Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Baluchistan
ByDr Amarjit Singh
IssueNet Edition| Date : 20 Dec , 2014
The Principle of Requisites Applied to Pakistans Proxy Wars in India
Coming now to India, it is seen that Nagaland is still a part of India inspite of the fact that the numerical size of rebels was tangible; they
received small arms from outside sources (read: China and Pakistan). But they underestimated the resolve of successive Indian
governments, and there was no external enemy action against Nagaland. Hence requisite 1 existed; requisite 2 was present to a
considerable extent, but not to the fullest extent; and requisites 3 and 4 were absent; the result: proxy wars waged by Pakistan and China
in Nagaland have been unsuccessful in severing Nagaland from the Indian union.
Indian covert action in Baluchistan is fair tit-for-tat for Pakistani proxy wars in
India. India should not be left wanting in its own security concerns.
In 2012, nearly 1,000 people were officially known killed in Baluchistan, 3 in a province of only 8 million people, even though it occupies
44% of the land area of Pakistan. The daughter and grand-daughter of Bugti were slaughtered in their car in the streets of Karachi, to
send a gruesome message to Bugtis grandson, Brahmadagh, the leader of the Baluch Republican Party. 4 It appears that the rebellion is
weighted in the opposite direction to what intended: rebel groups and sympathizers are being slaughtered by home security forces rather
than the other way around. Nevertheless, after Musharrafs departure to England, an FIR was issued against him for the murder of
Akbar Bugti. Musharraf will still have to face the music after he returns on March 24, 2013 to Pakistan.
Thus, the uprisings, revolts, and rebellions continue in Baluchistan today. MI6 and CIA are interested in carving the country of
Baluchistan, in which they find themselves as strange bedfellows with Iran, with the same end interest, but for a different reason. For
Iran, its a question of creating a larger Shia conglomerate; for the Americans and British it is to have an overland route to Afghanistan,
as well as have a physical base from where to monitor Pakistani nuclear movements; for India, it is simply a matter to break-up and
weaken an arch enemy. India is assumed to provide assistance to the Baluch, an action that India need not be ashamed of, though
Pakistan tried to shame India in this matter in the famous 2009 joint statement between Yousuf Raza Gilani and Manmohan Singh. 5
Creating a proxy war in Baluchistan to severe it from Pakistan is in the direct interest of India. First, the mineral-rich province will then no
longer provide resources and riches to Pakistan, an event that will directly deplete Pakistani military expenditure. While Baluchistan is
easily Pakistans richest province, its people are its poorest, mainly because Pakistan has exploited Baluchistan like a colony. The
human rights excesses by Pakistan in Baluchistan are enough of a moral reason to assist and aid the Baluch in segregating from
Pakistan. But more than that, Pakistan has been enough of an enemy of India to attract Indias legitimate and moral wrath. Finally,
Indian covert action in Baluchistan is fair tit-for-tat for Pakistani proxy wars in India. India should not be left wanting in its own security
concerns. An eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth is fair policy. But India needs to brook no nonsense, and like every other country in
its place, has the moral right to react disproportionately: Two eyes for one; and the whole jaw for a tooth!
Brief History of Baluchistan
Baluchistan consists of a western province in Iran, a northern province in Afghanistan, and a central province in Pakistan. They speak a
dialect distantly related to the Kurdish people. Ironically, the Baluch are deprived of a nation just like the Kurds, who are also divided
across three countries. In the 19th century, the Persians and British agreed to divide Baluchistan into a Persian sector, an Afghan
province, and an independent central state that served as a vassal state to Great Britain, 6 much like Kashmir. These vassal states
protected Great Britain from invasions from the West and North, especially considering that they entered into a separate agreement with
Russia to keep Afghanistan as a virtual no-mans land. Thus, Britains borders to the north and west against the major empires of the
time Russia, Persia, and a potential China were secure. Tibet was an added buffer against both Russian and Chinese invasions,
remembering that Chengiz Khan had come into North India through Tibet and Afghanistan, while Russia had expanded southwards into
Central Asia during the major part of the early 19th century.
At Indian independence in 1947, Baluchistan, like Kashmir, was kept out of the India-Pakistan equation, and both Kashmir and
Baluchistan were left as independent, sovereign states by Britain, with Britain actually recognizing Baluchistan as a sovereign state. But,
on March 26, 1948, 300 years of Baluch autonomy came to a striking end when the Pakistani army walked in, much like India walked
into Hyderabad. That India recognized Pakistani occupation of Baluchistan was probably in reciprocity to Pakistani recognition of Indias
occupation of Hyderabad.
The total rebel strength is still not estimated at more than 5,000 armed
fighters perhaps as low as 2,000. This number is much too small to
sustain an effective armed uprising.
Arab nationalists in Iraq, Syria, and Egypt began to support Baluch independence in the 1950s. Iraq renewed its support of Iranian
Baloch during the Iran-Iraq war of 1980-88. Very logically, Russia supported Pakistani Baluch during their occupation of Afghanistan,
1979-1989. Ahmad Akbar Bugti rose to prominence in the 1990s, galvanized Baluch resistance, but was squarely eliminated by
Musharraf in the 2000s. Harsh repressions against Baluch nationals, presumed rebels, and sympathizers continues today by Pakistani
security forces, thereby further alienating the sentiments of the Baluch people. But the Baluch people simply are a small population and
suffer from inadequate external assistance to carve their independence. This, in a nutshell, is the Baluch history. In all this, it must not
be forgotten that the Baluch are an independent group of people who have had their own country in the past; they are a sovereign
people who want to see an end to Punjabi exploitation from Islamabad, and now rightfully seek their own free nation.
economic, and political reasons. Nevertheless, without external military intervention it is difficult to see how Pakistan will relinquish
control over a huge, mineral-rich province.
Eventually, the paltry Indian assistance to the Baluch Liberation Army must
increase by gargantuan amounts for the liberation action to succeed.
The execution of the proxy war will also require allocation of a special status by the Indian cabinet and a large budget to go with it.
Hence, requisites 1, 2, and 4 can be ramped up and the will of resistance that is in requisite 3 can be gradually broken by the measures
mentioned. This is how the proxy war can succeed; else its success is only in the imagination of dreamers, because even a weak and
fatigued Pakistan will not relinquish its hold on Baluchistan.
Conclusion
Four requisites for the success of a proxy war were outlined, and examples given from world situations. In conclusion, it sounds unlikely
that a proxy war as currently being waged by India or the Western powers in Baluchistan can severe Baluchistan from Pakistan, even
though they need it for their strategic interests. The four requisites to make this happen in Baluchistan simply dont seem to exist, and
Pakistans will to retain Baluchistan is strong. However, the deficiency in requisites can be overcome if India ties down Pakistani forces
along the Indo-Pak border after opening its guns in fire along the entire 1,850 mile border. This must be supplemented by loaning
Special Forces soldiers and officers to the Baluch National Army to damage and destroy Pakistani installations in Baluchistan.
Eventually, the paltry Indian assistance to the Baluch Liberation Army must increase by gargantuan amounts for the liberation action to
succeed. In the end, a freedom fight and proxy war in Baluchistan is morally justified for the human rights abuses and excesses by
Islamabad in Baluchistan. It is undeniable that a successful proxy war in Baluchistan is in Indias strategic interest. This proxy war can
be fought as overtly as covertly because India has been at war with Pakistan for 65 years.
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