Year Unlevered Beta
Ibbotson Yearbook 2014
EMBI + Brazil, Last Twelve Months
3,02%
5,07% Brazilian Central Bank Estimate
1,99% IMF Estimate
24,34%
28,10%
21
2026
29
(8)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(0)
27
2027
30
(9)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(0)
28
2028
33
(9)
7
(0)
0
0
0
(0)
30
Date
12/03/2015
15/03/2015
15/03/2015
04/03/2015
16/03/2015
16/03/2015
2029
35
(12)
7
(0)
0
0
0
0
29
2030
37
(15)
7
(0)
0
0
0
0
29
(93)
165
489
High range
425
Mid range
361
Low range
352
Parnaba I
Parnaba III
Parnaba IV
Total
Multiple Range
EV
Equity Value
8,00x
9,00x
713
803
489
578
396
485
6,50x
7,50x
558
643
333
419
240
326
8,00x
10,00x
713
892
489
667
396
574
Source: Eneva
Note [1]: Parnaba IV Projected Cash Flows discounted by Parnaba I Cost of Equity (13.08%) result in
an equity value of Petra stake of R$16,23 MM
22
Annex I
Multiples Database
Multiples Database
Comparable Trading Statistics
Company
March, 23rd/ 2015
EBITDA
2015
EV/EBITDA
2016
2015
2016
381
4,7
1.798,3
118,9
573,1
2.371,4
411,1
341,9
5,8x
6,9x
1.258
3,9
4.893,6
74,8
3.867,9
8.761,5
1.155,6
1.092,0
7,6x
8,0x
962
6,0
5.800,9
189,4
5.279,0
11.079,9
1.243,7
1.386,6
8,9x
8,0x
503
3,8
1.921,5
133,2
1.649,1
3.570,6
315,8
357,6
11,3x
10,0x
476
3,2
1.513,7
51,1
952,4
2.466,1
499,0
574,6
4,9x
4,3x
198
9,4
1.851,3
127,0
907,2
2.758,5
294,0
372,5
9,4x
7,4x
106
8,4
889,3
113,4
846,5
1.735,9
117,7
159,7
14,8x
10,9x
653
11,0
7.202,6
65,2
1.116,5
8.319,1
938,7
1.176,5
8,9x
7,1x
Eneva S.A.
840
0,1
50,4
241,6
1.973,4
2.023,8
326,6
0,0
6,2x
0,0x
Copel
274
10,8
2.961,9
35,1
1.826,6
4.471,0
892,6
1.057,4
Cemig S.A.
5,4x
5,3x
115,0
8,3x
6,8x
116,2
8,2x
7,2x
Source: Capital IQ
24
Multiples Database
Comparable Transaction Statistics
All Transactions
Announced Date
Buyers/Investors
Target/Issuer
Percent Sought
Im plied Enterprise
Value/EBITDA
Country of Target
6.611,0
54%
9,0x
Chile
413,0
39%
6,0x
Peru
12,0x
Chile
1.317,1
50%
Compaa General de
Electricidad S.A. (SNSE:CGE)
Generandes Peru SA
Empresa Electrica Guacolda
S.A.
NV Energy, Inc.
10.688,8
100%
8,9x
United States
69,4
100%
12,5x
Bulgaria
out-14
abr-14
mar-14
mai-13
dez-12
abr-11
DPL Inc.
4.798,7
100%
7,7x
United States
jan-11
26.627,3
100%
8,3x
United States
308,9
100%
7,4x
Sweeden
91,9
42%
5,0x
Barbados
9.291,0
100%
7,5x
United States
736,6
80%
7,2x
Australia
1.226,8
64%
7,5x
Colombia
2.769,0
100%
16,2x
Singapore
11.810,5
45%
11,0x
Spain
Average
5.482,8
77%
9,0x
Median
2.043,0
90%
8,0x
dez-10
nov-10
Emera Incorporated
fev-10
FirstEnergy Corp.
nov-09
out-09
set-08
jul-08
Source: Capital IQ
25
Annex II
Parnaba I, III and IV Overview
The Parnaba Complex, located in Santo Antnio dos Lopes, Maranho, is one of the largest thermal energy generation complexes in Brazil
The Complex is formed by the thermal power plants Parnaba I, Parnaba II, Parnaba III and Parnaba IV
Currently in operation, Parnaba I (676 MW), Parnaba III (178 MW) and Parnaba IV (56 MW) are the energy suppliers to the National Grid (SIN)
Using gas produced by Parnaba Gs Natural, ENEVA is able to generate energy at low costs due to privileged logistics, to the enterprises large scale
and easy access to mains
The Parnaba Complex is certified to reach up to 3,722 MW
Parnaba I
Parnaba III
Capacity: 676 MW
Capacity: 178 MW
Efficiency: 37%
Efficiency: 38%
Auction: A-5/2008
Auction: A-5/2008
Parnaba II
Parnaba IV
Capacity: 517 MW
Capacity: 56 MW
Efficiency: 51%
Efficiency: 46%
Auction: A-3/2011
Free Market
Source: Eneva
27
R$ thousand
2012
2013
2014
682.815
960.759
(594.048)
(824.570)
88.767
136.190
(15.736)
(11.997)
(18.770)
(14.807)
(10.320)
(5.844)
(929)
(1.677)
(12.926)
(15.736)
76.771
117.420
(984)
(71.334)
(75.854)
Financial revenues
3.100
6.010
Financial expenses
(985)
(74.434)
(81.864)
(16.720)
5.436
41.566
5.716
(5.284)
(5.604)
(11.004)
152
35.962
Net Revenues
Costs
Gross profit
Operating Expenses
SG&A
Other expenses
EBIT
Net financial revenues (expenses)
EBT
Taxes
Net income (loss)
Source: Eneva
28
2012
2013
2014
85.229
158.288
206.355
83.250
32.034
38.121
Suppliers
Accounts receivable
110.113
141.072
Inventory
4.236
7.480
Taxes recoverable
7.455
14.722
Prepaid expenses
1.706
4.086
4.960
272
364
1.084.889
1.264.731
1.179.035
5.141
520
1.323
Current Assets
Other credits
R$ thousand
2012
2013
2014
162.381
265.826
199.312
3.020
85.787
30.028
150.759
149.663
142.438
413
9.431
6.603
5.157
2.328
2.252
Energy reimbursement
15.739
3.032
2.878
17.991
677.593
910.569
715.373
677.593
657.588
577.981
4.187
7.117
107.223
130.275
141.571
330.144
246.624
470.705
Current Liabilities
11.359
Prepaid expenses
1.844
257
1.356
Linked deposit
34.044
24.648
Related parties
1.906
1.344
Fixed assets
882.788
1.035.111
971.709
Capital
354.465
263.619
263.619
Intangible
183.758
178.887
166.647
Accumulated losses
(24.321)
(16.995)
207.087
Total Assets
1.170.118
1.423.019
1.385.390
1.170.118
1.423.019
1.385.390
Source: Eneva
14.006
12.009
Equity
29
R$ thousand
2012
2013
2014
198.299
244.861
(221.912)
(239.403)
(23.613)
5.458
(294)
(483)
(10.070)
(294)
(483)
(10.070)
(294)
(24.096)
(4.612)
(4.790)
(10.660)
Financial revenues
3.811
9.021
Financial expenses
(8.601)
(19.681)
(294)
(28.886)
(15.272)
9.821
5.109
(294)
(19.065)
(10.163)
Net Revenues
Costs
Gross profit
Operating Expenses
Administrative
EBIT
Net financial revenues (expenses)
EBT
Taxes
Net income (loss)
Source: Eneva
30
2012
2013
2014
67
162.075
71.320
62.796
14.104
Suppliers
Accounts receivable
83.494
42.230
Taxes recoverable
10.528
Prepaid expenses
67
Derivative transactions
Other credits
2012
2013
2014
13
149.710
164.106
13
28.253
33.716
120.636
121.568
9.873
39
1.269
1.157
549
1.380
233
8.822
2.609
3.956
38.591
38.001
166.267
267.864
38.591
38.001
Taxes recoverable
249
111
47
140.040
137.077
9.821
86.218
Capital
1.213
160.271
160.271
Fixed assets
156.197
181.535
Accumulated losses
(1.166)
(20.231)
(23.194)
67
328.341
339.184
67
328.341
339.184
Current Assets
Total Assets
Source: Eneva
R$ thousand
Current Liabilities
Equity
31
R$ thousand
2012
2013
2014
5.825
50.022
(3.244)
(32.549)
2.581
17.473
(632)
(1.311)
(632)
(1.311)
1.949
16.162
12
3.416
(21.280)
Financial revenues
19
8.928
325
Financial expenses
(7)
(5.512)
(21.605)
(12)
5.365
(5.118)
(1.800)
2.783
(12)
3.565
(2.335)
Net Revenues
Costs
Gross profit
Operating Expenses
Administrative
EBIT
Net financial revenues (expenses)
EBT
Taxes
Net income (loss)
Source: Eneva
32
2012
2013
2014
Current Assets
1.596
29.035
14.270
Accounts receivable
1.596
5.074
331
8.999
2.412
R$ thousand
2012
2013
2014
Current Liabilities
1.532
83.602
5.658
Suppliers
7.888
1.797
Labour obligations
129
73
23
437
3.718
75.131
1.509
17
70
44.271
174.877
1.048
1.580
43.223
173.297
15.228
19.514
17.178
15.216
15.936
15.936
12
3.578
1.242
16.760
147.387
197.713
Tax obligations
Loans and financing
Taxes recoverable
11.755
10.698
Derivative transactions
3.105
Other credits
102
829
Taxes recoverable
Fixed assets
15.164
118.352
183.443
74
22.200
15.161
118.278
161.243
Equity
Capital
Earnings reserve
Total Assets
Source: Eneva
16.760
147.387
197.713
33
Contacts
Corrado Varoli
cvaroli@g5evercore.com
+55 11 3014 6868
Marcelo Lajchter
malajchter@g5evercore.com
+55 21 3205 9180
Arthur Horta
ahorta@g5evercore.com
+55 11 3165 4600
Graciema Bertoletti
graciema.bertoletti@g5evercore.com
+55 11 3014 6846
Sao Paulo
Rio de Janeiro
www.g5evercore.com
34