Nordic/Baltic meeting on feed control

2010 - Iceland
Risk assessment risk governance
Coping with uncertainty in a complex world
Rolf Horntvedt

Risk assessment risk governance

Challenges
Complex world
Higher level of knowledge in the population
Many opinionists stakeholders
Comparasion of apples and pears
Information society
Less orthodoxy (we do not believe in the authorities)
Life is the art of drawing adequate conclusions out of inadequate
premises
Samuel Butler

Risk assessment risk governance

Pre-assessment

Risk
management

Communication

Risk
appraisal

Risk characterizationevaluation

Risk assessment risk governance

Pre-assessment

Problem framing
Early warning
Screening
Determination of scientific conventions

Risk assessment risk governance

Risk appraisal
Risk assessment
Hazard identicication and estimation
Exposure and vulnerability assessment
Risk estimation
Concern assessment
Risk perceptions
Social concerns
Sosio- economic concerns

Risk assessment risk governance

Risk characterization/evaluation
Risk characterization
Risk profile
Judgement of the seriousness of risk
Conclusions and risk reducing options
Risk evaluation
Judging the tolerability and acceptability
Need for risk reducing measures

Risk assessment risk governance

Risk management
Implementation
Option realization
Monitoring and control
Feedback from from risk management practiice
Decision-making
Option identification and generation
Option assessment
Option evaluation and selection

Risk assessment risk governance

Economic
system

Expert
system

Efficiency, decisionmaking tools

Risk assessment
Concerns, criteria for trade-offs
Risk regulation

Civil
society

Political
system

Risk assessment risk governance

Economic system

Property rights
Private contracts
Compensation for external effects

Civil society

Mutual understanding
Social values and world views
Empathy

Risk assessment risk governance

Political system

Due process
Liability laws
Legal staus
Voting

Expert system

Test of truth claims

Instrumental knowledge
Enlightenment

Risk assessment risk governance

Good governance:
Knowledge
Legally prescribed procedures
Social values

Still to be solved?
Correct priority to the various fields of contol
Area analysis (feed, water, plants, etc)

Contradictary interestes between the different authorities /

parts of the public opinion
Farm animals welfare versus predators

Risk assessment risk governance

Thank you for listening!

Rolf Horntvedt
Senior adviser, MSc Agr.
Norwegian Food Safety Authority, Section for Animal Health and Animal Health
Personnel
Phone +47 6497 2561, Mob +47 901 79 391 Fax +47 6494 4410
E-mail: rohor@mattilsynet.no