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Third new nuclear states will be more concious for their safety
and more pragmatist and mind full about the dangers of nuclear
weapons. The chances of the war decrease as deterrent and
defensive capabilities increases.
IN the second chapter MOre will be worse Sagan argued that
nuclear proliferation optimists have confused the gesture of what
rational states should do with assumptions of what real states will
do.
According to him rationality is a very complex
phenomena,according to his notion,many nuclear states may well
behave in a sensible manner but some will not and ultimately
there will be serious consequenses for the whole international
system.
According to him common organizational behaviour can create a
nuclear revolution.ACCORDING TO HIM the common biases,rigid
routines and parochial interest of militiary organization will lead to
deterrence failures.
Third chapter is a debate between Sagan and Waltz India and
Pakistan nuclear weapons for better or worse?
According to Sagan nuclear South Asia will be a dangerous
place.India and Pakistan will face a dangerous nuclear future as
the imperfect humans,the chavnist inside imperfect organizatios
control their nuclear weapons.
According to him the worse history of India and Pakistan in which
boty have gone through several wars due yo agitation is a base
for future that they will engage in nuclear war which will cause a
havoc.
Due to geographical proximity,if a nuclear accident or a irrational
war happens then both have to face the music.the case study of
US and Russia is not comparable with India and Pakistan.