Ipsos Poll On Federal Election - October 05

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)
Detailed Tables
RV1A. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
Base: All respondents

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
The Conservative Party
392
27%
113
25%
105
29%
68
25%
324
28%
200
29%
192
26%
81
20%
98
24%
110
25%
81
30%
311
27%
198
28%
194
26%
21
14%
87
19%
40
18%
67
24%
242
21%
152
22%
156
21%
112
21%
94
19%
64
4%
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
20
4%
16
4%
6
3%
7
2%
58
5%
31
4%
33
4%
Green Party
6
4%
2
2%
13
2%
2
2%
14
4%
16
4%
7
2%
3
2%
7
2%
34
3%
24
3%
16
2%
2
2%
1
1%
10
3%
1
0
0
-
0
-
1
0
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
1
0
0
-
0
-
1
0
1
0
0
-
33
6%
O
22
4%
P
0
-
0
-
12
6%
DE
0
-
27
5%
O
5
1%
71
24%
S
0
-
40
3%
64
19%
ABCDF
6
2%
31
27%
S
0
-
13
9%
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
105
26%
HJ
23
6%
138
34%
PQ
103
26%
Q
5
1%
51
36%
R
54
37%
57
29%
BCD
0
-
119
33%
GH
77
21%
155
31%
O
125
25%
83
28%
38
37%
ABE
22
22%
156
29%
O
130
24%
27
23%
64
18%
81
37%
GHI
65
30%
309
21%
162
29%
EF
178
32%
AE
116
21%
93
23%
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
30
33%
EF
27
30%
E
16
17%
20
19%
392
27%
67
44%
ADEF
37
24%
62
18%
The Liberal Party
51
27%
E
47
24%
0
-
1
1%
0
-
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
38
3%
5
3%
0
-
2
2%
17
3%
0
-
5
1%
4
2%
2
1%
18
2%
3
1%
2
2%
5
4%
9
3%
21
11%
22
14%
15
17%
66
12%
89
20%
IJ
36
10%
19
9%
41
15%
36
3%
K
163
14%
19
3%
205
14%
16
4%
I
61
15%
IJ
13
3%
Don't Know/Not sure
14
4%
BF
60
17%
AD
72
10%
132
18%
M
75
15%
16
14%
17
12%
32
11%
Other
77
22%
21
21%
AD
13
3%
P
1
0
15
4%
Q
47
12%
0
20
4%
Q
83
16%
37
32%
87
30%
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T
Ipsos Public Affairs

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
15 of 76
Detailed Tables
RV1B. Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
Base: Undecided
Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
205
205
31
21*
15
22**
18
15**
74
66*
44
60*
23
21**
57
61*
91
89*
36
36*
21
19**
40
41*
165
163
69
72*
136
132
41
47*
88
83*
76
75*
22
16**
21
17**
31
32*
24
12%
3
14%
3
14%
1
6%
9
13%
6
10%
3
14%
8
13%
12
14%
3
7%
1
8%
2
4%
22
14%
11
16%
13
10%
6
13%
6
7%
12
16%
1
9%
2
11%
5
16%
The Liberal Party
17
8%
2
9%
2
8%
2
12%
6
9%
4
7%
2
10%
3
5%
7
7%
3
8%
5
26%
3
8%
14
8%
4
6%
13
10%
7
15%
4
5%
6
8%
2
13%
3
16%
1
3%
19
9%
3
15%
3
13%
1
5%
4
6%
8
13%
1
4%
3
5%
11
13%
4
10%
1
4%
5
13%
14
8%
7
9%
12
9%
3
6%
8
10%
8
11%
0
-
1
5%
3
9%
3
1%
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
3
4%
0
-
3
4%
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
3
2%
1
2%
1
1%
0
-
1
2%
1
2%
0
-
0
-
0
-
Green Party
2
1%
0
-
0
-
2
10%
0
-
0
-
0
-
1
1%
1
1%
0
-
0
-
0
-
2
1%
0
-
2
1%
0
-
1
1%
1
1%
0
-
0
-
0
-
Don't know
140
68%
13
62%
14
66%
10
67%
48
73%
39
66%
15
73%
44
72%
58
65%
27
74%
12
62%
31
75%
109
67%
48
67%
92
69%
31
65%
63
75%
47
63%
13
78%
12
69%
23
72%
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
16 of 76
Detailed Tables
RV1A/Q1B. ALL VOTERS - LEANERS INCLUDED
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
416
29%
126
28%
107
29%
346
30%
212
30%
205
28%
87
22%
100
24%
117
26%
84
31%
325
28%
202
29%
207
28%
24
16%
98
22%
72
26%
255
22%
159
23%
168
23%
120
22%
102
20%
67
5%
0
-
0
-
0
-
20
4%
16
4%
6
3%
7
2%
60
5%
33
5%
34
5%
Green Party
6
4%
3
4%
13
2%
2
2%
17
4%
7
2%
3
2%
7
2%
35
3%
24
3%
18
2%
2
2%
1
1%
10
3%
1
0
0
-
0
-
1
0
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
1
0
0
-
0
-
1
0
1
0
0
-
34
7%
O
23
5%
P
0
-
0
-
12
6%
DE
0
-
28
5%
O
6
1%
74
25%
S
0
-
42
3%
67
19%
ABCDF
6
2%
31
27%
S
0
-
14
10%
108
26%
J
26
6%
J
15
4%
145
36%
PQ
106
26%
Q
5
1%
53
37%
R
56
39%
60
31%
BCD
0
-
121
33%
GH
81
22%
167
33%
O
130
26%
88
30%
40
39%
ABE
23
22%
163
31%
O
134
25%
29
25%
68
20%
83
38%
GHI
70
32%
G
40
19%
70
26%
328
23%
170
31%
E
184
33%
AE
119
22%
100
24%
31
34%
E
29
32%
E
17
18%
22
22%
409
28%
70
46%
ADEF
39
25%
68
20%
The Liberal Party
54
28%
E
49
25%
0
-
1
1%
0
-
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
38
3%
5
3%
0
-
2
2%
17
3%
0
-
5
1%
4
2%
2
1%
18
2%
3
1%
2
2%
5
4%
9
3%
13
7%
14
9%
10
11%
48
9%
58
13%
IJ
27
7%
12
5%
31
11%
36
3%
K
109
9%
19
3%
140
10%
16
4%
I
44
11%
J
13
3%
Don't Know/Not sure
14
4%
BF
39
11%
48
7%
92
12%
M
47
9%
13
11%
12
8%
23
8%
Other
85
24%
0
-
15
15%
AD
13
3%
P
1
0
15
4%
Q
31
8%
0
20
4%
Q
63
12%
O
39
34%
88
30%

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
17 of 76
Detailed Tables
RV1A/Q1B. DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
Base: Decided Voters - Leaners Included

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1264
1263
251
175
95
139*
91
81*
522
487
212
293
93
88*
350
350
383
377
330
333
201
202
242
240
1022
1023
607
631
657
632
328
356
468
450
468
457
135
101
143
126
244
260
416
33%
54
31%
100
29%
126
33%
107
32%
346
34%
212
34%
205
32%
87
24%
100
29%
117
31%
84
35%
325
32%
202
32%
207
33%
328
26%
24
17%
40
20%
72
30%
255
25%
159
25%
168
27%
120
27%
102
22%
0
-
0
-
0
-
20
5%
16
5%
6
3%
7
3%
60
6%
33
5%
34
5%
Green Party
12
7%
DE
0
-
6
4%
3
4%
13
3%
2
2%
17
4%
7
2%
3
2%
7
3%
35
3%
24
4%
18
3%
13
4%
28
6%
O
6
1%
0
-
0
-
1
0
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
1
0
0
-
0
-
1
0
1
0
0
-
1
0
0
-
34
7%
O
23
5%
P
0
-
31
31%
S
0
-
42
3%
108
31%
J
26
7%
J
15
4%
98
26%
67
5%
85
29%
B
67
23%
ABCDF
6
2%
145
41%
PQ
106
30%
Q
5
1%
53
42%
R
56
45%
T
14
11%
60
34%
BCD
0
-
121
36%
G
81
24%
167
37%
O
130
29%
88
34%
40
46%
ABE
23
26%
163
36%
O
134
30%
29
28%
68
23%
83
41%
G
70
35%
70
29%
49
28%
170
35%
E
184
38%
AE
119
24%
22
26%
409
32%
31
39%
E
29
36%
E
17
21%
68
23%
The Liberal Party
70
51%
ADEF
39
28%
Other
1
0
0
-
39
39%
88
34%
0
-
74
28%
S
0
-
2
2%
1
1%
10
4%
0
-
1
1%
0
-
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
18 of 76
Detailed Tables
RV2. How certain are you that this is the party that you will actually support on Election Day:
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1271
1270
252
176
96
140*
91
81*
524
490
213
294
95
90*
351
352
386
380
332
336
202
203
243
241
1028
1030
611
635
660
635
328
356
470
453
473
462
135
101
143
126
246
262
Absolutely certain
614
48%
82
47%
77
55%
39
48%
236
48%
136
46%
44
49%
173
49%
182
48%
158
47%
100
49%
100
41%
323
51%
291
46%
122
34%
131
50%
Fairly certain
44
31%
32
39%
115
39%
38
42%
142
40%
149
39%
146
43%
80
39%
112
46%
255
40%
261
41%
55
43%
113
43%
128
10%
18
13%
9
12%
8
9%
34
10%
43
11%
30
9%
22
11%
28
12%
100
10%
52
8%
10
10%
13
10%
16
6%
12
1%
3
2%
2
1%
1
1%
5
1%
0
-
2
1%
7
2%
2
1%
1
1%
1
1%
11
1%
5
1%
76
12%
M
7
1%
36
8%
Not at all certain
42
14%
AD
1
0
180
51%
PQ
50
14%
Q
4
1%
42
42%
Not very certain
209
43%
B
39
8%
267
58%
OP
155
34%
57
45%
79
45%
B
11
6%
225
50%
O
181
40%
Q
42
9%
48
47%
517
41%
514
50%
K
405
39%
4
1%
4
1%
1
1%
2
1%
2
1%
T2B
1131
89%
70
87%
82
91%
316
90%
331
87%
304
91%
180
89%
211
88%
919
89%
302
85%
244
93%
8
9%
36
10%
49
13%
31
9%
23
11%
29
12%
110
11%
83
13%
M
54
15%
PQ
422
91%
O
40
9%
112
88%
44
15%
AD
406
90%
O
46
10%
90
89%
10
13%
578
91%
N
57
9%
552
87%
20
14%
445
91%
E
44
9%
251
85%
L2B
162
92%
E
14
8%
121
86%
140
11%
11
11%
15
12%
18
7%
TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
19 of 76
Detailed Tables
RV3. And, assuming you can't vote for your first choice, which party would you support as a second choice?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1271
1270
252
176
96
140*
91
81*
524
490
213
294
95
90*
351
352
386
380
332
336
202
203
243
241
1028
1030
611
635
660
635
328
356
470
453
473
462
135
101
143
126
246
262
110
9%
14
8%
8
5%
45
9%
29
10%
4
4%
25
7%
35
9%
33
10%
18
9%
60
9%
50
8%
The Liberal Party
103
21%
49
17%
16
17%
67
19%
79
21%
68
20%
41
20%
197
19%
125
20%
130
20%
44
10%
Q
95
21%
77
17%
16
13%
T
17
14%
56
21%
330
26%
33
24%
18
22%
63
22%
22
25%
84
24%
93
25%
103
31%
49
24%
64
26%
267
26%
178
28%
152
24%
113
25%
105
23%
46
36%
76
29%
43
3%
0
-
0
-
0
-
149
30%
E
0
-
12
12%
T
30
30%
S
27
27%
16
6%
26
18%
0
-
16
5%
10
3%
10
3%
7
4%
13
5%
30
3%
27
4%
16
2%
0
-
0
-
0
-
174
14%
66
14%
10
12%
41
12%
29
14%
16
7%
93
15%
43
12%
76
17%
10
10%
13
10%
43
17%
127
26%
80
27%
119
31%
I
82
24%
59
29%
57
24%
158
15%
K
302
29%
80
13%
25
32%
61
17%
H
99
28%
44
12%
Don't know/Not sure
26
19%
E
47
34%
12
15%
358
28%
29
17%
E
41
23%
23
5%
O
55
12%
15
3%
Some other party
43
15%
ABCDF
30
10%
46
13%
Q
84
23%
Q
112
32%
Q
5
1%
21
5%
47
27%
E
45
26%
34
14%
L
57
24%
76
7%
255
20%
11
13%
F
15
18%
164
26%
194
31%
67
19%
123
27%
O
168
36%
OP
21
21%
35
27%
71
27%
Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
38
42%
ADE

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
20 of 76
Detailed Tables
4. Thinking about the Conservative government under the leadership of Stephen Harper, from what you have seen, read or heard, would you say that you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of their performance?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Strongly approve
169
12%
22
11%
10
11%
7
7%
36
10%
139
12%
92
13%
77
10%
38
9%
65
12%
66
13%
19
17%
16
11%
36
12%
88
25%
23
22%
361
31%
227
32%
223
30%
138
34%
159
30%
153
30%
39
34%
45
23%
27
26%
99
24%
54
25%
74
27%
280
24%
154
22%
141
26%
112
22%
29
25%
469
33%
75
39%
BD
42
27%
47
46%
BCDE
153
37%
J
143
32%
113
31%
59
27%
80
29%
388
33%
226
32%
200
27%
M
243
33%
100
25%
Strongly disapprove
118
34%
ABD
111
32%
66
46%
RT
29
20%
94
32%
354
25%
130
36%
G
85
23%
89
33%
Somewhat disapprove
148
33%
G
115
26%
34
15%
H
70
32%
30
11%
51
27%
57
14%
H
102
25%
42
9%
450
31%
71
13%
E
200
36%
AEF
114
21%
28
8%
Somewhat approve
30
19%
EF
59
38%
AEF
23
15%
125
31%
168
31%
176
35%
28
24%
32
22%
107
37%
RS
T2B
619
43%
74
38%
116
34%
29
29%
159
39%
190
42%
166
46%
500
43%
319
46%
300
40%
176
44%
224
42%
219
43%
59
50%
120
62%
BD
230
66%
BD
74
71%
BCD
252
61%
J
259
58%
199
54%
154
56%
668
57%
380
54%
443
60%
225
56%
309
58%
288
57%
57
50%
82
57%
T
61
43%
130
44%
822
57%
104
48%
G
113
52%
119
44%
L2B
88
58%
ACEF
65
42%
29
32%
27
29%
B
26
28%
168
30%
55
19%

40
43%
F
53
57%
B
271
49%
AEF
281
51%
163
56%
S

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
21 of 76
Detailed Tables
5. Some people say that the Conservative government under Prime Minister Stephen Harper has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected on October 19th. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Harper government has done a good job and deserves re-election
480
33%
57
30%
80
52%
ACDEF
30
33%
198
36%
E
87
25%
27
26%
118
29%
152
34%
121
33%
89
41%
G
81
30%
399
34%
241
34%
239
32%
107
27%
184
34%
O
189
37%
O
42
36%
60
42%
96
33%
Time for another federal party to take over
961
67%
136
70%
B
73
48%
62
67%
B
354
64%
B
259
75%
BD
76
74%
B
293
71%
J
297
66%
244
67%
128
59%
192
70%
770
66%
457
66%
504
68%
294
73%
PQ
349
66%
318
63%
74
64%
83
58%
197
67%

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
22 of 76
Detailed Tables
7. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Government's overall management of the Canadian economy?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Strongly approve
164
11%
23
12%
9
9%
64
12%
27
8%
6
5%
32
9%
135
12%
30
8%
61
11%
15
10%
34
12%
125
36%
32
32%
282
38%
50
43%
27
29%
181
26%
167
31%
147
29%
30
26%
51
26%
BDE
24
16%
16
17%
104
19%
130
32%
J
107
26%
HIJ
355
30%
289
20%
37
36%
B
27
27%
77
28%
Strongly disapprove
129
37%
ABD
66
19%
70
49%
T
40
28%
110
38%
30
19%
175
44%
PQ
118
30%
195
37%
54
28%
151
41%
G
111
30%
J
71
19%
447
38%
432
30%
183
41%
G
143
32%
J
81
18%
110
40%
Somewhat disapprove
229
42%
A
155
28%
72
14%
O
186
37%
15
13%
41
44%
94
13%
N
275
39%
70
9%
66
34%
34
16%
HI
105
48%
G
48
22%
29
11%
557
39%
56
14%
I
118
29%
42
9%
Somewhat approve
36
24%
ACDEF
63
41%
30
14%
57
21%
232
20%
148
21%
77
19%
110
21%
102
20%
21
18%
18
13%
65
22%
S
T2B
720
50%
89
46%
174
42%
256
48%
259
51%
65
56%
587
50%
391
53%
M
195
49%
277
52%
249
49%
51
44%
85
59%
T
59
41%
144
49%
134
49%
369
53%
N
330
47%
206
51%
237
58%
HIJ
139
64%
GHI
78
36%
352
47%
65
63%
BCD
183
50%
G
182
50%
J
582
50%
195
56%
BD
225
50%
G
223
50%
J
139
51%
104
54%
B
293
53%
EF
259
47%
B
38
37%
721
50%
49
53%
F
43
47%
151
44%
L2B
99
65%
ADEF
54
35%
250
34%
M
140
19%
84
29%
149
51%
S

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
23 of 76
Detailed Tables
8. Which leader of the major federal parties would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Stephen Harper
486
34%
56
29%
106
26%
243
33%
97
24%
100
34%
374
32%
226
32%
249
34%
35
30%
480
33%
38
25%
24
26%
150
33%
117
32%
60
28%
85
31%
395
34%
229
33%
251
34%
176
33%
166
33%
41
36%
S
59
41%
R
28
19%
102
35%
Thomas Mulcair
165
41%
PQ
138
34%
194
38%
O
147
29%
56
39%
101
37%
194
36%
O
163
31%
40
34%
152
37%
H
153
37%
J
91
42%
G
66
30%
243
35%
42
41%
B
28
27%
124
34%
G
124
34%
399
34%
105
30%
165
37%
G
133
30%
86
32%
66
34%
B
71
37%
BD
196
35%
E
196
35%
B
161
29%
33
32%
475
33%
38
41%
AE
31
33%
82
24%
Justin Trudeau
80
52%
ADEF
35
23%
159
46%
ABCDF
92
31%
S

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
24 of 76
Detailed Tables
9. As you may know, there's been a lot of talk about the weak performance of Canada's economy. In your view, which party and leader would be best able to deal with this issue if they are elected on October 19 th?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Stephen Harper and the Conservatives
507
35%
59
30%
118
29%
416
36%
262
37%
245
33%
98
24%
100
34%
99
36%
401
34%
249
36%
251
34%
40
34%
54
38%
110
38%
Thomas Mulcair and the NDP
435
30%
29
19%
23
25%
130
29%
116
32%
J
48
22%
83
30%
352
30%
188
27%
247
33%
M
166
42%
PQ
137
34%
Q
207
41%
O
162
32%
60
42%
152
37%
202
38%
O
171
32%
38
32%
46
45%
BCE
23
22%
94
43%
G
75
34%
91
33%
115
33%
168
37%
G
151
34%
127
35%
68
35%
B
67
34%
BDF
197
36%
E
204
37%
B
151
27%
34
33%
499
35%
42
45%
AE
28
30%
89
26%
Justin Trudeau and the Liberals
87
56%
ADEF
37
24%
161
30%
137
27%
39
33%
S
30
21%
83
28%
142
41%
BCDF
141
34%
J
122
33%

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
25 of 76
Detailed Tables
10. In your view, which Party and leader is gaining the most popularity and momentum in this election?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Justin Trudeau and the Liberals
612
42%
79
41%
52
34%
40
44%
241
44%
144
42%
172
42%
187
42%
163
45%
90
41%
114
42%
498
43%
304
43%
308
41%
206
41%
45
39%
68
48%
127
43%
334
23%
39
20%
101
23%
81
22%
270
23%
167
24%
168
23%
68
23%
88
24%
66
24%
276
24%
159
23%
182
25%
97
24%
24
20%
23
16%
0
-
17
4%
H
34
8%
115
26%
J
8
2%
129
25%
O
114
23%
39
27%
100
24%
131
25%
O
130
24%
37
32%
18
18%
64
29%
G
39
18%
64
24%
51
26%
144
26%
E
120
22%
88
21%
341
24%
25
26%
E
21
22%
50
14%
Thomas Mulcair and the NDP
57
37%
ADEF
30
20%
190
47%
P
74
19%
215
40%
Stephen Harper and the Conservatives
55
54%
ABDE
20
19%
12
3%
3
1%
7
2%
33
3%
11
2%
5
1%
0
-
0
-
20
6%
22
10%
22
8%
92
8%
57
8%
20
4%
O
37
7%
15
3%
38
8%
28
4%
M
56
8%
72
25%
S
0
-
42
8%
10
9%
12
9%
26
9%
Gilles Duceppe and the Bloc
40
3%
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
Elizabeth May and the Green Party
114
8%
25
13%
E
14
9%
E
7
8%
E
48
9%
E
102
30%
DF
40
11%
ABCDF
11
3%
9
9%
E
35
9%

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
26 of 76
Detailed Tables
11. [SUPPORT SUMMARY TABLE (Top2Box)]
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
The Conservatives governing with support from the Liberals
535
37%
77
40%
E
74
48%
EF
40
43%
EF
226
41%
EF
89
26%
31
30%
134
33%
163
36%
151
41%
G
88
40%
113
41%
422
36%
253
36%
282
38%
162
40%
Q
209
39%
Q
164
32%
58
50%
T
67
46%
T
101
35%
The Conservatives governing with support from the NDP
508
35%
70
36%
51
33%
34
37%
222
40%
EF
103
30%
28
27%
147
36%
143
32%
136
37%
82
38%
102
37%
406
35%
239
34%
269
36%
156
39%
Q
190
36%
162
32%
50
43%
68
47%
T
104
36%
The Liberals governing with support from the Conservatives
494
34%
66
34%
64
42%
E
35
38%
E
199
36%
E
93
27%
37
36%
119
29%
156
35%
130
36%
90
41%
G
122
45%
L
372
32%
236
34%
259
35%
164
41%
Q
186
35%
Q
144
28%
54
47%
T
60
42%
T
84
29%
The Liberals governing with support from the NDP
742
51%
100
52%
69
45%
49
52%
304
55%
E
163
47%
57
55%
221
54%
219
49%
192
53%
109
50%
134
49%
608
52%
369
53%
373
50%
256
64%
PQ
247
46%
239
47%
74
64%
S
70
49%
160
55%
The NDP governing with support from the Conservatives
463
32%
60
31%
48
31%
28
30%
193
35%
F
110
32%
24
23%
151
37%
H
133
30%
114
31%
65
30%
111
41%
L
352
30%
213
31%
250
34%
172
43%
PQ
162
30%
129
26%
47
41%
53
37%
93
32%
The NDP governing with support from the Liberals
731
51%
102
53%
66
43%
42
46%
293
53%
172
50%
56
54%
218
53%
J
229
51%
190
52%
J
94
43%
137
50%
594
51%
364
52%
367
49%
246
61%
PQ
246
46%
239
47%
81
70%
ST
64
45%
148
51%

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
27 of 76
Detailed Tables
11. [OPPOSE SUMMARY TABLE (Low2Box)]
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
906
63%
117
60%
80
52%
53
57%
327
59%
257
74%
ABCD
72
70%
BCD
277
67%
I
286
64%
214
59%
129
60%
160
59%
746
64%
445
64%
461
62%
239
60%
324
61%
343
68%
OP
58
50%
77
54%
192
65%
RS
933
65%
123
64%
102
67%
58
63%
330
60%
243
70%
D
75
73%
D
264
64%
306
68%
229
63%
135
62%
171
63%
762
65%
460
66%
473
64%
245
61%
342
64%
345
68%
O
66
57%
76
53%
188
64%
S
947
66%
127
66%
89
58%
57
62%
353
64%
253
73%
BCD
66
64%
292
71%
J
293
65%
235
64%
127
59%
151
55%
796
68%
K
463
66%
484
65%
237
59%
347
65%
363
72%
OP
62
53%
83
58%
208
71%
RS
699
49%
93
48%
85
55%
44
48%
248
45%
183
53%
D
46
45%
190
46%
229
51%
172
47%
108
50%
139
51%
560
48%
330
47%
370
50%
145
36%
286
54%
O
268
53%
O
42
36%
73
51%
R
133
45%
978
68%
133
69%
105
69%
65
70%
359
65%
236
68%
79
77%
D
259
63%
315
70%
G
251
69%
153
70%
161
59%
816
70%
K
485
69%
493
66%
229
57%
371
70%
O
378
74%
O
69
59%
90
63%
200
68%
710
49%
91
47%
88
57%
50
54%
260
47%
174
50%
47
46%
193
47%
219
49%
174
48%
123
57%
GI
135
50%
574
49%
334
48%
376
51%
155
39%
287
54%
O
268
53%
O
35
30%
80
55%
R
145
49%
R

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
28 of 76
Detailed Tables
11. [The Conservatives governing with support from the Liberals] There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the following combinations of government?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Strongly support
142
10%
17
11%
6
7%
8
8%
32
8%
36
8%
37
10%
109
9%
39
8%
26
9%
23
22%
102
25%
127
28%
80
29%
313
27%
126
25%
47
33%
75
26%
Somewhat oppose
24
23%
102
25%
124
28%
62
29%
85
31%
300
26%
188
27%
113
28%
147
28%
125
25%
29
25%
37
26%
78
27%
Strongly oppose
520
36%
69
35%
49
32%
29
31%
182
33%
113
33%
B
144
42%
D
224
30%
M
197
27%
153
29%
385
27%
115
31%
J
97
27%
19
17%
T
38
33%
20
14%
67
19%
48
12%
Q
114
28%
56
10%
34
36%
EF
24
26%
85
12%
N
169
24%
58
8%
57
37%
EF
31
20%
38
18%
GHI
50
23%
33
12%
393
27%
65
12%
E
160
29%
E
145
26%
22
6%
Somewhat support
24
12%
E
53
27%
E
48
25%
48
47%
ABCD
175
43%
IJ
161
36%
116
32%
67
31%
75
27%
445
38%
K
257
37%
263
35%
126
31%
177
33%
218
43%
OP
29
25%
39
28%
114
39%
RS
Support (Top2Box)
535
37%
40
43%
EF
53
57%
226
41%
EF
327
59%
31
30%
134
33%
163
36%
113
41%
422
36%
253
36%
282
38%
277
67%
I
286
64%
129
60%
160
59%
746
64%
445
64%
461
62%
209
39%
Q
324
61%
58
50%
T
58
50%
67
46%
T
77
54%
101
35%
72
70%
BCD
162
40%
Q
239
60%
164
32%
257
74%
ABCD
151
41%
G
214
59%
88
40%
906
63%
74
48%
EF
80
52%
89
26%
Oppose (Low2Box)
77
40%
E
117
60%

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
343
68%
OP
192
65%
RS

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
29 of 76
Detailed Tables
11. [The Conservatives governing with support from the NDP] There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the following combinations of government?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Strongly support
93
6%
6
4%
5
5%
5
5%
33
8%
22
5%
20
6%
18
8%
22
8%
71
6%
51
7%
42
6%
15
10%
24
8%
29
32%
89
26%
23
22%
114
28%
121
27%
116
32%
65
30%
80
29%
335
29%
188
27%
227
31%
43
8%
Q
148
28%
8
7%
45
30%
30
7%
Q
126
31%
21
4%
415
29%
141
28%
42
36%
Somewhat oppose
56
29%
42
28%
27
29%
24
23%
111
27%
141
32%
110
30%
67
31%
95
35%
335
29%
214
31%
215
29%
128
32%
38
33%
504
35%
68
35%
60
39%
32
34%
167
30%
52
50%
ACDE
152
37%
164
37%
119
33%
68
31%
76
28%
428
37%
K
246
35%
258
35%
117
29%
171
32%
Q
172
32%
130
26%
Strongly oppose
117
34%
F
126
36%
53
37%
T
38
26%
80
27%
429
30%
47
9%
E
175
32%
F
164
30%
14
4%
Somewhat support
16
8%
E
54
28%
215
42%
OP
28
24%
38
27%
101
34%
R
Support (Top2Box)
508
35%
70
36%
51
33%
34
37%
103
30%
28
27%
147
36%
143
32%
136
37%
82
38%
102
37%
406
35%
239
34%
269
36%
162
32%
50
43%
123
64%
102
67%
58
63%
243
70%
D
75
73%
D
264
64%
306
68%
229
63%
135
62%
171
63%
762
65%
460
66%
473
64%
342
64%
345
68%
O
66
57%
68
47%
T
76
53%
104
36%
933
65%
156
39%
Q
245
61%
190
36%
Oppose (Low2Box)
222
40%
EF
330
60%

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
88
30%
188
64%
S

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
30 of 76
Detailed Tables
11. [The Liberals governing with support from the Conservatives] There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the following combinations of government?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Strongly support
113
8%
14
7%
14
9%
9
10%
50
9%
18
5%
8
7%
37
9%
28
6%
25
7%
22
10%
25
9%
88
8%
55
8%
57
8%
37
9%
47
9%
29
6%
11
10%
17
12%
22
8%
Somewhat support
382
26%
52
27%
149
27%
74
22%
29
28%
82
20%
Somewhat oppose
364
31%
209
30%
232
31%
127
25%
44
31%
T
44
30%
Strongly oppose
506
35%
59
38%
29
32%
41
40%
164
40%
J
155
35%
122
34%
64
29%
73
27%
432
37%
K
254
36%
252
34%
174
33%
Q
172
32%
O
43
37%
T
35
30%
62
21%
128
31%
127
32%
Q
140
35%
Q
97
24%
116
23%
25
24%
97
36%
L
77
28%
139
26%
120
35%
B
133
38%
67
31%
G
64
29%
201
27%
176
32%
B
177
32%
104
29%
G
113
31%
180
26%
28
30%
128
28%
G
137
31%
285
24%
61
32%
B
66
34%
51
33%
E
30
20%
26
28%
441
31%
236
47%
OP
27
23%
40
28%
110
38%
RS
Support (Top2Box)
494
34%
66
34%
119
29%
156
35%
130
36%
259
35%
293
65%
235
64%
796
68%
K
463
66%
484
65%
186
35%
Q
347
65%
54
47%
T
62
53%
60
42%
T
83
58%
84
29%
292
71%
J
164
41%
Q
237
59%
144
28%
66
64%
122
45%
L
151
55%
236
34%
253
73%
BCD
90
41%
G
127
59%
372
32%
127
66%
199
36%
E
353
64%
37
36%
947
66%
35
38%
E
57
62%
93
27%
Oppose (Low2Box)
64
42%
E
89
58%

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
98
33%
363
72%
OP
208
71%
RS

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
31 of 76
Detailed Tables
11. [The Liberals governing with support from the NDP] There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the following combinations of government?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Strongly support
251
17%
23
22%
E
34
33%
72
18%
69
15%
70
19%
39
18%
50
18%
201
17%
119
17%
132
18%
84
17%
24
21%
27
19%
62
21%
148
36%
150
33%
122
33%
70
32%
83
31%
407
35%
250
36%
241
32%
167
31%
155
31%
98
33%
Somewhat oppose
19
13%
13
14%
109
20%
22
21%
81
20%
96
21%
78
21%
48
22%
145
21%
157
21%
31
22%
57
20%
65
42%
ADEF
31
33%
139
25%
24
23%
109
27%
133
30%
95
26%
60
28%
332
28%
185
26%
212
29%
63
16%
132
25%
Q
154
29%
O
89
17%
397
28%
74
27%
L
65
24%
229
20%
Strongly oppose
44
23%
B
49
25%
50
43%
ST
21
18%
44
30%
302
21%
88
22%
P
169
42%
PQ
81
20%
80
15%
33
36%
112
20%
E
192
35%
34
10%
490
34%
29
19%
E
40
26%
16
17%
Somewhat support
39
20%
E
62
32%
180
35%
OP
21
18%
42
29%
R
76
26%
Support (Top2Box)
742
51%
100
52%
69
45%
49
52%
163
47%
57
55%
221
54%
219
49%
192
53%
109
50%
134
49%
608
52%
369
53%
373
50%
239
47%
160
55%
93
48%
85
55%
44
48%
183
53%
D
46
45%
190
46%
229
51%
172
47%
108
50%
139
51%
560
48%
330
47%
370
50%
286
54%
O
268
53%
O
74
64%
S
42
36%
70
49%
699
49%
256
64%
PQ
145
36%
247
46%
Oppose (Low2Box)
304
55%
E
248
45%
73
51%
R
133
45%

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
129
37%
B
95
27%
BCD
89
26%

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
32 of 76
Detailed Tables
11. [The NDP governing with support from the Conservatives] There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the following combinations of government?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Strongly support
78
5%
8
5%
2
2%
13
4%
1
1%
15
4%
63
5%
38
5%
40
5%
29
7%
28
5%
21
4%
12
10%
9
6%
19
7%
119
27%
99
27%
18
8%
HI
47
21%
14
5%
386
27%
175
25%
210
28%
108
21%
35
30%
44
31%
73
25%
Somewhat oppose
112
31%
65
30%
337
29%
200
29%
214
29%
143
36%
PQ
121
30%
134
25%
131
29%
97
35%
L
78
29%
289
25%
414
29%
31
7%
H
121
29%
J
106
26%
14
3%
Somewhat support
13
7%
F
47
24%
123
24%
39
34%
40
28%
83
28%
Strongly oppose
55
53%
ACDE
153
37%
184
41%
139
38%
88
41%
84
31%
480
41%
K
285
41%
278
37%
108
27%
170
32%
Q
201
38%
O
255
50%
OP
30
26%
50
35%
117
40%
R
151
37%
H
259
63%
133
30%
114
31%
65
30%
352
30%
213
31%
250
34%
129
26%
47
41%
53
37%
93
32%
251
69%
153
70%
816
70%
K
485
69%
493
66%
172
43%
PQ
229
57%
162
30%
315
70%
G
111
41%
L
161
59%
371
70%
O
378
74%
O
69
59%
90
63%
200
68%

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
40
26%
26
28%
40
7%
CF
153
28%
97
28%
23
22%
28
18%
28
30%
B
37
40%
162
29%
B
197
36%
112
32%
B
124
36%
24
24%
563
39%
60
31%
B
74
38%
Support (Top2Box)
463
32%
60
31%
48
31%
28
30%
110
32%
24
23%
Oppose (Low2Box)
978
68%
133
69%
105
69%
65
70%
193
35%
F
359
65%
236
68%
79
77%
D
77
50%
ADE

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
33 of 76
Detailed Tables
11. [The NDP governing with support from the Liberals] There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the following combinations of government?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
Strongly support
267
19%
43
22%
24
16%
15
16%
103
19%
65
19%
17
16%
86
21%
77
17%
72
20%
31
14%
51
19%
216
18%
130
19%
137
18%
85
16%
90
18%
24
21%
20
14%
58
20%
Somewhat support
465
32%
60
31%
42
27%
27
29%
190
34%
107
31%
39
38%
131
32%
152
34%
118
32%
63
29%
86
32%
378
32%
234
34%
230
31%
161
30%
149
29%
90
31%
Somewhat oppose
15
10%
16
17%
76
17%
75
21%
221
19%
129
19%
157
21%
33
32%
113
28%
143
32%
99
27%
71
26%
353
30%
204
29%
219
30%
120
23%
Q
166
31%
O
74
15%
35
37%
ADE
55
25%
H
68
31%
65
24%
73
47%
ADEF
85
25%
BF
89
26%
80
19%
424
29%
115
21%
B
145
26%
14
14%
Strongly oppose
41
21%
B
50
26%
57
49%
ST
15
13%
43
30%
286
20%
91
23%
P
155
39%
PQ
92
23%
Q
63
16%
194
38%
OP
20
17%
35
25%
R
44
31%
R
64
22%
R
80
27%
R
Support (Top2Box)
731
51%
102
53%
66
43%
42
46%
293
53%
172
50%
56
54%
229
51%
137
50%
594
51%
364
52%
367
49%
239
47%
148
51%
88
57%
50
54%
260
47%
174
50%
47
46%
123
57%
GI
135
50%
574
49%
334
48%
376
51%
287
54%
O
268
53%
O
81
70%
ST
35
30%
64
45%
91
47%
246
61%
PQ
155
39%
246
46%
710
49%
190
52%
J
174
48%
94
43%
Oppose (Low2Box)
218
53%
J
193
47%
80
55%
R
145
49%
R

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
219
49%

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
34 of 76
Detailed Tables
12. Which of the major federal parties do you believe presents the best alternative to the current Harper Conservative government?
REGION
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
The Liberals led by Justin Trudeau
734
51%
96
50%
60
58%
E
43
42%
231
52%
189
52%
585
50%
369
53%
364
49%
208
52%
265
50%
261
51%
60
52%
82
57%
147
50%
225
55%
J
217
48%
176
48%
128
59%
G
89
41%
148
54%
97
50%
289
52%
E
263
48%
186
45%
707
49%
52
56%
E
40
44%
147
42%
The NDP led by Thomas Mulcair
90
58%
E
64
42%
124
46%
583
50%
329
47%
378
51%
193
48%
268
50%
246
49%
56
48%
61
43%
146
50%
199
58%
BCDF

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
35 of 76
Detailed Tables
13. If the Conservatives win the most seats in the election but not a majority, what do you believe should happen?
REGION

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
The Conservatives should be given the chance to try and govern with
the support of one of the other parties
The Liberals and the NDP should immediately defeat the government
when the House of Commons returns, and the Liberals and NDP
should cooperate to govern
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
GENDER
AGE
ONTARIO REGION
TOTAL
BC
A
AB
B
SK/MB
C
ON
D
QC
E
Atlantic Canada
F
<40K
G
40K - <60K
H
60K - <100K
I
100K+
J
Kids
K
No Kids
L
Male
M
Female
N
18-34
O
35-54
P
55+
Q
416
R
905
S
Rest of Ontario
T
1441
1441
277
194
105
153
105
93
593
552
251
346
110
103
406
411
455
448
361
365
219
217
274
273
1167
1168
669
698
772
743
370
401
552
533
519
507
155
116
164
144
274
293
718
50%
84
43%
99
65%
ADEF
48
52%
270
49%
170
49%
47
46%
186
45%
243
54%
G
172
47%
116
53%
133
49%
585
50%
343
49%
374
50%
156
39%
279
52%
O
282
56%
O
49
42%
67
46%
155
53%
R
723
50%
110
57%
B
54
35%
44
48%
283
51%
B
176
51%
B
56
54%
B
224
55%
H
205
46%
193
53%
101
47%
140
51%
584
50%
355
51%
369
50%
245
61%
PQ
253
48%
225
44%
67
58%
T
77
54%
138
47%

October 5, 2015
FINAL DATA
36 of 76

Ipsos Poll On Federal Election - October 05

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Ipsos Poll On Federal Election - October 05

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15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

Base: All respondents

The Conservative Party

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Liberal Party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

RV1A/Q1B. ALL VOTERS - LEANERS INCLUDED

Base: All respondents

The Conservative Party

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Liberal Party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

RV1A/Q1B. DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

Base: Decided Voters - Leaners Included

The Conservative Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The Liberal Party

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B

Not at all certain

Not very certain

TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

Don't know/Not sure

Some other party

Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

Base: All respondents

TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

Harper government has done a good job and deserves re-election

Time for another federal party to take over

Base: All respondents

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

Base: All respondents

TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY

Ipsos Public Affairs

15-068206-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #555 Oct 2-4, 2015)

Base: All respondents