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National Transmission and Despatch Company Limited

National Power System


Expansion Plan
2011 - 2030
Final Report
Annexure 3: Transmission Plan
504760-01-A3
2011

Prepared by
SNC-Lavalin
SNC
Lavalin International Inc.
Inc
in association with
National Engineering Services Pakistan (PVT) Limited

NOTICE
This document contains the expression of the professional opinion of SNC-Lavalin Inc. (SLI) as
to the matters set out herein, using its professional judgment and reasonable care. It is to be
read in the context of the agreement dated October 4, 2010 (the Agreement) between SLI and
National Transmission and Despatch Company (the Client), and the methodology, procedures
and techniques used, SLIs assumptions, and the circumstances and constraints under which its
mandate was performed. This document is written solely for the purpose stated in the
Agreement, and for the sole and exclusive benefit of the Client, whose remedies are limited to
those set out in the Agreement. This document is meant to be read as a whole, and sections or
parts thereof should thus not be read or relied upon out of context.
Unless expressly stated otherwise, assumptions, data and information supplied by, or gathered
from other sources (including the Client, other consultants, testing laboratories and equipment
suppliers, etc.) upon which SLIs opinion as set out herein is based has not been verified by SLI;
SLI makes no representation as to its accuracy and disclaims all liability with respect thereto.

504760

2011 SNC-Lavalin Inc. All rights reserved


Confidential

T&D Division

National Power Systems Expansion Plan

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND DEFINITIONS


Abbreviations:
ADB

Asian Development Bank

AEDB

Alternative Energy Development Board

cct-km

Circuit-kilometre

Consultant

SNC-Lavalin, Transmission and Distribution Group

DISCO

Distribution Company

DSM

Demand Side Management

GDP

Gross Domestic Product

GENCO

Generation Company

HPP

Hydel (or Hydro) Power Project

HSFO

High-Sulphur Furnace Oil

HVAC

High Voltage Alternating Current

HVDC

High Voltage Direct Current

IEEE

Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers

kA

Kilo-ampere

KESC

Karachi Electric Supply Company

km

Kilometre

KPT

Karachi Port Trust

kV

Kilovolt

MMcfd

Million cubic feet per day

MOU

Memorandum of Understanding

MT

Metric Tonnes

MTOE

Million Tons of Oil Equivalent

MVA

Mega volt-amperes

MWh

Megawatt-hour or 1,000 kilowatt-hours

NEPRA

National Electric Power Regulatory Authority

NESPAK

National Engineering Services Pakistan (Pvt) Limited

NPP

National Power Plan, prepared by Acres International Limited in 1994

NTDC

National Transmission and Despatch Company

OGDCL

Oil and Gas Development Company Limited

P.P.

Power Project

PAEC

Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission

PARCO

Pak-Arab Refining Company

PEPCO

Pakistan Electric Power Company

National Power Systems Expansion Plan

PPIB

Private Power and Infrastructure Board

PPL

Pakistan Petroleum Limited

PQA

Port Qasim Authority

PSO

Pakistan State Oil

PSS/E

Power System Simulation

RFO

Residual Furnace Oil

SIL

Surge Impedance Load

SNGPL

Sui Northern Gas Pipeline Limited

SSGCL

Sui Southern Gas Company Limited

SYPCO

Generation planning software (System Production Costing)

TAVANIR

The Iranian Electric Utility

WAPDA

Water and Power Development Authority

ii

National Power System Expansion Plan

TABLE OF CONTENTS
NTDC TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PLAN
1

OBJECTIVES .................................................................................................................. 1

PLANNING AND PERFORMANCE CRITERIA .............................................................. 1

TYPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF NTDC LONGITUDINAL NETWORK...................... 3

APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY .............................................................................. 5

4.1

Inputs ........................................................................................................................ 5

4.2

Development of Study Cases ................................................................................... 5

DETERMINATION OF FUTURE NEEDS OF 500/220 KV & 220/132 KV GRID


STATIONS ....................................................................................................................... 7
5.1

Load Forecast ........................................................................................................... 7

5.2

Needs of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations till 2020/21 .............................. 7

5.3

Needs of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations from 2020/21 to 2029/30 ........ 8

TRANSMISSION EXPANSION UP TO 2016-17 ............................................................. 9


6.1

Expansion Scheme ................................................................................................... 9

6.2

Power Dispersal Projects: Till 2016-17 ..................................................................... 9

6.3

Power Import Projects: Till 2016-17 ...................................................................... 11

6.4

New Grid Stations of 500/220 kV at Load Centers: Till 2016-17 ............................ 11

6.5

New Grid Stations of 220/132 kV at Load Centers: Till 2016-17 ............................ 12

6.6

Load Flow Results of the year 2016-17 .................................................................. 14

TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2016-17 TO 2020-21 ....................................... 16


7.1
7.1.1

Power Dispersal Projects: 2016-17 to 2020-21 .................................................. 17

7.1.2

New 500/220 kV Grid Stations at Load Centers: 2016-17 to 2020-21 ................ 20

7.1.3

New 220/132 kV Grid Stations at Load Centers: 2016-17 to 2020-21 ................ 21

7.1.4

New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and N1 Contingency Conditions: 2016-17 to -2020-21 ................................................. 22

7.1.5

Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations:


2016-17 to -2020-21............................................................................................ 22

7.2
8

Expansion Scheme ................................................................................................. 16

Load Flow Results of the year 2020-21 .................................................................. 22

TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2021-22 TO 2025-26 ....................................... 26


8.1

Expansion Scheme ................................................................................................. 26

8.1.1

Power Dispersal Projects: 2021-22 to 2025-26 .................................................. 26

8.1.2

New 500/220 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV: 202122 to 2025-26 ...................................................................................................... 29

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National Power System Expansion Plan

8.1.3

New 220/132 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 220 kV: 202122 to 2025-26 ...................................................................................................... 30

8.1.4

New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and N1 Contingency Conditions: 2021-22 to 2025-26 .................................................. 32

8.1.5

Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid ................. 33

8.2
9

Load Flow Results of the year 2025-26 .................................................................. 34

TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2026-27 TO 2029-30 ....................................... 38


9.1

Expansion Scheme ................................................................................................. 38

9.1.1

Power Dispersal Projects: 2026-27 to 2029-30 .................................................. 38

9.1.2

New 500/220 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV: 202627 to 2030 ........................................................................................................... 40

9.1.3

New 220/132 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV:
2026-27 to 2030 .................................................................................................. 40

9.1.4

New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and N1 Contingency Conditions: 2026-27 to 2030 ....................................................... 41

9.1.5

Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid 2026-27 to


2030 .................................................................................................................... 41

9.2

Load Flow Results of the year 2030 ....................................................................... 42

10 SHORT CIRCUIT ANALYSIS ........................................................................................ 49


10.1 Significance of Short Circuit Analysis ..................................................................... 49
10.2 Methodology and Assumptions for Maximum Fault Current Calculations .............. 49
10.3 Fault Current Calculations of the year 2020 ........................................................... 51
10.4 Fault Current Calculations of the year 2030 ........................................................... 52
11 TRANSIENT STABILITY STUDIES .............................................................................. 55
11.1 Stability Studies for the year 2020 .......................................................................... 56
11.2 Stability Studies for the year 2030 .......................................................................... 58
11.3 General Conclusions of Stability Studies ................................................................ 61
12 COST ESTIMATE OF TRANSMISSION EXPANSION ................................................. 61
12.1 Total requirement (BOQs) between 2017 and 2030 ............................................... 61
12.2 Total Cost ............................................................................................................... 62
13 CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS .................................................................. 62

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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 3-1

Existing/Committed 500/220 kV System ........................................................... 4

Figure 9-1

500/220 kV System in the Ultimate Year 2030 ................................................ 48

LIST OF APPENDICES
Appendix-1:

Input Data

Appendix-2:

Load Flow Study Results for year 2016-17

Appendix-3:

Load Flow Study Results for year 2020-21

Appendix-4:

Load Flow Study Results for year 2025-26

Appendix-5:

Load Flow Study Results for year 2030

Appendix-6:

Short Circuit Study Results for year 2020

Appendix-7:

Short Circuit Study Results for year 2030

Appendix-8:

Stability Study Results for year 2020

Appendix-9:

Stability Study Results for year 2030

Appendix-10:

Transmission Expansion Schedule

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Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

NTDC TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PLAN


1

OBJECTIVES

The transmission expansion plan for NTDC has been developed to fulfil the following
objectives:

To ensure that the planned generation expansion can be delivered to the major load
centres throughout the country

To identify any requirements (technical and/or economic) that might require the
introduction of any new voltage levels and/or transmission types into the existing
transmission network

To determine the reinforcements required in the transmission network to meet the


growing demand of the load centres by developing new grid stations and their
associated transmission lines at 500 kV and 220 kV levels interconnecting with the
transmission lines emanating from the proposed power plants.

To fulfill the reliability criteria of NTDC Grid Code approved by NEPRA in terms of
acceptable voltage, frequency, loading of lines and transformers for normal (N-0) and
contingency (N-1) conditions both under disturbed dynamic/transient conditions and
steady state conditions.

To determine the long-term impacts on fault levels throughout the transmission


network and to examine mitigating measures to deal with excessive fault levels.

To check the transient and dynamic stability of 500 kV HVAC or above, and HVDC
systems catering for the bulk transmission of power from major power plants to the
major load centres to verify the adequacy of network for normal and disturbed
conditions.

To estimate the economic cost of these reinforcements in a staged manner. Such


costs are then added to the cost of the new generation required to provide the basic
input data to the financial analysis and the examination of the impact on tariffs.

PLANNING AND PERFORMANCE CRITERIA

The transmission system expansion plans are required to fulfil the Grid Code of NTDC
approved by NEPRA, the regulatory authority of electrical power in Pakistan. The following
are the planning and performance criteria laid down in the Grid Code:

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National Power System Expansion Plan

Steady State:
Adequacy evaluation of planning studies for steady-state system performance shall be
based on equipment loading, congestion management, fault levels and voltage regulation.
Steady-state planning studies for steady state load flow studies shall be deemed acceptable
if they do not result in any voltage violations or overloads based on predetermined loading
limits for Normal (N-0) and Emergency (N-1) contingency conditions.
Dynamic/Transient Conditions:
System stability must be maintained following the disturbances listed below:
(a) Permanent three-phase faults on any primary transmission line and associated
components. It is assumed that a fault will be cleared by circuit breaker action in 5 cycles.
(b) Failure of a circuit breaker to clear a fault (Stuck Breaker condition) in 5 cycles, with
back up clearing in 9 cycles after fault initiation
The robustness of the proposed transmission expansion plan shall be tested against
criterion (a) whereas the worst case of critical clearing time i.e. criterion (b) needs to be
applied at detailed design stage of generating stations. If the System is found to be unstable,
then mitigation measures shall be identified and incorporated into the system improvement
plans for future years.
Grid Frequency Variations:
The Frequency of the NTDC Transmission System shall be nominally 50Hz and shall be
maintained within the limits of 49.8 to 50.2 unless exceptional circumstances prevail.
Grid Voltage Variations:
Under (N-0) normal operating conditions, System Operating Voltages of the Total System
shall be maintained within the bandwidth of +8% to 5% of Nominal System Voltage. Under
(N-1) contingency operating conditions, the voltage variation shall be in the range of +10%
and 10% of Nominal System Voltage
Short Circuit (Fault Levels):
Short circuit calculations shall be prepared for each study year, and adequacy of fault
interrupting capability and short circuit withstand capacity shall be ensured.

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National Power System Expansion Plan

TYPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF NTDC LONGITUDINAL NETWORK

Pakistan is geographically a longitudinal country, i.e. more like a vertical rectangle and same
is true for the primary network of NTDC. The 500 kV network runs from Peshawar in the
North to HUBCO near Karachi in the South (see Figure 3.1).
The maximum load is concentrated in the middle of the country where local generation
potential is limited because of lack of fossil fuel resources and meagre hydropower potential
in the plains. Hydropower generation potential is located in the North and thermal power
generation sources are mainly in the South. The least cost Generation Plan (Base Case)
developed for this Expansion Plan Study also envisages maximum hydropower generation
located up in the North whereas the major thermal power plants based on indigenous and
imported fossil fuel are located in South. Therefore during high water months when hydel
power is at the maximum the power flows from the North to South, whereas in low water
months when the thermal power in the South is run at its maximum, the power flow is
reversed to be from the South to North. Long HVAC (500 kV or above) and HVDC lines are
required to carry power from the far North and far South to mid country where the maximum
load is concentrated.
With insignificant local generation in mid-country, the huge reactive power (MVAR) demand
would not be advisable to be supplied from power plants in the far North and far South as
excessive flow of VARs would cause severe voltage drop across long and heavily loaded
lines, therefore sufficient VAR sources would be required to be installed in terms of shunt
capacitor banks at the distribution level and, if required, at the transmission level as well.
Other dynamic VAR compensation devices such as SVCs, SVS, and other FACTS devices
might be required to be installed at appropriate locations in mid-country.
Also in the high water season, when power flows mainly from hydel power plants in the
North, the HVAC circuits in the South would be lightly loaded because of the low dispatch of
thermal power from the South and vice versa. The lightly loaded HVAC lines generate
excessive VARs due to their high charging current and would require a sufficient amount of
shunt reactors, line connected or bus connected depending on the requirement. Therefore
the levels of compensations, inductive and capacitive, are to be very carefully studied and
planned.

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National Power System Expansion Plan

Figure 3-1

504760-01-A3

Existing/Committed 500/220 kV System

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

4
4.1

APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY


Inputs
The following input data has been assumed for the study cases:

Load Forecast, base case scenario, prepared by NTDC and validated by SNCLavalin (Appendices1.1 and 1.2)

Base Case Generation Expansion Plan developed by SNC-Lavalin for NPSEP


(Appendix-1.4)

Transmission network data file in PSS/E format supplied by NTDC for the years
2010 and 2014

All the ongoing and committed or planned transmission expansion plans of


NTDC envisaged up to the year 2016-17 (Appendix-1.5).

Inputs from the other ongoing feasibility studies have been incorporated as
follows:
o

500 kV HVDC Bipole for 1000 MW import of power from Iran


(conducted by NESPAK and SNC Lavalin)

500 kV HVDC Bipole for 1300 MW import of power from CASA


(conducted by NESPAK and SNC Lavalin)

Transmission scheme based on 500 kV double circuits using quad


bundled Martin conductor for the evacuation of power from 26
hydropower plants to be located on river Indus and its tributaries in
Northern Areas of Pakistan (being conducted by PB/PPI/MAES)

Transmission scheme for evacuation of power from indigenous and


imported coal based thermal power plants in the South (Thar and
Karachi) connecting with the Southern Grid at 500 kV and at 600 kV
HVDC from South to Mid-country (being conducted by NESPAK and
SNC Lavalin)

4.2

Development of Study Cases

The spot years for study have been identified in agreement with NTDC
corresponding to different intervals in which major generation additions occur as
per the Base Case Generation Expansion Plan, which are 2016, 2020, 2025 and
2030 respectively.

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Base case of the year 2020 was developed as a reference to develop the other
spot years cases. DISCO transmission expansion plan up to the 132 kV level
developed till the year 2020 was used as the fundamental base case,
superimposing the NTDC transmission infrastructure of 220 kV and 500 kV
adequate to meet the DISCO transmission needs with the proposed extensions,
augmentations and construction of new 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV substations

Case for the year 2030 was developed to determine the ultimate scope of 220 kV
and 500 kV transmission additions in the system to meet the projected forecast
and the corresponding generation additions. The expansion of DISCO
transmission network up to the 132 kV level was assumed frozen at the year
2020 and future projections of loads were assumed lumped at new 220/132 kV
substations proposed to be constructed between 2020 and 2030.

The cases for the intermediate years of 2016 and 2025 were developed to
determine the scope of the transmission system expansion during the
intermediate years.

Standard tools of analysis for transmission expansion planning i.e. load flow,
short circuit and transient stability analyses were employed using the state of art
software PSS/E of Siemens-PTI.

Two cases each for high water (high hydel) and low water (high thermal) were
studied for each spot year of the study i.e. 2016, 2020, 2025 and 2030. Load flow
simulations were carried out for normal (N-0) and ) contingency (N-1) conditions
for each case to determine the adequacy of the proposed transmission facilities
for each seasonal pattern of power flow

Short circuit analysis was carried out for the calculation of maximum three-phase
and single-phase fault currents for the years 2020 and 2030 using IEC 909 as
employed in PSS/E software.

Transient stability analysis was carried out for the system of 500 kV for the years
2020 and 2030 employing the following standard worst case disturbance:
o

3-phase fault at bus bar with fault clearing time of 5 cycles

Trip of the heavily loaded circuit emanating from the bus bar

Monitor post fault damping of transients of rotor angles and power swings
with recovery of voltage and frequency of the system

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DETERMINATION OF FUTURE NEEDS OF 500/220 KV & 220/132 KV GRID


STATIONS

5.1

Load Forecast

NTDC has developed two scenarios of load forecast based on:

Power Market Survey (PMS)

Long Term Forecast involving growth indices of country globally

These forecasts are attached as Appendices 1.1 and 1.2. The first one may be called
bottom-up approach initiating from grass root level of 11 kV feeders and developed up to
132 kV level of DISCO peak. The other approach may be called top down that considers
overall countrys growth indices and develops future peak demand globally at country level
and then breaks it down to DISCO peaks.
The PMS forecast was used for developing the DISCO and NTDC transmission expansion
plans up to the year 2020. Individual DISCO peak cases have been combined together to
make a composite case for NTDC transmission expansion of the spot years of study up to
2020.
5.2

Needs of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations till 2020/21

For NTDC transmission system expansion between 2021 and 2030, the global forecast was
used because the focus is only on 500 kV and 220 kV network expansion in these years;
being given that the132 kV network expansion was frozen as of the year 2020.
Future reinforcements up to 2020 in the existing 220/132 kV grid stations in terms of
augmentation or addition and requirements for new 220/132 kV grid stations have been
worked out based on the following:

Tentative transmission expansion plan up to 2016-17 supplied by NTDC as attached


in Appendix-1.5

Need for new 220/132 kV substations established by DISCO transmission expansion


load flow analysis for normal and N-1 contingency cases up to the year 2020.

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Expansion of 500/220 kV grid stations up to the year 2020 has also been assumed
principally based on the tentative transmission expansion plan of NTDC (Appendix-1.5) plus
further requirements established due to overloading of 500/220 kV transformers revealed in
load flow analysis of DISCO peaks especially in big load centres of Lahore, Faisalabad,
Islamabad, Peshawar and Karachi.
5.3

Needs of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations from 2020/21 to 2029/30

Detailed load capacity analysis has been carried out to determine the requirements of new
220/132 kV grid stations to feed different DISCO loads between 2020 and 2030. The results
are attached in Appendix 1.3. The methodology of this analysis is explained below:

Load flow case of year 2020 for NTDC transmission with all DISCO peak cases
combined in it, has been assumed as the base reference case. All loads
represented at 11kV and 132 kV have been frozen. The power supplied internally
through generation connected at 132 kV and imported from neighbouring DISCOs
(at CDPs) is also frozen

MW flows on 220/132 kV grid stations feeding each DISCO peak load in 2020 case
have been noted for respective DISCO in separate sheets.

Sum of MW flows at 220/132 kV transformers and the internal supply at 132 kV


levels is equal to DISCO peak load. The proportion of MW flows through a particular
220/132 kV grid station with reference to total MW flows injected into DISCO peak
as of 2020 base case has been worked out.

MW flows of 220/132 kV transformers of 2020 base case load flow were projected
up to the year 2030 at the annual growth rates of the respective DISCOs
maintaining the same ratio of MW flow that was worked out from the 2020 base
case load flow.

The concept of firm capacity i.e. N-1 of the transformers capacity has been applied
for the period 2020 2030.

When the projected MW flows at 220/132 kV grid station cross the firm capacity,
either of the following reinforcements have been proposed
o

Augmentation to higher capacity assuming maximum size of transformer to


be 350 MVA

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National Power System Expansion Plan

Addition of transformers depending on availability of space capping


maximum number of transformers to be 4 at one grid station with maximum
size of a transformer as 350 MVA .

New grid station in the neighbourhood of the same grid station where the
load has exceeded the firm capacity.

In Appendix 1.3, the results of the load capacity analysis for determining the need of
220/132 kV reinforcements in the concession area of each DISCO has been
presented in separate sheets which indicate replacement (augmentation), addition
(extension) and new 220/132 kV grid stations required between 2020 and 2030.

TRANSMISSION EXPANSION UP TO 2016-17

6.1

Expansion Scheme

6.2

Power Dispersal Projects: Till 2016-17

The major generation additions indicated in Generation Expansion Plan (Appendix-1.4),


including the committed and planned power plants, requiring additional transmission
facilities by the year 2016-17 are as follows:
Type

Installed
Capacity, MW

Commissioning
Year

Guddu New

CC

747

2013-14

Haveli Bahadur Shah

CC

3000

2015-16

Sahiwal

CC

1414

2015-16

Hydro

969

2015-16

Coal

3000

2016-17

Nuclear

680

2016-18

Import from Iran and CASA

Import

2000

2016-17

Wind Power (Gharo/Jhimpir)

Wind

1400

2012-17

Power Plants

Neelum-Jehlum
Thar/Imported Coal
CHASHNUPP-III & IV

To meet the forecasted demand and facilitate the evacuation of power from the committed
and planned power plants by the year 2016-17, a corresponding transmission expansion
plan has been developed.
NTDC provided their in-house developed transmission expansion plan till the year 2016-17
as shown in Appendix-1.5. The plan envisages removing the present bottlenecks in the
existing 500 kV and 220 kV network and substations which presently face severe
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National Power System Expansion Plan

congestions, overloadings and violations of Grid Code criteria.

This plan has been

incorporated as such in the load flow simulations for 2016-17 with some changes proposed
for the evacuation of power from the New Hydropower Plants (PB/PPI/MAES Study) and for
the Thar Coal and Imported Coal based thermal power plants (SNC/NESPAK Study).
The additions of transmission network necessary for the evacuation of power from the major
power plants in NPSEP by 2016-17 would be as follows:

For GudduNew (CCPP)


o

Guddu New CCPP M. Garh 500 kV S/C

In-Out of 500 kV Guddu Multan at Guddu New (CCPP)

In-out D.G. Khan - Multan 500 kV S/C at M. Garh

For Haveli Bahadur Shah (CCPP)


o

Haveli Bahadur Shah CCPP Faisalabad-West 500 kV D/C

In-Out of M. Garh Faisalabad-West S/C at Haveli Bahadur Shah CCPP

In-Out Gatti Multan 500 kV S/C at Faisalabad-West

In-Out Gatti-Rousch 500 kV S/C at Faisalabad-West

For Sahiwal (CCPP)


o

In-Out of Sahiwal Multan 500 kV S/C at Sahiwal (CCPP)

500 kV Sahiwal-Lahore- South 500 kV D/C

For Neelum-Jehlum (Hydro)


o

For Thar (Coal)


o

Neelum-Jehlum to Gujranwala (Gakhar) 500kV D/C

Thar to Matiari switching station 500 kV D/C

For Imported Coal (AES)


o

In-Out of Hub-Jamshoro 500 kV S/C at AES

AES to Matiari 500 kV D/C

Inout of AES-Matiari 500 kV S/C at Public Sector (Imported Coal)

In-out of 500 kV Jamshoro-Moro S/C at Matiari

For CHASHNUPP-III and IV (Chashma New)

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Chashma New Bannu 220 kV D/C

In-out of 220 kV D.I. Khan Jauharabad S/C at Chashma New

10

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

6.3

For two clusters of wind power plants at Gharo and Jhimpir


o

Jhimpir T.M Khan Road 220 kV D/C

Gharo - Jhimpir 220 kV D/C

Power Import Projects: Till 2016-17

For import of power from Iran


o

500 kV HVDC Bipoles from Zahedan to Quetta

Quetta - Loralai 220 kV D/C

Quetta - Quetta Ind. 220 kV D/C

Quetta - Mastung 220 kV D/C

For import of power from CASA


o

500 kV HVDC Bipoles from Tajikistan to Peshawar-2

In-out of Tarbela Peshawar 500 kV S/C at Peshawar-2 (new


500/220kV substation)

o
6.4

In-out of Peshawar Shahibagh 220 kV S/C at Peshawar-2

New Grid Stations of 500/220 kV at Load Centres: Till 2016-17

The new 500/220 kV grid stations at load centres to be added in the system by 2016-17
with their proposed installed capacities and connectivity schemes are as follows:

No.

New 500/220 kV
Grid Station

R. Y. Khan

2x600

Guddu-New Multan In-Out at R.Y. Khan

D. G. Khan

2x600

Guddu Multan In-Out at D.G. Khan

Shikarpur-New

2x600

Guddu Dadu 1st and 2nd circuits In-Out at


Shikarpur New

Peshawar-2

2 x 750

In-out of Tarbela Peshawar 500 kV S/C at


Peshawar-2

Islamabad-West

2 x 750

Tarbela Rewat 500 kV S/C In-Out at


Islamabad West
Ghazi Brotha Rewat 500 kV S.C In-Out at
Islamabad West
In-Out of Tarbela-ISPR 220 kV at Islamabad
West 220 kV

Lahore-South

2 x 750

Sahiwal Lahore S/C In-Out at Lahore South


Lahore-South Lahore D/C

Faisalabad- West

2 x 750

M. Garh Gatti S/C In-Out at Faisalabad-West

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Capacity
MVA

Connectivity at 500 kV

11

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

The details of extensions and augmentations proposed in the existing 500/220 kV grid
stations are indicated in detail in Appendix-1.5
6.5

New Grid Stations of 220/132 kV at Load Centers: Till 2016-17

The new 220/132 kV grid stations going to be added in the system by 2016-17 with their
proposed installed capacities and connectivity schemes are as follows:
No.

New 220/132 kV
Grid Station

Capacity
MVA

Rohri New

2x250

Engro IPP Rohri New 220 kV D/C


Rohri New Shikarpur 220 kV D/C

Kassowal

2 x 160

Vehari Yousafwala 220 kV D/C In-Out at


Kassowal

Bandala

2 x 160

Gatti K.S.K 220 kV D/C In-Out at Bandala

Khuzdar

2 x 160

Dadu Khuzdar 220 kV D/C

Wapda Town

2 x 250

LahoreNew K.L. Pat 220 kV D/C In-Out at


Wapda Town

Mansehra

2 x 250

Allai Khwar Mansehra 220 kV D/C


Mansehra Isbd. Pesh. Road 220 kV D/C

Ghazi Road

3 x 160

K.S. KakuRavi 220 kV S/C In-Out at Ghazi


Road
NKLPT Sarfraznagar 220 kV S/C In-Out at
Ghazi Road

Loralai

2 x 250

D.G. Khan Loralai 220 kV D/C

Okara New

3 x 250

Yousafwala Sarfraznagar D/C In-Out at Okara


New

10

Gujrat New

3 x250

Mangla Gujranwala 220 kV S/C & Mangla


Gakhar 220 kV S/C In-Out at Gujrat

11

T.T. Singh

3 x 250

Multan Samundri Rd 220 kV D/C In-Out at T.T.


Singh

12

Nowshera Ind.

3 x 250

G.Brotha Shahibagh 220 kV D/C In-Out at


Nowshera Ind.

13

R.Y. Khan
500/220/132 kV

2 x 250

14

Chishtian New

2 x 250

Vehari Chishtian New 220 kV D/C

15

Shalamar

3 x 160

Ravi/K.S.K Ghazi Raod220 kV D/C In-Out at


Shalamar

16

D.M. Jamali

1 x 160 + Uch Guddu 220 kV S/C In-Out at D.M. Jamali


1 x 100

17

D.I. Khan

2 x 250

504760-01-A3

Connectivity at 220 kV

In & Out of Chashma Ludewala 220 kV S/C at


12

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

No.

New 220/132 kV
Grid Station

Capacity
MVA

Connectivity at 220 kV
D.I. Khan

18
19
20

21

Chakwal New

Lalian New
MirpurKhas New

Shadman

2 x 160

Mangla Rewat 220 kV S/C In-Out at Chakwal


New

2 x 250

Gatti Ludewala 220 kV D/C In-Out at Lalian


New.

2 x 160

Hala Road T.M. Khan Road 220 kV D/C


Hala Road T.M.Khan Road 220 kV S/C In-Out
at MirpurKhas New.

2 x 250

Shadman Bund Road 220 kV D/C (XLPE


Cable)

22

Taxila

2 x 250

Tarbela/Burhan Islamabad Pesh. Road 220 kV


D/C In-Out at Taxila

23

Chakdara

2 x 250

Mardan Chakdara 220 kV D/C

24

Jhimpir

2 x 250

Jhimpir T.M. Khan Road 220 kV D/C

25

Gharo

2 x 250

Garho Jhimpir 220 kV D/C

26

D.G. Khan
500/220/132 kV

2 x 250

27

Mastung

2 x 250

28

Faisalabad West 2 x 250


500/220/132 kV

Samundri Road Jhang Road 220 kV D/C


Faisalabad West T.T. Singh 220 kV D/C

29

M-3
Estate

Faisalabad West M-3 Industrial Estate 220 kV


D/C
Faisalabad West M-3 Industrial Estate 220 kV
S/C In-Out at Lalian

30

Jamrud

2 x 250

Peshawar Jamrud 220 kV D/C

31

Kohat

2 x 250

Peshawar New Kohat 220 kV D/C


Bannu Kohat 220 kV D/C

32

Islamabad I-10

2 x 250

Rewat Islamabad University 220 kV D/C In-Out


at Islamabad I-10

33

Kamalabad

2 x 250

Rewat Islamabad Pesh. Road 220 kV D/C InOut at Kamalabad

34

Kamra

2 x 250

Tarbela Taxila 220 kV S/C In-Out at Kamra

35

Iqbal Town

2 x 250

Lahore Wapda Town 220 kV D/C In-Out at


Iqbal Town

36

Gujranwala New
(In-between Theri
Sansi & G.P.
Road)

2 x 250

Mangla K.S. Kaku 220 kV S/C In-Out at


Gujranwala New
Gujranwala Gujranwala New 220 kV D/C

504760-01-A3

Industrial 2 x 250

Sibbi Mastung 220 kV D/C

13

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

No.

New 220/132 kV
Grid Station

Capacity
MVA

37

P. Bhattian Ind.

2 x 250

Gujranwala P. Bhattian Ind. 220 kV D/C

38

Head Faqirian

2 x 250

Ludewala Head Faqirian 220 kV D/C

39

Jauhrabad

2 x 250

Ludewala Chashma/D.I.Khan 220 kV D/C InOut at Jauhrabad

40

Alizai

2 x 250

Kohat Alizai 220 kV D/C

41

Arifwala

2 x 250

Yousafwala Kassowal 220 kV D/C In-Out at


Arifwala

Connectivity at 220 kV

The additions, augmentations, extensions etc. at 500 kV and 220 kV planned till 2016-17 to
resolve congestion and overloading in the system have been indicated in Appendix-1.5 and
are modeled and indicated in the load flow study results.
6.6

Load Flow Results of the year 2016-17

Load flow studies for high water (low thermal) and low water (high thermal) have been
performed for normal (N-0) and contingency (N-1) conditions for each case. The automatic
contingency analysis (ACCC) facility of PSS/E was used for the 220 kV network assuming
thermal limit as the permissible loading limit because 220 kV lines in the NTDC network are
not very long. However for the 500 kV system separate load flow simulations were
performed for each individual outage of a 500 kV circuit.

The loading limit in 500 kV may

not be the thermal limit and it is necessary to see the loading levels on the intact circuits for
each individual outage case from the point of view of stability limits.
The drawings of plotted results for high (HW) and low water (LW) cases are placed in
Appendices 2.1 and 2.2 respectively.
Normal (N-0) cases:
Exhibit-2016-HW-1.0

Results of Northern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2016-HW-2.0

Results of Southern System of 500 kV and 220 kV

Exhibit-2016-HW-3.0

Results of Northern System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.0

Results of Southern System of 500 kV and 220 kV

Exhibit-2017-LW-2.0

Results of Northern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2017-LW-3.0

Results of Northern System of 220 kV

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Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

The results indicate that in the high water season, the 500 kV circuits in the Northern system
i.e. North of Multan and Sahiwal, are relatively heavily loaded compared to those in the
Southern system and vice versa in the low water season. This is for the obvious reasons of
dispatch of more power from hydropower plants located in North and less power from
thermal power plants in the South during HW season and vice versa in LW season. Voltages
on the 500 kV and 220 kV systems on the entire NTDC system from North to South are
within the normal permissible limits of the NEPRA Grid Code. The power flows on the lines
of 500 kV and 220 kV and 500/220kV and 220/132 kV transformers are also within their
rated limits.
Contingency (N-1) cases:
The automatic contingency analysis (ACCC) for 220 kV network indicates no violations of
voltage and line loadings establishing the adequacy of 220 kV lines and 220/132 kV
transformers envisaged in the NTDC proposed tentative expansion plan up to 2016-17.
The one-line-out contingency cases of the 500 kV system has been carried out for Northern
system for HW season and for Southern system for LW season respectively.
The plotted results are placed in Appendices 2.1 and 2.2 as follows:
Outages for HW season (Appendix 2.1):
Exhibit-2016-HW-1.1

Peshwar-2 to Tarbela 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.2

Tarbela to G.Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.3

Tarbela to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.4

ISBD-W to G.Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.5

G.Brotha to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.6

Gatti to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.7

FBD-W to Haveli-P 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.8

ISBD-W to Rewat-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.9

Rewat-N to G.Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.10

Rewat-N to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.11

N-Jehlum to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.12

Gujranwala to Lahore-O 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2016-HW-1.13

Lahore-O to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

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Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Outages for LW season (Appendix 2.2):


Exhibit-2017-LW-1.1

Tharcoal to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.2

Matiari to Jamshoro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.3

AES-Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.4

HUB to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.5

Matiari to Moro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.6

Jamshoro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.7

Dadu to Shikarpur 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.8

Shikarpur to Guddu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.9

Moro to R.Y.Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.10

D.G.Khan to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.11

Guddu to Guddu-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.12

Guddu to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.13

R.Y.Khan to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.14

M.Garh to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.15

M.Garh to Haveli-P 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.16

Multan to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.17

Multan to Rousch 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.18

Rousch to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2017-LW-1.19

Multan to Sahiwal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

The results indicate that power flows on the intact circuits of 500 kV and 500/220 kV
transformers for each outage are within the limits. The voltage profile on all 500 kV bus bars
is also within the permissible criteria.
The above analysis establishes the fact that the proposed expansion scheme of the 500 kV
and 220 kV network till 2016-17 is adequate and fulfills the criteria of the Grid Code.
7
7.1

TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2016-17 TO 2020-21


Expansion Scheme

The sizes of 500/220 kV transformer banks are to be multiples of 750 MVA or 1000 MVA for
all the new 500/220 kV grid stations and multiples of 250 MVA or 350 MVA for all the new
220/132 kV substations as per requirements.

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The consolidated list of all the transmission expansion projects between 2016-27 and 202021 is provided in Appendix-10.1.
7.1.1

Power Dispersal Projects: 2016-17 to 2020-21

Following are the major additions of power plants between 2016-17 and 2020-21 proposed
in the NPSEP:
Type

Installed
Capacity, MW

Commissioning
Year

Coal

2400

2017-18

Tarbela 4th Extension

Hydro

960

2017-18

Karot

Hydro

720

2017-18

Asrit-Keddam

Hydro

215

2017-18

Madyan

Hydro

157

2017-18

Golan Goal

Hydro

106

2017-18

Coal

4200

2018-19

Azad Pattan

Hydro

222

2018-19

Chakothi

Hydro

500

2018-19

Kalam-Asrit

Hydro

197

2018-19

Gabral-Kalam

Hydro

101

2018-19

Shogosin

Hydro

127

2018-19

Shushgai

Hydro

102

2018-19

Coal

4200

2019-20

Chashma

Nuclear

1000

2019-20

Suki Kinari

Hydro

840

2019-20

Kaigah

Hydro

548

2019-20

Coal

2400

2020-21

Diamer Basha 1

Hydro

2250

2020-21

Bunji 1

Hydro

1800

2020-21

Nuclear

1000

2020-21

Wind

400

2017-2021

New Power Plants


Thar

Thar

Thar

Thar

Qadirabad
Wind Power (Total)

All rental power plants such as Samundri, Gulf, Walters, Karkey and Reshma have been
assumed dismantled and not considered in the study for this period.

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Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

The already proposed interconnection schemes by NTDC for Neelum Jhelum and Karot
hydro power plants have been modified to call at new hydropower plants on its way.
The transmission additions vital for the evacuation of power from these major power plants
in the NPSEP between 2016-17 and 2020-21 would be as follows:

For Thar Coal


o

600 kV HVDC

2x2000 MW Bipoles from Thar to Lahore-South with

converter stations of same capacity on both ends


o

600 kV HVDC 2x2000 MW Bipoles from Thar to Faisalabad-West with


converter stations of same capacity on both ends

For Karot
o

500 kV D/C from Thar to Karachi (a new 500/220 kV substation at KDA-33)

In-out of one circuit of 500 kV D/C Neelum Jehlum to Gujranwala

For Azad Pattan


o

In-out of one circuit of 500 kV D/C Neelum Jehlum to Gujranwala

In-out Neelum Jehlum - Gujranwala 500 kV D/C at Aliot Switching Station is


required for interconnection of Both Karot and Azad Pattan HPPs

For Diamer-Basha 1 and Bunji 1


o

Basha - Chilas 500 kV D/C

Basha - Mardan New 500 kV D/C via Swat Valley

Bunji - Chilas 500 kV D/C

Chilas - Aliot 500 kV D/C

Two 500 kV Switching Stations of Chilas & Aliot and a 500/220/132 kV


substation of Mardan New to feed local loads

Aliot - Islamabad West 500 kV D/C

Aliot - Lahore-North 500 kV D/C (new 500/220 kV substation of Lahore-North)

For Gabral-Kalam, Kalam-Asrit, Asrit-Kedam, and Madyan (Swat Valley HPPs)


o

In-out one each of Basha-Mardan 500 kV D/C at each of Swat HPPs

For Shogosin, Shushgai and Golen Gol (Chitral Valley HPPs)


o

Chitral 220/132 kV substation to collect power from all HPPs at 132 kV

Chitral-Chakdara 220 kV D/C

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Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

For Suki Kinari


o

For Chakothi
o

Chakothi-Aliot 220 kV D/C

500/220kV transformers 2x600 MVA at Alliot

For Chashma Nuclear


o

In-out of one circuit of 500 kV D/C Chilas-Aliot

Chashma-Ludewala 500 kV D/C

For Kaigah
o

Kaigah-Mardan New 500 kV D/C (operated as an interim arrangement until


the commissioning of 2nd stage of Basha).
(This plant would be advisable to be built in the timeline of 2n d stage of Basha.
In that case, its interconnection would be In-out of Basha-Mardan 500 kV S/C
at Kaigah)

For Qadirabad Nuclear


o

500 kV D/C from Qadirabad Nuclear power plant to Gujranwala

The following switching stations will be constructed as power collecting hubs from HPPS on
the rivers Indus, Jehlum and their tributaries:

Chilas 500 kV with following connections:


o

Chilas - Basha 500 kV D/C(already mentioned above)

Chilas - Bunji 500 kV D/C(already mentioned above)

Aliot 500/220 kV with following connections:


o

Chilas Aliot 500 kV D/C(already mentioned above)

In-Out Neelum Jehlum to Gujranwala D/C at Aliot (already mentioned above)

Aliot - Islamabad-West 500 kV D/C (already mentioned above)

Aliot - Lahore-North 500 kV D/C with one circuit calling at Gujrat

Chakothi - Aliot 220 kV D/C (already mentioned above)

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Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

7.1.2

New 500/220 kV Grid Stations at Load Centers: 2016-17 to 2020-21

The expansion of the 500 kV network in and around major load centers, such as Peshawar,
Islamabad, Lahore, Faisalabad and Karachi, has been proposed in such a manner that a
ring of 500 kV encircles them with stage by stage additions of new 500/220 kV substations
as needed in future years briefly described below:

Mardan 500/220 kV, 3x750 MVA, connected as follows:


o

With HPPs of Northern Areas through a 500 kV D/C via Swat valley as
discussed above

With Peshawar-2 through 500 kV D/C

Matiari 500/220 kV (initially switching station) to be a full substation of 2x750 MVA


capacity

Islamabad-West 500/220/132 kV (already constructed as discussed above) to


connect to Aliot S/S with 500 kV D/C

Lahore-South 500/220 kV (already constructed as discussed above), to be built as


big power-hub of HVDC and HVAC connecting:
o

With the coal based power plants in South through

HVDC Bipoles and

respective converter stations as discussed above and


o

With 500 kV ring around Lahore by initially constructing 500 kV D/C LahoreSouth - Lahore-Old. This is in addition to in-out of Lahore-Sahiwal 500 kV S/C
at Lahore-South proposed in 2016-17.

500 kV D/C from Lahore-South to Sahiwal (already mentioned above)

Lahore-North 500/220 kV, 2X1000 MVA to be connected completing the 500 kV ring
around Lahore as follows:

Gujranwala-Lahore North 500 kV D/C

Lahore-South to Lahore North 500 kV D/C

Faisalabad-West 500/220/132 kV, 2x750 MVA(already constructed as discussed


above), to be built as big power-hub of HVDC and HVAC connecting with the coal
based power plants in South through

HVDC Bipoles and respective converter

stations as discussed above

Following will be carried out at Ghazi-Brotha to avoid overloading in N-1


contingencies at 500 kV circuits between Tarbela and Faisalabad:

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National Power System Expansion Plan

Disconnect one 500 kV circuit each presently connected to Tarbela and Gatti
and jumpers to be connected to bypass Ghazi-Brotha to achieve a direct
Tarbela-Gatti S/C.

Construct 500 kV D/C from Faisalabad-W to Ghazi Brotha and utilize the two
circuit breakers of 500 kV spared at Ghazi-Brotha, as discussed above, to
connect to Ghazi-Brotha.

Karachi (near KDA-33) 500/220 kV, 3x1000 MVA, connecting with NKI through
500kV D/C to form a ring of 500 kV around Karachi. Whereas NKI has already been
connected to two Imported Coal fired plants (AES and Public Sector) to form a bigger
ring of 500 kV between Karachi, Jamshoro and Matiari

Ludewala 500/220 kV, 2x750 MVA (assumed at the same place as of existing
Ludewala 220/132 kV substation having enough space available). It will be
connected to main grid through in-out of Ghazi-Brotha Gatti 500 kV S/C and
Tarbela-Gatti 500kV S/C (amended as discussed above).

Gujrat 500/220 kV, 2x750 MVA connected through In-Out Aliot

to Lahore-North

500kV S/C

Vehari 500/220 kV, 2x750 MVA connected through In-Out Multan-Sahiwal 500 kV
S/C

7.1.3

Moro 500/220 kV, 2x750 MVA (switching station already constructed in 2016-17).
New 220/132 kV Grid Stations at Load Centers: 2016-17 to 2020-21

The detailed transmission expansion studies of all DISCOs for this period have established
the need for new 220/132 kV grid stations. The new 220/132 kV grid stations to be added in
this period are as follows:
Year

Voltage

Size MVA

220 kV D/C Connections

2018 Shaikh Manda (Quetta)

220/132

2x250

Quetta-New(HVDC) to Sh. Manda

2020 Qasimpur

220/132

3x250

Multan-New to Qasimpur 220 kV


(UGC cable if ROW not available)

2020 New Larkana

220/132

2x250

Shikarpur to Larkana-New 220 kV

2020 New Hala

220/132

2x250

Matiari-New-Hala 220 kV

2020 Bhakkar

220/132

2x250

D.I. Khan to Bhakkar 220 kV

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7.1.4

New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and
N-1 Contingency Conditions: 2016-17 to -2020-21

The following additional circuits are required to be added to avoid overloading on lines
during normal and N-1 contingency conditions:
Year

7.1.5

Line

kV

Type

2016

In-Out Karachi-Coal PPs to Matiari at NKI

500kV

2 X D/C

2018

ISBD-West to IBD-P.Rd

220 kV

D/C

2018

Mardan-Mardan New (500/220 kV)

220 kV

2xD/C

2018

Faiselabad-West to Samundri Rd.

220 kV

D/C

Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations:


2016-17 to -2020-21

Augmentations/Extensions at 500/220 kV grid stations proposed in this period are as follows:

Year

Substation

Voltage

Size

Type

2018

Lahore-South

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2019

Islamabad-West

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2019

Gujranwala (Gakhar)

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2019

Rewat

500/220

2x750 MVA

Augmentation

2019

Sahiwal (Yousafwala)

500/220

2x750 MVA

Augmentation

2020

Peshawar-2

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2020

NKI

500/220

2x600 MVA

Extension

Twenty three (23) Augmentations/Extensions at 220/132 kV grid stations have been carried
out as explained in Appendix-10.1.
7.2

Load Flow Results of the year 2020-21

The above transmission scheme is the outcome of load capacity analysis and detailed load
flow analysis. The load flow studies for high hydel (low thermal) and low water (high thermal)
have been performed for normal (N-0) and contingency (N-1) conditions for the study spot
year of 2020-21 for each case. The study results with connectivity of all the new 500kV and

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220 kV grid stations and new transmission lines proposed for this period have been plotted
and attached for HW and LW seasons in Appendix-3.1 and 3.2 respectively:
Normal (N-0) cases:
Load flow results of normal cases i.e. with no circuits out of service, are attached as follows:
Exhibit-2020-HW-1.0

Results of Northern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2020-HW-2.0

Results of Southern System of 500 kV and 220 kV

Exhibit-2020-HW-3.0

Results of Northern System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.0

Results of Southern System of 500 kV and 220 kV

Exhibit-2021-LW-2.0

Results of Northern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2021-LW-3.0

Results of Northern System of 220 kV

The results indicate the same pattern of power flows as in the previous spot years of study
i.e. heavier flows in Northern circuits of 500 kV and 220 kV during HW season and relatively
lighter flows on Southern grid; and vice versa during LW season. With the proposed
schemes of transmission expansion the system performance fulfills the Grid Code criteria.
The voltages on 500 kV and 220 kV on the entire NTDC system from North to South are
within the normal permissible limits. The power flows on the lines of 500 kV and 220 kV and
500/220kV and 220/132 kV transformers are also within their rated limits.
Contingency (N-1) cases:
The automatic contingency analysis (ACCC) for the 220 kV network was carried out which
indicated some violations requiring reinforcement of the network as described above in
section 7.1.4. With the proposed reinforcements the violations of voltage and line loadings
were eliminated.
The one-line-out contingency cases of the 500 kV system have been carried out for Northern
system for HW season; and for Southern system for LW season respectively.
The plotted results are placed in Appendices 3.1 and 3.2 as follows:
Outages for HW season (Appendix 3.1):
Exhibit-2020-HW-1.1

Basha-1 to Gabral-K 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.2

Gabral-K to Asrit-K 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.3

Asrit-K to Madyan -N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.4

Basha-1 to K-Asrit 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.5

Asrit-K to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

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Exhibit-2020-HW-1.6

Madyan to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.7

Mardan-New to Peshawar 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.8

Basha-2 to Chilas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.9

Bunji to Chilas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.10

Chilas to Suki-Knri 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.11

Suk-Knri to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.12

Chilas to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.13

N-Jehlum to Aliot-s/s 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.14

Tarbela to G-Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.15

Tarbela to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.16

G.Brotha to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.17

Chashma-Nuc to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.18

Ludewala to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.19

G.Brotha to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.20

FBD-W to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.21

Haveli to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.22

Aliot-S/S to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.23

ISBD-W to Rewat-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.24

Tarbela to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.25

G.Brotha to Rewat-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.26

Aliot-S/S to Karot 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.27

Karot to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.28

Aliot-S/S to Azad Patan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.29

Azad Patan to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.30

Aliot-S/S to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.31

Aliot-S/S to Gujrat 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.32

Gujrat to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.33

Gujranwala to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.34

Gujranwala to Lahore-O 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.35

Lahore-N to Lahore-S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.36

Lahore-S to Sahiwal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2020-HW-1.37

Tajikistan to Peshwar-2 500 kV HVDC Monopole Out

504760-01-A3

24

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Outages for LW season (Appendix 3.2):


Exhibit-2021-LW-1.1

Tharcoal to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.2

Tharcoal to KDA 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.3

KDA to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.4

IMP. Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.5

AES Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.6

HUB to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.7

Matiari to Jamshoro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.8

Matiari to Moro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.9

Jamshoro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.10

Dadu to Shikarpur 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.11

Moro to R.Y.Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.12

Guddu to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.13

Guddu to D.G.Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.14

Guddu-New to R.Y.Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.15

Guddu-New to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.16

R.Y.Khan to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.17

M.Garh to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.18

Multan to Vehari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.19

Vehari to Sahiwal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.20

Haveli to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.21

Tharcoal to Lahore-S 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

Exhibit-2021-LW-1.22

Tharcoal-2 to FBD-W 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

The N-1 contingency load flow results of 500 kV indicate that with the proposed scheme of
500 kV expansion during 2016-17 and 2020-21, all the criteria of Grid Code are met. The
power flows on the intact circuits of 500 kV and 500/220 kV transformers for each outage are
within the limits. The voltage profile on all 500 kV bus bars is also within the permissible
criteria.
The above analysis establishes the fact that the proposed expansion scheme of the 500 kV
and 220 kV network till 2020-21 is adequate and fulfills the criteria of the Grid Code under
normal and N-1 contingency conditions.

504760-01-A3

25

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

8
8.1
8.1.1

TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2021-22 TO 2025-26


Expansion Scheme
Power Dispersal Projects: 2021-22 to 2025-26

For the period from 2021-22 to 2025-26, the major generation additions comprise major
blocks of thermal power at Thar coal fields and hydel power plants in the Northern Areas
across the Indus and its tributaries. The major plants are as follows:
New Power Plants

Type

Installed
Capacity, MW

Commissioning
Year

CC

1414

2021-22

Coal

600

2021-22

Bunji 2

Hydro

1800

2021-22

Kohala

Hydro

1100

2021-22

Munda

Hydro

735

2022-23

Bunji 3

Hydro

1800

2022-23

Diamer Basha 2

Hydro

2250

2022-23

Palas Valley

Hydro

580

2022-23

Thar

Coal

2400

2023-24

Dasu

Hydro

4320

2023-24

Lower Spatgah

Hydro

496

2023-24

PAEC (Karachi)

Nuclear

1000

2023-24

Thakot

Hydro

2800

2024-25

Pattan

Hydro

2800

2024-25

Nuclear

1000

2024-25

Coal

3600

2025-26

Dhudnial

Hydro

792

2025-26

Wind Power(Total)

Wind

2000

2022-26

Bhikki
Thar

PAEC (Karachi)
Thar

Some old power plants have been considered retired between the period 2019 and 2025 as
proposed in the Generation Expansion Plan as follows:

504760-01-A3

26

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Year
2019

2020

Retiring Power Plant

#of
Units

Unit
Capacity
MW

Guddu

285

Faisalabad

129

KESC Gul Ahmed

13.5

122

KESC Tapal

12

11.5

138

Jamshoro-ST

170

170

Jamshoro

164

492

KESC Kannup
2021

Total
MW

114

Shadara

27

Kotri

18

Faisalabad

18

72

Quetta

25

Kotri

120

Multan

28

55

Faisalabad

46

92

Guddu

58

116

Guddu

147

294

2023

Guddu

215

429

2024

Muzaffargarh

167

836

2025

Lakhra

28

28

The previously proposed interconnection schemes by NTDC for Kohala and Munda
hydropower plants have been modified. The essential transmission additions for the
evacuation of power from the major power plants in the NPSEP between 2020-21 and 2025-26 would be as follows:

For Bhikki
o

In-out Lahore-Gatti 500 kV S/C

For Thar Coal:


o

Second 600 kV HVDC 2x2000 MW Bipole from Thar to Lahore-South with


converter stations of same capacity on both ends

Second 500 kV D/C from Thar to Matiari

500 kV D/C Matiari-Moro-R.Y. Khan

500 kV S/C Matiari-Jamshoro

504760-01-A3

27

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

For Bunji 2 and 3


o

500 kV D/C from Bunji to Chilas

500 kV D/C from Chilas to Aliot

For Basha-2
o

In-Out Peshawar-2 (Pajjagi Rd.) Ghallani 220 kV S/C at Munda

Munda Mardan New (Charsaddah) 220 kV D/C

For Kohala

Dasu Mansehra 500 kV D/C

Dasu-Palas-Valley 500 kV D/C

For Lower Spatgah

500 kV D/C PAEC to Karachi-South 500/220 kV S/S

500 kV D/C Karachi-South to Karachi-East 500/220 kV S/S

For Wind Power Cluster at Jhimpir

In-Out Thar-Karachi-East 500 kV D/C

For Thakot
o

In-Out one circuit of Karachi-East to Matiari 500 kV D/C

For Wind Power Cluster at Gharo


o

In-Out one circuit of Dasu-Palas Valley 500 kV D/C

For PAEC Karachi (3 x 1000 MW)

Palas Valley Mansehra 500 D/C

For Dasu

In-out Neelum-Jehlum to Aliot 500 kV D/C

For Palas Valley


o

In-Out Basha-1-Chilas 500 kV D/C and Basha-1 to Mardan (via Kaigah) 500 kV D/C

For Munda

500 kV D/C from Thar to Karachi (Karachi-South)

Thakot-Mansehra 500 kV D/C

For Pattan
o

504760-01-A3

Pattan - Thakot 500 kV D/C


28

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Thakot-Mardan New 500 kV D/C

For Dhudnial
o

Dhudnial - Neelum Jehlum 500 kV D/C

A switching station/substation of 500/220 kV is proposed to be built at Mansehra to collect


power from Dasu and its neighboring Lower Spatgah and Palas Valley HPPs.
As the bulk of the big hydropower plants in the Northern Areas of the Indus and its tributaries
have been added during 2022-2026, and all that power is being collected at the intermediate
switching stations/substations of Aliot, Mansehra and Mardan New, more circuits would be
required to be built from the switching stations to the main load centers as discussed in 8.1.3
below.
8.1.2

New 500/220 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV: 202122 to 2025-26

For the growing demand of the loads during the years 2021 and 2026, new bulk supply
points in terms of 500/220 kV grid stations are required to be added during this period,
especially in the big load centers such as Islamabad, Lahore, Faisalabad and Karachi which
would be integrated in the 500 kV ring to be developed around these cities as follows:
Year
2022

Grid Station
IslamabadNorth

kV
500/220

MVA
3x750

Connections
In-Out Aliot to Islamabad -West 500 kV D/C
at Islamabad
Aliot-Islamabad-North 500 kV D/C
Islamabad-North to Rewat 500kV D/C

2023

Karachi-East

500/220

3x1000

In-Out NKI-Matiari 500 kV D/C at KarachiEast

2023

Lahore-East

500/220

2x1000

In-Out Lahore-North to
500kV D/C at Lahore-East

2023

Mansehra

500/220

3x750

Dasu-Mansehra 500 kV D/C (as mentioned


above)

Lahore-South

Palas-Valley Mansehra 500 kV D/C (as


mentioned above)
Mansehra - Faisalabad-West 500 kV D/C
Mansehra-Qadirabad 500 kV D/C
Mansehra Faisalabad -East 500 kV D/C
Mansehra - ISBD-West 500 kV D/C

504760-01-A3

29

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Year

Grid Station

kV

MVA

Connections

2023

Karachi South

500/220

3x1000

Karachi-East-Karachi-South D/C (as


already mentioned above)

2023

Okara

500/220

3x750

In-out Sahiwal Lahore South D/C

2024

Bannu

500/220

3x750

Mardan New - Bannu 500 kV D/C


Bannu-Chashma (Nuclear) 500 kV D/C

2024

Sialkot

500/220

3x750

In-Out Aliot-Lahore-North 2nd circuit 500 kV


at Sialkot

2024

FaiselabadEast (North)

500/220

3x750

Mansehra - Faisalabad -East 500 kV D/C


Faisalabad-West-Faisalabad-East(North)
D/C
Gatti-Faiselabad-East (North) D/C

8.1.3

New 220/132 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 220 kV: 202122 to 2025-26

Detailed load capacity analysis has been carried out and attached in Appendix-1.3 to
establish the need for new 220/132 kV grid stations during this period taking into account
firm capacities i.e. considering N-1 contingency of one transformer out of service. When a
grid station hits the maximum firm capacity, a new grid station is proposed in the same
vicinity or extension/augmentations are proposed if space to accommodate more
transformers is available (4 transformers are taken as the maximum number of transformers
at one grid station). Based on this analysis, following are the new 220/132 kV grid stations to
be added in the system during this period
Year

Grid Station

kV

MVA

220 kV Connections

2021

Ghalanai

220/132

3 X 250

Pesh-2 Ghalanai D/C

2021

Bahter More

220/132

3 X350

ISBD-West to Bahter More 2xD/C

2021

Tandlianwala

220/132

3 X 350

Faisalabad -East(North) to Tandlianwala


D/C
T.T. Singh Tandlianwala D/C

2021

Narwala Rd

220/132

3 X 350

Faisalabad -East(North) to Narwala RD.


D/C
Faisalabad -West to Narwala Rd. D/C

2021

Layyah

220/132

3 X2 50

KAPCO-Layyah D/C

2021

Saryab

220/132

3 X 350

In Out Quetta-Mastung D/C

2021

Surab

220/132

3 X250

Mastung-Surab D/C

504760-01-A3

30

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Year

Grid Station

kV

MVA

220 kV Connections

2022

Pezo

220/132

3 X2 50

D. I. Khan Pezo D/C

2022

Regi Model Town

220/132

3 X2 50

Jamrud-Regi Model Town D/C

2022

Shahinabad

220/132

3 X 350

Gujranwala-Shahinabad D/C

2022

Jalalpur-Jattan

220/132

3 X 350

Gujrat-Jalalpur-Jattan D/C

2022

Raiwind Road

220/132

3 X 350

Lahore-South - Raiwaind Rd D/C

2022

Shahdra New

220/132

3 X 350

Lahore-N - Shahdra-N D/C

2022

Lulliani

220/132

4 X 350

Lahore-E - Lullyani 2xD/C


Sarfraz Nagar - Lulliani D/C

2022

Model Town

220/132

3 X 350

KLPAT-Model Town 2 S/C Cables

2022

Depalpur

220/132

3 X350

Okara-Depalpur D/C

2022

Sargodha

220/132

3 X250

Ludewala-New-Sargodha D/C

2022

Jaranwala

220/132

3 X250

Faisalabad -(East)North-Jaranwala D/C

2022

Fiedmic

220/132

3 X 250

Faisalabad -(East)North - Fiedmic D/C

2022

Multan City (GIS)

220/132

3 X 350

Qasimpur-Multan City (GIS) D/C

2023

Pesh-City (GIS)

220/132

3 X3 50

Pesh-2 Pesh-City-GIS 3 S/C Cables

2023

Mingora

220/132

3 X2 50

Chakdara-Mingora D/C

2023

Mominpura

220/132

3 X3 50

Lahore-N - Mominpura D/C

2024

Pajjagi Rd.

220/132

3 X2 50

In-Out Pesh-2 Ghalanai D/C at Pajjagi


Rd.

2024

D. I. Khan - 2

220/132

3 X2 50

D. I. Khan - D. I. Khan-2 D/C

2024

IslamabadSociety (Lohibir)

220/132

3 X 250

IBD-North -Islamabad--Society (Lohibir)


D/C
IBD-I-10 to Islamabad-Society (Lohibir)
D/C

2024

Kandiaro

220/132

3 X 350

Moro-Kandiaro D/C

2024

Meharr

220/132

3 X2 50

Dadu-Meharr D/C

2024

Jehlum

220/132

2 X 250

Gujrat-Jehlum D/C
Islamabad-North-Jehlum D/C

2024

Miranshah
Charsaddah

220/132
220/132

2 X 250
3 X 250

2025
2025

Karol

220/132

3 X 350

Bannu - Miranshah D/C


In-Out Mardan New-Munda
Charsaddah
Lahore-North To Karol D/C

D/C

at

Karol Moinpura D/C


2025

Saidpur

504760-01-A3

220/132

3 X 350

31

Lahore-South - Saidpur D/C

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Year
2025

Grid Station
Shershah

kV

MVA

220/132

3 X2 50

220 kV Connections
In-Out Muzaffergarh-N-Multan
In-Out Muzaffergarh-2-Multan

2025

Bahawalpur-North

220/132

3 X2 50

In-Out Muzaffergar-1-Bahawalpur-N D/C

2025

Khairpur

220/132

3 X 250

Rohri-New - Khairpur D/C

2025

Kohsar

220/132

3 X2 50

T.M. Khan Rd - Kohsar D/C

2025

Gujar Khan

220/132

3 X 350

In-Out Islamabad North-Jehlum at Gujar


Khan
2nd D/C ISBD-N-Gujar-Khan D/C

2025

DHA Lahore

220/132

2 X 350

Lahore-East To DHA D/C

2025

Panwan

220/132

2 X 350

Lahore-N To Panwan D/C

2025

Burewala

220/132

3 X 250

Vehari-Burewala D/C
Burewala-Arifwala D/C

2025

8.1.4

Bahawalnagar

220/132

2 X 250

Chishtian-Bahawalnagar D/C

New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and
N-1 Contingency Conditions: 2021-22 to 2025-26

In addition to the new lines added in the system for evacuation of power from new power
plants and for making connections with the new 500/220/kV and 220/132 kV grid stations,
additional new lines are required to keep the loading on the circuits within the permissible
limits under normal as well as N-1 contingency conditions. The details of such additional
lines to be added in this period are as below:
Year

Line

kV

Type

2022

Mardan-Faisalabad -West

500kV

D/C

2022

Ludewala-Faisalabad -West

500kV

D/C

2023

Sialkot-New to Sialkot (Sahuwala)

220 kV

2 x D/C

2024

Haveli-Multan

500 kV

D/C

2025

Matiari Moro

500kV

D/C

504760-01-A3

32

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

8.1.5

Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid

In addition to adding the new grid stations of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV discussed above,
the capacities of already existing grid stations were enhanced by Augmentations and
Extensions. The Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV for this period are as follows:
Year

Substation

Voltage

Size

Type

2022

Ludewala

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2022

Multan

500/220

3x1000 MVA

Augmentation

2022

Islamabad-West

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2023

Lahore-South

500/220

3x1000 MVA

Augmentation

2023

Gujranwala (Gakhar)

500/220

2x750 MVA

Augmentation

2022

D. G. Khan

500/220

2x750 MVA

Augmentation

2024

Lahore-North

500/220

1x1000 MVA

Extension

2025

Faisalabad -West

500/220

3x1000 MVA

Augmentation

2022

Sh. Mohammadi (Peshawar)

500/220

3x750 MVA

Augmentation

2022

Vehari

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2023

Gatti

500/220

4x750 MVA

Augmentation

2023

Lahore Old (Sheikhupura)

500/220

4x750 MVA

Augmentation

2024

Sahiwal

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2022

Shikarpur

500/220

2x750 MVA

Augmentation

2025

Shikarpur

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2022

Dadu

500/220

2x750 MVA

Augmentation

2025

Dadu

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2025

Gujranwala (Gakhar)

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2025

D.G. Khan

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

It can be seen that most of the existing old 500 kV grid stations such as Multan Gatti,
Lahore-Old, Peshawar (Sh. Mohammadi)) and Dadu, have been augmented with new higher
capacity of multiples of 750 MVA or 1000 MVA transformers.
The extensions and augmentation at 220/132 kV grid stations are based on the load
capacity analysis (Appendix-1.3). There are forty eight (48) grid stations of 220/132 kV
where either extension or augmentation has been carried out as listed in detail in Appendix
10.2.

504760-01-A3

33

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

8.2

Load Flow Results of the year 2025-26

The transmission scheme discussed above was evolved on the basis of load capacity
analysis and detailed load flow analysis carried out for high hydel (low thermal) and low
water (high thermal) conditions for normal (N-0) and contingency (N-1) conditions
respectively.
The study results with connectivity of all the new 500kV and 220 kV grid stations and new
transmission lines proposed for this period have been plotted and attached for HW and LW
seasons in Appendix-4.1 and 4.2 respectively:
Normal (N-0) cases:
Load flow results of normal cases i.e. with no circuits out of service, are attached as follows:
Exhibit-2025-HW-1.0

Results of Northern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2025-HW-2.0

Results of Southern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2025-HW-3.0

Results of Northern System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2025-HW-4.0

Results of Mid-Country System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2025-HW-5.0

Results of Southern System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.0

Results of Southern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2026-LW-2.0

Results of Northern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2026-LW-3.0

Results of Northern System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2026-LW-4.0

Results of Mid-Country System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2026-LW-5.0

Results of Southern System of 220 kV

Due to congestion in the drawings, the plotted results of 220 kV network are separated from
500 kV network and divided in 3 parts each for Northern system, Mid-Country system and
Southern system.
The results indicate the same pattern of power flows as in the previous spot years of study
i.e. heavier flows in Northern circuits of 500 kV and 220 kV during HW season and relatively
lighter flows on Southern grid; and vice versa during LW season. The voltages at 500 kV and
220 kV on the entire NTDC system from North to South are within the normal permissible
limits. The power flows on the lines of 500 kV and 220 kV and 500/220kV and 220/132 kV
transformers are also within their rated limits.

504760-01-A3

34

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Contingency (N-1) cases:


The automatic contingency analysis (ACCC) for 220 kV network has been carried out which
indicated some violations requiring reinforcement of the network as described above in
section 8.1.4 With the proposed reinforcements the violations of voltage and line loadings
were eliminated.
Because of the power flow pattern causing more loading on lines on a seasonal basis, the
one-line-out contingency cases of 500 kV system have been carried out for the Northern
system (HW season being the season for heavy loading) whereas for the Southern system
the outages have been performed on LW season respectively due to heavier loading during
LW season..
The plotted results are placed in Appendices 4.1 and 4.2 as follows:
Outages for HW season (Appendix 4.1):
Exhibit-2025-HW-1.1

Basha-1 to Gabral 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.2

Gabral to Asrit-K 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.3

Asrit-K to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.4

Basha-1 to K-Asrit 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.5

K-Asrit to Madyan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.6

Madyan to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.7

Basha-1 to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.8

Basha-1 to Kaigah 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.9

Kaigah to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.10

Pattan to Thakot 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.11

Thakot to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.12

Thakot to Mansehra 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.13

Dasu to Lower Spatgah 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.14

Lower Spatgah to Palas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.15

Dasu to Palas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.16

Palas to Mansehra 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.17

Dasu to Mansehra 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.18

Bunji to Chilas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.19

Chilas to Suk-Knri 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.20

Suk-Knri to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.21

Chilas to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

504760-01-A3

35

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.22

Dhudnial to N-Jehlum 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.23

N-Jehlum to Kohala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.24

Kohala to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.25

Mardan-New to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.26

FBD-W to Haveli 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.27

Mardan-New to Banu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.28

Chashma-Nuc to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.29

Ludewala to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.30

Mardan-New to Peshawar-2 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.31

Tarbela to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.32

Tarbela to G.Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.33

G.Brotha to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.34

Ludewala to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.35

G.Brotha to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.36

Mansehra to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.37

Mansehra to FBD-E 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.38

Faisalabad -E to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.39

Mansehra to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.40

Tarbela to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.41

Aliot-s/s to ISBD-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.42

ISBD-N to Rewat-N500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.43

ISBD-W to Rewat-N500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.44

Rewat-N to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.45

Mansehra to Qadirabad 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.46

Qadirabad to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.47

Mansehra to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.48

Gujranwala to Lahore-O 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.49

Lahore-O to Lahore-South 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.50

Bhikki to Lahore-O 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.51

Aliot-S/S to Azad Pattan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.52

Azad Pattan to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.53

Aliot-s/s to Karot 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.54

Karot to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.55

Gujranwala to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

504760-01-A3

36

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.56

Aliot-s/s to Sialkot 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.57

Sialkot to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.58

Aliot-s/s to Gujrat 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.59

Gujrat to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.60

Lahore-N to Lahore-E 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2025-HW-1.61

Tajikistan to Peshawar-2 500 kV HVDC Monopole Out

Outages for LW season (Appendix 4.1):


Exhibit-2026-LW-1.1

Tharcoal-2 to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.2

Tharcoal1 to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.3

Tharcoal1 to Karachi-E 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.4

Karachi-S to PAEC 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.5

NTDC Gharo to Karachi-E 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.6

IMP-Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.7

IMP-Coal to AES-Coal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.8

AES-Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.9

HUB to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.10

NKI to KDA 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.11

NKI to Karachi-E500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.12

NTDC-Jhimpir to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.13

Karachi-E to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.14

Matiari to Jamshoro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.15

Jamshoro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.16

NKI to Jamshoro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.17

Matiari to Moro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.18

Moro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.19

Dadu to SHKPR500 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.20

Guddu-NEW to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.21

Guddu to D. G. Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.22

Guddu-NEW to Guddu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.23

R. Y. Khan to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.24

Haveli to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.25

Haveli to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.26

Rousch to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

504760-01-A3

37

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.27

Multan to Vehari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.28

Sahiwal to Vehari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.29

Lahore-South to Okara 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.30

Tharcosl-2 to Lahore-South 600 HVDC Mono Pole out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.31

Tharcoal-1 to Lahore-South 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

Exhibit-2026-LW-1.32

Tharcoal-2 to FBD-W 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

The normal and N-1 contingency load flow results of 500 kV indicate that the proposed
transmission expansion scheme of 500 kV during 2021-22 and 2025-26, fulfills the criteria of
the Grid Code. The power flows on the intact circuits of 500 kV and 500/220 kV transformers
for each outage are within the limits. The voltage profile on all 500 kV bus bars is also within
the permissible criteria.
The above analysis establishes the fact that the proposed expansion scheme of 500 kV and
220 kV network till 2025-26 is adequate fulfilling the criteria of the Grid Code under normal
and N-1 contingency conditions.
9
9.1
9.1.1

TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2026-27 TO 2029-30


Expansion Scheme
Power Dispersal Projects: 2026-27 to 2029-30

The major generation additions during the period from 2026-27 to 2029-30, include major
blocks of coal-fired power plants at Thar coal fields, nuclear plants and a few hydel and
thermal power plants across the Indus river and mid country respectively. The major plants
are as follows:

504760-01-A3

38

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Type

Installed Capacity,
MW

Commissioning
Year

Tungas

Hydro

2000

2026-27

Yulbo

Hydro

2400

2026-27

CC

1414

2026-27

Coal

6000

2027-28

Nuclear

1000

2027-28

Coal

4800

2028-29

Nuclear

1000

2028-29

Coal

6000

2029-30

CC

1414

2029-30

Wind

1600

2026-30

Power Plants

D. I. Khan
Thar
PAEC (Karachi)
Thar
Chashma
Thar
Balloki
Wind Power(Total)

Some old power plants have been considered retired between the period 2016 and 2030 as
proposed in the Generation Expansion Plan as follows:
Year

Retiring Power Plant

#of Units

Unit
Capacity
MW

Total MW

2026

Kot Addu

244

2027

KESC-Anoud

12

Muzaffargarh

240

KESC-Bin Qasim

177

708

Kohinoor

12

72

2028

KESC-IIL

19

113

2029

KESC-SGTPS

87

KESC-KGTPS

87

Kot Addu

240

721

SEPCOL

19

115

The essential transmission additions for the evacuation of power from the major power
plants in NPSEP between 2026-27 and 2029-30 would be as follows:

For Tungus
o

Tungus-Yulbo 500 kV D/C

For Yulbo
o

504760-01-A3

Yulbo-Bunji 500 kV 3 circuits (One D/C and One S/C)

39

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

For D. I. Khan (CCPP)


o

To be connected at D. I. Khan 220 kV grid station already connected to


Bannu, D. I. Khan-2, Pezo, Bhakkar, C1/C2 and C2/C3

To be connected to already constructed Chashma-Nuclear PP at 500 kV

Chashma-Bannu 500 kV D/C

For Balloki
o

For Chashma (Nuclear)

In-Out Lahore-South to Okara (Sahiwal) 500 kV D/C

For Thar Coal:


o

Third and Fourth 600 kV HVDC each 2x2000 MW Bipoles from Thar to
Lahore-South with respective converter stations of same capacity for each
Bipole on both ends

Second and Third 600 kV HVDC each 2x2000 MW Bipoles from Thar to
Faiselabad-West with respective converter stations of same capacity for each
Bipole on both ends

600 kV HVDC 2x2000 MW Bipole from Thar to Multan with respective


converter stations of same capacity on both ends

Third and Fourth 500 kV D/C from Thar to Matiari

Third 500 kV D/C from Thar towards Karachi East (Upto NTDC-Gharo
which is already connected to Karachi-East via 500 kV D/C)

9.1.2

New 500/220 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV: 202627 to 2030

No new 500/220 kV grid station has been proposed to be constructed at the load centers
during this period. However many extensions and augmentations have been proposed to
enhance the capacity of already envisaged 500/220 kV grid stations. This served the needs
of extra transformation capacity required to cater for the projected loads during this period.
9.1.3

New 220/132 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV:
2026-27 to 2030

The requirements for new 200/132 kV grid stations for this period were established through
load capacity analysis (Appendix 1.3). These are explained with their proposed sizes and
connectivity schemes as follows:
504760-01-A3

40

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Year

Grid Station

kV

MVA

Connections

2027

Islamabad-H-11

220/132

3 X 350

Bahter-More To Islamabad H-11 D/C

2027

Jhang

220/132

3 X 250

Fsbd-W - Jhang D/C

2027

Sahiwal-2

220/132

3 X 350

Yousufwala-Sahiwal-2 D/C

2027

Khanozai

220/132

2 X 250

In-Out Quetta-Loralai D/C

2028

Thal

220/132

3 X2 50

Bannu-Thall D/C

2028

Sialkot-North

220/132

2 X 250

Sialkot 500/220 kV - Sialkot-North D/C

2028

Wazirabad

220/132

2 X 350

Gujrat-Wazirabad D/C

2028

Sunder

220/132

3 X 250

In-Out Lahore-South - Raiwaind Rd. D/C at Sunder


2nd Lahore-South - Sunder D/C

2028

Mianwali

220/132

2 X 350

In-Out C3/C4 - Jauhrabad At Mianwali

2028

Nawabshah

220/132

2 X 250

Moro-Nawabshah D/C

2029

Pasrur

220/132

3 X 350

Sialkot New - Pasrur D/C

2029

Fsbd-City (GTS)

220/132

2 X 350

Gatti - Faisalabad-City (GTS) D/C (cables)

2030

Swabi

220/132

3 X2 50

Mardan New - Swabi D/C

9.1.4

New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and
N-1 Contingency Conditions: 2026-27 to 2030

Some additional lines would be required other than those proposed earlier for evacuation of
power from new power plants and those required for the interconnection of new grid stations
with the system.
Year

9.1.5

Line

kV

Type

2026

Peshawar-Jamrud

220kV

D/C

2026

Peshawar-2 - Peshawar-City

220kV

S/C (cable)

2026

Faisalabad West -Samundri Rd.

220kV

D/C

2026

Gatti-Jaranwala Rd. (Reconductor)

220kV

D/C

2027

Sibbi-Mastung

220 kV

2D/C

2027

Basha Bunji

500 kV

D/C

Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid 2026-27 to


2030

The Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV to enhance the transformation capacity to


meet the additional demand in this period would be as follows:
504760-01-A3

41

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Year

Substation

Voltage

Size

Type

2026

Guddu

500/220

3x600 MVA

Augmentation

2026

Ludewala

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2026

Peshawar-2

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2027

Multan

500/220

1x1000 MVA

Extension

2027

Lahore-South

500/220

1x1000 MVA

Extension

2027

Gujranwala (Gakhar)

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2028

Lahore-North

500/220

1x1000 MVA

Extension

2028

Lahore-East

500/220

1x1000 MVA

Extension

2028

Faisalabad -West

500/220

1x1000 MVA

Extension

2028

Faisalabad -East (North)

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2029

Shikarpur

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

2028

Karachi-South

500/220

1x1000 MVA

Extension

2028

Karachi-East

500/220

1x1000 MVA

Extension

2030

R. Y. Khan

500/220

1x600 MVA

Extension

2030

Moro

500/220

1x750 MVA

Extension

Augmentations and Extensions at existing 220/132 kV grid stations are based on the load
capacity

analysis

(Appendix-1.3).

There

would

be

nineteen

(19)

such

extensions/augmentations required in this period as described in detail at the end of


Appendix-10.3
9.2

Load Flow Results of the year 2030

The proposed transmission schemes as discussed above are based on load capacity
analysis and detailed load flow simulations for high hydel (low thermal) and low water (high
thermal) have been performed for normal (N-0) and contingency (N-1) conditions for each
case. The year 2030 being the ultimate spot year of this study, these load flow simulation
cases contain the entire scope of proposed transmission expansion under the purview of this
study. The total transmission expansion plan is seen in these simulations.
The plotted results have been placed in Appendix 5.1 and 5.2 respectively.

504760-01-A3

42

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Normal (N-0) cases:


Load flow results of normal cases i.e. with no circuits out of service, are attached as follows:
Exhibit-2030-HW-1.0

Results of Northern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2030-HW-2.0

Results of Southern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2030-HW-3.0

Results of Northern System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2030-HW-4.0

Results of Mid-Country System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2030-HW-5.0

Results of Southern System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2030-LW-1.0

Results of Southern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2030-LW-2.0

Results of Northern System of 500 kV

Exhibit-2030-LW-3.0

Results of Northern System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2030-LW-4.0

Results of Mid-Country System of 220 kV

Exhibit-2030-LW-5.0

Results of Southern System of 220 kV

The results indicate that the pattern of power flow set during the earlier years of study
changes in this year because of major retirements of old generating units in mid country and
the South. Even in high water months the demand of the Southern grid up to R. Y. Khan and
D. G. Khan is met by transmitting more power from the South (coal based thermal power
plants at Thar and Karachi including the nuclear power plants and significant wind power at
Jhimpir and Gharo wind power clusters).
However the power flows on the lines remain within the rated limits. Also the voltage on bus
bars of 500 and 220 kV has been found within the permissible limits.
Contingency (N-1) cases:
The automatic contingency analysis (ACCC) for 220 kV network has been carried out and
wherever it indicated violations of rated limits of line loadings the network was reinforced as
described above in section 8.1.4. With the proposed reinforcements the violations of voltage
and line loadings were eliminated.
The one-line-out contingency cases of 500 kV system have been carried out for the Northern
system for HW season and for the Southern system the outages have been performed on
LW season. The plotted results are placed in Appendices 5.1 and 5.2 as follows:

504760-01-A3

43

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Outages for HW season (Appendix 5.1):


Exhibit -2030-HW-1.1

Basha-1 to Gabral 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.2

Gabral to Asrit-K 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.3

Asrit-K to Mardan-New 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.4

Basha-1 to K-Asrit 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.5

K-Asrit to Madyan 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.6

Madyan to Mardan-New 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.7

Basha-1 to Mardan-New 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.8

Basha-1 to Kaigah 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.9

Kaigah to Mardan-New 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.10

Pattan to Thakot 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.11

Thakot to Mardan-New 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.12

Thakot to Mansehra 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.13

Dasu to Lower Spatgah 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.14

Lower Spatgah to Palas 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.15

Dasu to Palas 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.16

Palas to Mansehra 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.17

Dasu to Mansehra 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.18

Bunji to Chilas 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.19

Chilas to Suk-Knri 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.20

Suk-Knri to Aliot-S/S 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.21

Chilas to Aliot-S/S 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.22

Dhudnial to N-Jehlum 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.23

N-Jehlum to Kohala 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.24

Kohala to Aliot-S/S 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.25

Bunji to Basha-1 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.26

Yulbu to Bunji 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.27

Tungus to Yulbu 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.28

Peshawar to Peshwar-2 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.29

Mardan-New to FBD-W 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.30

FBD-W to Haveli 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.31

Mardan-New to Banu 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.32

Chashma-Nuc- Ludewala 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.33

Ludewala to FBD-W 500kV Single Circuit Out

504760-01-A3

44

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.34

Mardan-New to Peshwar-2 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.35

Tarbela to Ludewala 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.36

Tarbela to G.Brotha 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.37

G.Brotha to Ludewala 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.38

Ludewala to Gatti 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.39

G.Brotha to FBD-W 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.40

Mansehra to FBD-W 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.41

Mansehra to FSBD -E500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.42

Mansehra to ISBD-W 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.43

Tarbela to ISBD-W 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.44

Aliot-S/S to ISBD-N 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.45

ISBD-N to Rewat-N 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.46

ISBD-W to Rewat-N 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.47

Rewat-N to Gujranwala 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.48

Mansehra to Qadirabad 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.49

Qadirabad to Gujranwala 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.50

Mansehra to Gujranwala Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.51

Gujranwala to Lahore-O500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.52

Bhikki to Lahore-O 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.53

Aliot-S/S to Azad Pattan 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.54

Azad Pattan -Gujranwala 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.55

Aliot-S/S to Karot 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.56

Karot to Gujranwala 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.57

Gujranwala to Lahore-N 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.58

Aliot-S/S to Sialkot 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.59

Sialkot to Lahore-N 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.60

Aliot-S/S to Gujrat 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.61

Gujrat to Lahore-N 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.62

Lahore-N to Lahore-E 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.63

Lahore-South to Lahore-E 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.64

Balloki to Lahore-South 500kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-HW-1.65

Tajikistan to Peshwar-2 500kV HVDC Monopole Out

504760-01-A3

45

Transmission Plan

National Power System Expansion Plan

Outages for LW season (Appendix 5.2)


Exhibit -2030-LW-1.1

Tharcoal-2 to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.2

Tharcoal-4 to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.3

Tharcoal-3 to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.4

Tharcoal1 to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.5

Matiari to Moro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.6

Tharcoal2 to KDA 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.7

PAEC-1 to Karachi-South 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.9

IMP-Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.9

ASE-Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.10

HUB to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.11

KDA to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.12

NKI to Karachi-East 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.13

Karachi-South to Karachi-East 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.14

NTDC-Gharo-Karachi-East 500 kV Single Circuit out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.15

NTDC-Jhimpir-Karachi-East 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.16

NTDC-Jhimpir to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.17

Jamshoro to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.18

Jamshoro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.19

Dadu to Moro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.20

Dadu to Shikarpur 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.21

Shikarpur to Guddu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.22

Moro to R. Y. Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.23

Guddu to Guddu-New500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.24

M.Garh to D. G. Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.25

M.Garh to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.26

Multan to Haveli 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.27

Haveli to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.28

Rousch to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.29

Multan to Vehari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.30

Sahiwal to Vehari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.31

Balloki to Okara 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.32

Lahore-South to Sahiwal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.33

Tharcoal-2 to Lahore-South 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

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Exhibit -2030-LW-1.34

Tharcoal-1 to Lahore-South 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.35

Tharcoal-3 to LahoreSouth 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.36

Tharcoal-2 to FBD-W 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.37

Tharcoal-1 to FBD-W 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.38

Tharcoal-4 to FBD-W 600 kV HVDC Monopole out

Exhibit -2030-LW-1.39

Tharcoal-4 to Multan 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

The normal and N-1 contingency load flow results of 500 kV indicate that the overall
transmission expansion scheme proposed up to the ultimate year of 2030 fulfills the system
demand remaining within the rated limits of loadings on lines and transformers, and within
permissible voltages on bus bars for normal as well as N-1 contingency conditions.
The above analysis establishes the fact that the overall transmission expansion plans of 500
kV and 220 kV network proposed till the ultimate year of 2030 are adequate fulfilling the
criteria of Grid Code under normal and N-1 contingency conditions.

The entire expansion plan of 500 kV and 220 kV upto the ultimate year 2030 is shown
in the map placed in Figure 9.1.

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Figure 9-1
504760-01-A3

500/220 kV System In the Ultimate Year 2030


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10

SHORT CIRCUIT ANALYSIS

10.1 Significance of Short Circuit Analysis


Short circuit analysis is carried out to calculate the fault currents for balanced and
unbalanced faults on the system; the most common of them are three-phase to ground faults
(balanced) and single-phase to ground faults (unbalanced), usually symmetrical because
most of the equipment is rated for symmetrical faults.
The objectives of the maximum fault current calculations are:
a)

Determine the rating of rupturing capacity of the breakers to be installed at the new grid
stations or switching stations to connect to new power plants to evacuate their power to
the grid or to feed the power at the load centers received from power plants through
transmission lines.

b)

Determine the ratings of the switchgear and other equipment of a new grid station or a
switching station such as disconnect-switches, bus bars, sectionalizers or couplers.
CTs. VTs etc.

c)

Check if the ratings of the existing breakers and other switchgear of an existing grid
station or switching station are not violated with the increase of fault current
contributions from new power plants, new lines or transformers going to be installed in
the system especially in its close vicinity

d)

Protection coordination of the relays at new or existing grid stations or switching stations
to operate the breakers to isolate the faulted equipment within the specified rated time
interval

e)

Fault levels in terms of MVA determine the short circuit strength of the system at a
specific node in the system.

f)

Determine the short circuit impedance of a specific node in the system. This is used in
the calculations of relay coordination and developing system equivalent sources for
modeling of a reduced network for electromagnetic transient analysis.

10.2 Methodology and Assumptions for Maximum Fault Current Calculations


Maximum fault current would occur if the maximum fault current contributions combine at a
fault location and that would happen if the maximum sources of fault currents are modeled in
the system. Since this study is focused on a wide range of the entire expansion of
generation and transmission including the hydropower plants in the north and coal based
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Thar coal filed projects, therefore maximum fault current contributions from all the power
plants from North to south have been included. Two spot years of 2020 and 2030 have been
modeled to take into account the fault contributions of all proposed power plants in the plan
period for determining the ultimate sizes of switchgear of the grid stations/switching stations
to be constructed for the evacuation of power from the power plants and the receiving end
grid stations located in the load centers.
The software PSS/E has been used for short circuit analysis which provides the
methodology of maximum fault current calculations as per IEC 909 and IEC 60909
standards. The maximum fault currents have been calculated with the following assumptions
under IEC909:
a)

Bus Voltages to be equal to 1.1 Per Unit (i.e. 10 % higher than nominal) to cover the
upper limit of operation and the upper design limit as per NTDC specifications

b)

Set tap ratios to unity

c)

Set line charging to zero

d)

Set shunts to zero in positive sequence

The initial runs of short circuit simulations indicated very high fault currents at large
hydropower plants such as Bunji, Basha, Yulbo, Tungus which are grouped together, and at
Thar coal field where current sources are quite closely grouped. For hydropower plants, due
to constraints of transmission corridors, they must be grouped as described. However for the
Thar coal power plants, because the major evacuation of power is via HVDC lines, the
different blocks of power plants can be kept isolated electrically to mitigate the fault levels
within the available standard breaker ratings of 63 kA. Similarly at bus bars of large grid
stations of 500/220 kV and 220.132 kV where many lines are terminating, the fault currents
were revealed to be very high.
As a standard measure of mitigating the fault levels, the following are assumed and
recommended:
a)

The reactance of 50/220 kV and 220/132 kV transformers = 20 to 25 %

b)

The bus bars of 500 kV and 220 kV which are normally breaker-and-half in the NTDC
system should be split into two groups at each grid station such that all the lines and
transformers should not be connected to one electrical node.

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10.3 Fault Current Calculations of the year 2020


The PSS/E files used for load flow simulations for the year 2020 were enriched with the
sequence data of the generators, lines and transformers to make the files ready for fault
current calculations. The maximum generation dispatches and network conditions of the
year 2020 have been simulated to calculate the maximum fault currents of 3-phase and
1-phase faults assumed at each bus (or split buses) of 500 kV and 220 kV. The simulations
were run using the IEC 909 standards. The fault levels thus calculated for all 500kV and
220kV bus bars have been tabulated in Appendix-6.
Just to establish the fact that the assumptions mentioned above have mitigated the fault
levels within the industry standard ratings of circuit breakers, the fault levels of the ten
highest grid stations of 500 kV bus bars are listed as follows:

Bus No.

Bus Name

Bus
Voltage

Short Circuit Levels


(kA)

(kV)

3-Phase

1-Phase

Aliot

500

39.7

33.7

20

Tarbela

500

44.1

46.3

21

ISBD-W

500

39.8

30.0

24

Gujranwala

500

38.6

29.0

25

G.Brotha

500

40.0

34.9

30

Lahore-O

500

38.2

29.6

40

Gatti

500

41.6

30.5

41

Faisalabad -W

500

44.1

35.1

42

Haveli

500

37.8

38.3

85

Tharcoal

500

39.6

46.2

Tarbela, Ghazi Brotha, Gatti and FaiselabadWest are exceeding 40 kA. Therefore it is
imperative to make sure that at these grid stations the switchgear must be replaced, if not
yet replaced, by switchgear of 50 kA or 63 kA short circuit rating before the year 2020.
NTDC keeps on augmenting the switchgear of their existing grid stations with higher ratings
and the top ten grid stations highlighted above should now be in their priority list to upgrade
the switchgear.
The top 10 bus bars in terms of fault levels of 220 kV are as follows:

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Bus
No.

Bus Name

Bus
Voltage

Short Circuit Levels


(kA)

(kV)

3-Phase

1-Phase

212

ISBD-W-1

220

39.9

33.0

215

IBD.P.Rd

220

42.2

32.8

245

Gujranwala

220

44.4

37.5

300

Lahore-1

220

44.0

38.5

303

Lahore-South

220

40.2

33.9

350

Yousafwala

220

39.2

35.7

444

Faisalabad -W

220

44.8

38.3

500

Multan-1

220

39.5

32.5

530

M.Garh-1

220

41.9

43.2

600

Guddu

220

41.6

45.4

From the top 10 fault levels of 220 kV bus bars, almost all of them are crossing 40 kA by the
year 2020. Therefore it is imperative to make sure that at these grid stations the switchgear
must be replaced, if not yet replaced, by the switchgear of 50 kA or 63 kA short circuit rating.
10.4 Fault Current Calculations of the year 2030
This is the ultimate year of the study period. The same PSS/E files used for load flow
simulations for the year 2030 were enriched with the sequence data of the generators, lines
and transformers to make the files ready for fault current calculations. The maximum
generation dispatches and network conditions of the year 2030 have been simulated to
calculate the maximum fault currents of 3-phase and 1-phase faults assumed at each bus
(or split buses) of 500 kV and 220 kV. The simulations were run using the IEC 909
standards. The fault levels thus calculated for all 500 kV and 220 kV bus bars have been
tabulated in Appendix-7.
The 500 kV bus bars found to have fault levels more than 50 kA, either 3-phase or 1-phase
or both, have been picked up from Appendix-7.1 as follows:

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Sr. No.

Bus
No.

Bus
Voltage

Bus Name

Short Circuit Levels


(kA)

(kV)

3-Phase

1-Phase

Bunji

500.0

51.7

49.6

64

Bunji-2

500.0

55.0

53.7

Chilas

500.0

56.2

46.7

Aliot-S/S-1

500.0

51.5

42.7

67

Aliot-S/S-2

500.0

51.6

41.6

Thakot

500.0

57.3

54.6

14

Yulbu

500.0

53.5

53.8

20

Tarbela

500.0

51.7

52.3

22

Rewat-N

500.0

54.5

39.1

10

37

Ludewala

500.0

50.7

31.9

11

39

Faisalabad -E

500.0

57.5

38.9

12

40

Gatti

500.0

60.0

40.9

13

41

Faisalabad -W-1

500.0

58.3

38.9

14

49

Faisalabad -W-2

500.0

52.9

34.4

15

42

Haveli

500.0

52.4

48.1

16

85

Tharcoal1

500.0

49.0

55.4

17

84

Tharcoal2

500

43.4

50.0

18

91

NKI-1

500.0

53.1

44.7

19

69

NKI-2

500.0

51.9

42.8

20

80

Jamshoro

500.0

51.5

36.8

21

95

Matiari

500.0

50.0

34.4

22

214

Kohala

500.0

51.2

47.1

23

93

Karachi-E-1

500.0

50.0

38.2

The fault levels on 23 bus bars are more than 50 kA but less than 63 kA which is the next
available industry standard size. It is suitable to adopt 63 kA for these substations. Therefore
it is imperative to make sure that the switchgear of the rating of 63 kA must be installed (for
new substations) or replaced (for old substations) before the year 2030.
The 220 kV bus bars found to have short circuit levels more than 40 kA, either 3-phase or
1-phase or both, have been picked up from Appendix-7.2 as follows:

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Sr. No.

Bus
No.

Bus
Voltage

Bus Name

Short Circuit Levels


(kA)

(kV)

3-Phase

1-Phase

100

Peshawar

220

44.8

35.9

151

Peshwr-2

220

47.4

36.8

154

Mardan-N-1

220

41.1

32.9

155

Mardan-N-2

220

41.1

32.8

200

Tarbela

220

53.1

51.9

202

Bahter More

220

41.1

27.8

207

ISND-N

220

43.3

35.3

212

ISBD-W

220

54.4

42.7

215

IBD.P.RD

220

55.4

40.9

10

218

ISBD-W-2

220

54.0

41.4

11

230

Mangla

220

40.2

39.6

12

242

Gujrat

220

47.1

34.4

13

245

Gujranwala

220

52.6

37.5

14

250

K.S.K-1

220

59.3

45.6

15

251

K.S.K-2

220

42.3

32.4

16

252

Karol

220

42.7

29.6

17

260

Lahore-N-1

220

59.5

48.2

18

261

Lahore-N-2

220

41.5

34.6

19

295

Lahore-E

220

56.5

45.7

20

300

Lahore-1

220

49.4

43.1

21

303

Lahore-South

220

60.5

50.9

22

304

Lahore-2

220

43.5

37.8

23

310

Shalimar

220

40.3

28.3

24

312

Mominpura

220

44.4

31.6

25

320

Ravi

220

41.3

30.9

26

340

Okara220

220

43.8

37.6

27

360

Ludewala

220

55.5

44.9

28

405

Faisalabad -N

220

52.6

42.7

29

430

Narwala Rd.

220

40.2

28.3

30

443

FBD-W-2

220

40.7

32.4

31

444

FBD-W-1

220

42.3

34.7

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Sr. No.

Bus
No.

Bus
Voltage

Bus Name

Short Circuit Levels


(kA)

(kV)

3-Phase

1-Phase

32

500

Multan

220

46.7

44.6

33

501

Multan-2

220

48.6

41.9

34

520

Piranghaib

220

40.7

34.0

35

620

Shkpr220

220

40.9

35.0

36

840

T. M. Kh. Rd

220

42.1

33.3

37

9256

NTDC Gharo

220

45.3

39.0

38

9429

NTDC Jhimpir

220

51.1

42.8

39

900

KDA33-1

220

44.8

38.9

40

901

KDA33-2

220

43.8

37.1

41

9934

ICI

220

40.9

38.4

42

9966

BinQasim-1

220

41.2

38.6

43

9967

BinQasim-2

220

40.6

38.1

From the above list, 43 grid stations bus bars of 220 kV are crossing 40 kA by the year 2030.
Also it is revealed that at 12 grid stations, the fault levels at 220 kV are higher than 50 kA i.e.
Tarbela, ISBD-W, IBD.P.RD, ISBD-W-2, Gujranwala, K.S.K-1, Lahore-N-1, Lahore-E,
Lahore-South, Ludewala, Faisalabad -N,NTDC Jhimpir. It is recommended to go for

50 kA rating for those grid stations which exceed 40 kA but are much less than 50 kA
to leave enough margin

11

63 kA for those where the fault levels are reaching close to and/or exceeding 50 kA.
TRANSIENT STABILITY STUDIES

In the NPSEP, significant amounts of generation have been added with a varied nature of
generating technologies; hydel, nuclear, wind and thermal generation based on coal fired
steam and combined cycles etc. The generating unit sizes vary from medium to very large
sizes connecting to the system through medium to long HVAC transmission lines and HVDC
lines.
The performance of the proposed transmission schemes have been tested for steady state
conditions of the system under normal and contingency cases by extensive load flow studies
already discussed. However the robustness of the system has to be checked for transient /
dynamic behavior under disturbed conditions of the system.
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Transient stability studies have been performed for the years 2020 and 2030 as follows:

3-phase faults to be cleared in 5 cycles followed by the tripping of a heavily loaded


500 kV circuit emanating from that bus

All the loads were modeled as static loads with maximum stringent assumptions of
100 % constant current for active power and 100 % constant impedance for reactive
power.

Power System Stabilizers (PSS) were assumed with all the new proposed generating
units and at some existing power plants South of Multan.

Fault locations at 500 kV grid stations North of Gatti and Lahore for high water case
and South of Lahore/Gatti for low water case because of heavier power flows on the
lines in each respective season.

Run simulation nearly 9 seconds after fault clearing (total simulation time = 10
seconds)

The values monitored and recorded in the simulations are:


o

Rotor Angles of Generators,

Power flow swings on the healthy circuit or circuits impacted to carry


maximum power flow due to the trip of the faulted circuit.

Voltage

Frequency

All the results of the stability simulations are attached in Appendices 8 and 9 for year 2020
and 2030 respectively.
11.1 Stability Studies for the year 2020
The transient stability simulations have been carried out using the same load flow cases of
high water (HW) and low water (LW) for 2020 and 2021 respectively. The plotted results of
the simulations for 2020 are attached as Appendix-8. The details of the faults and the
outages and description of respective plots are as follows:
High Water-2020 Cases:
For each case representing a fault location, four subplots are provided in each page
Appendix-8, corresponding to:

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Rotor angle plots for selected generators

Line flows for a line in the vicinity of the fault that is heavily loaded following the
outage of the faulted circuit (usually a parallel circuit to the outaged circuit),

Bus voltages in the vicinity of the fault,

System frequency

The following table summarizes the results:


Fault Location

Figure
No.

Post-fault Outage

Performance

Basha 500kV

20H.1

Basha - Gabral 500kV

Stable

Gabral 500kV

20H.2

Gabral - Asrit-K 500kV

Stable

Asrit-K 500kV

20H.3

Asrit-K - Madyan 500kV

Stable

Asrit-K 500 kV

20H.4

Asrit-K - Mardan 500 kV

Stable

Bunji 500 kV

20H.5

Bunji - Chilas 500 kV

Stable

Chilas 500 kV

20H.6

Chilas - Aliot 500 kV

Stable

Suki Kinari 500 kV

20H.7

Suki Kinari - Aliot 500 kV

Stable

Neelum-Jehlum 500 kV

20H.8

Neelum Jehlum - Aliot 500 kV

Stable

Aliot 500 kV

20H.9

Aliot - ISBD-W 500 kV

Stable

Aliot 500 kV

20H.10

Aliot - Azad Pattan 500 kV

Stable

Aliot 500 kV

20H.11

Aliot - Gujrat 500 kV

Stable

Karot 500 kV

20H.12

Karot - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Azad Pattan 500 kV

20H.13

Azad Pattan - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Tarbela 500 kV

20H.14

Tarbela - G.Brotha 500 kV

Stable

Tarbela 500 kV

20H.15

Tarbela - ISBD-W 500 kV

Stable

Tarbela 500 kV

20H.16

Tarbela - Ludewala 500 kV

Stable

G-Brotha 500 kV

20H.17

G-Brotha - Ludewala 500 kV

Stable

G-Brotha 500 kV

20H.18

G-Brotha - FBD-W 500 kV

Stable

Chashma-Nuc 500 kV

20H.19

Chashma-Nuc - Ludewala 500 kV

Stable

Ludewala 500 kV

20H.20

Ludewala - Gatti 500 kV

Stable

Haveli 500 kV

20H.21

Haveli - M.Garh 500 kV

Stable

FBD-W 500 kV

20H.22

FBD-W - Multan 500 kV

Stable

ISBD-W 500 kV

20H.23

ISBD-W - Tarbela 500 kV

Stable

ISBD-W 500 kV

20H.24

ISBD-W - Rewat-N 500 kV

Stable

Gujranwala 500 kV

20H.25

Gujranwala - Lahore-O 500 kV

Stable

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Figure
No.

Fault Location

Post-fault Outage

Performance

Lahore-O 500 kV

20H.26

Lahore-O - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Lahore-N 500 kV

20H.27

Lahore-N - Aliot 500 kV

Stable

Lahore-South 500 kV

20H.28

Lahore-South - Lahore-N 500 kV

Stable

Lahore-South 500 kV

20H.29

Lahore-South - Sahiwal 500 kV

Stable

Low Water-2021 Cases:


The following table summarizes the results:
Fault Location

Figure No.

Post-fault Outage

Performance

FBD-W 500 kV

20T.1

FBD-W - Gatti 500 kV

Stable

Lahore-South 500 kV

20T.2

Lahore-South- Lahore-N 500 kV

Stable

Tharcoal 500 kV

20T.3

Tharcoal - Matiari 500 kV

Stable

Tharcoal 500 kV

20T.4

Tharcoal - KDA 500 kV

Stable

Imp-Coal 500 kV

20T.5

Imp-Coal - NKI 500 kV

Stable

AES-Coal 500 kV

20T.6

AES-Coal - NKI 500 kV

Stable

KDA 500 kV

20T.7

KDA - NKI 500 kV

Stable

HUB 500 kV

20T.8

HUB - NKI 500 kV

Stable

Matiari 500 kV

20T.9

Matiari - Jamshoro 500 kV

Stable

Jamshoro 500 kV

20T.10

Jamshoro - Dadu 500 kV

Stable

Guddu 500 kV

20T.11

Guddu - D.G. Khan 500 kV

Stable

Multan 500 kV

20T.12

Multan - Vehari 500 kV

Stable

As seen above, for the 2020-21 scenarios, 41 stability cases were analyzed and instability
issues were not observed.
11.2 Stability Studies for the year 2030
This is the ultimate year of the study period and has been analyzed in detail to test the
robustness of the proposed transmission expansion plan for the disturbed transient /
dynamic conditions of the system. The plotted results of the simulations for 2030 are
attached as Appendix-9. The details of the faults and the outages and description of
respective plots are shown in a similar fashion to those for the year 2020 as follows:

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High Water-2030 Cases:


Fault Location

Figure No.

Post-fault Outage

Performance

Basha 500 kV

30H.1

Basha - Gabral 500 kV

Stable

Asrit-K 500 kV

30H.2

Asrit-K - Mardan 500 kV

Stable

Basha 500 kV

30H.3

Basha - Kaigah 500 kV

Stable

Kaigah 500 kV

30H.4

Kaigah - Mardan 500 kV

Stable

Madyan 500 kV

30H.5

Madyan - Mardan 500 kV

Stable

Pattan 500 kV

30H.6

Pattan to Thakot 500 kV

Stable

Thakot 500 kV

30H.7

Thakot - Mansehra 500 kV

Stable

Dasu 500 kV

30H.8

Dasu - Mansehra 500 kV

Stable

Palas 500 kV

30H.9

Palas - Mansehra 500 kV

Stable

Tungus 500 kV

30H.10

Tungus - Yulbu 500 kV

Stable

Yulbu 500 kV

30H.11

Yulbu - Bunji 500 kV

Stable

Bunji 500 kV

30H.12

Bunji - Chilas 500 kV

Stable

Chilas 500 kV

30H.13

Chilas - Aliot 500 kV

Stable

Suki-Kinari 500 kV

30H.14

Suki-Kinari - Aliot-S/S 500 kV

Stable

Dhudnial 500 kV

30H.15

Dhudnial - Neelum-Jehlum 500 kV

Stable

N-Jehlum 500 kV

30H.16

N-Jehlum - Kohala 500 kV

Stable

Kohala 500 kV

30H.17

Kohala - ALIOT-S/S 500 kV

Stable

Faisalabad-W 500 kV

30H.18

Faisalabad -W - Mardan 500 kV

Stable

Mardan 500 kV

30H.19

Mardan - Banu 500 kV

Stable

Chashma 500 kV

30H.20

Chashma-NUC - Ludewala 500 kV

Stable

Peshawar 500 kV

30H.21

Peshawar - Mardan 500 kV

Stable

Tarbela 500 kV

30H.22

Tarbela - G.Brotha 500 kV

Stable

G.Brotha 500 kV

30H.23

G.Brotha - Ludewala 500 kV

Stable

Mansehra 500 kV

30H.24

Mansehra - FBD-W 500 kV

Stable

FBD-E 500 kV

30H.25

FBD-E - Mansehra 500 kV

Stable

Gatti 500 kV

30H.26

Gatti - Ludewala 500 kV

Stable

ISBD-W 500 kV

30H.27

ISBD-W - Mansehra 500 kV

Stable

ISBD-W 500 kV

30H.28

ISBD-W - Rewat-N 500 kV

Stable

Rewat-N 500 kV

30H.29

Rewat-N - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Mansehra 500 kV

30H.30

Mansehra - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Qadirabad 500 kV

30H.31

Qadirabad - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

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Fault Location

Figure No.

Post-fault Outage

Performance

Aliot-S/S 500 kV

30H.32

Aliot-S/S - Azad Patan 500 kV

Stable

Azad Patan 500 kV

30H.33

Azad Patan - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Karot 500 kV

30H.34

Azad Karot - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Aliot-S/S 500 kV

30H.35

Trip Aliot-S/S - Sialkot 500 kV

Stable

Lahore-N 500 kV

30H.36

Lahore-N - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Gujranwala 500 kV

30H.37

Gujranwala - Lahore-O 500 kV

Stable

Lahore-O 500 kV

30H.38

Lahore-O - Gujranwala 500 kV

Stable

Lahore-E 500 kV

30H.39

Lahore-E - Lahore-South 500 kV

Stable

Balloki 500 kV

30H.40

Balloki to Lahore-South 500 kV

Stable

Low Water-2030 Cases:


Fault Location

Figure
No.

Post-fault Outage

Performance

Haveli 500 kV

30T.1

Haveli - M.Garh 500 kV

Stable

Multan 500 kV

30T.2

Multan - Haveli 500 kV

Stable

Lahore-South 500 kV

30T.3

Lahore-South to Sahiwal 500 kV

Stable

Multan 500 kV

30T.4

Multan - Haveli 500 kV

Stable

Balloki 500 kV

30T.5

Balloki - Okara 500 kV

Stable

Dadu 500 kV

30T.6

Dadu - Shikarpur 500 kV

Stable

Matiari 500 kV

30T.7

Matiari - Moro 500 kV

Stable

NTDC-Gharo 500 kV

30T.8

NTDC-Gharo - Karachi-E 500 kV

Stable

PAEC 500 kV

30T.9

PAEC - Karachi-S 500 kV

Stable

Karachi-S 500 kV

30T.10

Karachi-S - Karachi-E 500 kV

Stable

NTDC-Jhimpir 500 kV

30T.11

NTDC-Jhimpir - Matiari 500 kV

Stable

Jamshoro 500 kV

30T.12

Jamshoro - Dadu 500 kV

Stable

IMP-Coal 500 kV

30T.13

IMP-Coal - NKI 500 kV

Stable

AES-Coal 500 kV

30T.14

AES-Coal - NKI 500 kV

Stable

HUB 500 kV

30T.15

HUB - NKI 500 kV

Stable

Tharcoal 500 kV

30T.16

Tharcoal - Matiari 500 kV

Stable

Tharcoal 500 kV

30T.17

Trip Tharcoal - KDA 500 kV

Stable

Tharcoal 500 kV

30T.18

Tharcoal to Matiari 500 kV

Stable

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11.3 General Conclusions of Stability Studies


Following are the general findings and recommendations to improve stability of the system;

There are no problems of angular stability in the system. All the transients damp
down within 2-3 seconds after the clearance of faults in almost all the simulations.
There is good damping torque in the system.

Power System Stabilizers (PSS) should be installed with all the generating units in
the system

Detailed studies to work out the dynamic reactive power compensation with loads
modeled as dynamic loads should be performed as a separate exercise. This would
optimize the size and locations of any SVC, FACTS devices if required in the system
due to voltage collapse.

12

COST ESTIMATE OF TRANSMISSION EXPANSION

12.1 Total requirement (BOQs) between 2017 and 2030


The following Table shows the total additional reinforcements required for NTDC network till
the year 2030 over and above the ongoing, committed and planned till 2016-17:
Between
2017-2020

Between
2021-2030

220 kV D/C lines (kM)

270

2,623

500 kV D/C Lines (kM)

5394

6700

220/132 kV transformers/substations (MVA)

19,850

79,600

500/220 kV transformers/substations (MVA)

25,800

68,150

2x(1x1000)

654

2x (2x4,000)

6x(2x4,000)

2000

5770

Items

500 kV HVDC Bipole Converters (MW)


500kV HVDC Bipole Transmission line (kM)
600 kV HVDC Bipole Converters (MW)
600kV HVDC Bipole Transmission line (kM)

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12.2 Total Cost


The following Table indicates the total investments required till 2030.
Item*

Million PKR

Million USD**

428,000

5,350

Projects proposed from 2017 to 2020

569,440

7,118

Projects proposed from 2021 to 2030

1,163,360

14,542

Total

2,160,800

27,010

Projects already committed/Planned


completed by 2016-17 but not yet funded

to

be

*Cost for lines crossing international boundaries only include Pakistan component
** USD 1.0 = PKR 80.0

13

CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS

Transmission Expansion Plan for NTDC system of 500 kV and 220 kV has been
evolved through extensive load capacity analysis and load flow analysis in three
stages and the consolidated schedule of expansion is attached in Appendix-10 as
follows:

Appendix-10.1: Year by year expansion from 2016-17 to 2020-21

Appendix-10.2: Year by year expansion from 2021-22 to 2025-26

Appendix-10.3: Year by year expansion from 2026-27 to 2029-30

The expansion plan has progressively assumed to adopt higher ratings of equipment
as follows:
o

500/220 kV transformers to be 750 MVA in general and 1000 MVA for grid
stations in big load centres such as Lahore, Karachi and Faisalabad.

220/132 kV transformers to be 250 MVA in general and 350 MVA for grid
stations in big load centres such as Lahore, Karachi, Islamabad, Peshawar,
Faiselabad and Multan.

500 kV lines to be double circuit quad bundled using Martin conductor


(ACSR) in North and mid country; and Araucaria (AAAC) in South.

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The space in the existing 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV grid stations should be
utilized for conversion, augmentation and/or extension to enhance their
capacity to have at least four transformers each of 500/220 kV and
220/132kV depending on the availability of space

Reconductoring or replacement of all existing 220 kV lines of single conductor


to twin-bundled Rail or Greeley conductors

220/132 kV grid stations have been proposed in thickly populated areas of


big load centres through:

GIS grid stations of 220/132 kV

Underground cables (XLPE) of 220 kV to interconnect these grid


stations with the main NTDC grid.

Short circuit analysis has been carried out for the spot years of 2020 and 2030 and
uprating of switchgear has been proposed at existing and future grid stations as
follows:

500 kV: short circuit ratings to be 63 kA or 50 kA

220 kV: short circuit rating to be 63 kA or 50 kA

132 kV: short circuit rating to be 50 kA or 40 kA

Transient stability study has been performed for the spot years of 2020 and 2030 by
applying the most severe 3-phase permanent fault and final trip of the faulted circuit.
It is recommended to have;
o

Power System Stabilizers (PSS) to be installed at all the existing and future
new power plants

Dynamic System Monitors (DSM) to be installed at all the 500/220 kV grid


stations for real time recording of voltage, currents, frequency etc. to be used
for post-mortem analysis and for tuning of dynamic data of generators and
dynamic loads in the system

The upcoming problem in the NTDC longitudinal problem having sources of


generation in the far North or far South and load concentrated in mid-country, would
be the deficiency of reactive power (VAR) supply for the load centres. To overcome
this problem the following assumptions were made:

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Switched shunt capacitor banks at all levels 11 kV, 132 kV and 220 kV if
necessary. However the bottom line should be to provide reactive power
compensation as close to the load as possible.

Dynamic reactive power compensation devices such as SVCs, SVS and other
FACTS controllers. The present plan has quantified the requirement and
locations in terms of switched shunt capacitor banks, which can be
categorized in terms of SVC, SVS and/or FACTS through a detailed voltage
stability study

Detailed voltage stability study is required to be carried out for the entire NTDC
system using carefully selected composite load model comprising mix of dynamic
and static loads, to optimally quantify and locate the dynamic reactive power
compensation to overcome slow recovery of voltage after fault clearance, a
phenomena common in the system where air-conditioning load is significantly
increasing which is now commonplace in Pakistan.

It is recommended that complimentary studies considering HVDC faults are


undertaken with both single pole and bipole outages. These studies are intended to
assess the system stability and indicate, if necessary, the requirement to provide
overload capacity on the HVDC lines and converters.

Capacity building of NTDC Planning engineers for the upcoming challenges and new
devices proposed in the expansion plan, especially SVC, FACTS and HVDC

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SNC-LAVALIN
1801 McGill College Avenue
Montreal, Qubec
Canada H3A 2N4
Tel.: (514) 393-1000
Fax: (514) 334-1446

www.snclavalin.com

Issued September 15, 2011

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