Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Economic Modelling
j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / e c m o d
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Accepted 9 October 2009
Keywords:
Flexible Manufacturing Technology
Total factor productivity growth
Mass customisation
a b s t r a c t
This paper investigates the inuence of the adoption of Flexible Manufacturing Technology (FMT) on the Total
factor Productivity Growth (TFPG) of Malaysia Manufacturing Industry. The Principal Component Analysis has
been adopted to extract the most appropriate underlying dimensions of FMT to use in place of the eight FMT
variables owing to the potential multicollinearity. The study has been conducted within FMT intensively
adopted 16 three-digit industries that encompass 50 ve-digit industries covering the years 20002005. The
results obtained from the two situations, one, including the industry xed effects dummy variables and the
other without these, are contrasted. It is established that the model that included the industry xed effect
dummy variables has a greater explanatory power. The two principal components that account for the greater
variation in FMT show positive and moderately signicant relationship with TFPG. The study provides
sufcient evidence to conclude that FMT has a direct and moderately signicant relationship with TFPG.
2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
The average gross domestic product (GDP) growth of Malaysia
(5.5%) during 20002007 is lower than that (7.0) during 19902000.
Malaysian Manufacturing sector GDP (13.0%) during 20002007 is
much lower than the same (4.8%) for the period 19902000. These
are some of the key indicators to the declining competitiveness of
the Malaysian manufacturing industry over the period 20002007. It
is widely believed that intensive regimes of contemporary manufacturing paradigms such as mass customisation, customerisation and
instant customerisation can pave the way for a competitive manufacturing industry. The studies show that mass customisation is the core
manufacturing paradigm. The studies also showed that the crucial
determinant of the successful implementation of mass customisation is the abundant use of Flexible manufacturing Technology (FMT)
(Wind and Rangaswamy, 2001; Da Silveria and Fogliatto, 2005).
Moreover, Malaysian Industrial Development Authority (MIDA)
(MIDA, 2007) has recognised a number of promoted activities and
products (for the development and production) for high technology
establishments which makes them entitled to pioneer status or investment tax allowance under the promotion of Investment Act
1986. This includes FMT products such as, Computer process control
Corresponding author. Tel.: +60 126330517, +60 62523807; fax: + 60 62318869.
E-mail addresses: A.Dolage@liverpool.ac.uk (D.A.R. Dolage), absade@mmu.edu.my,
adsade@yahoo.com (A.B. Sade), elsadigmusa@yahoo.com, asadiq29@hotmail.com
(E.M. Ahmed).
0264-9993/$ see front matter 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2009.10.005
396
Bruggeman (1992) and Fine and Freund (1990) showed that due
to procedure bias on investment appraisal of FMT, investments in
FMT do not take place smoothly or effectively. Hence, additional
studies need to be carried out to measure the extent to which FMT
contributes to the productivity in the manufacturing industry.
Evidently, only a few studies have examined the impact of specic
technologies on the industry level productivity using less aggregated
data. Berndt and Morrison (1995) examined the impact of high-tech
investments on multifactor productivity (MFP) and three protability
measures. While the study found only limited evidence of a positive
relationship between protability and the share of high-tech capital
in the total physical capital stock, it established that they were negatively correlated with MFP. Amato and Amato (2000) have investigated the impact of high-tech investments on MFP and Price Cost
margin. This study established that there was a positive impact from
high-tech investments regardless of whether or not the specication
includes industry effects dummy variables to account for the differences in technological opportunity among industries.
According to Henricsson and Ericsson (2005), Wysokinska (2004)
and Porter (1990), productivity is the only relevant measure of competitiveness. Zhi et al. (2003) showed that there were three productivity concepts currently adopted to measure the productivity in
the manufacturing industry. Chau (1993) and Oulton and O' Mahony
(1994) emphasised on the unresolved academic debate over whether MFP and Total Factor Productivity Growth (TFP) are the same.
On account of this, the present study adopts a widely recognised
productivity measure, growth of TFP (TFPG). A number of studies have
been conducted in the manufacturing industry of Malaysia that adopted
TFPG to measure productivity at industry level. Menon (1998) studied
TFPG of foreign and domestic rms in the Malaysian manufacturing
industry. Tham (1997, 1995), Choong and Tham (1995) and Fatimah
and Mohd (2004) adopted TFPG to examine the inuence of trade
policies and industry characteristics on the productivity growth of the
Malaysian manufacturing industry. Abdullah and Hussein (1993)
adopted TFPG to examine the productivity growth of the Malaysian
resource based industries. These studies indicate that TFPG has been
used in Malaysia to measure productivity growth in the manufacturing industry. Moreover, Elsadig (Elsadig, 2006a, 2006b, 2006c, 2007,
2008a, 2008b), estimate TFPG contribution to Malaysia's manufacturing
in relation to input driven, positive and negative externalities, such as
the impact of information and communications technology, human
capital, foreign direct investment, carbon dioxide emissions and Biochemical Oxygen demand emissions.
The purpose of this paper is to examine the inuence of FMT
adoption on TFPG in selected manufacturing industries of Malaysia.
This adds to the previous literature by focusing more narrowly on the
inuence of adoption of FMT on productivity. This study developed
inclusion criteria and selected FMT intensively adopted 16 MSIC
three-digit industries and 50 MSIC ve-digit industries included
within them. All secondary data required for the study came from the
Annual Surveys of Manufacturing Industries (ASMI) during 2000
2005 and Economic census data maintained by the Department of
Statistics Malaysia (DOS). Another novelty in this study is that prior
similar studies have been carried out at the four-digit level whereas
the present study is carried out at ve-digit level. The present study
contributes to the previous studies by considering less aggregated
data and also by considering TFPG in place of MFP.
This study also considers a higher number of specic FMT variables
such as, Computer Numerical Control machine tools, Numerical Controlled Machine Tools (NC), Robotics (ROB), Programmable Logic
Controllers (PLC), Automated Inspections (INS), Automated Storage
and Retrieval Systems (ASR), Computer Aided Design (CAD) and Local
Area Networks (LAN). In order to overcome multicollinearity among
FMT variables, the study extracts three underlying dimensions of FMT
by adopting Principal Component Analysis. They are namely; process
control technologies, production and quality control technologies
TFPTTFPT1
TFPT1
Hence; TFPG =
TFPT
1
1 = ln VT 1
TFPT1
397
398
Programmable Logic Controllers (PLC): measured as the percentage of rms in each MSIC ve-digit industry using programmable
logic controllers.
Automated Inspections (INS): measured as the percentage of rms
in each MSIC ve-digit industry using automated sensor-based
inspection, either during the production process or nal product.
Automated Storage and Retrieval Systems (ASR): measured as the
percentage of rms in each MSIC ve-digit industry using automated storage and retrieval systems.
Computer Aided Design (CAD): measured as the percentage of
rms in each MSIC ve-digit industry using computer aided design
to control manufacturing machinery.
Local Area Networks (LAN): measured as the percentage of rms
in each MSIC ve-digit industry using local area networks.
A positive link is expected between TFPG and any type of FMT
variable, ceteris paribus.
Industry Fixed Effects Dummy Variables (INDj): The study involved
50 ve-digit industries included in 16 three-digit industries. It is
logical to assume that industry characteristics among these 16
three-digit industries can be diverse and need to be captured by a
variable. Therefore, 16 dummy variables (INDj) were incorporated
into the TFPG model to capture the industry xed effects. However,
most contemporary researchers have not considered industry xed
effects in the TFPG model. While Mahadevan (2002) and Amato &
Amato (2000) have incorporated industry xed effect dummy
variables, Goldar & Kumari (2003), Tham (1997), Leung (1997) and
Sharma et al. (2000) in their similar studies, have not made any
reference to industry xed effects, let alone considering them in
their models. A positive link is expected between TFPG and INDj,
ceteris paribus.
The model representing the relationship among TFPG, explanatory
variables and FMT variables can be specied as given below:
TFPG = 0 + 1 GRO + 2 CCAPIN + 3 EXPGROW + 4 CFSIZE
+ 5 CCR4 + 6 CNC + 7 NC + 8 ROB + 9 PLC + 10 INS
+ 11 ASR + 12 CAD + 13 LAN + 13 + j INDj +
The core hypothesis tested in this research study is: a high degree
of Flexible Manufacturing Technology adoption enhances Total Factor
Productivity Growth of the manufacturing industry of Malaysia.
3. Data and estimation and inclusion criteria
According to the Malaysian Standard Industrial Classication 2000
there are 53 three-digit industries. In order to obtain a rational
outcome, the study needs to be conducted only within industries in
which FMT is intensively adopted. On account of this, inclusion
criteria were formulated in an effort to select FMT intensively adopted
MSIC three-digit industries for the sample, which is shown below:
Industries with high capital/labour ratio
Industries in which product variation is a marketing strategy
Industries in which products are susceptible to demand uctuation
Using the above criteria a sample of 16 MSIC three-digit industries
which together comprise 50 ve-digit industries was selected.
3.1. Primary data
The data that indicate the degree of adoption of FMT is not
published by any organisation in Malaysia. Hence, a questionnaire
survey was conducted to gather information necessary to compute
399
Table 1
Correlations among FMT.
CNC
NC
ROB
PLC
INS
ASR
CAD
LAN
a
b
Pearson correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
Pearson correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
Pearson correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
Pearson correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
Pearson correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
Pearson correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
Pearson correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
Pearson correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
CNC
NC
ROB
PLC
INS
ASR
CAD
LAN
1.000
.160a
.005
300
1.000
.351a
.000
300
.012
.836
1.000
.634a
.000
300
.164a
.005
.368a
.000
1.000
.307a
.000
300
.177a
.002
.250a
.000
.302a
.000
1.000
.237a
.000
300
.126b
.030
.427a
.000
.257a
.000
.564a
.000
1.000
.248a
.000
300
.141b
.014
.391a
.000
.394a
.000
.115b
.046
.308a
.000
1.000
.322a
.000
300
.171a
.003
.236a
.000
.380a
.000
.186a
.001
.129b
.025
.609a
.000
1.000
300
.160a
.005
.351a
.000
.634a
.000
.307a
.000
.237a
.000
.248a
.000
.322a
.000
.012
.836
.164a
.005
.177a
.002
.126b
.030
.141b
.014
.171a
.003
.368a
.000
.250a
.000
.427a
.000
.391a
.000
.236a
.000
.302a
.000
.257a
.000
.394a
.000
.380a
.000
.564a
.000
.115b
.046
.186a
.001
.308a
.000
.129b
.025
.609a
.000
1 = 2 = 3 = .. k = 0
H1
Table 2
Comparison of components obtained from two types of rotations.
Component One
Orthogonal
LAN
CAD
PLC
CNC
ASR
INS
ROB
NC
.816
.816
.666
.555
.477
Component Two
Oblique
Orthogonal
Pattern
Structure
.861
.841
.640
.517
.811
.801
.722
.621
.412
.542
.845
.816
.526
Component Three
Oblique
Orthogonal
Pattern
Structure
.858
.844
.460
.445
.467
.851
.826
.573
.883
Oblique
Pattern
Structure
.871
.883
400
Table 3
ANOVA.
Sum of squares
Regression
Residual
Total
df
Mean square
Sig.(p-value)
INDj
inc
INDj
exc
INDj
inc
INDj
exc
INDj
inc
INDj
exc
INDj
inc
INDj
exc
INDj
inc
INDj
exc
45.333
36.127
81.68
42.198
39.482
81.680
23
257
280
8
272
280
1.981
0.141
5.275
0.145
14.089
36.339
0.00
0.00
0:017 EXPGROW
0:002CCAPIN
0:420GRO
+
0:000
0:009
0:000
0:099 CPC1
0:684 CCR4
0:0002 CFSIZE
+
+
0:034
0:010
0:104
0:031 CPC3
0:099 CPC2
+ 8 + j INDj
+
0:473
0:114
Table 4
Coefcients.
Variable
(Constant)
Growth Rate of Output
(GRO)
Change in Capital Intensity
(CCAPIN)
Export Growth (EXPGROW)
Change in Firm Size (CFSIZE)
Change in Industry
Concentration (CCR4)
Change in Principal
Component One (CPC1)
Change in Principal
Component Two (CPC2)
Change in Principal
Component Three (CPC3)
Adjusted R square
Std. error of the estimate
DurbinWatson
Dependent variable: TFPG.
INDj included
INDj excluded
Sig. (p-value)
Sig. (p-value)
.091
.420
.118
.000
.067
.450
.015
.000
0.002
.009
0.002
.009
.017
0.0002
.684
.000
.104
.010
.019
0.0002
.770
.000
.113
.007
.099
.034
.098
.036
.099
.114
.116
.058
.031
.473
.031
.465
0.518
0.375
2.118
0.502
0.381
2.086
A positive and signicant relationship between total factor productivity growth and output growth can be observed, thereby conrming that Verdoon's Law holds for the industry sample tested in
this study. The output growth which is measured as the sales growth
over a year is a highly important variable. The equation indicates
that a unit change in output growth causes an incremental change
of 0.42 in the total factor productivity growth, ceteris paribus.
The change in capital intensity too has a positive relationship
with total factor productivity growth. The equation indicates that a
unit change in change in capital intensity causes an incremental
change of 0.002 in the total factor productivity growth, ceteris paribus.
The growth of exports yielded the expected positive sign. The
equation indicates that a unit change in export growth causes an
incremental change of 0.017 in the total factor productivity growth,
ceteris paribus.
The variable change in rm size has a very marginal impact on
the total factor productivity growth. The equation indicates that a unit
change in change in rm size causes an incremental change of 0.0002
in the total factor productivity growth, ceteris paribus.
In the case of the change in concentration ratio, an increase of
the ratio appears to exert a pro-competitive effect on total factor
productivity growth. The equation indicates that a unit change in
concentration ratio causes an incremental change of 0.684 in the total
factor productivity growth, ceteris paribus.
The variable CPC1 (the change in principal component one) shows
a reasonably high positive correlation with total factor productivity
growth. This principal component represents the cluster of technologies namely, Local Area Networks, Computer Aided Design, Programmable Logic Controllers and Computer Numerical Control
Machine Tools. These technologies are used in the manufacturing
set-up as process control technologies. The corollary is that a unit
change in investments in process control technologies causes an incremental change of 0.099 in the total factor productivity growth,
ceteris paribus.
The variable CPC2 (the change in principal component two) shows
a reasonably high degree of positive correlation with total factor
productivity growth. This principal component represents the cluster
of technologies namely, Automated Storage and Retrieval Systems,
Automated Inspections and Robotics. These technologies are used in
the manufacturing set-up as production and quality control technologies. The corollary is that a unit change in investments process
control technologies causes an incremental change of 0.099 in the
total factor productivity growth, ceteris paribus.
Although the variable CPC3 (the change in principal component
three) shows a negative correlation with total factor productivity
growth, it can be excluded from the computation as the relationship is
very highly insignicant.
4.3. INDj excluded
According to the output of the model that excluded the INDj, the
signicance of explanatory variables, GRO, EXPGRO, CCAPIN, CCR4
CFSIZE, CPC1, CPC2 and CPC3 are, 0.000, 0.000, 0.009, 0.007, 0.113,
0.036, 0.050, and 0.465 respectively. The only signicant deviant
401
402
ogy investments such as FMT to customer values (Sade et al., 2009) for
example, is becoming more crucial as manufacturing concept of
productivity moves toward the concept of customerisation. Further, it
can be safely admitted that the accuracy of ndings can be increased
by considering investments in FMT rather than the degree of adoption
of FMT. Hence, it is proposed that future studies need be undertaken
in collaboration with the industry monitoring institutes of the state
sector that makes establishments obligatory to divulge investments
made in FMT to evaluate the impact of investments in FMT on total
factor productivity growth.
Appendix A
In order to evaluate the inuence of extreme observations
Mahalanobis distance and Cooks distance (which indicate the impact
of outliers) were obtained from the SPSS output. Mahalanobis distance
measures the inuence of a case by examining the distance of cases
from the means(s) of the predictor variables(s). The critical value of
Chi-square, at = 0.001 level of signicance is 51.179 which was
taken as the critical value for the Mahalanobis distance; using this
value, 12 multivariate outlying cases were identied. Since the values
greater than this are problematic and cause for concern they were
scrutinised carefully. Further, although they are extreme observations
it is not unexpected in a situation where the sample is large (300 cases)
and there are a large number of independent variables. Therefore, the
outliers were retained in the data set without exclusion.
One statistic that does consider the effect of a single case on the
model as a whole is Cook's distance. Cook's distance is a measure of
the overall inuence of a case on the model and it is suggested that
values greater than one, may be cause for concern. Only in two cases
this critical value was exceeded. Although the exclusion of the extreme cases in both diagnostic tests brought about some changes in
the coefcients, they were not signicant. Hence, it can be concluded
that extreme observations are not cause for concern in the model.
Appendix B
It is important to check whether any particular three-digit industry
can inuence the output of the model in a signicant manner. The two
three-digit industries namely 292 (manufacture of special purpose
machinery) and 321 (manufacture of electronic valves and tubes and
other electronic equipment) are different from the others. The 292
three-digit industry contains seven ve-digit industries encompassing a total of 712 establishments. These two features make it stand out
from rest of the three-digit industries. The 321 three-digit industry is a
sector which adopts FMT quite intensively. The regression model was
solved twice excluding three-digit industries 292 and 321 separately
on each attempt, one industry at a time. Table 5 displays the Adjusted
R square and coefcients (B) and signicance of the three CPCs for
each attempt along with the values obtained for the two occasions
when all the industries were included and then excluded.
According to the table, the exclusion of the three-digit industries
292 and 321, separately has changed Adjusted R square only marginally. Further, the signicance levels of CPC1 have changed only
minutely when the three-digit industries 292 and 321 are excluded
from the model, separately. A similar situation is observed with CPC2
Table 5
Comparison of outputs.
Number of industry
Adjusted
R square
CPC1
CPC2
CPC3
Sig.
Sig.
Sig.
0.518
0.502
0.563
0.521
0.099
0.098
0.083
0.109
0.034
0.036
0.034
0.032
0.099
0.116
0.125
0.114
0.114
0.058
0.087
0.092
0.031
0.031
0.000
0.054
0.473
0.465
0.995
0.290
when the same comparison is made. The reason for the situation is
that although the excluded industries are signicantly different from
the others, the difference is not sufcient enough to make an impact
on the output that results from the analysis of model because there
are 15 other industries at any given attempt. This provides further
evidence to the robustness of the regression model used in the study.
References
Abdullah, M., Hussein, M.A., 1993. Total factor productivity growth in Malaysian
resource based industries. ASEAN Economic Bulletin 10 (1), 8397.
Amato, L.H., Amato, C.H., 2000. The impact of high tech production techniques on
productivity and protability in selected U.S. manufacturing industries. Review of
Industrial Organization 16 (4), 327342 June.
Bank Negara Malaysia Annual Report Various Issues. (19912005) Government of
Malaysia printers, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Bloch, H., Tang, S.H.K., 1996. Technical change and total factor productivity growth: a
study of Singapore's manufacturing industries. Applied Economics Letters 1999 (6),
697701.
Berndt, E.R., Morrsison, C.J., 1995. High tech capital formation and economic
performance in USA manufacturing industries: An exploratory analysis. Journal
of Econometrics 65, 943.
Chandrasiri, 2003. Technological Issues in Small and Medium Enterprises in Sri Lanka.
Sri Lanka Economic Journal 4 (1).
Chau, K.W., 1993. Estimating industry-level productivity trends in the building from
building cost and price data. Construction Management and Economics 11, 370383.
Choong, L., Tham, S.Y., 1995. Total factor productivity in the Malaysian manufacturing
sector preliminary results. Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia 29, 935.
Coakes, S.J., Steed, L., Price, J., 2008. SPSS 15.0, Analysis without Anguish. John Wiley &
Sons Australia, Ltd.
Da Silveria, G., Fogliatto, F.S., 2005. Effects of technology adoption on mass customisation ability of broad and narrow market rms. Gestao & Producao 12 (3), 347359.
Denison, E.F., 1967. Why growth rates differ. Brookings Institutes, Washington DC.
Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOS), 20002005. Annual Survey of Manufacturing
Industries 20002005. DOS, Malaysia.
Elsadig, M.A., 2006a. Is Malaysia's manufacturing productivity growth input driven?
Journal of American Academy of Business, Cambridge 9 (2), 223229.
Elsadig, M.A., 2006b. Carbon dioxide emissions, impact on Malaysia's manufacturing
productivity growth. World Review of Science, Technology and Sustainable
Development 3 (1), 5869.
Elsadig, M.A., 2006c. ICT and Human Capital Role In Achieving Knowledge-based
Economy: Applications On Malaysia's Manufacturing. Journal of Information and
Knowledge Management 5 (2), 117128.
Elsadig, M.A., 2007. Biochemical oxygen demand emissions impact on malaysia's
manufacturing productivity growth. Global Economic Review 36 (4), 305319.
Elsadig, M.A., 2008a. Impact of foreign direct investment on Malaysia's productivity
growth. Advances in Management 1 (6), 2833.
Elsadig, M.A., 2008b. Green productivity; applications in Malaysia's manufacturing.
Universiti Putra Malaysia Press, Selangor, Malaysia.
Fatimah, S., Mohd, S., 2004. Total factor productivity growth in the Malaysian
manufacturing sector. IIUM Journal of Economics and Management 12 (2), 131163.
Federation of Malaysian Manufacturers (FMM), 2007. Directory -2007. FMM.
Field, A., 2005. Discovering statistics using SPSS. SAGE Publications Ltd, UK.
403