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FACTOR
INVESTING
By Chris Wright
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INSIDE
Factor Investing
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CHAPTER 1
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CHAPTER 1
tors
by three
with
d the
e study
nce of
mproving
ve
ain
n
fund
uch
wards
rket.
d be, for
e value
his
ure 1.
cial
in
olor,
n in any
tment
s by
bonds
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Equities
Japan
Government
bonds
Equities
Japan
Equities
Europe
Government
bonds
Equities
Europe
Government
bonds
Equities
Equities U.S.
Equities U.S.
Credits
Legend
he long
s than
enerally
United
of
While
average
ble for
Risk-adjusted
expected return
low
Credits
Credits
Equities Low
Volatility
Eq. Lo.Vol.
Eq. Hi.Vol.
Equities
High
Momentum
Government
bonds
Eq. Hi.Val.
Equities
Equities
Credits
Source: Robeco.
Government
bonds
Eq. Hi.Mom.
Eq. Lo.Val.
Equities
High Value
high
Eq. Lo.Mom.
Credits
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CHAPTER 2
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obeco does not claim to have invented factor investing, but it does have
a distinctive philosophy about what to do with the idea. The three
professors came up with it, but only as a theoretical framework, says
Huij. The question is how to bridge the gap between this theory and
the reality of setting up investment vehicles.
Robecos philosophy starts with recognizing the statistical evidence supporting
the effectiveness of factor investing. There is a lot of evidence suggesting
that this approach is more effective than, for example, just active or passive
management, he says.
But it is not enough to be aware that this statistical preference exists. It is even
more important to know why it exists, and to incorporate these insights into the
investment process. If you really understand what you are doing, this can help
you to get more efficient exposure to factors, and to set up a better investment
product.
To understand this in practice, lets look closely at one factor: value.
Its not exactly a revelation to learn that value investing the idea that cheap
stocks, such as those on a lower than average price earnings ratio, will eventually
be rewarded with above-market returns - is popular. The subject is part of the
CFA curriculum, and has been studied by academics as noted as Nobel laureate
Eugene Fama. There are thousands of studies that show the value effect exists,
but if we look at studies of why this is a factor, there are very few, says Huij. If
we look at the work of Professor Fama, he shows overwhelming evidence for
the existence of the value effect, but only one paragraph about the potential
explanation for what he observes.
Robeco believes this leads to some unfortunate practices. As a result of the
April 2015 Institutional Investor eBook Sponsored by Robeco 9
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CHAPTER 2
lack of research on why the value effect exists, many people think that risk is
the only determinant in deciding a return. They think that they must therefore
buy stocks that are cheap, without necessarily observing that some stocks are
cheap for a reason, and thinking about what that reason might mean for future
performance. If a generic value strategy would be formed at this moment, it
would be strongly overweighted financials in southern European countries and
real estate, just because these are really risky and their price has gone down a
lot, says Huij. People think its all part of the plan: that they must take risk to
get a value premium.
Robeco, by contrast, wants to do more than just identify what a factor is.
Its Quantitative Research team has studied data for many years, testing for
causality rather than correlation, and could not find any proof that taking
distress risk automatically leads to compensation in value premium. We could
find no causal relationship between taking extra risk and earning the value
premium, he says. And that is what we think investors should consider when
implementing a value strategy: its not necessary to take a lot of risk to earn that
value premium.
The Robeco approach, then, is to develop technology to take out the
unrewarded risks and retain the premium. I like to refer to it, says Huij, as
efficiently harvesting factor premiums.
Robeco has taken similarly rigorous approaches to other key factors, such as
momentum and low-volatility. In momentum which holds that stocks that
have been performing well will continue to do so even when fundamentals
dont necessarily suggest they should Robeco found that half of the risk
intrinsic to a momentum strategy does not contribute to its return, and can
10 Institutional Investor eBook Sponsored by Robeco April 2015
eBook
Across the board, the improvements Sponsored
in the Sharpe
ratios come from both an increase in
Across the board, the improvements in the Sharpe ratios come from both an increase in
return and a decrease in risk. The risk reductions are largely due to avoiding unrewarded
return and a decrease in risk. The risk reductions are largely due to avoiding unrewarded
risks, as described earlier. The risk budget that is released by avoiding the unrewarded risks
risks, as described earlier. The risk budget that is released by avoiding the unrewarded risks
also enables the efficient approaches to seek higher exposures to the factor premiums (i.e.,
also enables the efficient approaches to seek higher exposures to the factor premiums (i.e.,
through higher concentration and active share) resulting in higher returns. For instance,
through higher concentration and active share) resulting in higher returns. For instance,
whereas the MSCI Value Weighted index has an active share of only about 25%, the
whereas the MSCI Value Weighted index has an active share of only about 25%, the
corresponding figure for the Robeco Value strategy is around 90%.
corresponding figure for the Robeco Value strategy is around 90%.
The returns are also higher because of differences in exposures to other factors. For
The returns are also higher because of differences in exposures to other factors. For
example, the MSCI World Value Weighted and the MSCI World Minimum Volatility indexes
example, the MSCI World Value Weighted and the MSCI World Minimum Volatility indexes
both exhibit a negative exposure to the momentum premium, whereas the efficient factor
both exhibit a negative exposure to the momentum premium, whereas the efficient factor
premium strategies are designed to avoid negative exposures to other factor premiums.
premium strategies are designed to avoid negative exposures to other factor premiums.
be
stripped
halving
strategys
volatility
retraining
In the
Based
on theout,
above
results,the
we can
conclude
that the while
added value
of our returns.
research insights
Based on the above results, we can conclude that the added value of our research insights
low-volatility
field,
which
argues
that
low-risk
stocks
have
higher
risk-adjusted
is sizable.
is sizable.
returns, Robeco research found that the strategy works particularly well in the
most
liquid stocks,
among other findings.
Confirmed
Confirmed by
by live
live track-records
track-records
Aslive
thetrack-records
next chapter
discusses,
thevalue
otherofkey
element
the Robeco
Our
confirm
the added
Robeco
factorof
strategies.
As table 3
Our live track-records confirm the added value of Robeco factor strategies. As table 3
philosophy
is good
a process
that is different
for every
client.
shows, our factor
fundsimplementation,
have not only handsomely
outperformed
the regular
capitalizationshows, our factor funds have not only handsomely outperformed the regular capitalizationRobeco
offers
fully-fledged
solutions
to
investors,
including
implementation;
weighted index, but also their corresponding factor indices. We note that these results or
weighted index, but also their corresponding factor indices. We note that these results
sometimes,
forbetter
sovereign
funds, anbasis,
advisory
role onfor
a strategy
which the fund
would be even
on a risk-adjusted
in particular
our low- volatility
would be even better on a risk-adjusted basis, in particular for our low- volatility
itself
can thenEquities)
choosestrategies,
to implement.
Thelived
key,up
though,
understanding
the
(Conservative
which have
to theirispromise
of delivering
a much
(Conservative Equities) strategies, which have lived up to their promise of delivering a much
clients
needs and
portfolio. l
lower volatility
thanexisting
the capitalization-weighted
index.
lower volatility than the capitalization-weighted index.
Table performance
3. Live performance
Robeco factor
strategies
versus MSCI
factorMSCI
indices
Live
Robeco
factor
strategies
versus
Table 3. Live performance
Robeco factor
strategies
versus MSCI
factor indicesfactor indices
Start month
Start month
Versus regular index
Versus regular index
Robeco
Robeco
MSCI
MSCI
Excess return
Excess return
Versus factor index
Versus factor index
Robeco
Robeco
MSCI
MSCI
Excess return
Excess return
Low-vol
Low-vol
developed
developed
Oct 2006
Oct 2006
Low-vol
Low-vol
emerging
emerging
Mar 2011
Mar 2011
10.58%
10.58%
6.86%
6.86%
3.72%
3.72%
18.96%
18.96%
15.18%
15.18%
3.78%
3.78%
7.21%
7.21%
4.30%
4.30%
2.91%
2.91%
10.30%
10.30%
1.29%
1.29%
9.01%
9.01%
10.58%
10.58%
6.66%
6.66%
3.92%
3.92%
18.96%
18.96%
13.55%
13.55%
5.40%
5.40%
7.21%
7.21%
4.63%
4.63%
2.57%
2.57%
10.30%
10.30%
7.68%
7.68%
2.62%
2.62%
Source:
Robeco,
MSCI.areReturns
areand
gross
of fees
and annualized
periods
longerEUR.
than
12through
months.
Base
currency:
Source:
Robeco,
MSCI. Returns
gross of fees
annualized
for periods
longer than 12 for
months.
Base currency:
Data
30 June
2014.
Source:
Robeco,
MSCI. Returns
are gross
of fees
and annualized
for
periods
longerValue-Weighted,
than
12 months.
Base
currency:
Strategies
are: Robeco
Quantitative
Value,
RobecoStrategies
Momentum and
Robeco
Conservative
Equities. Indices
are MSCI
MSCI Momentum
EUR. Data
through
30 June
2014.
are:
Robeco
Quantitative
Value,
Robeco Momentum
and Robeco
EUR.
through
2014.
Strategies
are: Robeco
Quantitative
Value,
Robeco
and
MSCIData
Minimum
Volatility30
(net June
return).The
value
of your investments
may fluctuate.
Results obtained
in the Robeco
past are noMomentum
guarantee for theand
future.
Conservative Equities. Indices are MSCI Value-Weighted, MSCI Momentum and MSCI Minimum Volatility (net return).
Conservative Equities. Indices are MSCI Value-Weighted, MSCI Momentum and MSCI Minimum Volatility (net return).
The value of your investments may fluctuate. Results obtained in the past are no guarantee for the future.
The value of your investments may fluctuate. Results obtained in the past are no guarantee for the future.
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CHAPTER 3
Concept to Implementation
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CHAPTER 3
liabilities, for example, would ignore low-volatility and instead split the
allocation between value and momentum. A pension fund, which has to
worry about coverage ratios, might favour a minimum volatility model. A
risk-weighted model could be 30% apiece in value and momentum, and
40% in low volatility. Robeco has tested all
of these models and found each of them
delivers both outright outperformance
and just as important considerably
improved returns relative to volatility. The
conclusion is that factor investing should
be beneficial in any interpretation, but that
there is no single optimal factor-investing
portfolio that will fit every investor.
Factoring is, chiefly, an institutional story
because of this need for customization,
but some of the ideas within it can be
applied to retail. Robeco, for example, has
created a product solution which brings
together some of the flavors that appear
Low-Volatility Investing:
Collected Robeco Articles
most frequently in factor investing. That
is offered to retail and wholesale investors,
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says Huij. But the main target audience
will remain large institutions.
As it has worked with institutions, Robeco has learned that there is a
lot to be gained from the approach. As we have performed many factor
scans with large institutions, it is quite intriguing, says Huij. There
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Combining factors
Finally, we consider various approaches to constructing factor-premium portfolios. Table
Finally, we consider various approaches to constructing factor-premium portfolios. Table
4 below shows the performance of different combinations of the value, momentum and
4 below shows the performance of different combinations of the value, momentum and
low- volatility factors. We consider an equally-weighted (1/N) portfolio, a maximum-return
low- volatility factors. We consider an equally-weighted (1/N) portfolio, a maximum-return
portfolio, a minimum-volatility portfolio and a risk-weighted portfolio. For the maximumportfolio, a minimum-volatility portfolio and a risk-weighted portfolio. For the maximumare
typically
big adifferences
between of
what
isand
optimal
and what
they that
return
portfoliovery
we take
fifty-fifty combination
value
momentum,
assuming
return portfolio
we
take a fifty-fifty
combination
of value
and
momentum,
assuming
that
actually
have.
It
comes
down
to
implementing
the
solution,
and
allowing
these factors have the highest future expected return. The minimum-volatility portfolio is
these factors
have their
the highest
future to
expected
return.
The minimum-volatility
portfolio is
them
to change
exposures
what the
optimal
should be for that
fully invested in the low-volatility factor. The risk-weighted portfolio weighs the individual
fully
invested
in
the
low-volatility
factor.
The
risk-weighted
portfolio
weighs
the
individual
client. That suggests a great deal of opportunity for institutional investors
factor strategies by the inverse of their long-term volatility, thereby establishing equal
factor
strategies
by
the
inverse
of
their
long-term
volatility,
thereby
establishing
to benefit from this exciting and rigorous investment approach. l equal
risk contributions. In unreported tests, we constructed several other portfolios, including
risk contributions. In unreported tests, we constructed several other portfolios, including
portfolios optimized in-sample for maximum Sharpe ratio or maximum information ratio.
portfolios optimized in-sample for maximum Sharpe ratio or maximum information ratio.
Performance
ofperformance
different combinations
of efficient
factor factor
strategies
Table 4. Portfolio
of different combinations
of efficient
strategies
Source:
Robeco,
MSCI.
Average
returns are
calculated
period: 1988:05-2013:12.
Base currency:
USD. Based Base currency:
Source:
Robeco,
MSCI.
Average
returns
aregeometrically.
calculatedSample
geometrically.
Sample period:
1988:05-2013:12.
USD.
Based onvalue
simulations.
on
simulations.The
of your investments may fluctuate. Results obtained in the past are no guarantee for the future.
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(continued)