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Estimating Reserves
General Discussion
Managements decisions are dictated by the anticipated
results from an investment. In the case of oil and gas,
the petroleum engineer compares the estimated costs in
terms of dollars for some investment opportunity vs. the
cash flow resulting from production of barrels of oil or
cubic feet of gas. This analysis may be used in formulating policies for (1) exploring and developing oil and gas
properties; (2) designing and constructing plants, gathering systems, and other surface facilities; (3) determining
the division of ownership in unitized projects; (4) determining the fair market value of a property to be bought
or sold: (5) determining the collateral value of producing
properties for loans; (6) establishing sales contracts, rates,
and prices; and (7) obtaining Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) or other regulatory body approvals.
Reserve estimates are just what they are calledestimates. As with any estimate, they can be no better than
the available data on which they are based and are subject to the experience of the estimator. Unfortunately,
reliable reserve figures are most needed during the early
stages of a project, when only a minimum amount of information is available. Because the information base is
cumulative during the life of a property, the reservoir engineer has an increasing amount of data to work with as
a project matures, and this increase in data not only
changes the procedures for estimating reserves but, correspondingly, improves the confidence in the estimates.
Reserves are frequently estimated (1) before drilling or
any subsurface development, (2) during the development
drilling of the field, (3) after some performance data are
available, and (4) after performance trends are well established. Fig. 40.1 demonstrates (I) the various periods
in the life of an imaginary oil property, (2) the sequence
of appropriate recovery estimating methods, (3) the impact on the range of recovery estimates that usually results as a property ages and more data become available,
(4) a hypothetical production profile, and (5) the relative
risk in using the recovery estimates. Time is shown on
the horizontal axis. No particular units are used in this
chart, and it is not drawn to any specific scale. Note that
while the ultimate recovery estimates may become accurate at some point in the late life of a reservoir, the
reserve estimate at that time may still have significant risk.
During the last week of production. if one projects a
reserve of 1 bbl and 2 bbl are produced, the reserve estimate was 100% in error.
Reserve estimating methods are usually categorized into
three families: analogy, volumetric, and performance
techniques. The performance-technique methods usually
are subdivided into simulation studies, material-balance
calculations, and decline-trend analyses. The relative periods of application for these techniques are shown in Fig.
40.1. .2 During Period AB, before any wells are drilled
on the property, any recovery estimates will be of a very
general nature based on experience from similar pools or
wells in the same area. Thus, reserve estimates during
this period are established by analogy to other production and usually are expressed in barrels per acre.
The second period, Period BC, follows after one or
more wells are drilled and found productive. The well
logs provide subsurface information, which allows an
acreage and thickness assignment or a geologic interpretation of the reservoir. The acre-foot volume considered
to hold hydrocarbons, the calculated oil or gas in place
per acre-foot, and a recovery factor allow closer limits
for the recovery estimates than were possible by analogy
alone. Data included in a volumetric analysis may include
well logs, core analysis data, bottomhole sample information, and subsurface mapping. Interpretation of these
PETROLEUM
40-2
Fig. 4&l-Range
in estimates
of reservoir.
data. along with observed pressure behavior during early production periods, may also indicate the type of
producing mechanism to be expected for the reservoir.
The third period, Period CD, represents the period after delineation of the reservoir. At this time, performance
data usually are adequate to allow derivation of reserve
estimates by use of numerical simulation model studies.
Model studies can yield very useful reserve estimates for
a spectrum of operating options if sufficient information
is available to describe the geometry of the reservoir, any
spatial distribution of the rock and fluid characteristics,
and the reservoir producing mechanism. Because numerical simulators depend on matching history for calibration to ensure that the model is representative of the actual
reservoir, numerical simulation models performed in the
early life of a reservoir may not be considered to have
high confidence.
During Period DE, as performance data mature, the
material-balance method may be implemented to check
the previous estimates of hydrocarbons initially in place.
The pressure behavior studied through the materialbalance calculations may also offer valuable clues regarding the type of production mechanism existent in the reservoir. Confidence in the material-balance calculations
ENGINEERING
HANDBOOK
depends on the precision of the reservoir pressures recorded for the reservoir and the engineers ability to determine the true average pressure at the dates of study.
Frequent pressure surveys taken with precision instruments have enabled good calculations after no more than
5 or 6 % of the hydrocarbons in place have been produced.
Reserve estimates based on extrapolation of established
performance trends, such as during Period DEF, are considered the estimates of highest confidence.
In reviewing the histories of reserve estimates over an
extended period of time in many different fields, it seems
to be a common experience that the very prolific fields
(such as East Texas, Oklahoma City, Yates, or Redwater)
have been generally underestimated during the early
barrels-per-acre-foot
period compared with their later
performance, while the poorer ones (such as West Edmond and Spraberry) usually are overestimated during
their early stages.
It should be emphasized that, as in all estimates, the
accuracy of the results cannot be expected to exceed the
limitations imposed by inaccuracies in the available basic data. The better and more complete the available data,
the more reliable will be the end result. In cases where
property values are involved, additional investment in acquiring good basic data during the early stages pays off
later. With good basic data available, the engineer making
the estimate naturally feels more sure of his results and
will be less inclined to the cautious conservatism that often
creeps in when many of the basic parameters are based
on guesswork only. Generally, all possible approaches
should be explored in making reserve estimates and all
applicable methods used. In doing this, the experience and
judgment of the evaluator are an intangible quality, which
is of great importance.
The probable error in the total reserves estimated by
experienced engineers for a number of properties diminishes rapidly as the number of individual properties increases. Whereas substantial
differences
between
independent estimates made by different estimators for
a single property are not uncommon, chances are that the
total of such estimates for a large group of properties or
an entire company will be surprisingly close.
Petroleum Reserves-Definitions
and Nomenclature3
Definitions for three generally recognized reserve
categories, proved,
probable,
and possible,
which are used to reflect degrees of uncertainty in the
reserve estimates, are listed as follows. The proved
reserve definition was developed by a joint committee of
the SPE, American Assn. of Petroleum Geologists
(AAPG), and American Petroleum Inst. (API) members
and is consistent with current DOE and SEC definitions.
The joint committees proved reserve definitions, supporting discussion, and glossary of terms, are quoted as follows. The probable and possible reserve definitions enjoy
no such official sanction at the present time but are believed to reflect current industry usage correctly.
Proved Reserves Definitions3
The following is reprinted from the Journal of PetroleUM Technology (Nov. 1981, Pages 2113-14) proved
reserve definitions, discussion, and glossary of terms.
ESTIMATION
40-3
considering
current technology.
Glossary of Terms
Crude Oil
Crude oil is defined technically as a mixture of hydrocarbons that existed in the liquid phase in natural underground
reservoirs and remains liquid at atmospheric pressure after passing through surface separating facilities. For
statistical purposes, volumes reported as crude oil include:
(1) liquids technically defined as crude oil; (2) small
amounts of hydrocarbons that existed in the gaseous phase
in natural underground reservoirs but are liquid at atmospheric pressure after being recovered from oilwell
(casinghead) gas in lease separators*; and (3) small
amounts of nonhydrocarbons produced with the oil.
Natural Gas
Natural gas is a mixture of hydrocarbons
quantities of nonhydrocarbons that exists
gaseous phase or in solution with crude
underground reservoirs. Natural gas may
fied as follows.
and varying
either in the
oil in natural
be subclassi-
Associated Gas. Natural gas, commonly known as gascap gas, that overlies and is in contact with crude oil in
the reservoir. **
Dissolved Gas. Natural gas that is in solution with crude
oil in the reservoir.
Nonassociated Gas. Natural gas in reservoirs that do not
contain significant quantities of crude oil.
Dissolved gas and associated gas may be produced concurrently from the same wellbore. In such situations, it
is not feasible to measure the production of dissolved gas
and associated gas separately; therefore, production is
reported under the heading of associated/dissolved or
casinghead gas. Reserves and productive capacity estimates for associated and dissolved gas also are reported
as totals for associated/dissolved gas combined.
Natural Gas Liquids
Natural gas liquids (NGLs) are those portions of reservoir gas that are liquefied at the surface in lease separators, field facilities, or gas processing plants. NGLs
include but are not limited to ethane, propane, butanes,
pentanes, natural gasoline, and condensate.
Reservoir
A reservoir is a porous and permeable underground formation containing an individual and separate natural accumulation of producible hydrocarbons (oil and/or gas)
that is confined by impermeable rock and/or water barriers and is characterized by a single natural pressure
system.
PETROLEUM
40-4
ENGINEERING
HANDBOOK
Probable Reserves
OIL-WATER
CONTACT -7450
Possible Reserves
Fig. 40.2-Geological
map on
In most situations, reservoirs are classified as oil reservoirs or as gas reservoirs by a regulatory agency. In the
absence of a regulatory authority, the classification is
based on the natural occurrence of the hydrocarbon in the
reservoir as determined by the operator.
When sufficient subsurface control is available, the oilor gas-bearing net pay volume of a reservoir may be computed in several different ways.
1. From the subsurface data a geological map (Fig.
40.2) is prepared, contoured on the subsea depth of the
top of the sand (solid lines), and on the subsea depth of
the base of the sand (dashed lines). The total area enclosed
by each contour is then planimetered and plotted as abscissa on an acre-feet diagram (Fig. 40.3) vs. the corresponding subsea depth as the ordinate. Gas/oil contacts
(GOCs) and water/oil contacts (WOCs) as determined
from core, log, or test data are shown as horizontal lines.*
After the observed points are connected, the combined
gross volume of oil- and gas-bearing sand may be determined by the following methods.
Improved Recovery
Improved recovery includes all methods for supplementing natural reservoir forces and energy, or otherwise increasing ultimate recovery from a reservoir. Such
recovery techniques include (1) pressure maintenance, (2)
cycling, and (3) secondary recovery in its original sense
(i.e., fluid injection applied relatively late in the productive history of a reservoir for the purpose of stimulating
production after recovery by primary methods of flow or
artificial lift has approached an economic limit). Improved
recovery also includes the enhanced recovery methods of
thermal, chemical flooding, and the use of miscible and
immiscible displacement fluids.
GROSS
lf working I Sl umls, the depths WIII be expressed in meters and the planlmetered
areas enclosed by each contour w,ll be expressed I hectares The resultant hectaremeter plot can be treated exactly llke the following acre-foot example to yield reserw~
~oI!mes m cubic meters. (1 ha, m = 10,000 m3 )
[(0+8&42lt4(24)]
GAS-OIL
~2367
ACRE FEET
CONTACT
[W-42+
SAND VOLUME:
378 -242)+4(209-1061]=m
OIL-WATER
100
200
AREA
300
ENCLOSED
400
500
BY CONTOUR
Fig. 40.3-Acre-feet
diagram
CONTACT
600
ACRE FEET
ESTIMATION
40-5
Fig. 40.4-lsopachous
map-gas
So/3[(0+136)+4(24+103)+2(46)]=
12,267 acre-ft.
(The separate calculations of the volume of gross gasbearing sand and gross oil-bearing sand by means of Simpsons rule are shown in the diagram of Fig. 40.3.)
r. With somewhat less accuracy, computed by the
trapezoidal rule:
SO[%(O+ 136)+(24+46+
ss[(O+136)+2(24+46+
103)+J24x88
sand
available on many wells, it is sometimes justified to prepare an isopachous map of the number of porosity feet
(porosity fraction times net pay in feet) and compute the
total available void space in the net-pay section from such
an isopachous map by the methods discussed under Item
la, b, or c.
= 11,963 acre-ft.
43,5601/,@(1 -Siw)
*,
,
(1)
where
and
0.85x9,900=8,415
map-oil
+m
+d5icEm-m-J]
0.85 x2,367=2,012
Fig. 40.5-lsopachous
sand
4
S;,
B,
43,560
=
=
=
=
....
. . . .
. (2)
where
N = reservoir oil initially in place, STB,
V, = net pay volume of the oil-bearing portion
of a reservoir, acre-ft,
B, = oil FVF, dimensionless, and
7,758 = number of barrels per acre-foot.
Refer ,oChaps. 20 through 25 for delaled
properties. and correlalions.
40-6
PETROLEUM
TABLE
40.1--BARRELS
OF STOCK-TANK
OIL IN PLACE
ENGINEERING
HANDBOOK
PER ACRE-FT
Porositv. d
B
1.0
1.5
2.0
3.0
iwS
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.10
0.20
0 30
0.40
0.50
0.10
0 20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
349
310
272
233
194
233
206
182
155
128
175
155
136
116
97
116
105
89
78
66
698
621
543
465
388
465
411
365
310
256
349
310
272
233
194
233
209
178
155
132
1,047
931
615
698
582
698
617
547
465
384
524
465
407
349
291
349
314
268
233
198
1,396
1,241
1,066
931
776
931
822
729
621
512
698
621
543
465
388
465
419
357
310
264
1,746
1,552
1.358
1.164
970
1,164
1,028
912
776
640
873
776
679
582
485
582
524
446
388
330
2,095
1,862
1,629
1,396
1,164
1,396
1,234
1,094
931
768
1,047
931
815
698
582
698
628
535
465
396
2,444
2,172
1,901
1,629
1,358
1,629
1,439
1,276
1,086
896
1,222
1,086
950
815
679
815
733
625
543
462
Gs =
7,7581/,@(1 -s,,.)R.,
Bo
(3)
to small changes in the two-phase FVF, B,, an adjustment procedure, called the Y method, may be used for
the pressure range immediately below the bubblepoint.
The method consists of plotting values of
y= (Ph-PRPoi
pR(B,-B,,i)
Method5-8
In the absence of reliable volumetric data or as an independent check on volumetric estimates, the amount of oil or
gas in place in a reservoir may sometimes be computed
by the material-balance method.5 This method is based
on the premise that the PV of a reservoir remains constant or changes in a predictable manner with the reservoir pressure when oil, gas, and/or water are produced.
This makes it possible to equate the expansion of the reservoir fluids upon pressure drop to the reservoir voidage
caused by the withdrawal of oil, gas, and water minus
the water influx. Successful application of this method requires an accurate history of the average pressure of the
reservoir, as well as reliable oil-, gas-, and waterproduction data and PVT data on the reservoir fluids.
Generally, from 5 to 10% of the oil or gas originally in
place must be withdrawn before significant results can be
expected. Without very accurate performance and PVT
data the results from such a computation may be quite
erratic, 6 especially when there are unknowns other than
the amount of oil in place, such as the size of a free-gas
cap, or when a water drive is present.
When the number of available equations exceeds the
number of such unknowns, the solution should preferably be by means of the method of least squares. Because of the sensitivity of the material-balance equation
..........
. . . .(4)
where
ph =
pR =
B, =
Boi =
and
N,,[B,+O.l7XIB,(R,~-R,,)I-(W,,-~,,)
B,q
B,
B,,, rnB + B- -(m+
,q,
0,
I) I -
&RR(.,+S,,,,!)
1 -s,,,
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..~....
II
(5)
ESTIMATION
40-7
TABLE
Reservoir
40.2-CLASSIFICATION
OF MATERIAL-BALANCE
Material-balance
Type
Np]B, +0.1781B,(R,
EQUATIONS
Equation
-R,,)]-(W,
Unknowns
Equation
- WP)
N=
N, W,,
mB,,
Np[B, +0.1781B,(Rp
-I?,,)]+
w,
N=
N. m
N, W,
N, W,
10
11
ma,,
Initially undersaturated
oil reservoir
with active water drive (m =0):
1. Above bubblepoint
N,U
N=
2. Below bubblepoint
N=
-S,,)
1(1
we-WP
+APpRco) - ~
B,,
-c,)l
Npl~,+0.f781B,(R,-R,,)1-(W,-W,)
8, -60,
N,(l
+W&J-
(1 -St,)
01
N=
QJDR[c,+c,-S,,(c,-c,)l
NJ!3,
2. Below bubblemint
+ O.l781B,(R,
-R,,)]+
W,
N=
6, -go,
G=
G,B,
-5.615(W,
- WP)
W,
12
B, --By
=O)
where
N,,
R,,
R.,,
w,,
w,,
Aj?R
=
=
=
=
=
=
B,pi =
III =
f =
c,, =
G,B,
+5.615W,
G
G=
6,
13
-B,,
PETROLEUM
40-8
ENGINEERING
HANDBOOK
TABLE 40.3-CONDITIONS
FOR UNIT-RECOVERY
EQUATION.
DEPLETION-TYPE
RESERVOIR
Initial Conditions
Reservoir
Interstitial
Free gas,
Reservoir
pressure
water, @SW, bbllacre-ft
&S,, bbllacre-ft
oil, bbllacre-ft
$58
0
7pp58
7,758
7,758$~(l - S,, -S,,)
7,758$41 -s,,)
1-S
Stock-tank
oil, bbl/acre-ft
7,758
7,7584
d2
BO,
'SubstIMe
Ultimate Conditions
1 -s&v -s,,
B
w
IS used.
'
.'."
(14)
where S,, is the residual free-gas saturation under reservoir conditions at abandonment time, fraction, and B,,
is the oil FVF at abandonment, dimensionless. The key
to the computation of unit recovery by means of this equation is an estimate of the residual free-gas saturation S,,
at the ultimate time. If a sufficiently large number of accurate determinations of the oil and water saturation on
freshly recovered core samples is available, an approximation of S,, may be obtained by deducting the average
total saturation of oil plus water from unity. This method
is based on the assumption that the depletion process
taking place within the core on reduction of pressure by
bringing it to the surface is somewhat similar to the actual depletion process in the reservoir. Possible loss of liquids from the core before analysis may cause such a value
for S,, to be too high. On the other hand, the smaller
amount of gas in solution in the residual oil left after flushing by mud filtrate has a tendency to reduce the residual
free-gas saturation. Those using this method hope that
these two effects somewhat compensate for each other.
A typical S,, value for average consolidated sand, a
medium solution GOR of 400 to 500 cu ftibbl, and a
crude-oil gravity of 30 to 4OAPI is 0.25.
Either a high degree of cementation, a high shale content of the sand, or a 50% reduction in solution GOR may
cut this typical S,, value by about 0.05, while a complete
lack of cementation or shaliness such as in clean, loose
unconsolidated sands or a doubling of the solution GOR
may increase the S,, value by as much as 0.10.
At the same time, the crude-oil gravity generally increases or decreases the S,, value by about 0.01 for every 3API gravity.
Example Problem 1. A cemented sandstone reservoir has
an interstitial
water content
a porosity $=0.13,
S,,,.=O.35, a solution GOR at bubblepoint conditions,
/?,I, =300 cu ftibbl, an initial oil FVF B,,; = 1.20, an oil
FVF at abandonment B,, = I .07, and a stock-tank oil
gravity of 40API. Based on the above considerations,
the higher-than-average oil gravity would just about offset the effect of the somewhat lower-than-average GOR.
and the residual free-gas saturation S,, after a 0.05 reduction for the cementation can therefore be estimated at 0.20.
ESTIMATION
40-9
N,, =(7.758)(0.13)
l-0.35
l-O.35
-0.20
1.07
= 122 STBiacre-ft
>
(16)
[I57 m3/ha.mj.
L+L)
(?c), .,....,.......
(17)
while the GOR history, in standard cubic feet gasistocktank barrel, may be computed by
(18)
where R is the instantaneous producing GOR, in standard
cubic feet per stock-tank barrel, and the relative production rate in barrels per day by
APR
B, dR,
d(liB,s)
S,,+(I -s,, -s,,, )B,L!-+s,,--dlR
B,, kR
. ..t...
.I..........,.........
PL,,k,.,
dB,,
ko
I-,?k,,, BdrR
(15)
where
S, = oil or condensate saturation under reservoir
conditions, fraction,
PLO= reservoir oil viscosity, cp,
PLK= reservoir gas viscosity, cp,
k, = relative permeability to gas as a fraction of
absolute permeability, and
k, = relative permeability to oil as a fraction of
absolute permeability.
The individual computations are greatly facilitated by
computing and preparing in advance in graphical form
the following groups of terms, which are a function of
pressure only,
Poi
PR
.
where
90
kc,
km
Poi
40;
=
=
=
=
=
(19)
PETROLEUM
40-l 0
TABLE
40.4-COMPUTED
DEPLETION
RECOVERY
IN STBIACRE-FTIPERCENT
POROSITY
ENGINEERING
FOR TYPICAL
HANDBOOK
FORMATIONS
Solution
GOR
(cu ftlbbl)
Oil
Gravity,
(OAPI)
cRsb)
-70
Unconsolidated
Consolidated
Highly Cemented
Vugular
Fractured
;z
50
15
30
50
15
30
50
30
50
50
7.2
12.0
19.2
7.0
11.6
19.4
7.6
10.5
15.0
12.3
12.0
10.6
4.9
8.5
13.9
4.6
7.9
13.7
4.8
6.5
9.7
7.6
7.2
6.4
1.4
4.9
9.5
1.8
4.4
9.2
2.5
3.6
5.8
4.5
4.1
4.0
2.6
6.3
11.8
2.6
5.8
11.4
3.3
0.4
18
5.1
0.5
1.5
4.4
0.9
60
200
600
1,000
2,000
Sand or Sandstone
(S,, = 0.25)
(G,,h =(N,h(R,,):!=N
(R.7,-R,\)-5.615
.., . ..(21)
4. Determine the k,lk,, ratio corresponding to the total liquid saturation (S,), and compute the instantaneous
GOR at p2 by means of
....
R* =R,$ +ui15$+.
RPK
..
(22)
ro
RI +R,
---[VP)2
2
-VP) 11,
. (23)
Limestone, Dolomite or
Chert (S,, =0.15)
4.7
7.2
5.4
4.8
(4.3)
(1.2)
(2.1)
(1.6)
(1.2)
(1.5)
equality signifies that at each pressure step the cumulative gas, as determined by the volumetric balance, is the
same as the quantity of gas produced from the reservoir,
as controlled by the relative permeability ratio of the rock,
which in turn depends on the total liquid saturation.
Although the Tamer method was originally designed for
graphical interpolation, it also lends itself well to automatic digital computers. The machine then calculates the
quantity of gas produced for increasing oil withdrawals
by both equations and subtracts the results of one from
the other. When the difference becomes negative, the
machine stops and the answer lies between the last and
next to last oil withdrawals.
Tarners method has been used occasionally to compute recoveries of reservoirs with a free-gas cap or to
evaluate the possible results from injection of all or part
of the produced gas. When a free-gas cap is present, or
when produced gas is being reinjected, breakthrough of
free gas into the oil-producing section of the reservoir is
likely to occur sooner or later, thus invalidating the assumption of uniform oil saturation throughout the producing portion of the reservoir, on which the method is based.
Since such a breakthrough of free gas causes the instantaneous GOR (Eq. 18) as well as the entire computation
method to break down, the use of Tamers method in its
original form for this type of work is not recommended.
It should also be used with caution when appreciable gas
segregation in an otherwise uniform reservoir is expected.
Computed Depletion-Recovery Factors. Several investigators9, 12-14 have used the Muskat and Tarner methods
to determine the effects of different variables on the ultimate recovery under a depletion mechanism. In one such
attempt I2 the k,lk,
relationships for five different types
of reservoir rock representing a range of conditions for
sands and sandstones and for limestones, dolomites, and
cherts were developed. These five types of reservoir rock
were assumed to be saturated under reservoir conditions
with 25 % interstitial water for sands and sandstones and
15 % for the limestone group and with 12 synthetic crudeoil/gas mixtures representing a range of crude-oil gravities from 15 to 5OAPI and gas solubilities from 60 to
2,000 cu ft/STB. Their production performance and
recovery factors to an abandonment pressure equal to 10%
of the bubblepoint pressure were then computed by means
of depletion (Eq. 15).
ESTIMATION
10.0
z
2
1.0
e
=
P
0.1
0.01
5
TOT
PER
Notes:
interstitial water is assumed to be 30% of pore space and deadoil viscosity at reservoir temperature to be 2 cp.
Equilibrium gas saturation is assumed to be 5% of pore space.
As here used ultimate oil recovery is realized when the reservoir pressure has declined from the bubblepoint pressure to atmospheric pressure.
FVF units are reservoir barrels per barrel of residual oil.
Solution GOR units are standard cubic feet per barrel of residual
oil.
Example 1:
Required: Ultimate recovery from a system -having a bubblepoint pressure = 2,250 psia, FVF = 1.6, and a solution GOR.
Procedure: Starting at the left side of the chart, proceed
horizontally along the 2,250-psi line to FVF = 1.6. Now rise vertically 10 the 1,300-scflbbl line. Then go horizontally and read an
ultimate recovery of 23.8%.
Example 2:
F)eqoired:Convert the recovery figure determined in Example 1 to tank oil recovered.
Data requirements: Differential liberation data given in Example 1. Flash liberation data: bubblepoint pressure = 2,250 psia,
FVF = 1.485, FVF at atmospheric pressure = 1.080 for both flash
and differential liberation.
FORMATIONVOLUME FACTOR
Procedure: Calculate the oil saturation at atmospheric pressure by substituting differential liberation data in the equation as
follows:
N,, (ultimate
place.
oil recovery)=29.3%
in
Fig. 40.6-Chart
for estimating ultimate recovery from solution
gas-drive reservoirs.
ties and lower viscosities appear to improve the recovery. The effect of GOR on recovery is less pronounced
and shows no consistent pattern. Apparently the beneficial effects of lower viscosity and more effective gas
sweep with higher GOR is in most cases offset by the
higher oil FVFs.
In general, these data seem to indicate a recovery range
from the poorest combinations of 1 to 2 bbl/acre-fi for
each percent porosity to the best combinations of 19 to
20 bbllacre-Mpercent porosity. An overall average seems
to be around 10 bbliacre-ftlpercent porosity.
It is also of interest to note that when the reservoir is
about two-thirds depleted, the pressure has usually
dropped to about one-half the value at bubblepoint.
PETROLEUM
40-12
. (24)
(1 -S*)I[
1 -@*)I]
(s*)4
k ro
(25)
equarelawhich
either
In a statistical study of the actual performance of 80 solution gas-drive reservoirs, the API Subcommittee on
Recovery Efficiency I6 developed the following equation
for unit recovery (N,,) below the bubblepoint for solution gas-drive reservoirs, in stock-tank barrels per
acre-foot*:
N,, =3,*44 [ 44;,y
1.6 x (2-J
0.1741
x(s,
,)O.3722x !k
IM
( >
With progressively deeper drilling, a number of oil reservoirs have been encountered that, while lacking an active water drive, are in undersaturated condition. Because
of the expansion of the reservoir fluids and the compaction of the reservoir rock upon pressure reduction, substantial recoveries may sometimes be obtained before the
bubblepoint pressure pb is reached and normal depletion
sets in. Such recoveries may be computed as follows.
The oil initially in place in stock-tank barrels per acrefoot at pressure pi is according to Eq. 2,
..
.
73758x4i(1-Siw)
where 4; is initial porosity. By combining this expression with the material-balance equation (Eq. 10). the
recovery factor above the bubblepoint in stock-tank barrels per acre-foot may be expressed as
Np=
7375Wi(Pi-Pb)[Co
+Cf-Siw(cc~-~w)l
I (27)
Boi[lfco(Pi-Pb)l
.. .
(26)
where
k = absolute permeability,
P,~ =
Pa =
pb =
o.0979
Pa
B ob =
HANDBOOK
Boi
ENGINEERING
darcies,
oil FVF at bubblepoint, RBLSTB,
oil viscosity at bubblepoint, cp,
abandonment pressure, psig, and
bubblepoint pressure, psig.
of interstitial water in
pb =
#Ii =
s 1M
=
B oh =
B o(1 =
70 =
CO =
cw =
Cf =
S,, =
Rsb =
3,500 psig,
0.17,
0.40,
1.45,
1.15,
32 to 33API,
13x10-6,
2.7~10-~,
1.4x10-6,
0.22, and
900 cu ft/bbl.
ESTIMATION
40-13
+O.O011807y~i,
143.50
+O.O001208OT,
. .
(28)
where N,, =ultimate oil production from saturation pressure ph to 500 psi, in stock-tank volume per reservoir
volume of hydrocarbon pore space.
It is claimed that this correlation will give values within 10% of those calculated by the more rigorous procedure previously outlined.
PETROLEUM
40-14
s?
lbfil
-Al
VE A
!I
HANDBOOK
ENGINEERING
--i
Example Problem 4. Welge2s presents a typical calculation of gas-cap drive performance for the Mile Six Pool
in Peru.
Given:
0=
&O
I
0.50 0.60
0.70
S&GAS
SATURATION,
FRACTION
OF
HYDROCARBON
FILLED
PORE SPACE
Fig. 40.7-Frontal-drive
method in gas-cap
1,902x IO6
average cross-sectional
drive
=1.235x106
If the capillary-pressure
forces are neglected.
fractional-flow equation of gas is
the
(294
E=
k sin @A@,--pR)
..
36%.,qr
(29b)
where
fX =
E =
8 =
A =
5.615NB,
q,(df,,dS;)
1,540
sq ft,
k, = 300 md,
8 = 17.50,
ps = 0.0134 cp,
Po = 1.32 cp,
q, = 64,000 res cu ft!D [I8 125 res m/d],
B,, = 1.25,
B, = 0.0141
N = 44~ lo6 STB [6.996x106 m],
R,, = 400 cu ft/bbl [71.245 m/mJ,
PO = 0.78 g/cm, and
Ph = 0.08 g/cm 3
Solution. The performance history calculations
given in Table 40.5 in a slightly simplified form.
are
area =
(30)
ESTIMATION
40-15
first producing the reservoir under a depletion-type mechanism until the gas has been practically exhausted, then
by gravity drainage. A thorough discussion of the many
aspects of gravity drainage will be found in the classic
paper by Lewis.32
Several investigators 33m36have attempted to formulate
gravity drainage analytically, but the relationships are
quite complicated and not readily adaptable to practical
field problems. Most studies agree, however, that the occurrence of gravity drainage of oil will be promoted by
low viscosities, p,, , high relative permeability to oil, k,,
high formation dips or lack of stratification, and high density gradients (p, -p,). Thick sections of unconsolidated sand with minimal surface area, large pore sizes, low
interstitial water saturation, and consequently high k, appear to be especially favorable.
These factors usually are combined in a rate-of-flow
equation. which states that such flow must be proportional
to (k,,lp,)(p,, -p,) sin 8, in which 8 represents the angle of dip of the stratum. Smithj7 compared the values
of this term for a dozen reservoirs, some of which had
strong gravity-drainage characteristics and some of which
lacked such characteristics.
When expressing k,,, in millidarcies, p,, in centipoises,
and p,, and pI: in g/cm, it was found that for reservoirs
exhibiting strong gravity-drainage characteristics the value
of the term (k,,ip,)(p,
-P,~) sin 0 ranged from 10 to
203 and that in reservoirs where gravity-drainage effects
were not apparent, this function showed values between
0.15 and 3.4.
TABLE
40.5~PERFORMANCE-HISTORY
CALCULATION
s: =
S near
Outget Face
0.30
a 35
ro k
0.197
0.140
krok,,
0.715
0.364
0.496
0.642
0.395
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.102
0.097
0.067
0.045
0.210
0.200
0.118
0.0715
0.739
0.752
0.829
0.885
f,
df,lds;
1 .a7
1.81
1 .25
0.94
Recover; Fraction
of Oil in Place
Flowing GOR =
If,41 -01(&/Q
x5. I??
l+R,
7.1
7.3
10.6
14.1
0.534
0.535
0.586
0.622
1.808
1.908
2.811
4.227
PETROLEUM
40-16
TABLE 40X-CONDITIONS
FOR UNIT-RECOVERY
EQUATION,
WATER-DRIVE
RESERVOIR
Reservoir pressure
Interstitial water,
bbllacre-ft
Reservoir oil,
bbllacre-ft
Stock-tank oil,
bbllacre-ft
Initial Conditions
Ultimate
Conditions
Pi
Pa
7,75848,,
7,75&S,,
7.756@(1 -S,,)
7,758@,,
Recovery-Efficiency
Equation
where N,,. is the unit recovery by water drive, in stocktank barrels, and S,, is the residual oil saturation, fraction. The ROS at abandonment time may be found by actually submitting cores in the laboratory under simulated
reservoir conditions to flooding by water (flood-pot tests).
Another method commonly used is to consider the oil satuTABLE
40.7-RECOVERY-EFFICIENCY
Reservoir
Number
1
2
3
4
5
$I
0.179
0.170
0.153
0.192
0.196
Factor
The unit recovery should be multiplied by a permeabilitydistribution factor and a lateral-sweep factor before it may
be applied to the computation of the ultimate recovery for
an entire water-drive reservoir.
These two factors usually are combined in a recoveryefficiency factor. Baucum and Steinle3 have determined
this recovery-efficiency factor for five water-drive reservoirs in Illinois. Table 40.7 lists the recovery efficiencies for these reservoirs, together with some other
pertinent data.
Average Recovery Factor From
Correlation of Statistical Data
In 1945, Craze and Buckley,39,40 in connection with a
special API study on well spacing, collected a large
amount of statistical data on the performance of 103 oil
reservoirs in the U.S. Some 70 of these reservoirs produced wholly or partially under water-drive conditions.
Fig, 40.8 shows the correlation between the calculated
ROS under reservoir conditions and the reservoir oil viscosities for these water-drive reservoirs. The deviation
of the ROS from the average trend in Fig. 40.8, vs. permeability, is given by the average trend in Fig. 40.9. The
deviation of the ROS from the average trend in Fig. 40.8,
vs. reservoir pressure decline, is given by the average
trend in Fig. 40.10.
Example Problem 5. In a case where the porosity,
4=0.20, the average permeability, k=400 md, the interstitial water content, Si,=O.25, the initial oil FVF,
B,, = 1.30, the oil FVF under abandonment conditions,
B, = 1.25, the initial reservoir oil viscosity, pLo= 1.O cp,
and the abandonment pressure, pu =90% of the initial
pressure, pi, determine the average ROS.
Solution. S,, may be estimated as 0.35+0.03-0.04=
0.34 and the average water-drive recovery factor from
Eq. 31 is
l-O.25
N,,.=(7,758)(0.20)
0.34
>
=473 STBlacre-ft
FOR WATER-DRIVE
S,,
B,
S,,
Unit-Recovery
Factor
(bbl/acre-ft)
0.400
0.340
0.265
0.370
0.360
1.036
1.017
1.176
1.176
1.017
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
526
592
504
500
653
RESERVOIR
Actual
Recovery
(bbllacre-ft)
429
430
428
400
482
Recovery
Efficiency
(O/o)
82
73
85
80
74
Average = 79
From
flood-pot tests
HANDBOOK
ration as found by ordinary core analysis after multiplying with the oil FVF at abandonment, B,)O, as the residual
oil saturation in the reservoir to be expected from flooding with water. This is based on the assumption that water
from the drilling mud invades the pay section just ahead
of the core bit in a manner similar to the water displacement process in the reservoir itself.
- S,,)IB,, 7,75&S~B,,
7,7584(1
ENGINEERING
ESTIMATION
40-17
lo.30
..
5,
F :: *a20
Lsk
3a
LiL
1 8 lO.O
02
20
?I+
0
OIL
h i0
g 6 -o .,o
& L
4
EE
-0.20
2
g
0
0.2
-0.30
0.4 06
IO
20
40
60
100
EC0
20
40
Fig. 40.8-Effect
-0.2159
..
(32)
where symbols and units are as previously defined except permeability, k, is in darcies, and pressure, p, is in
psig.
Example Problem 6. For the same water-drive reservoir used previously and assuming pwi =O.S cp, the API
statistical equation yields the following unit recovery
factor:
(0.20)(1-0.25)
N,, =4,259
1.30
1.0
x-
100
200
400
AVERAGE PERMEABILITY
lcco
EOW
4oM)
Io.ow
OF RESERVOIR; MILLIDARCIES
Fig. 40.9-Relation
between deviation of ROS from average
trend in Fig. 40.8 and permeability water-drive sand
fields.
fw=
1
1 +(k,lk,,,,)(pJp,)
. (33)
.0422
-0.2159
( >
0.9
= 504 STB/acre-ft
Because data were arrived at by comparing indicated
recoveries from various reservoirs with the known parameters from each reservoir, the estimated residual oil
and the average recovery factor based on these correlations allows for a recovery-efficiency factor (permeabilitydistribution factor times lateral-sweep factor) that is not
present in the unit-recovery factor based on actual residual
oil as found by flood-pot tests or in the cores.
because Eq 32 IS empirlcally darned, conversion to metric units jmJ/ha.m)
mulbpl~cark?m of Nup by 1.2899
requires
20
RESERWR
40
60
SO
PRESSURE DECLINE: PER CENT
100
Fig. 40.10--Relation
between deviation of ROS from average
trend in Fig. 40.8 and pressure-decline water-drive
sand flelds.
PETROLEUM
40-18
ENGINEERING
HANDBOOK
3 1.0
5 0.9
2
k-~0.8
d
5 0.7
Iz
- 0.6
ii?
:
0.5
1.05
Iv..
.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
WATER
0.6
0.7
SATURATION,
FRACTION
0.8
0.9
S,,
TIME
OF PORE SPACE
YEARS
Fig. 40.11-Fraction
of water flowing in total stream f, and
slope off, curve df,/dS,,
vs. water saturation S,,
(example: frontal-water-drive problem).
Fig.
Fig. 40.12 is a plot of the results of the performancehistory calculation from Table 40.8. If the economic limit
is taken to be a WOR of 50, then it can be noted from
Fig. 40.12 that the unit-recovery factor will be 575
bbllacre-ft to be recovered in 20.7 years.
5.615 NB,
t= qr(df,,,dSi,*,)
..
(34)
40.12-Example
of frontal-drive problem, unit-recovery factor, and WOR vs. time.
Effect of Permeability
Distribution t41-44
ESTIMATION
TABLE
40-l 9
40.8-WATER-DRIVE
PERFORMANCE-HISTORY
Time
1w
~ S,,
0.545
0.581
0.605
0.634
0.673
0.718
0.619
0.655
0.675
0.697
0.720
0.748
fw
df,JdS,w
(years)
0.800
0.875
0.910
0.940
0.970
0.990
2.70
1.69
1.29
0.95
0.64
0.33
3.94
6.29
8.24
11.19
16.61
32.21
Residual Oil
Saturation
(1 -S,,)
0.381
0.345
0.325
0.303
0.280
0.252
CALCULATION*
Unit-Recovery
Factor
(bbl/acre-ft)
WOR =
f,/l -f,
441
484
507
534
561
594
4.0
7.0
10.1
15.7
32.3
99.0
N = 597,000 STB,
ao, = 1 30,
o=o 20.
S,, =0 25, and
qr = 200 E/D x 5 615 cu ftlbbl = > ,222 ,esewow cu fl/D
PETROLEUM
40-20
TABLE
40.9-WATER
DRIVE
PERMEABILITY-BLOCK
(15)
(16)
(17)
(18)
400,
n
/
200.
0
G.--
I
I
~100
g
80-
40
I
I
1
I
I
I
- ECONOMIC
, .9
WOR=5Ojmi
60kIMIT
5 50 -T---q---
I
I
I
RECOVERY
FACTOR
=297
BBL/ACRE, FT@
WOR =50
20
lOI
0
RECOVERY
31
200
FACTOR,
,
400
I
600
BBL/ACRE-FT
Fig. 40.13-Example
of modified Stiles permeability-block
method WOR vs. recovery factor.
HANDBOOK
CALCULATIONS
Total
>lOO
8.5
181.3
1.541
0.159
0.173
0.185
0.65
0.475
726
1.541
1.700
15.5
61.7
50 to 100
10.9
69.0
0.752
0.150
0.195
0.154
0.63
0.53
693
2.293
0.948
35.9
52.1
25 to 50
14.5
34.4
0.499
0.152
0.200
0.131
0.60
0.61
722
2.792
0.449
76.5
36.0
10 to 25
21.2
16.1
0.341
0.130
0.217
0.107
0.56
0.66
623
3.133
0.108
307.7
21.3
0 to 10
44.9
2.4
0.108
0.099
0.222
0.185
0.54
0.47
415
3.241
0
4op5
175.6
61.7
75.5
72.0
42.5
8.9
260.6
61.7
75.5
104.7
85.1
17.9
344.9
61.7
75.5
104.7
132.1
44.7
418.7
61.7
75.5
104.7
132.1
186.3
560.3
Group
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
(9)
(10)
(11)
(12)
(13)
(14)
ENGINEERING
100.0
3.241
ESTIMATION
TABLE
40-21
40.10-PSEUDOCRITICAL
CALCULATIONS
Volume %
or
MO&
Component
(11
Methane
Ethane
Propane
lsobutane
Normal butane
lsopentane
Normal penlane
Hexanes
86.02
7.70
4.26
0.57
0.87
0.11
0.14
0.33
343.5
550.1
666.2
733.2
765.6
630.0
847.0
914.6
Factor
(10.73)z(460+TR)
PR
. . . (35)
Critical
Pressure
2x3
100
(;:)
Critical
Temperature
(2)
100.00
(77
673
708
617
530
551
482
485
434
(5)
296-42.4
26.4
4.2
6.7
0.9
1.2
3.0
362.6
2x4
100
(3)
572
54.5
26.3
3.0
4.8
0.5
0.7
1.4
663.2
Fig. 40.14B-Compressibility
factors for natural
sures of 10,000 to 20,000 psia.
Fig.
40.14A-Compressibility
gases
et
pres.
40-22
PETROLEUM
RESERVOIR
PRESSURE
Fig. 40.15-Gas
FVF 8,
1
B&l
460+ T,
--------Z
460+60
14.17
= ~
p,+14.7
and reciprocal
RESERVOIR
Fig. 40.16-Gas
p,+14.7
460+60
14.7
460+T,
8,
40.1 I-PSEUDOCRITICAL
CALCULATIONS
FROM SPECIFIC GRAVITY
Specific gravity
of Gas
(Air=l.O)
Pseudocritical
Temperature (OR)
(460+ OF)
Pseudocritical
Pressure (psia)
(14.7+ psig)
0.55
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1 .oo
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
1.60
1.65
348
363
392
422
451
480
510
540
570
600
629
658
673
674
672
669
665
660
654
648
641
632
623
612
600
593
460+ T,
p-z
460+60
gas FVF
pR+14.7
14.7
460+60
~460+T,
1
z
vs. pressure,
OF
HANDBOOK
14.17
= ~
p,+14.7
FVF 8,
1
-=
TABLE
PRESSURE
and reciprocal
gas FVF
ENGINEERING
OF.
460+60
z=O.O2827(46O+T,)i.
PR
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (36)
Typical values of the gas FVF, B, , and the reciprocal
gas FVF, l/B,, for different temperatures and pressures
and for gases of specific gravities between 0.6 and 1.0
will be found in Figs. 40.15 through 40.19.
In estimating gas reserves, the estimator should be careful to indicate clearly the pressure base at which the
reserves are stated. Reserves at a base pressure of 14.4
psia will be approximately 16% greater than the same
reserves stated at a base pressure of 16.7 psia.
ESTIMATION
40-23
400
0.4
as
xx)
0.2
02
01
ma
2"
g
0.06
=
L
a04
Y
3
a02
6
s
H
e
QOl
o.cca 3
0.006
a004
l.ow
RESERVilR
PRESSURE
Fig. 40.17-Gas
&)
14.17
= ___
p,+14.7
FVF 6,
and reciprocal
1
<-
RESERVOIR
IN PSI GAUGE
460+T,
-----z
460+60
Fig. 40.18-Gas
gas FVF
pR +14.7
14.7
PRESSURE
460+60
1
z
OF.
a002
lO.OCQ
460+T,
-z
460+60
14.17
= ~
p,+14.7
FVF 6,
and reciprocal
460+T,
Jpoo Jpoo
IN PSI GAUGE
Ip,)
gas FVF
1
-=
pR +14.7
8,
14.7
460+60
~460+T,
1
z
OF
The standard pressure base for the states of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas is 14.65 psia (14.4 Ibm plus 4 oz/sq
in.); for Colorado, Louisiana, Nebraska, Mississippi,
Montana, New Mexico, and Wyoming it is 15.025 psia
(14.4 lbm plus 10 oz/sq in.); and for California it is 14.73
psia).
Gas In Place
According to Eq. I, the gas in place in a reservoir containing nonassociated gas and interstitial water, but no
residual oil, in standard cubic feet of free gas, is
GFj =
43,56OV,$( 1 -S,,)
B,
Oftentimes the recoverable gas from a reservoir is estimated by multiplying the gas in place by an overall recovery factor.
For example, with a pressure gradient of 46.5 psi/l00
ft of depth, a surface temperature of 74F, a temperature
gradient of 1.5F/lOO ft of depth. a specific gravity of
the gas of 0.7, and a recovery factor for blanket highpermeability formations of around 80%, typical values
of the recoverable gas in thousands of cubic feet per acrefoot is found in Table 40.12 for various combinations of
porosity, $J, and interstitial-water content, S;,.
The numbers in Table 40.12 are not directly applicable to wide-spaced low-permeability formations, such as
those which require fracturing or other stimulation tech-
RESERVOIR
PRESSURE
FVF B,=-
Fig. 40.19-Gas
and reciprocal
1
B,-
p,+14.7
________14.7
lo,)
IN PSI GAUGE
14.17
pR +14.7
460+T,
-z
46Ot60
gas FVF
460+60
460+T,
OF.
PETROLEUM
40-24
TABLE
40.12-TYPICAL
VALUES
OF RECOVERABLE
ENGINEERING
GAS,
f&f/acre-ft
Porositv d
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.35
0.30
0.30
0.25
0.25
0.20
0.15
37
77
122
159
215
255
277
294
311
166
263
342
463
549
598
634
671
121
249
395
512
695
823
896
951
1,006
172
355
565
732
993
1,176
1,281
1,359
1,437
216
444
706
915
1,241
1,470
1,601
1,699
1,797
276
569
903
1,171
1,589
1,882
2,049
2,175
2,300
342
705
1,120
1,451
1,970
2,333
2,540
2,695
2,851
HANDBOOK
Depth, ft
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
15,000
80
niques to produce at commercial rates. In such cases allowance should be made for the fact that the economic
limit of production may be reached before the entire spacing unit is depleted. Known or suspected lenticularity of
the gas-bearing formation also should be taken into account in estimating the potential drainage area.
Unit Recovery for a Gas Reservoir Without
Water Drive
Dry Gas. The unit-recovery factor (the theoretically possible ultimate recovery from a homogeneous unit volume
of pay under idea1 conditions) for a dry-gas reservoir
without water influx is equal to the gas initially in place
at pressure pi, minus the gas remaining under abandonment pressure at ultimate recovery. pu, both expressed
in standard cubic feet per acre-foot of sand (Table 40.12).
By difference, the unit recovery for a dry-gas reservoir,
in standard cubic feet of gas per acre-foot, is
G,,=43,56OW;..)($-&),
of a recombined sample. If such an analysis is not available, an approximation may be made on the basis of the
fact that the amount of free gas corresponding to 1 cu ft
of condensate is usually about 150 to 200 scf. Based on
an average figure of 175 cu ft (1 m3 of condensate on
the average corresponds to 175 std m3 of gas), the unit
recovery in terms of residue or sales gas, when the residual condensate saturation in the reservoir at abandonment
time is S,,, and the average produced gas/condensate ratio is R, scf/bbl, may be estimated, in standard cubic feet
residue gas per acre-foot, as
Gl,/ =43,560@------
RP
1 -s,,,. -so,
R, + 175
- 175 s,,
B ,W
..
. (38)
>
S,, may be estimated from a material-balance calculation
on the condensate present in the reservoir gas under initial conditions, and the condensate to be recovered during the depletion of the reservoir in the surface separation
equipment.
Effect of Permeability
Distribution
ESTIMATION
40-25
TABLE
40.13-CONDITIONS
FOR UNIT RECOVERY
EQUATION
IN A DRY-GAS RESERVOIR
Reservoir
pressure
.(39)
ql: =C*k,h,p*,
Free gas,
scf/acre-ft
(41,)I
Cl(k#)lP,
PI
(-->
PI
Ultimate Conditions
PI
P.3
43,56OQS,,
43,56O~S,,
43,5604(1 -S,,)
B,l
.(40)
in which Ct and Cz are constants and $h and h, are effective hydrocarbon porosity and effective thickness, respectively
It will be assumed that a large number of core analyses
are available on a gas reservoir, which are divided in permeability groups as shown on Table 40.13. The average permeability, k , for each group is then corrected to
the relative gas permeability,J,, , at the given Si,V saturation. The average porosity. 4. for each group is corrected also to the effective hydrocarbon-bearing
porosity,
+/, =4(1 -s,,, 1.
It will further be assumed that each permeability group
represents a separate and distinct homogeneous layer having a relative gas permeability k, and a hydrocarbonfilled porosity 4h equal to the average for each group.
Each layer is sealed off from the others and feeding into
a common wellbore that is exposed to zero pressure.
To keep the computations as simple as possible it will
further be assumed that the ideal-gas laws are applicable. The same method may be applied by taking the deviation from the ideal-gas laws into consideration, by
assuming other than zero wellbore pressure, and by taking
into account liquid condensation in gas-condensate reservoirs, but such computations soon become rather unwieldy.
By the time Group I, comprising the highest permeability, is bled down to a pressure p t , a time 1 has expired,
which according to Eq. 39 is equal to
t=
Interstitial
water, cu ftl
acre-ft
Initial Conditions
43,56Oc$(i-S,)
B !F
(44)
while the cumulative production from all layers as a fraction of the total gas in place in all layers is
,1
~(~~),(h,),,[l-(P,ipi)l
1
(41)
G P
.,.......
G,Z
-I
..(42)
(43)
(46)
II
PETROLEUM
40-26
TABLE
40.14-PERMEABILITY-BLOCK
METHOD
Group (n)
(I) Permeability,
lO<k<lOO
range
l<k<lO
3
O.l<k<l
25.26
3.36
0.34
0.05
(3) dJh
0.070
0.068
0.045
0.022
(4) kg/d,
360.8
1
WITHOUT
WATER
Total
HANDBOOK
DRIVE
Percent of Initial
rate and
gas in place
0.01 <k<O.l
(2)kg
ENGINEERING
49.4
7.56
2.27
0.13692
0.02095
0.00629
170
530
889
622
2,211
(7) k,n
4,294
1,780
302.3
31 .l
6,407.4
( = 100%)
63)(ON
11.90
36.04
40.00
13.68
101.62
( = 100%)
0.2500
268.4
8.92
0.7088
894.3
10.49
0.9408
267.6
2.37
0.9815
30.0
0.25
1,460.3
22.03
( = 22.8%)
( = 21.7%)
0.0400
6.9
11.42
0.2333
96.9
27.63
0.6654
133.8
13.38
0.8688
23.5
1.79
261.1
54.22
( = 4.07%)
( = 53.4%)
0.0099
0.0681
8.2
33.59
0.3231
31.6
27.08
0.6139
11.7
5.28
51.9
77.73
(=0.81%)
(= 76.5%)
(6) Number
of samples,
Assume (p,/p,)=4
Pressure (p,lp,)
= [ 1 + 3(5)] -
Rate= (7)(pJp,)
Cumulative = (8)[ 1 -@,/p,)]
Assume (p,/p,)=25
Pressure (p,/p,)
= [ 1 + 24(5)] -
Rate= V)(p,@,
1
Cumulative = (8)[1 - (p,/p,
Assume (p,/p,)=
101
Pressure @,/p,)
=[l + 100(5)] -
)I
0.4
11.78
Rate = (7)(pJp, I*
Cumulative=(8)[1
-(pJp,)]
Production-Decline
Curves35*54-58
General Principles
20
CUMULATIVE
40
60
IN PER
Fig. 40.20-Permeability-block
water dcive.
80
100
OF GAS IN PLACE
ESTIMATION
40-27
TABLE
40.15-SAMPLE
LIMIT
CALCULATION
FOR A WELL
OF ECONOMIC
28.00
Crude price per bbl
2.00
Gas revenue per bbl
$30.00
Total
1.43
Less production taxes
Less royalty (12.5% after production
3.57
taxes)
$25.00
Leaves net income per gross bbl
Estimated direct operating cost at
$2,500 per month
economic limit
Estimated
economic-limit
100
rate
gross
bbllmonth
The pwe and taxabon of 011and gas has changed slgniflcantly ,n the history
of the industry Theestlmated price antiopated to be in effect at abandonment
time are appropriate for this calculation
a=--=--
dt
dqldt
4 .
..
.... .
..__ (47)
... .
.... ....
. . . (481
40-26
PETROLEUM
TABLE
Rate
Cumulative
Rate
0.9975000
0.9950063
0.9925187
0.9900274
0.9875623
0.9850934
0.9826307
0.9801741
0.9777237
0.9752794
0.9728412
0.9704091
0.9416938
0.9138282
0.8867872
0.8605463
0.8350820
0.8103711
0.7863915
0.7631215
0.7405400
DECLINE
0.9950000
0.9900250
0.9850750
0.9801495
0.9752488
0.9703725
0.9655206
0.9606931
0.9558896
0.9511101
0.9463546
0.9416228
0.8866535
0.8348932
0.7861544
0.7402610
0.6970466
0.6563550
0.6180388
0.5819595
0.5479863
0.9975000
1.9925063
2.9850250
3.9750624
4.9626248
5.9477182
6.9303489
7.9105230
8.8882467
9.8635261
10.8363673
11.8067763
23.2641790
34.3825469
45.1719121
55.6420099
65.8022881
75.6619141
85.2297847
94.5145332
103.5245374
0.9950000
1.9900250
2.9700999
3.9502494
4.9254981
5.8958706
6.8613913
7.8220843
8.7779739
9.7290840
10.6754386
11.6170614
22.5559511
32.8562594
42.5552644
51.6880687
60.2877255
68.3853585
76.0102745
63.1900692
89.9507277
Curves
dyidt
9 , . . . . ..~....................
(49)
-.
(50)
After integrating a second time, the cumulative production at time t is obtained as expressed by the rateicumulative relationship:
N
,............................
In F,
a
HANDBOOK
4% PER MONTH)
Effective Decline
1% oer Month
0.9925000
1.9775563
2.9552246
3.9255604
4.8886187
5.8444541
6.9731207
7.7346722
8.6691622
9.5966435
10.5171686
11.4307899
21.8742023
31.4155252
40.1326804
48.0968584
55.3731006
62.0208300
68.0943366
73.6432212
78.7127999
Rate
Cumulative
0.9900000
0.9801000
0.9702990
0.9605960
0.9509900
0.9414801
0.9320653
0.9227447
0.9135173
0.9043821
0.8953383
0.8863849
0.7856781
0.6964132
0.6172901
0.5471566
0.4849910
0.4298890
0.3810471
0.3377544
0.2993804
0.9900000
1.9701000
2.9403990
3.9009950
4.8519851
5.7934652
6.7255306
7.6482753
8.5617925
9.4661746
10.3615128
11.2478977
21.2178644
30.0550922
37.8882772
44.8314939
50.9858562
56.4409899
61.2763380
65.5623173
69.3613447
..
. . . . .._..........t......
(53
41
q=qJl+na,t)p.
. .
. (56)
..
(57)
Under certain conditions, production obtained by gravity drainage will follow this type of decline for the exponent n = % (Ref. 35). The rate/time relationship then reads
. . . ..___.....................
in which F, =q;/q,,
Eq. 51,
4;
q= [1 +(aj,2)t,2
...
..
to
Cumulative
(51)
Rate
0.9925000
0.9850562
0.9776683
0.9703358
0.9630583
0.9558354
0.9486666
0.9415516
0.9344900
0.9274813
0.9205252
0.9136212
0.8347038
0.7626031
0.6967304
0.6365477
0.5815635
0.5313287
0.4854332
0.4435021
0.4051929
N,-
=4i-Y
DECLINE
Effective Decline
J/4% per Month
Cumulative
(EFFECTIVE
Effective Decline
%% oer Month
Effective Decline
l/4% per Month
Time
(months)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
24
36
48
60
72
84
96
108
120
40.16-CONSTANT-PERCENTAGE
ENGINEERING
_.
,(54)
N 3
P -(&
a,
-4).
. (58)
relationship
. (59)
t gq-1)
(I
. . . . . . . . . . ..I..
ai
. (60)
ESTIMATION
TABLE
40.16-CONSTANT-PERCENTAGE
Rate
(EFFECTIVE
0.9875000
1.9626563
2.9256230
3.8765528
4.8155959
5.7429009
6.6586147
7.5628820
8.4558460
9.3376479
10.2084273
11.0683220
20.5859132
28.7700393
35.8075257
41.8590228
47.0626730
51.5372641
55.3849412
58.8935382
61.5385833
. ..
. .
a=--=bq,
. . . ,.
__...
..(62)
lo
4% PER MONTH)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..(63)
0.9825000
1.9478063
2.8962196
3.8280358
4.7435452
5.6430331
6.5267801
7.3950614
8.2481478
9.0863053
9.9097949
10.7188735
19.3912851
26.4079477
32.0849793
36.6781441
40.3943754
43.4010986
45.8337740
47.8019996
49.3944488
._,,..._....................
.W)
(65)
q.
ai
Rate
0.9800000
0.9604000
0.9411920
0.9223682
0.9039208
0.8858424
0.8681255
0.8507630
0.8337478
0.8170726
0.8007313
0.7847167
0.6157803
0.4832131
0.3791854
0.2975531
0.2334949
0.1832274
0.1437816
0.1128278
0.0885379
Cumulative
0.9800000
1.9404000
2.8815920
3.8039602
4.7078810
5.5937233
6.4618489
7.3126119
8.1463597
8.9634325
9.7641638
10.5488805
18.8267637
25.3225570
30.4199145
34.4198961
37.5587485
40.0218585
41.9547020
43.4714366
44.6616435
,,,.,..........,..............
(68)
and
a=-ln
(1-d).
. . . . . . . . . .._____...__..___
F,-1
v56)
ai
...
...
.....
....
(69)
..
._ _. .,
..(70)
and
ni=l[(l-n;)-n-I].
. . . ,...
ai
Effective Decline
2% per Month
Cumulative
0.9825000
0.9653062
0.9484134
0.9318162
0.9155094
0.8994880
0.8837469
0.8682814
0.8530864
0.8381574
0.8234897
0.8090786
0.6546082
0.5296295
0.4285119
0.3466998
0.2805074
0.2269525
0.1836224
0.1485650
0.1202007
(continued)
Rate
0.9850000
1.9552250
2.9108966
3.8522332
4.7794497
5.6927580
6.5923666
7.4784811
8.3513039
9.2110343
10.0578688
10.8920008
19.9773671
27.5557615
33.8771427
39.1500088
43.5482749
47.2170094
50.2772181
52.8298360
54.9590562
l/4
Effective Decline
13/4% per Month
Cumulative
Rate
0.9850000
0.9702250
0.9556716
0.9413366
0.9272165
0.9133083
0.8996086
0.8861145
0.8728228
0.8597304
0.8468345
0.8341320
0.6957761
0.5803691
0.4841044
0.4038070
0.3368283
0.2809593
0.2343571
0.1954848
0.1630601
t.=kF.
4;
DECLINE
Effective Decline
l%% per Month
Cumulative
0.9875000
0.9751562
0.9629668
0.9509297
0.9390431
0.9273051
0.9157137
0.9042673
0.8929640
0.8818019
0.8707794
0.8598947
0.7394118
0.6358223
0.5467402
0.4701390
0.4042700
0.3476296
0.2989248
0.2570438
0.2210306
i
4
5
6
7
8
9
IO
11
12
24
36
4%
60
72
84
96
108
120
DECLINE
Effective Decline
1 J/4% per Month
Time
(months)
1
40-29
(71)
l+ai
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .._......
(72)
and
di
Ui=y--q.
. . . . . . . . . . . . .._...........__
(73)
An analysis of a large number of actual productiondecline curves assembled by Cutler56 indicates that most
decline curves normally encountered are of the hyperbolic
type, with values for the exponent n between 0 and 0.7,
while the majority fall between 0 and 0.4. Gravitydrainage production under certain conditions will have an
exponent n=O.S (Ref. 59). The occurrence of harmonic
decline (n= I) is apparently rare.
PETROLEUM
40-30
TABLE
40.16-CONSTANT-PERCENTAGE
Effective Decline
2V2% per Month
Time
(months)
Rate
0.9750000
0.9506250
0.9268594
0.9036879
0.8810957
0.8590683
0.8375916
0.8166518
0.7962355
0.7763296
0.7569214
0.7379984
0.5446416
0.4019446
0.2966344
0.2189157
0.1615594
0.1192306
0.0879920
0.0649379
0.0479241
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
24
36
48
60
72
84
96
108
120
Cumulative
0.9750000
1.9256250
2.8524844
3.7561723
4.6372680
5.4963363
6.3339279
7.1505797
7.9468152
8.7231448
9.4800662
10.2180646
17.7589797
23.3241626
27.4312584
30.4622883
32.6991834
34.3500082
35.5683143
36.4674222
37.1309623
DECLINE
(EFFECTIVE
DECLINE
Effectwe Decline
3% q er Month
Rate
0.9700000
0.9409000
0.9126730
0.8852928
0.8587340
0.8329720
0.8079828
0.7837434
0.7602311
0.7374241
0.7153014
0.6938424
0.4814172
0.3340277
0.2317625
0.1608067
0.1115745
0.0774151
0.0537139
0.0372690
0.0258588
0.9700000
1.9109000
2.8235730
3.7088658
4.5675998
5.4005718
6.2085547
6.9922981
7.7525291
8.4899532
9.2052547
9.8990970
16.7675099
21.5331058
24.8396782
27.1339192
28.7257601
29.8302468
30.5965865
31.1283054
31.4972345
Tables 40.16 and 40.17 will facilitate computations of future rates and cumulative production for constant effective decline percentages IOOd, from 1/4to 10% per month.
Hand-held calculator and computer programs are available for constant-percentage decline and other types of
production-decline calculations.
With constant-percentage decline the production rate
in successive months may be designated as a geometric
series,
Effective Decline
3%% oer Month
Cumulative
Decline
ENGINEERING
Rate
(continued)
Effective Declme
4% per Month
Cumulative
0.9650000
0.9312250
0.8986321
0.8671800
0.8368287
8.8075397
0.7792758
0.7520012
0.7256811
0.7002823
0.6757724
0.6521204
0.4252610
0.2773214
0.1808469
0.1179339
0.0769071
0.0501527
0.0327056
0.0213280
0.0139084
HANDBOOK
0.9650000
1.8962250
2.7948571
3.6620371
4.5988658
5.3064055
6.0856813
6.8376825
7.5633636
8.2636459
8.9394183
9.5915387
15.8463764
19.9252836
22.5852220
24.3198220
25.4509900
26.1886477
26.6696893
26.9833863
27.1879545
Rate
0.9600000
0.9216000
0.8847360
0.8493466
0.8153727
0.7827578
0.7514475
0.7213896
0.6925340
0.6648326
0.6382393
0.6127098
0.3754133
0.2300194
0.1409351
0.0863523
0.0529089
0.0324178
0.0198627
0.0121701
0.0074567
Cumulative
0.9600000
1.8816000
2.7563360
3.6156826
4.4310553
5.2138130
5.9652605
6.6866501
7.3791841
8.0440167
8.6822561
9.2949658
14.9900821
18.4795354
20.6175575
21.9275445
22.7301864
23.2219728
23.5232952
23.7079184
23.8210388
in which the rate during the last month preceding the period studied equals unity. For each monthly decline percentage IOOd the Rate column in the decline tables
represents the production rate per month (1 -d) after the
number of months I shown in the left and right time
columns has expired. The cumulative production.
(I -d)[l
-(I -d)]
d
TABLE
Time
(months)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
24
36
48
60
72
84
96
108
120
40.17-CONSTANT-PERCENTAGE
Effective Decline
4%% per Month
Rate
0.9550000
0.9120250
0.8709839
0.8317896
0.7943591
0.7586129
0.7244753
0.6918739
0.6607396
0.6310063
0.6026111
0.5754936
0.3311928
0.1905993
0.1096887
0.0631251
0.0363281
0.0209066
0.0120316
0.0069241
0.0039848
Cumulative
0.9550000
1.8670250
2.7380089
3.5697985
4.3641576
5.1227705
5.8472458
6.5391198
7.1998594
7.8308657
8.4334768
9.0089703
14.1935746
17.1772810
18.8943847
19.8825668
20.4512592
20.7785380
20.9668849
21.0752773
21.1376564
DECLINE
(EFFECTIVE
Effective Decline
5% per Month
Rate
0.9500000
0.9025000
0.8573750
0.8145063
0.7737809
0.7350919
0.6983373
0.6634204
0.6302494
0.5987369
0.5688001
0.5403601
0.2919890
0.1577792
0.0852576
0.0460698
0.0248943
0.0134519
0.0072689
0.0039278
0.0021224
Cumulative
0.9500000
1.8525000
2.7098750
3.5243813
4.2981622
5.0332541
5.7315914
6.3950118
7.0252612
7.6239982
8.1927983
8.7331584
13.4522087
16.0021952
17.3801062
18.1246743
18.5270092
18.7444149
18.8618923
18.9253724
18.9596745
DECLINE
4h
to
Effective Decline
per Month
5%%
Rate
0.9450000
0.8930250
0.8439086
0.7974937
0.7536315
0.7121818
0.6730118
0.6359961
0.6010163
0.5679604
0.5367226
0.5072029
0.2572548
0.1304804
0.0661800
0.0335667
0.0170251
Cumulative
0.9450000
1.8380250
2.6819336
3.4794273
4.2330588
4.9452406
5.6182523
6.2542485
6.8552648
7.4232253
7.9599479
8.4671508
12.7617140
14.9399289
16.0447258
16.6050820
16.8892962
10%
PER MONTH)
Effective Decline
6% per Month
Rate
0.9400000
0.8836000
0.8305840
0.7807490
0.7339040
0.6898698
0.6484776
0.6095689
0.5729948
0.5386151
0.5062982
0.4759203
0.2265001
0.1077960
0.0513023
0.0244158
Cumulative
0.9400000
1.8236000
2.6541840
3.4349330
4.1688370
4.8587068
5.5071844
6.1167533
66897481
7.2283632
7.7346614
8.2105817
12.1181642
13.9778620
14.8629300
15.2841517
ESTIMATION
40-31
RATE-
TIME
CURVES
:~~~~~~~~
I20
TIME (1)
0
RATE-
::;Ei
0
CUMULATIVE
I -
CONSTANT
II ---
HYPERBOLIC
m-------HARMONIC
CUMULATIVE
l00,oco
(Np)
PERCENTAGE
DECLINE
DECLINE
n=O
a = 0.03
n 1 bz
a :OlO
=I
a,=0 30
curves on coordinate,
3,000+4,286=0.700.
Following the IO-month horizontal line, a rate of 0.700
is encountered in the table for 3 /z% decline per month.
Rate 40 months later:
3,OOOX(rate)je X(rate)d =3,000x0.27732x0.86718
=72 I bbl/month.
Time
(months)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
24
36
48
60
Effective Decline
6%0/o
per Month
Rate
0.9350000
0.8742250
0.8174004
0.7642694
0.7145919
0.6681434
0.6247141
0.5841076
0.5461407
0.5106415
0.4774498
0.4464156
0.1992869
0.0889648
0.0397153
0.0177295
Cumulative
0.9350000
1.8092250
2.6266254
3.3908947
4.1054866
4.7736300
5.3983440
5.9824517
6.5285923
7.0392338
7.5166836
7.9630992
11.5179507
13.1048917
13.8133270
14.1295835
DECLINE
Rate
1000
1ycc
10.030
LOG CUMULATIVE
(No)
(SHIFTED
(SHIFTED
ioo,cco
ON LOG-LOG)
0~
LOG-LOG)
+(rate)36 X(cum.)aJ
=3,000x(19.92528+0.27732x3.66204)=62,822
Production-Decline
bbl.
Curves
(EFFECTIVE
Effective Decline
7% per Month
0.9300000
0.8649000
0.8043570
0.7480520
0.6956884
0.6469902
0.6017009
0.5595818
0.5204111
0.4839823
0.4501035
0.4185963
0.1752229
0.0733476
0.0307031
0.0128522
MCLINE
DECLINE
semilog,
Straightening
40.17-CONSTANT-PERCENTAGE
I00
Da---HYPERBOLIC
period?
TABLE
loo~m
(NJ
ma------HARMONIC
IO
100
LOG TIME(t)
~~
CUMULATIVE
types of production-decline
CURVES
~~
DECLINE
Fig. 40.21-Three
120
TIMEIt)
DECLINE
4% to 10%
Effective Decline
7%% per Month
Cumulative
Rate
Cumulative
0.9300000
1.7949000
2.5992570
3.3473090
4.0429974
4.6989876
5.2916884
5.8512702
6.3716813
6.8556636
7.3057672
7.7243635
10.9577534
12.3112384
12.8778022
13.1149637
0.9250000
0.8556250
0.7814531
0.7320941
0.6771871
0.6263981
0.5794182
0.5359618
0 4957647
0.4585823
0.4241887
0.3923745
0 1539578
0.0604091
0.0237030
0.0093004
0.9250000
1.7806250
2.5720781
3.3041723
3.9813594
4.6077574
5.1871756
5.7231375
6.2189022
6.6774845
7.1016732
7.4940477
10.4345211
11 S882879
12.0409966
12.2186280
PER MONTH)
(continued)
Effective Decline
8% per Month
Rate
0.9200000
0.8464000
0.7786880
0.7163930
0.6590815
0.6063550
0.5578466
0.5132189
0.4721614
0.4343885
0.3996374
0.3676664
0.1351786
0.0497006
0.0182732
Cumulative
0.9200000
1.7664000
2.5450880
3.2614810
3.9205625
4.5269175
5.0847641
5.5979830
6.0701443
6.5045328
6.9041701
7.2718365
9 9454463
10.9284428
11 2898575
PETROLEUM
40-32
TABLE
Time
(months)
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
IO
11
12
24
36
48
40.17-CONSTANT-PERCENTAGE
Effective Decline
W/z% per Month
Rate
0.9150000
0.8372250
0.7760609
0.7069457
0.6413653
0.5868493
0.5369671
0.4913249
0.4495623
0.4113495
0.3763848
0.3443920
0.1166059
0.0408469
0.0140673
Cumulative
0.9150000
1.7522250
2.5182859
3 2192316
3.8605969
4.4474462
4.9844133
5 4757381
5.9253004
6 3366499
6.7130346
7.0574267
9.4879483
10.3250006
10.6132747
DECLINE
Rate
0.9100000
0.8281000
0.7535710
0.6857496
0.6240321
0.5678693
0.5167610
0.4702525
0.4279298
0.3894161
0.3543687
0.3224755
0.1039904
0.0335344
0.0108140
Cumulative
0.9100000
1.7381000
2.4916710
3.1774210
3.8014528
4.3693220
4.8860830
5.3563356
5.7842654
6.1736815
6.5280502
6.8505257
9.0596524
9.7720416
10.0017697
HANDBOOK
Oil
Another variable that is often substituted for the production rate in water-drive fields-particularly
when the production of oil is restricted-is
the oil percentage of the
total fluid produced. Because projections of this oil percentage vs. time are not often required, one usually finds
this oil-percentage variable plotted only vs. cumulative.
An example of such a curve on semilog paper is shown
for a Tar Springs sand reservoir in Illinois in Fig. 40.22.
The endpoint in this case is the lowest oil percentage that,
combined with the total fluid-producing capacity of the
lease, will just cover operating expenses.
Cumulative Gas vs. Cumulative
Oil
(EFFECTIVE
Effective Decline
9% oar Month
ENGINEERING
DECLINE
4% IO 10%
Effective Decline
91/z% per Month
Rate
0.9050000
0.8190250
0.7412176
0.6708020
0.6070758
0.5494036
0.4972102
0.4499753
0.4072276
0.3685410
0.3335296
0.3018443
0.0911100
0.0275010
0.0083010
Cumulative
0.9050000
1.7240250
2.4652426
3.1360446
3.7431204
4.2925239
4.7897342
5.2397094
5.6469370
6.0154780
6.3490076
6.6508519
8.6583736
9.2643325
9.4472378
PER MONTH)
(continued)
Effective Decline
10% per Month
Rate
0.9000000
0.8100000
0.7290000
0.6561000
0.5904900
0.5314410
0.4782969
0.4304672
0.3874205
0.3486784
0.3138106
0.2824295
0.07976644
0.02252840
0.00636269
Cumulative
0.9000000
1.7100000
2.4390000
3.0951000
3.6855900
4.2170310
4.6953279
5.1257951
5.5132156
5.8618940
6.1757046
6.4581342
8.2821020
8.7972445
8.9427359
40-33
B,
Gp +(5.615W,lB,)
Bg
Bgi
G, +(5.615W,lB,)
GB,i
1
1
-=--- B,i
BAJ
OF BARRELS
Fig. 40.22-011 percentage vs. cumulative relationship on semilog paper. Tar Springs sand production, Calvin Field,
IL.
. . . . . (75)
G,
GB,i .
........
. . (76)
000
PRODUCTION
I 1 1
ESTIMATED
I
TOTAL
AVAILABLE
1.42
MMMCF
, fl--Tl--~T1j
,I,
I!
I I11111
IO
-10
I!
GAS 1 ___
ci
[I
CUMULATIVE
(74)
GBgBgi
GBgi
B,l
------
IN THOUSANDS
+ 5.615W,
100
la30
CUMULATIVE
01 L PRODUCTION
IN THOUSANDS
OF BARRELS
Fig. 40.23-Cumulalive
gas vs. cumulative oil recovery. Lake
sand production, Bankline-Owen Field, TX.
PETROLEUM ENGINEERING
WOC or Abandonment
Cumulative Oil
WlTH WATERDRIVE
WATERDRIVE
ULTIMATE
-Gp
(ky)
Fig. 40.24-Graphical
evaluation of material-balance
for gas reservoirs.
equation
with a gradually diminishing slope (Curve h). which intersects the vertical axis at the value l/B,,,, Extrapolation of the initial tangent of this curve to Its intersection
with the horizontal axis also indicates the amount of free
gas in place. G.
Instead of plotting the reciprocal gas FVF, l/B,, , it is
often more convenient to plot p/z on the vertical axis. as
shown on the right side of the scale in Fig. 40.24. The
ultimate gas recovery at the abandonment pressure, po,
is then found by the intersection of the curve with the value
I) 0 I,-<I at abandonment time.
HANDBOOK
Contour vs.
NIR=ER
Bo
Fig. 40.25-Abandonment
line (subsea) vs.. cumulative oil recovery. Woodbine sand, East Texas field.
> '
"'..
where ER is the recovery efficiency = ED x EP x El, fraction, S, is the oil saturation at start of improved recovery process, fraction, and other symbols and units as
previously defined.
Methods for estimating the various efficiency terms are
presented earlier in this chapter and in Chap. 44. Reliable estimates of improved recovery reserves often require
the use of reservoir simulation models (see Chap. 48) to
account properly for process variables and reservoir heterogeneities.
Nomenclature
a = nominal decline rate; the negative slope of
the curve representing the natural
logarithm of the production rate y vs. time
t; also the instantaneous rate of change of
the production rate vs. time, divided by
the instantaneous production rate y: expressed as a decimal fraction with time in
months or years
A = area, in Eq. 29b in square feet, elsewhere in
acres
b = constant (in decline-curve analysis. Eq. 63)
B,< = gas FVF, a dimensionless factor representing
the volume of free gas at a reservoir temperature of TR, F, and a pressure of pi,
psia per unit volume of free gas under
standard conditions of 60F and 14.7 psia
B,, = oil FVF; a dimensionless factor representing
the volume of oil saturated with solution
gas at reservoir temperature TK and
pressure PR. per unit volume of stock-tank
oil: it may be determined by PVT analysis
of a bottomhole or recombined sample or
obtained from appropriate correlation
charts; a typical oil FVF relationship vs.
gas solubility R, would be of the type
B,=1.05+0.0005#,
B, = two-phase FVF for oil; a dimensionless
factor representing the volume of oil and
its original complement of dissolved gas at
reservoir temperature TR and pressure PR
per unit volume of stock-tank oil; this twophase formation factor for oil, B,, is related to the oil FVF B,, the gas FVF B,,
the gas-solubility factor R,, , and the gassolubility factor at the bubblepoint R,,h by
40-35
n=
N=
NIR =
N, =
N, =
N,,
N~I =
No,. =
pC, =
pR =
PETROLEUM ENGINEERING
40-36
40 =
qh =
40 =
q, =
HANDBOOK
=s, +s,
40-37
Subscripts
NB,,
I= q,(df,,dS,~)
(1)
82.057iTR
where
GF, is in std m3 of free gas,
I/,? is net pay volume of free gas-bearing
reservoir, in ha.m, and
IO 000 is m3/ha*m.
N=
portion of
where
G is reservoir volume, in cmig mol,
TR is reservoir temperature. in K, and
pi is reservoir pressure, in atm.
I (273.16+T,)
z=O.OO346(273.16+T,)$
B,e =PR (273.16+T,,,.)
G, =
..,.............
(35)
PR
(2)
..
G=
(3)
Bo
where G,, is solution gas in place, in std m3, and R,r is
solution GOR, in std m/stock-tank m3 of oil.
PR
(36)
where
T,,,. is standard temperature, 15.56C
I is standard pressure, in atm
TR is in C, and
pR is in atm.
G,,, = IO OOO@p RP
R,+175
B,i
(5)
where
N, is cumulative oil produced, in rnj ,
R, is cumulative GOR, in std m/stock-tank mi,
R,v, is initial solution GOR, in std m3/stock-tank m3,
W, is cumulative water influx, in m3,
W,) is cumulative water produced, in m3,
ApR is change in reservoir pressure, in atm,
cf is compressibility of reservoir rock change, in PV
per unit PV per atm. and
c,,. is compressibility of interstitial water, atm-
I-S,,,. so
Np=@~->
B,,
NIR ER
..
.(18)
10 OoOAh~S,,
B,
5.
7.
8.
, . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (29b)
(78)
References
6.
(38)
where A is in ha and h is in m.
,g llg ro
llgqr
>
4.
- 175S,,,
>
B ,q,
2.
where N, is in m/ha*m.
.
1 - siw - so,
10000,
B,
R=R,++,
I -sj,,.
Estmlation. and
Evaluation, J. Per. Tech. (March 19X5) 373-90.
Arps, J.J.: Estimation of Primary Oil Reserves, J. Pel. Twh.
(Aug. 1956) 182-91; Twzs.. AIME. 207.
Proved Reserves Definitions. Joint Committee of SPE, AAPG.
and API, J. Per. Twh. (Nov. 1981) 2113-14.
Wharron. J.B. Jr.: Isopachous Maps of Sand Reservoir\, Bull.,
AAPG (1948) 32. No. 7. 1331.
Schilthuis. R.J.: Active 011 and Reservoir Energy. Trtrrzc.. AIME
(1936) 118, 33-X.
Woods, R.W. and Muskat, M.: An AnalyG of Material Balance
Calculations,
Tvn.\.
AIME (1945) 160. 124-39.
van Everdingen. A.F.. Timmcrman. E.H.. and McMdhon. J.J..
Application of the Material Balance Equation to a Partial WaterDrive Reservoir. .I. Pvi. Tfwh (Feb. 1953) 51-60: Truw , AIME.
198.
yan Evcrdingen, A.F. and Hurst, W.: The Applicatmn of the
Laplace Transformation to Flop Problems m Rescrvoir~. Trci?l\
AIME (1949) 186, 30524.
PETROLEUM
40-38
37
3x
39
41
41
42
43
44
4.5
46.
47.
48.
49.
so.
Sl.
52
53.
54.
5s.
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
ENGINEERING
HANDBOOK
General References
U.S. Crude 011, Natural Gas, and Natural Liquids,
al Report (1980).
Reserves Definition,
Regulation S-X.
World Pet. Gong..
DOE Annu-