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Stock Update >> Persistent Systems
investors eye
stock update
Yes Bank
Reco: Buy
Stock Update
Company details
Price target:
Rs930
Market cap:
Rs33,241 cr
52 week high/low:
Rs910/429
NSE volume:
(no. of shares)
CMP: Rs796
27.1 lakh
BSE code:
532648
NSE code:
YESBANK
Sharekhan code:
YESBANK
Free float:
(no. of shares)
32.6 cr
Shareholding pattern
Results
Price chart
Price performance
(%)
1m
3m
-5.8
-8.4
25.7
82.2
Relative -3.9
to Sensex
-4.5
20.4
47.6
Absolute
6m 12m
Rs cr
Particulars
Q4FY15
Q4FY14
YoY %
Q3FY15
QoQ %
Interest income
Interest expense
Net interest income
Non-interest income
Net total income
Operating expenses
Employee expenses
Other operating expenses
Pre-provisioning profit
Provisions
Profit before tax
Tax
Profit after tax
Asset quality
Gross NPAs
Gross NPAs (%)
Net NPAs
Net NPAs (%)
Capital adequacy (%)
CAR
Tier I
Key reported ratios (%)
NIM
CASA
3,088.4
2,111.3
977.1
590.4
1,567.5
630.0
261.9
368.2
937.5
126.4
811.1
260.2
551.0
2,568.1
1,848.5
719.6
445.5
1,165.1
484.7
203.8
280.8
680.4
72.3
608.1
177.9
430.2
20.3
14.2
35.8
32.5
34.5
30.0
28.5
31.1
37.8
74.8
33.4
46.2
28.1
2,971.7
2,062.6
909.0
536.8
1,445.8
583.1
254.1
329.0
862.7
69.9
792.9
252.6
540.3
3.9
2.4
7.5
10.0
8.4
8.0
3.1
11.9
8.7
80.9
2.3
3.0
2.0
313.4
0.41
87.7
0.12
174.9
0.31
26.1
0.05
79.2
10 BPS
236.5
7 BPS
278.7
0.42
64.5
0.10
12.5
-1 BPS
36.0
2 BPS
15.60
11.50
14.40
9.80
120 BPS
170 BPS
16.70
11.90
-110 BPS
-40 BPS
3.20
23.12
3.00
22.03
20 BPS
109 BPS
3.20
22.61
0 BPS
51 BPS
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Asset quality
NIM (%)
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FY15
FY16E FY17E
4,228 5,284
Non-interest income
1,257
1,722
2,046
2,568
3,144
3,476
4,438
5,534
6,796
8,428
Operating expenses
1,335
1,750
2,285
2,840
3,356
Pre-provisioning profit
FY13
FY14
216
362
339
Tax
625
709
905
Particulars
FY13
Per share data (Rs)
Earnings
36.3
Dividend
6.0
Book value
161.7
Adj book value
161.5
Spreads (%)
Yield on advances
12.7
Cost of deposits
7.9
Net interest margins
2.7
Operating ratios (%)
Credit to deposit
70.2
Cost to income
38.4
CASA
18.9
Non-interest income/
total income
36.2
Return ratios (%)
RoE
24.8
RoA
1.5
Assets/Equity (x)
16.5
Asset quality ratios (%)
Gross NPA
0.2
Net NPA
0.0
Growth ratios (%)
Net interest income
37.3
Pre-provisioning profit 39.1
Profit after tax
33.1
Advances
23.7
Deposits
36.2
Valuation ratios (x)
P/E
21.9
P/BV
4.9
P/ABV
4.9
Capital adequacy (%)
CAR
18.3
Tier I
9.5
3,956 5,072
526
664
3,429 4,408
1,091
1,403
2,338 3,005
Balance sheet
Particulars
Key ratios
Rs cr
Rs cr
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
Liabilities
Networth
5,808
7,122
11,680
13,524
15,893
Deposits
66,956
74,192
91,176
Borrowings
20,922
21,314
26,220
29,477
35,815
5,419
6,388
7,094
5,799
6,882
Other liabilities
& provisions
Total liabilities
111,235 135,150
Assets
Cash & balances
with RBI
Balances with banks
& money at call
3,339
4,542
5,241
5,339
6,014
727
1,350
2,317
1,669
2,027
Investments
42,976
40,950
46,605
53,949
64,196
Advances
47,000
55,633
75,550
92,549 113,835
Fixed assets
230
293
319
367
422
Other assets
4,833
6,247
6,139
6,162
7,246
Total assets
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
44.9
8.0
197.2
196.5
48.0
9.0
279.4
272.5
56.0
10.1
323.5
316.0
71.9
12.9
380.2
371.3
12.7
8.0
2.8
12.2
7.8
3.0
12.0
7.7
3.0
12.0
7.6
3.1
75.0
39.4
22.0
82.9
41.3
23.1
83.2
41.8
25.0
84.2
39.8
27.3
38.8
37.0
37.8
37.3
25.0
1.6
16.1
21.3
1.6
13.0
18.6
1.6
11.8
20.4
1.7
12.0
0.3
0.0
0.8
0.4
0.7
0.3
0.6
0.3
22.4
25.5
24.4
18.4
10.8
28.4
20.9
24.0
35.8
22.9
21.2
21.7
16.6
22.5
22.0
25.0
28.2
28.5
23.0
21.5
17.7
4.0
4.1
16.6
2.8
2.9
14.2
2.5
2.5
11.1
2.1
2.1
14.4
9.8
14.6
11.4
16.3
10.9
15.5
10.2
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Persistent Systems
Reco: Buy
Stock Update
Company details
Price target:
Rs880
Market cap:
Rs5,744 cr
52 week high/low:
Rs961/444
NSE volume:
(no. of shares)
CMP: Rs718
1.1 lakh
BSE code:
533179
NSE code:
PERSISTENT
Sharekhan code:
PERSISTENT
Free float:
(no. of shares)
4.9 cr
Shareholding pattern
Price chart
In-line performance, net income beats estimate led by lower tax rate: For Q4FY2015,
Persistent Systems Ltd (PSL)s performance was in line on both revenues and margin fronts.
Led by lower tax rate and higher than expected other income, the net income was ahead
of estimates. The revenues in terms of dollar were up by 0.6% QoQ to $80 million. The IT
services revenues were up by 1.7% QoQ to $65.5 million (led by 0.7% volume and 1%
improvement in realisation), while the IP-led revenues were down by 4% QoQ. The EBITDA
margin remained stable QoQ at 20.2%. The companys other income for the quarter was
up by 13% QoQ to Rs13 crore and foreign exchange gains were at Rs5 crore against a profit
of Rs13 crore in Q3FY2015. The tax rate has declined to 20.6% as compared with 25.1% in
Q3FY2015, attributed to a tax break in the loss-making US subsidiary. The net income for
the quarter was up by 2.2% QoQ to Rs76 crore.
Enterprise story playing out well, concerns persist on ISV side: PSLs enterprise digital
transformation (EDT) story is playing out well and has already registered a few good
wins in the recent quarters. Also, the revenues from the enterprise side have gradually
increased from 19.7% in Q1FY2015 to 24% in Q4FY2015 (34.7% CAGR). The management
remains confident in delivering a strong growth on the enterprise side in FY2016. Whereas,
ISVs (57.8% of the revenues) continue to remain under pressure owing to change in
business preference in the clients accounts. PSLs revenues from top-clients were down
by 4.4% CAGR in the last four quarters. Overall, the management remains optimistic
about delivering a better growth in FY2016 as compared with FY2015, led by an
improvement in the overall deals funnel and traction in the enterprise side. Also,
acquisitions in the IP space will aid to the overall revenues trajectory.
Attractive risk-reward ratio, maintain buy with a revised price target of Rs880: We
have lowered our earnings estimates for FY2016 and FY2017 by 4.3% and 7.0% respectively,
attributed to a change in the revenues and margins estimates. We have also reset our
currency estimates to Rs62 and Rs61 for FY2016 and FY2017 respectively. Nevertheless,
given PSL being a pure play on the digital spend, strong balance sheet (cash of Rs816
crore at 46% of the balance sheet size) and good corporate governance still make it a
good investment bet for the long-term investors. In the last three months, the stock of
PSL has corrected around 21% which offers an attractive risk-reward ratio. We maintain
our Buy rating on the stock with a revised price target of Rs880.
Results
Rs cr
Particulars
Price performance
(%)
Absolute
1m
3m
6m 12m
-3.3 -22.9
8.8
36.7
4.2
10.8
Revenues ($ mn)
Derived exch rate (Rs/$)
Net sales
Direct costs
SG&A
EBITDA
Depreciation & amortisation
EBIT
Forex gain/(loss)
Other income
PBT
Tax provision
PAT
Minority interest
Net profit
Equity capital (FV Rs10/-)
EPS (Rs)
Margin (%)
EBITDA
EBIT
NPM
Tax rate
Sharekhan
Q4FY15
Q4FY14
Q3FY15
YoY %
QoQ %
80.0
62.2
497.5
297.5
99.5
100.5
22.7
77.8
5.1
13.0
95.82
19.8
76.1
0.0
76.1
80.0
9.5
72.6
61.5
446.7
255.4
70.7
120.7
26.4
94.2
-8.7
6.8
92.3
25.1
67.2
0.0
67.2
80.0
8.4
79.5
62.2
494.6
295.9
99.2
99.5
24.6
74.9
13.0
11.5
99.4
24.9
74.5
0.0
74.5
80.0
9.3
10.2
1.1
11.4
16.5
40.7
-16.7
-14.0
-17.5
NA
92.5
3.8
-21.3
13.2
0.6
-0.1
0.6
0.5
0.3
1.0
-7.8
3.8
-61.1
13.2
-3.6
-20.6
2.1
13.2
2.1
13.2
2.1
20.2
15.6
15.3
20.6
27.0
21.1
15.0
27.2
20.1
15.1
15.1
25.1
-8
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Valuations
Particulars
Net sales (Rs cr)
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
1,669.2
1,891.3
2,185.6
2,538.7
249.3
290.6
331.3
390.0
25.8
20.7
20.9
21.8
EPS (Rs)
31.2
36.3
41.4
48.7
Y-o-Y change %
32.8%
16.6%
14.0%
17.7%
PER
23.1
19.8
17.4
14.8
EV/EBITDA
12.2
12.9
10.5
8.1
Price/BV
2.4
4.0
3.4
2.9
RoCE (%)
29.2
28.6
28.6
28.7
RoE (%)
22.3
21.8
21.1
21.1
Operating metrics
Particulars
QoQ %
Remarks
Geography
North Americas (%)
85.4
85.4
84.7
$ mn
68.3
62.0
67.4
Europe (%)
6.8
6.1
7.1
$ mn
5.4
4.4
5.6
RoW (%)
7.8
8.5
8.2
$ mn
6.2
6.2
6.5
10.2
1.5
22.8
-3.6
1.1
-4.3
NA
0.5
Industry verticals*
ISV (%)
57.8
57.9
$ mn
46.3
46.0
Enterprise (%)
24.1
23.1
$ mn
19.3
IP Led (%)
18.1
19.6
19.0
$ mn
14.5
14.2
15.1
Onsite (%)
26.2
21.4
25.1
$ mn
21.0
15.5
20.0
Offshore (%)
55.7
59.0
55.9
$ mn
44.6
42.9
44.5
NA
5.0
1.7
-4.1
34.9
5.1
18.4
Mix
4.0
0.3
Cont...
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Operating metrics
Particulars
QoQ %
Remarks
Clients contribution
Top clients (%)
16.5
21.1
17.5
$ mn
13.2
15.3
13.9
34.1
39.4
35.0
$ mn
27.3
28.6
27.8
43.2
48.5
44.2
$ mn
34.6
35.2
35.1
56.8
51.5
55.8
$ mn
45.5
37.4
44.4
Headcount
8506
7857
8296
Attrition (%)
15.5
13.4
14.7
Utilisation
74.7
69.2
74.3
64
63
65
DSO
-13.8
-5.1
-4.6
-1.9
-1.9
-1.6
21.5
2.4
649
210
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review, retransmission, or any other use is strictly prohibited. This document is subject to changes without prior notice. This document does not constitute an offer to sell or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official
confirmation of any transaction. Though disseminated to all customers who are due to receive the same, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. SHAREKHAN will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
The information contained herein is obtained from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable and SHAREKHAN has not independently verified the accuracy and completeness of the said data and hence it should not be relied upon as such.
While we would endeavour to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, SHAREKHAN, its subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and employees (SHAREKHAN and affiliates) are under no obligation to update or keep the information
current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent SHAREKHAN and affiliates from doing so. This document is prepared for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment
decision. Recipients of this report should also be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. Each recipient
of this document should make such investigations as he deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult his own
advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views. Affiliates of SHAREKHAN may have issued other
reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report.
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to
law, regulation or which would subject SHAREKHAN and affiliates to any registration or licencing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons
in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction. Either SHAREKHAN or its affiliates or its directors or employees/representatives/clients or their relatives may have position(s), make market, act
as principal or engage in transactions of purchase or sell of securities, from time to time or may be materially interested in any of the securities or related securities referred to in this report and they may have used the information set forth herein before
publication. SHAREKHAN may from time to time solicit from, or perform investment banking, or other services for, any company mentioned herein. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall SHAREKHAN, any of its affiliates or any third party involved
in, or related to, computing or compiling the information have any liability for any damages of any kind. The analyst certifies that all of the views expressed in this document accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies
and its or their securities and do not necessarily reflect those of SHAREKHAN. Further, no part of the analysts compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this document.
Sharekhan
Compliance Officer: Ms. Namita Amod Godbole; Tel: 022-6115000; e-mail: compliance@sharekhan.com Contact: myaccount@sharekhan.com
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