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Lecture 4:

Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity


Restrictions

This lecture studies elementary options trading


strategies. In the process, we derive no-arbitrage
restrictions for options that are identical except for their
strike price. We restrict how quickly the option price
can change with the strike price (slope restrictions) and
how quickly this slope can change with the strike price
(convexity restrictions).

I. Motivation
II. Definitions and Notation
III. Trading Strategies
A. Hedges
B. European Spreads
C. American Spreads
D. European Butterflys
E. American Butterflys
F. Other Combinations
Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

I. Motivation

Suppose a stock is trading at $100.

 You see four month European calls priced


– at $8 for K D $100, and
– at $19 for K D $90.
 The simple 4 month risk-free is 5.26%.
– I.e., B(t, t C 1=3) D $95, and

Questions:
 Does the $8 price of the K D $100 call satisfy the
no-arbitrage bounds from Lecture 3?
 Does the $19 price of the K D $90 call satisfy the
no-arbitrage bounds from Lecture 3?
 Does this mean that we cannot have arbitrage?
– How do recognize that there is an arbitrage
opportunity?
 Pricing “restrictions”
– How can we exploit it?
 I.e., with what trading strategy?

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

II. Definitions and Notation

Traders have names for common options portfolios.

 These portfolios are typically specific “bets” on


what will happen to the prices and/or volatilities of
the underlying securities.
 We use portfolios of options to illustrate further no-
arbitrage restrictions and to generate profits when
these restrictions are violated.

We describe a portfolio of options by the equation for


the current price of the portfolio. However, we drop
subscripts which are common to all securities.

Examples:
 c(K1) c(K2) is a portfolio of a bought call with
exercise price K1 and a written call with exercise
price K2 and with the same maturity date.

 p(T1 ) p(T2 ) is a portfolio of a bought put with


maturity T1 and a written put with maturity T2
and with the same exercise price.

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

III. Trading Strategies


A. Hedges: Combine options + underlying; protects
the underlying against a loss, or vice-versa.
Example: A covered call
– long stock / short a call on the stock

Profit

Covered Call

K S(T)

Payoff is always positive, so no-arbitrage H)


price of the covered call is positive, i.e.,

S (t ) c(K)  0 or c(K)  S (t )

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Another Example: A protective put


– long stock / long a put on the stock
* the put provides insurance
* so you must pay an “insurance premium”

Profit

Protected Put

K S(T)

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

B. Spreads
Combine options of the same type, with
– different strikes (a “vertical spread”), or
– different maturities (a “horizontal spread”)
1. Example: A bear spread
– Buy an ITM put (strike K2)
– Sell an OTM put (strike K1 < K2 )

Profit

K1 K2 S(T)

Bear Spread

Payoff always positive ) p(K2 ) p(K1 )  0

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

2. Another Example: A “bull spread” made with puts


– Buy an OTM put (strike K1)
– Sell an ITM put (strike K2 > K1)
* Technically a “short bear spread”
* We’ll do a real bull spread in a second

Profit

Short Bear Spread

K1 K2 S(T)

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

3. Another Example: Bullish spread with puts, plus


bonds
– Buy an OTM put (strike K1)
– Sell an ITM put (strike K2 > K1)
– Buy K2 K1 face-value bonds

Payoff

pK1(T) – pK2(T) + (K2 – K1)

K1 K2 S(T)

Portfolio value at time t  T

pK1 (t, T ) pK2 (t, T ) C (K2 K1) B(t, T )

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Slope Restriction for Puts:


Can we say anything about the sensitivity of puts
to the strike?
Payoff to this last spread is always positive, so

pK1 (t, T ) pK2 (t, T ) C (K2 K1)B(t, T )  0.

So
pK2 (t, T ) pK1 (t, T )
0   B(t, T ).
K2 K1

(LHS follows from pK1 (t, T ) pK2 (t, T )  0)

True for arbitrary K1 and K2 > K1, so

@p
0   B(t, T )
@K

 A $1 dollar increase in the strike causes the put


price to increase by no more than the PV of $1
– Simple intuition?

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

4. Another Example: A true bull spread


– Buy an ITM call (strike K1)
– Sell an OTM call (strike K2 > K1)

Profit

K1 K2 S(T)

Bull Spread

What’s the difference between:


i. a bull spread, and
ii. a bullish spread made with puts?
 i.e., a short bear spread

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

5. Slope Restriction for Calls:


A bull spread with a short position in bonds
– Buy an ITM call (strike K1)
– Sell an OTM call (strike K2 > K1)
– Sell K2 K1 face-value bonds

Payoff

K1 K2 S(T)

cK1(T) – cK2(T) – (K2– K1 )

Portfolio value at time t  T is

cK1 (t, T ) cK2 (t, T ) (K2 K1) B(t, T )

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Slope Restriction for Calls:


Can we say anything about the sensitivity of calls
to the strike?
Payoff to the last spread is always negative, so

cK1 (t, T ) cK2 (t, T ) (K2 K1)B(t, T )  0.

So
cK2 (t, T ) cK1 (t, T )
B(t, T )   0.
K2 K1

(LHS follows from cK1 (t, T ) cK2 (t, T )  0)

Again, true for arbitrary K1 and K2 > K1, so

@c
B(t, T )   0
@K

 A $1 dollar increase in the strike causes the call


price to decrease by no more than the PV of $1
– Simple intuition?

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

If the restriction is violated ) Arbitrage


Example: European calls with 4 months to maturity
 S (t ) D $100.
 Calls priced
– at $8 for K D $100, and
– at $19 for K D $90.
 The simple 4 month risk-free is 5.26%.
– I.e., B(t, t C 1=3) D $95, and

Is there an arbitrage opportunity?


How can it be exploited?

Payoff Payoff at T
Transaction at t S(T ) < 90 90 < S(T ) < 100 S(T ) > 100

What is the payoff diagram for this position?

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Profit diagram for the arbitrage portfolio:

Payoff

$10

$90 $110 S(T)

-$10

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 Suppose one year European puts are priced:


– at $2 12 for K D $100, and
– at $12 14 for K D $110.

 The yield-to-maturity on a one-year risk-free


zero coupon bond is 5%.

Can we exploit this with an arbitrage?

Payoff Payoff at T
Transaction at t S(T ) < 100 100 < S(T ) < 110 S(T ) > 110

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Payoff Diagram:

Payoff

$10

$90 $110 S(T)

-$10

Question: is it still an arbitrage if the prices were


for American puts?

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

C. Slope Restrictions on American Option

The argument is basically the same: construct


spreads and see what NA implies for prices.

One big difference: written options can be


exercised against you at any time. If this happens:
 you’ll have to close out the whole position, and
 you may not gain the interest on the exercise
price.

So no-arbitrage implies that if the strike price


changes from K1 to K2 the price of the option
changes by no more than jK2 K1j. (Why?)

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

The slope restriction for American calls is therefore

(K2 K1)  C (K2) C (K1)  0,

or
@C
1  0.
@K

The slope restriction for American puts is:

0  P (K2 ) P (K1 )  (K2 K1),

or
@P
0  1.
@K

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

D. Convexity Restrictions

A butterfly spread combines three options of the


same type but with different strike prices.

1. An Example: BS w/ European calls


 Long an ITM call (strike K1 )
 Long an OTM call (strike K3 > K1)
 Short two ATM calls (strikes K2 D K1CK
2
3
)

It’s a combination of bullish and bearish vertical


call spreads at different exercise prices:

[c(K3) c(K2)] [c(K2) c(K1)]

 It’s neither bullish or bearish.


 What is it a bet on?
It’s easier to see in the payoff diagram.

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Butterfly Spread Payoff Diagram

Payoff

Butterfly
Spread

K1 K2 K3 S(T)

It’s a “bet” on volatility.

 Why?
– And in which direction?

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Convexity Restriction for Calls:

The payoff to this butterfly spread is always


positive. NA ) its price is positive.

c(K1) 2c(K2) C c(K3) D

[c(K3) c(K2)] [c(K2) c(K1)]  0.

Since K3 K2 D K2 K1 > 0 we have

c(K3) c(K2) c(K2) c(K1)


 0.
K3 K2 K2 K1

This implies that the call option price c(S , K, t, T )


is a convex function of the strike price K:

2
 
@ c(S , K, t, T ) @ @c(S , K, t, T )
D 0
@K 2 @K @K

The sensitivity of the call price to the strike


@c
decreases with the strike. (Remember, @K  0!)

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Graphically, the call price looks like this, as a


function of the strike
 Here S t D 100, r D 0.05,  D 0.4, and T t = 1 year.

Call Price

50

40

30

20

10

Strike HKL
60 80 120 140

Question:
 Is there a more intuitive way to think about this
convexity?

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Let’s find another way to think about the


convexity restriction

Butterfly Spread Profit Diagram

Profit

Butterfly
Spread

K1 K2 K3 S(T)

How do we know that we must loose money for


big moves in the underlying?

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

For big enough moves in the underlying, we


must loose money on the butterfly spread
 but the payoff at maturity is then zero )

c(K3) C c(K1)  2c(K2),


so
c(K3) C c(K1)
c(K2)  .
2

Call Price

50

40

30

20

10

Strike HKL
60 80 120 140

Otherwise, there’s an arbitrage. (Why?)

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

One more way to think about the restriction

 Remember: the butterfly is long one bull


spread and short another

c(K1) 2c(K2) C c(K3) D


[c(K1) c(K2)] [c(K2) c(K3)]

 Each bull spread is like a “bond you only get


some of the time”
– Pays off when the underlying is high
 Above the strikes

 So the bull spread with low strikes is worth


more
– Pays off more of the time

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

2. Another Example: BS w/ European puts


 Long an OTM put (strike K1)
 Long an ITM put (strike K3 > K1)
K1 CK3
 Short two ATM puts (strikes K2 D 2
)

It’s a combination of bullish and bearish vertical


put spreads at different exercise prices:

p(K1 ) 2p(K2 ) C p(K3 )


D [p(K3 ) p(K2 )] [p(K2 ) p(K1 )]

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Butterfly Spread Payoff Diagram

Payoff

Butterfly
Spread

K1 K2 K3 S(T)

The payoff is exactly the same as a BS made


with calls
 Why?
 Is there any difference?
– Think p-c parity.

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Convexity Restriction for Puts:

Again, the payoff to the butterfly spread is always


positive. NA ) its price is positive.

p(K1 ) 2p(K2 ) C p(K3 ) D

[p(K3 ) p(K2 )] [p(K2 ) p(K1 )]  0

Since K3 K2 D K2 K1 > 0 we have

p(K3 ) p(K2 ) p(K2 ) p(K1 )


0
K3 K2 K2 K1

This implies the put price p(S , K, t, T ) is a


convex function of the strike price K:

@2p(S , K, t, T )
 
@ @p(S , K, t, T )
D 2
0
@K @K @K

I.e., the sensitivity of the put price to the strike


increases with the strike.

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Graphically:

Put Price

40

30

20

10

Strike HKL
60 80 120 140

Again, the convexity restriction just says that for big


enough moves in the underlying, we must loose
money on the butterfly spread:

p(K3 ) C p(K1 )  2p(K2 ),


or
p(K3 ) C p(K1 )
p(K2 )  .
2

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Note:
No-arbitrage implies that European put and call
butterfly spreads have the exact same price.
 Why?

So

p(K1 ) 2p(K2 ) C p(K3 )


D c(K3) 2c(K2) C c(K1),

which implies

@2p(S , K, t, T ) @2c(S , K, t, T )
D .
@K 2 @K 2

Question: Do these convexity restrictions apply to


options on dividend paying stocks?
 Absolutely!
– The relations were NA, based on payoffs at
expiration.

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

Arbitrage example:
Stock ABC is trading at $48 18 . 4-month European
put options are priced
– at $11 for K D 55,
– at $15 34 for K D 60,
– and at $20 for K D 65.
The risk-free rate over the next 4 months is 3.25%.

 Is there an arbitrage opportunity?


– How can you tell?
– How can it be exploited?

Payoff Payoff at T
Transaction at t ST < 55 55 < ST < 60 60 < ST < 65 ST > 65

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

More general convexity restriction


 In all our examples K2 D K1CK
2
3
.
 This wasn’t necessary; it was just convienient.

More generally,
   
K3 K2 K2 K1
p(K2)  K3 K1 p(K 1 )C K3 K1 p(K3).

If not, you get payed today to construct the portfolio


   
K3 K2 K2 K1
K3 K1
p(K1 ) C K3 K1
p(K3 ) p(K2 ).

Payoff Payoff at T
at t ST < K1 K1 < ST < K2 K2 < ST < K3

K3 K2 K3 K2
K3 K1
p(K1 ) K3 K1
(K1 ST ) 0 0

K2 K1 K2 K1 K2 K1 K2 K1
K3 K1
p(K3 ) K3 K1
(K3 ST ) K3 K1
(K3 ST ) K3 K1
(K3 ST )

p(K2 ) (K2 ST ) (K2 ST ) 0

0 0 0 0

If ST > K3, then all the options are OTM and the
payoff is zero.

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

D. Convexity Restrictions on American Options

 The convexity restrictions for American options


are exactly the same as they are for European
options.

 The arbitrage arguments are also the same,


except...
... a written American option may be exercised
against you.
– This will force you to liquidate the rest of the
position.

 Since the payoff at liquidation must always be


positive (why?), the spread must have a positive
value.

In any event, we still have

@2 P @2 C
2
D 2
 0.
@K @K

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

E. Other Combinations
1. Straddles
 Buy a put and a call with the same strike
py g ( ) y

Straddle:
C=f(S,t) ATM CALL + ATM PUT

S = 100 Profit
K = 100 (BUY ATM CALL @ $18.84)
(BUY ATM PUT @ $5.80)
t =1
r = 1.15
25
d = 1.00
V = . 3
50 75 125 150

Future Asset Price

-25 Strategy:
Strategy: Believe
Believevolatility
volatilityof
of
Straddle Value = $18.84 + $5.80 = $24.64 asset
assetprice
pricewill
willbe
behigh,
high,but
buthave
have
no
noclue
clueabout
aboutdirection.
direction.
Loss

 Another bet on volatility


– a (long) straddle is a bet on high volatility
 if you think volatility is higher than the market
consensus, buy a straddle - they’re cheap

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2. Strangles
 A close cousin to the straddle.
 Buy a put stuck at K1 and a call at K2 > K1.
– E.g., buy both options OTM
162
Derivatives: A PowerPlus Picture Book I
Copyright©1999(Dec) by Mark Rubinstein

Strangle:
C=f(S,t) OTM CALL + OTM PUT

S = 100 Profit
K1 = 90 (BUY OTM PUT @ $3.07)
K2 = 110 (BUY OTM CALL @ $13.97)
t =1
25
r = 1.15
d = 1.00
V = . 3 50 75 125 150

Future Asset Price

-25
Strategy:
Strategy: Similar
Similarto
toaastraddle.
straddle.
Strangle Value = $13.97 + $3.07 = $17.04
Loss

 A more extreme bet than a straddle


– Requires bigger moves (i.e., higher volatility)
to produce gains,
– but you don’t have to risk as much capital

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Trading Strategies and Slope/Convexity Restrictions

3. Condor
 A close cousin to the Butterfly Spread.
 Buy deep in and out of the money calls (or
puts)
 Sell near in and out of the money calls (or puts)
168
Derivatives: A PowerPlus Picture Book I
Copyright©1999(Dec) by Mark Rubinstein

Condor:
C=f(S,t) DITM CALL - ITM CALL - OTM CALL + DOTM CALL

S = 100
Profit
K1 = 90 (BUY DITM CALL @ $24.81)
K2 = 95 (SELL ITM CALL @ $21.69)
K3 = 105 (SELL OTM CALL @ $16.27)
K4 = 110 (BUY DOTM CALL @ $13.97)
25
t =1
r = 1.15
d = 1.00
V = . 3 50 75 125 150

Future Asset Price


Condor Value = $0.82 =
$24.81 - $21.69 - $16.27 + $13.97

-25 Strategy:
Strategy: Similar
Similarto
to
aabutterfly
butterflyspread.
spread.

Loss

 A less “confident” bet than a butterfly


– You gain over a bigger price range,
– but if you gain, you gain less.

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4. Bull Cylinder
 Like a “synthetic future”, only less optimistic
 Buy an out of-the-money call
 Sell an out of-the-money put
– Instead of the in-the-money in a future
160
Derivatives: A PowerPlus Picture Book I
Copyright©1999(Dec) by Mark Rubinstein

Bull Cylinder:
C=f(S,t) OTM CALL - OTM PUT

S = 100 Profit
K1 = 90 (SELL OTM PUT @ $3.07)
K2 = 110 (BUY OTM CALL @ $13.97)
t =1
25
r = 1.15
d = 1.00
V = . 3 50 75 125 150

Future Asset Price

-25

Bull Cylinder Value = $13.97 - $3.07 = $10.90


Loss

 Takes on less downside risk than a future


– You’re less likely to pay on the put
– So you have to pay something today

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Possible strategies are more or less endless.


Some other common strategies go by names like
 Straps
– 2 ATM calls + ATM put
– A bet on high vol., with a bullish tilt
 Collars
– Underlying + OTM put - OTM call
– Caps the underlying’s up- and down-sides
 Range Forwards (or “Fences”)
– Forward + ITM put - OTM call
– Essentially a forward bull spread
 Back Spreads
– 2 OTM calls - ATM call
– A bear spread, plus a bet on upside
 Seagulls
– ATM call - OTM calls - OTM Put
– A bull spread with a dropping tail

Try drawing the profit diagrams for these.

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5. European box spread: borrowing or lending in


the options market

 An Example: lending
– Buy ITM call and put (strikes K1 and K2 > K1)
– Sell OTM call and put (strikes K2 and K1)

c(K1) c(K2) C p(K2 ) p(K1 )

 It’s a portfolio that’s


– long a synthetic future with delivery K1, and
– short a synthetic future with delivery K2.
– At delivery you’ll buy at K1 and sell at K2 ,
So it must be priced at (K2 K1)  B today.

 It’s also a portfolio that’s


– long a bull spread, and
– long a bear spread with the same strikes
 i.e. short a bullish put spread.
– The difference: CF timing.
 The positions transfer cash through time.

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