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Execution of a cement project from A-Z

Per Mejnert Kristensen


VP, Head of Project Division EMEA/APAC, Cement

Capital Market Day 2009

Agenda
Introduction
Long term trends in the global
cement industry
FLSmidths role in a cement
project from A-Z
Uncertainties and risks in
execution of cement projects
Outlook in Cement

Capital Market Day 2009

Per Mejnert Kristensen

VP, Head of Project Division EMEA/APAC, Cement

Joined FLSmidth in 1992

Positions in FLSmidth:
VP, Head of Project Division EMEA/APAC

VP, Head of Project Division 1


General Manger, FLSmidth China
Chief Representative Thailand
Ass. Site manager, 10,000 tpd project, Thailand
Project Sales

Capital Market Day 2009

FLSmidth Cement Project Divisions

Capital Market Day 2009

Agenda
Introduction
Long term trends in the global
cement industry
FLSmidths role in a cement
project from A-Z
Uncertainties and risks in
execution of cement projects
Outlook in Cement

Capital Market Day 2009

Long term trends


Growing need for cement remains
despite current global crisis !

Capital Market Day 2009

New global contracted cement kiln capacity


(excl. of China)

mty
160
140

Contracted kiln capacity is an indicator of total cement


capital investments. However, the kiln system only
accounts for around 25% of the value of a cement
production line and additionally, the lifetime of a kiln is
generally longer than the other equipment

2009E:
25-50 mty

120
Expected
future
average:

100
80

~ 60-75 mty

60
40
20

Capital Market Day 2009

2009E

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

Long term trends


Growing need for cement remains
despite current global crisis !
Emerging markets will continue to
be the driver - now also Africa

Capital Market Day 2009

Geographical distribution of
new global contracted cement kiln capacity
(excl. China)

mty
160
140

Asia (excl. China & India)


India
Russia
Europe
North America
South America
Middle East
Africa

120
100
80
60
40
20

Capital Market Day 2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

Long term trends


Growing need for cement remains
despite current global crisis !
Emerging markets will continue to
be the driver - now also Africa
Cement kiln sizes growing

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History of kiln capacity development

Wet kilns
1892: 1.8x18 m
35 tpd
1967: 7.6x232 m
3500 tpd

Capital Market Day 2009

Preheater kilns
1970: 6.0x96 m
4000 tpd

Precalciner kilns
1984: 5.0x80 m
5500 tpd
1990: 6.0x96 m
10,000 tpd
2006 : 6.6x93 m
12,000 tpd
11

Cement kiln sizes continue to grow

Capital Market Day 2009

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Cement kiln sizes continue to grow

Average plant clinker capacity (t/d)

6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

Year
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Long term trends


Growing need for cement remains
despite current global crisis !
Emerging markets will continue to
be the driver - now also Africa
Cement kiln sizes growing
Increased environmental focus

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Half of the fuel used in German


cement plants is alternative fuel
Alternative fuel energy coverage in %

Rapid increase in
alternative fuel
usage during the
past 5 years

60

50

40

- due to focus
on lowering
production costs in
a cement market
with excess
production
capacity

30

20

10

0
1999

2000

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2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

15

Increased focus on emissions


Going from here

The trends

To there

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Agenda
Introduction
Long term trends in the global
cement industry
FLSmidths role in a cement
project from A-Z
Uncertainties and risks in
execution of cement projects
Outlook in Cement

Capital Market Day 2009

17

A cement plant from A to Z


Customer
Customer
requirements
requirements

FLSmidth
FLSmidth strengths
strengths
and
and capabilities
capabilities

Feasibility study
Proposal stage and signing of contract
Design and order handling stage
Civil design and construction
Erection, start-up,
Commissioning, handover, guarantees
Production, operation and maintenance of the
plant

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Feasibility stage
Market
Market size,
size, cement
cement prices,
prices,
investment
investment costs
costs ??

Capital Market Day 2009

Budget
Budget proposals
proposals
for
for various
various sizes
sizes

19

Proposal stage and signing of contract


Tender
Tender requirements
requirements
on
on main
main features
features
or
or technical
technical specialities
specialities
Contract

Leadtime
Leadtime as
as aa conseconsequence
quence of
of requirements
requirements

24 mth

Basic
plant
Adapted
plant
Taylor
made
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Proposal stage and signing of contract


Raw
Raw material
material
samples
samples to
to FLSmidth
FLSmidth

FLSmidth
FLSmidth tests
tests the
the
raw
raw materials
materials
R&D and test centre in
Denmark and India

Capital Market Day 2009

21

Proposal stage and signing of contract


Optimal
Optimal process
process and
and
low
low production
production cost
cost

Advanced
Advanced process
process design
design

FLSmidth has in house laboratory with all


modern testing facilities.

FLSmidth is constantly increasing


investments in research and
development

FLSmidth process designers are carrying


a heritage of more than 100 years of
experience and know how.

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Proposal stage and signing of contract


Can
Can we
we get
get the
the complete
complete
package
package from
from FLSmidth
FLSmidth ??

FLSmidth
FLSmidth has
has equipment
equipment
for
for the
the entire
entire proces
proces

Main machines & auxuilary equipment of FLSmidth design

Electrical equipment

Capital Market Day 2009

Vendor equipment

23

Proposal stage and signing of contract


Local
Local supply
supply and
and
manufacturing
manufacturing

FLSmidth
FLSmidth offers
offers split-supply
split-supply

3
4

18
7

6
1

40% imported
60% local manufactured

12

Capital Market Day 2009

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Proposal stage and signing of contract


What
What are
are the
the total
total cost?
cost?

Typical
Typical cost
cost composition
composition

Buildings
30%
Erection
15%

Transport
5%

Machinery
40%

Capital Market Day 2009

Supervision
5%
Others
5%

25

Proposal stage and signing of contract


Equipment,
Equipment, civil
civil design
design
or
or turnkey?
turnkey?

Equipment

Different
Different options
options are
are
possible
possible

Construction

Civil design

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Erection

26

Proposal stage and signing of contract


Finding
Finding the
the right
right
site
site information?
information?

Capital Market Day 2009

All
All information
information sources
sources
are
are used
used such
such as
as
Google
Google Earth
Earth etc.
etc.

27

Proposal stage and signing of contract


Visualisation
Visualisation to
to
customer
customer

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3D
3D layouts
layouts and
and models
models

28

Proposal stage and signing of contract


Visualisation
Visualisation to
to authorities
authorities

Capital Market Day 2009

3D
3D layouts
layouts incorporated
incorporated
in
in actual
actual landscape
landscape

29

Proposal stage and signing of contract


Signing
Signing the
the contract
contract

Capital Market Day 2009

Quick
Quick order
order start
start

30

Design and order execution


Safe
Safe order
order handling
handling

AA strong
strong project
project team
team

Experience + skills + tools

Capital Market Day 2009

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Design and order execution


Security
Security in
in aa
changing
changing world
world

Company
Company size
size and
and
strengths
strengths in
in market
market
Buying
power
Supply chain

Customer

FLSmidth

Long track record


Global presence

Capital Market Day 2009

Vendor
relations

32

Design and order execution


Close
Close contact
contact to
to the
the
supplier
supplier

World
World wide
wide design
design

Global design centres


design 24 hours a day

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Design and order execution


Fast
Fast civil
civil design
design

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Integrated
Integrated technical
technical
and
and civil
civil design
design

34

Manufacturing, inspection and expediting


High
High quality
quality equipment
equipment

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Close
Close co-operation
co-operation with
with
large
large workshops
workshops

35

Shipping
Safe
Safe transport
transport

Capital Market Day 2009

Odd-size
Odd-size equipment
equipment
or
or in
in containers
containers

36

Construction and installation


Swift
Swift and
and trouble
trouble free
free conconstruction
struction and
and installation
installation

Capital Market Day 2009

Experienced
Experienced and
and
skilled
skilled supervisors
supervisors

37

Training of clients staff


Training
Training of
of staff
staff

Capital Market Day 2009

FLSmidth
FLSmidth Institute
Institute
-- good
good training
training programme
programme

38

Commissioning, handover and guarantees


AA swift
swift start
start of
of the
the plant
plant

FLSmidth
FLSmidth has
has aa good
good record
record
for
for reaching
reaching all
all guarantees
guarantees

Vi har en god track rekord mht at opfylde


garantierne. Har vi evt nogle kurver eller
lignende?

FLSmidth

Capital Market Day 2009

39

Operation of the plant


AA safe
safe and
and economical
economical
operation
operation of
of the
the plant
plant

Capital Market Day 2009

FLSmidth
FLSmidth offers
offers full
full
operation
operation and
and maintenance
maintenance

40

Agenda
Introduction
Long term trends in the global
cement industry
FLSmidths role in a cement
project from A-Z
Uncertainties and risks in
execution of cement projects
Outlook in Cement

Capital Market Day 2009

41

Factors contributing to uncertainty about


project income
Progress of ongoing projects
(to be addressed in following slides)

When will signed LoIs and non-effective contracts


materialise?
General market outlook very uncertain these days !
Even though our customers wants to move ahead with
projects, they are met by financing constraints,
- i.e. not even our customers can tell when they will
be able to go ahead !

Capital Market Day 2009

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Typical project progress


income recognition
Project Incomeand
Flow
Installation

100%

Shipping

90%

Manufacture

80%
70%

Procurement
Engineering

50%
40%

Letter of Credit

30%

Down payment

20%
10%
0%

10
th
11
th
12
th
13
th
14
th
15
th
16
th
17
th
18
th
19
th
20
th
21
st
22
nd
23
rd
24
th
25
th
26
th
27
th
28
th
30 29
th
th
(P
AC
)

9t
h

8t
h

7t
h

6t
h

5t
h

4t
h

3r
d

2n
d

-10%

1s
t

Contract

60%

Period of execution
POC
Capital Market Day 2009

Net Sales

CM

SG&A

EBIT
43

Typical project progress


income recognition
Project Income and
Flow
Installation

100%

Shipping

90%

Manufacture

80%
70%

Procurement
Engineering

50%
40%

Letter of Credit

30%

Down payment

20%
10%
0%

10
th
11
th
12
th
13
th
14
th
15
th
16
th
17
th
18
th
19
th
20
th
21
st
22
nd
23
rd
24
th
25
th
26
th
27
th
28
th
30 29
th
th
(P
AC
)

9t
h

8t
h

7t
h

6t
h

5t
h

4t
h

3r
d

2n
d

-10%

1s
t

Contract

60%

Period of execution
POC
Capital Market Day 2009

Net Sales

CM

SG&A

EBIT
44

Risks in execution of a cement project


Delayed supplies from vendors
Client not ready to receive goods or formalities not in place
(e.g. BTI)
Client wants to postpone project
Suspension of project due to temporary problems with
financing
Termination of project due to clients inability to continue
All of the above creates uncertainty about timing of income
recognition
.and just a few months delay around New Year can
impact the annual result significantly !
Capital Market Day 2009

45

Cash Flow cash flow


TypicalProject
project
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%

40%
30%
20%
10%

9t
h
10
th
11
th
12
th
13
th
14
th
15
th
16
th
17
th
18
th
19
th
20
th
21
st
22
nd
23
rd
24
th
25
th
26
th
27
th
28
th
30 2 9
th
th
(P
AC
)
31
st

8t
h

7t
h

6t
h

5t
h

4t
h

3r
d

-10%

2n
d

0%

1s
t

Contract

50%

-20%
Period of Execution
Client payments
Capital Market Day 2009

Total Project Cost Payments

SG&A payments

Net Cash
46

What happens when orders are cancelled or put on hold?


Cancelled
Initiated work and issue of purchase orders stop
Legal department gets involved
We stick to our contractual rights - no matter
which client
We have the right to be compensated for
incurred and committed costs and as well as a
pro-rata contribution margin
Cancellation fee to be claimed

Put on hold
Initiated work and issue of purchase orders stop
Contract and time schedule is amended
We preserve the right to be compensated for
any additional costs
Some clients are constrained on cash, others are
adjusting priorities
Capital Market Day 2009

47

Status of our existing cement project portfolio


Overall approx. 10 % of order backlog currently on hold.
3 - 4 major projects are partly suspended
no major cement projects cancelled so far (but some minor)
We are in very close contact with the customers and they are
all determined to carry on but limited by financing
Recent events on (partly) suspended contracts:
Receipt of progress payment strong indicator of commitment
Agreement on prolonged delivery schedule
Agreement on finalising engineering but procurement on hold for a
specified period

At this stage we thus feel relatively confident about our


existing cement project portfolio but timing still uncertain

Capital Market Day 2009

48

Agenda
Introduction
Long term trends in the global
cement industry
FLSmidths role in a cement
project from A-Z
Uncertainties and risks in
execution of cement projects
Outlook in Cement

Capital Market Day 2009

49

Strong belief in future prospects, because:


We have the strongest brand in the market !
We have a global reach present in every corner of the world !

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Global undertaking with a local presence

Project centres
Capital Market Day 2009

Production

Rep. offices
51

Strong belief in future prospects, because:


We have the strongest brand in the market !
We have a global reach present in every corner of the world !
We have a complete product portfolio !

Capital Market Day 2009

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Cement plant flow sheet

Filter

Crusher

Filter
Analyzer

Limestone

Sand

Clay
1

Iron
3

Raw meal
silo

4
Storage

Coal mill

4 3

Grate
cooler
Raw mill

Clinker
Silo

Separator
2

Packers

3
Cement
silo

Cement
silo

Cement
silo

Cement mill

Gear unit

Ship unloading

Roller press

Ship loading

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Holcim
Ste.continue
Genevieve
Cement
kiln sizes
to grow
The worlds first 12,000 tpd single kiln line
ILC preheater
DUOFLEX burner

ATOX mills

OK mills

3-support kiln
MMC Cooler

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Strong belief in future prospects, because:


We have the strongest brand in the market !
We have a global reach present in every corner of the world !
We have a complete product portfolio !
We have an unsurpassed reference list !

Capital Market Day 2009

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Projects the last 4 - 5 years !

Platin
Ash Grove, Moapa
4350Grove
tpd Essroc,
Martinsburg
Ash
foreman
4200 tpd 5000 tpd
Keystone, Bath
Ste. Genevieve3000 tpd
12000 tpdLafarge Joppa
7200 tpd
Rio Grande Pueblo

1800 tpd

Cem. Andorra
2350 tpd

Ozarow 2
7000 tpdHolcim
Ivano-Frankivsk
KarcementKursk Hoang Thach 3
2300
5500
tpdtpd
LSR
Slantsy
Jovein
Akbulak
4100 tpd
3200 Podgorensky
tpd 3500 tpd3300 tpd
Cimsa Eskisehir
5000tpd
tpd
3900
6000
tpd
Madras
Cement
6000
tpd
JP Kutch
CIBA (Orascom)
Aleppo
2100 tpd
Ait Baha
7600
tpd
Abyek
Cement
Kokshe
Cement Ha Long
10000 tpd
1500
tpd Grey 7500Khuzestan,
tpd Gulf Cement
Ramhormoz
CIBA
5500 tpd
5000 tpd
tpd
5500 tpd
Sinai White
2 24500
Arabian
CC,5500
Ramliya
AUCC
tpd
6250
tpd
5000
tpd
ABG
Kutch
Volyn
1300
tpd6000
Sanghi, Kutch
Sinai,
Gabal
tpd
Rabigh
Star
Cement
5000
tpdLebni 2ACC,
ACC
Chanda
10000
tpd
6000
tpd
10000
tpd Adilabad
4200 tpd
7000
6500 tpd
Orient,
7000
tpd
Dalmia
Ain Soukna
EMCC (Orascom) 4000 tpd
Marquesado
3300 tpdMolins

3000 tpd

Tepeaca

10000 tpd

Lappeenranta

4000 tpd

Carribean Cement

50007500
tpd tpd

3250 tpd

Al Takamol

Unicem, Calabar

Argos

4500 tpd

6250 tpd

4500 tpd

3x4500 tpd

Binani 2
6500 tpd

Indocement
700 tpd

Fancesa
750 tpd

CSN

Natal Simuma

2 x OK 39

1500 tpd

Dwaalboom
3300 tpd

> 100 new production lines


VKu/15.03.2007
> 150
mtpy capacity !
Capital Market Day 2009

Golden Bay
350 tpd

56

FLSmidth has built ~

2000 cement kilns worldwide since 1898

North America
>356

Central America
>94

South America
>162

Capital Market Day 2009

Europe
>674

CIS
>45

Middle East
>55
India
>141
Rest of Asia
Africa
>269
>96

Australia
>25

57

Strong belief in future prospects, because:


We have the strongest brand in the market !
We have a global reach present in every corner of the world !
We have a complete product portfolio !
We have an unsurpassed reference list !
We are investing most in R&D !

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The cement industrys largest R&D centre

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Strong belief in future prospects, because:


We have the strongest brand in the market !
We have a global reach present in every corner of the world !
We have a complete product portfolio !
We have an unsurpassed reference list !
We are investing most in R&D !
We are the strongest Group Cement & Minerals

We are very well positioned for the future !


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Questions

Capital Market Day 2009

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