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INTRODUCTION
CHAPTER
INTRODUCTION
TO
MACROECONOMICS
INTRODUCTION
TO
MACROECONOMICS
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
John Maynard Keynes published the book General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money
(Macmillan: London, 1936) in which he questioned the basis of the then existing macroeconomics
of the Classical School.
INTRODUCTION
TO
MACROECONOMICS
EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
What is microeconomics?
What do you understand by macroeconomics?
Distinguish between micro and macroeconomics.
Give examples of macroeconomic variables.
UNIT-II
NATIONAL INCOME AND RELATED
AGGREGATES : BASIC CONCEPTS
AND MEASUREMENT
CHAPTER
An accounting period or a financial year often does not coincide with a calendar year. Ordinarily,
a financial year refers to, for example, April 1, 2004 to March 31, 2005.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Flow refers to change in an economic variable over time. Income and product are flow concepts.
This may be distinguished from stock variable which means that there is no change over time.
For example, wealth is a stock concept.
STRUCTURE
OF THE
MACRO ECONOMY
AND
Clip 2.1
Circular Flow of Income and Product
The inspiration for the exposition of macro economy through a Circular
Flow of Income and Product appears to have originated from the writings
of Physiocrats a group of French economists who lived in 18th century.
Physiocrats strongly believed in the existence of a natural order to guide
the working of the economy and hence according to them, there should not
be any kind of intervention by the Government in economic activities. They
advocated the policy of Laissez faire which means non-interference or
minimal interference of the governments in trade and other economic
activities and accorded primacy to agriculture as such. Prominent among
the Physiocrats was Francois Quesnay who propounded what is called the
Tableau Economique in 1758. This economic table contains the concept
of circulation of wealth and a schematic presentation of the distribution of
agricultural output between all classes of society. Though this economic
table was recognised as the crowning achievement of Physiocrats, this
table was not explained by Adam Smith or those belonging to the classical
school of economics. It was Karl Marx who rediscovered this table in the
mid-19th century.
A good is a tangible object (such as a can of fruit juice or a television) that has economic
value. A service, on the contrary, is an intangible product (such as advertising) that has
economic value.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
10
There is no intervention of
government or foreign trade.
Firms may produce either producer goods (capital goods used for making other goods) or consumer
goods that is, goods meant for only consumption as such. Consumer goods can further be
classified into durable and non-durable variety depending upon whether they have short or
long span of life in their use to the consumers. A washing machine or an air-conditioner may be
called durable good while food items will fall under the category of non-durable or perishable
good, as they do not last long.
STRUCTURE
OF THE
MACRO ECONOMY
AND
11
enditure on fin
= Exp
al g
t
u
ood
tp
u
a
n
d
s
sa
servic
good
fo
l
a
e
o
nd
s
in
F
e
u
se
l
a
Mo
es
ne
ic
rv
PRODUCT MARKET
Firms
or
sh
i
ct
Fa
Households
Se
rvi
ce s
r
eu
n
e
r
r ep
t
n
s
To
e
fit
ta l
labour, capita l,
o
r
p
i nc
ome
est+
= rent +wages+ i nte r
: lan
d,
FACTOR MARKET
Fig 2.1: The Circular Flow of Income in a Two-sector Economy
12
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Here we assume that Households and Firms save part of their income, which constitutes a leakage
from the circular flow of income. The saved amount is made available in the financial system. Firms
borrow for purposes of investment, which becomes injection into the circular flow.
STRUCTURE
OF THE
MACRO ECONOMY
AND
13
PRODUCT MARKET
of final goods and s
ervi
value
y
e
ces
n
o
ds
o
o
a
g
n
r
d
e
M
s
m
e
u
r
vice
ons
s
al c
n
i
F
Savings
Savings
Financial
System
Firms
Households
Borrowings
Borrowings
FACTOR MARKET
Fig 2.2: Circular Flow of Income in a Two-sector economy with Financial System
Government purchases of goods and services are included in the circular flow. Other flows include
tax payments by households to government and transfer payments by governments to households.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Savings
ngs
Borr
owi
T
Su a
bs
m
er
n
s
ice
rv
me
nt
se
Borrowings
Financial
System
Pay
ym
Firms
nt
s
T ra
f
ns
T
fer
ax
Pa
es ents
Savings
Pa
ym
r
cto
a
F
gs
vin
s
s
xe die
i
Sa
G ov
nt
Government
Sector
s
ase
h
c
r
Pu
or
14
Households
Borrowings
Co
e
nsu
ur
mpt i on Expend it
All taxes are leakages and all government expenditures are injections into the circular flow.
Note that imports are leakages and exports are injections into the circular flow of income in the economy.
p
ei
External
Sector
i tu
re
al e
on o m
i
t
sf
r na Inc
an
r
I nte
l T t)
na (Ne
o
i
t
r na
I nte
pt i on Expend
In
co
me
ce
vi
Su
er
Financial Savings
System Borrowings Households
nsu
m
en
fo
rE
ts
xp
for
ert
Im
s
por
ts
me
nt
s nts
xe m e
y
c
Re
ym
Pa
ts
Co
fo
Tra
rS
ns
fer Ta
Pa
Pay
Borrowings
s
ing
r
cto
Fa
Savings
Firms
Pay
me
nt
s
Government
Sector
t
en
m
es s
ax idie
s
15
er
Sav
Go
ve
rn
se
cha
r
Pu
AND
Fa
ct
or
MACRO ECONOMY
ngs
OF THE
Borr
owi
STRUCTURE
Y C + I + G + (X M)
Producing sectors
Wherein
G = Government Purchases
Y = Income or output
C = Private Consumption Expenditure
on Consumer goods
I= Investment expenditure by
SUMMARY
l
l
l
l
l
Structure of the macro economy is given by the circular flow of income and
output.
National income accounting has its foundation in the circular flow model.
National income accounting has several uses for economic policy and
research.
Circular flow of income can be depicted in two-sector, three-sector and
four-sector models.
National income accounting provides the standards by which economic
activity of a country could be assessed.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
16
EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
CHAPTER
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
18
Clip 3.1
PIONEERS IN NATIONAL INCOME ANALYSIS
In the contemporary world now, national income concepts and accounting methods
are widely recognised and applied to measure the economic performance of countries.
However, these concepts and methods became popular only a few decades ago.
Simon Kuznets
AND
MEASUREMENT
19
earned him the worldwide recognition. This was followed by two of his landmark
contributions, namely, National Product since 1869 (New York; NBER, 1947) and
Economic Growth of Nations : Total Output and Production Structure (Cambridge Mt,
Harvard University Press, 1971). For his contributions, Kuznets was honoured
with the Nobel Prize in 1971 in recognition of his empirical interpretation of
economic growth.
Richard Stone
V.K.R.V. Rao
P.C. Mahalanobis
D.R. Gadgil
Among these, the most systematic work was that of V.K.R.V. Rao in his book
National Income in British India 1931-32 (London; MacMillan 1940), which formed
the basis of national income estimation in the post-independence period. In
1949, the Government of India formed the National Income Committee under
the Chairmanship of P.C. Mahalanobis, with V.K.R.V. Rao and D.R. Gadgil as
members. From then onwards the national income estimation has been steadily
strengthened. Now, the Central Statistical Organization (CSO) is entrusted with
the task of publishing National Accounts Statistics (NAS).
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
20
Value
Added
Value
Added
Rs. 0.50
Value
Added
Rs. 0.50
Value of Final
good = Rs.2.50
Break-up of
value added
= 0.20
Profit
= 0.60
Wages
= 0.05
Rent
= 0.05
Interest
Depreciation = 0.02
Property and = 0.08
sales taxes
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ 0.50
0.25
0.10
None
0.10
0.02
0.03
+
+
+
+
+
0.40
0.70
None
0.01
0.09
0.10
+ 0.50
+ 0.28
+ 0.05
+ None
+ 0.02
+ 0.07
+ 0.08
+ 0.50
= 0.33
= 1.45
= 0.05
= 0.18
= 0.20
= 0.29
Sum of value
added
2.50
AND
MEASUREMENT
21
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
22
(C)
(I)
AND
Investment
MEASUREMENT
23
The usage of fixed assets lead to their wear and tear; so, we must provide for consumption of
fixed capital as a prerequisite in accounting the product.
24
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
AND
MEASUREMENT
25
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
26
5. Mixed Income
Mixed income will include the income of
own account workers and profits and
dividends of unincorporated enterprises.
In other words, it may be called as mixed
income of the self employed.
All the above mentioned components
of income measure of the GDP have an
important implication for the economy
as such. Their relative share in GDP
shows the manner in which each of
these income flows changes overtime.
It is possible to show by way of an
illustration as to how the sum of value
added is equal to the total of the above
types of income earned during the
process of production. This is shown
in Table 3.1
GDP as measured by the
aggregation of factor incomes is also
called as Gross Domestic Income (GDI).
Gross National Product
After getting GDP we can add Net Factor
Income from abroad to estimate the
value of Gross National Product (GNP).
How is Net Factor Income from Abroad
defined? What are included in it?
Net Factor Income from Abroad is
the difference between the factor income
received from the rest of the world, i.e.
abroad for rendering factor services, and
the income paid for factor services
rendered by non-residents inside the
domestic territory of the country. As we
know that factor incomes include
compensation to employees and income
from property and entrepreneurship,
then Net Factor Income from abroad is
the difference with respect to these items
received by residents abroad and given
AND
MEASUREMENT
27
An index number is a representative number to decode the changes in price level. The consumer
price index number is used to represent the average change over time in the prices paid by the
final consumer of a specified group of goods or services.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
28
Table 3.2: Nominal GNP, Real GNP and the GNP Deflator
Current Period
Item
Quantity
Price
(Rs)
Oranges
4,240 Kgs. 1.05 per kg.
Computers
5
2100 each
Government
1,060
1 per
Purchases
meters
meter
of Cloth
Base Period
Expenditure
(Rs)
Price
(Rs)
Expenditure
(Rs)
4,452
10,500
1,060
1 per Kg
2000 each
1 per meter
4,240
10,000
1,060
Real GNP
15,300
Investment Deflator =
Government Purchases =
100 =
Rs. 4452
100 = 105.0
Rs.4240
100 =
Rs. 1060
100 = 100.0
Rs.1060
AND
MEASUREMENT
29
MP
et
)n
in
di
ct
re
ta
s
xe
FC
-d
ep
re
c
ia
tio
(
)
ne
ti
nd
ire
ct
ta
xe
s
GDP
NNPFC
FC
(-)
d
ep
re
c
ia
tio
n
()net income
from abroad
ne
ti
nd
ir e
ct
ta
xe
s
()net income
from abroad
(
)
ne
ti
nd
ire
ct
ta
xe
s
NDPMP
()
GNP
GDPMP
d
e
pr
ec
i
at
io
n
()net income
from abroad
(
)
(pr
)d
e
n
io
at
ec
i
NNPMP
NDPFC
Wilfred Beckerman, An Introduction to National Income Analysis, 3rd Edition, Universal Book
Stall, New Delhi, 1999.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
30
Important
Aggregates
National
Accounts
A particular value may be expressed at Market Prices or at Factor Cost. If a quantity is expressed
in terms of its current prices it is referred to as market price. Suppose the total value added is
computed on the basis of current prices of inputs then we may call this as value added at Market
Prices. On the other hand, if the value added is arrived at by adding the payments to factors
(land, labour, capital and entrepreneurship) such as rent, wages, interest and profit, (as was
done in Table 3.1) then it is described as value added at Factor Cost. In the same manner, all the
concepts of national income may be shown either at market prices or at factor costs.
It may be necessary to give the meaning of Domestic and National used in National Income
aggregates. Domestic here simply means domestic territory. So, domestic product would imply
the value of all goods and services produced by the normal residents of a country. National
refers to the addition of the net factor income from abroad to the domestic product.
Current transfers from the rest of the world may include gifts, cash, consumer goods and even
military equipment.
AND
MEASUREMENT
31
32
Solution:
GNPMp =
Personal consumption
= 350
expenditure
+ Gross Investment
= 90
which include:
Gross Business Fixed
= 30
Investment
Gross Residential
= 30
Construction Investment
Gross public Investment
= 20
Inventory Investment
= 10
+ Government purchases of
= 100
goods and services
+ Net exports
= 10
which include:
Exports
= 20
Imports
= 10
+Net Factor Income From Abroad = 5
GNPMp
= 545
So, GNPMp is Rs. 545 crores.
Example 2: From the following data
calculate the Gross National Product at
Market Price via the Income method
(Rs. in crores)
i. Wages and Salaries
700
ii. Rent
100
iii. Depreciation
50
iv. Net factor income from abroad 10
v. Mixed income
400
vi. Subsidies
100
vii. Profits
400
viii. Indirect taxes
300
ix. Employers contribution
50
to social security schemes
x. Interest
40
Solution:
Employee Compensation which
include
= 750
Wages & Salaries
= 700
Employers contribution to = 50
social security schemes
+ Profits
= 400
+ Rent
= 100
+ Interest
= 40
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
+ Mixed Income
= 400
+ Depreciation
= 50
+ Net Indirect taxes which
= 200
include
Indirect taxes
= 300
Subsidies
= 100
+ Net Factor Income from Abroad = 10
=1930.
GNPMp
So the GNPMp is Rs.1930 crores
Example 3: From the following data
calculate the Gross National Product at
Market Price via the Value Added method
(Rs. in croroes)
i. Value of output in primary 1,000
sector
ii. Net factor income from abroad 20
iii. Value of output in tertiary sector 700
iv. Intermediate consumption
400
in secondary sector
v. Value of output in secondary 900
sector
vi. Intermediate consumption in 500
primary sector
vii. Intermediate consumption in 300
tertiary sector
Solution:
Value of output in primary sector = 1,000
Intermediate consumption of
primary sector
= 500
+ Value of output in secondary = 900
sector
Intermediate consumption in = 400
secondary sector
+ Value of output in tertiary
= 700
sector
Intermediate consumption
= 300
of tertiary sector
+ Net factor income from abroad = 20
= 1380
GNPMP
So, GNPMp is Rs. 1380 crores.
AND
MEASUREMENT
So, GDPFC
h) NDPFC
Solution:
a) GNPMP =
Personal consumption expenditure =
+ Gross investment
=
+ Government purchases of
=
goods and services
+ Net exports
=
+ Net factor income from abroad =
GNPMP
350
90
100
10
5
= 545
So, NDPFC
33
=
=
=
=
34
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
AND
MEASUREMENT
35
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
36
SUMMARY
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
J.R.Hicks, Value and Capital, Oxford University Press, 1975, Page 172.
AND
MEASUREMENT
37
EXERCISES
Section I
1. Define:
(i) GNP at market prices
(ii) NNP at market prices
(iii) GNP at factor cost
(iv) NNP at factor cost.
2. Define the concept of value added.
3. Show how the sum of value added is equal to sum of factor incomes.
4. What is the difference between final good and intermediate good?
5. What is depreciation?
6. What are the components of aggregate expenditure?
7. What are factor incomes?
8. What is meant by double counting? Why should it be avoided?
9. What are transfer payments?
10. Explain the meaning of non-market activities.
11. What is called Green GNP?
12. Differentiate between national income at current price and constant
price.
13. Define: (a) Nominal GNP and (b) Real GNP
14. What is a GNP deflator?
15. Give reasons for not including leisure in GNP.
Section II
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
Section III
22. Calculate the value added by Firm A and Firm B from the following
data:
(Rs. in lakhs)
(i) Purchase by Firm A from the Rest of the world
(ii) Sales by Firm B
(iii) Purchases by Firm A from Firm B
30
90
50
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
38
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(vii)
(viii)
(ix)
(x)
Sales by Firm A
Exports by Firm A
Opening stock of Firm A
Closing stock of Firm A
Opening stock of Firm B
Closing stock of Firm B
Purchases by Firm B from Firm A
110
30
35
20
30
20
50
23. Calculate value added by Firm X and Firm Y from the following data:
(Rs. in lakhs)
(i) Sales by Firm X
100
(ii) Sales by Firm Y
500
(iii) Purchases by households from Firm Y
300
(iv) Exports by Firm Y
50
(v) Change in stock of Firm X
20
(vi) Change in stock of Firm Y
10
(vii) Imports by Firm X
70
(viii) Sales by Firm X to Firm Y
250
(ix) Purchases by Firm Y from X
200
24. From the following data calculate the Net National Product at Market
Prices by (a) Expenditure Method (b) Income Method:
(Rs. in Crores)
(i) Personal consumption expenditure
700
(ii) Wages and salaries
700
(iii) Employers contribution to social security schemes 100
(iv) Gross Business fixed investment
60
(v) Gross Residential construction investment
60
(vi) Gross public investment
40
(vii) Inventory investment
20
(viii) Profits
100
(ix) Government purchases of goods and services
200
(x) Rent
50
(xi) Exports
40
(xii) Imports
20
(xiii) Interest
20
(xiv) Mixed income
100
(xv) Net factor income from abroad
10
(xvi) Depreciation
20
(xvii) Subsidies
10
(xviii) Indirect taxes
20
25. From the following data calculate the Gross Domestic Product at Factor
Cost by (a) Expenditure Method (b) Income Method:
(Rs. in Crores)
(i) Personal consumption expenditure
700
(ii) Wages and salaries
700
AND
MEASUREMENT
26. From the following data calculate the Gross Domestic Product at Market
Prices:
(Rs. in crores)
(i) Value of output in primary sector
2,000
(ii) Intermediate consumption of secondary sector 800
(iii) Intermediate consumption of primary sector
1000
(iv) Net factor income from abroad
30
(v) Net indirect taxes
300
(vi) Value of output of tertiary sector
1,400
(vii) Value of output of secondary sector
1,800
(viii) Intermediate consumption of tertiary sector
600
39
U N I T - III
DETERMINATION OF INCOME
EMPLOYMENT
AND
CHAPTER
Explanation of specific reasons for the downward sloping nature of the aggregate demand curve
is beyond the scope of this book. It may be dealt with during higher studies in economics.
The Classical school of economics ranged from Adam Smith in the 18th century to A. C. Pigou in
20th century. The Classical approach to macroeconomics (all writings on macroeconomics prior
to that of John Maynard Keynes) believed that the economy would normally be in a state of fullemployment equilibrium. The reason for this belief was their acceptance of Says law of markets.
Says law, in brief, maintained the impossibility of any deficiency in aggregate demand.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
42
Price level
Price level
AS
AD
Q*
Output
Output
Frictional unemployment is a temporary unemployment of people who move between jobs. Since
it takes time for a person to switch from one job to another, at any one point of time, there will
be a short period of temporary unemployment, which is called frictional unemployment.
Gardner Ackley, Macroeconomics, Collier Macmillan, 1978
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
IN
MACROECONOMICS
43
Clip 4.1
THE LIFE OF JEAN BAPTISTE SAY
Jean Baptiste Say (1767 1832) was a statesman in the reign
of Napoleon Bonaparte, a businessman, and an economist. He
founded the French Classical School of Economics, which had
notable names such as Frederic Bastiat amongst its followers.
Say wrote a book titled Treatise on Political Economy in 1803,
which found widespread fame, ran into five editions, and was
used as a textbook in the American colleges of the times.
He began lecturing on Political Economics in 1816 and published
his Catechism of Political Economy in 1817. In 1819, he was
appointed to the Chair of Industrial Economy at the
Conservatoire National des Arts et Mtiers. In 1828 he published a six-volume
book titled A Complete Course in Practical Political Economy. In 1831, he was
appointed as Professor of Political Economy at the College de France, a post he
held until his death in 1832.
Say was partly responsible for the introduction of the concept of an
entrepreneur into economic theory, and also the division of the fundamental
factors of production into three land, labour and capital. His greatest claim to
fame was his loi des dbouches or law of markets. His law became famous
when J. M. Keynes accused the Classical economists of being misled by accepting
it as the mainstay of their macroeconomic theory.
44
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Real wages refer to the purchasing power of workers wages in terms of goods and services. It
is measured by the ratio of the money wage rate to the price level as measured by some price
index. See the glossary for the meaning of the terms price level and price index. In the Classical
framework, the real wage rate is equal to the marginal product of labour.
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
IN
MACROECONOMICS
Price level
45
AS
Q*
Output
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
46
Equilibrium
The equilibrium between aggregate
demand and aggregate supply occurs,
when at a particular price level, the
aggregate demand is equal to the
aggregate supply. At equilibrium, the
total output of goods and services
produced equals the total demand for
those goods and services. The particular
price level at which equilibrium occurs
is known as the equilibrium price level.
The level of aggregate employment
corresponding to the equilibrium level
of aggregate supply is the equilibrium
level of employment.
This equilibrium may be of two
types full-employment equilibrium, and
under-employment equilibrium.
Clip 4.2
The Life of John Maynard Keynes
John Maynard Keynes (1883 1946) was the eldest son of
the British economist John Neville Keynes, who was the
Registrar of Cambridge University. Keynes graduated from
Cambridge University in 1905 with a mathematics tripos
and embarked upon a high-flying career which would see
him at various points of time as an Economist, Adviser to
the Government, Editor, and Professor of Economics.
For two years from 1906 to 1908 he served in the India Office
of the British Government. From 1909 to 1915 he was a
lecturer at Kings College, Cambridge during which period
he wrote Indian Currency and Finance in 1913. In 1912
he became the editor of the Economic Journal, a post he
held till 1945. From 1915 to 1919 he served the British treasury, and in 1919
he wrote The Economic Consequences of the Peace, where he criticised the
war reparations imposed on Germany as too high. His book A Treatise on Money
appeared in 1930.
In 1936 he wrote his revolutionary book, The General Theory of Employment,
Interest and Money. In 1944, he took a leading part in the discussions at Bretton
Woods, which led to the establishment of the IMF. In appreciation of his services
to his country, the British Government made him the first Baron of Tilton (Lord
Keynes of Tilton). He died on April 21, 1946.
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
IN
Full-employment Equilibrium
Full-employment equilibrium is an
equilibrium state where all resources
in the economy are fully utilised. The
Classical school of economics believed
that the full-employment equilibrium
would always prevail in the economy.
They recognized the possibility that
though the economy might briefly
depart from this equilibrium, it would
be restored due to the free play of the
market forces, i.e. interaction between
aggregate demand and aggregate
supply. The theoretical foundation of
this belief in full-employment
equilibrium was based upon the
assumptions of (a) Says law of
markets, and (b) wage-price flexibility.
The full-employment equilibrium is
shown in Figure 4.4.
The Y-axis measures the general
price level. The X-axis measures the
level of output. AD is the aggregate
demand curve and AS is the Classical
aggregate supply curve.
Price level
Peq
AS
E
AD
Q eq
Output
MACROECONOMICS
47
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
48
AS
AD
Peq
Qeq
Q*
Output
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
IN
MACROECONOMICS
49
SUMMARY
l
Aggregate demand is the total demand for goods and services in the economy.
Aggregate supply is the total supply of goods and services in the economy.
The theoretical basis of the Classical aggregate supply curve is (a) Says law
of markets, and (b) wage-price flexibility.
The theoretical basis of the Keynesian aggregate supply curve is (a) constant
marginal product of labour, and (b) wage-price flexibility.
EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
IN
MACROECONOMICS
51
CHAPTER
ITS
This relationship between consumption and income holds good for the individual, the household,
as well as for the economy as a whole. In the context of this chapter, consumption and income
shall be understood as referring to aggregate consumption and income.
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND ITS
COMPONENTS
53
The following two points must be kept in mind about the consumption function: (a) consumption
is actually a function of disposable income (that is, personal income minus personal taxes) per se.
However, since we have ignored the role of government, the disposable income is equal to income; (b) consumption is possible when the income is zero, a phenomenon also called as dissaving.
Marginal in economics means incremental or additional. Propensity to consume is the desire or
urge to consume. Marginal propensity to consume is thus the additional or extra consumption
that results from additional income.
The range of b may be deduced from the fundamental psychological law. Men are disposed, as
a rule and on the average, to increase their consumption as their income increases, this means
that b>0. but not by as much as the increase in their income; this means that b<1. Taken
together, 0<b<1.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
54
Change in
Consumption
C
Income
Y
Change in Income
Y
Marginal Propensity
to Consume (MPC)
= (2)/(4) = C/Y
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
100
180
80
100
100
(80/100) = 0.8
260
80
200
100
(80/100) = 0.8
340
80
300
100
(80/100) = 0.8
420
80
400
100
(80/100) = 0.8
500
80
500
100
(80/100) = 0.8
580
80
600
100
(80/100) = 0.8
660
80
700
100
(80/100) = 0.8
740
80
800
100
(80/100) = 0.8
820
80
900
100
(80/100) = 0.8
900
80
1000
100
(80/100) = 0.8
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND ITS
COMPONENTS
55
C
1000
S= 80
900
Consumption
Function
800
700
= 80
600
500
y = 100
400
C=820
300
S= - 60
MPC
200
C 80
0.8
Y 100
C= 260
100
45
O
100
200
300 400
500
900
1000
Dissaving literally means the opposite of saving. That is an individual would reduce his prior
accumulated savings to compensate for the reduction in his income and thus maintain his consumption
level.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
56
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND ITS
COMPONENTS
57
Change
in C
C
MPC
C/Y
Saving
S
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Change in MPS
S
S/Y
S
(7)
(8)
100
0.8
-100
100
100
180
80
0.8
-80
20
200
100
260
80
0.8
-60
300
100
340
80
0.8
400
100
420
80
500
100
500
600
100
700
100
800
C+S MPC+MPS
(9)
(10)
0.2
100
20
0.2
200
-40
20
0.2
300
0.8
-20
20
0.2
400
80
0.8
20
0.2
500
580
80
0.8
20
20
0.2
600
660
80
0.8
40
20
0.2
700
100
740
80
0.8
60
20
0.2
800
900
100
820
80
0.8
80
20
0.2
900
1000
100
900
80
0.8
100
20
0.2
1000
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
58
C
Part - A
1000
S= 80
900
Consumption
function
800
700
600
B
500
400
C=820
300
S= - 60
200
100
C= 260
45o
O
100
200
300 400
500
900
1000
S
Part - B
Savings
function
100
100
S= - 60
300
400
B
500
S=80
600
700
- 100
Fig 5.2: The Consumption Function and its associated Savings Function
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND ITS
COMPONENTS
59
we have
YC+S
Dividing both sides of the equation
by Y we have
Y/Y C/Y + S/Y
Thus, 1 APC + APS
Using the earlier examples of
consumption function and savings
function we can calculate the values of
APC and APS for every level of income.
This is done in Table 5.3.
Column (3) shows how APC is
calculated. At a particular income level,
the APC is the corresponding level of
consumption divided by that level of
income. Similarly; APS is calculated in
column (5). At a particular income level,
the APS is the corresponding level of
saving divided by that level of income.
Column (6) shows the sum of APC and
APS. As expected, at every level of
income, the sum of APC and APS is
equal to one. This is because income is
either consumed and or saved.
Therefore, the proportion of income that
is not consumed must be saved.
As we can see from the above table,
APC is continuously declining as
income increases; and APS is
continuously increasing as income
increases. This means that as income
increases, the proportion of income
saved increases and the proportion of
income consumed decreases.
Investment
The second component of aggregate
demand is investment which means
addition to the stock of capital goods,
in the nature of equipment, residential
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
60
APC
(2)/(1)
APS
(4)/(1)
APC+APS
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
100
-100
100
180
1.8
-80
-0.8
200
260
1.3
-60
-0.3
300
340
1.13
-40
-0.13
400
420
1.05
-20
-0.05
500
500
600
580
0.97
20
0.03
700
660
0.94
40
0.06
800
740
0.92
60
0.08
900
820
0.91
80
0.09
1000
900
0.90
100
0.10
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND ITS
COMPONENTS
61
Total size
of Project
(Rs. in Lakhs)
Annual net
revenue per
Rs.100
invested
(10%)
(5%)
Annual net
Profit per Rs.100
invested, at
annual interest
rate of
(10%)
(5%)
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
150
10
140
145
22
10
12
17
10
16
10
11
10
13
10
11
10
15
10
10
10
20
10
62
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND ITS
COMPONENTS
63
SUMMARY
l
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l
l
l
l
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l
l
l
l
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
64
EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
R3
R1
R2
R4
+
+
+
+
(1 + r ) (1 + r )2 (1 + r )3 (1 + r )4
R5
(1 + r )5
+ ..........
Rn
(1 + r )n
Where,
C = purchase price or cost of the
capital good
R1 = net income from the capital good
in the ith year.
r=
1000 1000
1000
+
+
+
(1 + r ) (1 + r )2 (1 + r )3
1000
(1 + r )
1000
(1 + r )5
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
66
l
MEC in %
10
8
M
A
C
H
I
N
E
1000
SMALL MACHINE
PLANT
3000
Investment
expenditure
This section draws on material from Principles of Macroeconomics By C. Rangarajan and B.H.
Dholakia, Tata McGraw-Hill Publishing Company, 2002.
AGGREGATE DEMAND
AND ITS
COMPONENTS
MEI in %
67
Rate of
interest
Investment demand
Fig A5.3 :
CHAPTER
DETERMINATION OF INCOME,
EMPLOYMENT AND OUTPUT
In the previous chapter we saw the
components of aggregate demand. In
the Keynesian framework, the
equilibrium level of output is
determined solely by the level of
aggregate demand. The first section of
this chapter will show the
determination of the equilibrium level
of output in the Keynesian framework.
Then, the concept and working of the
multiplier will be introduced. The
second section will deal with the
problems of excess and deficient
demand, followed by the measures to
correct these problems.
Determination of Equilibrium Level
of Output
We shall confine our analysis of the
determination of the equilibrium level
of output to an economy with only two
sectors, households and firms. Hence,
the only components of aggregate
demand will be consumption demand
and investment demand. The absence
of the government sector and the
foreign sector means that income
equals output, which is equal to Gross
National Product.
Output Determination by
Consumption plus Investment
Approach
We may show output determination
using the consumption plus investment
(C+I) approach. This is illustrated in Fig.
6.1, which shows total spending or
aggregate demand plotted against
output or income. The line CC is the
consumption function, showing the
desired level of consumption
corresponding to each level of income.
We now add desired investment (which
is at fixed level Io to the consumption
function. This gives the level of total
desired spending or aggregate demand,
represented by the C + Io curve. At every
point, the (C + Io) curve lies above the CC
curve by an amount equal to Io.
The 45 o line will enable us to
identify the equilibrium. At any
point on the 45o line, the aggregate
demand (measured vertically) equals
the total level of output (measured
horizontally).
The economy is in equilibrium
when aggregate demand, represented
by the C + I0 curve is equal to the
total output.
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
69
C&I
C+ Io
C
E
C + Io
Io
Io
C
45o
M
Q*
Output
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
70
Consumption
(C)
Consumption
Function
B
45
Q*
Savings
Function
Savings
(S)
Output
Q*
Output
Fig 6.2: The Consumption Function and the corresponding Savings Function
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
71
Investment
(I)
Investment
o
Q*
Output
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
72
Savings,
Investment (S,I)
Savings
function
E
Io
O
Output
Fig 6.4: Intersection of the Savings Function and the Investment Schedule
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
73
Actual investment equals planned investment plus unplanned investment. The unplanned investment
changes due to unplanned inventory increase or decrease.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
74
Planned
consumption
Planned
Saving
(3)=(1)(2)
Aggregate
Tendency
Demand of Output to
(6)=(2)+(4)
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
4200
3800
400
200
4200>
4000
Decrease
3900
3600
300
200
3900>
3800
Decrease
3600
3400
200
200
3600=
3600
Equilibrium
3300
3200
100
200
3300<
3400
Increase
3000
3000
200
3000<
3200
Increase
2700
2800
-100
200
2700<
3000
Increase
(7)
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
75
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
76
= C + bY + I
so Y bY = C + I
or, Y (1b) = C + I
or, Y =
1
( + I)
(1 b) C
1
( + I)
(1 MPC) C
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
+
Rs. 640
+
Rs. 512
+
Rs. 409.6
+
..
.
Rs. 5000
+
(4/5)2 Rs. 1000
+
(4/5)3 Rs. 1000
+
(4/5)4 Rs. 1000
+
..
.
[1/{1-(4/5)}] Rs. 1000
Multiplier
We have said that the chain of
secondary consumption spending is an
endless ever-diminishing chain, whose
sum is a finite amount.
We may find the sum of the total
increase in spending by using the
formula for the sum of an infinite
geometric progression.
The sum of the total increase in
spending and the total increase in
income is:
Y=
Y=
77
Y = Rs. 5000
We can see that with an MPC of 4/5,
the multiplier is 5.
We may also express multiplier in
terms of the marginal propensity to
save, that is MPS.
Multiplier =
1
1 MPC
1
MPS
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
78
(C + I)1
F
(C + I)o
G
E
Deflationary
Gap
45o
M
Q*
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
79
Aggregate
Demand
Inflationary Gap
E
(C + I)1
(C + I)0
45o
Q*
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
80
Price
Level
Q* is the full employment
level of output.
Output
Fig 6.7: Keynesian Aggregate Supply Curve
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
81
Taxes that do not change with income or other economic variables are called lump sum taxes.
Disposable income equals income minus taxes.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
82
Aggregate
Demand
Inflationary Gap
(C + I)1
(C + I)0
F
45o
Q*
Output, income
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
83
Aggregate
demand
C+I+G
G
C+I
45o
Output
Fig 6.9: The Effect of Government Expenditure on Aggregate Demand
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
84
Aggregate
Demand
F
C+I+G
E
Deflationary Gap
45o
M
Output
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
85
Aggregate
demand
C+I+G1
F
C+I+Go
45o
M
Output
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is the Central Bank for the Indian Economy.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
86
C+I+G
Aggregate
Demand
E
G
C+I+G
Aggregate
Demand
E
G
C1+I+G
Inflationary Gap
45o
M
Q*
Output
C1+I+G
Inflationary Gap
45o
M
Q*
Output
DETERMINATION
OF
INCOME, EMPLOYMENT
AND
OUTPUT
87
SUMMARY
l
l
l
l
The equilibrium level of income is that level of income where the aggregate
demand equals the level of output, and the level of planned savings equals
planned investment.
A situation of deficient demand arises if the aggregate demand is for a level of
output that is less than the full-employment level of output. This gives rise to
a deflationary gap.
A situation of excess demand arises if the aggregate demand is for a level of
output that is more than the full-employment level of output. This gives rise
to an inflationary gap.
The introduction of government sector means that aggregate demand is now
equal to the sum of consumption, investment and government expenditure.
The government sector impacts the level of aggregate demand through both
government expenditure and taxes.
Excess and deficient demand may be corrected through fiscal policy and
monetary policy measures.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
88
EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
UNIT-IV
MONEY
AND
BANKING
CHAPTER
MONEY
AND
BANKING
MONEY
AND
BANKING
91
The following three sections draw on materials from The Economics of Money and Banking by
Stephen M. Goldfeld and Lester V. Chandler, Harper and Row, 8th Edition, New York, 1981.
92
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
MONEY
AND
BANKING
93
94
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
MONEY
AND
BANKING
95
96
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
MONEY
AND
BANKING
97
98
Money Supply
Having defined money we may now list
out the things that serve as money.2
Then, the money supply, i.e. the total
stock of moneys of various kinds at any
particular point of time can be
computed. By repeated measurements
at different points of time we may get a
time series of the total stock of money.
By analysing this time series in
conjunction with time series of other
economic variables such as incomes,
wages, prices, employment, etc. we can
hope to understand the effect of money
on the other variables in the economy.
It is important to note two things
regarding any measure of money
supply. First, the supply of money is a
stock variable, i.e. it does not have any
time dimension it refers to the total
amount of money at any particular
point of time. It is not a flow variable in
the sense of income, which refers to a
rate per unit time, i.e. so many rupees
per year.
Second, the stock of money always
refers to the stock of money held by the
public. This is always smaller than the
total stock of money in existence. The
term public includes all economic units
households, firms, etc. except the
producers of money, i.e. the government
and the banking system. The banking
system includes the Reserve Bank of
India and all the banks that accept
demand deposits. The reason for such a
distinction is to separate the producers
or suppliers of money from the holders
2
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
The following sections draw on material from Monetary Economics : Institutions, Theory and
Policy, by Suraj B. Gupta, 1982.
MONEY
AND
BANKING
99
100
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
MONEY
AND
BANKING
101
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
102
5. Investment of funds
The banks invest their surplus funds
in three types of securities
Government securities, other approved
securities, and other securities.
Government securities are
securities of both the Central and State
governments such as treasury bills,
national savings certificates etc.
Other approved securities are
securities approved under the
provisions of the Banking Regulation
Act, 1949. These include securities of
State sponsored bodies like electricity
boards, housing boards, debentures of
Land Development Banks, units of UTI,
shares of Regional Rural Banks etc.
Part of the banks investment in
government securities and other
approved securities are mandatory
under the provisions of the Statutory
Liquidity Ratio requirement of the RBI.
However, banks hold excess investments
in these securities because banks can
borrow against these securities from
RBI and others, or sell these securities
in the open market to meet their need
for cash. Banks hold them even though
the return from them is lower than that
on loans and advances because they
are more liquid.
6. Agency Functions of the Bank
The bank performs certain agency
functions for its customers in return for
a commission. The agency services
provided by the banks are:
(i) Transfer of funds the bank
provides facility for cheap and
easy remittance of funds from
place to place via instruments
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(vii)
(viii)
7. Miscellaneous Functions
(i) Purchase and sale of foreign
exchange.
(ii) Issuance of travellers cheques
and gift cheques.
(iii) Safe custody of valuable goods in
lockers.
(iv) Underwriting activities (agreeing
to partly or fully purchase the
whole or the unsold portion
respectively of new issue of
securities) and private placement
of securities (selling securities not
through the open market, but
privately to selected entities).
MONEY
AND
BANKING
103
Commercial banks
Scheduled
commercial banks
Non-scheduled
commercial banks
Foreign banks
1. Currency Authority
The Central Bank is the sole authority
for the issue of currency in the country.
All the currency issued by the Central
Bank is its monetary liability. This
means that the Central Bank is obliged
to back the currency with assets of
equal value. These assets usually
consist of gold coin, gold bullion,
foreign securities, and the domestic
governments local currency securities.
The countrys Central Government
is usually authorized to borrow money
from the Central Bank. The government
does this, by selling local currency
securities to the Central Bank. The effect
of this is to increase the supply of money
in the economy. When the Central Bank
acquires these securities, it issues
currency. This authority of the
government gives it flexibility to monetize
its debt. Monetizing the governments
104
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
MONEY
AND
BANKING
105
106
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
MONEY
AND
BANKING
107
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
108
SUMMARY
l
l
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l
l
l
l
l
l
l
EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
OF
LIQUIDITY PREFERENCE
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
110
where
Mt
is the demand for real
P
Mt
= k (Y ) can be used to
P
MONEY
AND
BANKING
111
M sp
P
= h(r)
r0
r1
msp
msp
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
112
r0
md
mt m sp m d
AND THE
INTEREST RATE
re
md
md ms
md , ms
MONEY
AND
BANKING
113
ms
ms1
The supply of money curve is a r
vertical straight line because it is a
constant, and is independent of the rate
of interest. The money market is in
equilibrium at interest rate re because r0
the supply of money equals the demand r1
for money.
md
Altering the money supply will affect
the interest rate. Consider the effect of
an increase in the money supply from
md,ms
ms to ms1. We can portray the effect of
Fig A7.4 : Rate of Interest and Changes in
this diagrammatically in fig A7.4. The
Money Supply
effect of an increase in the money supply
is to cause a decrease in the interest rates
from r0 to r1. However this will occur only supply increase is trapped in the
if the money supply increase takes place speculative balances and does not affect
the region of the demand for money interest rate.
curve that does not correspond to the
Decreasing the money supply
liquidity trap. If money supply increases will have the opposite effect of
over the section of the curve where the increasing the rate of interest. This can
liquidity trap operates, then all the happen when the economy is not in the
additional liquidity created by the money liquidity trap as well.
OF
COMMERCIAL BANKS
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
114
Amount
(Rs. in Crores)
% to Total
1. Capital
21497.18
1.40
62648.94
4.08
1202767.43
78.33
4. Borrowings
107178.82
6.98
5. Other liabilities
141420.76
9.21
Total Liabilities
1535513.13
100.00
86760.51
5.65
117518.25
7.65
3. Investments
588058.29
38.30
645743.04
42.05
5. Fixed assets
20083.30
1.31
6. Other assets
77349.74
5.04
1535513.13
100.00
Liabilities
3. Deposits
Assets
1. Cash and balances with RBI
Total Assets
MONEY
AND
BANKING
115
AND
M ULTIPLE E XPANSION
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
116
Bank A
Change in Assets
Cash reserves
Required reserves
Excess reserves
+Rs.1000
+Rs.100
+Rs.900
Change in Liabilities
Demand deposits
+Rs.1000
MONEY
AND
BANKING
117
Bank A
Change in Assets
Cash reserves
Loans
Required reserves
Excess reserves
+Rs.100
+Rs.900
+Rs.100
Rs.0
Change in Liabilities
Demand deposits
+Rs.1000
sequence.
The pattern of the sequence is as
follows. At each step the bank sets aside
10% of the newly acquired deposits in
the form of required reserves and uses
Bank B
Change in Assets
Cash reserves
Required reserves
Excess reserves
+Rs.900
Change in Liabilities
Demand deposits
+Rs.900
+Rs.90
+ Rs.810
Bank B
Change in assets
Cash reserves
Loans
Required reserves
Excess reserves
+Rs.90
+Rs.810
+Rs.90
Rs.0
Change in Liabilities
Demand deposits
+Rs.900
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
118
Additional
deposits (Rs.)
Additional
loans (Rs.)
(money increase)
(credit increase)
1000.00
900.00
100.00
900.00
810.00
90.00
810.00
729.00
81.00
729.00
656.10
72.90
656.10
590.49
65.61
590.49
531.44
59.05
531.44
478.30
53.14
and so on
10000.00
9000.00
1000.00
Total
Additional required
reserves (Rs.)
MONEY
AND
BANKING
119
UNIT-V
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
AND THE ECONOMY
CHAPTER
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
ECONOMY
The purpose of this chapter is to
understand what a government budget
is and how the government budget
interacts with and affects the economy.
The budget is the most important
information document of the
government. One part of the budget is
similar to a companys annual report.
This part presents the overall picture
of the financial performance of the
government during the period since its
last budget. The second part of the
budget presents the governments
financial plans for the period up to its
next budget, in order to inform the
country, and seek legislative approval.
As a consequence of Keynesian
economics, budgetary policies are
considered significant in the
stabilisation of the economy.
Budget and its Objectives
The budget is an annual statement of
the estimated receipts and expenditures
of the government over the fiscal year,
which runs from April 1 to March 31.
The government has several policies it
wishes to implement in the overall
task of performing its functions.
AND THE
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
122
GOVERNMENT BUDGENT
AND THE
ECONOMY
123
Item
Tax revenue
Non-tax revenue
Total revenue receipts
Amount
(Rs. in crores)
172965
72140
245105
Capital Receipts
The main items of capital receipts are
loans raised by the government from the
public (these are called Market Loans),
borrowings by the government from the
Reserve Bank of India and other parties
through the sale of treasury bills, loans
received from foreign governments and
bodies (e.g. World Bank, Asian
Development Bank, etc.), recoveries of
loans granted to state and union
territory governments and other parties,
small savings and deposits in the public
provident fund (PPF), etc.
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
124
Amount
(Rs. in crores)
Recovery of loans
17680
12000
Borrowings and
other liabilities
135524
165204
Expenditure
Expenditure may be classified in the
following three ways:
1. Revenue expenditure and capital
expenditure
Revenue
expenditure
is
the
expenditure incurred for the normal
running of government departments
and provision of various services,
interest charges on debt incurred by the
government, subsidies etc. In general,
any expenditure that does not result in
the creation of assets is treated as
revenue expenditure. However, all
grants given to state governments are
treated as revenue expenditure even
though some of the grants may be for
creation of assets.
Capital expenditure consists mainly
of expenditure on acquisition of assets like
land, buildings, machinery, equipment;
investments in shares, etc., and loans and
advances granted by the central
GOVERNMENT BUDGENT
AND THE
ECONOMY
Total expenditure
(1+7)
Amount
(Rs. in crores)
369266
62000
144588
8533
24383
121045
360549
125
729815
Type of
Budget
Deficit
Revenue = Expenditure
Balanced
Surplus
126
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
GOVERNMENT BUDGENT
AND THE
ECONOMY
127
Amount
(Rs. in Crores)
1. Revenue receipts
245105
(i) Tax revenue
172965
(ii) Non-tax revenue
72140
2. Capital receipts
165204
(i) Recovery of loans 17680
(ii) Other receipts
12000
(mainly PSU
disinvestments)
(iii) Borrowings and
135564
other liabilities
3. Revenue expenditure
340482
(i) Interest payments 117390
(ii) Major subsidies
38923
(iii) Defence expenditure43589
4. Capital expenditure
69827
5. Total expenditure
(i) Plan expenditure
(ii) Non-plan
expenditure
6. Fiscal deficit
[5 1 2(i) 2(ii)]
7. Revenue deficit
[3 1]
8. Primary deficit
[6 3(i)]
410309
113500
296809
135524
95377
18134
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
128
Item
Amount
(Rs. in Crores)
1. Total Outlay
729815
A.Development
369266
B. Non-Development
360549
(i) Defence (net)
62000
(ii) Interest payments 144588
(iii) Tax collection
charges
8533
(iv) Police
24383
(v) Others
121045
2. Current Revenue
A. Tax Revenue
(i) Income and
corporation tax
(ii) Customs
(iii) Union excise duties
(iv) Sales tax
(v) Others
476031
371355
84801
54822
81720
81579
68433
B.Non-Tax Revenue
104676
(Internal resources of
public sector undertaking
for the plan)
(45100)
3. Gap (1 2)
Financed by:
253784
248124
245561
2563
5660
GOVERNMENT BUDGENT
AND THE
ECONOMY
129
SUMMARY
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EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
What is a budget?
What are the objectives of a budget?
What are the revenue items?
Define tax and non-tax revenue.
What is the difference between Revenue Budget and Capital
Budget?
Classify public expenditure.
Differentiate between developmental and non-developmental
expenditure.
What is non-plan expenditure?
Define:
(a) Fiscal deficit
(b) Budget deficit
(c) Revenue deficit
(d) Primary deficit
How may a deficit be financed?
U N I T - VI
BALANCE
OF
PAYMENTS
CHAPTER
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
132
Price
Rs/$
S$
R'
S'$
Req
R"
D'$
D$
Qeq
Q" Q'
AND
DETERMINATION
133
134
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
AND
DETERMINATION
135
e
(Units of home
currency per
unit of foreign
currency)
C
A
Time
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
136
i
R index = R a for the year b
i
Rb
X i + Mi
X total + M total
AND
DETERMINATION
RER index = R a
137
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
138
SUMMARY
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Foreign exchange rate has become an important variable that engages the
attention of all those who are concerned with foreign trade.
Foreign exchange market plays many roles to transfer purchasing power, to
provide credit and help in hedging operations.
Equilibrium in the freely fluctuating foreign exchange market is brought about
by the intersection demand for and supply of foreign exchange.
Apart from two extremes of fixed exchange and flexible exchange rates, some
hybrid systems such as wider bands, crawling peg and managed floating are
also followed by some countries.
Distinction between spot and forward markets help understand the complex
operation in the foreign exchange market.
Instability in the exchange rate could give rise to currency crises.
EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
CHAPTER
10
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS:
MEANING AND COMPONENTS
The Balance of Payment (BOP)
Accounts are an important aspect of the
study of macro economy. In our four
sector circular flow diagram given in
Chapter 2, it has been shown that the
external sector influences the working
of an open economy. Macroeconomic
phenomena cannot be confined with a
particular economy. On the other hand,
open economies react sharply to events
that are occurring in the rest of world
sector. In order to record the overseas
transactions of a country, the BOP
accounts are maintained and they
constitute an important part of the
national income accounts.
The BOP accounts are a summary
of international transaction of a country
for a given period, that is a financial
year. The balance of payments of a
country is a systematic record of all
economic transactions between the
residents of the reporting country and
the residents of foreign countries during
a given period of time1.
Here, are two questions that need
to be answered. They are: who is a
1
2
140
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Double-entry book keeping is an accounting principle requiring funds that come in to be entered in
an account that shows where they came from and also in an account that shows where they are put.
Funds that go out are entered in an account that shows what they are spent on and also in an
account that shows where they came from.
Dennis R. Appleyard and J. Field Homeward, International Economics, Illinois, Irwin 1992, p. 471.
BALANCE
OF
PAYMENTS: MEANING
AND
COMPONENTS
141
Credits (+)
CATEGORY - I
A. Imports of Goods
A. Exports of Goods
B. Imports of Services
B. Exports of Services
CATEGORY - II
CATEGORY - III
A. Increase in long-term foreign assets
owned by home country private
citizens and government.
B. Decrease in long-term home country
assets owned by foreign private
citizens and governments.
CATEGORY - IV
A. Increase in short-term foreign assets
owned by home country private
citizens.
B. Decrease in short-term home country
assets owned by foreign private
citizens.
CATEGORY - V
A. Increase in short-term foreign assets
owned by home country government
(official monetary authorities).
B. Decrease in short-terms home country
asset owned by foreign governments
(official monetary authorities).
Current Account
The Current Account records imports
and exports of goods and services and
unilateral transfers. Exports, whether
of goods (steel, machinery, rice, etc.) or
services (banking services, insurance
142
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
BALANCE
OF
PAYMENTS: MEANING
AND
COMPONENTS
143
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
144
Table 10.1: Indias Balance of Payments
Sl. Item
No
1990-91 2001-02
1 Exports
18477
44915
2 Imports
27915
57618
3 Trade Balance
-9438
-12703
4 Invisibles (net)
-242
14054
980
4199
-3752
-2654
2069
12125
461
384
-9680
1351
6 External assistance
(net)
2210
1204
7 Commercial
borrowing (net)
2248
-1147
8 IMF (net)
1214
9 NR deposits (net)
1536
2754
-1193
-519
103
5286
97
3266
(ii) FIIs
1505
515
2284
2828
13 Capital account
total (net)
8402
10406
14 Reserve use
(-increase)
1278
-11757
5 Current Account
Balance
11 Foreign investment
(net) of which
(i) FDI (net)
Source:
BALANCE
OF
PAYMENTS: MEANING
AND
COMPONENTS
145
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
146
SUMMARY
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EXERCISES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
GLOSSARY
Accommodating Items
148
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Balance of Payments
Balance of Trade
Balanced Budget
Bank Rate
Barter Exchange
Base Year
Bearer of Options
Bills of Exchange
Budget
GLOSSARY
149
Budget Deficit
C-C Economy
Capital Budget
Capital Consumption
Allowance
Capital Expenditure
Capital Receipts
Cash Credit
150
Cash Reserve Ratio
Circular Flow
Commercial Revenue
Consumption Function
Constant Prices
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
The portion of net demand and time
liabilities every bank is required to deposit
with the RBI.
A pictorial illustration of the inter dependence between the major sectors of
economic activity.
Revenue received by the government in
the form of prices paid for government
supplied commodities and services, i.e.
revenues derived from the government
from their public enterprises.
The relationship between consumption
and income.
Prices prevailing in the base year.
Crawling Peg
Credit Money
Currency
Currency Appreciation
Currency Authority
Currency Depreciation
Deferred Payments
GLOSSARY
Deficient Demand
Deficit Budget
Deflationary Gap
Demand Loans
Depreciation
Developmental Expenditure
Direct Tax
Dividend
Double Counting
151
If the aggregate demand is an amount of
output which is less than the full
employment level of output, then it is
known as deficient demand.
A budget where the estimated revenue is
less than the estimated expenditure.
The difference between the actual level of
aggregate demand, and the level of
aggregate demand required to establish
the full-employment equilibrium. It is a
measure of the amount of aggregate
demand deficiency.
A demand loan is one that can be recalled
on demand. It has no stated maturity. The
entire loan amount is paid in lump sum
by crediting it to the loan account of the
borrower.
The value of the existing capital stock that
has been consumed or used up in the
process of producing output.
Development expenditure includes plan
expenditure of Railways, Posts and
Telecommunications
and
nondepartmental commercial undertakings
financed out of their internal and extra
budgetary resources, including market
borrowings and term loans from financial
institutions to State Government public
enterprises. It also includes developmental
loans given by the Central and State
Governments to non-departmental
undertakings, local bodies and other
parties
Those taxes that are levied immediately
on the property and income of persons,
and those that are paid directly by the
consumers to the state. Income tax,
interest tax, wealth tax, corporation tax
are all examples of direct taxes.
The amount paid out annually to
shareholders, by the company whose stock
is owned by the shareholders.
Counting product two or more times is
called double counting. Double counting
will exaggerate or over -estimate the
value of GDP.
152
Double-entry Accounting
Durable Goods
Effective Exchange Rate
Equilibrium
Escheat
Excess Demand
Factor Incomes
Factor Market
Fee
Fiat Money
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
An accounting principle requiring funds
that come in to be entered in an account
that shows where they came from and also
in an account that shows where they are
put. Funds that go out are entered in an
account that shows for what they are
spent on and also in an account that
shows where they came from.
Goods that have a long life span in their
use to consumers.
The measure of average relative strength
of a given currency with respect to other
currencies.
The equilibrium between aggregate
demand and aggregate supply occurs,
when at a particular price level, the
aggregate demand is equal to the
aggregate supply. It is the point at which
the total output of goods and services
produced equals the total demand for
those goods and services.
All the claims of the government on the
property of a person who dies without
having any legal heirs or without leaving
a will.
If the aggregate demand is for a level of
output more than full-employment level of
output, then it is known as excess
demand.
Incomes received by the factors of
production for their contribution to the
production process. Land receives rent,
labour receives wages, capital receives
interest and entrepreneurs receive profits.
The market for factors of production.
A payment to defray the cost of each
recurring service undertaken by the
government, primarily in the public
interest, but conferring a measurable
special advantage on the fee payer. For
example, college fees in government
colleges.
Money that serves as money on the fiat
(order) of the government.
GLOSSARY
Fiduciary Money
Final Goods
Financial Intermediaries
Fine
Fiscal Deficit
Fiscal Discipline
Fiscal Policy
Fiscal Year
Fixed Deposits
Forfeitures
153
Money which is accepted as money on the
basis of the trust that its issuer
commands.
Those that are meant for final use by
consumers or firms. These goods are not
required to enter into further stages of
production or resale to change their form
and content. They are finished goods
meant only for final consumption or
Investment.
Institution that receive funds from savers
and lends them to borrowers. These include
depository institutions such as banks and
non-depository institutions such as
mutual funds, pension funds, etc.
Fines are amounts levied for an
infringement of a law.
The difference between the total
expenditure of the government and the
revenue receipts plus those capital
receipts which are not in the nature of
borrowing, but which finally accrue to the
government.
Fiscal discipline is having control over
expenditures, given the quantum of
revenues.
Governments expenditure and tax policy
together is known as its fiscal policy.
The fiscal year runs from April 1 to March
31.
These are deposits for a fixed term (period
of time) varying from a few days to a few
years.
Under this system exchange rate is
officially declared and it is fixed. Only a
very small deviation from this fixed value
is possible.
A situation where there is no official
intervention in the foreign exchange
market. The exchange rate is determined
by the interaction of supply and demand
in the foreign exchange market.
Penalties imposed by courts for noncompliance with orders or non-fulfillment
of contract, etc.
154
Forward Rate
Frictional Unemployment
Full-bodied Money
Full-employment Equilibrium
GNP Deflator
Hedging
Inconvertible Currency
Inflationary Gap
Intermediate Goods
Indirect Taxes
Inventory
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Exchange rate that prevails in a forward
contract for the purchase or sale of foreign
exchange.
Temporary unemployment of people who
are between jobs. Since it takes time for a
person to switch from one job to another,
at any one point of time there will be a
small
amount
of
temporary
unemployment.
Full-bodied money is money whose value
as a commodity for non-monetary
purposes is as great as its value as money.
An equilibrium where all
resources in
the economy are fully utilised.
The average level of the prices of all the
goods and services that make up GNP. It
is calculated as the ratio of nominal GNP
to real GNP, multiplied by 100.
Activity that is designed to minimize risk
of loss
Currency that is not convertible into the
precious metal (gold), or other assets that
back it.
It is the amount by which the actual
aggregate demand exceeds the level of
aggregate demand required to establish
the full-employment equilibrium. The
inflationary gap is a measure of the
amount of the excess of aggregate demand.
Intermediate goods are those goods which
are used to produce other goods and
therefore they always move from one stage
of production to another in the
manufacture of a final product.
Those taxes that are levied on goods and
services. They only affect the income and
property of persons indirectly, through
their consumption of goods and services.
Stocks of final goods awaiting sale, semifinished goods, or of materials used in the
production process (inputs).
GLOSSARY
Legal Tender
155
156
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Monetary Standard
Monetizing Debt
Money Flow
Money Supply
Moneyness
Moral Suasion
Multiplier
Natural Monopoly
Nominal GNP
GLOSSARY
Non-market Goods
Non-plan Expenditure
Non-tax Revenue
Open Market Operations
Overdraft
Parity Value
Penalty
Plan Expenditure
Planned Investment
Planned Savings
Price Index
Price Level
Primary Deficit
157
These are goods that have been consumed
without using organized markets.
Is that public expenditure which does not
represent current development and
investment outlays that arise due to plan
proposals.
All revenue receipts that do not arise out
of taxes.
Buying and selling of securities by the RBI
in the open market. This is a tool of the
Central Bank for monetary control.
An advance given by allowing a customer
to overdraw his current account upto an
agreed limit.
When a monetary authority adopt a
standard currency made of paper in a
country, that country is on a paper
currency standard.
In a fixed exchange rate system, the value
of a currency will be fixed in terms of
another currency or in terms of gold. This
value is known as the parity value of the
currency.
An amount levied for an infringement of a
law.
That public expenditure which represents
current development and investment
outlays that arise due to plan proposals.
The amount of planned or desired
investment given by the investment
demand function.
The amount of planned or desired savings
given by the savings function.
An index number that shows how the
average price of a bundle of goods has
changed over a period of time.
The average level of prices prevailing in
an economy. It is measured by the price
index.
Fiscal deficit minus interest payments. It
indicates how much of the government
borrowing is going to meet expenses other
than interest payments.
158
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Promissory Notes
Real GNP
Real Flow
Resource Allocation
Revenue Budget
Revenue Deficit
Revenue Expenditure
Saving
GLOSSARY
159
Savings Function
Search Cost
Short-term Loans
Spot Rate
Standard Money
Subsidies
Surplus Budget
160
INTRODUCTORY MACROECONOMICS
Tax Revenue
Token Coins
Trading Costs
Transfer Payments
Under-employment Equilibrium
Value Added
Wage-price Flexibility
Wider Band