Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
by Bernard Salt
Mr Bernard Salt
committee including:
National Markets
KPMG in Australia
committee chair)
Ms Katie Bayley
Partner
Gerold Hornschu.
KPMG in Australia
KPMG in Australia
Ms Shiana Saverimuttu
KPMG in U.K.
Mr Tom Brown
Ms Christine Buchanan
Partner
www.bernardsalt.com
Mr Gerold Hornschu
KPMG in Germany
workforce planning.
sub-committee member)
Partner
KPMG in Japan
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Contents
2 Summary
21
38
45
7 Selected bibliography
51
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2 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
FM industry.
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 3
Y this decade.
and Germany.
be ignored.
17
Survey responses
125
18%
78,700
15,500
20%
846 million
this generation.
13%
48%
46
22-28
28
34-60
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4 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
2 Summary
accumulation. As a consequence it is
rising market.
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 5
28 percent of FM businesses
switching on to Gen Y?
gobbledygook.
2007
2050
3,000,000
2,500,000
2 million
2,000,000
1,500,000
2013 contraction
1,000,000
500,000
0
-500,000
-1,000,000
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
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6 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
retaining staff.
staff turnover.
FM products.
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 7
into workplaces.
segments.
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8 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 9
Figure 3.1 Percentage change in 40-59 population for selected countries, past and present
150
Percentage change
120
1990-2005
2005-2020
90
60
30
Japan
Germany
Italy
Sweden
UK
Switzerland
Finland
France
Netherlands
Luxembourg
Australia
US
NZ
Canada
South Korea
Hong Kong
-30
Singapore
prosperous retirement.
(83 million).
phase.
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1 0 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
Figure 3.2 Percentage change in 60-79 population for selected countries, past and present
150
Percentage change
120
1990-2005
2005-2020
90
60
30
UK
Sweden
US
France
Luxembourg
Finland
Netherlands
Italy
Switzerland
NZ
Australia
Canada
Germany
Hong Kong
Japan
South Korea
Singapore
to another.
lifestyle housing.
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 1 1
the past?
retirement.
Traits of Gen Ys
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1 2 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
Baby Boomers: this generation was mostly born during the 15 years to June 30, 1961.
The impact of WWII was profound in that it stifled birth rates in participating nations
over the six years to 1945. The birth rate ratcheted almost immediately following the
demobilization of troops: in Australia troops were first demobilized in September 1945;
the birth rate jumped nine months later in June 1946. The parents of baby boomers were
young adults during the war; they also touched the Great Depression of the early
1930s. These experiences shaped the households of young baby boomers. Unlike their
frugal parents the boomers are proven consumerists; they have also enjoyed generally
prosperous economic times throughout the second-half of the 20th century in
participating nations. Boomers now hold senior management positions in the workforce
and over the last decade many have been accumulating and storing wealth in preparation
for their retirement. It is this generation that has largely underpinned the rise of the FM
industry over the last 15 years.
Generation X: this generation was born over the 15 years to June 30, 1976. Generation X
was named by Canadian author Douglas Coupland with the release of his book of the
same name in 1992. Xers struggled throughout their youth to establish an identity that
was separate from the preceding boomer generation. The focus had always been on
boomers and on their cultural causes. Xers have been labelled cynical largely because
they matured to adulthood in the wake of the 1987 stock market crash. They entered the
job market amid an era of economic rationalism in the early 1990s. Xers struggled to
enter the housing market in many nations where property prices were leveraged up by
the preceding generation of household-forming boomers. Xers are now transitioning into
senior management positions in the office.
Generation Y: this generation was born over the 15 years to June 30, 1991. Generation Y, or
Gen Y, are the children of the baby boomers. Some see the Ys as the children of rich and
indulgent baby boomer parents. The boomers were the first generation to deliver two
incomes to the household and have been inclined to indulge their children as a
consequence. In many nations, such as the U.K., China and Australia, Ys have only ever
experienced a world of rising economic prosperity. Generation Y are less likely to make
commitments to marriage, to mortgage, to children or to career until late in their 20s. This
generation is more likely to live at home or, in the case of the U.S., to continue to draw upon
parental income support after leaving home. Some have labelled this phenomenon as Gen Y
having access to the Bank of Mom & Dad.This generation is highly educated, generally
entrepreneurial (in comparison with previous generations) and global in their thinking. All of
this makes Generation Y focussed on the here and now and, from an employers perspective,
it also makes this generation especially difficult to retain in the office.
Gen Ys at work
But why is it all about the Gen Ys? And
especially in the workplace. Even the
term Generation Y was not in common
currency, anywhere, until early this
decade. The reason why business is now
focussed on Gen Y is because of a
perceived skills and labor shortage in the
developed world. But the skills shortage
reflects broader demographic issues that
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 1 3
retirement.
The charts in Box 2 show the rate of unemployment and the price index (or equity index)
of the Australian, German and Japanese stock markets from 1979 onwards. This index is
a measure of stock market performance and reflects investor sentiment on the state of
the economy.
The charts have been divided into three phases, each of which represents the period in
which a generation has entered the office workforce, generally from about the age of 24.
Baby boomers born over the 15 years to 1961 entered the office workforce between 1970
and 1985. Gen Xers arrived in the office during the late 1980s and throughout the 1990s.
Gen Y first entered the office workforce at the turn of this century.
Throughout their careers both the boomers and Gen X have experienced the full range of
economic ups and downs such as the oil crisis of the early 1970s, the stock market crash
of 1987, and various rises and falls in the rate of employment. There were also shocks
specific to each nation: the German market dropped at the turn of the century; the
Japanese market collapsed in the early 1990s. These shocks had the effect of tempering
the views of older, but debatably wiser, boomers and Xers.
Gen Y on the other hand has had less time in the workforce. This generations experience
with the broader economy and therefore with the world of work also varies between
countries. The last decade has delivered turbulent times in Germany and Japan whereas
in Australia economic circumstances improved every year.
While there are consistent demographic metrics that unify Gen Y across developed
nations such as the postponement of marriage and children, locally prevailing economic
conditions can shape the generational perspective. The focus groups and the interviews
that senior management suggest that Gen Y in Germany and in Japan is not as fearless
about the future as are Australians in this generation.
For example, as one of the German focus group attendees said, I think the times are
over when people could say, well I dont mind if I am jobless for a month. We simply
cant afford this anymore today. Whereas in Australia the view is that everyone knows a
job is a job and in the end you will leave.
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1 4 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
14
12
10
4000
3000
2000
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
Unemployment (RHS)
9000
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1988
1989
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
1980
1979
1978
1977
1976
1000
2006
Price Index
5000
% unemployment
6000
Germany
25
8000
20
Price Index
6000
15
5000
4000
10
3000
2000
% unemployment
7000
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
Japan
Ys enter the market
40,000
35,000
Price Index
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
% unemployment
45,000
1992
1991
1990
1988
1989
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
1980
1979
1978
1977
1976
2000
1000
10,000
Unemployment (RHS)
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1988
1989
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
1980
1979
1978
1977
1976
2000
5000
Nikkei (LHS)
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 1 5
Figure 3.4a Net annual change in 15-64 population for selected countries, 1950-2050
1950
2007
250,000
Baby Boomer
Gen X
2050
Gen Y
Australia
200,000
150,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Source: KPMG International, 2007; Australian Historical Population Statistics, ABS 2004; Population Projections, Australia, 2004 to 2101, 2006
1950
3,000,000
2007
2050
2,500,000
Baby Boomer
2,000,000
Gen X
Gen Y
1.5 million
1,500,000
1994 contraction
1,000,000
Japan
500,000
0
-500,000
-1000,000
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1950
2007
3,000,000
Baby Boomer
Gen X
2050
Gen Y
2.5 million
2,500,000
United States
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
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1 6 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
medium-term.
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 1 7
Figure 3.4b Net annual change in 15-64 population for selected countries, 1950-2050
1950
2007
1,000,000
Baby Boomer
Gen X
2050
Gen Y
500,000
500,000
Germany
2000 contraction
0
-500,000
-1,000,000
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1950
2007
Baby Boomer
20,000,000
Gen X
2050
Gen Y
15 million
15,000,000
10,000,000
2016 contraction
China
5,000,000
0
-5,000,000
-10,000,000
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1950
2007
Baby Boomer
Gen X
2050
Gen Y
14 million
15,000,000
India
12,000,000
9,000,000
6,000,000
3,000,000
0
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
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1 8 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
Gen Y
Adolescence
Adult
Lifestyle
U.K. Germany
Retired Old
2008
Child
U.S.
78
79
79
Child
Teen
Adult
Old
1968
71
71
Adult
Old
1928
Child
59
60
56
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Change in life expectancy over 80 years in the U.S., the U.K. and Germany
Source: US Census Bureau; National Statistics; UN Statistics Division
81.9
Hong Kong
81.5
Switzerland
80.5
Australia
80.2
Sweden
80.1
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 1 9
2005
Change
United Kingdom
22.9
29.5
6.6
New Zealand
21.7
28.1
6.4
Germany
23.2
29.6
6.4
Australia
21.9
28.0
6.1
France
23.0
29.1
6.1
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2 0 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
these issues.
1975
2005
Singapore
2.6
1.4
Italy
2.3
1.3
New Zealand
2.8
2.0
Japan
2.1
1.3
Australia
2.5
1.8
Division, 2007
In the latter decades of the 20th century
fertility rates (number of children per
woman) declined in most participating
countries. In Italy, for example, the total
fertility rate (TFR) has dropped from 2.3
children per women in 1975 to 1.3 in 2005.
However, in the U.S. fertility is on the rise
due in part to the values of the Latino
population. Indeed the fertility rate in the
U.S. at 2.0 births per woman is among the
highest of any country in the developed
world. The fertility rate is also holding up
in France (1.9) and in Australia (1.8),
whereas in Germany, Japan as well as in
Italy, the TFR is now 1.3. Note that a fertility
rate of 2.1 is the replacement rate: one for
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 2 1
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2 2 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
participant countries
40
30
20
10
10
20
30
Responses
Last 2 years
Next 5 years
60
50
40
30
20
10
60
50
40
30
20
10
10
20
30
40
50
10
20
30
40
50
Mutual fund
Savings plan (installment investment)
Managed account
Pension plan
Insurance bond
Other products
Dont know
Responses
Last 2 years
Next 5 years
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 2 3
Figure 4.3).
Asia-Pacific
No
30%
No
45%
No
38%
Yes
55%
Yes
62%
Yes
70%
Source: KPMG International 2007
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2 4 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
to be low-risk.
this generation.
wealth inheritors.
10
0
Responses
Last 2 years
10
20
30
Next 5 years
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 2 5
2%
2% 2% 1%
4%
Figure 4.6 Reasons why Gen Y does not engage with FM products
Factors
41%
0%
23%
5%
8%
10%
20%
18%
30%
40%
50%
13%
60%
70%
12%
80%
5%
11%
90%
100%
Lack of education
Other
8%
Easy to understand
Flexibility
Low fees/inexpensive
No-load products
Other
other FM products
(real estate)
focus groups.
financial security.
as follows:
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2 6 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
London
Tokyo
Frankfurt
Female
Male
Female
trustworthy. Male
Female
Female
Female
Female
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 2 7
Sydney
New York
card Female
Female
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2 8 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
25%
20%
15%
10%
Other
Give aways/promotions
Developing a new
brand specifically for
this de mographic
Word of mouth
Brand development
University visits
0%
Paternerships
with banks
5%
products.
Gen Y as employees
Figure 4.8).
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 2 9
New Zealand
Italy
Luxembourg
Canada
Japan
Germany
France
USA
Netherlands
0%
Korea
5%
UK
10%
Finland
15%
Switzerland
20%
Hong Kong
25%
Sweden
30%
Australia
35%
Singapore
Proportion of employees
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3 0 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 3 1
Importance
9%
27%
41%
15%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Dont know
Mostly unimportant
Mostly important
Unimportant
Very important
Gen Y staff.
North America
Medium(FUM US$20b-US$40b)
No
24%
No
31%
No
40%
Yes
60%
Yes
69%
Yes
76%
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3 2 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
Turnover rate
10%
0%
40%
10%
Dont know
20%
30%
16%
40%
50%
<10%
9%
60%
25%
70%
11%-20%
80%
20%-30%
sessions:
90%
100%
30%+
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
11-20
20-30
No retention strategies
30+
Retention strategies
training
35%
Graduate leadership/recruitment
13%
the following:
1%
7%
10%
3%
13%
University visits
High school visits
Targetted advertising
Career trade shows
Corporate philanthropy
Brand improvement campaigns
Working conditions
Other
Note: Ranked responses weighted
Source: KPMG International 2007
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 3 3
6%
4%
11%
20%
14%
7%
Gen Ys as customers
Most in the FM industry have not
development)
Young professional events for the
under 35s.
6%
17%
14%
Flexible hours
Merit based compensation
Opportunities for travel
Paying for further education
Opportunities for accelerated career progression
Work environment
Rotation between departments
Mentoring programs
Other
Note: Ranked responses weighted
Source: KPMG International 2007
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3 4 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
50%
respondents
40%
30%
should be saying?
20%
10%
Recruitment
Successful
Mostly successful
Neither successful
nor unsuccessful
Mostly unsuccessful
Unsuccessful
Don't know
0%
Retention
Gen Ys as employees
they are:
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 3 5
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3 6 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 3 7
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3 8 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
Gen Y as customers
The first half of the focus group sessions
focussed on Gen Ys understanding of the
FM industry and their attitudes towards
financial services products more generally.
industry?
their children:
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 3 9
focus groups:
In contrast the German participants were
into debt.
MaleFrankfurt
My way of life is, well I dont want to call
Im thinking of saving but at the same
Frankfurt
investing.
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4 0 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
Frankfurt
MaleSydney
Germany
MaleSydney
financially aware.
as teenagers,
savings account.
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 4 1
FemaleSydney
this. FemaleTokyo
specific purpose.
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4 2 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
workplace. MaleFrankfurt
MaleSydney
FemaleSydney
generation.
Gen Y as employees
FemaleSydney
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 4 3
corporate culture:
Bottom 5
2000
Country
2000
Proportion of 30-39 years
old women in workforce
Country
Singapore
34%
Japan
Italy
32%
Sweden
25%
Netherlands
31%
Finland
25%
Germany
31%
New Zealand
26%
Luxembourg
30%
U.S.
26%
19%
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4 4 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
Sydney
financial planning.
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 4 5
generation.
went further:
London
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4 6 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 4 7
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4 8 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
of marketing.
less polite:
Xer.London
baby boomers:
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 4 9
I read somewhere that Gen Y have a greater belief in the existence of UFOs than that the government will provide
them with a pension.London
We tried giving our staff sabbaticals but they never came back the people who want six months off to discover
themselves are not the sort of people we want.London
This industry can create financial products fairly quickly it is very flexible very agile.New York
CEOs must deliver against analysts expectations thats why they dont do strategy.London
Gen Y need constant stimulation they have no sense of anything other than themselves.London
Five years ago who the hell had heard of EFTs?New York
This industry is prepared to pay a lot of lip service to Corporate Social Responsibility but the fact is that people
with social convictions dont have any money as yet.London
Financial Planners could recruit baby boomers by promising a Ferrari. Todays generation is more keen on a family
feeling and other emotional benefits.Frankfurt
The reason why Gen Y are not a market for investment products is because people prefer to push off pain
they want instant gratification of the senses today.New York
Business must get the right balance between what it does and pain. As the demographics develop the pain factor
increases and companies do more to retain Gen Y at the moment the pain factor isnt bad enough.Frankfurt
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5 0 Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y
managers:
accumulation.New York
of Choice.
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Beyo n d t h e b a by b o o m e r s : t h e r i s e o f G e n e r a t i o n Y 5 1
7 Selected bibliography
Fitzpatrick, N.
Investments up in 2006 say EFAMA & FERI, Funds Europe, Union Press Limited, Vol. 51, March, 2007
Huntley, R.
The world according to Y: Inside the new adult generation, Crows Nest, Allen & Unwin, 2006
Kamentez, A
Generation Debt: Why now is a terrible time to be young, New York, Riverhead Books, 2005
Levitz, J.
Pitching 401(k)s to Generation Y is a tough sell, Wall Street Journal, 27 September, 2006
Morgan, P.
Family Policy, Family Changes: Sweden, Italy and Britain Compared, London, Civitas, 2006
Salt, B.
The Big Picture: Life, work and relationships in the 21st century, Prahran, Hardie Grant Books, 2006
Material Assistance received from families during the transition to adulthood, in Settersten, R.A, Furstenberg,
J., and Rumbaut, R., On the Frontier of Adulthood: Theory, Research & Public Policy, Chicago, University of
Chicago Press, 2005
Zaslow, J.
The most changed generation goes to work, The Wall Street Journal, April 20, 2007
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Hong Kong
Singapore
Jacinta Munro
Bonn Liu
Partner
Partner
Partner
+ 65 6213 2008
jacintamunro@kpmg.com.au
bonn.liu@kpmg.com.hk
kokkeongleong@kpmg.com.sg
Canada
Italy
South Korea
James Loewen
Paolo Valsecchi
Sean Park
Partner
Partner
Partner
+39 02 676 31
jlowoen@kpmg.ca
pvalsecchi@kpmg.com
spark4@kr.kpmg.com
Finland
Japan
Sweden
Liisa K. Smay
Seiji Kamiya
Jan Forsell
Manager
Partner
Partner
Liisa.smay@kpmg.fi
seiji.kamiya@jp.kpmg.com
Jan.Forsell@kpmg.se
France
Luxembourg
Switzerland
Gerard Gaultry
Nathalie Dogniez
Markus Schunk
Partner
Partner
Partner
ggaultry@kpmg.com
nathalie.dogniez@kpmg.lu
markusschunk@kpmg.com
Germany
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Gerold Hornschu
Martijn Huiskers
Tom Brown
Partner
Partner
Partner
ghornschu@kpmg.de
huiskers.martijn@kpmg.nl
Tom.brown@kpmg.co.uk
New Zealand
United States
Bill Wilkinson
Partner
Partner
bwilkinson1@kpmg.com
dseymour@kpmg.com
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Publication Name: Beyond the baby boomers: the rise of Generation Y. Opportunities and challenges for the funds management industry.