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Aug 21, 2015

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@risk

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138 Ansichten

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@risk

© All Rights Reserved

Als XLSX, PDF, TXT **herunterladen** oder online auf Scribd lesen

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Business

Finance/Insurance

Mining

Oil and Gas

Operations/Supply Chain

Project Management/Cost Estimation

Quality/Reliability

Statistics/Probability

Examples in Other Fields

Quick

Quick Start

Start

Click here for an introductory hands-on tutorial of @RISK which includes detailed videos and ins

More

More on

on the

the Web

Web

The first column indicates a required Edition of @RISK. (Pro=Professional (or higher), Ind=Industrial. Proj=Requires an insta

This icon indicates that an online video exists to illustrate this example. Click the icon to watch the video.

This icon indicates that this example is part of a larger sequence of examples. Click the icon to see the full sequence.

Note: Some examples appear multiple times in this list because they apply to more than one category

Business Examples

Pro

Pro

Pro

Basic

Basic

Basic

Basic

Basic

Basic

Basic

Basic

Business

Business

Business

Business

Business

Business

Business

Business

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Model with Correlated Inputs.xlsx

Model with Simtable.xlsx

Model with Goal Seek.xlsx

Model with Stress Analysis.xlsx

Model with Advanced Sensitivity Analysis.xlsx

Effects of Different Input Distributions.xlsx

Competitor Entry 1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Competitor Entry 2 - Model with More Competitors.xlsx

Note

New

New

New

New

Product

Product

Product

Product

0

1

2

3

Basic

Basic

Basic

Basic

Model with TopRank.xlsx

@RISK Model.xlsx

Model with Less Uncertainty.xlsx

Ind

Ind

Ind

Cost Estimation.xlsx

Product Mix with Uncertainty 1.xlsx

Product Mix with Uncertainty 2.xlsx

Seasonal Sales - Time Series Fit.xlsx

Finance/Insurance Examples

Credit Risk: A sequence of examples that a credit office could use to appro

Credit Risk 1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Credit Risk 2 - Model with Business Cycles.xlsx

Credit Risk 3 - Model with Correlated Price and Volume.xlsx

Discounted

Discounted

Discounted

Discounted

Cash

Cash

Cash

Cash

Flow

Flow

Flow

Flow

0

1

2

3

Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Model with Changing Growth Rates.xlsx

Model with Correlated Growth Rates.xlsx

Pro

Ind

Portfolio

Portfolio

Portfolio

Portfolio

Portfolio

Portfolio

Portfolio

Analysis

Analysis

Analysis

Analysis

Analysis

Analysis

Analysis

1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

2 - Model with Puts.xlsx

3 - Sensitivity Analysis for Model with Puts.xlsx

4 - Using Goal Seek on Model with Puts.xlsx

5 - Model with Correlated Stock Prices.xlsx

with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Insurance

Insurance

Insurance

Insurance

Claims

Claims

Claims

Claims

0

1

2

3

Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Model with RiskCompound.xlsx

Model with Resampling.xlsx

Real

Real

Real

Real

Real

Real

Options

Options

Options

Options

Options

Options

1

2

3

4

5

6

Abandonment.xlsx

Postponement.xlsx

Expansion.xlsx

Reduction.xlsx

Pioneer.xlsx

Sequential Decisions.xlsx

Capital Budgeting.xlsx

Cash Management.xlsx

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Pro

Exchange Rate Hedging.xlsx

Financial Forecasting.xlsx

Financial Portfolio Simulation.xlsx

Investment Model with Correlated Assets.xlsx

Planning for Retirement.xlsx

Planning House Purchase.xlsx

Portfolio Balancing with Uncertainty.xlsx

Portfolio Optimization with Time Series.xlsx

Stock Price Forecasts.xlsx

Stock Prices - Time Series Batch Fit.xlsx

Stress Analysis.xlsx

Mining Examples

Ind

Valuing a Gold Mine Lease 2 - Abandonment Option.xlsx

Valuing a Gold Mine Lease 3 - Price Time Series.xlsx

Oil Drilling Schedule 0 - Model with No Uncertainty.xlsx

Oil Drilling Schedule 1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Oil, Gas Forecast 0 - Model with No Uncertainty.xlsx

Oil, Gas Forecast 1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Oil, Gas Forecast 2 - Sensitivity Analysis.xlsx

Volumetric

Volumetric

Volumetric

Volumetric

Reserves

Reserves

Reserves

Reserves

0

1

2

3

Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Sensitivity to Input Distributions.xlsx

Methane Model.xlsx

Ind

Ind

Petroleum Prices - Time Series Fit.xlsx

Petroleum Prices - Time Series Batch Fit.xlsx

Operations/Supply Chain

E-Commerce Service 0 - Basic Model with No Uncertainty.xlsx

Pro

Ind

E-Commerce

E-Commerce

E-Commerce

E-Commerce

E-Commerce

Service

Service

Service

Service

Service

2 - Basic Model with Extra Uncertainty.xlsx

3 - Model with Different Capacities.xlsx

4 - Model with Goal Seek.xlsx

with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Ind

Hotel

Hotel

Hotel

Hotel

Hotel

Booking

Booking

Booking

Booking

Booking

1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

2 - Model with Reservation Limits.xlsx

3 - Model Correlated Demands.xlsx

with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Supply Chain Bullwhip Effect 1.xlsx

Supply Chain Bullwhip Effect 2.xlsx

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Airline Revenue Management - Walkthrough Tutorial.xlsx

Generating Demands for Substitute Products.xlsx

Inventory Ordering Simulation.xlsx

Multi-Product Inventory Production.xlsx

Newsvendor Model with Multiple Products.xlsx

Ordering Style Goods.xlsx

Scheduling Job Tasks on Machines with Uncertainty.xlsx

Scheduling Jobs with Due Dates.xlsx

Cost Estimation.xlsx

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Correlations.xlsx

Parameter Entry Table.xlsx

Probabilistic Branching.xlsx

Probabilistic Gantt and Critical Index.xlsx

RiskProjectResourceAdd.xlsx

RiskProjectResourceUse.xlsx

Risk Register and Advanced Modeling.xlsx

Schedule Audit.xlsx

Simple Risk Register.xlsx

Simple Risk Register - Multiple Risks Impact Same Task.xlsx

Simple Risk Register - Task to Impact Changes.xlsx

Tutorial with Risk Categories.xlsx

Pro, Proj

Tutorial.xlsx

Date Calculations in @RISK.xlsx

Quality/Reliability Examples

Process Capability 1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Process Capability 2 - Model with Correlated Parts.xlsx

Process Capability 3 - Six Sigma Functions.xlsx

Ind

Reliability 2 - Model with Correlations.xlsx

Reliability with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Electrical Circuit Analysis.xlsx

Six Sigma DOE with Catapult.xlsx

Six Sigma DOE with Weld.xlsx

Taguchi Loss Function.xlsx

Vendor Selection.xlsx

Statistics/Probability Examples

Event Risk: A sequence of examples for simulating risk events that either

Event Risk 1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Event Risk 2 - Using RiskMakeInput Function.xlsx

Event Risk 3 - Dependent Events.xlsx

Central Limit Theorem.xlsx

Latin Hypercube Sampling.xlsx

Monte Carlo vs Latin Hypercube Sampling.xlsx

Stochastic Dominance.xlsx

Infectious Disease 1 - Basic @RISK Model.xlsx

Infectious Disease 2 - Model with Possible Cures.xlsx

Workforce Planning

Ind

Workforce Planning.xlsx

Workforce Planning with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Sports Examples

Baseball World Series.xlsx

NCAA Basketball Tournament.xlsm

Presidents Cup Golf.xlsx

Goal Seek

Pro

Pro

Portfolio Analysis 4 - Using Goal Seek on Model with Puts.xlsx

Stress Analysis

Pro

Pro

Stress Analysis.xlsx

Pro

Pro

Basic Business 6 - Model with Advanced Sensitivity Analysis.xlsx

Correlation Examples

Adjusting a Correlation Matrix.xlsx

Basic Business 2 - Model with Correlated Inputs.xlsx

Credit Risk 3 - Model with Correlated Price and Volume.xlsx

Dependency and Correlation.xlsx

Discounted Cash Flow 3 - Model with Correlated Growth Rates.xlsx

Hotel Booking 3 - Model Correlated Demands.xlsx

Investment Model with Correlated Assets.xlsx

Portfolio Analysis 5 - Model with Correlated Stock Prices.xlsx

Process Capability 2 - Model with Correlated Parts.xlsx

Reliability 2 - Model with Correlations.xlsx

Pro

Pro

Distribution Fitting.xlsx

Distribution Fitting - Batch Fit.xlsx

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Correlations.xlsx

Parameter Entry Table.xlsx

Probabilistic Branching.xlsx

Probabilistic Gantt and Critical Index.xlsx

RiskProjectResourceAdd.xlsx

RiskProjectResourceUse.xlsx

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Pro, Proj

Schedule Audit.xlsx

Simple Risk Register.xlsx

Simple Risk Register - Multiple Risks Impact Same Task.xlsx

Simple Risk Register - Task to Impact Changes.xlsx

Tutorial with Risk Categories.xlsx

Tutorial.xlsx

Date Calculations in @RISK.xlsx

RISKOptimizer Examples

"Recipe" Solving Method Examples

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Airline Revenue Management.xlsx

Airline Revenue Management - Walkthrough Tutorial.xlsx

Capital Budgeting.xlsx

Cash Management.xlsx

E-Commerce Service with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Hotel Booking with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Newsvendor Model with Multiple Products.xlsx

Ordering Style Goods.xlsx

Planning House Purchase.xlsx

Portfolio Analysis with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Portfolio Optimization with Time Series.xlsx

Product Mix with Uncertainty 1.xlsx

Product Mix with Uncertainty 2.xlsx

Reliability with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Ind

Ind

Workforce Planning with RISKOptimizer.xlsx

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Scheduling Job Tasks on Machines with Uncertainty.xlsx

Scheduling Jobs with Due Dates.xlsx

Traveling Salesperson with Uncertainty.xlsx

Ind

Ind

Ind

Scheduling Classes with Uncertainty.xlsx

Traveling Salesperson Variation with Uncertainty.xlsx

RISKOptimizer Features

Ind

Six-Sigma Examples

Electrical Circuit Analysis.xlsx

Process Capability 3 - Six Sigma Functions.xlsx

Six Sigma DOE with Catapult.xlsx

Six Sigma DOE with Weld.xlsx

Vendor Selection.xlsx

Six Sigma Functions.docx

Six Sigma Functions.xlsx

Time-Series Examples

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Ind

Financial Portfolio Simulation.xlsx

Fuel Cost Projection Simulation.xlsx

Inventory Ordering Simulation.xlsx

Petroleum Prices - Time Series Batch Fit.xlsx

Petroleum Prices - Time Series Fit.xlsx

Portfolio Optimization with Time Series.xlsx

Seasonal Sales - Time Series Fit.xlsx

Stock Prices - Time Series Batch Fit.xlsx

Theo Statistical Functions 1 - Finding Summary Statistics.xlsx

Theo Statistical Functions 2 - Comparing Distributions.xlsx

Theo Statistical Functions 3 - Quality Calculations.xlsx

Alt Parameter Distributions.xlsx

Date Calculations in @RISK.xlsx

Distribution Property Functions.xlsx

Latin Hypercube Sampling.xlsx

Monte Carlo vs Latin Hypercube Sampling.xlsx

RiskOutput Function.xlsx

RiskTemplate.xlsx

Simtable with Multiple Variables.xlsx

Simulation Sensitivities.xlsx

Summary Trend Chart.xlsx

Truncated Distributions.xlsx

Advanced Analyses

Correlation

Distribution Fitting

Simulation with Microsoft Project

RISKOptimizer

Six-Sigma

Time-Series

Other @RISK Features

an one category

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basic @RISK model with uncertain revenue and cost

version where revenue and cost are not only uncertain but correlated

version that illustrates the RiskSimtable function for examining the effect of different standard deviations of re

version that illustrates @RISK's Goal Seek feature for forcing the standard deviation of profit to a specified valu

version that illustrates @RISK's Stress Analysis feature for examining conditional (usually tail) distributions of p

version that illustrates @RISK's Advanced Sensitivity Analysis feature for checking how sensitive an output is t

version that checks whether the forms of the input distributions have much effect on the output distribution

mpany's sales of a new product when competitor entries into the market are possible

A basic @RISK model where only one competitor can enter the market

A version where multiple competitors can enter or exit the market

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A

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A

version using TopRank to see which of many inputs are important enough to model with uncertainty

basic @RISK model where the most important inputs, based on the TopRank analysis, are modeled with uncert

version with somewhat less uncertainty in the inputs, used for comparison with the previous version

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A

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A

model for determining whether the total of uncertain costs meets a budget

product mix optimization model with uncertainty only in product demands

product mix optimization model with uncertainty in product demands and in resource usage

model that illustrates how the Time Series Fit feature can be used on a series with trend and seasonality

A basic @RISK model where the uncertainty is essentially stationary through time

A version where the uncertainty changes through time because of business cycles

Another version with business cycles, but where the lender's price and sales volume are correlated each year

ash flow models for calculating the net present value (NPV) of an investment

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basic @RISK model where various quantities are uncertain but don't change from year to year

version where various uncertain quantities are allowed to change from year to year

version where revenue growth rates not only change from year to year but are correlated

ortfolios of investments

A basic @RISK model where future stock prices are independent of one another

A version where the investor can purchase put options on the stocks held to mitigate risk

Another version with puts that illustrates @RISK's Sensitivity Analysis features

A version that illustrates @RISK's Goal Seek feature for forcing the mean return from a stock to a specified value

A version where future stock prices are correlated with one another

A version that determines the puts that result in an optimal portfolio of stocks and puts

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A

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A

nave @RISK model that fails to capture all the uncertainty in total claims

better version using the RiskCompound function to capture all of the uncertainty in total claims

version using the method of resampling to simulate the numbers of claims each year

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model

model

model

model

model

model

that

that

that

that

that

that

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

the real option of abandoning a project at a future time if the project is not doing well

the real option of postponing investment in a project rather than investing right away

the real option of expanding a project at a later date

the real option of reducing the size of a project at a later date

the real option of participating in a "pioneer" project, a money-loser that allows a compa

a sequence of two real options in the pharmaceutical industry

A capital budgeting model with uncertainty about projects' resource and capital usage and their NPVs

A multi-day model for determining when cash should be invested or cash should be obtained

A model for evaluating a contingent contract, where a penalty must be paid if a target is not met

A model that illustrates options for hedging against exchange rate variability, using the Time Series Fit feature o

A model for projecting future financial values, with various sources of uncertainty

A portfolio model that uses the Time Series Batch Fit feature to project future stock prices from historical stock p

A basic portfolio model with correlated assets, including a comparison across different correlation values

An optimization model for deciding how to invest over a multi-year horizon to achieve a retirement goal

An optimization model for determining how to invest over a time horizon to accumulate a down payment for a h

An optimization model that balances groups of securities in a portfolio

A portfolio optimization model that applies the Time Series Fit feature to historical stock price data

A model for projecting future stock prices

A model that illustrates the Time Series Fit and Batch Fit features for fitting multiple correlated stock price series

An insurance model that illustrates @RISK's Stress Analysis feature

A basic @RISK model with uncertainty in the amount of gold mined, the unit cost of extracting it, and the price o

Same as the basic model, but provides the owner of the lease the option to abandon it at any time

Same as the abandonment model, but where the Time Series Fit feature is used to fit historical gold prices to a t

imulating the capital expenditures and numbers of wells in operation over time

A deterministic model to get started

A basic @RISK model with uncertainty about the size of the oil field

A deterministic model to get started

A basic @RISK model with a number of uncertainties

A version using the RiskCollect function to help with a sensitivity analysis of the basic @RISK model

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basic @RISK model where the output, a product of three uncertain quantities, is shown to be lognormally distr

version that uses several potential distributions of uncertain inputs to compare their effects on the output dist

version where the amount of methane is the product of five uncertain quantities

A model that illustrates how the oil depletion allowance affects the value of an oil investment

A model that illustrates the Time Series Fit feature can be used to generate future forecasts

A model that illustrates how the Time Series Batch Fit feature can be used to fit several potentially correlated se

mples based on the famous "newsvendor" model for illustrating @RISK's basic features

A deterministic model to get started

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version with demand uncertainty and uncertainty in price and cost

version that illustrates the RiskSimtable function for different values of the capacity decision variable

version that illustrates @RISK's Goal Seek feature for forcing mean profit to a specified value

version for determining the capacity that maximizes the 10th percentile of profit

eservations at a hotel

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basic @RISK model with uncertainty in demand and other uncertainties, where all reservations are taken

version with reservation "booking" limits to prevent excessive overbooking

version with no reservation limits but correlated demands for the two types of rooms

version that determines optimal reservation limits

g how the famous bullwhip effect creates excess inventory in a supply chain

A model that illustrates how the bullwhip effect can occur with a single retailer and supplier

A more common version that illustrates the bullwhip effect when there are multiple tiers of suppliers

A model for determining optimal discount and full-fare limits on an airline flight

The same as above but without the RISKOptimizer settings (for following along with the tutorial)

A model that illustrates one possible generic approach for generating demands for substitute products

An inventory ordering model that illustrates how the Time Series Define feature can be used to generate deman

A large optimization model for producing multiple SKUs to meet demand (based on a real Palisade case)

An optimization model for determining the best order quantities when substitute products are competing for tota

A single-season optimization model for ordering style goods where ordering can occur after early sales have bee

An optimization model that determines the best schedule for performing tasks on various machines

An optimization model for ordering jobs to meet due dates as nearly as possible

mation

A model for determining whether the total of uncertain costs meets a budget

oft Project

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model

model

model

model

model

model

model

model

model

model

model

model

that

that

that

that

that

that

that

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that

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that

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illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

the Parameter Entry Table for storing parameters of task time distributions

how successor tasks can be chosen randomly according to given probabilities

@RISK's probabilistic Gantt chart and the probabilities that tasks are critical

the RiskProjectResourceAdd and RiskProjectResourceRemove functions for adding or rem

the RiskProjectResourceUse function for adding uncertainty to the assignment of resourc

the use of a risk register, a Timescaled Data report. and other features for advanced pro

@RISK's Schedule Audit feature for checking for errors in a project model

a risk register, a feature that lists possible risk events that can impact a project schedule

the use of a risk register where multiple risks impact the same task

the use of a risk register where the risks impact different tasks

the Risk Categories feature, which allows several tasks to share the same parameters

A model that illustrates the basic features for modeling projects with @RISK

A model that illustrates special ways of treating dates in @RISK simulations

A basic @RISK model where the system functions if at least k of its n parts function

A version where the values of the parts are correlated

A version that illustrates several of @RISK's Six Sigma functions

system with several modules in series, where each module has parts in parallel

A basic @RISK model for finding the system's reliability (the probability that it functions)

A version where the parts are correlated within and across modules

A version that determines the numbers of parts required for the most cost-effective system

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model

model

model

model

model

for building a catapult that illustrates @RISK's Six Sigma functions in the context of DOE

for welding a disk onto a ring that illustrates @RISK's Six Sigma functions in the context of DOE

that illustrates the use of the Taguchi quadratic loss function to measure uncertain quality

for selecting a vendor on the basis of quality and cost

A basic @RISK model for a number of events, any (or all) of which could occur

A version illustrating the RiskMakeInput function for use in sensitivity analysis

A version where dependent events can occur (or not occur) sequentially in time

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model

model

model

model

that

that

that

that

explains Latin Hypercube sampling and illustrates one particular ramification of using it

compares Monte Carlo and Latin Hypercube sampling

illustrates the concept of one alternative stochastically dominating others

A basic @RISK model where infected people are never cured

A version where infected people can possibly be cured but can then become infected again

A basic @RISK model for simulating several years of job movements within an organization

A version that determines the "best" promotion/hiring parameters for a long-term outcome

A model for simulating the NCAA Basketball "March Madness" Tournament

A simulation model for seeing how important a given lead is after early rounds of the tournament

A portfolio model that illustrates @RISK's Goal Seek feature

An insurance model that illustrates @RISK's Stress Analysis feature

A new product model that illustrates @RISK's Advanced Sensitivity Analysis feature

A basic business model that illustrates @RISK's Advanced Sensitivity Analysis feature

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model that illustrates how @RISK can automatically adjust an "illegal" correlation matrix

simple business model that illustrates how to add correlation between revenue and cost

credit risk model with correlation between price and volume

model that illustrates various ways of specifying correlations between uncertain quantities

discounted cash flow model with correlated growth rates through time

hotel booking model with reservation limits and correlated demands for two types of rooms

portfolio model with correlated assets, including a comparison across different correlation values

portfolio model with correlations between stock returns

process capability model with correlated part values

system reliability model with correlated modules and parts

A model that illustrates how the Time Series Fit feature can be applied to time series data, and how various fits c

A model that illustrates the Time Series Batch Fit feature for fitting distributions to several data variables at once

ect Examples

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model

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illustrates

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the Parameter Entry Table for storing parameters of task time distributions

how successor tasks can be chosen randomly according to given probabilities

@RISK's probabilistic Gantt chart and the probabilities that tasks are critical

the RiskProjectResourceAdd and RiskProjectResourceRemove functions for adding or rem

the RiskProjectResourceUse function for adding uncertainty to the assignment of resourc

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model

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illustrates

illustrates

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illustrates

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illustrates

illustrates

illustrates

the use of a risk register, a Timescaled Data report. and other features for advanced pro

@RISK's Schedule Audit feature for checking for errors in a project model

a risk register, a feature that lists possible risk events that can impact a project schedule

the use of a risk register where multiple risks impact the same task

the use of a risk register where the risks impact different tasks

the Risk Categories feature, which allows several tasks to share the same parameters

the basic features for modeling projects with @RISK

special ways of treating dates in @RISK simulations

A model for finding optimal discount and full-fare limits on an airline flight

The same model as above but without the RISKOptimizer settings (for following along with the tutorial)

A capital budgeting model with uncertainty about projects' resource and capital usage and their NPVs

A multi-day model for determining when cash should be invested or cash should be obtained

A model for finding the capacity in an e-commerce system that maximizes the 10th percentile of profit

A model for determining optimal hotel reservation limits

A model for finding optimal order quantities when substitute products are competing for total demand

A single-season optimization model for ordering style goods, where ordering can occur after early sales have be

A model for determining how to invest over a time horizon to accumulate a down payment for a house

A model for finding the optimal put options in a portfolio of stocks and puts

A portfolio optimization model that applies the Time Series Fit feature to historical stock price data

A product mix model with uncertainty only in product demands

A product mix model with uncertainty in product demands and resource usage

A model for finding the most cost-effective way to build a reliable system of modules and parts

An optimization model for deciding how to invest over a multi-year horizon to achieve a retirement goal

A multi-year optimization model for promoting and hiring workers

A large optimization model for producing multiple SKUs to meet demand (based on a real Palisade case)

An optimization model that determines the best schedule for performing tasks on various machines

An optimization model for ordering jobs to meet due dates as nearly as possible

An optimization model that determines the best route for a traveling salesperson with uncertain route costs

An optimization model that schedules college classes with uncertain enrollments in different time slots

A variation of the traveling salesperson model where there are precedence constraints on the order of towns vis

An illustration of penalty functions and how they can be used in soft constraints

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model that illustrates @RISK's Six Sigma functions in a process control setting

model for building a catapult that illustrates @RISK's six sigma functions in the context of DOE

model for welding a disk onto a ring that illustrates @RISK's six sigma functions in the context of DOE

model for selecting a vendor on the basis of quality and cost

Word file that documents @RISK's six sigma functions

list of @RISK's six sigma functions: what they mean and how they work

A model that illustrates options for hedging against exchange rate variability, using the Time Series Fit feature o

A portfolio model that uses the Time Series Batch Fit feature to project future stock prices from historical stock p

A model that uses the Time Series Batch Fit feature to project fuel prices in a simulation of the next year's fuel c

An inventory ordering model that illustrates how the Time Series Define feature can be used to generate deman

A model that illustrates how the Time Series Batch Fit feature can be used to fit several potentially correlated se

A model that illustrates the Time Series Fit feature can be used to generate future forecasts

A portfolio optimization model that applies the Time Series Fit feature to historical stock price data

A model that illustrates how the Time Series Fit feature can be used on a series with trend and seasonality

A model that illustrates the Time Series Fit and Batch Fit features for fitting multiple correlated stock price series

A version that comparies percentiles of triangular and Pert distributions

A version that compares quality measures from Six Sigma simulations to exact calculations with RiskTheo functi

A model that illustrates special ways of treating dates in @RISK simulations

Examples that illustrate how @RISK "property" functions can be embedded in other @RISK functions for various

A model that explains Latin Hypercube sampling and illustrates one particular ramification of using it

A model that compares Monte Carlo and Latin Hypercube sampling

A model that illustrates the use and syntax of the RiskOutput function

A model that illustrates @RISK's template report option for creating ready-made reports

A model that illustrates the proper way to use multiple RiskSimtable functions

A model that illustrates @RISK's tornado and spider graphs for sensitivity analysis

A model that illustrates @RISK's Summary Trend chart, especially useful for time series outputs

A model that illustrates the RiskTruncate function and how @RISK samples from a truncated distribution

rofit to a specified value

y tail) distributions of profit

sensitive an output is to various inputs

e output distribution

e possible

uncertainty

e modeled with uncertainty

ious version

and seasonality

ck to a specified value

nvesting right away

d their NPVs

relation values

tirement goal

down payment for a house

o be lognormally distributed

ects on the output distribution

sic features

sion variable

f suppliers

ute products

ed to generate demands

Palisade case)

are competing for total demand

r early sales have been observed

probabilities

assignment of resources in a project

ures for advanced project modeling

e same parameters

ontext of DOE

of using it

data variables at once

probabilities

assignment of resources in a project

e same parameters

the tutorial)

d their NPVs

ntile of profit

otal demand

er early sales have been observed

t for a house

tirement goal

Palisade case)

nt time slots

the order of towns visited

ontext of DOE

from historical stock prices

the next year's fuel costs

ed to generate demands

tentially correlated series all at once

and seasonality

ated stock price series

of using it

ed distribution

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