Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Class
(02290 for 8am, 02465 for 12:30pm, 02470 for 2pm)
Source: WFM 10-K for the year ended Sept 28 2014, filed on Nov 21, 2014
(1)
Sales
Cost of goods sold and occupancy costs
Gross profit
Direct store expenses
General and administrative expenses
Pre-opening expenses
Relocation, store closure and lease termination costs
Operating income
Interest expense
Investment and other income
Income before income taxes
Provision for income taxes
Net income
Preferred stock dividends
Income available to common shareholders
Basic earnings per share
Weighted average shares outstanding
Diluted earnings per share
Weighted average shares outstanding, diluted basis
Dividends declared per common share
Consolidated Balance Sheets Data
Net working capital
Total assets
Long-term debt (including current maturities)
Shareholders equity
Operating Data
Number of stores at end of fiscal year
Average store size (gross square footage)
Average weekly sales per store
Comparable store sales increase
(1)
(2)
Fiscal years 2014, 2013, 2011 and 2010 were 52-week years and fiscal year 2012 was a 53-week year.
Sales of a store are deemed to be comparable commencing in the fifty-third full week after the store was ope
base effective the fifty-third full week following the date of merger. Stores closed for eight or more days are exc
until re-opened for a full fiscal week. Comparable sales growth is calculated on a same-calendar-week to same-c
(2)
From page 5
Stores at beginning of fiscal year
Stores opened
Acquired stores
Relocated stores
Divested or closed stores
Stores at end of fiscal year
Stores with major expansions
(1)
Sales mix:
Identical stores (1)
New and acquired stores, including relocated stores
Other retail sales, primarily stores with major expansions
Other sales, primarily non-retail external sales
Total sales
(1)
Identical store sales do not include sales from new, acquired or relocated stores or stores with major expansio
Our historical store development pipeline as of the dates indicated is summarized below:
Stores in development
Average size (gross square feet)
Total gross square footage in development
As a percentage of existing square footage
14,194
12,917
11,699
10,108
9,006
9,150
8,288
7,543
6,571
5,870
5,044
3,586
446
67
4,629
3,285
397
52
4,156
2,983
372
47
3,537
2,629
311
41
3,136
2,377
272
38
11
12
10
11
934
-
883
-
744
-
12
11
946
894
752
552
412
367
343
286
209
166
579
551
466
343
246
548
(4)
438
(33)
579
551
466
343
240
1.57
1.48
1.28
0.98
0.72
367.8
$
1.56
371.2
$
370.5
1.47
364.8
$
374.5
1.26
350.5
$
368.9
0.97
332.5
$
354.6
343.4
0.48
1.40
0.28
0.20
499
5,744
62
3,813
892
5,538
27
3,878
1,126
5,294
24
3,802
574
4,292
18
2,991
399
38,000
722,000
4.3%
362
38,000
711,000
6.9%
335
38,000
682,000
8.7%
311
38,000
636,000
8.5%
0.72
414
3,987
509
2,373
299
38,000
588,000
7.1%
l week after the store was opened. Stores acquired in purchase acquisitions enter the comparable store
for eight or more days are excluded from the comparable store base from the first fiscal week of closure
same-calendar-week to same-calendar-week basis.
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
362
335
311
299
284
34
4
(1)
26
6
(5)
25
(1)
18
(6)
16
2
-
(3)
399
362
335
311
13,779,000
12,735,000
11,832,000
15,162,000
299
11,231,000
10%
8%
8%
5%
6%
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
93.3%
6.2%
0.2%
93.5%
5.6%
0.5%
93.3%
5.4%
0.8%
94.6%
4.5%
0.5%
93.2%
5.9%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.7%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
November5,
November6,
November7,
November2,
November3,
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
114
94
79
62
52
41,000
4,723,000
38,000
3,605,000
37,000
2,896,000
35,000
2,192,000
39,000
2,052,000
fiscal year.
below:
31%
26%
22%
18%
18%
The Company is focusing on metrics it believes are key to the long-term health of the Company. The Companys
Sales growth over 9%;
Comparable store sales growth in the low to middle single digits;
Square footage growth of 9% to 10% based on 38 to 42 new stores, including five to six relocations;
EBITDA margin of approximately 9%; and
ROIC greater than 14%.
The Company expects to continue its value strategy and to make additional investments in areas such as tech
strategy to drive sales growth over the longer term. Reflecting its ongoing value efforts, the Company expects
2014. The Company expects to maintain expense discipline and improve its cost structure, with the biggest
Results may fluctuate on a quarterly basis, but for fiscal year 2015, the Company expects annual diluted earning
The Company expects store openings to be spread fairly evenly throughout the year, with the seven former Do
the year. The Company also notes that Easter will fall in the second quarter of fiscal year 2015 versus the thir
second quarter and negatively impacting comparable store sales growth in the third quarter by an estimated 50
The following table provides information about the Companys store growth and development activitie
Stores opened during fiscal year
2013
Number of stores (including relocations)
32
Number of relocations
Percentage in new markets
Average store size (gross square feet)
Total square footage
Average pre-opening expense per store
5
31%
36,000
1,138,000
$2 million
$1 million
We believe we will produce operating cash flows in excess of the capital expenditures needed to open the 114
operated 401 stores totaling approximately 15.2 million square feet and expects to cross the 500-store mark in
stores in the United States. We have a disciplined, opportunistic real estate strategy, opening stores in existing
to expand primarily through new store openings, and while we may continue to pursue acquisitions of smaller c
such acquisitions are not expected to significantly impact our future store growth or financial results.
the Company. The Companys annual targets for fiscal year 2015 are:
ve to six relocations;
stments in areas such as technology, marketing, and new and existing stores. The Company believes this is the right
efforts, the Company expects a greater decline in gross margin, excluding LIFO, in fiscal year 2015 than in fiscal year
st structure, with the biggest savings coming from internal distribution, coordinated purchasing and labor leverage.
expects annual diluted earnings per share growth in line with or slightly higher than sales growth.
ear, with the seven former Dominicks locations re-opening as Whole Foods Market stores in the last three quarters of
scal year 2015 versus the third quarter of fiscal year 2014, positively impacting comparable store sales growth in the
rd quarter by an estimated 50 to 60 basis points.
38
1
55%
37,000
1,408,000
$2 million
1
0%
46,000
139,000
$1 million
ures needed to open the 114 stores in our current store development pipeline. As of November 5, 2014, the Company
o cross the 500-store mark in fiscal year 2017. Longer term, the Company sees demand for 1,200 Whole Foods Market
gy, opening stores in existing trade areas as well as new areas, including international locations. Our growth strategy is
ursue acquisitions of smaller chains that provide access to desirable geographic areas and experienced team members,
or financial results.
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
Short-term investments - available-for-sale securities
Restricted cash
Accounts receivable
Merchandise inventories
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
Deferred income taxes
Total current assets
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization
Long-term investments - available-for-sale securities
Goodwill
Intangible assets, net of accumulated amortization
Deferred income taxes
Other assets
Total assets
Liabilities and Shareholders Equity
Current liabilities:
Current installments of capital lease obligations
Accounts payable
Accrued payroll, bonus and other benefits due team members
Dividends payable
Other current liabilities
Total current liabilities
Long-term capital lease obligations, less current installments
Deferred lease liabilities
Other long-term liabilities
Total liabilities
Commitments and contingencies
Shareholders equity:
Common stock, no par value, 600.0 shares authorized; 377.1 and 375.7 shares issued; 360.4 and 372.4
shares outstanding at 2014 and 2013, respectively
Common stock in treasury, at cost, 16.7 and 3.3 shares at 2014 and 2013, respectively
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
Retained earnings
September28,
September29,
2014
2013
190 $
553
109
198
441
97
290
733
111
188
414
93
168
151
1,756
2,923
120
708
81
132
1,980
2,428
302
679
65
72
24
12
5,744 $
5,538
2 $
276
379
43
1
247
367
37
557
436
1,257
60
548
1,088
26
500
66
46
1,931
1,660
2,863
2,765
(711)
(7)
1,668
(153)
1
1,265
3,813
3,878
5,744 $
5,538
14,194
9,150
Gross profit
Direct store expenses
General and administrative expenses
Pre-opening expenses
5,044
3,586
446
67
11
Operating income
934
12
946
367
$
579
1.57
367.8
$
1.56
370.5
0.48
a) Another way to adjust for the 53-week year is to deduct 1/13 of the Q4 income numbers. For examp
Whole Foods Market,Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
Fiscal years endedSeptember28, 2014,September29, 2013andSeptember30, 2012
(In millions)
2014
Net income
579
(8)
(8)
$
571
Adjusted
2013
$
12,917 $
2012
11,699
2012 ( 52/53)a
$
11,478.26
8,288
7,543
7,401
4,629
3,285
397
52
4,156
2,983
372
47
4,078
2,927
365
46
12
10
10
883
744
730
11
894
752
738
343
286
281
551 $
466
1.48 $
1.28
371.2
$
1.47 $
374.5
1.40 $
364.8
1.26
368.9
0.28
2013
2012
551 $
466
(4)
(4)
547 $
471
457
ember30, 2012
Shares
outstanding
Common
stock
Common
stock in
treasury
Accumulated
other
comprehensive
income (loss)
357.8
13.8
(0.7)
-
2,121
366
63
42
370.9
(28)
-
2,592
(28)
4.1
(2.6)
-
81
36
(125)
-
56
372.4
1.9
(13.9)
360.4
5
5
(4)
-
2,765
(153)
21
9
20
(578)
-
(8)
-
68
2,863 $
(711) $
(7)
Retained
earnings
Total
shareholders
equity
870
466
(103)
-
466
5
(103)
366
(28)
63
42
1,233
3,802
551
(519)
-
551
(4)
(519)
81
(125)
36
56
1,265
3,878
579
(176)
-
579
(8)
(176)
41
(578)
9
1,668
2,991
68
$
3,813
2014
2013
579 $
551
377
68
16
(78)
(9)
339
57
2
(51)
(37)
311
42
(8)
(50)
27
36
12
31
51
9
16
77
1
(14)
(41)
(4)
30
12
54
9
(42)
(17)
60
51
(30)
(37)
(2)
10
25
95
23
(4)
2012
466
1,088
1,009
920
(447)
(263)
(20)
(720)
1,054
2
(73)
(339)
(198)
(1)
(1,252)
1,534
(8)
(22)
(262)
(194)
(2)
(3,009)
2,138
(11)
-
(17)
(3)
(1)
(484)
(289)
(1,341)
(170)
42
(578)
9
(508)
81
(125)
37
(95)
370
(28)
50
(1)
(2)
(698)
(517)
297
(6)
(2)
(100)
290
201
(123)
89
212
190 $
290
89
429 $
378
202
2010
2011
Actual
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Forecast
2017
2018
2019
284
18
3
299
299
18
6
311
311
25
1
335
335
32
5
362
362
38
1
399
399
43
5
437
437
40
477
477
40
517
517
40
557
557
40
597
15
44
665
10,566
11,231
12
50
601
11,231
11,832
5.4%
24
38
903
11,832
12,735
7.6%
27
39
1,044
12,735
13,779
8.2%
37
37
1,383
13,779
15,162
10.0%
38
42
1,596
15,162
16,758
10.5%
40
42
1,680
16,758
18,438
10.0%
40
42
1,680
18,438
20,118
9.1%
40
42
1,680
20,118
21,798
8.4%
40
42
1,680
21,798
23,478
7.7%
877 $
6.1%
11,532
10,108 $
12.2%
934 $
6.6%
12,284
11,478 $
13.6%
974 $
4.3%
13,257
12,917 $
12.5%
981 $
0.7%
14,471
14,194 $
9.9%
996 $
1.5%
15,960
15,890 $
11.9%
1,016 $
2.0%
17,598
17,871 $
12.5%
1,036 $
2.0%
19,278
19,969 $
11.7%
1,057 $
2.0%
20,958
22,143 $
10.9%
1,078
2.0%
22,638
24,396
10.2%
24,396
Sales - Bottom-up
Sales/square foot ($1000s)b
% Change
Avg. gross sq. footage (1000s)
=
Sales ($M)
% Change
826 $
10,899
9,006 $
9,006 $
10,108 $
11,699 $
12,917 $
14,194 $
15,890 $
17,871 $
19,969 $
22,569 $
96.5 $
174.8
271.3
877.9
1,149.2 $
97.1 $
182.4
279.5
925.8
1,205.3 $
98.7 $
182.1
280.8
955.7
1,236.5 $
102.2 $
181.3
283.5
984.0
1,267.5 $
104.0 $
178.3
282.3
1,008.5
1,290.8 $
105.4 $
181.6
287.0
1,100.7
1,387.7 $
106.4 $
188.5
294.9
1,161.5
1,456.4 $
107.2 $
195.6
302.8
1,231.0
1,533.8 $
107.9
203.3
311.2
1,301.2
1,612.4
97.0%
3.0%
96.9%
3.1%
96.8%
3.2%
96.7%
3.3%
96.7%
3.3%
97.0%
3.0%
97.0%
3.0%
97.0%
3.0%
97.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.1%
0.8%
1.1%
0.1%
0.8%
1.2%
0.1%
0.9%
1.3%
0.2%
1.0%
1.4%
0.2%
1.1%
1.4%
0.2%
1.1%
1.5%
0.2%
1.2%
1.6%
0.2%
1.3%
1.7%
0.2%
1.4%
$
$
$
15,890 $
15,860 $
15,761
17,871 $
17,738 $
19,969 $
19,922 $
$
$
$
15,700 $
15,520 $
15,920 $
17,470
17,060
18,390
Notes:
a) Historical data from page 5 of 10-K; 2010 beginning square footage from page 5 of 2013 10-K
New and closed stores
2015: Outlook mentions 38 - 42 new stores, including 5 - 6 relocations
2017: Conference call and p. 25 of 10K mention expect to pass 500 stores in Fiscal 2017
Conference call and p. 25 of 10K - Long term 1,200 stores
Square footage for new stores
2015: Conference call mentions 20,000 to 60,000 sq. ft., p. 25 shows between 41 and 46K sq. ft.
Conference call for 2014Q4 mentions only one non-US store - Ottawa
b)
Growth rate based on 2014Q3 survey of professional forecasters showing about 2% forecast
for inflation of personal consumer expenditures. Uses headline rate because it is available at
longer horizons and because the core PCE excludes food expenditures, which omits WFM's
primary product.
c)
22,569
22,435
204
238
255
204
238
255
From Note 8
Minimum rental commitments and sublease rental income required by all noncancelable leases are approximately as follows (in millions):
Capital
Fiscal year 2015
Fiscal
Fiscal
Fiscal
Fiscal
year
year
year
year
2016
2017
2018
2019
5
5
5
5
Computations
Years listed
Years for 'thereafter'
Total years
Sublease
$
5,948
$
8,272
8
8
7
6
5
10
44
35
$
62
Capital
5
15
20
Rate
401
458
481
491
493
72
97
Operating
$
4.7%
2015
62 $
3
5
60 $
2016
60 $
3
5
58 $
2017
2018
58 $
56 $
3
3
5
5
56 $
53 $
Check
2019
53
3
5
51
- PV of 'Thereafter' payments
Income statements
Sales (See 'Sales')
% Growtha
Cost of goods sold & occupancy costs (Excl. Stock-based comp)
% Sales
Gross profit
% Sales
Direct store expenses (Excl. Stock-based comp and Depr.)
% Sales
General & administrative expenses (Excl. Stock-based comp)
% Sales
Pre-opening expenses
Per new store (See 'Sales' for new stores)
Stock-based compensation (See Note 12)
% Sales
Depreciation and amortization of PP&E (See below)
% Sales
Relocation, store closure & lease termination cost
Per closed store (See 'Sales' for closed stores)
Pretax operating income
% Sales
Imputed tax on operating income
% Pretax income
NOPAT
Investment & other income
% Beginning cash and investments
Imputed tax on interest income
% Pretax income
After tax interest income
Interest expense (See Item 6 for historical)
Imputed tax on interest expense
% Pretax income
After tax interest expense
Preferred stock dividends
After tax interest expense and preferred dividends
Income before income taxes
Provision for income taxes
% Pretax income
Net income (loss)
Preferred stock dividends
Income available to common shareholders
NOPAT
After tax interest income
After tax interest expense and preferred dividends
Income available to common shareholders
Check
Pretax operating income
Depreciation and amortization of PP&E
EBITDA
EBIT/Sales
a) The sales growth numbers adjust the 53-week years 2012 and 2018 to a 52-week basis
Balance sheets
Net operating assets
Operating cash
% Sales
Restricted cash (related to workers' compensation per Note 2)
% Operating expenses
Accounts receivable
Days' sales outstanding
Merchandise inventories
Days' inventory on hand
Prepaid expenses & other current assets
% Operating expenses
Total operating current assets (Excluding current DTA)
Property & equipment, net (See above for Capex and Depreciation)
% Sales
Goodwill
Intangible assets, net of accumulated amortization (See above)
Deferred income taxes (Current + Long-term)
% Sales
Other assets
% Sales
Operating assets
Accounts payable
Days' purchases outstanding
Accrued payroll, bonus & other benefits due team members
% Operating expenses
Other current liabilities
% Operating expenses
Total current operating liabilities
Deferred lease liabilities
Per store (See 'Sales' ending stores)
Other liabilities
Operating liabilities
Net operating assets
Net financing
Cash & cash equivalents
Operating cash
Dividends payable
Excess cash
Short-term investments - available-for-sale securities
Long-term investments - available-for-sale securities
Net excess cash and investments
Debt & capital leases, incl. current (See 'Leases' tab)
Net debt
Common stock
Common stock in treasury, at cost
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
Retained earnings (accumulated deficit)
Total common shareholders' equity
Net financing
Check
Total assets
Total liabilities
Total equity
Total liabilities and equity
Check
Outstanding shares (from Balance sheets)
Price at year-end (from Yahoo! Finance)
Market value
Debt-to-Book equity
Debt-to-Market equity
Excess cash and investments-to-Book equity
Excess cash and investments-to-Market equity
2010
9,006 $
5,870
65.2%
3,136
34.8%
2,091
23.2%
260
2.9%
38
2.1
23
0.3%
275
3.1%
11
3.7
438
4.9%
176
40.3%
262
7
$
$
Fore
2014
14,194 $
9.9%
9,148
64.4%
5,046
35.6%
3,175
22.4%
414
2.9%
67
1.8
68
0.5%
377
2.7%
11
11.0
934
6.6%
362
38.8%
572
3
40.3%
4
8
1.4%
3
37.9%
5
8
1.2%
3
38.0%
5
11
0.8%
4
38.4%
7
12
0.9%
5
38.8%
7
33
13
40.3%
20
6
26
4
2
37.9%
2
2
0.0%
-
0.0%
-
0.0%
-
412
166
40.3%
246
6
240 $
552
209
37.9%
343
343 $
752
286
38.0%
466
466 $
894
343
38.4%
551
551 $
946
367
38.8%
579
579
262 $
4
26
240 $
341 $
5
2
343 $
461 $
5
466 $
544 $
7
551 $
572
7
579
2015
15,890
11.9%
10,328
65.0%
5,561
35.0%
3,496
22.0%
477
3.0%
86
2.0
79
0.5%
430
2.7%
50
10.0
944
5.9%
368
39.0%
576
$
$
438 $
275
713 $
7.9%
548 $
287
835 $
8.3%
744 $
311
1,055 $
9.0%
883 $
339
1,222 $
9.5%
934 $
377
1,311 $
9.2%
2010
944
430
1,374
8.6%
Fore
2014
2015
8,568 $
95.1%
9,560 $
94.6%
10,955 $
93.6%
12,034 $
93.2%
13,260 $
93.4%
14,946
94.1%
265 $
6
4
275 $
274 $
14.5%
7
6
287 $
297 $
14.9%
6
8
311 $
324 $
14.8%
5
10
339 $
360 $
14.8%
5
12
377 $
424
14.5%
6
430
171 $
10
67
0.7%
238 $
203 $
11
85
0.8%
288 $
262 $
10
162
1.4%
424 $
339 $
11
195
1.5%
534 $
447 $
12
198
1.4%
645 $
531
12
238
1.5%
769
23 $
0.3%
9
39.1%
14 $
27 $
0.3%
10
37.0%
17 $
42 $
0.4%
16
38.1%
26 $
57 $
0.4%
22
38.6%
35 $
68 $
0.5%
26
38.2%
42 $
79
0.5%
31
39.0%
48
70 $
29.2%
70 $
103 $
30.0%
103 $
148 $
31.8%
371
519 $
176
31.9%
176
28 $
125 $
578
$
$
09/26/2010
$
Fore
9/28/2014
$
9/27/2015
$
0.0%
87
1.0%
133
5.4
323
20.1
55
0.6%
598
1,887
21.0%
665
69
200
2.2%
9
0.1%
3,428
0.0%
92
1.0%
175
6.3
337
18.7
74
0.8%
678
1,997
19.8%
663
67
171
1.7%
9
0.1%
3,585
0.0%
103
0.9%
197
6.1
374
18.1
77
0.7%
751
2,193
18.7%
663
62
175
1.5%
9
0.1%
3,853
0.0%
111
0.9%
188
5.3
414
18.2
93
0.8%
806
2,428
18.8%
679
65
223
1.7%
12
0.1%
4,213
0.0%
109
0.8%
198
5.1
441
17.6
97
0.7%
845
2,923
20.6%
708
81
300
2.1%
24
0.2%
4,881
0.0%
120
0.8%
218
5.0
495
17.5
105
0.7%
937
3,269
20.6%
708
75
270
1.7%
16
0.1%
5,275
244
2.8%
291
3.4%
748
294
1.0
63
1,105
2,323 $
237
13.1
282
2.9%
342
3.6%
861
355
1.1
50
1,266
2,319 $
247
11.9
307
2.8%
396
3.6%
950
441
1.3
51
1,442
2,411 $
247
10.8
367
3.0%
436
3.6%
1,050
500
1.4
46
1,596
2,617 $
276
11.0
379
2.9%
557
4.2%
1,212
548
1.4
66
1,826
3,055 $
313
11.0
448
3.0%
598
4.0%
1,359
612
1.4
60
2,031
3,244
132 $
132
331
96
559
212 $
(18)
194
442
53
689
89 $
(26)
63
1,131
221
1,415
290 $
(37)
253
733
302
1,288
190
(43)
147
553
120
820
213
508
(51)
1,774
1
599
2,374
2,323 $
-
17
(672)
2,121
870
2,991
2,319 $
-
24
(1,391)
2,593
(29)
5
1,233
3,802
2,411 $
-
27
(1,261)
2,765
(153)
1
1,265
3,878
2,617 $
-
62
(758)
2,863
(711)
(7)
1,668
3,813
3,055
-
$
$
$
$
$
3,987 $
1,613 $
2,374
3,987 $
-
4,292 $
1,301 $
2,991
4,292 $
-
5,294 $
1,492 $
3,802
5,294 $
-
5,538 $
1,660 $
3,878
5,538 $
-
5,744
1,931
3,813
5,744
-
172.0
37.53 $
6,455 $
178.9
71.57 $
12,804 $
185.4
97.49 $
18,075 $
372.4
58.50 $
21,785 $
360.4
37.56
13,537
0.214
0.079
0.006
0.001
0.006
0.001
0.007
0.001
0.016
0.005
0.24
0.09
0.23
0.05
0.37
0.08
0.33
0.06
0.22
0.06
2013
551 $
339
57
2
(51)
(37)
31
51
9
2014
579
377
68
16
(78)
(9)
27
36
12
2010
246 $
275
2
23
(7)
(34)
(3)
40
(2)
(28)
(3)
(2)
23
36
20
(1)
585
(35)
(23)
(19)
24
37
54
(9)
755
(30)
(37)
(2)
10
25
95
4
920
9
(42)
(17)
60
51
(4)
1,009
(14)
(41)
(4)
30
12
54
23
1,088
(171)
(85)
(2)
(1,072)
646
(16)
(203)
(162)
(5)
(1,229)
1,156
(5)
(262)
(194)
(2)
(3,009)
2,138
(11)
(339)
(198)
(1)
(1,252)
1,534
(8)
(447)
(263)
(20)
(720)
1,054
2
(14)
(1)
(715)
(2)
(1)
(451)
(9)
47
3
(210)
(169)
1
(298)
430
132 $
-
(52)
297
23
(491)
(223)
(1)
80
132
212 $
-
(1)
(1,341)
(95)
370
(28)
50
297
1
(123)
212
89 $
-
(22)
(3)
(289)
(73)
(17)
(484)
(508)
81
(125)
37
(2)
(517)
(2)
201
89
290 $
-
(170)
42
(578)
9
(1)
(698)
(6)
(100)
290
190
-
NOTES:
2016
17,871 $
12.5%
11,616
65.0%
6,255
35.0%
3,932
22.0%
536
3.0%
80
2.0
89
0.5%
479
2.7%
10.0
1,139
6.4%
444
39.0%
695
Forecast
2017
19,969 $
11.7%
12,980
65.0%
6,989
35.0%
4,393
22.0%
599
3.0%
80
2.0
100
0.5%
524
2.6%
10.0
1,293
6.5%
504
39.0%
789
2018
22,569 $
10.9%
14,670
65.0%
7,899
35.0%
4,965
22.0%
677
3.0%
80
2.0
113
0.5%
571
2.5%
10.0
1,493
6.6%
582
39.0%
910
2019
24,396
10.2%
15,858
65.0% Conference call verifies 35-35% margin (Charles Grom); ca
8,539
35.0%
5,367
22.0% Based on historical
732
3.0%
80
2.0 Based on historical, per-store
122
0.5% Based on historical % sales
621
2.5%
10.0 Based on historical, per-store
1,616
6.6%
630
39.0% Based on historical
986
$
$
1,139 $
479
1,618 $
9.1%
1,293 $
524
1,817 $
9.1%
Forecast
2017
2016
1,493 $
571
2,064 $
9.1%
2018b
2019
16,732 $
93.6%
18,676 $
93.5%
21,076 $
93.4%
474 $
14.5%
5
479 $
519 $
14.5%
5
524 $
566 $
14.5%
5
571 $
519 $
13
268
1.5%
787 $
545 $
14
300
1.5%
844 $
572 $
14
339
1.5%
910 $
89 $
0.5%
35
39.0%
55 $
100 $
0.5%
39
39.0%
61 $
113 $
0.5%
44
39.0%
69 $
$
$
$
$
Forecast
9/24/2017
9/25/2016
$
9/30/2018
$
1,616
621
2,238
9.2%
22,780
93.4%
616
14.5% Based on historical
5
621
601
15 Historical with 5% annual increase
366
1.5% Based on historical
966
122
0.5%
48
39.0% Based on historical
74
9/29/2019
$
0.0%
134
0.8%
245
5.0
557
17.5
117
0.7%
1,053
3,581
20.0%
708
70
304
1.7%
18
0.1%
5,734
0.0%
149
0.8%
274
5.0
622
17.5
131
0.7%
1,176
3,906
19.6%
708
65
339
1.7%
20
0.1%
6,215
0.0%
169
0.8%
309
5.0
703
17.5
148
0.7%
1,329
4,250
18.8%
708
60
384
1.7%
23
0.1%
6,753
0.0%
182
0.8%
334
5.0
760
17.5
159
0.7%
1,436
4,601
18.9%
708
55
415
1.7%
24
0.1%
7,239
352
11.0
502
3.0%
669
4.0%
1,523
668
1.40
60
2,251
3,483 $
393
11.0
560
3.0%
747
4.0%
1,700
724
1.40
60
2,484
3,731 $
445
11.0
632
3.0%
843
4.0%
1,920
780
1.40
60
2,760
3,994 $
480
11.0
683
3.0%
911
4.0%
2,074
836
1.40
60
2,970
4,269
% margin (Charles Grom); call mentions ex-LIFO, but LIFO expense is tiny
Summary statistics
As Reported Annual Income Statement
Sales
Operating expenses
Pretax operating income
Imputed tax on operating income
NOPAT
After tax interest income
After tax interest expense and preferred dividends
Income available to common shareholders
Check
2011
2012
2013
9,006 $
8,568
438
176
262
4
26
240 $
-
10,108 $
9,560
548
207
341
5
2
343 $
-
11,699 $
10,955
744
283
461
5
466 $
-
12,917
12,034
883
339
544
7
551
-
Total assets
3,987 $
4,292 $
5,294 $
5,538
559 $
508
(51)
2,374
2,323 $
-
689 $
17
(672)
2,991
2,319 $
-
1,415 $
24
(1,391)
3,802
2,411 $
-
1,288
27
(1,261)
3,878
2,617
-
2010
RNOA
Borrowing rate (Int. and pref'd/Avg. Outside financing)
Spread
Leverage (Avg. Outside/Avg. Equity)
Impact of outside financing on ROE
3.4%
4.36
14.7%
3.9%
4.95
19.5%
4.2%
5.14
21.6%
14.7%
0.9%
13.7%
0.10
1.3%
19.5%
0.0%
19.5%
0.01
0.1%
21.6%
0.0%
21.6%
0.01
0.1%
0.8%
14.7%
0.5%
19.5%
0.5%
21.6%
= Spread
Investments (Avg. Investments/Avg. Equity)
=
Impact of investments on ROE
RNOA
Impact of outside financing on ROE
Impact of investments on ROE
ROE
Check
ROA profit margin (NOPAT+Investment income/Sales)
Asset turnover (Sales/Avg. Assets)
=
ROA
Check
Net Income
Average NOA + Cash and investments
=
Return on invested capital (approx. WFM definition)
-13.9%
0.23
-3.2%
-19.0%
0.31
-5.9%
-21.1%
0.35
-7.4%
14.7%
1.3%
-3.2%
12.8%
-
19.5%
0.1%
-5.9%
13.7%
-
21.6%
0.1%
-7.4%
14.3%
-
3.4%
2.44
8.3%
-
4.0%
2.44
9.7%
-
4.3%
2.38
10.2%
-
343 $
2,945
11.6%
466 $
3,417
13.6%
551
3,866
14.3%
2011
2012
2013
Sales
NOPAT margin
NOA Turnover
10,108 $
3.4%
4.36
11,699 $
3.9%
4.95
12,917
4.2%
5.14
Sales
NOPAT margin
=
NOPAT
10,108 $
3.4%
341 $
11,699 $
3.9%
461 $
12,917
4.2%
544
10,108 $
4.36
2,321
2
2,323
2,319 $
11,699 $
4.95
2,365
###
2,319
2,411 $
12,917
5.14
2,514
2
2,411
2,617
Sales
NOA Turnover
Avg. NOA
2
Beginning NOA
Ending NOA
$
$
tement
Forecast
$
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018b
14,194 $
13,260
934
362
572 $
7
579
-
15,890 $
14,946
944
368
576 $
17,871 $
16,732
1,139
444
695 $
19,969 $
18,676
1,293
504
789 $
22,569 $
21,076
1,493
582
910 $
24,396
22,780
1,616
630
986
3,244 $
3,483 $
3,731 $
3,994 $
4,269
3.6%
5.05
18.3%
3.9%
5.31
20.7%
3.9%
5.54
21.9%
4.0%
5.84
23.6%
4.0%
5.91
23.9%
5,744
820
62
(758)
3,813
3,055 $
-
4.0%
5.00
20.2%
20.2%
0.0%
20.2%
0.01
0.2%
0.7%
20.2%
2019
-19.5%
0.27
-5.3%
20.2%
0.2%
-5.3%
15.1%
4.1%
2.52
10.3%
$
579
3,890
14.9%
tement
Forecast
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018b
14,194 $
4.0%
5.00
15,890 $
4.0%
4.50
17,871 $
4.0%
4.50
19,969 $
4.0%
4.50
22,569 $
4.0%
4.50
24,396
4.0%
4.50
14,194 $
4.0%
572 $
15,890 $
4.0%
636 $
17,871 $
4.0%
715 $
19,969 $
4.0%
799 $
22,569 $
4.0%
903 $
24,396
4.0%
976
14,194 $
5.00
2,836
2
2,617
3,055 $
15,890 $
4.50
3,531
###
3,055
4,007 $
17,871 $
4.50
3,971
2
4,007
3,936 $
19,969 $
4.50
4,437
2
3,936
4,939 $
22,569 $
4.50
5,015
2
4,939
5,091 $
24,396
4.50
5,421
2
5,091
5,752
$
$
2019
a) Excluded Supervalu (SVU), Sysco (SYY), United Natural Foods (UNFI) because they are distributors. Amcon has a retail se
rather than a direct competitor. Royal Ahold has large portion of sales outside US, Canada, and UK. Costco has a large portion
b) You can also use quarterly reports to adjust to a period that more closely overlaps with WFM's reporting period.
c) You can also use the discussion in MD&A to get weighted average interest rates (sometimes excludes capital leases).
d) For SWY, assuming that reported "Other income" is interest and investment income (e.g., MD&A attributes change in this ite
e) Where applicable (KR, SWY), computing Shares outstanding as Issued - Treasury shares.
f) Technically, the market value of equity claims should also include value of outstanding options and restricted stock since thes
Journal of Applied Corporate Finance).
g) For SFM, used beta of 1.2 from 11/7/2014 Morgan Stanley report rather than the -11 beta from Yahoo! Finance since the -11
unreasonable, and is likely based on a simple regression rather than a forward-looking beta.
For TFM, used beta of 1.0 from 11/20/2014 Morgan Stanley report rather than the 0.37 beta from Yahoo! Finance since the 0
h) Use the formula from Class 13.
$
$
$
$
Kroger (KR)
January
2/1/2014
Safeway (SWY)
December
12/28/2013
14,194 $
(377)
(13,637)
934
(362)
572
7
579 $
98,375 $
(1,703)
(93,947)
2,725
(897)
1,828
(297)
(12)
###
1,519 $
36,139 $
(944)
(34,601)
594
(159)
436
11
(200)
(15)
3,276
3,508 $
1,512
(55)
(1,373)
83
(30)
53
(2)
51
27 $
27
1,288
(1,261)
3,878
2,617 $
27 $
8,879 $
7
8,886
1,193
7,693
4,207
11,900 $
9,742 $
5,574 $
6
5,579
352
5,227
2,904
8,131 $
5,856 $
44
44
9
35
198
233
44
62 $
62
820
(758)
3,813
3,055 $
62 $
11,310 $
11
11,321
1,359
9,962
5,384
15,346 $
12,077 $
4,193 $
56
4,249
4,647
(399)
5,820
5,421 $
4,375 $
51
51
12
39
256
295
51
443
10,910
273
5,115
4.1%
5.3%
45
0.0%
12
1,054
1,276
31
2,500
4
47
8.0%
10
1.1%
0.0%
1.2%
37.56 $
360.4
13,537
62
13,599
820
12,779
36.10 $
508
18,339
11
12,077
30,427
1,359
29,068
32.50 $
230
7,478
56
4,375
11,908
4,647
7,261
1.03
6.0%
1.22
6.0%
0.91
6.0%
1.00
6.0%
2.50%
8.68%
2.67%
9.99%
3.02%
8.48%
2.78%
8.78%
41.5%
60.2%
2.9%
4.0%
5.00
20.2%
1.9%
7.22
13.4%
1.2%
5.33
6.4%
3.5%
5.72
20.1%
15.1%
31.7%
80.4%
22.4%
13,537 $
579
23.4
18,339 $
1,519
12.1
7,478 $
3,508
2.1
1,692
51
33.3
13,537 $
3,813
3.6
18,339 $
5,384
3.4
7,478 $
5,820
1.3
1,692
256
6.6
934 $
377
1,311
13,599
10.4
2,725 $
1,703
4,428
30,427
6.9
594 $
944
1,538
11,908
7.7
83
55
138
1,743
12.6
0.0%
35.06
48
1,692
51
1,743
12
1,731
8.9%
0.5%
29.9%
53.8%
ause they are distributors. Amcon has a retail segment, but it represents a tiny fraction of tis overall sales. Also, UNFI is WFM's main supplie
US, Canada, and UK. Costco has a large portion of non-grocery sales.
easury shares.
utstanding options and restricted stock since these are equity claims not reflected in the market value (See, e.g., Holthausen and Zmijewski
n the -11 beta from Yahoo! Finance since the -11 implies negative expected returns, which is
rd-looking beta.
n the 0.37 beta from Yahoo! Finance since the 0.37 seems unreasonable
Sprouts (SFM)
December
12/29/2013
$
$
$
$
$
2,438
(47)
(2,251)
140
(55)
85
(23)
(11)
51
3,910
3,910
67
3,843
387
4,229
3,910
431
431
78
353
514
867
431
37
2,170
1.7%
72
0.0%
$
38.03
148
5,614
431
6,045
78
5,967
1.20
6.0%
2.99%
10.19%
7.2%
3.5%
0.96
3.4%
11.4%
$
5,614
51
109.4
5,614
514
10.9
140
47
187
6,045
32.3
Assumptions
From 'Assumptions'
Unlevered cost of capital
Cost of debt
Tax rate on interest
Target leverage
WACC (Nominal)
Terminal growth rate (nominal)
Terminal RONIC (nominal)
Shares outstanding at 9/28/2014
8.87%
4.75%
39.00%
29.92%
8.32%
4.24%
10.00%
360.4
+
=
+
3,055
7,966
3,055
11,021
820
62
11,779
360.4
32.68
Terminal value of
residual income
11,021
2014
3,055
NOPAT
- Rate Beginning shareholders equity
=
Residual income
+ Terminal value of firm
Terminal value of
residual income
- Beginning NOA
=
Total
+
=
=
-
6,959
3,055
10,014
0.6%
62
62
0
10,014
820
62
10,772
360.4
29.89
NOTE: Leave the target leverage of 0.6% untouched or make a copy of the spreadsheet when trying different numbrers. I
correctly, the 0.6% rate is the target leverage ratio that will result in valuation that is consistent with the 9/28/2014 debt be
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020 (T+1)
3,244 $
3,483 $
3,731 $
3,994 $
576 $
254
322
322 $
695 $
270
425
###
###
425 $
789 $
290
499
499 $
910 $
310
600
600 $
986 $
332
654
13,271
4,269
9,656
1,028
2015
576 $
189
387
387 $
2016
695 $
239
456
###
456 $
2017
789 $
248
541
541 $
2018
910 $
263
647
647 $
2019
986 $
275
711
13,271
13,982
2020 (T+1)
1,028
4,269
NOTE below.
$
$
2015
3,244 $
2016
3,483 $
2017
3,731 $
2018
3,994 $
576 $
270
306
306 $
695 $
288
407
###
###
407 $
789 $
309
480
480 $
910 $
331
579
579 $
eadsheet when trying different numbrers. If you make the other computations
at is consistent with the 9/28/2014 debt being at the target
2019
4,269
986 $
354
632
12,118
4,269
8,481
2020 (T+1)
1,028
Assumptions
From 'Assumptions'
Unlevered cost of capital
Cost of debt
Tax rate on interest
Terminal growth rate (nominal)
Terminal RONIC (nominal)
Shares outstanding at 9/28/2014
8.87%
4.75%
39.00%
4.24%
10.00%
360.4
=
+
=
2014
3,055
28
2014
3,055
+
=
+
=
+
=
Terminal value of
residual income
6,940
3,055
9,995
28
10,023
820
10,843
- Value of debt
=
Value of total equity
Shares outstanding
=
Value per share
62
10,781
360.4
29.91
9,995
2015
3,244 $
2016
3,483 $
2017
3,731 $
2018
3,994 $
2019
4,269
3,055 $
2.0%
61
4.7%
3
39.0%
1
1 $
3,244 $
2.0%
65
4.7%
3
39.0%
1
1 $
3,483 $
2.0%
70
4.7%
3
39.0%
1
1 $
3,731 $
2.0%
75
4.7%
4
39.0%
1
1 $
3,994
2.0%
80
4.7%
4
39.0%
1
35
36
2015
3,244 $
2016
3,483 $
2017
3,731 $
2018
3,994 $
2019
4,269
576 $
270
306
306 $
695 $
288
407
407 $
789 $
309
480
480 $
910 $
331
579
579 $
$
$
986 $
354
632
12,096
4,269
8,459
2020 (T+1)
1,028
2015
576 $
189
387
387 $
2016
695 $
239
456
456 $
2017
789 $
248
541
541 $
2018
910 $
263
647
647 $
2019
986 $
275
711
12,096
12,807
2020 (T+1)
1,028
Assumptions
Discount rates:
Unlevered cost of capital - Operations (See 'CostOfCapital')
Cost of debt (See 'Leases')
Tax rate on interest
Target leverage (See 'CostOfCapital')
WACC (Nominal)
8.87%
4.75%
39.00%
29.92%
8.32%
2.20%
2.00%
4.24%
10.00%
$
$
$
360.4
37.56
13,537
3,813
3.55
2013
883.0 $
342.6
540.4
403.4
137.0 $
2014
950.0
368.6
581.4
308.4
273.0
2014
2.0
60.0
43.0
(190.0)
(553.0)
(120.0)
(758.0)
3,813.0
3,055.0
$
$
$
2015
1,046.8 $
406.2
640.6
269.2
371.4 $
2016
1,206.3 $
468.0
738.3
322.1
416.2 $
2017
1,404.6 $
545.0
859.6
402.1
457.5 $
2018
1,637.8 $
635.5
1,002.3
492.4
509.9 $
2019
1,844.4
715.6
1,128.8
1,192.2
(63.4)
2015
2.0
60.0
43.0
(220.9)
(553.0)
(120.0)
(788.9)
4,215.3
3,426.4 $
2016
### $
###
###
(257.6)
###
###
(825.6)
4,668.2
3,842.6 $
2017
2.0 $
60.0
43.0
(300.0)
(553.0)
(120.0)
(868.0)
5,168.2
4,300.2 $
2018
2.0
60.0
43.0
(355.9)
(553.0)
(120.0)
(923.9)
5,734.1
4,810.2 $
2019
371.4 $
371.4
(0.0) $
416.2 $
416.2
0.0 $
457.6 $
457.5
0.1 $
510.0
509.9
0.1