Math 138 Summer 1 2013 Section 412- Unit Test 1 Yellow Form , page 1 of 7

1. Multiple Choice. Please circle your answer. Each question is worth 3

points.
(a) Social Security Numbers are illustrations of which of the following types of
data:

A. Quantitative

B. Categorical

(b) The mean salary for Teachers in a particular State is $54 ,166. Assume that
these salaries follow a normal distribution. If the standard deviation is
$10,200, then the salary that corresponds to a "z" score of -1.6 is.

A. $25,197

B. $40 ,215

C. $50,199

D. $37,846

(c) The center of a distribution could be summarized using:

A. Mean only

B. Quartiles

C. Median only

D. Mean or Median

Math 138 Summer 1 2013 Section 412- Unit Test 1 Yellow Form, page 2 of 7

2.

The following data represent the movie lengths, in minutes of several Disney
movies.
81
76
78
84
77
71
83
80
123 72
82
79

a) Draw a boxplot of the data. (4 points) . Find (and label) the five number
summary. (5 points )
Min =-71, Q1 = 76.5, median= 79.5, Q3 = 82.5, max= 123

st

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70

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60

~q .

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I

80

()?;
+ - - - - 1

90

100

110

120

b) Determine the upper fence and lower fence. (2 points)

First, the IQR is Q3- Q1 = 82.5- 76.5 = 6.
Upper fence: Q3 + 1.51QR = 82.5 + (1.5*6) = 91.5
Lower fence: Q1 - 1.51QR = 76.5- (1 .5*6) = 67.5
c) Would a Disney movie which runs 120 minutes be considered an outlier? Why or
why not? (3 points; no credit for "yes" or "no". )
Yes, it is an outlier because it is above the upper fence.
d) Give the mean and standard deviation for this data set. (4 points)
Mean is 82.17; Standard deviation = 13.48
e) Give at least two reasons why this dataset does or does not appear normally
distributed . (4 points) .
1. Outlier
2. Gap between 83 and 123
3. Skewed right
4. Mean is less than the median

Math 138 Summer 1 2013 Section 412- Unit Test 1 Yellow Form , page 3 of 7

3. The Gallup Poll conducted a representative telephone survey of 1017

American voters during December 2012. Among the reported results were the
voter's gender, religion , age, level of education , and party affiliation.
Identify theWs. (6 points)
Who: 1017 American voters (not all voters; just the 1017 surveyed)
What: voter; voter's gender, religion, age, level of education, and party affiliation
When: December 2012
Where: Throughout USA (I'll accept "Doesn't say".)
How: Phone survey
Why: Doesn't say I'll accept a good reason; for example, to get an idea of voter
demographics.

4. The distributions of SAT and LSAT scores are both approximately normal and
symmetric. Veronica took both tests (at different times) and would like to
know on which test her performance was better. Explain your answer. Use zscores in your explanation. (6 points)

Test

Veronica's Score

Mean Score

Standard Deviation

SAT

1050

998

203

LSAT

160

150

VeronicasAT-Mean SAT 1050-998

0.256
StDev_SAT
203
VeronicaLSAT-Mean LSAT 160-150
Z(LSAT) =
=
= 1.11

z(SAT)

StDev_LSAT

(NOT 2.56%!)

Veronica did better on the LSAT because her z-score was higher on that test.

Math 138 Summer 1 2013 Section 412- Unit Test 1 Yellow Form , page 4 of 7

5. In recent election years, political scientists have analyzed whether a "gender

gap" exists in political beliefs and party identification . The following table
shows data collected from the 2006 General Social Survey on gender and
party identification (ID).

Gender
Male
Female
Total

Party ID by Gender
Party
Democrat Independent Republican
356
460
369
567
534
395
923
994
764

Total
1185
1496
2681

a. What percent of the people in this survey are Democrats? Give both the
923
fraction and the percent. (4 points) - - 34.43%
2681

b. What percent of males are Republicans? Give both the fraction and the
369
percent. (4 points) - - 31.14%
1185

c. What percent of the people in this survey are female and Democrat? Give
567
both the fraction and the percent. (4 points) - - 21.15%
2681

d. What percent of independents are female? Give both the fraction and the
534
percent. (4 points) = 53 .72%
994

Math 138 Summer 1 2013 Section 412- Unit Test 1 Yellow Form, page 5 of 7

6. An automobile manufacturer introduces a new model that averages 26 miles

per gallon in the city. A person who plans to purchase one of these new cars
wrote to the manufacturer for the details of the tests, and found out that the
standard deviation is 3 miles per gallon. Assume that in-city mileage is
approximately normally distributed. (4 points for each question)

a. What percent of people will purchase a car that averages less than 22
miles per gallon for in-city driving? (Clearly label the normal curve and
shade in the area.)
Normalcdf(-99999,22,26,3)

)..'L-

=0.0912 or 9.12%

b. What percent of people will purchase a car that averages between 24 and
29 miles per gallon for in-city driving? (Clearly label the normal curve
and shade in the area.)
Normalcdf(24,29,26,3)

=.5889 or 58.89%

c. What would the milea~~ be for the top 10% of cars of this model?
(Clearly label the normal curve and shade in the area.)
The top 10% is the bottom 90%, so lnvNorm(0.9,26,3)

~}l~Jo7,

=29.84 mph

d. In what interval does the central 70% of the data lie? (Clearly label the
normal curve and shade in the area.)
The central 70% is between the bottom 15% and the top 15%.
For the bottom, lnvNorm(0.15,26,3) = 22.89 mph
For the top, use lnvNorm(0.85,26,3) 29.11 or realize that
26 - 22.89 = 3.11, so 26 + 3.11 =29.11 mph

I
I

Math 138 Summer 1 2013 Section 412- Unit Test 1 Yellow Form, page 6 of7

7. (25 points total) Are the numbers of property crimes in New York State
decreasing? Data are provided by the New York State Police for the number
of property crimes committed in the state every year from 2000 to 2009. To
make data entry easier, the data were divided by 1000 and rounded. The
data are given in the table below. Also given is a plot of the residuals and
some output from StatCrunch.
Residuals vs. Year
Property Crimes
Residuals
(1000s)
Year
10
2000
481
,
2001
459
2002
444
(
2003
430
\
,1
2004
416
'\
2005
404
~
{
#
394
2006
......
/
2007
381
5
_.. . ,..
2008
387
t
2004
2000
2002
2006
2008
374
2009

~flern

Year

Dependent Variable: Property_Crimes_(1 OOOs)

Independent Variable: Year
Property_Crimes_(lOOOs) = 23523.418- 11.527273*Year
Sample size: 10
R (correlation coefficient)= -0.9763
a. Identify the response variable. (1 point)

Property Crimes

b. Make a scatterplot of the data. (3 points)

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t~-wD

tf'-W

LJW
ljfJJ
J60

J70

--~~~~-+~~~-+~-+-

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0 2.. t1 4 6{. 68 (JCi
c. Discuss direction, form and strength. (3 points)

The scatterplot shows a negative direction, linear form and very strong.

d. Does the scatterplot suggest that a linear model is appropriate for the data? Explain
your answer- no credit for "Yes" or "No". (3 points)
Yes- the association is almost perfectly linear.

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Math 138 Summer 1 2013 Section 412- Unit Test 1 Yellow Form, page 7 of?

e. Does the plot ofthe residuals suggest that a linear model is appropriate for the data?
Explain your answer- no credit for "Yes" or "No". (3 points)
No. The residuals show a pattern.

f.

What is the linear equation that models the relationship between year and the number
of property crimes (in thousands)? (1 point)
Property_Crimes_(1 OOOs) =23523.418- 11 .527273*Year
This was given as part of the output.

g. State and interpret the slope in context of this problem. (3 points)

The slope is- 11.53 (rounded). This means that for every increase of one
year in time, the number of property crimes decreases by an average of about
11.5 thousand.

h. Find the observed number of property crimes for the year 2008.

(1 point)

From the data, 387 thousand property crimes were committed in 2008. This
is the observed value.
1.

Find the predicted number of property crimes for the year 2008.

Property_Crimes_(1000s)

(2 points)

=23523.418 -11.527273*(2008)
= 376.65 thousand property crimes

J.

Find the residual for the year 2008.

Residual

=Observed -

(2 points)

Predicted 387 - 376.65

+ 10.35 thousand property crimes.

k. Interpret the residual for the year 2008. (3 points)

The regression line underpredicted the actual number of (thousand) property
crimes in 2008.

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