Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
261.40 INR
175.00 INR
1.49
0.86
459.15
Standard
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
Morningstar Pillars
Analyst
Quantitative
Economic Moat
Valuation
Uncertainty
Financial Health
Narrow
Q
Medium
Narrow
Overvalued
Medium
Strong
500096
Undervalued
Fairly Valued
Investment Thesis
Quantitative Valuation
*/%
Overvalued
Current
5-Yr Avg
1.21
46.1
38.2
40.8
50.8
0.86
34.4
34.1
64.0
1.06
Sector Country
0.89
21.2
17.7
12.4
21.4
1.88
0.75
18.2
18.4
8.1
13.1
1.10
Source: Morningstar
Bulls Say
ODespite the increasingly competitive consumer
product landscape in India, Dabur should be able
to maintain relatively stable operating margins,
given its unique positioning as "the" herbal
brand.
OA well-diversified product mix makes Dabur's
revenue and profits generally stable across
business cycles and seasons.
OWe like the fact that Dabur has retained the
management of acquired companies while
venturing into new markets, as management with
experience in these markets will guide the firm's
local strategy better.
Bears Say
OAs Dabur expands its product portfolio in hair
care and oral care, it will face an increased
competitive threat from global heavyweights such
as Procter & Gamble, Unilever, and Colgate.
OWith 32% of its sales and a portion of its costs
derived internationally, Dabur's results could be
pressured by unfavorable foreign exchange rate
movements.
OElevated commodity, packaging, and distribution
costs, along with increased marketing and
promotional spending, could limit profit expansion
at Dabur.
Analyst Note
Daburs third-quarter 2015 earnings growth bubbled to
16%, as lower input costs and an improved product mix
helped it approach our full-year, 17% estimate. Sales
grew by 9%, slower than our 15% forecast for 2015, as
Economic Moat
Suruchi Jain 02 January 2015
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
261.40 INR
175.00 INR
1.49
0.86
459.15
Standard
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
Close Competitors
Currency (Mil)
Market Cap
TTM Sales
Operating Margin
TTM/PE
INR
1,964,269
292,333
17.84
49.75
INR
365,517
78,624
13.89
45.05
INR
232,477
53,270
14.36
44.05
firms like Colgate and Unilever. This, along with its returns
on invested capital, which averaged around 30% over the
past five years, are well above our 10.3% cost of capital
estimate, supports our take that Dabur maintains a narrow
economic moat.
Valuation
Suruchi Jain 02 January 2015
Risk
Suruchi Jain 02 January 2015
Management
Suruchi Jain 15 July 2014
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
261.40 INR
175.00 INR
1.49
0.86
459.15
Standard
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
261.40 INR
175.00 INR
1.49
0.86
459.15
Standard
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
261.40 INR
175.00 INR
1.49
0.86
459.15
Standard
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Page 6 of 9
Fundamental Economic
Fair Value
Moat Rating Estimate
Analysis
Uncertainty
Assessment
QQQQQ
QQQQ
QQQ
QQ
Q
Star
Rating
Economic Moat
The economic moat concept is a cornerstone of Morningstars investment philosophy and is used to distinguish high-quality companies with sustainable competitive advantages. An economic moat is a structural
feature that allows a firm to sustain excess returns
over a long period of time. Without a moat, a companys profits are more susceptible to competition. Companies with narrow moats are likely to achieve normalized excess returns beyond 10 years while wide-moat
companies are likely to sustain excess returns beyond
20 years. The longer a firm generates economic profits,
the higher its intrinsic value. We believe lower-quality
no-moat companies will see their returns gravitate to-
ward the firms cost of capital more quickly than companies with moats will. We have identified five sources of
economic moats: intangible assets, switching costs,
network effect, cost advantage, and efficient scale.
Uncertainty Rating
The Morningstar Uncertainty Rating demonstrates our
assessment of a firms cash flow predictability, or valuation risk. From this rating, we determine appropriate
margins of safety: The higher the uncertainty, the wider
the margin of safety around our fair value estimate before our recommendations are triggered. Our uncertainty ratings are low, medium, high, very high, and extreme. With each uncertainty rating is a corresponding
set of price/fair value ratios that drive our recommendations: Lower price/fair value ratios (<1.0) lead to positive recommendations, while higher price/fair value
Economic Moat
C O M PE T I T I V E F O R C E S
WIDE
Moat Sources:
Intangible
Assets
NARROW
NONE
Switching
Costs
COMPANY PROFITABILITY
Network
Effect
Cost
Advantage
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Efficient
Scale
Credit Rating
The Morningstar Corporate Credit Rating measures the
ability of a firm to satisfy its debt and debtlike obligations. The higher the rating, the less likely we think the
company is to default on these obligations.
Uncertainty Rating
Price/Fair Value
2.00
Q
1.75
175%
1.50
1.25
1.00
0.75
155%
125%
95%
135%
80%
125%
115%
110%
105%
QQQ
90%
85%
80%
70%
QQQQ
60%
0.50
50%
QQQQQ
0.25
Low
Uncertainty Rating
Medium
High
Very High
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
261.40 INR
175.00 INR
1.49
0.86
459.15
Standard
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
02 Feb 2015
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2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869.