Sie sind auf Seite 1von 44

Research &

Forecast Report
4Q 2013
Jakarta
1st
Quarter
| Office
2015

Jakarta Property Market Report

Accelerating success.

OFFICE SECTOR
Office Space
Offered for Lease
By Ferry Salanto

Supply

Associate Director | Research


Ferry.Salanto@colliers.com

CBD Office Cumulative Supply


8,000,000
7,000,000

sq m

6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000

Existing Supply

2019F

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

Annual Supply

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

CBD Office Cumulative Supply Based on Area


8,000,000
7,000,000

sq m

6,000,000

3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000

Existing Supply

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

2019F

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

Annual Supply

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

is a leader in global real estate services, defined by our spirit


of enterprise. Through a culture of service excellence and
collaboration, we integrate the resources of real estate specialists
worldwide to accelerate the success of our partners. We represent
property investors, developers and occupiers in local and
global markets. Our expertise spans all property sectorsoffice,
industrial, retail, residential, rural & agribusiness, healthcare &
retirement living, hotels & leisure.

4,000,000

2010

Colliers International

5,000,000

In the CBD, except Jalan Thamrin, all sub-markets will contribute


new office buildings in 2015. Jalan Sudirman will lead in terms of
both number of office buildings (with three office buildings) and
area of office space (43% of annual supply in 2015). Gatot Subroto
is one active sub-market with additional space of 130,000 sq m
from two office buildings in 2015.
With a total projected 260,500 sq m of office space in 2015, a new
office building in Jalan Sudirman will have an area of around
86,000 sq m. This indicates that the higher plot ratio in this main
corridor of the CBD has been implemented. Sahid Sudirman
tower (258 m in height), is the second tallest office building in
Jakarta after Wisma 46 (261.5 m in height). Sinarmas MSIG, a
future office building in Sudirman, will also be included in the
five tallest office buildings in Jakarta. Later, Jakarta will see an
office building with 70 levels situated around Jalan Thamrin that
is expected to be in operation in 2018.
Of all of the projected office buildings in 2015 - 2019, about 75% of
the 2.9 million sq m have started construction work. This means
that only 12 office buildings representing 816,500 sq m are still
in the planning stage as of 1Q 2015. Including newly operating
office buildings in 2015, the CBD will see around 500,000 sq m of
projected additional space per year up to 2019.

1,000,000
900,000
800,000
700,000
600,000

sq m

Apart from the continued influx of new office space, there will
a reduction in the total office space. Two office buildings in
Sudirman are being demolished as of 1Q 2015. Jalan Sudirman,
as the main thoroughfare in the CBD, is undergoing a mega-MRT
project to alleviate worsening traffic problems, particularly in the
commercial area. With the MRT project, DKI Jakarta Government
allow land owners along the MRT route for higher plot ratio, With
very expensive land prices in the area and given the higher plot
ratio, several old buildings are being considered for demolition
and replaced with taller office buildings. By eliminating these
two office buildings, the cumulative office supply only grew 2.9%
YoY to 4.78 million sq m as of 1Q 2015.

Annual Future Office Space in the CBD

500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
2015F

2016F

For Lease

2017F

For Sale

2018F

2019F

In Planning

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Based on marketing scheme, offices for lease constitute 78.2%


of the cumulative supply as of 1Q 2015. It is projected that
additional supply of offices for lease will still dominate both
under-construction and in-planning projects. Excluding inplanning projects, the total future additional space of offices for
lease in 2015 - 2019 is 1.23 million sq m with about 0.87 million
sq m of offices for sale.

Outside CBD Office Cumulative Supply


3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000

sq m

After very limited additional office space last year, two office
buildings in the CBD are officially opened, namely Sahid
Sudirman and Gran Rubina which together contributed 169,938
sq m of new office space. The CBD further anticipates around
400,000 sq m of office space projected to be in operation before
the end of 2015. The projected additional office supply will be
contributed by eight office buildings that as of 1Q 2015 are in the
finishing stages of construction.

1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000

Existing Supply

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

2019F

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

Annual Supply

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

2015YTD

Existing Supply

2012

250,000

2011

300,000

2014

2010

Annual Future Office Space in the Outside CBD

1,200,000

2013

The outside CBD area will continue to provide office space at


least up to 2017. We expect to see additional supply in the outside
CBD of around 780,000 sq m in 2016 - 2017. Central and West
Jakarta will contribute about the same amount as South Jakarta
in terms of number of office buildings.

Cumulative Office Space in TB Simatupang

sq m

In spite of the fact that the outside CBD regularly provides less
office space than the CBD, since 2010, additional office supply
in the outside CBD has been consistently above 100,000 sq m
per year. In 2015, it is expected that 334,206 sq m of additional
office space will enter the market. As of 1Q 2015, almost 43% of
the above supply has been in operation. South Jakarta will be
the most active area, contributing nine of the 12 projected office
buildings in 2015.

Annual Supply

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

sq m

200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2015F
For Lease

2016F

2017F

For Sale

2018F

2019F

In Planning

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Almost 47% of future office buildings in the outside CBD


(excluding TB Simatupang) are projects in the planning stage
(no construction activity in the field). The projects under
construction are dominated by strata-title offices for sale.

TB Simatupang continues to bolster its position as a secondary


commercial area after the CBD, particularly when the area is
currently contributing more office space. As of this quarter,
four newly operating office buildings in South Jakarta are
located in TB Simatupang and this is equal to the office supply
in 2014. The four office buildings located in the southern part
of TB Simatupang, are 18 Office Park, Plaza Oleos, AD Premier
and Metropolitan Tower. Together, these buildings contributed
142,678 sq m to bring the cumulative supply in TB Simatupang
to 793,343 sq m as of 1Q 2015. Another three office buildings in
TB Simatupang are projected to open in 2015, namely South
Quarter 1 and 2, and Graha MRA. These office buildings have
reached final stages of construction and are expected to bring
additional new office space of 237,234 sq m by the end of 2015,
almost three times the additional supply in 2014.

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

Annual Future Office Space in TB Simatupang

Annual Supply in the Outside CBD and TB Simatupang


300,000

250,000

250,000

200,000

sq m

200,000

sq m

150,000

100,000

150,000
100,000
50,000

50,000

For Sale

In Planning

Cumulative Supply in the Outside CBD and TB


Simatupang
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000

sq m

2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

TB Simatupang

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

TB Simatupang

2019F

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

2014

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Overall, the construction work of future office buildings in TB


Simatupang is still on schedule. TB Simatupang will see around
260,000 sq m of total projected additional supply in 2016 - 2017,
almost equal to the total supply in 2015 alone.

2013

Outside CBD excluding TB Simatupang

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Outside CBD excluding TB Simatupang

2015YTD

For Lease

2017F

2012

2016F

2010

2015F

2011

New Supply Pipeline


PROJECTED
COMPLETION

OFFICE BUILDING PROJECTS NAME

LOCATION

SGA

MARKETING SCHEME

STATUS DEVELOPMENT

CBD
2015

Sinarmas MSIG

Sudirman

75,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

The Noble House Office Tower

Mega Kuningan

45,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

AIA Center (Menara Selaras)

Sudirman

47,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

Cemindo Tower

Rasuna Said

60,995 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

Telkom Landmark Tower II

Gatot Subroto

65,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

Bank Muamalat Tower (Satrio Square)

Satrio

24,600 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

BTPN Tower (Bahana Office Tower)

Mega Kuningan

50,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

Wisma Mulia 2

Gatot Subroto

65,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Convergence

Rasuna Said

36,367 For Lease & Sale

Under Construction

2016

International Financial Center 2

Sudirman

50,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Menara Pertiwi

Mega Kuningan

41,456 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

Capital Palace (Office Tower @ ST Regis)

Gatot Subroto

90,511 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Menara Palma 2

Rasuna Said

50,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Centennial Tower

Gatot Subroto

2016

Ciputra World Jakarta 2

Satrio

70,000 For Lease & Sale

Under Construction

2016

Satrio Tower

Satrio

31,604 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

The Tower

Gatot Subroto

56,492 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

Lippo Thamrin Office Tower

Thamrin

16,500 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

T Tower (BJB Tower)

Gatot Subroto

24,000 For Sale

Under Construction

2017

Mangkuluhur Tower

Gatot Subroto

53,000 For Lease & Sale

Under Construction

2017

Sequis Life Tower 2

Sudirman

80,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2017

Gayanti City

Gatot Subroto

25,000 For Lease

In Planning

2017

Prosperity Tower @ Distict 8

Sudirman

71,545 For Sale

Under Construction

2017

Treasury Tower @ District 8

Sudirman

139,000 For Sale

Under Construction

2017

Sopo Del Tower A

Mega Kuningan

80,000 For Lease & Sale

Under Construction

2017

Sopo Del Tower B

Mega Kuningan

40,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2018

Sudirman 7.8 (ex Nugra Santana)

Sudirman

2018

SSI Tower (Graha Surya Intenusa)

Rasuna Said

2018

Mangkuluhur Tower II

Gatot Subroto

2018

Tower Two at The City Center

2018

World Trade Center III

2018

Icon Tower

2018

Tower 2 @ Ciputra World Jakarta 1

2018

100,000 For Sale

Under Construction

52,000 For Sale

In Planning

100,000 For Lease

In Planning

50,000 For Lease

In Planning

Sudirman

39,204 For Lease

Under Construction

Sudirman

70,000 For Lease

Under Construction

Sudirman

72,500 For Lease

In Planning

Satrio

70,000 For Lease & Sale

Under Construction

Astra Tower

Sudirman

80,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2018

Thamrin Nine

Thamrin

97,500 For Lease

Under Construction

2018

Chitaland

Gatot Subroto

100,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2019

Gran Rubina Tower 2

Rasuna Said

2019

The Hundred

2019

SCBD Lot.10 (PCPD Tower)

2019

World Capital Tower

2019

Tower Three at The City Center

2019

32,000 For Sale

In Planning

Mega Kuningan

35,000 For Lease

Under Construction

Sudirman

96,000 For Lease

Under Construction

Mega Kuningan

72,000 For Sale

Under Construction

Sudirman

34,000 For Lease

In Planning

Tower 1 at Sampoerna Strategic Square

Sudirman

43,000 For Sale

In Planning

2019

Tower 2 at Sampoerna Strategic Square

Sudirman

118,000 For Lease

In Planning

2019

Redevelopment at Sequis Center

Sudirman

100,000 For Lease

In Planning

2019

Redevelopment eX

Thamrin

150,000 For Lease

In Planning
continued

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

New Supply Pipeline


PROJECTED
COMPLETION

OFFICE BUILDING PROJECTS NAME

LOCATION

SGA

MARKETING SCHEME

STATUS DEVELOPMENT

continuation
OUTSIDE CBD EXCLUDING TB SIMATUPANG
2015

Menara Sentraya

Blok M

52,072 For Sale

Under Construction

2015

ST Moritz Office Tower

Puri Indah

19,500 For Sale

Under Construction

2015

The Suites

Pantai Indah Kapuk

13,200 For Sale

Under Construction

2015

Maxima Tower

Kelapa Gading

8,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

Nariba Office Suites

Mampang

4,200 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Puri Indah Financial Tower

Puri Indah

38,500 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

Gallery West

Kebun Jeruk

29,000 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

L'Office

Pasar Minggu

41,597 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

MNC Tower II

Kebon Sirih

20,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Sky 18 Tower

Pasar Minggu

27,500 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

Soho Capital

Slipi

36,000 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

Altira

Sunter

40,000 For Sale

Under Construction

2016

BKP Office Tower

Sunter

16,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Tamansari Parama

Wahid Hasyim

10,800 For Sale

Under Construction

2017

Soho Pancoran

Pancoran

30,000 For Sale

Under Construction

2017

Jakarta Box Tower

Kebon Sirih

36,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2017

Lippo Tower Holland Village

Cempaka Putih

27,000 For Sale

In Planning

2017

One Tower

Kemayoran

21,400 For Sale

In Planning

2017

Ciputra Business District Kemayoran Tower 1

Kemayoran

40,000 For Sale

In Planning

2017

Ciputra Business District Kemayoran Tower 2

Kemayoran

40,000 For Lease

In Planning

2017

Ciputra International Puri 1 Phase 1

Puri

15,000 For Lease

In Planning

2017

Ciputra International Puri 2 Phase 1

Puri

20,000 For Lease

In Planning

2017

Ciputra International Puri 3 Phase 1

Puri

30,000 For Lease

In Planning

2018

Kota Kasablanka Office Tower 2

Casablanca

90,000 For Lease

In Planning

2018

Ciputra International Puri Phase 2

Puri

15,000 For Lease

In Planning

2018

Ciputra International Puri 1 Phase 3

Puri

15,000 For Lease

In Planning

2018

Ciputra Internatinal Puri 2 Phase 3

Puri

15,000 For Lease

In Planning

2018

Summarecon Tower

Slipi

70,000 For Lease

In Planning

TB SIMATUPANG

2015

Graha MRA

13,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2015

South Quarter Tower 1

40,778 For Sale

Under Construction

2015

South Quarter Tower 2

40,778 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

South Quarter Tower 3

40,778 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Zuria

6,584 For Lease

Under Construction

2016

Cibis Tower

60,800 For Lease

Under Construction

2017

Beltway Office Park Tower 4

30,839 For Lease

Under Construction

2017

The Sima

60,000 For Lease

Under Construction

2017

Arkadia Tower G

30,000 For Lease

In Planning

2017

The Manhattan Square Tower 2

39,375 For Lease & Sale

In Planning

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

Occupancy Rate in All Categories of Office Building


in the CBD

Demand and Occupancy


CBD
1Q 2014

YoY

1Q 2015

96.5%

QoQ

4Q 2014

93.6%

95.7%

Number of Space Absorbed and Occupancy in the


CBD

sq m

5,000,000

100%

4,500,000

90%

4,000,000

80%

3,500,000

70%

3,000,000

60%

2,500,000

50%

2,000,000

40%

1,500,000

30%

1,000,000

20%

500,000

10%

Vacant Space

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

0%

2011

2010

98%
96%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Space Absorbed

100%

Occupancy

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Although the office supply was very limited in 2014, the


occupancy rate in the CBD dropped from 96.5% in early 2014 to
95.7% at the end of 2014. With new office buildings beginning
operations this quarter, the occupancy in the CBD fell to 93.6%.
The decreasing trend in the occupancy rates would indicate that
more tenants are now considering relocation to the outside CBD.

94%
92%
90%
88%
86%
84%
82%
80%
1Q 2014
Premium

Grade A

Grade B

2015YTD
Grade C

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

All in all, the office market still expects demand from the
finance-related industries including insurance and banking,
which still require large spaces. The growing information and
technology industries, such as telecommunications will also
help create office demand in the CBD. Moreover, the policy of
the new government to accelerate the countrys infrastructure
and energy sectors, will hopefully provide opportunities for the
office space business from tenants like consultants or suppliers
who support those industry sectors.
The huge supply projected for the next couple of years will
create a challenge for the office business. As of 1Q 2015, the
total projected supply for 2016 has yet to report pre-committed
absorption. Given this situation, we believe that the projected
occupancy will continuously decline in the CBD.

A general situation whereby substantial demand is largely


driven by the mining, oil and gas sectors is now becoming less.
Tapering business conditions and high asking rents are factors
which likely cause tenants to consider cutting their operational
expenses.
About 62% of the total remaining space in the CBD as of 1Q
2015 was contributed by vacant spaces at Premium and Grade A
office buildings. Increasingly high asking base rent at Premium
and Grade A office buildings, again, has left more vacant space,
and caused the occupancy of that building category to decrease
by 3.7% QoQ to 92.1%.

2014

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

Pre-Commitment Demand for Future Office Buildings


for Lease in the CBD

Number of Space Absorbed and Occupancy in the


Outside CBD
3,000,000

100%
90%

2,500,000

2016F

80%
70%

2,000,000

sq m

60%
1,500,000

50%
40%

1,000,000

2015F

30%
20%

500,000

10%
0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

2010

sq m
Space Absorbed

Vacant Space

Space Absorbed

2014

Vacant Space

Occupancy

Commitment Demand for Future Office Buildings


for Lease in the Outside CBD

Outside CBD
94.6%

2012

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

1Q 2014

0%

YoY

1Q 2015
90.9%

QoQ

4Q 2014
93.2%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

The occupancy rates in the outside CBD showed a similar trend


to the CBD, declining 2.3% QoQ to 90.9% as of 1Q 2015. Large
vacant spaces were largely contributed by office buildings
in South Jakarta. As of 1Q 2015, 62.1% of the 233,921 sq m of
remaining space in the outside CBD was in South Jakarta. Of
that, 72.9% was found at newly operating office buildings in 2014
- 2015.
The occupancy rates of office buildings in South Jakarta, which
was recorded at 88.9%, experienced a decreasing trend by 5.2%
QoQ. In other areas, the growth of occupancy was relatively flat
QoQ and only West Jakarta recorded an average occupancy of
90.7% as of 1Q 2015. The overall West Jakarta office market
registered a vacant space reduction of around 20% QoQ.
Officially operating committed tenants at new office buildings
have helped the occupancy in West Jakarta climb 2% over the
previous quarter.

2016F

2015F

30,000

60,000

90,000

120,000

150,000
sq m

Space Absorbed
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

Vacant Space

Asking Base Rent

TB Simatupang
1Q 2014

YoY

96.2%

1Q 2015

QoQ

84.3%

4Q 2014
92.8%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Due to four new office buildings officially operating, the


occupancy rate in TB Simatupang dropped significantly by 8.6%
QoQ to 84.3% as of 1Q 2015. This is the first time since 2002 that
the occupancy in TB Simatupang was below 90%. However, high
pre-committed demand for office buildings in 2015 is expected
to return the occupancy rate to its higher level. Although newly
operating office buildings in 2015 caused occupancy to decline,
those new office buildings have secured a 50% occupancy rate
on average when beginning operations. Overall, pre-committed
occupancy for all office buildings in 2015 has reached 44.1% as
of 1Q 2015.

Number of Space Absorbed and Occupancy in TB


Simatupang
700,000

100%
90%

600,000

80%

sq m

500,000

70%
60%

400,000

50%
300,000

40%
30%

200,000

20%

100,000

10%

0%
2010

Space Absorbed

2012
Vacant Space

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

2014
Occupancy

CBD
All rental numbers presented in this report are asking rental
rates as published by developers. Tenants are becoming more
sensitive to the increase in the rental rates recently particularly
given the fact that vacant office space is quite abundant and
the economy is slowing down. Amidst tenants concern over
the high occupancy costs, the average rental rate in rupiah was
IDR257,543/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015 for all classes of office
buildings, posting an upward adjustment of 1.8% QoQ.
Some office buildings charging in rupiah lowered their rents
from the previous quarter. However, increasing rents at office
buildings with large vacant spaces have caused the overall asking
base rents to climb. As of 1Q 2015, at least two office buildings
holding vacant spaces of more than 15,000 sq m raised the rent
by IDR50,000 to 80,000/sq m/month.
The asking rents in US dollars showed almost similar growth of
3.6% QoQ, to USD38.18/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015.
Office buildings charging in US dollars and with higher rents
above the market average generally having large vacant spaces.
As of 1Q 2015, 58.8% of the total remaining vacant space was
found at office buildings charging USD40.00/sq m/month and
above. Nevertheless, some significant adjustment was made by
office buildings charging in US dollars by lowering their rents
between USD2.00 and 10.00 as of 1Q 2015. These adjustments
caused office rents to climb only modestly QoQ.
Similar to buildings charging in US dollars, of the total vacant
space supplied by office buildings charging rent in rupiah, 46.9%
is available at office buildings charging rent above the market
average rent. This resulted in a higher average rent in rupiah.
In the high specifications class of buildings charging in US
dollars, the asking base rent of Premium and Grade A office
buildings in the CBD continued to decrease. As of 1Q 2015, the
average asking rent was USD42.56/sq m/month, down modestly
by 0.3% QoQ. It has been three consecutive quarters since 2H
2014 that the average asking base rent of Premium and Grade A
office buildings has decreased QoQ.
The average asking rental rate for Premium office buildings only
was USD49.04/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015, down moderately
QoQ.

10 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

Average Asking Rental Rates

Average Asking Rental Rates Based on Grade

in Rupiah

in Rupiah
IDR 600,000

IDR 300,000

IDR 550,000
IDR 500,000

IDR 250,000

IDR 450,000
IDR 400,000

IDR 200,000

IDR 350,000
IDR 300,000

IDR 150,000

IDR 250,000
IDR 200,000

IDR 100,000

IDR 150,000
IDR 100,000

IDR 50,000

IDR 50,000
IDR 0

IDR 0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Grade A

2015YTD

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Grade B

Grade C

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

in US Dollar

in US Dollar

USD 60.00

USD 60.00

USD 50.00

USD 50.00

USD 40.00

USD 40.00

USD 30.00

USD 30.00

USD 20.00

USD 20.00

USD 10.00
USD 10.00
USD 0.00
2010

2011

2012

All Classes
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

11

2013

2014

2015YTD

USD 0.00

Premium

Premium

Grade A

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

Grade B

Grade C

Outside CBD
The average asking rental rate in the outside CBD showed
modest growth QoQ at office buildings charging in both rupiah
and US dollars. As of 1Q 2015, the asking base rent registered an
average of IDR191,603/sq m/month, while in US dollars it was
USD21.47/sq m/month.
The most expensive office locations in the outside CBD area
remain in Central and South Jakarta. The asking base rent in
Central and South Jakarta was between IDR205,974 and 215,172/
sq m/month. In fact, West Jakarta showed significant growth in
the rental rates, at 6.2% QoQ, more than in other areas. Several
office buildings that have been operating since 2013 - 2014 have
had a significant impact on the overall asking base rent in West
Jakarta, raising it to IDR197,611/sq m/month.
The least favourite office locations, i.e. North and East Jakarta
recorded the lowest asking base rents at between IDR106,736
and 108,729/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015.
Being the secondary business area after the CBD, TB Simatupang
(which is part of South Jakarta) helps maintain an asking base
rent in South Jakarta to register at the highest level. Although the
QoQ growth of asking base rents was low, four office buildings
newly operating in early 2015 have raised the asking rent to
IDR228,822/sq m/month and USD21.71/sq m/month.

Average Asking Rental Rates in the Outside CBD


in Rupiah
IDR 250,000

IDR 200,000

IDR 150,000

IDR 100,000

IDR 50,000

IDR 0
2010

2011

2012

2013

Outside CBD excluding TB Simatupang

2014

2015YTD

TB Simatupang

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

in US Dollar
USD 25.00

USD 20.00

USD 15.00

USD 10.00

USD 5.00

USD 0.00
2010

2011

2012

2013

Outside CBD excluding TB Simatupang


Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

12

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

2014

2015YTD

TB Simatupang

Service Charge
The gap between service charges in the CBD and outside CBD
tapered. Last year, the service charge in the outside CBD was
around 20% less than in the CBD. As of 1Q 2015, the service charge
(both IDR and US dollars) in the outside CBD was IDR65,498/
sq m/month, up 20.1% QoQ. Office buildings newly operating
during 2013 - 2014 had maintenance costs between IDR45,000
and 85,000/sq m/month. Currently, most of the new buildings
in the outside CBD continue to improve building service quality
and facilities. Moreover, some office buildings, primarily in TB
Simatupang, are classified as green buildings. In TB Simatupang
alone, the average service charge was IDR59,340/sq m/month,
and USD5.93/sq m/month.
Service charges in the CBD climbed 8.5% QoQ and were
IDR76,356/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015. Compared to the outside
CBD, currently it is 14% higher than in the outside CBD. Based
on building grade, service charges at Premium and Grade A
office buildings in the CBD were IDR86,562/sq m/month, up
21.5% QoQ. Seven Premium and Grade A office buildings in the
CBD had service charges of IDR90,000/sq m/month and above
during the reviewed quarter.

The Range of Service Charge Cost in the Two Main


Areas in Jakarta
IDR 100,000

IDR 80,000

IDR 60,000

IDR 40,000

IDR 20,000

IDR 0
CBD
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Service Charges of Office Buildings in Jakarta


IDR 80,000
IDR 70,000
IDR 60,000
IDR 50,000
IDR 40,000
IDR 30,000
IDR 20,000
IDR 10,000
IDR 0
2010

2011
CBD

2012

2013

2014

2015YTD

Outside CBD

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Although service charges continued to increase, around 35% of


office buildings, both in the CBD and the outside CBD still had
service charges below IDR50,000/sq m/month.

13

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

Outside CBD

Strata-title Office

Annual Supply and Take-up Rates of Strata-title


Office Buildings in the CBD

Average Asking Price of Strata-title Office Space


per Sq m in Jakarta

200,000
180,000
160,000

IDR 60,000,000

sq m

140,000

IDR 50,000,000

120,000
100,000
80,000

IDR 40,000,000

60,000
40,000

IDR 30,000,000

20,000
IDR 20,000,000

2010

2011

2012

2013

Outside CBD exclude TB Simatupang

2014

2015YTD

TB Simatupang

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

The CBD will see a large amount of additional office space for sale
in 2015 - 2018, starting with the operation of Gran Rubina and
Sahid Sudirman, which brought the cumulative supply of stratatitle offices in the CBD to 986,767 sq m as of 1Q 2015. At least
another 14 strata-title office buildings will provide 849,564 sq m
in the CBD up to 2018. The majority of office buildings are under
construction and are expected be completed as scheduled.
The high commitment of office transactions has kept the average
take-up rate at 97.6% as of 1Q 2015. Despite dropping QoQ,
the take-up rate will bounce back due to the fact that there
will be no new additional supply of strata-title office space for
sale in the remainder of 2015. During this quarter, some future
strata-title office buildings projected to be in operation in 2016
and 2017 have been fully absorbed, which helped bring the
pre-commitment sales to 38 and 61%, respectively. These precommitment levels are expected to keep the projected take-up
rate at a high level in the future.

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

Annual Supply

IDR 0

CBD

2010

IDR 10,000,000

2009

2008

Annual Take-up

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Pre-Committed Demand of Future Strata-title Office


for Sale in the CBD
2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000
sq m

Space Absorbed

Space Unabsorbed

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

In this quarter, the average asking price of vacant space in


strata-title office buildings in the CBD was IDR46.9 million/sq
m. This suggests a lower price QoQ because some newly underconstruction strata-title office buildings, due to their location,
offer a launch price lower than the market average. With less
vacant space and no newly launched strata-title buildings
offered in US dollars during this quarter, the office space price
has grown by 5.4% QoQ to USD4,492/sq m.

14

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

With no additional strata-title office space, the take-up rate in


the outside CBD (excluding TB Simatupang) stayed at 94.1% as
of 1Q 2015. The projected take-up rate in 2015 - 2016 is expected
to be quite high in the outside CBD where the pre-committed
absorption of office buildings in those years has reached 60% as
of now. The high take-up rates of both existing and future supply
has raised the asking prices in the outside CBD to an average of
IDR28.6 million/sq m, up 4.1% QoQ.

Annual Supply and Take-up Rates of Strata-title


Office in the Outside CBD

Concluding Thoughts

250,000

A more conducive political situation is expected to help


accelerate an increase in occupancy to catch up the projected
demand in the years ahead. More implemented government
programmes are expected to invite more investors to come and
bolster the absorption of office space.

200,000

sq m

All newly operating strata-title offices are located in TB


Simatupang, bringing 134,840 sq m of additional space for sale.
This relatively large amount of space somewhat decreased the
take-up rate in TB Simatupang by 3.5% QoQ to 89.2% as of 1Q
2015. Asking prices of strata-title space in this area rose by 13.8%
QoQ to IDR32.2 million/sq m for buildings charging in rupiah.
The influx of newly operating strata-title offices is one of the
causes for the price increase during the quarter. For buildings
charging in US dollars, the average asking price was USD3,500/
sq m.

150,000

100,000

Less absorption than projected QoQ will put pressure on asking


rents. This will likely cause a weakening of the average asking
rent, at least it will be relatively flat during 2015.

50,000

Cumulative Supply

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

Cumulative Take-up

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Pre-Committed Demand of Future Office for Sale in


the Outside CBD

2017F

2016F

2015F

50,000

100,000

150,000

Space Absorbed

200,000

Space Unabsorbed

250,000
sq m

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

15

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Office | Colliers International

Apartment Sector

remaining stock is distributed in South Jakarta, CBD area and


Central Jakarta at 21.1%, 15.7% and 13.2%, respectively, while
East Jakarta had a mere 6.2% of the total inventory.

Apartment for Strata-title


Supply
Commencing in 2015, the cumulative supply of apartment
units in Jakarta grew at a moderate pace. The apartment market
received 3,255 new units, up by 2.3% QoQ, from seven projects
comprising four brand new projects and three extension towers.
These 3,255 units, or 11% of the total projected 29,451 new units
that will be completed this year, are scattered in all areas of
Jakarta, except the CBD. Of the total supply in this quarter, 38%
is located in South Jakarta, while the remaining portions are
located in North Jakarta (25%), East Jakarta (22%), West Jakarta
(11%) and Central Jakarta (6%). Overall, with the addition from
newly-completed projects, the total existing stock of strata-title
apartments in Jakarta rose to 146,300 units. By location, the
non-prime areas (North Jakarta and West Jakarta) dominate the
market with 22.2% and 21.6% of the total stock, respectively. The

The first quarter of the year began with optimism among


developers as they launched several new apartment projects.
Compared to the same quarter last year, there were 7,276
newly-introduced and launched units, 115% higher than in the
same period last year. Demand for apartments in Jakarta has
been notably strong during the last three years, evidenced by
almost all new completed apartment projects achieving more
than a 90% sales rate. Apartment units are still perceived as an
investment tool as they provide capital gains of around 10 - 25%
(if bought at the initial offering) and rental yield expectations of
around 6 to 8% per year.
The reform of Indonesias fuel subsidy policy will have a positive
impact on the property sector as the government aims to allocate
the budget to more productive uses, such as improvements in
infrastructure. The acceleration of infrastructure projects will
expand the economy, in line with the governments target of a
5.5% GDP growth this year, an increase 0.5% from the growth in
2014.

List of Completed Projects During 1Q 2015


NAME OF DEVELOPMENT

LOCATION

REGION

DEVELOPER

NO. OF UNITS

Belmont Residence (Tower Montblanc)

Jl. Meruya Ilir

West Jakarta

Gapura Prima

350

The Royal Springhill (Lotus Tower)

Jl. Spring Hill Residence Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

Springhill Golf Group

192

Titanium Square

Jl. Raya Bogor, Pasar Rebo

East Jakarta

PT Titanium Property

725

Northern Ancol Residence

Ancol

North Jakarta

Jaya Ancol

800

La Venue - South Tower

Jl. Pasar Minggu

South Jakarta

PT Bintang Rajawali (Sinar Mas Group)

341

Botanica Apartment

Simprug, Kebayoran Baru

South Jakarta

Pikko Group

626

Woodland Park (Trambesi tower)

Jl. Kalibata Raya

South Jakarta

PT. Pardika Wisthi Sarana

221

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Newly-Introduced Apartment During 1Q 2015


NAME OF DEVELOPMENT

LOCATION

REGION

EXPECTED
COMPLETION
TIME

ESTIMATED PRICE/
SQ M*

NO. OF
UNITS

REMARKS

South Hill

Jl. Denpasar Raya

CBD

2018

IDR37 - 39 million

611

Pre-sales

Green Pramuka (Nerine Tower)

Jl. Pramuka

Central Jakarta

2017

IDR16.7 million

1,000

Launched

Podomoro Park

Jl. I Gusti Ngurah Rai

East Jakarta

2018

IDR18.5 million

3,000

Introduced (NUP system **)

The Hamilton

Jl. Teuku Nyak Arief

South Jakarta

2017

IDR49.5 million

112

Introduced (NUP system**)

Pakubuwono Spring

Jl. Teuku Nyak Arief

South Jakarta

2018

IDR51 million

545

Launched

La Terrasse

Jl. Deplu Raya No.12

South Jakarta

2018

IDR37 million

111

Launched

Branz Simatupang (2 tower)

Jl. TB Simatupang

South Jakarta

2018

IDR28 million

381

Introduced

Synthesis Residence Kemang

Jl. Ampera Raya

South Jakarta

2018

IDR29.5 million

1,100

Introduced (NUP system**)

19 Avenue (Tower B)

Jl. Daan Mogot

West Jakarta

2017

IDR10.5 million

416

Launched

Notes:
*Price excludes 10% VAT
**NUP (Indonesian term for Nomor Urut Pemesanan) or also known as priority pass is a new marketing strategy commonly applied by reputable developers to gauge the interest
of potential buyer in the initial offering
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

16

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

As of 1Q 2015, there are 7,276 units at either newly-introduced


or newly-launched projects, which are mainly located in South
Jakarta, representing 53% of the total units. Among the districts
in South Jakarta, TB Simatupang remains in the spotlight as can
be seen by the growing number of office developments that drive
the growth of apartment development in the surrounding area.

The Distribution of Future Apartment Developments


in Several Regions of Jakarta
35,000
30,000

The supply of new apartment units during 2015 is projected to be


substantial, i.e. 29,451, should all projects be completed. All in
all, the total projected units that will come into the market from
2015 to 2018 will be 80,881 new units, mainly supplied in West
Jakarta with 23% of the total supply, followed by East Jakarta
and South Jakarta with 22 and 20%, respectively. Typically,
apartment development in West Jakarta is characterised by
massive unit projects targeting the middle-low income segment,
offering small units in order to make prices affordable. The units
of these apartment projects typically come with areas from 22
sq m for studio units to 70 - 80 sq m for 3-bedroom units. On
the other hand, East Jakarta will see abundant new projects in
the next two to three years, mainly coming from two projects, i.e.
Green Signature and Bassura City, which are located in Cawang
and Cipinang, respectively.

25,000

Units

20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
2015F

2016F

2017F

2018F

CBD

Central Jakarta

South Jakarta

North Jakarta

East Jakarta

West Jakarta

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

New Supply Pipeline (2015 - 2019)


APARTMENT NAME

LOCATION

REGION

NO. OF UNITS

2015
The Grove (Empyreal + Masterpiece)

Jl. HR Rasuna Said

CBD

438

Ciputra World - Luxurious Raffles Residences

Jl. Prof Dr Satrio

CBD

64

Setiabudi Sky Garden (tower 1)

Jl. Karbela Selatan

CBD

426

Setiabudi Sky Garden (tower 2)

Jl. Karbela Selatan

CBD

160

Elpis Residence

Gunung Sahari

Central Jakarta

790

Capitol Park Apartment (Tower T)

Jl. Salemba Raya, Menteng

Central Jakarta

727

Capitol Park Apartment (Tower U)

Jl. Salemba Raya, Menteng

Central Jakarta

976

The Mansion at Dukuh Golf Residence (Aurora Tower)

Jl. Benyamin Sueb Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

522

The Mansion at Dukuh Golf Residence (BellaVista Tower)

Jl. Benyamin Sueb Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

612

The H Residence Kemayoran (Amethyst)

Jl. Rajawali Selatan

Central Jakarta

800

The Royal Springhill (Lotus Tower) (1Q)

Jl. Spring Hill Residence Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

192

The Royal Springhill (Bouvardia Tower)

Jl. Spring Hill Residence Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

120

Casablanca East Residence (2 Twr) + Tower Dallas

Jl. Pahlawan Revolusi

East Jakarta

1,904

Titanium Square (1Q)

Jalan Raya Bogor Kav. 27 Pasar Rebo

East Jakarta

725

The H Residence

MT Haryono

East Jakarta

383

Bassura City (Tower Flamboyan)

Jl. Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

1,000

Bassura City (Tower Edelweiss)

Jl. Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

1,000

Bassura City (Tower Dahlia)

Jl. Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

1,000

Bassura City (Tower Alamanda)

Jl. Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

600

Bassura City (Tower Geranium)

Jl. Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

900

Teluk Intan (Tower Saphire)

Jl. Teluk Gong

North Jakarta

1,100

Pluit Seaview (Tower Maldives)

Pluit

North Jakarta

940

Pluit Seaview (Tower Belize)

Pluit

North Jakarta

300

Callia Apartment

Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan

North Jakarta

560

The Oak Tower (2 Towers)

Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan

North Jakarta

821
continued

17

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

APARTMENT NAME

LOCATION

REGION

NO. OF UNITS
continued

Northern Ancol Residence (1Q)

Ancol

North Jakarta

800

Green Bay Pluit (Sea View)

Jl. Pluit Karang Ayu

North Jakarta

2,072

La Venue - South Tower (1Q)

Jl. Pasar Minggu

South Jakarta

341

The Royal Olive Residence (was El Medina) Tower I

Jl. Buncit Raya

South Jakarta

225

Senopati Penthouse

Jl. Senopati Kav 45

South Jakarta

63

Senopati Suites 2

Jl. Senopati

South Jakarta

81

LA City Apartment (Tower A)

Jl. Raya Lenteng Agung, Jagakarsa

South Jakarta

980

La Maison Barito (Tower 1)

Barito

South Jakarta

80

Botanica Apartment (3 Towers) (1Q)

Simprug, Kebayoran Baru

South Jakarta

626

Woodland Park (Trambesi tower) (1Q)

Jl. Kemukus No. 6, Fatahillah

South Jakarta

221

1 Park Avenue (3 Towers)

Jl. KHM Syafi'I Hadzami

South Jakarta

279

Nine Residence

Warung Buncit

South Jakarta

246

Providence Park

Jl. Kalimaya - Iskandar Muda

South Jakarta

114

Kencana Residence

Jl. Sultan Iskandar Muda

South Jakarta

173

Izzara Apartment (South and North Tower)

TB. Simatupang

South Jakarta

542

The Aspen Peak at Admiralty

Jl. Fatmawati

South Jakarta

644

Niffaro Apartment (Ebony Tower)

Jl. Kalibata Raya

South Jakarta

288

Grand Dhika Mansion Pejaten (Sector 1)

Jl. Siaga Raya

South Jakarta

Metro Park Residence

Kebon Jeruk

West Jakarta

1,451

St. Moritz (New Presidential Tower)

Jl. Puri Indah

West Jakarta

159

Satu8 Residence

Jl. Pilar Komp. Delta, Kedoya

West Jakarta

174

Belmont Residence (Tower Montblanc) (1Q)

Jl. Meruya Ilir

West Jakarta

350

The Nest Apartment

Jl. Raden Saleh Raya, Meruya Utara

West Jakarta

1,100

Green Palm Residence @ Puri

Jl. Kosambi

West Jakarta

1,000

19 Avenue Apartment 9 (Tower A)

Daan Mogot

West Jakarta

338

The Residence (CWJ 2)

Jl. Prov Dr Satrio Kav 6, Kuningan

CBD

The Orchad Satrio (CWJ 2)

Jl. Prov Dr Satrio Kav 6, Kuningan

CBD

349

Sudirman Suites

Jl. Sudirman

CBD

380

Gayanti City (2 Towers)

Jl. Gatot Subroto

CBD

318

T - Plaza Residence (Tower A)

Jl. Penjernihan I Kav.1 Pejompongan

Central Jakarta

307

Sentosa Residence

Cempaka Putih

Central Jakarta

687

Sudirman Hill Residence

Jl. Karet Pasar Baru

Central Jakarta

255

The Grreen Pramuka (Tower Orchid)

Jl. Jenderal Ahmad Yani

Central Jakarta

1,000

The Grreen Pramuka (Tower Penelope)

Jl. Jenderal Ahmad Yani

Central Jakarta

1,000

The Green Pramuka (Tower Scarlet)

Jl. Jenderal Ahmad Yani

Central Jakarta

1,000

Capitol Suites

Jl. Prapatan Raya

Central Jakarta

327

The Royal Springhill (Bulgari Tower)

Jl. Spring Hill Residence Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

192

Holland Village (Phase II)

Cempaka Putih

Central Jakarta

230

Signature Park Grande

Jl. MT. Haryono

East Jakarta

1,100

Bassura City (Tower Cattleya)

Jl. Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

600

East Park Apartment (Tower C)

Jl. KRT Radjiman

East Jakarta

550

Sentra Timur Residence (Tower Tosca)

Pulo Gebang

East Jakarta

133

Pluit Seaview (Tower Ibiza)

Pluit

North Jakarta

500

Pluit Seaview (Tower Bahama)

Pluit

North Jakarta

650

La Venue - North Tower

Jl. Pasar Minggu

South Jakarta

253

Kemang Village (The Bloomington)

Jl. P Antasari

South Jakarta

150

44

2016
119

continued

18

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

APARTMENT NAME

LOCATION

REGION

NO. OF UNITS
continuation

Senopati Suites 3

Jl. Senopati

South Jakarta

54

Pakubuwono Terrace Grand Tower

Kebayoran Lama

South Jakarta

435

District 8 (Tower Eternity)

Jl. Senopati

South Jakarta

400

District 8 (Tower Infinity)

Jl. Senopati

South Jakarta

280

Lexington Rersidence

Pondok Pinang

South Jakarta

275

Apartment Pejaten Park Residence

Jl. Warung Buncit Raya No.21

South Jakarta

560

Four Winds

Jl. Permata Hijau Raya No.1

South Jakarta

122

Bellevue Place

MT Haryono, Tebet

South Jakarta

240

Kebayoran Icon

Jl. Ciledug Raya

South Jakarta

256

Sapphire Residence

Lebak Bulus

South Jakarta

St Moritz (The New Ambassador Suite Tower)

Jl. Puri Indah Kembangan

West Jakarta

The Windsor (Tower II)

Jl. Puri Indah

West Jakarta

164

Gianetti Apartment

Jl. Kebon Jeruk Raya, Kemanggisan

West Jakarta

500

Gallery West

Jl. Panjang No 5

West Jakarta

280

Belmont Residence (TowerAthena)

Jl. Meruya Ilir

West Jakarta

193

Puri Mansion Apartment (Tower A)

Puri Mansion

West Jakarta

900

Madison Park

Tanjung Duren

West Jakarta

1,200

Veranda

Jl. Pesanggrahan Raya, Kembangan

West Jakarta

174

Domaine

Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav 1

CBD

186

Verde Two (Tower East)

Jl. Rasuna Said

CBD

182

Anandamaya Residences (3 towers)

Jl. Jend Sudirman

CBD

500

Central 88 (2 Towers)

Jl. Trembesi, Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

612

Menteng Park

Jl. Cikini Raya No.79

Central Jakarta

756

Holland Village

Cempaka Putih

Central Jakarta

400

Royal Suites

Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

450

The Green Pramuka (Tower Nerine)

Jl. Jenderal Ahmad Yani

Central Jakarta

1,000

Green Signature Apartment

Jl. MT. Haryono

East Jakarta

800

Podomoro Park

Jl. I Gusti Ngurah Rai, Klender

East Jakarta

3,000

Bassura City (Tower Jasmine) 2 tower

Jl. Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

2,000

Bassura City (Tower Heliconia)

Jl. Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

700

La Terrasse

Jl. Deplu Raya No.12

South Jakarta

111

The Foresque

Pasar Minggu, Ragunan

South Jakarta

660

The Langham Residences

Senopati

South Jakarta

57

The Batik @ Pejaten

Jl. Siaga Raya

South Jakarta

200

La Foret Vivante

Jl. Limo, Permata Hijau

South Jakarta

253

Selatan 8 (Tower Sultan)

Kebayoran Lama

South Jakarta

336

The Hamilton

Jl. KHM Syafi'I Hadzami

South Jakarta

Puri Orchad (3 Tower)

Jl Raya Adicipta

West Jakarta

3,000

Maqna Residence

Jl. Meruya Ilir No. 88

West Jakarta

312

Vittoria Residence (3 tower)

Jl. Daan Mogot

West Jakarta

1,100

Wang Residence

Jl. Panjang No 18

West Jakarta

250

Taman Anggrek Residence (6 towers)

Tanjung Duren

West Jakarta

3,000

19 Avenue Apartment (Tower B)

Daan Mogot

West Jakarta

416

Regatta London Tower

Jl. Pantai Mutiara

North Jakarta

186

37
200

2017

112

continued

19

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

APARTMENT NAME

LOCATION

REGION

NO. OF UNITS
continuation

2018
Verde Two (Tower West)

Jl. Rasuna Said

CBD

152

Lavie

Jl. Denpasar Raya

CBD

320

South Hill

Jl. Denpasar Raya

CBD

611

Le' Parc

Jl. Thamrin

CBD

100

Regent Residences (tower 1)

Semanggi

CBD

100

Bassura City (Jasmine Tower)

Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

400

Bassura City (Haleconia Tower)

Basuki Rahmat

East Jakarta

400

Core Sky Residence

Pulo Gebang

East Jakarta

282

Sahid Garden Residence

Ciracas

East Jakarta

476

Gold Coast Apartment (Atlantic Tower)

Pantai Indah Kapuk

North Jakarta

568

Regatta Apartment (Tower New York)

Pantai Mutiara

North Jakarta

186

Sedayu City (Tower Berlin)

Jl. Pegangsaan Dua Raya

North Jakarta

912

The Kensington Royal Suites (4 Tower)

Kelapa Gading

North Jakarta

790

Jaya Ancol Seafront - Oceana Tower

Pademangan, Ancol

North Jakarta

524

Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Angelo)

Jl. Casablanca

South Jakarta

350

Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Bella)

Jl. Casablanca

South Jakarta

350

Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Milano)

Jl. Casablanca

South Jakarta

350

Pondok Indah Residences (3 Towers)

Pondok Indah

South Jakarta

880

Selatan 8 (Tower Prabu)

Jl. Raya Ulujami

South Jakarta

344

One Otium Residence

Jl. Pangeran Antasari No.8

South Jakarta

160

45 Antasari (2 Tower)

Antasari

South Jakarta

1,924

Arzuria Apartment

Jl. Tendean

South Jakarta

210

Pakubuwono Spring (2 towers)

Jl. Teuku Nyak Arief No.9

South Jakarta

545

Branz Simatupang (2 tower)

TB. Simatupang

South Jakarta

381

Synthesis Residence Kemang

Jl. Ampera Raya

South Jakarta

1,100

Ciputra International Puri Indah (Tower Amsterdam)

Puri Indah

West Jakarta

412

Grand Madison

Tanjung Duren

West Jakarta

300

Citra Lake Suites (Tower Rosewood)

Jl. Raya Kresek

West Jakarta

104

Citra Lake Suites (Tower Greenwood)

Jl. Raya Kresek

West Jakarta

126

Citra Lake Suites (Tower Oakwood)

Jl. Raya Kresek

West Jakarta

117

Citra Lake Suites (Tower Sherwood)

Jl. Raya Kresek

West Jakarta

122

Apartemen Taman Permata Buana

Taman Permata Buana

West Jakarta

550

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

20

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

Demand
Following a downturn trend in the previous quarter, the sales
of strata-title apartments, particularly in the primary market,
continued to record slow absorption. This slow market situation
was highlighted by low GDP growth and a rupiah depreciation
against the US dollar, which affected the overall economy of
Indonesia, particularly by lowering the purchasing power of the
middle class. The weakening local currency against the US dollar
has made construction costs more expensive, particularly for
upper- to luxury-class apartments, as 30 to 40% of the material
components are imported goods. Furthermore, the abundance
of supply puts the overall market in a tough situation since there
are about 80,000 units (during 2015 - 2018) being marketed. In
view of this, we expect to see a further softening in the strata-title
apartment market throughout 2015.

Take-up Rates Performance of Existing and Under


Construction Projects
AVERAGE TAKE-UP RATES

4Q 2014

1Q 2015

QoQ

Existing Projects

95.6%

95.7%

0.10%

Pre-Sales rate of Under Construction


Projects

72.1%

68.4%

-3.70%

87.00%

85.50%

-1.50%

Average
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Take-up Rates Performance of Existing Projects in


Three Major Areas
TAKE-UP EXISTING PROJECTS
CBD

4Q 2014
99.3%

1Q 2015

QoQ

99.3%

0.0%

South Jakarta

97.9%

97.6%

-0.3%

Non-Prime area

93.7%

94.0%

0.3%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

As of 1Q 2015, the overall average take-up rate for strata-title


apartments (both existing and under-construction projects) in
Jakarta was 85.5%, down slightly from the previous quarters
87%. The table above shows that existing apartment projects
in South Jakarta experienced a decrease in the take-up rates
from the previous quarter, while the non-prime area posted an
increase of 0.3% from the previous quarter but experienced a
drop for the under-construction projects. On the other hand, the
take-up rates for existing projects in the CBD apartment market
remain the same as the previous quarter, at 99.3%.

Take-up Rates Performance of Future Projects in


Three Major Areas
TAKE-UP EXISTING PROJECTS

4Q 2014

1Q 2015

QoQ

CBD

88.3%

83.9%

-4.4%

South Jakarta

78.0%

68.6%

-9.4%

Non-Prime area

69.4%

67.1%

-2.3%

The pre-sales activity of under-construction projects underwent


a declining trend in all regions of Jakarta. The take-up rate in
South Jakarta experienced the lowest drop, mostly due to the
abundant supply of newly-introduced or launched projects in
the last three years. Similar to South Jakarta, the pre-sales rate
in the CBD area also experienced a declining sales rate because
most of the projects saw slower absorption than in 2014. The
sales performance of under-construction projects is very much
affected by the influx of new projects. For example, one new
middle-upper class project entering the pre-sales stage put
downward pressure on the overall take-up rate during January
- March 2015. Similarly, the continued influx of new projects in
the non-prime area (including Central, North, West and East
Jakarta) has resulted in a downswing of the take-up rate by 2.3%
compared to the previous quarter.

Asking Price
Despite the lowering sales performance during the quarter,
average asking prices for strata-title apartments continued to
demonstrate an upward trend. As of 1Q 2015, the average asking
price of apartments in Jakarta rose by 3.7% QoQ to IDR28.7
million/sq m. Based on location, the new apartments in nonprime locations posted the highest price increase, followed by
South Jakarta and the CBD area. Benefiting from a relatively
lower price compared to South Jakarta and the CBD area, some
projects in non-prime areas are enjoying a good take-up rate and
that has helped the average price to improve. On the other hand,
the market perceives that the current prices of apartments in the
CBD have reached a peak.

Average Asking Price of Apartment per Sq m


4Q 2014

1Q 2015

CBD

ASKING PRICE/SQ M

43,472,842

44,135,684

1.5%

South Jakarta

32,033,471

32,713,013

2.1%

Non-Prime area

20,764,022

21,212,815

2.2%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

The pace of apartment prices in 2014 slowed compared to the


aggressive price growth in 2011 - 2013. The slowdown is in line
with the governments expectations, as they are very concerned
with the persistently soaring prices. This trend is expected to
continue throughout 2015 as the government is planning to
further tighten the real estate market by imposing taxes on a
broader range of the property segment.
Bank Indonesias target to curb the growth of property prices by
tightening the LTV (Loan to Value) regulation has shown results.
As on the chart below, the average QoQ changes of apartment
prices in 2014 has been relatively slower than the strong growth
since 2012 - 2013. During 2011 - 2013, the average QoQ changes
in apartment prices increased by 3.34%.

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

21

QoQ

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

QoQ Changes of Average Asking Prices of Apartment


in Jakarta
10%

Apartment For Lease


Supply
After Ascott Kuningan became available in the last quarter, there
was no new supply of apartments for lease during 1Q 2015.
As such, the total supply of both serviced and non-serviced
apartments in Jakarta remained at 8,519 units. The majority of
apartments for lease in Jakarta are designed to meet expatriate
standards with spacious sizes, and therefore these projects are
mainly found in the CBD and South Jakarta for two main reasons,
i.e. the locations are in close proximity to the commercial area
and are still in the catchment area of reputable international
schools.

9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%

The Distribution of Apartment for Lease by Area

2%
1%
0%
2011

2012

2013

2014

2015YTD

Non-prime
21%
CBD
44%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

The trend of slowing demand is likely to persist in the upcoming


quarters. To anticipate this, developers continue to offer
financing incentives like cash instalment payments and in some
cases, buyers are not required to make a down payment. This
payment scheme has become a preferable method of paying
since it does not require bank approval and offers flexibility to
manage the cash flow. Furthermore, developers, especially those
having strong working capital, are confident in offering longer
cash instalments for up to 60 months.

Payment Method
Apartment

Composition

Hard Cash
16%

in

Purchasing

Mortgage
26%

South Jakarta
35%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

The apartment for lease market in Jakarta was mainly dominated


by two global brands of serviced apartment operator, i.e. The
Ascott Limited and Frasers Hospitality. The Ascott Limited has
three brands in operation, Ascott Residence, Somerset and
Citadines. Frasers Hospitality has only Fraser Residence but in
the upcoming years, Fraser Hospitality will have Fraser Suites
(Ciputra World II), Fraser Place (Setiabudi Sky Garden) and
Capri by Fraser.
A strong operator brand for serviced apartments is a crucial
factor for differentiation from other products and to guarantee a
global service level. Several major serviced apartment operators
have multiple brands to serve different market segments.

Cash
Installment
58%
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

22

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

List of Serviced Apartments Managed by Ascott and Frasers


NAME OF DEVELOPMENT

YEAR OF
OPERATION

OPERATOR

LOCATION

TYPE

The Ascott Residence

1995

Ascott Limited

Kebon Kacang

Serviced Apartment

Somerset Grand Citra

1996

Ascott Limited

Satrio

Serviced Apartment

Countrywoods Residence

1996

Ascott Limited

WR Supratman, Ciputat

Serviced Apartment

Somerset Berlian

2006

Ascott Limited

Permata Hijau

Serviced Apartment

Fraser Residence Sudirman

2011

Frasers Hospitality

Setiabudi

Serviced Apartment

Citadines Rasuna Jakarta

2013

Ascott Limited

Rasuna Said

Condotel

Fraser Residence Menteng

2014

Frasers Hospitality

Menteng

Serviced Apartment

Ascott Kuningan Jakarta

2014

Ascott Limited

Satrio

Serviced Apartment

Fraser Place at Setiabudi Sky Garden

2015

Frasers Hospitality

Karbela Selatan

Serviced Apartment

Somerset Kencana Jakarta

2015

Ascott Limited

KHM Syafi'I Hadzami

Condotel

Fraser Suites at Ciputra World Jakarta 2

2016

Frasers Hospitality

Satrio

Serviced Apartment

Fraser Suites Kebon Melati

2018

Frasers Hospitality

Kebon Melati

Serviced Apartment

Capri by Fraser

2018

Frasers Hospitality

TB Simatupang

Condotel

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research and Fraser Cachet (Issue 18)

Occupancy
The apartment for lease market experienced a minor occupancy
decrease of 0.4% QoQ to 75.3%. Leasing activity during the
initial period of 2015 was relatively stagnant highlighted with
come and go tenants and the absence of new enquiries from
expatriates. This figure also marked a 0.9% decrease compared
to the same quarter in 2014. Moreover, it should be noted that
a large number of new middle-upper to upper class strata-title
apartments is likely to put downward pressure on occupancy
levels of apartments for lease. Generally, individually owned
apartment units are offered furnished, which meets expatriate
standards and taste.

The QoQ Occupancy Performance for Non-Serviced


Apartment
AREA
CBD

4Q 2015
84.5%

South Jakarta
Non-Prime area

1Q 2015

0.1%

77.1%

76.7%

-0.4%

74.9%

74.8%

-0.1%

The QoQ Occupancy Performance for Serviced


Apartment
4Q 2014

1Q 2015

QoQ change

CBD

78.7%

76.1%

-2.6%

South Jakarta

74.6%

75.5%

0.9%

Non-Prime area

51.8%

53.4%

1.6%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

To cope with this situation, some apartments for lease (both


serviced and non-serviced) offered more flexible leasing terms
and payment to entice tenants, allowing for short-term leasing.
Previously, the apartments for lease require a minimum lease
term of six months paid in advance. Recently, landlords are
offering monthly accommodation that can be paid monthly.

QoQ change

84.6%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

AREA

New enquiries were reportedly limited, with only a few


apartments in South Jakarta enjoying an increase in occupancy
during the reviewed quarter. Softening demand during this
quarter was mostly limited to inquiries from western expatriates.
The recent plunge in oil prices has impacted the overall
sluggish performance of apartments for lease in Jakarta as some
companies related to the oil business reduced the number of
their expatriates working in Jakarta. For some years, the oil and
gas industry has consistently driven the leasing market, mainly
for western expatriates.

Rental Rates
The average monthly rent of apartments for lease in Jakarta
persisted in its decline, falling 2% QoQ to USD21.8/sq m/
month. The overall downward trend in the rental rate was
triggered by sluggish demand in the previous year, which caused
management adjust rents to maintain the occupancy level.
Several apartments for lease are offered in local currency,
however with the weakening rupiah against the US dollar and
that the overall rental rates presented here are in US dollars, the
overall figure dropped somewhat. During the tenants market
in the coming period, rents are expected to soften during 2015
and this will characterise the whole leasing market.

23 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

Average Rental Rates of Apartment for Lease

Concluding Thought

USD 30.00

The government plans to introduce a new scheme of luxury


goods tax on residential property would adversely impact
property sales, particularly in the middle segment. Previously, a
5% luxury tax was expected to be imposed on property valued
at IDR10 billion but a revision is pending to reduce this to IDR2
billion. The planned revisions would encompass a much wider
range of property sales, as a IDR2 billion apartment in Jakarta is
currently considered as middle to middle-upper segment, which
comprises about 23% of the total existing apartments. On the
other hand, it is unlikely to have a dramatic impact on the upper
to luxury class apartments, since this kind of buyer will pay for a
high-quality product and is not relatively price sensitive.

USD 27.00

Rental Rates/sq m/month

USD 24.00
USD 21.00
USD 18.00
USD 15.00
USD 12.00
USD 9.00
USD 6.00
USD 3.00

CBD

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

USD 0.00

South Jakarta (inc. Non-Prime Area)

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

As mentioned above, some serviced apartments in the CBD


raised their rental rates by 3 to 5%. One serviced apartment
building adjusted the rental rate quite significantly and thus
impacted the drop of overall rental rates in the CBD. On the other
hand, apartments for lease in South Jakarta (including nonprime area), which mostly consist of non-serviced apartments,
kept the rental rate the same as in the previous quarter. In
addition, since many non-serviced apartments quote the rental
rate in rupiah, the strengthening US dollar impacted the overall
rental rates in US dollars.

The apartments for lease market is expected to remain quiet


in the upcoming quarters due to the current issues regarding
an additional regulation that will require foreigners to master
the Indonesian language before they are able to obtain a work
permit. This regulation may hamper the inflow of a number of
expatriates coming to Indonesia. In contrast, the establishment
of the ASEAN Economic Community should create a business
momentum that will gradually improve the Jakarta apartments
for lease market.

Average Rental Rates of Apartment for Lease


AREA

4Q 2014

1Q 2015

QoQ change

CBD

USD28.58

USD27.81

-2.7%

South Jakarta (including


non-prime area)

USD15.94

USD15.83

-0.7%

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

24

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

RETAIL SECTOR

Existing and Future Retail Space in Jakarta


West Jakarta

Supply

East Jakarta

Jakarta

North Jakarta

Jakarta Shopping Center Cumulative Supply

South Jakarta

5,500,000

Central Jakarta

5,000,000
4,500,000

CBD

4,000,000

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000


sq m

2,500,000
Existing Supply up to 2014

2,000,000
1,500,000

Future Supply in 2015 - 2018

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

4,500,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000

For Sale

For Lease

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

25

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

2018F

2017F

2016F

Experienced developers are still the main contributors of


additional supply of shopping centres in Jakarta. Agung
Podomoro Land (APL) and Pondok Indah Group will become
active contributors of new shopping centres in Jakarta. They will
provide around 48% of the total additional supply during 2015 2018.

5,500,000
5,000,000

2015F

Despite the limited number, Jakarta is expected to see more


shopping centres in operation after 2016. It is projected that there
will be around 500,000 sq m of new retail space by 2018. Other
than shopping centres that are currently under construction, at
least five future shopping centres, i.e. Mal Puri Indah 2, Pondok
Indah Mal 3, AEON Cakung, Shopping Mall at Podomoro Park
and Holland Village Mall are preparing to start construction in
2015. Some of those have confirmed that they will break ground
within the first half of 2015.

Jakarta Cumulative Supply Based on Marketing


Scheme

2015YTD

For the last five years, the growth of retail space in Jakarta has
been slack and this will likely continue in 2015 - 2016 when there
will be less than 100,000 sq m of additional supply contributed by
three shopping centres. With no new shopping centres operating
as of 1Q 2015, the cumulative supply of retail space in shopping
centres in Jakarta remained as it was in 2014 at 4.43 million sq m.

2014

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Pondok Indah Group plans to build two new shopping centres,


i.e. Puri Indah Mal 2 in West Jakarta and Pondok Indah Mal 3
South Jakarta. Both malls are expansions of existing projects.
Being announced several years ago, these projects will start to be
developed in 2015.

2013

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

2015YTD

2014

Annual Supply

2012

Existing Supply

2013

2012

2011

2010

While proceeding with the construction of New Harco Plaza,


Agung Podomoro is preparing to launch Podomoro Park in
Buaran, East Jakarta. Similar to their previous project (Podomoro
City in West Jakarta), the shopping mall in Podomoro Park will
be part of an integrated development together with apartments.

2010

500,000

sq m

1,000,000

2011

sq m

3,500,000
3,000,000

Greater Jakarta Area (BoDeTaBek Bogor, Depok, Tangerang, Bekasi)

Existing and Future Retail Space in BoDeTaBek

BoDeTaBek Shopping Center Cumulative Supply

Bekasi

3,000,000
Tangerang
2,500,000

sq m

2,000,000

Depok

1,500,000
Bogor

1,000,000
500,000

300,000

600,000

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

2015YTD

2014

Annual Supply

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

AEON Mall BSD seemingly will be the sole shopping centre in


greater Jakarta in 2015. Construction progress on it has been
quite significant and it is ready to open as the first AEON Mall in
Indonesia around mid-2015.
A joint venture of AEON with a local developer will build 20
shopping malls in Indonesia over the next eight years. Besides
BSD City, AEON will develop more malls in the greater Jakarta
area like Kota Deltamas in Bekasi Regency, Bogor and Sentul.
It is expected that those developments will be completed and
opened in 2018.
Without any new shopping centres being introduced this quarter,
the cumulative supply was identical to the previous quarter at
2.91 million sq m. It is expected that the greater Jakarta retail
market will see more new space than Jakarta with a projected
600,000 sq m of additional supply coming into the market by
2018. However, as of 1Q 2015, construction progress is only seen
at retail centres that are expected to begin operations in 2015 2016. This only represents 25% of the total additional supply in
2015 - 2018.
Larger additional supply in 2017 - 2018 will be contributed
mostly by shopping centres located adjacent to or integrated into
residences, both vertical and landed houses.

1,200,000
sq m

Future Supply in 2015 - 2018

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Overall, Jakarta and the greater area is anticipating additional 27


new shopping centres that will bring 1.1 million sq m of retail
space by 2018. Bekasi and Tangerang will be the two largest
contributors with around 500,000 sq m of projected additional
retail space at 10 shopping centres by 2018. These 10 projected
shopping centres will bring the cumulative supply in each of
those areas to more than a million sq m by 2018.
In addition to Bekasi, which will have seven future shopping
centres, Bogor will also see more additional retail space of
around 100,000 sq m by 2018, as they are only neighbourhood
category shopping centres.

BoDeTaBek Cumulative Supply Based on Marketing


Scheme
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000

sq m

Existing Supply

2013

2012

2011

2010

Existing Supply up to 2014

900,000

1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000

For Sale

For Lease

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

26

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015F

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

Despite the lower numbers, Tangerang will see larger additional


supply than Bogor, mostly due to the fact that future shopping
centres in Tangerang are regional shopping centres larger than
30,000 sq m.

In Jakarta, three regions including Central, South and West


Jakarta are areas actively contributing new shopping centres.
West Jakarta will be the largest contributor by providing 150,000
sq m of additional supply by 2018.

New Supply Pipeline


SHOPPING CENTERS

DEVELOPER

LOCATION

REGION

NLA (SQ M)

STATUS

Jakarta
2015
Pantai Indah Kapuk Mall

Agung Sedayu

Pantai Indah Kapuk

North Jakarta

30,000 Under Construction

Shopping Mall @ Pancoran

Agung Podomoro

Pancoran

South Jakarta

8,000 Under Construction

Agung Podomoro

Slipi

West Jakarta

40,000 Under Construction

Mal Puri Indah 2

Pondok Indah Group

Puri Indah

West Jakarta

50,000 In Planning

Grand Cipulir

Priamanaya

Cipulir

South Jakarta

30,000 In Planning

Holland Vilage Mall

Lippo Group

Cempaka Putih

Central Jakarta

40,000 In Planning

New Harco Plaza

Agung Podomoro

Glodok

West Jakarta

60,000 Under Construction

Mall @ Green Pramuka City

Duta Paramindo Sejahtera

Pramuka

North Jakarta

30,000 In Planning

Pondok Indah Mall 3

Pondok Indah Group

Pondok Indah

South Jakarta

60,000 In Planning

Mall at The City Centre

Kencana Graha Global

Mas Mansyur

Central Jakarta

65,000 In Planning

Shopping Mall at Podomoro Park

Agung Podomoro

Buaran

East Jakarta

40,000 In Planning

AEON Mall Garden City

AEON & Sinarmas

Cakung

East Jakarta

90,000 In Planning

AEON

Serpong

Tangerang

75,000 Under Construction

Bekasi Trade Centre 2

Gapura Prima

Bulak Kapal

Bekasi

56,000 Under Construction

Metropolitan Mall Cileungsi

Metropolitan Land

Cileungsi

Bogor

25,000 Under Construction

Vivo Sentul Lifestyle

Megapolitan

Cibinong

Bogor

30,000 In Planning

Vivo Sentul Trademall

Megapolitan

Cibinong

Bogor

13,000 In Planning

Living World Jababeka

Kawan Lama

Jababeka

Bekasi

18,000 In Planning

Plaza Indonesia Jababeka

Plaza Indonesia

Jababeka

Bekasi

20,000 In Planning

Hollywood Central

Graha Buana Cikarang

Cikarang

Bekasi

25,000 In Planning

Embarcadero

Lippo Group

Bintaro

Tangerang

40,000 In Planning

Grand Dhika City Mall

Adhi Persada Property

Bekasi

Bekasi

24,000 Under Construction

2016
Neo SOHO Mall (Podomoro City)
2017

2018

BoDeTaBek
2015
AEON Mall BSD
2016

2017

continued

27 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

SHOPPING CENTERS

DEVELOPER

LOCATION

REGION

NLA (SQ M)

STATUS

2018
AEON Mall Deltamas

AEON

Deltamas

Bekasi

90,000 In Planning

AEON Mall Bogor

AEON

Cibinong

Bogor

20,000 In Planning

AEON Mall Sentul

AEON

Sentul

Bogor

15,000 In Planning

Pesona Square

Menara Depok

Depok

Depok

30,000 In Planning

Kota Harapan Indah

Hasana Dharma Permai

Bekasi

Bekasi

51,000 In Planning

Lippo Grand Mall

Lippo Group

Karawaci

Tangerang

120,000 In Planning

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Demand and Occupancy


Since the second half of 2014, the occupancy rate of shopping
centres in Jakarta continues to increase QoQ. As of 1Q 2015,
several home furnishing and fashion retailers contributed to
increase the occupancy to 86.8%. Jysk and H&M are foreign
retailers that have entered the Jakarta market around 2013 2014. Jysk, a Danish retail chain selling household goods such
as mattresses, furniture and interiors, will be very expansive in
opening new outlets in 2015. This retailer opened three stores,
two of which are in Jakarta. H&M, will also open more stores in
Jakarta. Later, the Sweden-based retailer will open a store at a
mall in Pluit, North Jakarta.
The projected occupancy of shopping centres in Jakarta is
expected to increase at least until the next quarter. Some
tenants like home furnishings, fashion, department store and
supermarket seemingly are in the pipeline to open new stores.
When these pre-committed tenants open, retail space in Jakarta
will become limited.

Cumulative Supply, Demand and Occupancy in


Jakarta
3,500,000

100%
90%

3,000,000

80%

sq m

2,500,000

70%
60%

2,000,000

50%
1,500,000

40%
30%

1,000,000

20%

500,000

10%

0%
2010

Space Absorbed

2012
Vacant Space

2014
Occupancy

In 2014, quite a few shopping centres had large vacant spaces


due to their transformation by upgrading tenancy layouts and
faades. Apart from that, Jakarta also witnessed some dying malls.
With poor performance at these malls, some tenants anticipate
pulling out due to lower numbers of visitor and low transaction
volume. The decreasing performance of those shopping centres
will lead to a weakening occupancy of the overall Jakarta area.
Landlords should anticipate this and look for a way to attract
crowds to their malls.
Poorer performance was also recorded at middle to middle
low class shopping centres that are categorised as trade malls.
Occupancy levels at this class of shopping centres during 2014
continued to weaken. However, as of 1Q 2015, the occupancy at
middle class shopping centres started climbing while at middlelow shopping centres it continued to decline.
Conversely, upper class, including premium, malls maintained
a high level of average occupancy. Most shopping centres
recorded new space absorption from 500 to 2,000 sq m that were
taken by tenants, raising the occupancy of upper class shopping
centres to 91.2% as of 1Q 2015.
Based on area (CBD and Outside CBD), the occupancy of
shopping centres in the CBD was flat at 92% since the previous
year. With no additional supply for at least three years ahead,
tenant re-layout is the mostly activity found at shopping centres
in the CBD. A renewal tenancy list is one way for landlords to
attract a lot of visitors and maintain high occupancy rates.
Currently, a luxury mall around Thamrin made small changes
to their layout by relocating tenants from eX Plaza (a mall that
stopped operating in the middle of 2014). To maintain the
prestige, this mall had to select potential tenants to occupy the
space mostly on the top floor. Another mall in Thamrin also did
a re-layout due to the opening of a new department store, while
a mall in South Jakarta is also discussing refreshing their tenancy
mix.
After the declining trend in 2014, the average occupancy in the
outside CBD climbed moderately QoQ to 84.6% as of 1Q 2015.
On the contrary, South Jakarta saw a decreasing occupancy QoQ
due to a large vacant space available at a shopping centre in the
Cilandak area. This mall is in negotiations with some food and
beverage stores to occupy the vacant space.

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

28

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

The performance of newly operating shopping centres in 2013 2014 also helped move occupancy upwards in North, East and
West Jakarta. As of 1Q 2015, the occupancy in North and East
Jakarta were 83.7 and 87.4%, respectively. West Jakarta recorded

lower occupancy than those two areas. The opening of stores at


both newly operating and existing shopping centres maintained
the occupancy in West Jakarta at 80.9%.

List of New Tenants (of more than 1,000 sq m) during 2015 in Jakarta
NAME OF TENANT

TYPE OF RETAILER

OPEN AT

OPENING TIME

Jysk

Home Furnishing

Kuningan City

March

Jysk

Home Furnishing

Pejaten Village

March

XXI

Entertainment

Lippo Mall Puri

March

H&M

Fashion

Emporium

April

Matahari

Dept. Store

Pasaraya

June

H&M

Fashion

Lippo Mall Puri

June

Uniqlo

Fashion

PIK Mall

July

Lotte Mart

Supermarket

PIK Mall

July

Informa

Home Furnishing

PIK Mall

July

Ranch Market

Supermarket

PIK Mall

July

Golds Gym

Entertainment

Dharmawangsa Square

July

Debenhams

Dept. Store

Lippo Mall Puri

July

Ace Hardware

Home Furnishing

PIK Mall

October

Ace Hardware

Home Furnishing

Mall of Indonesia

November

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Annual Supply and Demand in Jakarta

Cumulative Supply, Demand and Occupancy in


BoDeTaBek

200,000
2,000,000

100%

160,000

90%

70%
1,200,000

80,000

60%
50%

800,000

40,000

40%
30%
20%

400,000

Annual Supply

10%

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

The performance of some shopping centres that operated in


2013 - 2014 also had a positive good impact on the occupancy
in greater Jakarta area, which climbed by 1.6% QoQ to 83.4% as
of 1Q 2015. Some committed tenants opened their stores after
those malls had been operating for two years. Similar to Jakarta,
home furnishing retailers were a major contributor which
helped maintain the occupancy in greater Jakarta high since
the second half of 2014. Jysk, Pongs, Informa and Ace Hardware
have opened progressively as of 1Q 2015 at shopping centres in
Depok and Tangerang.

0%
2010

Annual Demand

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

29

80%

sq m

sq m

1,600,000
120,000

Space Absorbed

2012
Vacant Space

2014
Occupancy

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

AEON Mall will be the sole shopping centre operating in 2015.


AEON Mall is expected to lure visitors due to its Japanese
mall concepts that are different from other operating malls
It is confirmed that and AEON own brand supermarket and
department store will occupy this mall, which is projected to
officially open in 2Q 2015.

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

Annual Supply and Demand in BoDeTaBek

Occupancy Based on Region in BoDeTaBek


100%

200,000

90%
160,000

80%
70%

sq m

60%
50%

120,000

80,000

40%
30%

40,000

20%
10%

Depok

Tangerang

2015YTD
Bekasi

Annual Supply

2014

2014

2013

2013

2015YTD

Bogor

2012

2012

2011

2010

2010

2011

0%

Annual Demand

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Committed Tenant in Future Shopping Centres


NAME OF SHOPPING CENTERS

PROJECTED COMPLETION

LOCATION

RETAILERS

Jysk

Home Furnishing

Margo City

February

Ace Hardware

Home Furnishing

Bintaro XChange

May

XXI

Entertainment

Aeon Mall

June

H&M

Fashion

Aeon Mall

June

Uniqlo

Fashion

Aeon Mall

June

Informa

Home Furnishing

Bintaro XChange

May

Ace Hardware

Home Furnishing

BTC City (BTC 2)

2016

Informa

Home Furnishing

BTC City (BTC 2)

2016

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

List of New Tenant of More Than 1,000 sq m During 2015 and 2016 in Jakarta and BoDeTaBek
PROJECTED
COMPLETION

LOCATION

PIK Mall

2015

Kapuk, North Jakarta

Blitz Megaplex, Muji, Gold Gym, Lotte Mart, Ace Hardware, Fun World, Ranch Market

Neo Soho Mall

2016

Slipi, West Jakarta

Central Department Store

Aeon Mall

2015

BSD City, Tangerang

Jysk, Aeon Supermarket, Aeon Department Store, H&M, Uniqlo

Bekasi Trade Center 2

2016

Bulak Kapal, Bekasi

Hypermart, Ace Hardware

Metropolitan Mall Cileungsi

2016

Cileungsi, Bekasi

Matahari, Gramedia, XXI

SHOPPING CENTERS

RETAILERS

Jakarta

BoDeTaBek

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

30

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

Space Absorption in the Future Shopping Centers


in BoDeTaBek

in Jakarta
2018F

2018F

2017F

2017F

2016F

2016F

2015F

2015F

2014

2014

60,000

120,000

Absorbed

180,000

240,000

sq m

Vacant Space

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

80,000

160,000

Absorbed

240,000
Vacant Space

320,000
sq m

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Based on committed demand, future shopping centres in 2015 2016 both in Jakarta and the greater Jakarta area have been 50%
absorbed as of 1Q 2015. Some committed tenants are ready to
open at shopping centres that are projected to begin operating
in 2015 - 2016.

Average Asking Rents and Service


Charges
Jakarta
Asking Base Rent (Sq m/month) Based on Class
IDR 1,000,000

Most shopping centres in Jakarta saw a similar range of asking


base rents YoY. As of 1Q 2015, the average base rent of shopping
centres in Jakarta was IDR521,783/sq m/month, up by 6.1%
YoY. The asking base rent of a typical floor was IDR359,706/
sq m/month while the highest rent achieved is typically found
on the ground floor where the average rent was, on average,
IDR674,741/sq m/month. Although the asking base rent was
relatively flat, landlords will charge 15 - 25% more when renewing
the contracts, which commonly have a three-year lease period.
Based on grade, since 2011, upper class malls experienced 10%
average growth of rents, while middle middle low class only
recorded 3% per year. The average asking base rent of upper class,
which was IDR921,237/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015, is expected
to increase. Limited vacant space and the plan to introduce new
rental rates will likely lift the average base rents in 2015.

IDR 900,000
IDR 800,000
IDR 700,000
IDR 600,000
IDR 500,000

Middle middle low class malls have begun to see high growth of
rents. In the previous year, the growth of the average rent of this
mall grade was 2.2%. In 2015, by climbing 2.9% YoY, the average
base rent was IDR343,991/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015. However,
the projected growth of rents will be modest as increasing rents
still have a strong impact on middle class retailers.

IDR 400,000
IDR 300,000
IDR 200,000
IDR 100,000
IDR 0
2010
Upper Class

2011

2012
Middle Low

2013

2014

2015YTD

Average

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

31 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

Average Asking Base Rent in Jakarta

There is a big gap in service charges between upper class and


lower class malls with a range of 35 to 55%. The average service
charge at middle middle low class shopping centres was
between IDR95,874 and 65,751/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015. It is
expected that the growth of service charges in 2015 will be higher
than in 2014. As an early indicator, the QoQ growth of service
charge as of 1Q 2015 was higher than QoQ changes in 2014.

IDR 1,000,000
IDR 900,000
IDR 800,000
IDR 700,000

Average Service Charge in Jakarta Based on


Location

IDR 600,000
IDR 500,000
IDR 400,000

IDR 200,000

IDR 300,000
IDR 200,000

IDR 160,000

IDR 100,000
IDR 0
2010

2011

2013

2012

CBD

2014

2015YTD

IDR 120,000

Outside CBD
IDR 80,000

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Since electricity tariffs and minimum wages increased in 2014,


the average service charge surpassed IDR100,000/sq m/month.
As of 1Q 2015, service charges at shopping centre in Jakarta
were IDR105,005/sq m/month, growing 9.4% YoY. Upper class
shopping centres had a rapid increase in service charges, to
IDR148,008/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015. Six upper class malls in
Jakarta have adjusted their service charges upward in the range
of IDR150,000 - 230,000/sq m/month as of 1Q 2015.

Average Service Charge in Jakarta Based on Class


IDR 200,000

IDR 40,000

IDR 0
2010

2011

2012

2013

CBD

2014

2015YTD

Outside CBD

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

BoDeTaBek
Average Base Rent in BoDeTaBek
IDR 400,000

IDR 160,000

IDR 360,000
IDR 320,000

IDR 120,000

IDR 280,000
IDR 240,000

IDR 80,000

IDR 200,000
IDR 160,000

IDR 40,000

IDR 120,000
IDR 80,000

IDR 0
2010
Upper Class

2011

2012

2013

Middle Low

2014

2015YTD

Average

IDR 40,000
IDR 0
2010

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Bogor

2011
Depok

2012

2013
Tangerang

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

32

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

2014

2015YTD
Bekasi

In greater Jakarta, with a range of IDR200,000 to 300,000/sq m/


month, the average asking base rent was IDR315,898/sq m/
month as of 1Q 2015. It grew 4.4% YoY. The average base rent of
shopping centres in Tangerang was the highest at IDR364,443/
sq m/month, while in Depok it was the lowest at IDR249,113/sq
m/month.

Concluding Thoughts

The projected asking base rent in greater Jakarta is expected to


increase in 2015. Some shopping centres that achieved high
occupancy rates still maintain base rents similar to the previous
year. With limited vacant space, the possibility of adjusting
asking base rents will be high in 2015.

Jakarta is still projected as a potential market for foreign retailers.


However, there is inadequate vacant space in the middle to
upper class mall particularly in the CBD. Several shopping
centers mitigate such situation by rearranging the tenancy mix
and selecting tenants with the capacity to attract crowd and lift
malls performance.

Average Service Charge in BoDeTaBek Based on


Region

Jakarta has to avoid a saturated situation of shopping centres


in terms of tenancy mix and mall atmosphere. Re-layout and
bringing in new tenants brings a fresh concept that is expected
to attract more visitors to shop.

IDR 120,000
IDR 100,000
IDR 80,000
IDR 60,000
IDR 40,000
IDR 20,000
IDR 0
2010
Bogor

2011
Depok

2013

2012

Tangerang

2014

2015YTD
Bekasi

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

The average service charge at shopping centres in greater Jakarta


was in the range of IDR70,000 - 80,000/sq m/month. The average
service charge in greater Jakarta was IDR79,947/sq m/month,
lower by 25% compared to that in Jakarta. Based on region, Bekasi
and Tangerang had the highest service charges at IDR85,052 and
82,449/sq m/month, respectively.
Five shopping centres, two in Tangerang, have adjusted their
service charge to between IDR100,000 and 125,000/sq m/month.
The highest service charge was recorded by two shopping centres
located in Bogor and Tangerang.

33 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Retail | Colliers International

Hotel Sector

Cumulative Supply of Star-Rated Hotel Rooms in


Jakarta
14,000

Star-Rated Hotel

12,000

8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000

60
50
40
30
20
10

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

5-star

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

34

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Hotel | Colliers International

5-star

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

4-star

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

70

4-star

2008

3-star

Cumulative Supply of Star-Rated Hotel Projects in


Jakarta

3-star

2007

2006

In 2015, there will be another luxurious hotel with 250 rooms


in the CBD area from The Westin - Starwood Hotels & Resorts
Group. By 2015, Colliers Indonesia expects an addition of 6,310
rooms in the starred-rated hotels, that will be mostly at 3-star
hotels.

10,000

2005

Most hotels in Jakarta are business hotels which rely mostly on


business activities of meetings, conferences and exhibitions. In
early 2015, two prominent names in the hotel industry officially
opened luxury class hotels in Jakarta area: Raffles Hotels &
Resorts with 173 rooms, and Fairmont Hotels & Resorts with
380 rooms. In contrast, the Jakarta hotel market saw a reduction
in the number of hotel rooms with the temporary closure of
the Four Season Hotel Jakarta. This was the Regent Hotel that
opened in 1995 and was operated by Four Seasons years later. As
of the end of 2014, the hotel called a halt to operations and will
re-open after three years of major renovations.

Future Hotel Development Pipeline


NAME OF DEVELOPMENT

STAR
RATED

STR GLOBAL
EQUIVALENT
RATE

LOCATION

NO. OF
ROOMS

REGION

PROJECTED
COMPLETION
TIME

Harris Hotel Hayam Wuruk

Midscale Class

Hayam Wuruk

Central Jakarta

265 2015

Harris Hotel Gunung Sahari

Midscale Class

Gunung Sahari

Central Jakarta

200 2015

Harris Hotel Cilandak

Midscale Class

Cilandak

South Jakarta

130 2015

Aston Neo

Midscale Class

TB Simatupang

South Jakarta

170 Q3 2015

Ibis Style

Midscale Class

Pantai Indah Kapuk

North Jakarta

200 Q4 2015

Prima Hotel

Midscale Class

Wahid Hasyim

Central Jakarta

150 Q4 2015

Santika

Midscale Class

TB Simatupang

South Jakarta

151 Q2 2016

Santika

Midscale Class

Yos Sudarso

North Jakarta

150 Q2 2016

Ibis Style

Midscale Class

Bangka Raya

South Jakarta

200 Q3 2016

The Acacia

Midscale Class

Kramat Raya

Central Jakarta

150 Q3 2016

Hotel @Fachrudin

Midscale Class

Tanah Abang

Central Jakarta

225 Q4 2016

Citizen M Hotel

Midscale Class

Mega Kuningan

South Jakarta

200 Q4 2018

Grand Mercure Kemayoran

Upscale Class

Benyamin Sueb, Kemayoran

Central Jakarta

200 2015

Novotel

Upscale Class

Pantai Indah Kapuk

North Jakarta

220 Q4 2015

SwissBelhotel - Kirana Commercial Avenue

Upscale Class

Boulevard Kelapa Gading

North Jakarta

300 Q3 2016

Aloft

Upscale Class

Wahid Hasyim

Central Jakarta

170 Q4 2017

Hotel @Perintis - South Tower

Upscale Class

Mega Kuningan

South Jakarta

Sheraton

Luxury

Gandaria

South Jakarta

300 Q3 2015

InterContinental

Luxury

Pondok Indah

South Jakarta

300 Q4 2015

St Regis

Luxury

Gatot Subroto

South Jakarta

124 2016

The Langham

Luxury

SCBD

South Jakarta

200 2017

Regent

Luxury

Gatot Subroto

South Jakarta

126 2018

Sofitel

Luxury

Mega Kuningan

South Jakarta

212 2018

112 2018

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research and STR Global

Budget Hotel
For the last couple of years, the budget hotel market has shown
exponential supply growth. As of 2015, there will be 1,164
additional hotel rooms. Since 2006, the Amaris brand (Santika
Group) has been the major budget hotel operators with ten hotels
under its management. Other active budget hotel operators
include Aston Group with Fave and NEO, Accor Group with
Ibis budget brand, and Tauzia Management with POP! and the
new brand called Yello. By the end of 2015, Tauzia Management
will dominate hotel development especially for budget hotels
around Indonesia.

Cumulative Supply of Budget Hotel (Economy Class)


in Jakarta
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

35 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Hotel | Colliers International

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Future Hotel Development Pipeline


NAME OF DEVELOPMENT

STR GLOBAL
EQUIVALENT RATE

LOCATION

REGION

NO. OF
ROOMS

PROJECTED
COMPLETION
TIME

POP! Hotel Pasar Baru

Economy

Pasar Baru

Central Jakarta

112

2015

POP! Hotel Wahid Hasyim

Economy

Wahid Hasyim

Whiz - Cipete

Economy

Cipete

Central Jakarta

90

2015

South Jakarta

180

2015

@HOM - Cawang

Economy

Cawang

POP! Hotel Gajah Mada

Economy

Gajah Mada

East Jakarta

80

2015

Central Jakarta

90

Whiz - Hayam Wuruk

Economy

Hayam Wuruk

Central Jakarta

200 2015

2015

Yello Hotel Hayam Wuruk

Economy

Hayam Wuruk

Central Jakarta

372 2015

Amaris TB Simatupang

Economy

TB Simatupang

South Jakarta

151 2015

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research and STR Global

There are three major groups of hotel management that


are actively expanding their business coverage, i.e. Tauzia
Management, Santika and Intiland. Santika, with the Amaris
brand has dominated the budget hotel market in Jakarta but
recently, Tauzia and Intiland are slowly trying to increase their
market share. By 2016, Tauzia Management will add four hotels
with at least 700 rooms in Jakarta, followed by Intiland, which
will expand with another two hotels providing at least 490 rooms.

Most Active Budget Hotel Operators Based on


Number of Rooms

Most Active Budget Hotel Operators Based on


Number of Hotels
16
14
12
10
8
6

1,600

1,400

1,200

1,000

Santika

Tauzia

800

Year to Date

600

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

400
200
0
Santika
Year to Date

Tauzia

Intiland

Projected Supply During 2015

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

36 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Hotel | Colliers International

Intiland

Projected Supply During 2015

Number of Passenger Through Soekarno - Hatta


Airport

The Composition of Foreign and Domestic Guests


100%

2,000,000

1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

Source: Jakarta Statistics

Performance

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Domestic

Foreign

Source: Jakarta Statistics

The YoY hotel performance is not great, particularly from an


occupancy rate standpoint. According to the STR Global data
point that Colliers refers to, the AOR (Average Occupancy Rate)
in February 2015 decreased quite significantly from 64.3 to
53.7%. This occurred not only in the CBD area but also outside
the CBD area. There were some factors that probably affect
this. First is Election Day when quite a few political parties held
congresses and other political activities in hotel raising the
occupancy rate prior to the legislative election. This explains
why the AOR in early 2014 was higher than in early 2015. Second
is the issuance of a new regulation, after the new cabinet was
inaugurated by the Ministry of Administrative and Bureaucratic
Reform that prohibits civil servants from holding meetings in
hotels. Apart from this, the relatively low occupancy rate will be
further challenged by the continuing new hotel development in
the future.

Since 2010, the number of passengers that arrived in Jakarta


showed an upward trend. By the end of 2014, the number of
passengers that arrived in Indonesia via Soekarno Hatta
International Airport had reached 2,246,437, a slight increase
from the previous year. The highest number arrivals was during
June to September.

37

2008

2007

For some time, hotel guests have been largely domestic. Most
foreign guests choose to stay in 5-star hotels, with some staying in
4-star hotels mainly for business trips. The majority of domestic
guests prefer to stay in 3-star hotels. In the last four years, the
average length of stay of foreign guests in 5-star hotels has been
slightly higher than that of domestic guests.

2,500,000

2006

At the end of 2014, the Indonesian Hotel and Restaurant


Association (PHRI) urged the government to postpone the policy
of banning all government institutions from holding meetings
and conferences in hotels and convention centres. In response
to this, it was indicated that government would relax the ban to
help boost hotel occupancy rates, which had decreased since
the implementation of this strict measure. The hotel association
expects that the ban relaxation will likely increase occupancy
rates in hotels located in remote areas by 10 to 20% where from
40 to 50% of revenues are sourced from government-related
events.

2005

Demand Driver

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Hotel | Colliers International

Average Occupancy Rate of Hotels in Jakarta


100%

Average Occupancy Rate of Hotels in the Outside


CBD Jakarta
100%

80%
80%
60%
60%
40%
40%
20%
20%
0%
Feb 2014
Jakarta

Feb 2015
CBD

0%
Feb 2014

Outside CBD

Feb 2015

Upper Upscale Class

Upscale Class

Source: STR Global

Average Occupancy Rate of Hotels in CBD Jakarta

Source: STR Global

The decreasing performance of AOR at hotels in Jakarta was


followed by the decreasing performance of the ADR (Average
Daily Rate). YoY comparison shows year-to-date ADR reached
USD94.09, down from USD98.15 in the same period last year.

100%

80%

Average Daily Rate of Hotels in Jakarta

60%

USD 140.00
40%
USD 120.00
20%

USD 100.00
USD 80.00

0%
Feb 2014

Feb 2015

Luxury Class

Upper Upscale Class

Upscale Class

Upper Midscale & Midscale Classes+

Source: STR Global

USD 60.00
USD 40.00
USD 20.00
USD 0.00
Feb 2014
Jakarta
Source: STR Global

38 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Hotel | Colliers International

Feb 2015
CBD

Outside CBD

Average Daily Rate of Hotels in CBD Jakarta


USD 200.00
USD 180.00
USD 160.00
USD 140.00
USD 120.00
USD 100.00
USD 80.00
USD 60.00
USD 40.00
USD 20.00
USD 0.00
Feb 2014

Feb 2015

Outside CBD

Luxury Class

Upper Upscale Class

Upscale Class

Upper Midscale & Midscale Classes+


Source: STR Global

Average Daily Rate of Hotels in the Outside CBD


Jakarta
USD 100.00

USD 80.00

USD 60.00

USD 40.00

USD 20.00

USD 0.00
Feb 2014

Feb 2015

Upper Upscale Class

Upscale Class

Source: STR Global

39

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Hotel | Colliers International

Industrial Estate
Sector
Supply
Commencing in 2015, around 50 ha of new industrial land were
introduced by Bekasi Fajar Industrial Estate. This new industrial
land stock is ready for sale. Sizeable industrial land remains
limited and thus far, many plans for expansion have yet to be
concluded.
In 2015, the industrial market will receive quite sizeable
new industrial land from the expansion of several industrial
estates. Apart from the 50 ha available above, around 5.4 ha is
also available from Suryacipta. Another expansion of 25 ha of
commercial area will also be contributed by Bekasi Fajar, This
parcel will be offered at a different price from the industrial lots.
Thus far, only around 80 ha were recognised as this quarters
supply.
One industrial estate located in Bekasi is accelerating the
conclusion of land acquisition and permitting as part of the
expansion plans for around 600 ha. This industrial estate has yet
to confirm that the 600 ha extension plan on which they are now
working will be ready at a specified time. Likewise, two industrial
estates in Serang are also working on expanding the industrial
land with a total area of more than 400 ha.
Apart from operating industrial estates that are actively
expanding their zone are several upcoming industrial estates
located mainly in Karawang that are part of a big consortium
called Trans Hexa Karawang.
Several industrial estates will focus on delivering industrial
land that they have sold to industrial tenants. At the same time,
expansion is still needed for developers to maintain sales. Land
acquisition is one issue that takes most of the time even when the
land has been part of the whole master plan.
While some expansion projects are still underway, the transaction
activity continues. However, we only recognise new supply when
land is ready for occupation with ready infrastructure.

40

The general issue in the industrial market remains the same, i.e.
the limited ready-to-build industrial land. Continued inquiries
for industrial land versus the limited stock of land on offer will
still characterise the overall industrial market although the
expectation of future industrial land is high. Since 2011, land
scarcity has been a major problem for most industrial estates,
and the substantial surge in land demand is at the crux of this
problem. In certain industrial estate locations like in Bekasi,
quite a few potential buyers seeking industrial land come to the
estate frequently there was less transaction recorded because
the land is limited. When the landlords have more bargaining
power, some of them that are located in highly demanded areas
like Bekasi or Karawang continue to sell raw land at the price of
ready-to-use land. Buyers are taking the position of acquiring
raw land at the current price to anticipate a further increase
when land is offered in a ready-to-use condition. Buying raw
land (at the ready-to-use price) is something common.

Demand
Total sales during 1Q 2015 was much underpinned by the sales
in the Serang area. In general, sales activity during the quarter
was quiet compared to the previous quarter. In Tangerang,
Millennium was the only active industrial estate.
Overall, sales of industrial land were sluggish in this early period
of the year. Sales activity within operating industrial estates was
relatively low. The good thing is that the total sales during 1Q
2015 was much underpinned by the sales at two industrial estates
in Serang involving around 42 ha of land. Land absorption is
definitely weakening compared to the same quarter last year.
However, we still see that the industrial market is strong with
potential buyers continuing to ask for industrial land, although
the inquiries are still sporadic.
Total sales in Serang during 1Q 2015 jumped quite substantially
compared to last quarter due to sales at two major industrial
estates in this area, from 17.15 ha to 42.05 ha this quarter.
KIEC reported about 9 ha of land sales (from the total planned
transaction of 18 ha). This piece of land was sold to coal
storage company, which is related to the cement industry.
Modern Cikande, on the other hand, consistently records sales
transactions and has been always be the main driver of the
overall transactions in the greater Jakarta area. Thus far, 33 ha
of land transactions in Modern Cikande were concluded by
five companies from the chemical, probiotic, lubrication, baby
diapers and F&B industries. All of these transactions were by
new companies.

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Industrial Estate | Colliers International

The Bekasi region concluded 30.78 ha of transactions mainly


contributed by Delta Silicon and GIIC. Other than that, two
industrial estates having smaller transactions were MM2100 and
Jababeka. Delta Silicon reported a total of 17.28 ha mainly from
warehouse companies and a small amount from workshops.
A total of 9 ha of land transactions were concluded by heavy
equipment and diaper companies this quarter in GIIC. The
auto-related industry acquired 3 ha of land in MM2100 while
smaller land parcels totalling 1.5 ha in Jababeka were sold to
various companies like auto-related industries, warehouses,
logistics and general commercial buildings.
With limited land to offer, total land transactions in Karawang
are still about the same as last quarter. Contributed only by
Suryacipta and KIIC, this quarters sales are only 6.4 ha, not very
different from last quarters 8.5 ha. A new chemical industry took
5.4 ha in Suryacipta, which helped Suryaciptas performance
after recording no transactions last quarter. This is the biggest
land transaction in Karawang for this quarter because KIIC
only recorded land sales of around 1.1 ha to a new auto-parts
company from Taiwan. In Karawang, two industrial estates
under the brand of Kota Bukit Indah did not record sales or
leasing transactions.

Total land sales transactions during 1Q 2015 were 82.18 ha,


lower than last quarter (representing around 80% of total sales
in 4Q 2014). Despite being lower than last quarter, the total land
transactions recorded during 1Q 2015 has already equalled 26%
of last years total sales. This suggests that the industrial market
has been on the right track to follow the sales trend of 2013 and
2014.

Land Sales Recorded During 1Q 2015 in Each


Industrial Estate
Modern Cikande
Delta Silicon
Krakatau Industrial Estate Cilegon
Greenland International Industrial
Suryacipta
MM2100 Industrial Town
Jababeka
Millenium

Again, Millennium industrial estate consistently recorded sales,


albeit a small one of 1.82 ha and this was the only transaction
during 1Q 2015 in Tangerang.
Similar to Tangerang, the Bogor region only concluded leasing
transactions at CCIE with a total of 1.1 ha from two workshoprelated companies.

Annual Industrial Land Sales

KIIC
0

1,200
1,000
800
600
400

Tangerang

Karawang

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2007

2006

2008

Bekasi

Serang

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

41

15

20

25

30

35

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Bogor

10

hectares

200

Jakarta

For the last year, automotive and related industries have not
been the main driver for industrial land absorption. Last year,
the automotive industry only ranked number three after the F&B
and logistics / warehouse industries. This quarter, the automotive
industry plunged to seventh position after consumer goods,
warehouse, F&B, building materials, chemicals, and heavy
equipment industries. However, this condition cannot be used
to predict the overall picture of new tenant composition for the
full year of 2015, as the market will be very dynamic. One thing
that we can opine is that the warehouse and logistics companies
together with consumer goods will be the most active tenants for
this year.

1,400

Hectares

CCIE

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Industrial Estate | Colliers International

Types of Activities Industries During 1Q 2015

Greater Jakarta Industrial Land Price


USD 250

USD 200

Medical
1.25%

USD 150

Bogor
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Land Price
One industrial estate in Bekasi introduced a new land price of
USD230/sq m, following the last quarters adjustment made by
the industrial estate adjacent to it. One industrial estate in this
location with the biggest land bank kept adjusting the land price
and monitored the price dynamics, particularly in Bekasi and
Karawang. To date, they adjusted the price from USD185 to 195/
sq m this quarter. Other than these two industrial estates, prices
have been stable. The average land price for available industrial
plots in Bekasi was registered at USD222.47, about the same as
the price last year.
Another industrial estate in Serang was also quite confident
with the new price of IDR1.9 million/sq m, representing a 8.5%
increase over last quarter. This brought the average industrial
land price in Serang to USD132.77/sq m (after converting from
local currency to US dollars).
Other than these two regions, industrial land prices are stable in
Bogor, Tangerang and Karawang. There might be a slight price
adjustment during 2015, depending on the economy and sales
performance for the full year of 2015.

42

Bekasi

Tangerang

Karawang

2015YTD

2014

2013

USD 0

2012

Food &
Beverage
13.60%

USD 50

2011

Consumer
Goods
27.99%

Automotive
5.48%

USD 100

2010

Plastics
1.22%

2009

Others
1.28%

2008

Chemicals
7.95%

Building
Material
10.95%

2007

Heavy
Equipment
Machinery
7.30%
1.34%

2006

Logistics/
Warehousing
21.64%

Serang

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Industrial Land Prices and Maintenance Costs*


REGION

LAND PRICE (PER SQ M)


LOWEST

HIGHEST

MAINTENANCE COSTS
(PER SQ M PER MONTH)

AVERAGE

LOWEST

HIGHEST

AVERAGE
USD 0.06

Bogor

USD 120.0

USD 218.7

USD 169.3

USD 0.06

USD 0.06

Bekasi

USD 195.0

USD 250.0

USD 222.5

USD 0.06

USD 0.08

USD 0.07

Tangerang

USD 148.4

USD 156.2

USD 152.3

USD 0.03

USD 0.08

USD 0.06

Karawang

USD 170.0

USD 200.0

USD 185.0

USD 0.05

USD 0.10

USD 0.06

Serang

USD 117.2

USD 148.4

USD 132.8

USD 0.03

USD 0.05

USD 0.04

*1USD = Rp 12,804
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Maintenance Cost
In general, maintenance costs stood at the same level as last
quarter. Only in Serang did two operating industrial estates
announce adjustments in service charges during the quarter
under review. The average service charge in Serang was IDR449/
sq m/month last quarter and in 1Q 2015 it rose to IDR592/sq m/
month.

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Industrial Estate | Colliers International

Greater Jakarta Industrial Maintenance Cost


$0.10

US$/sq m/month

$0.08

$0.06

$0.04

$0.02

Bogor

Bekasi

Tangerang

Karawang

2015YTD

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

$0.00

Serang

Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

Concluding Thought
The industrial market initiated the year with relatively good
performance with total sales for 1Q 2015 about a quarter of sales
in the full year of 2014. Albeit lower than last quarter, at least the
industrial market has signalled for further recovery as buyers
have been actively looking for industrial land during the quarter.
Land availability should not become a crucial issue, although
some prominent estates have find it difficulties in providing
big parcel land in prime location. Nevertheless several underconstruction industrial estates largely located in Karawang and
some other estates in Serang, Tangerang and Bekasi are working
on construction of industrial which would become significant
land bank in the future.
The cancellation of mega project Cilamaya port would broaden
the opportunity for industrial location to move further east to
Subang and Purwakarta. The government has indicated that
Cilamaya project would be shifted to other areas that would
not interfere with the very important Pertamina facilities for
distributing gas when the Cilamaya project is executed.

43

Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Industrial Estate | Colliers International

502 offices in
67 countries on
6 continents

Primary Authors:
Ferry Salanto
Associate Director | Jakarta
62 21 521 1400 ext 134
Ferry.Salanto@colliers.com

United States: 140


Canada: 31
Latin America: 24
Asia: 39
ANZ: 160
EMEA: 108

$2.3

billion in
annual revenue

Colliers International Indonesia


World Trade Centre 10th & 14th floor
Jalan Jenderal Sudirman Kav. 29 - 31
Jakarta 12920
Indonesia
TEL 62 21 521 1400

158

million square meters


managed

16,300

professionals
and staff

About Colliers International


Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 16,300 professionals
operating out of more than 502 offices in 67 countries. A subsidiary of FirstService Corporation, Colliers
International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owners and investors worldwide,
including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset management, hotel investment
sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightful
research. The latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the secondmost recognized commercial real estate firm in the world.
colliers.com

Copyright 2013 Colliers International.


The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to
ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult
their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.

Accelerating success.

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen