GE2015

Big Loss For Oppositions

Uneven distribution of 5% swing votes favouring oppositions
(More swings to WP, SDP, RP, SingFirst, SPP, SDA, except NSP)
Parties
WP
SDP
RP
NSP
SingFirst
SPP
SDA
PPP

No.Voters Weighted
0.31
768236
0.12
295890
0.13
315773
0.13
313483
0.11
261029
0.08
199466
0.08
187252
0.05
119848

(+5%) Weighted %
0.51
0.16
0.45
0.05
0.41
0.05
0.38
0.05
0.43
0.05
0.47
0.04
0.35
0.03
0.40
0.02

WP
Aljuined
East Coast
Jalan Besar
Marine Parade
Nee Soon
Fengshan
Hougang
MacPherson
Punggol East

Total
0
Oppositions Share
PAP Share %

0.00
45
55

GE2011 Results
(+5% uneven)
WP
0.466
0.513
SDP
0.368
0.455
RP
0.318
0.412
NSP
0.393
0.380
SingFirst
0
0.430
SPP/DPP
0.411
0.466
SDA
0.301
0.350
PPP
0
0.400

Sengkang West

0.45
0.55

Swing
plus
plus+
plus
minus
Assumption
plus
plus
Assumption

SDP
Marsiling- Y T
Holland- B T
B Batok
B Panjang
Yuhua
Total
RP
Ang Mo Kio
West Coast
Radin Mas

NSP
Sambawang
Tampines
Pioneer

SingFirst
Jurong
Tanjong Pagar

SPP
Bishan-T P
Hong Kah N
Mountbatten
Potong Pasir

SDA
Pasir R-Punggo
PPP
Chua Chu Kan
Total win

% over ObtaineWeightedSeats Seats

Total voters total
%
%
Win
Loss
0.59
0.11
5
0
148024 0.19
0.49
0.06
0
4
99015 0.13
0.48
0.06
0
4
102454 0.13
0.49
0.09
0
5
146087 0.19
0.47
0.08
0
5
132200 0.17
0.49
0.01
0
1
23404 0.03
0.03
0.65
0.02
1
0
24064
0.49
0.02
0
1
28481 0.04
0.56
0.02
1
0
34410 0.04
0.49
0.02
0
1
30097 0.04
0.00
0.51
21
768236
7

107527 0.36
104397 0.35
27068 0.09
34299 0.12
22599 0.08
295890
1.00

0.42
0.50
0.46
0.47
0.38

0.15
0.18
0.04
0.06
0.03
0.45

0
0
0
0
0

4
4
1
1
1

11

187652 0.59
99236 0.31
28885 0.09
0.00
315773

0.41
0.42
0.40

0.24
0.13
0.04
0.41

0
0
0
0

6
5
1
11

144604 0.46
143426 0.46
25453 0.08
0.00
313483

0.38
0.38
0.38

0.17
0.17
0.03
0.38

0
0
0
0

5
5
1
11

130428 0.50
130601 0.50

0.42
0.44

0.21
0.22

0
0

5
5

261029

0.00

0.43

10

129850 0.65
28131 0.14
24096 0.12
17389 0.09
0.00
199466

0.47
0.40
0.50
0.50

0.31
0.06
0.06
0.05
0.47

0
0
0
0
0

5
1
1
1
8

187252

0.35

0.35

119848

0.40

0.40