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General Management
CERES
Instruction Manual
Section I
CERES: OVERVIEW
CERES is a business simulation, in other words a dynamic description of a business
environment which evolves partly as a result of external economic factors and partly as the
outcome of decisions made by yourself and your competitors. Together with the other
members of your team you will decide how to assign the resources of your company in the
light of objectives and according to strategic choices in the face of fierce competition.
At the end of each quarter you will know the results of your company and you will
receive information on the market, the economy and the competition, enabling you to modify
the resource allocation for the next period, in accordance with your strategy. The simulation
unfolds over several years but you do not know in advance its precise duration.
CERES is an interactive simulation, that is to say that any decision made by any
company will affect not only the result of that firm but also those of its competitors. CERES is
based on a fixed parametric model which cannot be changed by your instructor once the
simulation is started. However, the instructor can, and usually will, introduce changes in the
economic environment: the level of economic activity, the interest rate, the inflation rate, and
the country economy.
At the end of each period (or quarter), each team will receive the following information:
The Marketing Report
It contains sales and market share information for each company in all segments. In
addition, it has a section showing confidential marketing data on your company.
The Financial Report
It contains an income statement of your company, a balance sheet and a statement of
funds and cash flow. Accounting and financial results are presented according to NorthAmerican standards.
The Manufacturing Report
It analyses the structure of your production cost and compares your costs with industry
standards.
The Warehousing & Industrial Relations Report
The first section describes the evolution of your inventories during the period and
compares your inventory cost with industry standards.
The Management Planning & Control Report ($20,000 per quarter)
It compares the actual result of your company with what you had planned. You are
charged to obtain this report when the other four are free.
Market Studies ($36,000 per quarter)
The report presents marketing information about your competitors including market
share, advertising expenditures, sales force allocation, and R&D expenses.
Section II
East
I.E.
C.E.
West
I.W.
C.W.
The price elasticity tells how much change in demand comes from a change in price n = (Q/Q)/(P/P) or
(Q/P) * [(P1+P2)/(Q1+Q2)]. A price elasticity of | 2 |, as an example, means that 1% in price increase leads to a 2%
decrease in demand (every thing being equal)
LOW
____________________________________________________
Price:
IW
IE
CW
CE
Sales:
IW
IE
CW
CE
Advertising *:
CW
CE
IW
IE
R&D*:
uniform and moderate in all segments
____________________________________________________
* Lagged response
YOUR PRODUCT
You are manufacturing an industrialized product with the following characteristics:
The basic product is the same for both the industrial and the consumer segments. All
competitors manufacture and sell equivalent products. The difference that may exist
pertain to the quality and image of products offered.
The basic product is sold as such in industrial segments. However the consumer
segment requires an attractive casing to market it (casing). These additional casings
can be purchased, or you can decide to manufacture them in your plant. If you buy
them outside they will cost you $12 initially but their price may fluctuate.
YOUR FACTORY
Your plant is located in the west side of the country. All products sold to the east part
of the country are subject to a transportation costs of $4 per unit. This cost is subject to
change over time. The manufacturing capacity of your plant depends only on the nominal
capacity and the age of the equipment. The production level depends on the manufacturing
capacity, the availability of raw materials and manpower, and the productivity of labor. By
allocating your resources judiciously between all factors affecting the manufacturing you will
reduce your unit costs. Make sure that you have sufficient capacity and good productivity in
order to be price competitive, and remember that a price war is often won in the battle of
costs.
Section III
Section IV
Labor productivity depends on labors attitude and working habits, and on the
technological level of the firm, these two factors (labor and technology) are influenced
respectively by two types of expenditures: discretionary overhead and R&D.
Economies of scale are linked to the size of the plant you operate: a manufacturing
capacity over the standard of 250,000 units per quarter makes possible longer production runs
and in the end decreases the production unit cost. A real capacity level below the standard
would have the opposite effect. However having a large nominal capacity doesnt necessarily
mean that you can benefit a cost reduction. Economies of volume are linked to the level of the
actual manufacturing output. In other words its often better to use 100% of the manufacturing
capacity of a small plant rather than 50% of a larger plant.
You will read in the Manufacturing Report the capacity forecast for the next period
(263,467 units for 1st period), taking into account the depreciation and new investments in
plant and equipment and assuming that all other manufacturing variables remain unchanged.
Manufacturing standards are used to forecast manufacturing capacity and costs, therefore
these are attainable goals if you manage your facilities efficiently.
RAW MATERIALS
Operating according to the standards, 4.0 units of raw materials are needed to make
one unit of the finished product. The real quantity of raw materials required depends on
your technological level. If, thanks to your R&D, you are able to develop a superior
technology, you will need less than four units of raw materials to manufacture one finished
product. If your R&D and your technology are insufficient, you will need more than four units
of raw materials to make one finished product.
Only the stock of raw materials available at the beginning of a quarter (or at the end of
the preceding quarter) can be used during the period. Raw materials ordered during a
quarter become available only at the next period. It is therefore imperative to plan your
inventory of raw materials carefully.
If, by mistake, you allocate more raw materials to production than that held in stock, the
quantity produced will be adjusted downward automatically. If you allocate more raw
materials than needed (when other manufacturing constraints arent met), all raw materials
allocated to production will be used and wasted thus increasing your cost. However, if you
do not allocate enough raw materials there may be a shortage and production may be cut. The
cost of raw material per unit depends on the total cost of raw materials allocated to production
and on the level of output.
Emergency purchases. May you run short of raw materials you have the option to
request last-minute purchases from a warehouse. When you input your decisions the
computer will ask you if you wish to avail yourself of this option. Answer YES [1] to the
question Last Minute Purchase of RM in the decision sheet. If you do, the difference
between the quantity allocated to production and the quantity available at the end of the
previous quarter will be automatically purchased at a premium price, 20% above the standard
unit cost of raw material in the previous quarter. The opening inventory data for the current
quarter will be adjusted on the Inventory & Manpower Report accordingly. The cash available
at the end of the previous quarter will be decreased by the appropriate amount. You should
take this adjustment into consideration when you prepare your financial decisions.
DIRECT LABOR
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Section V
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Section VI
INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS
Your companys success hinges on your skills as a strategist, an organizer and a leader.
You have to be able to motivate your employees, to make them proud of working for your
company. To make the appropriate decisions, read the lowest part of the Inventory &
Manpower Report.
LABOR FORCE
Workers are engaged in finished products and casings (if any) production and work 500
hours per quarter. The labor force can be regulated by hiring and firing, and an attrition rate
must be considered with respect to resignations (retiring, sick leave). Hiring and firing take
effect at the beginning of the quarter. Resignations take effect at the end of the quarter.
Hiring. Workers hired in a quarter are trainees for that quarter. Their production effectiveness
is one half that of regular labor force (250 hours / 500).
Resignation rate. The resignation rate of the work force depends mainly on the level of their
hourly wage rate, as compared to the standard community wage rate. It is also influenced by
their morale, which is in turn affected by the discretionary overhead. Because your workers
are skilled workers, they expect slightly higher pay than the standard community wage rate.
At standard pay, the resignation rate is about 4 or 5 %, depending upon the morale of the
work force. As the relative pay increases, the resignation rate decreases considerably. If,
however, the hourly wage falls below standard, the resignation rate becomes progressively
higher, ultimately resulting in a strike.
Strike. The labor force is unionized and reacts quite sensitively to the industrial relations
policy of the firm. If 20% or more of the work force is about to resign, dissatisfaction spreads
and results in a strike.
Union negotiations may also be introduced by outside union representatives. The
bargaining procedure is intended to simulate a real-life situation. Therefore, in case of a
deadlock in negotiations, a strike of one week (which can be escalated to four weeks during
the bargaining) may be declared by the union representatives. Once declared, the strike will
take place at the beginning of the next quarter. The strike and its duration will be announced
in the Manpower Report.
In the case of a strike, suitable adjustments will be made in the allocation for
manufacturing: direct labor hours, material and their respective costs will be
automatically adjusted. Thus, even if the strike is foreseeable, firms should carry out their
production allocations in the regular manner, assuming full production during the quarter.
SALES FORCE
Salesmen are engaged in personal selling and work 500 hours per quarter. The sales
force can be regulated by hiring and firing, and an attrition rate must be considered with
respect to resignations (retiring, sick leave). Hiring and firing take effect at the beginning
of the quarter. Resignations take effect at the end of the quarter.
Hiring. Salesmen hired in a quarter are trainees for that quarter. Their selling effectiveness is
one half that of regular sales force (250 hours / 500).
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Resignation rate. The resignation rate of sales force depends mainly on the level of their
hourly wage rate, as compared to the standard community wage rate. It is also slightly
influenced by the pre-selling activity of the firm, represented by the advertising expenditure
per salesman. If the sales forces wage rate in a comparable industry is above the community
wage rate, the resignation rate is quite high, unless the firm pays more than the community
standard. It may be as high as 12 or 14 per cent, depending upon the pre-selling activity. This,
of course, decreases as the relative pay increases, but may be very high if the actual wage rate
falls considerably below the community standard, ultimately resulting in a walk-out at the
beginning of the quarter. Since the sales force is not unionized, a high resignation rate dont
result in a strike.
If, however, the pay is substantially above the community standard, trained sales force
will offer their services. In such a case, negative resignations appear and the trained sales
force are added to the sales force at the end of the quarter. They are directly operational on
their territories.
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Section VII
FINANCIAL DECISIONS
Your policy options in marketing, production and industrial relations are constrained by
your financial resources. What will you do if you do not have the cash to finance your
operations ? In this section we shall examine the origin and the allocation of cash resources
during a quarter. Remember: most expenditures are made at the beginning of the quarter
while revenues are received only at the end, thus making it essential to carefully plan your
cash in-flow and out-flow. To do so, examine the Financial Report.
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
Short-term funds available to your company come from your cash, the use of a line of
credit and, if applicable, the sale of short-term marketable securities. Long-term funds come
from the issuance of bonds, whenever the instructor give you the authorization to issue them.
Loans. Each company has a line of credit established at the local bank. The unused line of
credit that appears on the Financial Report is the difference between the authorized line of
credit and the outstanding loans. The ceiling for the credit is 75 % (this rate may vary; check
with your instructor) of the standard cost of materials, products, and casings inventory. Since
the value of the inventory fluctuates, a loan may be accepted at the beginning of the
quarter but may exceed the allowable level (75 % of inventory) at the end of the period.
Your credit line then becomes negative and you must reimburse immediately the difference
between the loan you took and the new line of credit. Reimbursement is automatically
handled by CERES.
The initial interest rate applying to loans planned in advance is 1.5 % per quarter (6% on
an annual basis) on any bank loan originating from the line of credit. This interest rate may
vary from one quarter to the next according to the economic situation. The interest rate of the
quarter appears at the top of the Financial Report. If you under-estimated your cash needs
and you still have enough line of credit, CERES will automatically borrow from the bank, but
at a higher rate.
Should you still need more cash than the unused line of credit, CERES will reduce your
expenses automatically by: 1) reducing your purchases of raw material and, if it is not enough,
2) selling some equipment. An alternative is to issue bonds if your are allowed to do so.
Bonds can be issued, subject to the authorization of your instructor. They constitute a source
of long term funds in order to finance ambitious plant expansion plans, R&D investments, or
take-over. They are 20-year bonds with a nominal value of $100, underwriters fee of $5,
and 6% coupons payable quarterly (these rates may vary, check with your instructor).
Consequently for a $100 bond you only receive $95 and you have to pay coupons quarterly of
$1.5 for 20 years. Although bonds dont have to be paid back before 20 years, they may be
called back at any time. Bonds are guaranteed by lasting physical assets and CERESs
corporations law prohibits the issuance of bonds for more than 60% of plant and
equipment value.
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EXPENDITURES
In real life revenues and expenditures would flow continuously during the quarter and
you could operate with a small working capital. CERES is different: most of the
expenditures are made at the beginning of the quarter from available cash and near-cash,
others are covered by sales revenues and are made at the end of the quarter. Be careful to plan
your budget and working capital keeping this feature in mind because it has a considerable
impact on your operations.
Expenditures financed from cash to be paid at the beginning of the quarter:
Sales force wages (number of salesmen x 500 x hourly wage rate)
Advertising expenditures
R&D expenditures
Fixed costs, and discretionary overheads
Raw material purchases (regular purchases and emergency ones)
Labor force wages (number of workers x 500 x hourly wage rate)
Capital expenditures (plant and equipment)
Dividends to be paid to shareholders
Loan repayments
Other expenses: market research, Management & Planning Report, bonds
underwriters fees, penalties, severance pays, etc.
Expenditures financed from revenues to be paid at the end of the quarter:
Transportation cost of products sold in the Eastern markets
Purchases of casings for products sold in Consumer markets
Excess inventory cost
Interest and coupons on loans and/or bonds
Taxes (35% of income)
At the end of the fourth quarter, a tax adjustment will be made, and a tax refund will be
given if the company paid more taxes, during the year, than the annual income warranted.
Losses will not be carried forward into the next year for tax refund purposes.
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