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MOBILENOMICS ROUNDUP
Whether or not the year of mobile has come and gone, the world of marketing
is getting more mobile all the time. By 2019, nearly three-quarters of US digital
ad spending will be mobile, with programmatic ads, native ads, video and
more migrating to smaller screens. eMarketer is watching the trends, and
has curated this Roundup of articles, data and key insights about mobile
advertising to help digital marketers understand and plan for effective efforts
on this channel.
MOBILENOMICS ROUNDUP
Overview
Advertisers around the world will spend nearly
$69 billion on mobile internet ads this year,
eMarketer estimates. They have good reason:
Globally, 2.3 billion people will use the internet
on their mobile phones this year. Thats helping
to spur a 61.1% increase in worldwide mobile
internet ad spending this year, and double-digit
gains are nowhere near over. By 2019, the mobile
ad market will reach $195.55 billion, or 26.8% of
all paid media spending.
In the US specifically, more than 60% of the population will
be mobile phone internet users this year, and penetration
will continue rising. That audience will support a mobile
advertising market reaching $28.72 billion in 2015,
eMarketer estimates. Thats just shy of half the US digital
ad market, and includes mobile internet ads as well as
messaging-based advertisements.
Advertisers across verticals are migrating dollars to mobile
channels. The entertainment industry has taken this
furthest: 53.5% of industry ad spending is mobile this year.
The retail and media industries are not far behind. Even the
slowest vertical to move to mobile, healthcare and pharma,
is now spending 40.0% of digital ad dollars on mobile buys.
As more money flows into mobile advertising, the balance
between search and display spending is shifting. On
desktop, the amounts spent between search and display
are nearly equal, but on mobile devices, spending skews
more heavily toward display.
With all eyes on mobile, marketers arent forgetting that
people are more important than devices. Devices take
center stage at the budgetary and tactical level, but
strategically, marketers are focusing less on devices and
more on people, specifically connecting with consumers
wherever and whenever they access the web.
The biggest change were seeing is the move towards
people-centric marketing, said Chad Gallagher, global
director of mobile for AOL. Both brand and performance
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Mobile
internet ad
spending
(billions)
% change
47.6%
31.9%
24.6%
17.4%
51.1%
59.4%
65.9%
70.1%
16.5%
20.5%
24.1%
26.8%
% of digital ad
spending
7.8% 11.9%
Note: includes display (banners, video and rich media) and search; excludes
SMS, MMS and P2P messaging-based advertising; ad spending on tablets is
included
Source: eMarketer, March 2015
186887
www.eMarketer.com
% of
total
Mobile*
% of
total
Total
Retail
$6.26
48.5%
$6.65
51.5%
$12.91
Automotive
$3.87
53.0%
$3.43
47.0%
$7.30
Financial services
$3.70
51.5%
$3.49
48.5%
$7.19
Telecom
$3.21
49.5%
$3.27
50.5%
$6.49
$2.63
53.0%
$2.33
47.0%
$4.97
Travel
$2.47
51.0%
$2.38
49.0%
$4.85
$2.35
53.0%
$2.09
47.0%
$4.44
Media
$1.66
49.0%
$1.73
51.0%
$3.39
Entertainment
$1.30
46.5%
$1.50
53.5%
$2.80
$0.98
60.0%
$0.66
40.0%
$1.64
Other
$1.44
54.6%
$1.20
45.4%
$2.64
Total
$29.89
51.0% $28.72
49.0% $58.61
Mobilenomics Roundup
2014
www.eMarketer.com
Mobilenomics Roundup
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Mobile
internet ad
spending
(billions)
% change
47.6%
31.9%
24.6%
17.4%
51.1%
59.4%
65.9%
70.1%
16.5%
20.5%
24.1%
26.8%
% of digital ad
spending
7.8% 11.9%
Note: includes display (banners, video and rich media) and search; excludes
SMS, MMS and P2P messaging-based advertising; ad spending on tablets is
included
Source: eMarketer, March 2015
186887
www.eMarketer.com
2014
2015
2016
2017
$40,241
$49,560
$57,543
2018
$22,140
$31,306
$40,604
UK**
$1,949
$3,703
$5,369
$7,248
$9,133
$11,142
Japan
$1,835
$2,752
$3,853
$5,009
$6,311
$7,573
Germany
$451
$1,309
$2,095
$3,065
$4,198
$5,248
South Korea
$455
$1,000
$1,600
$2,080
$2,496
$2,946
Canada
$392
$854
$1,416
$2,200
$2,862
$3,666
Australia
$341
$852
$1,364
$2,114
$2,959
$3,847
France
$248
$446
$714
$1,035
$1,450
$1,971
Netherlands
$162
$454
$680
$953
$1,238
$1,548
Italy
$205
$369
$553
$775
$1,046
$1,360
$66
$249
$549
$1,015
$1,726
$2,675
Norway
$106
$317
$475
$641
$821
$1,002
Sweden
$140
$293
$440
$594
$772
$927
$65
$196
$431
$776
$1,087
$1,413
Denmark
$108
$269
$391
$508
$635
$762
Mexico
$104
$214
$388
$605
$910
$1,306
Spain
$53
$101
$176
$300
$494
$781
India
$26
$79
$173
$347
$589
$943
Finland
$41
$102
$153
$199
$249
$298
Indonesia
$12
$43
$129
$323
$743
$1,487
Argentina
$8
$24
$71
$170
$340
$612
Brazil
Russia
$920
$7,537 $13,977
www.eMarketer.com
Rounding out the top five countries, the UK, Japan and
Germany also will see significant increases in mobile ad
spending next year, but in all three markets, a majority of
digital ad spending will be on mobile devices in 2017 for
the first time.
While the top five countries will maintain their positions
throughout our forecast, there are other markets on the
move. Next year, Canada and Australia will surpass South
Korea to become the sixth- and seventh-largest mobile ad
markets globally, respectively.
Mobilenomics Roundup
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Mobile ad
spending
(billions)
% change
120.0%
79.5%
50.0%
41.0%
23.0%
16.0%
14.0%
% of digital
ad spending
24.7%
37.7%
49.0%
60.4%
66.6%
69.7%
72.2%
6.3%
10.8%
15.3%
20.4%
23.9%
26.3%
28.6%
% of total
media ad
spending
Note: includes classified, display (banners and other, rich media and video),
email, lead generation, messaging-based and search advertising; ad
spending on tablets is included
Source: eMarketer, March 2015
186582
www.eMarketer.com
17 78
35 87
58 15
89 72
96 81
44 67
59 50
5. 7.
5. 5.
1. 9.
9. 8.
4. 9.
2. 0.
6. 0.
$2 $5
$2 $6
$3 $1
$2 $2
$2 $4
$3 $1
$2 $4
2013
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Mobile**
Mobilenomics Roundup
2017
2018
2019
Video
$0.72
$1.54
Search
$2.62
$3.94
$5.09
$5.96
$6.86
SMS/MMS/
$0.25 $0.24
P2P messaging
$0.24
$0.26
$0.25
$0.24
$0.24
Other
$0.20 $0.55
(classifieds,
email, lead gen)
$0.96
$1.57
$2.14
$2.76
$3.32
www.eMarketer.com
2016
Banners,
rich media,
sponsorships
and other*
www.eMarketer.com
Our new forecast breaks out mobile app and mobile web
spending for the first time. This year, app spending will
outpace mobile web browser ad dollars nearly 3-to-1.
Advertisers will spend $20.79 billion to reach consumers
via mobile apps in 2015, compared with $7.93 billion on
mobile browsers.
2015
Display
Total
Desktop*
2014
2014
2015
2016
$13.67
$20.79
$29.66
% change
88.2%
52.1%
42.6%
% of total
71.4%
72.4%
73.2%
$5.47
$7.93
$10.84
% change
61.0%
44.8%
36.8%
% of total
28.6%
27.6%
26.8%
$19.15
$28.72
$40.50
Total (billions)
Note: includes advertising that appears on mobile phones and tablets, and
includes all the various formats of advertising on those platforms; numbers
may not add to total due to rounding
Source: eMarketer, March 2015
186912
www.eMarketer.com
2013
2014
2015
$0.77
$1.67
$3.00
115.5%
80.0%
8.7%
10.4%
7.3%
Note: includes advertising that appears on mobile phones and tablets, and
includes all the various formats of advertising on those platforms; excludes
app re-engagement ads
Source: eMarketer, March 2015
186911
www.eMarketer.com
Significantly increase
22%
www.eMarketer.com
Native
10%
Social media
14%
Display
16%
TV
8%
Mobile
33%
Video
20%
www.eMarketer.com
Mobilenomics Roundup
Video
29%
Display
28%
Display
41%
Mobile
30%
Mobile
39%
Video
33%
Buyers
Sellers
www.eMarketer.com
Europe
North America
Mobile
Q2
63.8%
38.1%
15.3%
Q3
117.7%
76.2%
76.4%
Q4
191.6%
177.4%
150.4%
Q2
36.5%
41.2%
-17.0%
Q3
98.9%
77.6%
25.2%
Q4
82.6%
85.0%
56.6%
Desktop
www.eMarketer.com
Mobilenomics Roundup
Europe
North America
Mobile
Q2
129%
99%
94%
Q3
238%
179%
180%
Q4
329%
331%
296%
Q2
114%
113%
76%
Q3
315%
129%
150%
Q4
285%
214%
243%
Desktop
www.eMarketer.com
Mobilenomics Roundup
31%
50%
11%
8%
30%
50%
13%
9%
HTML5
29%
46%
17%
9%
Programmatic buying
26%
50%
17%
8%
26%
50%
15%
10%
MRAID
22%
52%
15%
12%
Real-time bidding
21%
41%
27%
12%
www.eMarketer.com
Expected change
in mobile native
budget over next 2 years
Brand Agency Total
33%
27%
29%
Increase
50%+
19%
22%
21%
1%-20%
33%
53%
46%
Increase
25%-50%
36%
32%
33%
21%-40%
13%
9%
10%
Increase
<25%
20%
35%
30%
41%-60%
3%
4%
4%
No change
7%
2%
4%
61%-80%
6%
1%
3%
Decrease
<50%
3%
0%
1%
81%-100%
3%
0%
1%
Decrease
50%+
1%
0%
0%
Don't know
9%
6%
7%
Don't know
13%
9%
10%
Note: n=209 who understand mobile native and use in campaigns or know
how to but have yet to do so; numbers may not add up to 100% due to
rounding
Source: InMobi, "Marketer and Publisher Perceptions: Native Advertising
on Mobile," April 6, 2015
187882
www.eMarketer.com
Steve Ahlberg
Vice President, Revenue Solutions and
Product Management
Gannett
Mobilenomics Roundup
You want to make sure that what youre buying is not only
going to be seen, but also engaged with. Mobile is probably
12 to 18 months behind where the web is right now from a
viewability perspective.
David Shim
Founder and CEO
Placed
Mobilenomics Roundup
But what weve seen in the second half of 2014 and into
2015 is an upswing in terms of clients wanting to know
more about mapping mobile to in-store, and doing so at
scale. That includes scale in terms of reporting as well as
the ability to work across partners.
Its that scale piece that really points to something that
that industry is missing at this point, which is a common
currency. Weve got companies like Datalogix and
dunnhumby, but their purchase data is only tied to loyalty
cards. So with purchase data being so fragmented, its hard
to decide how to attribute. Clients really want a common
currency that works across all properties and sites.
eMarketer: How influential has mobile been to driving
attribution forward in the last couple of years?
Shim: Very. Mobile is what is driving store-visit attribution
beyond loyalty card data. There are a lot of places that
dont offer loyalty cards, so it can be difficult to understand
who visited those stores. Mobile can prove the missing
link because it can tell you where people are going in
the physical world and what theyre actually doing. With
it, we can now connect the dots all the way from digital
ad exposure to the store someone visited to the items
they purchased.
Mobilenomics Roundup