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September 9, 2015
September 9, 2015
Nifty Snapshot & Pivot Points
15.8
16.3
17.1
18.0
24.5
26.2
28.6
21.5
22.6
22.6
23.1
23.9
23.8
24.5
25.0
25.4
8700
8500
8300
8100
7900
7700
7500
7300
18-Aug
19-Aug
20-Aug
21-Aug
24-Aug
25-Aug
26-Aug
27-Aug
28-Aug
31-Aug
1-Sep
2-Sep
3-Sep
4-Sep
7-Sep
8-Sep
OI In million
31
26
21
16
11
6
1
-4
Nifty Futures OI
50
3 4 .0
2 1 .9
2 1 .4
3 1 .4
3 9 .4
2 3 .9
2 1 .1
3 6 .6
3 9 .2
2 8 .1
1 2 .0
3 9 .2
1 4 .5
2 8 .8
8 .3
Call
Put
Fut
COC
Future OI
PCR OI
PCR Vol
7688
7719
9.24
25409025
0.95
0.87
25.67
Previous
7559
7575
4.46
25041250
0.95
0.93
31.65
1.71%
1.91%
Change (%)
Pivot levels (SEP)
Nifty future
1.47%
ATM IV
S3
S2
S1
Piv
R1
R2
R3
7287
7482
7601
7677
7796
7872
8067
F&O Highlights
After four consecutive days of sell-off, Nifty witnessed a relief rally with most
hammered banking stocks leading the day. On the back of participation by
almost all the sectors, the index ended 155 points higher. Nifty futures premium
settled at 31 points. India VIX fell 7% and ended at 24.5
FIIs sold | 660 crore while DIIs bought | 447 crore in the cash segment. FIIs
bought | 802 crore in index futures and sold | 1594 crore in index options. In
stock futures, they sold | 279 crore
The highest Put base is at the 7500 strike with 46 lakh shares while the highest
Call base is at the 8200 strike with 39 lakh shares. The 7700 and 7800 Calls saw
addition of 2.6 and 6.1 lakh shares, respectively. The 7300 and 7200 Put strikes
saw additions of 1.5 and 1.9 lakh shares, respectively
Index Outlook*
Nifty Future: The Nifty is likely to open gap up on the back of strong global
cues. It is likely to trade in the range of 7730-7870. Buy Nifty in the range of
7770-7780 for targets of 7810-7830, stop loss: 7750
Bank Nifty Future: Sharp pullback was seen in index with aggressive shorts
getting covered during the day. Any move above 16500 levels is likely to trigger
further short covering. Buy Bank Nifty in the range of 16460-16510, targets:
16600-16750, stop loss: 16400
Stocks Analysis
8300
8200
8100
8000
7900
7700
7800
1 2 .2
7600
7400
3 .3
10
1 0 .8
3 6 .7
20
4 6 .6
30
7500
O I in Lacs
40
Spot
Current
Put (%)
IV (%)
25.39
OI chg %
-3.03
IV (%)
26.97
OI addition: We saw long build-up in JSW Energy, DHFL, Dish TV and Infosys
7500
OI chg %
-2.34
7600
-4.45
24.63
-0.80
25.77
OI shedding: We saw short covering in Apollo Tyre, Mind Tree and NMDC
7700
13.47
23.73
3.63
24.56
7800
24.14
23.01
-0.90
23.54
whereas long closure was seen in Amtek Auto, Britannia and Cairn India
Intraday Recommendation*
7900
-5.94
22.49
-2.18
22.24
i) Cipla (CIPLA)
Strike
while short build-up was seen in SKS Micro, Amaraja Batteries and Dabur
F&O Turnover
Instrument
No. of Contracts
Turnover (Cr)
%Chg
Stock Futures
Index Options
9,58,859
9,16,330
23110.25
22886.21
31.61
42.52
76,17,956
162257
21.58
Stock Options
F&O Total
4,21,825
99,14,971
10836.78
219091
Index Futures
FII Activities
View: Bullish
View: Bearish
Target 1: 667
Target 2: 677
(In | crore)
Symbol
OI
Buy
Sell
Net
OI (lots)
%Chg
Index futures
2110
1308
802
1053514
3.2
Index options
16257
17851
-1594
3866652
2.8
Stock futures
2273
2552
-279
1851864
1.6
Stock options
1997
2056
-58
76618
2.9
AMARAJABAT
22637
23766
-1129
6848648
2.5
Strategy Follow-up
Research Analyst
Amit Gupta
amit.gup@icicisecurities.com
Nandish Patel
nandish.patel@icicisecurities.com
CMP : 1820
Segment
Total
%Chg
Price
IBULHSGFIN
5704000
29.01
722
JSWENERGY
6156000
21.28
75
%Chg Symbol
OI
0.2 APOLLOTYRE
10.0 MINDTREE
%Chg
Price
%Chg
7382000
-8.00
178
5.6
217000
-6.77
1,324
1.7
SKSMICRO
4711000
21.21
441
-1.0 AMTEKAUTO
6718000
-6.17
27
-5.5
DHFL
2036500
15.09
433
1.3 ENGINERSIN
1407000
-5.70
184
4.4
458000
13.93
904
-2.9 NMDC
12704000
-5.46
94
2.8
Date
8-Sep-15
8-Sep-15
Stock
VOLTAS
AURPHA
View
Buy
Sell
Strategy
Long Fut
Short Fut
Reco
257.00
697.00
Target
265.50
680.00
SL
253.50
705.00
P&L
8500
8500
Comment
Tgt Achieved
Tgt Achieved
It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various derivatives research
products.
Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment.
Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation.
For example: The Daily Derivatives product carries 2 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate equal amount
to each recommendation
Allocation
Max allocation
per stock
Number of Calls
Frontline
Stocks
Mid-cap
stocks
Daily Derivatives
5%
Duration
2-3%
2 Stocks
1%
2-3%
Weekly Derivatives
Intraday
10%
3-5%
2 Stocks
3-5%
5-7%
1 Week
High OI stock
5%
2-3%
2-3 Stocks
5-7%
7-10%
1-2 Weeks
Monthly Derivatives
15%
3-5%
4-7 Stocks
7-10%
10-15%
1 Month
Global Derivatives
5%
2-3%
1 Month
15%
2-3%
5-6 Stocks
7-10%
10-15%
3 Months
Alpha Trader
5%
2-3%
5%
3 Months
Volatility Insights
5%
2-3%
1-2 Strategy
8-10%
10-15%
1-2 Month
ArbitrageOpportunity
5%
2-3%
2-3 Stocks
> 2.5%
>2.5%
Event Based
Products
Pankaj Pandey
Return Objective
Product wise
allocation
10%
2-3%
8-12 Stocks
1-3%
2-5%
1-14 days
10%
3-4%
2-5 Nifty
2-3%
1-14 days
5%
3-4%
2-8 Stocks
3-5%
1-14 days
Currency Futures
5%
3-4%
3-5 Calls
Intraday
Head Research
pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com
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Disclaimer
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Amit Gupta B.E, MBA (Finance), Nandish Patel Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately
reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this
report.
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