Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
PROGRAM:
REG#
BBA 6-B
22733
DATE:
JAN182015
SUBMITTED TO:
SIR AHSAN
RIZVI
VARIABLES INTRODUCTION
The data is collected from information about agriculture
sector. The
purpose of this data collection is to study the relationship:
That whether improved seed distribution and
water availability effects production of rice and if it
exists then what is the strength of relation
The data is taken from 1993-2013. The relationship is
determined with the help of SPSS-20 software, t table and
f table. The data is analyzed by using tool of multiple
regression model.
The data contains one dependent variable and two
independent variables.
Hence,
Y = PRODUCTION OF RICE
X1 = WATER AVAILABILITY
X2 = IMPROVED SEED DISTRIBUTION
DATA:
YEARS
1993-94
1994-95
1995-96
1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
Y-
X1- WATER
X2-
PRODUCTIO
N OF RICE
(000)TONES
AVAILABILIT IMPROVED
SEED
Y
DISTRIBUTIO
(MAF)
N
(000)TONES
3995
128.01
63.27
3447
129.65
76.87
3967
130.85
145.10
4305
132.05
137.67
4333
122.15
130.50
4674
133.78
167.38
5156
133.28
146.76
4803
134.77
193.80
3882
134.63
191.57
4479
134.48
172.07
4848
134.78
178.77
5025
135.68
218.12
5547
137.38
226.07
5438
137.80
218.60
5563
138.00
264.67
6952
131.50
314.63
6883
133.70
312.63
4823
137.16
331.02
6160
135.86
346.38
5576
137.51
351.38
STEP 01:QUANTIFICATION OF
RELATIONSHIP
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized
Coefficients
B
(Constant)
Std. Error
2882.716
6247.855
2.467
48.974
8.344
2.210
Standa
rdized
Coeffic
ients
Beta
Sig.
.461
.650
.010
.050
.960
.760
3.776
.002
WATER_AVAILAB
ILITY
1
IMPROVED_SE
EDS_DISTRIBU
TION
EQUATION : Y^ = bo +b1x1+b2x2
Y^ = 2882.716+ 2.467x1 +8.344x2
If water availability increase by 1 unit then rice
production increase by 2.467 units and if improved seeds
distribution increase by 1 unit then rice production
increase by 8.344 units.
T1:
H0: b1= 0
HA: b1 0
t ,n-k=t0.05 ,20-3 = 2.110
From data given above we calculated t1 static = .050
INTERPRETATION:
Since, the value of the calculated t-statistics is less than
the critical t-value of 2.110 ,we conclude that both
parameters are not statistically equal to zero at the 5
percent level of significance. So, therefore no relationship
exist between both of them, means rice production does
not depend on water availability.
RESULT:
Accept H0.
T2:
H0: b2= 0
HA: b2 0
t ,n-k=t0.05 ,20-3 = 2.110
From data given above we calculated t2 static= 3.776
INTERPRETATION:
Since the value of calculated t2 static exceeds the critical
t value of 2.110 we conclude that b2 is different from zero
at the 5% level of significance. Hence relation exists
which means the production of rice depends upon
improved seeds distribution.
RESULT:
Reject H0.
.767a
R
Square
.588
.539
DurbinWatson
694.403
2.029
INTERPRETATION
58.5% variation in production of rice is due to improved
seeds distribution. i.e. the R square .And adjusted R
square is 53.9% which means that value is reliable.
Sum of
df
Mean Square
Sig.
Squares
Regression
1
Residual
Total
11685395.655
5842697.828
8197315.545
17
482195.032
19882711.200
19
12.117
.001b
Ho: b1=b2=0
Ha: b1=b20
F static = 12.117
From f-distribution table, we find that value is 3.59.
INTERPRETATION:
Since the value of calculated f static 12.117exceeds the
critical F value of f distribution with 2 and 17 df. We
conclude that all co-efficient are different from zero at the
5% level of significance.
RESULT:
Reject Ho.
IDENTIFICATION OF PROBLEM
TYPE OF DATA
Our type of data is time series because it is collected over a specific period of time
without any research i-e secondary source
TYPE OF PROBLEM
Type of problem I have identified is multi co linearity because multi co linearity is
a strong relationship between explanatory variables and in my research b1=0
hence proving that it is statistically insignificant
SUGGESTED SOLUTION
Suggested solution for the problem is as follows we can minimize problem by
applying these it can be reduce by increasing the sample size or dropping the
highly correlated variable.
SOURCE
HTTP://FINANCE.GOV.PK/
PAKISTAN ECONOMIC SURVEY,STATISTICAL
SUPPLEMENT 2012-2013
CHAPTER 02: AGRICULTURE SECTOR
TABLE 2.1(A) 2.4