Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
India
Dr. Lakshman Singh,
Department of economics,veer kunwar Singh
university,Bihar,India
Lakshleela2000@yahoo.com
Dr. Leela Sinha , Department of English ,Magadh universityBihar,India
nidhi2437@gmail.com
Abstract
This paper assesses changes in the level and structure of employment and wages in India,
relating them to trends in productivity. The discussion is set in the context of the on-going
economic reforms in India and it therefore focuses on developments through the 1980s and
1990s relative to the previous period.
Broad conclusions are as follows. In the economy as a whole, the worker-population ratio
declined in the 1990s for men and women in rural and urban areas in most age groups in the
range 5-59. Amongst the young, school participation has increased as child and youth labour
have declined. The composition of the workforce has exhibited considerable stability overall
though the share of casual workers in the total has been increasing gradually since the early
1970s, generating the concern that the quality of employment in India is not improving. However,
there was an across- the-board improvement in the growth rate of labour productivity and wages
in the1980s and 1990s, and it is estimated that average per capita earnings per annum
increased in that period. This is fairly remarkable, given that work participation had fallen and
food prices were rising. Consistent with this, poverty incidence declined. So the poor were not
entirely excluded from the changes in progress. By the most comprehensive measure available,
the unemployment rate increased from 6 per cent to 7.3 per cent in the 1990s. In the absence of
any analysis of the dynamics of unemployment, it is difficult to discern whether the increase
denotes the frictional (and transitional) unemployment that one would expect in an adjusting
economy or whether it reflects a lengthening of individual unemployment spells.
As pre-reform regulations and restrictions were concentrated upon the registered manufacturing
sector, this is the seat of reform and the place in which to expect direct effects to show. Although
still small, it is a relatively productive and growing sector which shares backward and forward
linkages with the other sectors in the economy and this makes events in this sector more
pertinent than its size alone would suggest. It also produces most of the good jobs in the
economy and thinkers and planners have for decades looked to it to absorb surplus labour
from agriculture
The economics of manufacturing does seem to have undergone a fundamental change since
the early 1980s. There has been a distinct increase in competition and some perceptible
changes in structure. Up until the late 1970s, Indian manufacturing was characterized by modest
growth in value added, excess capacity in capital and surplus labour and, as a result, a high
degree of inefficiency. The growth of value added has risen and a higher rate of growth has
been sustained in the last two decades than was seen before 1980. In the first decade of
(tentative) reform, total factor productivity displayed a fairly remarkable increase, underlying
which were increases in both the utilization and the productivity of both labour and capital. This
means that output growth was achieved without a very large increase in factor inputs. Indeed,
employment growth collapsed during the 1980s, which seemed to have been a time of dehoarding of labour and upgrading of capital stocks. This adjustment done, employment growth
was restored in the 1980s and the rate of productivity increase slowed down a bit but remained
significantly positive. Real earnings per worker in registered manufacturing exhibited a time
pattern similar to that displayed by labour productivity, increasing rapidly in the 1980s and more
slowly but positively in the 1990s. This suggests that workers were able to share in economic
progress in this sector, despite indications that their bargaining power had declined. Indeed, we
identify robust evidence of insider wage-setting in Indian manufacturing. This is expected to curb
employment growth in the short run but, conditional on product market competition, not in the
long run. In a labour-surplus economy like that of India this is important evidence in relation to
the contentious issue of the spread of the benefits of growth. It is especially relevant to the
question of the ways in which reforms that increase product market competition may impact on
the labour market. We also find evidence of efficiency wage setting and this will tend to modify
the long-run impact of wage increases on employment.
Quality of employment
Unorganised labour issues included unprotected jobs,low
wages,irregular days of work,unsafe conditiion and poor living
Poverty declined by 12% among casual labourers ,regular waged
and self employed from 1983-1993 to 1999-2004
Reasons were:
GDP growth with variations across country
Growth was more due to rapid growth in total factor productivity a
combination of changes in efficiency with which inputs are used and
changes in technology
1973-80
1980-90
1990-97
Public sector
5.97
1.27
0.39
3.50
0.30
3.72
Aggregate ASI
4.11
0.57
2.83
NOTES: figures are growth rate in % per annum.Data for manufacturing alone are
not available so these figures include electriciti,gas etc.Joint sector refers to publicprivate partnership.
*ASI is the annual survey of industries published by central statistics office in New
Delhi
Agriculture
198 200
0
0
Industry
Services
198 200 200
0
0 7
India
Brazil *
China
Indonesia
Korea
34.0 10.9
Malaysia
Mexico
Thailand
Turkey
Low income
74.6 64.5
n.a
8.7 12.3
n.a
Lower middle
income
64.0 43.2
n.a
Unemployment in India :
Unemployment rate in india decreased to 3.80% in 2011 from 9.40% in 2010.It averaged
7.57%from 1983 until 2011 ,reaching an all time high of 9.40% in 2009 and a record low of
3.80% in 2011 .
8.35
1977-78
8.18
1983
9.22
1993-94
6.06
19992000
7.31
2004-05
2009-10
8.28
6.53
Migration does appear to occur in the direction of expected wages and barriers do
not seem to be binding.
Regions with high wages and good amenities attract high unemployment .
The unemployment elasticity of wages is estimated to lie between -0.24 and -0.28.
The size of the unemployment elasticity depends upon the extent to which the
prospect of job loss tempers wage demands.
If Indias exceptionally strict job security provisions were effective then we should
expect to see a small elasticity.
The appearance of such a large elasticity suggests that the scope and effectivenessof
the job security is limited.
Condition in the rural labour market have a significant effect on the conditions of
urban workers.
Daily average wage rate of casual labourers increased in period from 1993-94 to
1999-2000 at a rate of about 3.5% p.a
With fall in work participation rate ,earning increased at a rate of 2.5% p.a
Rate of growth higher for females than for males in rural and urban areas..
Overall wages and earnings increased ,reason being higher growth rate of labour
productivity in organised manufacturing as well as in broader economywhich
contributed to poverty decline in
the year between 1993-94 and 1999-2000.
Wage structure:
There is a wide income disparity across states in India with Bihar at the lowest and
Goa at the top position.
Sectors
Regular
Agriculture
Mining &
quarrying
Manufacturing
( 15-22)
Manufacturing
( 23-37)
Public utilities
Construction
Trade,hotels &
Restaurents
Transport etc
Services ( 65-74)
Services ( 75-93)
1993-94 to 19992000
1999-2000 to
2004-05
1993-94 to 200405
8.91
9.27
1.56
4.75
7.22
2.86
6.03
-10.20
2.02
-2.11
-2.32
1.76
0.89
-3.57
-0.24
5.91
-0.13
1.48
4.70
1.96
1.55
4.96
4.79
7.71
0.99
1.38
-0.61
3.14
3.23
3.84
Casual
Agriculture
Mining &
quarrying
Manufacturing
( 15-22)
Manufacturing
( 23-37)
Public utilities
Construction
Trade,Hotels &
Restaurents
Transport
Services(65-74)
Services ( 75-93)
3.20
8.67
4.70
5.58
2.71
2.41
3.20
-2.54
-4.98
-4.23
-3.03
-2.44
-0.17
-2.76
0.55
2.24
0.54
1.57
0.34
1.23
0.45
2.34
5.74
0.40
0.59
1.34
1.95
1.54
3.72
1.10
Annual growth rate( % ) of sectoral wages of regular and casual workers in urban
india
Above table shows that while wage rates are not only relatively
higher in government owned sectors, growth of wage rate among
regular workers in urban india also appear to be comparatively
higher in sectors of government dominance than in sectors that are
largely private and informal.
In the post reform period spanning 1993-94 to 2004-05,highest
growth in wage rates were recorded in Mining & Quarrying ,followed
by public utilities & services ,largely dominated by government
sectors.
Manufacturing wages declined sharply to negative figures.
Wage growth in Trade,hotels & Restaurents registered little more
than 1.5% growth.
For urban casual workers ,Mining & quarrying and services are the
only two sectors that show 2-3% annual growth rate in daily wages .
Except Transport and services ,all other sectors witnessed negative
growth of daily wages during 1994-2004.
Due to wide range of incomes among self-employed ,tha casual wage is ,on average
,only a third of the regular wage,so there is fierce competition for regular jobs.
The protected product markets have yielded substantial rents which organised workers
in large firms have successfully contended for a share of .
With the introduction of job security legislation for large firms in 1976 ,the disciplining
effect of the threat of job loss were probably mitigated ,encouraging workers to raise
wage demands.
Alternatively ,firms may have had to use the wage as an incentive instrument to get
job-secure workers to exert effort.
Conclusion:
Experience of economic Liberalisation in India have been better than in many other
countries.
Early reforms were initiated in the 1980s and which have been consolidated and
pushed further since 1991.
Both growth and productivity have accelerated in the economy as a whole and also in
organised manufacturing .
Capital stocks have been upgraded and investment in manufacturing have increased.
The share of the public sector in organised manufacturing employment has been
shrinking at a fairly remarkable rate.
The worker poulation ratio fell in the mid-90s after having increased for two decades.
The shift in work force composition from self-employment to casual wage employment
that has been in progress since 1970s continued through 1990s.
Average daily income per person per annum in the economy increased at a significant
pace in the rural and urban areas and for men and women,poverty incidence declined.